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☆ How to construct your portfolio for maximum income in retirement
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-23 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

An efficient portfolio typically focuses on both income and price returns, said certified financial planner David Blanchett, head of retirement research at PGIM, the asset management arm of insurer Prudential Financial. "It really depends on that retirees' perception of how they're going to access their savings to fund their retirement spending," Blanchett said. Higher yields are doing the heavy lifting Generally, the rule of thumb is to withdraw about 4% of your portfolio a year during retirement. His firm uses the Dodge & Cox Income (DODIX) fund and BlackRock Strategic Income Opportunities (BSIIX) fund. "If you have a diversified portfolio, in theory, you can actually get higher income over time as the companies that you own pay out higher dividends," he said.

Persons: David Blanchett, who's, Blanchett, Barry Glassman, Glassman, Brandon Goldstein, " Goldstein Organizations: Prudential Financial, Treasury, Wealth Services, CNBC, Dodge, Cox, Prudential Locations: PGIM, North Bethesda , Maryland, BlackRock

☆ Nvidia earnings, Fed minutes on deck next week as Wall Street assesses interest rate outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-16 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S & P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite each snapped a five-week advance. On average, market strategists on Wall Street anticipate the S & P 500 will end the year at 4,936, according to a CNBC survey . The equal-weighted S & P 500 index is up just 1.7% in 2024, trailing far behind the market-cap weighted benchmark. Initial Claims (02/17) 9:45 a.m. PMI Composite preliminary (February) 9:45 a.m. S & P PMI Manufacturing preliminary (February) 9:45 a.m. S & P PMI Services preliminary (February) 10 a.m. Existing Homes Sales (January) Earnings: Booking Holdings , Live Nation Entertainment , Intuit , Edison International , Dominion Energy , Moderna , PG & E , Keurig Dr. Pepper Friday, February 23, 2024 Earnings: Warner Bros.

Persons: chipmaker, Ayako Yoshioka, Yoshioka, Jerome Powell, Josh Emanuel, everybody's, Emanuel, Russell, They're, Chris Chen, Chen, Dr, Pepper, Nick Wells, Kif Leswing Organizations: Nvidia, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Investor, Treasury, Wilshire Associates, American Association of, Insight Financial, Walmart, Home, Alto Networks, Diamondback Energy, Caesars Entertainment, Marathon, Devices, Chicago, PMI, Holdings, Nation Entertainment, Intuit, Edison International, Dominion Energy, Moderna, Warner Bros Locations: U.S, Santa Monica, Calif

☆ Higher rates raising ‘downside risks’ for regional banks, warns Bank of America
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-14 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The danger of higher rates for longer following the latest hot inflation reading raises the "downside risk" for regional banks, according to Bank of America. "Fewer and later Fed rate cuts pose downside risk to bank stocks," analyst Ebrahim Poonawala wrote in a Tuesday note. "We are especially concerned about the failure of the broader market to project the trajectory of interest rates – a consistent theme since the Fed began raising interest rates in March 2022." "We worry about the risk from no rate cuts in 2024 and a far more elevated level of interest rates across the UST yield curve," Poonawala added. Net interest margin is the difference between the interest banks earn on loans and pay on deposits.

Persons: Ebrahim Poonawala, Poonawala, Goldman Sachs, BNY Mellon, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Federal, Treasury, Silicon Valley Bank, Fed, UST, Regional Banking, Regional Banking ETF, JPMorgan, BNY, U.S . Bancorp, First Bancorp Locations: Silicon, U.S, Puerto Rico

☆ Gauging the risk of contagion from NYCB and commercial real estate woes
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-09 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The latest concern threatening regional banks started on Jan. 31, when New York Community Bancorp. reported unexpected fourth quarter loss and a large loan loss reserve against futures losses, due in part to the bank's commercial real estate (CRE) exposure. One worry is that the NYCB credit downgrade could spur ratings agencies to take a closer look at other banks, or cause clients to again pull deposits out of regional banks. Determining exactly how unique NYCB's exposure to commercial real estate is will be a key focus for investors and analysts in coming weeks. A note on Wednesday from Wolfe Research analysts focused on banks and commercial real estate showed that regional banks have in general reduced their commercial real estate exposure over the past 15 years.

