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Read previewSpeaking at the US Treasury Market Conference on Thursday, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen referenced her predecessors — and their mistakes — often. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. "In January 2021, I stepped into a Treasury Department whose focus on financial stability had all but disappeared," she said. "Put simply, we were without crucial tools to identify and help respond to risks to financial stability," she said. Related storiesThere's nothing indicating that a second Trump administration would bring a different attitude toward regulation than his first.
Persons: , Janet Yellen, Donald Trump, Yellen, Trump's, Trump, Steven Mnuchin, Jon Hilsenrath, Kamala Harris Organizations: Service, US Treasury Market Conference, Business, Treasury Department, Federal Reserve, Securities, Exchange, Politico, Trump, Wall Street Locations: Basel III, mull
The rally in US stocks took a breather on Wednesday as traders looked ahead to coming economic data. Major indexes wobbled and bond yields were slightly higher. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Major stock averages pulled back slightly after notching a series of record-highs since last week's rate cut, while bond yields edged up slightly. "Traders will be curious to hear more thoughts on the rate cut and any guidance on further monetary policy easing."
Persons: , Powell, Hogan, Riley Wealth Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Fed, US Treasury Market Conference, Federal
Hedge fund manager Eric Jackson believes an 'everything rally' can take hold in the stock market. Interest rate cuts, economic growth, and yield curve changes favor risk assets, according to Jackson. AdvertisementThe stock market's relentless rise higher could turn into an "everything rally," according to hedge fund manager Eric Jackson of EMJ Capital. AdvertisementHe added: "And when that happened, there was a stock market rally which lasted 10 months. The yield curve finally went positive earlier this month.
Persons: Eric Jackson, Jackson, , we've Organizations: Service, EMJ, CNBC, Nasdaq, Treasury Locations: Jackson
Gold, traditionally perceived as a haven, has climbed roughly 30% this year, outperforming the benchmark S&P 500 index’s 20% gain. Fresh consumer confidence data on Tuesday indicated that Americans are feeling pessimistic about the US economy and future of the job market. JPMorgan Chase researchers said in a note on Monday that they expect the yellow metal to continue running toward their 2025 target price of $2,850 an ounce as the Fed brings down rates. Silver, another precious metal that tends to move in tandem with gold, has jumped roughly 34% this year, outperforming the yellow metal. New moves from China to revive its economy also has the potential to lift precious metals, said Rhind.
Persons: Jerome Powell, , Kristina Hooper, JPMorgan Chase, “ There’s, Will Rhind, Rhind Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Traders, JPMorgan, Treasury, GraniteShares, Citi Locations: New York, China, Turkey, India, China’s
JD Vance warned recently of a "death spiral" in the US bond market. "Do they try to take down the Trump presidency by spiking bond rates?" AdvertisementVice Presidential candidate JD Vance worries about soaring interest rates sparking a "death spiral" in the US bond market that could ultimately "take down the finances of this country." And the only thing that really makes that serviceable is the interest rates are still pretty low. As to where US interest rates seem to be going in the near future, the answer is lower.
Persons: Vance, Trump, JD Vance, , Tucker Carlson, Liz Truss, Steve Sosnick, Sosnick Organizations: Service, Trump, Federal, Medicare, Social Security, Bank of England, Interactive Brokers, Business Locations: China, Japan
Washington CNN —Sales of previously owned homes in the United States fell sharply in August, despite mortgage rates plummeting that month. Lower borrowing costs will likely entice buyersMortgage rates could very well come down even more, but that would depend on economic data making it clear that the Fed would cut rates further. The Fed doesn’t control mortgage rates, but its action do influence them through movements in bond yields. Mortgage rates track the 10-year US Treasury yield, which moves in anticipation of the Fed’s decision on rates. Yun told reporters it could take three or four months for lower mortgage rates to boost demand for housing.
Persons: ” Yun, , Daniele Hale, , we’re, Freddie Mac, Yun, ‘ I’m Organizations: Washington CNN —, Federal Reserve, National Association of Realtors, Fed, Treasury Locations: United States
That rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield, a key lending benchmark for everything from mortgages to corporate debt. "The reaction within Treasury markets was most telling yesterday," Reinking said. AdvertisementHowever, it also means the 10-year Treasury is moving higher since the decision. The 10-year Treasury yield is a lending benchmark for everything from home loans to corporate debt. "That's positive for the economy, and in that case yields should be higher.
