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☆ Going back to Japanese stocks right now is like catching a falling knife: CIO
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGoing back to Japanese stocks right now is like catching a falling knife: CIOKelvin Tay from UBS Global Wealth Management argues that the weak Yen is the key driver to Japan's stock market rally the past 2 years. He expects the Yen to strength to 143 against the US dollar which means the selling pressure on Japanese stocks isn't over yet.

Persons: Kelvin Tay Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management

☆ Nvidia, Super Micro Computer lead AI trade carnage with both stocks down more than 12%
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

With investors in a risk-off mood, AI shares with high valuations were among the first to be dumped from portfolios. Nvidia and Super Micro Computer shed about 12% each before the bell, while Advanced Micro Devices lost about 5%. Megacap technology stocks also sold off during premarket trading, with Alphabet , Meta Platforms and Amazon falling more than 5% each. Major technology stocks — with the exception of Nvidia — wrapped up a busy earnings stretch last week. Nvidia, Alphabet and Meta Platforms pulled back more than 5%, while Microsoft dropped more than 6%.

Persons: Tesla, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Nvidia —, Mark Haefele, Jefferies Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Computer, Super, VanEck, Microsoft, Apple, UBS Global Wealth Management

☆ UBS says 'going into Japan now is like catching a falling knife,' warns stock sell-off will continue
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

watch nowGoing into the Japanese market at this moment is akin to catching "a falling knife," Kelvin Tay, regional chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management, told CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia." Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon"The only reason why the Japanese market is up so strongly in the last two years is because the Japanese yen has been very, very weak. It strengthened sharply after the BOJ raised its benchmark interest rate last week to around 0.25% and decided to trim its purchases of Japanese government bonds. A stronger yen pressurizes Japanese stock markets, which are heavily dominated by trading houses and export-oriented firms by eroding their competitiveness. Ueda also said the 0.5% interest rate level — Japan has not seen that since 2008 — was not a barrier, and rates could go even higher.

Persons: Kelvin Tay, CNBC's, Tay, Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, — Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management, Nikkei, U.S, Bank of, Reuters Locations: Japan

☆ Stock market today: Indexes tank after weak jobs report sparks panic
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks plunged Friday after a weak July jobs report sparked investor panic. The Nasdaq closed in correction territory, and the VIX soared as much as 60% to hit its highest since March 2023. AdvertisementUS stocks plunged on Friday, with the S&P 500 extending its two-day sell-off to more than 3%, as a weak July jobs report sparked panic among investors. Meanwhile, the CBOE Volatility Index, better known as the VIX, soared as much as 60% to 29.66, its highest level since March 2023. AdvertisementThe damage was exacerbated after the July jobs report showed an unexpected increase in the unemployment rate and payroll figures badly missed estimates.

Persons: —, Tom Lee Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, Treasury, Amazon, Intel, Federal, CME, Fed, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: Americas, Here's

☆ UBS' Paul Donovan on U.S election, the economy and its industry policy
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS' Paul Donovan on U.S election, the economy and its industry policyPaul Donavan from UBS Global Wealth Management joins Asia Squawk Box to discuss a wide range of issues facing global economy.

Persons: Paul Donovan, Paul Donavan Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, Asia

☆ Biden's withdrawal from the presidential race spells uncertainty for the 'Trump trade'
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Joe Biden's withdrawal from the 2024 presidential race is causing market uncertainty. Analysts now expect more market volatility after Biden pulled out of the race. AdvertisementUS President Joe Biden's withdrawal from the presidential election is throwing fresh uncertainty into the markets for a second straight week. Investors were already trying to position themselves for the so-called "Trump trade" following the failed assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump on July 13. Markets at large were relatively calm following Biden's withdrawal after the Trump trade gripped sentiment last week.