Persons: NYCB, Ian Lyngen, hasn't, Lyngen, D.A, Davidson, Peter Winter, Winter, Macrae Sykes, Banks, They're, Sykes, Wells Fargo, Jerome Powell, Bond, Tom Fitzpatrick, RJ O'Brien, Fitzpatrick, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Investors, New York Community Bancorp, Moody's, Street, Silicon Valley Bank, BMO, Treasury, Wolfe Research, UBS, Gabelli, CNBC Locations: Silicon, Wells

☆ Stocks just had their best month of the year. Why it happened and who led the way
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-30 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The S & P 500 entered Thursday up 8.5% in November, on track for its best month since July 2022. .SPX 1M mountain November is shaping up to be the best month of the year for the S & P 500. Through mid-November, when 94% of S & P 500 companies had reported results, third quarter earnings were tracking about 4.3% above the same time last year, according to FactSet. Top stocks Another important change in November is the stocks leading the way. Of the 10 biggest stocks in the S & P 500, five rose at least 10% in November, including the two largest in Apple and Microsoft .

Persons: John Stoltzfus, Oppenheimer, Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones, It's, it's, Yung, Yu Ma, That's, Santa Claus, Chris Verrone, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Treasury, Federal, PCE, Fed, CNBC, Expedia, Carnival Corp, Generac Holdings, Paramount Global, Insulet Corp, BMO Wealth Management, Apple, Microsoft, Tesla, Energy, OPEC Locations: U.S, Santa

☆ These bond funds are among the top performers in 2023 – Here’s what investors should do next
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-21 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Risk-taking investors also fared well in high-yield bonds, as the fund category generated a 2023 total return of 6.98% through Friday. Big performers in that category include the Pacific Income Advisors High Yield (MACS) Fund (PIAMX) for investors with managed accounts. The BondBloxx CCC Rated USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (XCCC) was also among the strongest performers in the fund category. See below for a list of top performing high yield bond funds, according to Morningstar Direct. "I think these historically high yields have offered attractive entry points for high quality," said Murphy.

Persons: It's, Morningstar, it's, Thomas Murphy, Rowe, Murphy Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Morningstar, Morningstar . Bank, SEC, Pacific Income, PIAMX, Morningstar Direct Locations: U.S

☆ UBS likes these income plays as Treasury yields come down from recent highs
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-16 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Treasury yields have retreated, and that's good news for one kind of income asset – preferred securities, according to UBS. US10Y YTD line U.S. 10-year Treasury yield in 2023 This month has offered some relief as the 10-year Treasury yield slipped back below 4.5%. "Indeed, a dramatic rate pullback in the early days of November has already sparked a sharp rebound in preferreds," Sileo said. "Callable in July 2028, this fixed-for-life perpetual pays a high 7.375% fixed coupon and offers an attractive [yield to call/current yield]." Investors can receive an attractive yield on a high-quality crossover credit, recently upgraded by S & P following the acquisition by Brookfield [Infrastructure]."

Persons: preferreds, Frank Sileo, US10Y, Sileo, Callable, Michael Bloom Organizations: UBS, Americas, Treasury, Moody's Investors Service, Allstate, Triton International, Triton, Brookfield Locations: preferreds, Infrastructure

☆ Ed Yardeni says the ‘bond vigilantes’ have retreated, so the S&P 500 can rally to 4,600
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-13 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

In Yardeni's estimation, the bear market ended in October 2022, and the stock market has been in a bull market since, calling the August-through-October weakness simply a correction. Yardeni is credited with coining the term " bond vigilantes " in the 1980s. US10Y 1M mountain The 10-year Treasury yield has retreated from its late-October highs. "We are expecting that both the bond yield and the oil price will stabilize around current levels. During the latest stock market correction, the Bond Vigilantes saddled up and were riding high.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, Santa Claus Organizations: Yardeni, Treasury, Bond Vigilantes Locations: Santa

☆ Analyzing the market sell-off: Routine S&P 500 correction or something more serious?
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-28 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

.SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD The S & P 500 is also down 10% over the past two years and at a level first reached 30 months ago, with U.S. GDP now 18% larger than it was then and annualized earnings 10% higher. This places the S & P 500 at around 17 times forward earnings, roughly the past decade's average. The equal-weight S & P is near a 14 multiple and the equal-weight consumer discretionary sector is under 13, near the 2022 low P/E. Bank of America equity and quantitative strategist Savita Subramanian points out that "Consensus long-term growth expectations for S & P 500 earnings have dropped to record lows, a rather powerful contrary indicator." Yes, market breadth is lousy, the equal-weight S & P 500 less than 5% above the October 2022 low, but this is also how markets look when they're getting "sold out."

Persons: it's, Goldman Sachs, It's, Savita Subramanian, Stocks Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, Bank of America Locations: Israel, Iraq

"When the 10-year yield goes up, it will have a knock-on effect for almost everything," according to Brett House, economics professor at Columbia Business School. There are many factors driving the recent spike in Treasury yields, economists said. Most of the recent jump in Treasury yields is due to a so-called term premium, said Andrew Hunter, deputy chief U.S. economist at Capital Economics. Student loans could get pricierThere is also a correlation between Treasury yields and student loans. The government sets the annual rates on those loans once a year, based on the 10-year Treasury.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Mark Hamrick, Brett House, Andrew Hunter, Hunter, Tony Dwyer, Canaccord Genuity, Freddie Mac, Eugenio Aleman, Raymond James Organizations: Federal, Stock, Fed, Columbia Business School, Treasury, Capital Economics Locations: U.S

☆ Wharton School's Jeremy Siegel says stick with stocks even with 10-year Treasury yield above 5%
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-23 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Wharton School's Jeremy Siegel said investors should stick with stocks even as the 10-year Treasury yield again breaches the key 5% level. Stocks came under pressure Monday from higher Treasury yields. All three major stock market averages were last trading lower as the 10-year Treasury yield briefly topped the 5% level, with some analysts saying yields could climb higher still. "Clearly, stocks are the place to be in if we get stronger growth," Siegel said Monday on CNBC's " Squawk on the Street. " "And if we have real growth that's a source of these higher yields, I don't think that's a negative for stocks."

Persons: Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Stocks, Siegel, they've Organizations: Treasury Locations: Israel

☆ 3 things to watch in the stock market next week as bond yields hover at 2007 highs
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-21 | by ( Matthew J. Belvedere | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +12 min

The usual suspects were to blame — rising bond yields, geopolitical tensions, and oil prices — and will hold the keys to the market this coming week. Earnings are one of the three major themes on the marquee next week, with 10 Club companies reporting. Here are the companies: Danaher (DHR), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOGL), Meta Platforms (META), Veralto (VLTO), Honeywell (HON), Linde (LIN), Amazon (AMZN), Ford (F) and Stanley Black & Decker (SWK). As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.

Persons: —, Jerome Powell, Jim Cramer, Jim, Morgan Stanley, Stanley Black, Decker, Danaher, Veralto, it's, Mark Zuckerberg, We're, Vimal Kapur, Linde, Jim Farley, Ford, FactSet, Powell, WTI, Baker Hughes, Edwards Lifesciences, Northrop, CARR, Davidson, Dr Pepper, Phillips, Jim Cramer's, Michael M Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Economic, of New, Treasury, West Texas, Procter, Gamble, 10, Microsoft, Honeywell, Linde, LIN, Health Care, Technology, Communications Services, Google, Meta, Ford, Amazon, United Auto Workers, Atlanta, Wall Street, Hamas, Brent, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Logitech, Verizon, General Electric, GE, RTX Corporation, Halliburton, HAL, General Motors, Dow Chemical, DOW, Xerox, Texas Instruments, F5 Networks, WM, Boeing, Fisher, Mobile, Hilton, General Dynamics, Norfolk Southern, Otis Worldwide, IBM, KLA, O'Reilly Automotive, Mattel, Whirlpool, Gross, Royal Caribbean Cruises, Hershey Company, United Parcel Service, Southwest Airlines, Altria, Northrop Grumman, Valero Energy Corp, Mastercard, Merck, Co, Myers Squibb, Newmont, Tractor Supply Company, Comcast, Seagate Technology, Boston, Hertz, Carrier, Hasbro, Harley, Intel, Grill, United States Steel, Boston Beer Company, Texas, University of Michigan, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Charter Communications, Colgate, Palmolive, Newell Brands, Sanofi, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty Locations: of New York, U.S, Industrials, OpenAI, America, Venezuela, Cleveland, Norfolk, ORLY, Bristol, Brunswick, Oshkosh, New York City