Persons: , Michael Reinking, Reinking, Freddie Mac, Inki Cho, Sonu Varghese, Carson, Jerome Powell's, Varghese Organizations: Service, Federal, Treasury, Business, New York Stock Exchange, Fed
Read previewMorgan Stanley has some disappointing news for investors: your taxes are probably going up in the next few years. But one strategist at Morgan Stanley says it's not that simple. Despite these differences, Morgan Stanley expects tax rates to increase no matter who takes office. And a divided Congress, which Morgan Stanley predicts is very likely in November, will only further reduce the likelihood of dramatic change. Typically, the stock market is more influenced by the business cycle than tax policy or political party, according to Morgan Stanley.
Persons: , Morgan Stanley, Trump, Kamala Harris, it's, Monica Guerra, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management's, Harris, Biden, There's, haven't, Guerra isn't, Guerra Organizations: Service, Business, Morgan Stanley Wealth, US, Trump, Republican, Democratic, Treasurys, New, Equity Locations: New York City
(This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers. Traders and investors are debating if the Federal Reserve will cut 25 basis points or 50 basis points when the decision comes at 2pm eastern time. "25 or 50 (basis points), we see a credible case for either. "The Fed is likely to adjust policy by 200 to 250 basis points over the coming year. Garewal also said this rate cut was part of a "normalization" cycle and shared research that yields on the 2-year fall 65 basis points on average after a first Fed cut.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Mark Smith, Wells, stagflation, Smith, Craig Johnson, Piper Sandler, Russell, Johnson, Goldman Sachs, Garewal, Piper Sandler's Johnson, Huntington, Kevin Murphy Organizations: PRO, Worldwide, Traders, Federal Reserve, Advisors, Worldwide Exchange, Blackstone, Mastercard, Visa, Ameris Bancorp, Fed, Ferguson Enterprises
One of the main takeaways was that the biggest threats to dollar dominance are swelling US debt levels and fiscal deficits, which officials in Washington could step up to tackle. "The biggest challenge to US dollar dominance is the US itself given the mounting public debt levels and elevated fiscal deficits," JPMorgan said, in a note summarizing the webinar. For instance, many alarmists have focused on the dollar's share in foreign reserve holdings, often pointing out that the foreign central banks have piled into gold as an alternative. But this fixation omits the fact that bank deposits, sovereign wealth fund assets, and other dollar instruments have been on the rise among reserve holdings, JPMorgan said. "In China's case, it has had an explicit target to bring down dollar holdings in FX reserve but has shifted USD holdings to state-owned entities.
Persons: , Peter G, Mark Sobel —, Trump, Sobel Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, US, Peterson Foundation, Treasury, Monetary, Financial, greenback Locations: Washington, China
(This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers. Worldwide Exchange airs at 5 a.m. ET each day) Worldwide Exchange Word of the Day: Fed Mimi Duff from GenTrust said the Federal Reserve decision on Wednesday will dominate the market action this week. Even as the Fed is expected to enter a rate cutting cycle, Duff sees the biggest opportunities in defensives like consumer staples and healthcare. INTC 1D mountain Intel, 1 day Intel continues to be a laggard in the chip space with shares down 60% year to date.
Persons: Mimi Duff, GenTrust, Duff, Jerome Powell, Big Tech Alan McKnight, Jackson, mMoney, McKnight Organizations: PRO, Worldwide, Federal, Big Tech, Regions Bank, Big, Intel, Bloomberg, Pentagon
New York CNN —For much of the last two years, the 2-year US Treasury yield has traded above the 10-year yield. Still, there are plenty of instances when the yield curve uninverted and a recession wasn’t right around the corner. The most recent prior case of the yield curve uninverting was September 2019. (Disinversion and uninversion are both used to refer to a yield curve that returns to being in positive territory.) One reason she isn’t on edge is because the yield curve was inverted for a much longer stretch of time compared to other recent recessions.
Persons: that’s, Marco Giacoletti, ” “, Kristina Hooper, Hooper, ” Kevin Flanagan, , Claudia Sahm, Sahm, Flanagan Organizations: New, New York CNN, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed, University of Southern California Marshall School of Business, CNN Locations: New York
Mortgage rates fall to lowest level since February 2023
  + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
Washington CNN —Mortgage rates fell this week to the lowest point since February 2023, in a welcome sign for Americans grappling with a tough housing market. The standard, 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.20% in the week ended September 12, mortgage financing giant Freddie Mac said Thursday. Mortgage rates started to drop early last month on news affirming lower interest rates in the future, specifically after a weaker-than-expected jobs report for July, and have gradually edged lower since. “Mortgage rates have fallen more than half a percent over the last six weeks and are at their lowest level since February 2023,” Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, said in a release. The Fed doesn’t directly set mortgage rates, but its action do influence them through movements in bond yields.
