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Read previewRussia is able to make 100 tanks a month, allowing it to keep its offensive effort at the same level despite suffering major losses, according to UK intelligence. Since it launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Russia has lost about 2,600 MBTs and 4,900 other armored vehicles, the UK MOD said. Alex Babenko/AP PhotoUkraine has lost far fewer tanks and vehicles than Russia has in the conflict, according to weapons trackers and experts. AdvertisementMany individual European countries are still giving support to Ukraine, but member state Hungary has blocked a major $52 billion support package. Ukraine also suffered major tank losses at the start of its counteroffensive efforts last June, but losses seem to have dropped since then.
Persons: , Alex Babenko Organizations: Service, Business, UK Ministry of Defence, MOD, Ukraine, Pentagon, Leopard, Avdiivka Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Russian, Germany, Hungary, Avdiivka
Russian forces may be trying to make tactical gains by brute force, as they did in the bloody battle of Bakhmut, per the ISW. Future fighting in the city will likely resemble other instances of urban warfare in Ukraine, where Russian forces conducted attritional assaults for marginal gains, the ISW said. Ukrainian counter-attacks are holding Russian forces back, and the UK Ministry of Defence said the city will likely remain in Ukrainian control over the coming weeks. Ukrainian forces' main supply route remains intact, and they are conducting local counter-attacks against Russian troops, too, the UK said. Russian forces are reportedly attempting to bypass Ukrainian fortifications by trying to enter the city's edges using service tunnels.
Persons: , Major Maxim Morozov Organizations: Service, Business, UK Ministry of Defense, of Internal, intel, Russian, UK Ministry of Defence Locations: Avdiivka, Russia, Ukrainian, Bakhmut, Ukraine
Read previewUkraine's military said this week that its air force shot down a key Russian spy plane — and Moscow's latest moves suggest that it is panicked about losing yet another valuable aircraft. Kyiv said that on Sunday, it destroyed a prized Russian A-50 radar early-warning plane, along with an Ilyushin Il-22 airborne command post, amid Moscow's grinding nearly two-year war with Ukraine. Advertisement"They have very few aircraft, and they have a very important role for Russian air operations on that southern front, the Zaporizhzhia front. They are important because they can look over the normal horizon that a normal air defense radar can see. They give warning to Russian fighter bomber patrols when they are approached by Ukrainian fighters," Gressel said of the A-50.
Persons: , Gustav Gressel, Gressel Organizations: Service, Business, Ilyushin, UK's Ministry of Defense, Russian Air Force, European Council, Foreign Relations Locations: Russian, Ukraine, British, Azov, Krasnodar, Russia, Moscow, Ukrainian
Russia appears to be unable to counter Ukrainian drone attacks from the east bank of the Dnipro River, the UK MOD said. This is likely because of a shortage of Russian electronic warfare capability in the area. AdvertisementRussia appears to be unable to counter Ukraine's drone attacks on the Dnipro River because of a shortage of electronic warfare capability in the area, the UK's Ministry of Defence said. Analysts generally say Russia has the upper hand with electronic warfare technology that can jam and divert drones. However, this does not appear to be the case in the area around the Dnipro River, the UK department noted.
Persons: , Mykhailo Fedorov Organizations: MOD, Service, UK's Ministry of Defence, Krynky, Financial Times, Analysts, CNN, for Locations: Russia, Dnipro, Ukraine, Russian
Russia has likely seen up to 350,000 casualties since its invasion of Ukraine, the UK MOD said. But that figure is an estimate, and Russia probably doesn't even know the real figure, it said. Russia has "a long-established culture of dishonest reporting within the military," the MOD said. The UK MOD said in an intelligence update on Monday that Russia has likely seen up to 350,000 casualties since it launched its invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. Russia likely doesn't have an accurate count itself, the MOD said.
Persons: Organizations: MOD, Service, UK Ministry of Defence, UK, Wagner, NATO, UN Locations: Russia, Ukraine
Russia is sending a new division of its VDV paratrooper force into Ukraine, the UK MOD said. AdvertisementRussia's once-elite paratrooper force is being padded out with low-quality soldiers that are eroding its elite status, according to UK intelligence. The UK Ministry of Defence gave an intelligence update on Thursday on the VDV — Russia's once-revered paratrooper force. It would bring the number of VDV division up to five, from its previous level of four, per the update. AdvertisementBut this division will "likely be poorly trained and is unlikely to meet the erstwhile elite standards of the VDV," the MOD said.