☆ Wall Street braces for big tech earnings and key economic data in the week ahead as Treasury yields rise
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-20 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Major earnings reports and economic data will be in focus next week as investors seek clarity on how the Federal Reserve will proceed from here. But next week will bring the lion's share of results including reports from mega-cap darlings Alphabet, Amazon , Meta Platforms and Microsoft . While the S & P 500 is higher by 10% in 2023, the equal-weighted index is down slightly. Of note, Tesla shares sank more than 9% on Thursday following a pessimistic economic outlook from CEO Elon Musk during the company's earnings call. Its the S & P 500's first weekly loss in three weeks.

Persons: bode, Elon Musk, We're, Sam Stovall, it's, Raphael Bostic, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Clissold, Katie Stockton, Rob Ginsberg, I'm, CFRA's Stovall, Stovall, Sherwin, Williams, Kimberly, Hess, Raymond James Financial, Keurig Dr Pepper, Northrop, Willis Towers Watson, Stanley Black, Rowe Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Microsoft, Investors, CFRA, Dow Jones, Treasury, Fed, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Wolfe Research, Chicago, P, PMI, P Global PMI Manufacturing, P Global PMI Services, Richmond Fed, Visa, Texas Instruments, General Electric, NextEra Energy, Raytheon Technologies, Dow, Inc, General Motors, Halliburton, Coca, Corning, Hilton Worldwide, General Dynamics, Dominion Freight, Mobile US, Boeing, Raymond, Technology, Whirlpool, International Business Machines, O'Reilly, Honeywell, Northrop Grumman, Mastercard, Amazon, Royal Caribbean Group, Tractor Supply, United Parcel Service, Hasbro, Southwest Airlines, Comcast, Hershey, Intel, L3Harris Technologies, Ford Motor, Energy, Chevron, Decker, Exxon Mobil, Colgate, Palmolive Locations: U.S, Atlanta, AbbVie

"When the 10-year yield goes up, it will have a knock-on effect for almost everything," according to Columbia Business School economics professor Brett House. Why Treasury yields have jumpedA bond's yield is the total annual return investors get from bond payments. There are many factors driving the recent spike in Treasury yields, economists said. Student loans could get pricierThere is also a correlation between Treasury yields and student loans. The government sets the annual rates on those loans once a year, based on the 10-year Treasury.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Mark Hamrick, Brett House, Andrew Hunter, Hunter, Freddie Mac, Eugenio Aleman, Raymond James Organizations: Treasury, Columbia Business School, Fed, Capital Economics Locations: U.S

☆ At 5%, this is where chart analysts say the 10-year Treasury yield is headed next
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-20 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

US10Y 5D mountain 10-year yield this week The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield briefly reached the 5% milestone late Thursday, raising questions of how long it will stay elevated and what the effect will be on stocks. "This is the last leg of the upmove" from the 2020 low, when 10-year yields touched 0.31%, he said. Fairlead Strategies founder Katie Stockton also pinned 5.25% as the next resistance level for the 10-year bond yield. Meanwhile, Piper Sandler's chief market technician Craig Robinson also said the 10-year yield is due for a pullback. Ciana, on the other hand, estimates the 10-year yield likely staying above 5% for a while.

Persons: Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Paul Ciana, Elliott, Ciana, Katie Stockton, Piper, Craig Robinson, Robinson Organizations: Treasury, Atlanta, RBC, Wolfe Research, Bank of America Locations: Stockton

☆ A bullish trade on tech stocks using options that could cost nothing, if it moves in right direction
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-20 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The highly anticipated speech moved the 10-year yield lower to nearly 4.90% as another rate hike in 2023 seemingly has become less likely. The option strategy that I will utilize is a credit spread but, better known as a risk reversal. If an investor is long a stock, they could create a short risk reversal to hedge their position by buying a put option and selling a call option. No cost...with a catch This risk reversal is being used as an aggressive bull trade. While there is a lot of time before this option strategy expires, there is an opportunity to manage this spread as it either moves for or against me.