Persons: Freddie Mac, ” Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s, that’s, Lawrence Yun Organizations: Washington CNN —, , Federal Reserve, Treasury, Las, P Global, Apple, Fed, National Association of Realtors Locations: New York City, San Diego, Las Vegas, America, Los Angeles, Miami
Read previewA cargo ship suspected of transporting ballistic missiles from Iran was seen at a port in Russia last week, according to newly released satellite imagery. These short-range ballistic missiles have satellite guidance and a maximum range of around 75 miles. It's unclear exactly how many missiles Russia received, although the Treasury Department said Moscow and Tehran signed an agreement in late 2023 for the supply of hundreds of missiles. Russia received Iranian missiles, similar to the one seen here. Iran has also supplied Russia with one-way attack drones, while North Korea has given Moscow ballistic missiles and artillery.
Persons: , John Kirby, Biden, Kirby, Pat Ryder, it's Organizations: Service, Business, US Treasury Department, Maxar Technologies, Business Insider, Ships, Technologies, Sky News, Treasury Department, Russia, White House National Security Council, West Asia News Agency, REUTERS, North, Pentagon, Air Force Locations: Iran, Russia, Ukraine, Moscow, Olya, Port Olya, Russia's Astrakhan, Amirabad, Tehran, Ukrainian, Iranian, Fath, North Korea
CNN —A Russian cargo ship suspected of carrying Iranian ballistic missiles for Moscow’s war against Ukraine was seen at a Russian port on the Caspian Sea a week ago, satellite imagery shared with CNN shows. The ship had previously been in the Iranian port of Amirabad on August 29, according to ship tracking data. Period.”The Ukrainian Foreign Ministry summoned the Iranian charge d’affaires, Shahriar Amouzegar, this week following the reports of ballistic missiles being sent to Russia. By September 6, it had left the Russian port for another voyage. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has frequently appealed to Kyiv’s allies for greater latitude in using Western missiles against targets inside Russia.
Persons: , , Antony Blinken, Seyed Abbas Araghchi, Shahriar, Amouzegar, Blinken, Sergei Shoigu, Ababil, ” Blinken, Volodymyr Zelensky, Joe Biden, Keir Starmer, Victoria Butenko, Natasha Bertrand, Kylie Atwood Organizations: CNN, Maxar Technologies, US Treasury, Russian Ministry of Defense, Treasury, Russia, Iranian Fatah, Islamic, Ukrainian Foreign Ministry, Washington, Iran, US, Russian Defense, Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Western, UK Locations: Russian, Ukraine, Olya, Port Olya, Astrakhan ., Amirabad, Iran, Russia, London, Iranian, Islamic Republic, France, Germany, Washington, Astrakhan, The, United States
Fact check: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris debate on ABC News
  + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Cnn Staff | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +18 min
CNN —Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are facing off for the first time Tuesday during ABC’s presidential debate. “I had no inflation, virtually no inflation,” Trump said. Harris introduced herself by name and said, “Let’s have a good debate.” Trump responded: “Nice to see you. Have fun.” Saul Loeb/AFP/Getty Images Trump and Harris stand on stage at the start of the debate. “But understand if Donald Trump were to be elected, he will sign a national abortion ban.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Donald Trump’s, Trump, Katie Lobosco, MAGA, , ” Trump, Daniel Dale, Tami Luhby, Chip Somodevilla, he’s, FactCheck.org, Steven Cheung, Cheung, Kaanita Iyer Trump, Joe Biden, , gotaways, Michelle Mittelstadt, Piper Hudspeth Blackburn, David Muir, Linsey Davis, Michael Le Brecht, Alex Brandon, Doug Mills, Pat Tuttle, George Walker IV, Saul Loeb, Tristen Rouse, CNN Harris, Win McNamee, Sheena Carey, Morry Gash, Matthew Hatcher, ” Saul Loeb, Roberto Schmidt, Andrew Thomas, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy, Jim Lo Scalzo, Anthony Scaramucci, Olivia Troye, Matt Rourke, Hannah Beier, Lilly, Evelyn Hockstein, Matt Slocum, Kenny Holston, ” Harris, Noah Weinrich, Kaanita Iyer, Feedback Trump, John Roberts, Devan Cole Trump, Sen, JD Vance, ” Vance, Michael Williams Trump, United States –, Katie Lobosco Harris, , Mike Pence, Rather, “ Joe Biden, Ella Nilsen Trump, Elisabeth Buchwald Organizations: CNN, Trump, Center for American Progress, Fund, CAP, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Center, CNN Trump, Breitbart News, Border Patrol, Biden, Patrol, Republicans, Migration, Institute, ABC News Trump, National Constitution Center, New York Times, Bloomberg, Getty Images, Getty, Pennsylvania Convention Center, People, Philadelphia International Airport, AFP, Philadelphia City Hall, Former Trump, Reuters, ABC, Force, Democratic, Convention, Leadership, Heritage, United States Supreme, White, City, Springfield News, Sun, Springfield Police, United States, US International Trade Commission, Treasury, Consumer, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, United Kingdom, Venezuela, United States, Nashville , Tennessee, Washington ,, Washington , DC, Milwaukee, AFP, Springfield , Ohio, , Springfield, City, China, American
Washington CNN —Former President Donald Trump and Republican vice presidential nominee Sen. JD Vance continue to falsely describe how one of their major policy proposals, across-the-board tariffs, would work. Trump has falsely, and repeatedly, claimed that China – not US importers – pay the tariff. Facts First: Trump and Vance’s claims about how tariffs work are false. Together, the price increases cost consumers more than $1.5 billion during the first year the tariffs were in place. It’s true that after Trump imposed tariffs on foreign-made steel, some American steel companies reopened mills and created new jobs.