Persons: , Russia's, GAD Organizations: MOD, Service, UK Ministry of Defence, 104th Guards Airborne Division, Business Locations: Russia, Ukraine, US, Kherson Oblast
A big storm over occupied Crimea damaged Russia's naval defenses there, a report said. Satellite images showed damage to booms and barges meant to defend from sea drones. AdvertisementSevastopol is Russia's main naval base in Crimea, the Ukrainian peninsula it has occupied since 2014. UK intelligence officials also said last month that Russia had moved some naval operations away from Crimea as Ukraine continued its attacks. AdvertisementUkraine has also been using sea drones to target the fleet, including an attack earlier this month which Ukraine said hit two Russian vessels.
Persons: , Basil Germond, Insider's Mia Jankowicz Organizations: Service, Planet Labs, Reuters, Ukraine ramped, Lancaster University, Elite Ukrainian Locations: Crimea, Ukraine, Sevastopol, Russia
A Russian soldier said his regiment lost over 1,000 men in just 10 days of fighting in Donetsk. Verkiev Igor Gennadievich was making a desperate plea for donations in a video shared by Ukraine. AdvertisementA Russian soldier said that more than 1,000 of his comrades were killed during a 10-day period while fighting in Donetsk, according to a video shared by a Ukrainian official on Tuesday. In it, Gennadievich said that his regiment was suffering "heavy losses," according to Gerashchenko's translation, adding that: "I was absent there for 10 days. Russia is also suffering losses as it tries to hold back Ukrainian advances on the eastern bank of the Dnipro River.
Persons: Verkiev Igor Gennadievich, , Anton Gerashchenko, Gennadievich Organizations: intel, Service, UK's Ministry of Defence, MOD, Ministry of Defense Locations: Russian, Donetsk, Verkiev, Ukraine, Russia, Avdiivka, Saint Petersburg, Ukrainian, Adviivka, Dnipro
Russia may be losing more soldiers in Ukraine now than at any other time in the war, per UK intel. The UK Ministry of Defence put it down to those killed and injured in Russia's attacks on Avdiivka. Russian casualties in November are outpacing those of its March offensive in Bakhmut, Ukraine said. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Russia's military has suffered heavy losses in the region because of its reliance on Soviet-era military tactics, according to military analysts.
Persons: , Mark Cancian, George Barros, Oleksandr Tarnavskyi, Ukraine's Organizations: intel, UK Ministry of Defence, Service, Russia, Ukrainian, Staff, US Marine Corps, Center, Strategic International Studies, Institute for, AFP, Strategic Group Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Bakhmut, Donetsk, Ukrainian
Russia is likely moving expensive air defense systems from Kaliningrad to Ukraine, per UK intel. AdvertisementRussia has likely re-deployed several of its famed S-400 missile systems from Kaliningrad to the Ukrainian frontline, the UK Ministry of Defense said on Sunday. S-400 Triumf missile systems, also known as SA-21s, are long-range surface-to-air systems designed to destroy aircraft and missiles. The UK Defense Ministry had on November 9 predicted that Russia would need to start shifting S-400s along its borders to make up for air defense losses in Ukraine caused by recent strikes. It said the strikes show that Russia's Integrated Air Defense System is struggling to defend against modern weapons supplied to Ukraine.
Persons: Organizations: intel, Service, UK Ministry of Defense, UK Defense Ministry, Defense Ministry, NATO, US Patriot, Integrated Air Defense, Army Tactical Missile Systems, EG Locations: Russia, Kaliningrad, Ukraine, Ukrainian, Kyiv, Moscow, Poland, Lithuania, Denmark, Baltic, France
Ukraine likely killed over 70 Russian soldiers in a strike earlier this month, UK intel said. The attack struck a convoy of trucks 14 miles away from the front lines, the UK MOD said. AdvertisementUkrainian forces likely took out more than 70 Russian soldiers in a precision strike about 14 miles behind the front lines, the UK Ministry of Defence said in an intelligence update on Friday. It's just the latest report of "mass casualties" inflicted on Russian troops by Ukrainian long-range precision strikes since Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022. An estimated 120,000 Russian troops and 70,000 Ukrainian troops have died since February 2022, US officials told The New York Times in August.
Persons: , Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Polina Menshikh Organizations: intel, MOD, Service, UK Ministry of Defence, New York Times, Brigade, State Bureau of Investigation, Business, Associated Press Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Hladkivka, Kherson, Kumachove, Donetsk, It's, Ukrainian, Ukraine's, Russian, Zaporizhzhia oblast
Photos appear to show a Soviet-era M-55 aircraft equipped with an external military reconnaissance pod. Bringing the aircraft back into action would improve Russia's limited reconnaissance abilities in Ukraine. The aircraft, which was designed for high-altitude reconnaissance missions, would bolster Russia's currently limited capabilities in Ukraine, the department said. AdvertisementIt has recently been observed carrying a military reconnaissance pod, the UK department noted, which can be attached to military aircraft externally to enhance their reconnaissance capabilities. The M-55's ability to operate at high altitudes allows it to work at "considerable stand-off range," the UK department said.