Persons: Jerome Powell, dovishly, Powell, Powell's, Long Organizations: Nasdaq, Federal, Treasury Locations: U.S

Investors were handed an income opportunity they haven't seen in more than a decade when the 10-year Treasury yield climbed near 5% on Thursday. US10Y 5Y mountain 10-year Treasury A 5% yield on the 10-year is a good value, said Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab's chief fixed income strategist. A real yield is a bond's nominal yield minus inflation. "With the 10-year yield nearing 5%, it could be your sign to pick them up." There is also the Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) , which has lost 2.59% and charges 0.06% in fees.

Persons: Barry Glassman, Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab's, Callie Cox, Schwab's Jones, Amy Arnott, Morningstar, Arnott, Cox, John Croke ,, Jones, Morningstar's Arnott Organizations: Treasury, Wealth Services, LendingClub, Vanguard Locations: eToro

☆ These three things happening now usually 'break something' in markets, El-Erian says
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Investors face a triple threat that in the past have been consistent with trouble, economist Mohamed El-Erian said Monday. "Historically, those three things happening break something ," El-Erian, the chief economic advisor at Allianz and president of Queens' College Cambridge, said during a CNBC "Squawk Box" interview. "They tend to break something in the financial system, and the market concern is that we haven't even finished with interest rate risk." US10Y YTD mountain 10-year Treasury yield - YTD The U.S. bond market was closed Monday for Columbus Day. "The big question for the markets and for the economy is whether you get escalation," El-Erian said.

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian Organizations: U.S ., Allianz, Queens ' College Cambridge, CNBC, Columbus Day Locations: Gaza, Treasuries, Israel

☆ JPMorgan says the peak in yields is near, but it won't be good for stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A peak in bond yields may be near but that's not necessarily good news for equity investors, according to JPMorgan. Mislav Matejka, head of global and European equity strategy at JPMorgan, expects bond yields will soon fall after their recent rise. For bond traders, that could be an opportunity to position for a long duration trade, Matejka said. "The move up in bond yields might not be sustainable; our fixed income team is looking for yields to fall from current levels in most places." "If bond yields roll over, will it help equity valuations?"

Persons: that's, Mislav Matejka, Matejka Organizations: JPMorgan, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Traders, Equity, U.S Locations: U.S, Japan, Europe

☆ After buying an oversold market last week, here are 3 things to watch next week
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-07 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Even with a modest bounce Friday, U.S. crude prices fell nearly 9% this week — their worst weekly performance since March. US10Y YTD mountain 10-year Treasury yield year to date performance Here are three major developments to watch in the week ahead. September headline PPI is expected to rise 0.3% month over month and 1.6% year over year. As for CPI, economists are looking for a September headline reading of up 0.3% month over month and 3.6% year over year. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.

Persons: Dow, —, We'll, Wells Fargo, Banks, we'll, Jamie Dimon, Morgan Stanley, Wells, JPMorgan Chase, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Daniel Acker Organizations: Labor Department, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Companies, CPI, JPMorgan Chase, PepsiCo, Air, DAL, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Commercial Metals, Infosys Tech, SMART, JPMorgan, Citigroup, PNC Financial, PNC, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, BlackRock

☆ Wall Street sees the market's bumpy ride continuing in the 4th quarter. Here are the risks in store
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Many investors expect that could be the capitulation event equities need to bottom out before rebounding. "If you get down to five and a quarter all hell's gonna break loose," Rob Ginsberg, managing director at Wolfe Research. The yield on the 10-year Treasury has spiked sharply to about 4.8% this week, about 1 whole percentage point above where it was in mid-July at around 3.7%. In fact, it won't take much for the positive narrative to start to take hold in markets, Hogan said. Hogan anticipates the S & P 500 could rise to 4,800 by year end, about 13% above where it is currently.