Persons: Donald Trump, Sen, JD Vance, Trump, Kamala Harris, ” Trump, , ” Vance, ” “, , Erica York, Joe Biden, Rick Muskat, Howard Gleckman, Jeff Ferry, Ferry Organizations: Washington CNN, Republican, Democratic, Fox News, Trump, Tax, US, US International Trade Commission, US Treasury, US Customs, Protection, Deer Stags, CNN, Brookings Tax, Coalition for, Prosperous, Tax Foundation, China Business Locations: China, Arizona, Wisconsin, American, United States, South Korea, Mexico, Prosperous America
That’s because employers might be putting some of their hiring plans on hold — and for good reason. Businesses consider many factors when deciding to hire, but across a wide spectrum of industries, the economic outlook carries always great deal of weight. Both those factors are prompting employers to think twice about hiring more workers now, according to economists and recent comments from businesses around the country. But she’s proposing raising the corporate tax rate to 28%. So when interest rates are as elevated as they are right now, monthly debt payments could be too costly for many firms.
Persons: there’s, ” Kathy Bostjancic, Reserve Banks, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, Harris, , Sean Snaith, Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter’s, ” Pollak, “ It’s, Pollak Organizations: CNN, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Nationwide, , Reserve, Trump, America, Economic, of New, Institute for Economic, University of Central, Fed, Treasury Locations: China, of New York, University of Central Florida
Related storiesIn the second phase of the game, soon after the Chinese invasion began, US forces were said to have engaged and stopped the Chinese amphibious assault, though China continued to bombard Taiwan. Daniel Ceng/Anadolu via Getty ImagesThis caught the hedge fund players by surprise: they had assumed EU sanctions were unlikely because of the depth of China-Europe trade, which reached $815 billion annually in 2023. The hedge fund "agreed that any room for avoiding a total divestment from China and the South China Sea was now completely lost, and market re-entry was probably many years away." The hedge fund responded by choosing to invest heavily in semiconductors manufactured in regions not affected by the war. "This would provide potential opportunities for new players to emerge in the Global South, particularly if loans can be collateralized," Knightsbridge noted.