Persons: Joe Biden's, Trump, Biden, —, Donald Trump, Mark Haefele, Jim Reid, Kyle Rodda, Harris, Chris Weston, Pepperstone, Kamala Harris, Biden's, Haefele Organizations: Service, Trump, Republican, UBS Global Wealth Management's, Nasdaq, Treasury, Deutsche Bank, Democrats, Democratic Party, Democratic, UBS

☆ Most developed countries are set to gain more millionaires in the next 5 years — with 2 big outliers
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-17 | by ( Lian Kit Wee | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewMost developed countries are set to gain more wealthy people in the next five years — with two big outliers. Some countries, like Taiwan, will gain as many as 50% more millionaires during that time. But the United Kingdom and the Netherlands make "notable exceptions" on this list, per UBS, because both are forecasted to lose millionaires. The UK's three million millionaires put it third among countries with the highest number of millionaires last year, as measured in US dollars, per UBS. The loss continues a trend: The UK lost 16,500 millionaires between 2017 and 2023, per immigration consultancy Henley & Partners.

Persons: —, Paul Donovan, Donovan, Andrew Amoils, Amoils Organizations: Service, UBS, Business, UBS Global Wealth Management, Henley & Partners, Russia, BI, Henley, Partners Locations: Taiwan, United Kingdom, Netherlands, Paris, Dubai, Sydney, Italy, Spain, Europe

☆ Wealth in Turkey grew the most in the world at 157% despite soaring inflation, according to ranking
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-17 | by ( Natasha Turak | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Turkey came out miles ahead of the rest of the world in an annual global wealth ranking — in a result that may come as surprising, given the country's high levels of inflation. The next-highest countries in terms of average wealth growth per adult were Russia and Qatar with nearly 20% and South Africa with just over 16%. But for Turks who own assets like homes, wealth has grown, as inflation pushes up the costs of those holdings. In a call with journalists, some of the report's authors broke down the relationship between inflation and wealth rises in Turkey. The report also noted the "currency effect", which is what changes wealth growth the most — local currency growth figures for wealth are often significantly different from those in dollar terms.

Persons: Türkiye, Samuel Adams, Adams Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, CNBC Locations: Turkey, Swiss, Russia, Qatar, South Africa, U.S, London, Japan

☆ Slowdown in consumer demand due to 'too high' interest rates: analyst
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSlowdown in consumer demand due to interest rates being 'too high': analystClaudia Panseri, CIO France at UBS Global Wealth Management, joins Street Signs to discuss current market trends including potential concerns for the luxury sector, and the upcoming earnings season.

Persons: Claudia Panseri Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management

☆ Women are set to inherit trillions of dollars in the great 'horizontal wealth transfer'
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Robert Frank | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Up to $9 trillion is expected to be passed along to spouses and partners in the coming years as part of what's being called "the horizontal wealth transfer," according to a new report. Yet because surviving spouses and partners typically get the initial inheritances, and because women typically outlive men, bequests in the coming years will largely go to women, according to the UBS Global Wealth Report. UBS calls it the "horizontal wealth transfer," since the wealth is moving intra-generationally rather than intergenerationally. "Most people have a rather feudal idea of wealth going down through generations," said Paul Donovan, chief economist of UBS Global Wealth Management. According to the report, the largest horizontal wealth transfers will be in the Americas.

Persons: Paul Donovan Organizations: UBS Global Wealth, UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: what's, Americas

☆ Deflationary forces present in almost every sector in U.S., says UBS Global Wealth's Paul Donovan
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDeflationary forces present in almost every sector in U.S., says UBS Global Wealth's Paul DonovanPaul Donovan, chief economist at UBS Global Wealth Management, and Jared Woodard, head of research committee at Bank of America Securities, join CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss deflation, macro outlooks, and more.

Persons: UBS Global Wealth's Paul Donovan Paul Donovan, Jared Woodard, CNBC's Organizations: UBS Global, UBS Global Wealth Management, Bank of America Securities Locations: U.S

☆ Number of millionaires to soar globally but plunge in the UK, research finds
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

LONDON — The number of global millionaires is set to keep rising over the next five years — with the U.K. a stark outlier, according to the 2024 Global Wealth Report from UBS. Gains will be led by tech powerhouse Taiwan, where the number of millionaires is set to jump 47% on the back of the booming microchip industry and a rise in immigration by wealthy foreigners. The two hubs in which the most global millionaires are based, the U.S. and mainland China, are set to see their figures rise 16% and 8% respectively. Another country where the number of dollar millionaires is forecast to decline was the Netherlands, which is estimated to see a 4% drop in such wealthy individuals. The report meanwhile sees the number of U.S. dollar millionaires in Russia growing by 21%.