Persons: , Russia's Organizations: Service, UK Department of Defense, Defense Express Locations: Soviet, Ukraine, Russia, Moscow, Russian
Russia has likely started using its valuable early warning planes in the Ukraine war, UK intel said. British intelligence said Moscow may be worried about Kyiv deploying Western fighter jets. Russia will likely "accept more risk" by flying A-50 Mainstay D aircraft close to the front line, the group said. "This adds to Mainstay's core mission of co-ordinating fighter aircraft," the intelligence update said. The Beriev A-50 Photo by Sefa Karacan/Anadolu Agency via Getty ImagesAny potential concern over Western fighter jets comes as Ukrainian pilots and personnel are training on how to fly and maintain American-made F-16 fighter jets.
Persons: , Wojciech Grzedzinski, Sefa Karacan, they're Organizations: intel, Western, Service, Anadolu Agency, Getty, Russia, US, Patriot Locations: Russia, Ukraine, British, Moscow, Kyiv, Kostiantynivka, Britain, Europe
Russia has a weapons system that uses a drone's laser to identify targets. Russia will likely try to improve the system in what could be a winter fighting boost, it added. AdvertisementAdvertisementRussian drones that use laser beams to identify targets in Ukraine are being frustrated by low clouds, according to British intelligence. The UK Ministry of Defence's intelligence update on Tuesday assessed the performance of drones that use lasers to spot targets for Russia's 152mm Krasnopol-M2 artillery munitions. Russia will likely try to improve the system by boosting "Krasnopol's flight performance and reduce the round's laser detection time," the UK update said.
Persons: Organizations: Service, UK Ministry of, UK, EU Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Estonian
UK intelligence said Russian commanders are likely punishing drug-abusing soldiers. The commanders are apparently tossing the soldiers in so-called "Storm Z assault detachments." A Russian news outlet previously reported that soldiers were getting hard drugs delivered to them on the front lines. One unnamed soldier told the independent Russian outlet at the time: "It's like in Las Vegas." The units these drug-using soldiers fight in are mostly made up of convicts and are thrown onto the frontlines, according to analysts from the Institute for the Study of War.
Persons: , Verstka Organizations: Service, UK's Ministry of Defense, Institute for Locations: Russian, Ukraine, Las Vegas
One Russian milblogger said there was about to be a "real renaissance of infantry combat." One milblogger claimed that Russia's military was about to experience a "real renaissance of infantry combat" as there were fewer infantry fighting vehicles, tanks, and armored personnel carriers near the front line. However, another milblogger responded that Russia's reliance on these assault tactics reflected the heavy losses of Russian equipment and poor coordination on the front lines. AdvertisementAdvertisementIn just a few weeks of fighting in the east of Ukraine, Russian forces lost as many vehicles as Ukraine did over months of brutal fighting in the south. Earlier this month Russian forces also began advancing on foot in the heavily-contested eastern city of Avdiivka following major vehicle losses, UK intelligence said.
Persons: milblogger, milbloggers, , Valerii Zaluzhny Organizations: Service, for, Telegram, Economist Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Russian, Avdiivka, Donbas
Russia hit a civilian ship with a missile on Wednesday, killing and injuring crew, Ukraine said. The attack may have been due to "poor weapons employment tactics" by a Russian pilot, per UK intelligence. AdvertisementAdvertisementRussia may have struck a civilian ship in a Ukrainian port with a missile because of "poor weapons employment tactics," according to UK intelligence. AdvertisementAdvertisementOleksandr Kubrakov, Ukraine's Minister for Communities and Territories Development and Infrastructure, said the ship was a civilian vessel carrying iron ore to China. Kubrakov described Wednesday's attack as the 21st targeted attack by Russia on port infrastructure in Odesa since it left the grain deal.
Persons: , Oleksandr Kubrakov, Kubrakov Organizations: MOD, Service, UK Ministry of Defence, Ukraine's, Territories Development, Infrastructure Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Russian, Liberia, Ukraine's Pivdennyi, China, Philippines, Odesa
Russia could be forced to sacrifice air defenses at its borders, UK intelligence said. Losses in Ukraine mean that key air defense weapons will likely need to be redeployed, it said. AdvertisementAdvertisementRussia may need to sacrifice air defenses protecting its borders to help cover gaps in the front lines in Ukraine, the UK Ministry of Defence said in an intelligence update on Thursday. Last week, Russia lost three S-400 Triumf missile systems in the Luhansk region, weakening its air defenses there, the MOD said. The British ministry added that Russia's struggle to keep its air defenses in place is proof the war is overstretching its military.