Persons: Finley Grimble, liquidating, KSG, Daniel Ceng, Knightsbridge, Grimble, Michael Peck Organizations: Service, Business, Knightsbridge Strategic, Getty, Treasury, Defense, Foreign Policy, Rutgers Univ, Twitter, LinkedIn Locations: British, China, Taiwan, South China, Europe, South America, Japan, South Korea, Australia, Anadolu, South, Ukraine, Africa, East, Southeast Asia, Zimbabwe, Forbes
The Trump policy that freaks out economists the most
  + stars: | 2024-09-05 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +9 min
New York CNN —Former President Donald Trump wants to spend trillions of dollars on tax cuts. “It’s enormously protectionist and terrible economic policy,” said Holtz-Eakin, who served as an economic adviser to former President George H.W. The cost of the Trump tax cutsTrump has called for extending his signature 2017 tax cuts, which expire next year if no action is taken by Congress. Trump has argued that extending the tax cuts will boost the economy, create jobs and help families. The Trump campaign has not detailed significant spending cuts or tax hikes to offset these tax cuts.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Kamala Harris, Goldman, , ” David Kelly, Kelly, “ It’s, , ’ Trump, Douglas Holtz, Eakin, Holtz, George H.W, Bush, GOP Sen, John McCain, Mark Zandi, ” Zandi, Karoline Leavitt, they’ll, ” Leavitt, Trump’s, ” Harris, “ Donald Trump, ” Brian Nelson, Harris, Kimberly Clausing, Mary Lovely, ” Trump, Joe Biden, Penn, Penn Wharton, The Trump, CNN’s Katie Lobosco Organizations: New, New York CNN, Asset Management, CNN, America, New York Economic Club, American, GOP, Moody’s, Trump, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Peterson Institute, US Customs, Louis Federal Reserve, Biden, Congress, Princeton University, University of Chicago, Harvard University, US Treasury Department, Penn Wharton Model, Social Security Locations: New York, United States, China, America
US stocks tested record highs as Fed chairman Jerome Powell delivered his speech at Jackson Hole. "The time has come for policy to adjust," Powell said, confirming imminent interest rate cuts. AdvertisementUS stocks tested record highs on Friday as Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell delivered remarks at the Jackson Hole economic symposium. AdvertisementOf note about Powell's Jackson Hole speech, according to Renaissance Macro Research, is that it didn't include the word "gradual." AdvertisementIf Friday's surge higher holds, it could buck the trend of the stock market's reaction to Powell's previous Jackson Hole speeches.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Jackson, Powell, , Susan Collins, Raphael Bostic, Powell's Jackson, Steve Sosnick, Sosnick Organizations: Service, Federal, Treasury, CNBC, Macro, Interactive Brokers
CNN —The United States on Friday unveiled a massive tranche of sanctions in the latest effort to target Russia’s war machine as the war with Ukraine continues. The sanctions from the US Treasury and State Departments hit nearly 400 people and entities both in and outside Russia, including China, Switzerland, Turkey and the United Arab Emirates, according to a press release from the Treasury Department. The sanctions – unveiled ahead of Ukrainian Independence Day – specifically target those supporting the Russian supply chain and defense base, as well as those helping Moscow to evade current sanctions. They come as Ukraine has launched an audacious incursion into Russia’s Kursk region. This story is breaking and will be updated.
Persons: Organizations: CNN, US Treasury, State, United Arab Emirates, Treasury Department, , Ukrainian, Treasury, State Department, State Atomic Energy Corporation Locations: United States, Ukraine, Russia, China, Switzerland, Turkey, Moscow, Russia’s Kursk, Russian
The US Treasury and State Department has issued new sanctions against entities still helping Russia. The Treasury warned that secondary sanctions could target nations hosting Russian bank branches. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementThe US has taken fresh aim at Russia's wartime economy with another wide-sweeping sanctions package, targeting sources that help sustain Moscow's fight in Ukraine. On Friday, The Treasury and State Department announced restrictions against 400 individuals and entities worldwide, including in China, Turkey, and Switzerland.
Persons: , Wally Adeyemo Organizations: US Treasury, State Department, Treasury, Service, Business Locations: Russia, Ukraine, China, Turkey, Switzerland
And so does the broader US economy: Economic growth this year has been solid and the Atlanta Fed is projecting that growth hasn’t slipped. “The labor market is cooling, but it’s not getting soft. A slowing job market is also playing a role in nudging the Fed to ease borrowing costs. Translation: The recent weakness in the job market could result in American shoppers curbing their spending more than expected. A big question mark is the future of America’s job market, which is a key driver of the US economy.
Persons: Washington CNN —, , Jerome Powell, , “ Powell, Seema Shah, hasn’t, ” Tom Porcelli, it’s, Powell, cooldown, ” Powell, aren’t, they’re, , “ There’s, Elizabeth Renter Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal, Fed, Markets, Asset Management, Atlanta Fed, Treasury, CNN, Walmart, America’s Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, nudging
Mortgage rates plunge to lowest level in more than a year
  + stars: | 2024-08-08 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
Washington CNN —US mortgage rates plummeted this week after weaker-than-expected employment data raised the odds of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates next month. The standard 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.47% this week, mortgage financing giant Freddie Mac said Thursday. Mortgage rates have steadily fallen over the past several weeks since reaching a 2024 peak of 7.22% in early May. Mortgage rates track the benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield, which moves in anticipation of the Fed’s decision on interest rates. Lower mortgage rates and a bigger housing stock will eventually entice more buyers to eventually enter the market.
Persons: Freddie Mac, That’s, , Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s, “ Homebuyers, ” Lawrence Yun, Lisa Sturtevant, Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal Reserve, Las, P Global, Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies, CNN, Treasury, National Association of Realtors, Fed, NAR, , Bright MLS Locations: New York, San Diego, Las Vegas, Tampa, Denver, Minneapolis, United States
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