Persons: Paul Donovan, Donovan Organizations: UBS, Taiwan, UBS Global Wealth Management, Russia, Labour Party, Conservative Locations: Turkey, Kazakhstan, Indonesia, Japan, U.S, China, France, Italy, London, Dubai, Singapore, Netherlands, Russia

☆ 5 ways investors can hedge against under-the-radar threats to this 'Goldilocks' market, according to a leading UBS strategist who saw this rally coming
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

He reasoned that while higher interest rates were a concern, solid earnings growth would keep stocks afloat. Since then, the S&P 500 has rallied 11.1% off its early May lows and extended its year-to-date surge to 16.9%. Since UBS GWM is neutral on US stocks, Lefkowitz recommends that investors keep their expectations in check and look for alternatives. Though not flashy, bonds boast attractive yields and should continue to rally if the Fed cuts rates this fall, according to UBS GWM. "We think investors should position for a lower interest rate environment and buy quality bonds, which have attractive yields and the potential for capital appreciation amid the potential for a deeper easing cycle," Marcelli wrote in the note.

Persons: —, it's, David Lefkowitz, who's, Lefkowitz, We'll, that's, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, UBS GWM, seconding, Solita Marcelli, Marcelli, Trump Organizations: Service, UBS Global Wealth Management, UBS GWM's, Business, UBS GWM, Federal, Nvidia, UBS, White Locations: Washington

☆ UBS says it has a neutral view on Japan
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS says it has a neutral view on JapanHartmut Issel, head of Asia-Pacific equities at UBS Global Wealth Management, discusses the weak yen and why it likes Indonesian banks.

Persons: Japan Hartmut Issel Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: Japan, Asia, Pacific

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Adam Parker, David Lefkowitz, & Ayako Yoshika
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Adam Parker, David Lefkowitz, & Ayako YoshikaDavid Lefkowitz, senior equity strategist at UBS Global Wealth Management; Ayako Yoshika, senior portfolio manager at Wealth Enhancement Group; and Adam Parker, founder and CEO of Trivariate Research, join CNBC's 'Closing Bell' to discuss the market outlooks, expectations for the Fed, and more.

Persons: Adam Parker, David Lefkowitz, Ayako Yoshika David Lefkowitz, Ayako Yoshika, CNBC's Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management, Trivariate Research, Fed

☆ Important to divorce politics from portfolio construction, says UBS' Tom McLoughlin
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailImportant to divorce politics from portfolio construction, says UBS' Tom McLoughlinTom McLoughlin, UBS Global Wealth Management, Americas head of fixed income, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss how the 2024 presidential election will impact the markets.

Persons: Tom McLoughlin Tom McLoughlin Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: Americas

☆ Diversification is key right now: UBS Global Wealth Management
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDiversification is key right now: UBS Global Wealth ManagementJin Yee Young, co-head of UBS Global Wealth Management APAC explains the shift into developed markets fixed income and the growth of private markets investment in Asia.

Persons: UBS Global Wealth Management Jin Yee Young, UBS Global Wealth Management APAC Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: Asia

☆ UBS GWM CIO breaks down the potential impact of the U.S. presidential election
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS GWM CIO breaks down the potential impact of the U.S. presidential electionMark Haefele of UBS Global Wealth Management says a second Trump presidency will benefit some bank and commodity stocks, but be "less good" for consumer staples and renewables stocks.