Persons: Rob Ginsberg, Fitch, Ray Dalio, Jamie Dimon, Wolfe Research's Ginsberg, Ginsberg doesn't, You'll, Ginsberg, Riley Financial's Art Hogan, they'll, Read, Hogan, Kevin McCarthy, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Katie Stockton, Bank of America's Stephen Suttmeier, Jeffrey Hirsch, I'm, Hirsch Organizations: Dow Jones, Treasury, Wolfe Research, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, CNBC Pro's, Supply, Bank of America's Locations: Saudi Arabia

☆ Barclays says rates will keep going higher until there is a deeper stock sell-off
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The steep decline in the bond market — and the accompanying move up in interest rates — will only stop if the sell-off in stocks accelerates, according to Barclays. "Despite the breathtaking sell-off in longer rates, we do not see a clear catalyst to stem the bleeding. Absent that, there is no sustained bond stabilization and, given how risk assets are finally responding to bonds, no stabilization in risk assets, either. Traders often look to the Federal Reserve in times of bond market stress, as the central bank has in the past stepped in to calm the Treasury market. "The only way the Fed could help longer yields is by hiking so aggressively that markets are convinced a recession is imminent and rush to buy longer rates.

Persons: Ajay Rajadhyaksha, Rajadhyaksha, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Barclays, Treasury, Traders, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S

☆ Bonds, oil and the dollar: What investors need to know about these 3 headwinds for stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-03 | by ( Kevin Stankiewicz | In Kevinstankiewicz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +11 min

We're talking about this year's rise in bond yields, oil prices and the dollar — all at the time same. Nevertheless, bond yields, oil prices and the dollar always have far-reaching implications for the stock market. "The higher yields, that's what's been pressuring the equity market," Wharton School professor Jeremy Siegel said Monday on CNBC. In early September, the two countries announced their supply cuts would extend through year-end, a surprise decision that added upward pressure on oil prices. The picture is less clear-cut when considering the impact higher oil prices can have on consumers and non-energy companies.

Persons: —, what's, Jeremy Siegel, Brent, WTI, It's, Siegel, Wharton's Siegel, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Nasdaq, U.S, multiweek United Auto Workers, General Motors, Club, Ford, Wharton, CNBC, Federal, Fed, Dow Jones, West, Brent, Natural Resources, Coterra Energy, Consumers, JPMorgan, Procter, Gamble, Apple, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: U.S, Ukraine, West Texas, Saudi Arabia, Russia, tailwind, headwind

☆ Stocks enter October in a 2-month correction as traders question the economy's resilience
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-30 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

.SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 in 2023 The median stock in the index, though, is nearly 16% off its 52-week high and is flat year to date. The S & P also went nine straight sessions through Wednesday recording a lower low than the day before, something that had only happened a dozen times over the prior century, says SentimenTrader.com. But the raw numbers say the S & P 500 has dropped from 19.7-times the next 12 months' projection to 17.9-times in two months. The equal-weight S & P 500 is at 14.3-times forward earnings; it bottomed last October just under 13. The S & P 500's annualized total returns for the last three, five and ten years are all between 10-12%, slightly above the long-term average.

Persons: Bonds, Friday's, Johnson, handicapping, shutdowns Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Deutsche Bank, Target, American Express, Investment, CNN Locations: lockstep

☆ You can tell investors are pretty scared right now by the funds seeing the biggest inflows
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Trading data shows that retail investors are focused on funds that generate income and are relatively insulated from the moves in interest rates, the firm said in a note on Thursday. "As bond prices continue to drop we've seen a surge in Treasury ETF purchases from the retail community over the past week. Vanda also pointed out that gold stocks and ETFs have also been climbing in September, another sign of a defensive mindset for investors. Investors have been buying stocks, too, but in the form of broad market ETFs such as the SPDR S & P 500 Trust (SPY) rather than individual stocks, according to Vanda. "When the stock market is performing poorly, retail investors tend to favor these products because the equity market tends to rise in the long term, and as a result, the retracement offers a 'safe' upside potential.

Persons: Vanda, peters Organizations: Vanda Research, Market, Investors, Treasury

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