Persons: Organizations: Service, UK Ministry of Defence, MOD, BBC, Reuters, Institute for Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Ukrainian, Luhansk, Crimea, Russian, Olenivka
Activists against Russia's war with Ukraine have been sabotaging railways, UK intel said. As protesting is criminalized in Russia, sabotage is appealing for young people, UK intel said. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . "Russia's military logistics, including supplying the war in Ukraine, remain reliant" on the country's more than 20,000 miles of railway line, the UK intelligence group said. Some of the railroad sabotage cases involved damage to tracks and arson, according to Mediazona.
Persons: , Vladimir Putin Organizations: intel, UK intel, Service, UK's Ministry of Defense, Russian Locations: Ukraine, Russia, UK
Ukraine's strike on a Crimean shipyard poses a problem for Russia's fleet, UK intel said Monday. Ukraine said the Askold, a brand-new cruise missile carrier, was badly damaged in the attack. The strike may force Russia to move its shipbuilding to safer waters, the UK MOD said. A spokesperson for Ukraine's air force, Yuriy Ihnat, named the damaged ship as the Askold, one of Russia's most advanced corvettes. A Ukrainian air force commander hinted that it was struck by a French-supplied SCALP missile, also known as a Storm Shadow missile .
Persons: , Saturday's, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Yuriy Ihnat, Ihnat Organizations: intel, MOD, Service, UK's Ministry of Defence, Zaliv Shipbuilding Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Crimea, Ukrainian, Crimea's Kerch, Zaliv, Kerch
Russia is putting its economy at risk to fuel its grinding war with Ukraine, UK intelligence said. The Russian economy "is likely at risk of overheating," said UK's Ministry of Defense. Higher inflation could "increase the costs of funding Russia's war in Ukraine," the agency said. "Higher inflation is almost certain to increase the costs of funding Russia's war in Ukraine," British intelligence said. This further illustrates the reorientation of Russia's economy to fuel the war above all else," British intelligence said.
Persons: Organizations: UK's Ministry of Defense, Service Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Russian
Russian troops are living in grueling conditions on the front line in Ukraine, the UK MoD said. Soldiers described being "wet from head to toe" for weeks at a time, per the report. They also described eating "monotonous food" and not even being able to boil a mug of tea. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Soldiers who had recently returned from the front line described being "wet from head to toe" for weeks at a time while speaking at the Ogakov Readings military affairs conference in Moscow on Wednesday.
Persons: , Oleksandr Popov, Valerii Zaluzhnyi, Volodymyr Zelenskyy Organizations: MoD, Service, UK Ministry of Defence, Sunday, Wednesday, Russian, Reuters Locations: Ukraine, Moscow, Russia, Avdiivka
Ukraine has destroyed several Russian long-range air defense systems in the last week, the UK MoD said. Unconfirmed reports said that Ukraine used US-provided ATACMS to strike at the Russian systems. AdvertisementAdvertisementUkraine has likely destroyed at least four Russian long-range air defense systems in the last week, weakening Russia's air defenses, the UK Department of Defense said in an intelligence update on Thursday. AdvertisementAdvertisementAdditional Russian air defense losses have been reported in Crimea by Ukrainian sources. The S-400 was built to rival the $1 billion US-made Patriot air defense system but at a lower price.
Persons: , Russia's Organizations: MoD, Air Defence, Service, UK Department of Defense, Integrated Air Defence System, Russian Telegram, Tactical Missile Systems, Forbes, NATO Locations: Ukraine, Luhansk, Russia, Crimea, France, Turkey
Ukraine and Russia are fighting along a 745-mile front line, the UK Ministry of Defence said. And they're struggling to break through because of how scattered their troops are, the MOD said. Ukrainian forces are 'static' in the south, and Russian troops are collapsing in the east, it said. The UK MOD pointed to the sheer scale of the front, which it says stretches for 745 miles. The UK Ministry of Defence cited airpower as a major factor in the apparent standstill.
Persons: , Valerii Zaluzhnyi, Zaluzhnyi Organizations: UK Ministry of Defence, MOD, Service, Ukrainian, Ukraine's Armed Forces, The New York Times Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Avdiivka
Russia has been carrying out a major offensive effort to capture the city of Avdiivka in east Ukraine. The UK Ministry of Defence said Russia's losses are some of the highest of the year. In mid-October, Russia began a major offensive effort to capture the city in Donetsk, which resulted in significant Russian losses both in terms of personnel and equipment. Russian military bloggers have been "harshly critical" of the tactics of the Avdiivka operation, according to UK intel. The Russian political establishment continues to push for more territory to be occupied, but Russia's military is struggling to carry out successful assaults, the department noted.
Persons: , Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Russian military's Organizations: MoD, UK Ministry of Defence, Service, intel, for Locations: Russia, Avdiivka, Ukraine, Ukrainian, Donetsk, Russian
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