Persons: Mark Haefele, Trump Organizations: UBS, U.S, UBS Global Wealth Management

☆ It finally looks like the US economy is sticking its soft landing
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

A soft landing is on the horizon, too — or already here depending on who you ask — and recent data reinforces that. AdvertisementThere has been a ton of moderation in this rate particularly when comparing recent changes to those seen in 2022, another sign pointing to a soft landing. AdvertisementThe soft landing might already be hereDavid Kelly, chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, believes the US has already achieved a soft landing. "To me, a soft landing is when the unemployment rate has basically hit its full-employment level, and the inflation rate is gradually coming down to a rate that's acceptable," Kelly said. Advertisement"In other words, a fairly comfortable soft landing with occasional turbulence," Draho added.

Persons: —, That's, it's, Joseph Briggs, Goldman Sachs, Briggs, Nick Bunker, Bunker, David Kelly, Kelly, Jason Draho, Draho, It's Organizations: Service, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, North America, UBS, Morgan Asset Management, UBS Global Wealth Management

☆ UBS: Expect oil prices to gravitate toward mid-80s by the third quarter
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS: Expect oil prices to gravitate toward mid-80s by the third quarterWayne Gordon of UBS Global Wealth Management discusses OPEC+'s extension of oil output cuts into 2025.

Persons: Wayne Gordon Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management

☆ 'Substantial' potential in Chinese equities over the next 6 to 12 months: UBS WM
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Substantial' potential in Chinese equities over the next 6 to 12 months: UBS WMSuresh Tantia of UBS Global Wealth Management is positive on China's economic recovery trajectory, but says there is still a tail risk associated with the possibility of a second Trump presidency.

Persons: Suresh Tantia Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, Trump

☆ The small-cap slump is getting historically long. Here's what needs to change for a rebound
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-30 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

"With yields holding firm at elevated levels , large caps continue to outperform small caps. Hopes for multiple rate cuts from the Federal Reserve this year have dimmed after recent inflation readings showed signs of stickiness. An economy that is growing more slowly, but with cooler inflation, could be the combination small caps need. Small caps could also benefit from an uptick in the global economy that benefits areas like manufacturing that has heavy representation in the small-cap index. Investors who really want exposure to small caps could also look outside of the U.S. Wolfe Research analyst Rob Ginsberg said in a May 29 note to clients that global small caps are outperforming their U.S. counterparts and are poised for a potential breakout.

Persons: Russell, Todd Sohn, JC O'Hara, Roth MKM, Chad Miller, you've, Miller, Cayla, Seder, Mark Haefele, Solita, Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones, Rob Ginsberg, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC, ESG, Silicon Valley Bank, Federal Reserve, Big Tech, Companies, UBS, Institute, Supply, PMI, Investors, U.S . Wolfe Research Locations: Thrivent, Silicon

☆ Hafele: There's currently a benign backdrop for both stocks and bonds
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHafele: There's currently a benign backdrop for both stocks and bondsMark Haefele, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Global Wealth Management, discusses his new S&P 500 price target and the markets this week.

Persons: There's, Mark Haefele Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management

☆ UBS says it's time to move out of cash. Here's where it sees opportunity
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The era of hiding out in cash is coming to an end, according to UBS. While investors have been earning yields of more than 5% on instruments like money market funds and certificates of deposit, those rates aren't expected to stick around much longer. "We believe investors should limit their overall cash balances as falling interest rates this year and beyond will diminish returns on cash," Solita Marcelli, chief investment officer Americas for UBS Global Wealth Management, wrote in a note Monday. Investors flooded into money market funds as the Federal Reserve began raising interest rates in 2022. UBS also moved out on the curve on TIPS earlier this month after initially buying 5-year inflation-protected securities in August.

Persons: Marcelli, Leslie Falconio, Falconio Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, Investors, Federal Reserve, Investment Company Institute, AAA, AAA CMBS Locations: UBS Americas

☆ Fed not cutting rates would be a headwind to Asian markets: UBS
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed not cutting rates would be a headwind to Asian markets: UBSHartmut Issel, head Asia-Pacific equities and credit at UBS Global Wealth Management, says, however, that his base case is that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut interests rates twice this year, starting in September.

Persons: UBS Hartmut Issel Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, U.S . Federal Locations: Asia, Pacific

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