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☆ Donovan: Political violence generally doesn't influence election outcomes.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDonovan: Political violence generally doesn't influence election outcomes. Paul Donovan, Chief Economist at UBS Global Wealth Management and a member of the bank's Election Watch 2024 research team, believes political violence, like assassination attempts, generally doesn't influence election outcomes.

Persons: Donovan, Paul Donovan Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management

☆ 6 Wall Street experts share why investors could be overestimating how much the Fed will cut rates after August's inflation report
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The print is causing concern that inflation may not be going away, which would mean higher interest rates than markets expect going forward. Skyler Weinand, chief investment officer, Regan CapitalWeinand says the market's current outlook on rate cuts will only take place if the economy deteriorates significantly. If inflation does slow that much, the Fed would likely cut rates faster than just a quarter percent per meeting over the next 3-6 months," Adams said in an email. "However, the stickiness of service price inflation and shelter inflation suggests the Fed will cut rates slower than financial markets currently price in." This would be a disappointment to short-term bond markets that have priced over 250 bps of rate cuts by the end of 2025."

Persons: Brian Rose, UBS Global Wealth Management Rose, Rose, Skyler Weinand, Regan Capital Weinand, Bill Adams, Adams, Peter Perkins, MRB Partners Perkins, Josh Jamner, ClearBridge Investments Jamner, Chris Zaccarelli, Zaccarelli Organizations: Service, CPI, Business, UBS Global Wealth Management, UBS Global Wealth, Fed, Comerica Bank, MRB Partners, Investment, ClearBridge Investments, Independent, bps

☆ Growth data will determine the magnitude of the Fed's rate cuts, says UBS' Nadia Lovell
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGrowth data will determine the magnitude of the Fed's rate cuts, says UBS' Nadia LovellNadia Lovell, UBS Global Wealth Management senior equity strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss Lovell's forecast for the Federal Reserve, if the Fed can cut rates without scaring anyone, and much more.

Persons: Nadia Lovell Nadia Lovell Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, Federal Reserve

☆ Neither Trump nor Harris really gave us much detail about how they will fix the economy in the debate
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Alice Tecotzky | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Though the debate opened with a discussion about the economy, the conversation quickly devolved into platitudes, boasts, and personal jabs. Industry leaders told Business Insider that they hoped to hear the candidates discuss crypto guidelines, regulation, and key appointments on Tuesday night, but little was said about any of those topics. "What we really need is either a debate or a whole section of a debate devoted to economic issues," Tedeschi said. Tedeschi told Business Insider that we need clarity about Trump's proposed tariffs, which are the "most consequential and radical thing that he's proposed." Chris Larsen, the billionaire co-founder of blockchain payments company Ripple, told Business Insider that Harris was "spectacular."

Persons: —, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump sparred, Ernie Tedeschi, Tedeschi, Harris, Trump, Paul Donovan, Mark Penn, Clinton, Aaron Levie, Chris Larsen, Crypto, there's, Larsen, Bradley Tusk Organizations: Service, Industry, Business, Yale Budget Lab, UBS Global Wealth Management, New York Times, Federal, Federal Trade Commission, Others, Trump, Democratic, Tusk Venture Partners Locations: platitudes

☆ UBS Global Wealth Management: S&P 500 at 5,900 by year-end is pretty realistic
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS Global Wealth Management: S&P 500 at 5,900 by year-end is pretty realisticBrenda O'Connor Juanas of UBS Global Wealth Management says earnings growth and Fed rate cut will drive the market higher.

Persons: Brenda O'Connor Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management

☆ Big Tech drawing dip buyers again, but some investors say diversification is prudent move
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The tech slide has many investors anxious to buy the dip, but now is the time for caution, some say. Communication services and information technology stocks are the two worst-performing S & P 500 sectors this quarter, after having fallen into a correction from their peaks in July. Communication services is more than 11% off its 52-week high, while information technology is more than 12% off its recent high. For much of this year, any dips in the high-flying tech stocks have proven to be a buying opportunity for investors, as the promise of artificial intelligence has traders unable to stay away from these names for long. Investors were buying the dip again midday through the trading session Tuesday.

Persons: Ken Mahoney, We've, Rob Williams, Williams, Savita Subramanian, Jason Draho, CNBC's, Tesla Organizations: Federal Reserve, Asset Management, Sage Advisory, Bank of America, UBS Global Wealth Management, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia

☆ Haefele: with the cash rate coming down, now is a great time to move towards a balanced portfolio
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHaefele: with the cash rate coming down, now is a great time to move towards a balanced portfolioMark Haefele, UBS Global Wealth Management, talks about the big event of the week, Fed Chairman Jay Powell speaking in Jackson Hole.

Persons: Mark Haefele, Jay Powell Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: Jackson

☆ Europe inflation may spike on Olympics and Taylor Swift, but UBS says it won't hit locals' wallets
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-11 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Kevin Voigt | Getty Images Sport | Getty ImagesThe Olympic Games are causing a surge in prices, but French consumers aren't likely to feel its pinch. "The Olympic Games or a Taylor Swift concert create a sudden demand shock," wrote Paul Donovan, chief economist at UBS Global Wealth Management, in a recent analyst note. But in the days after the closing ceremony, Paris hotel bookings are projected to drop from a year ago. Tourists pass near a banner with the Paris 2024 logo before the start of the Paris 2024 Olympic and Paralympic Games on June 17, 2024 in Paris, France. Paris 2024 may generate as much as $12 billion, or 11.1 billion euros, in long-term economic impact, a recent study from the Centre for Law and Economics of Sport estimated.

Persons: Kevin Voigt, Taylor, Paul Donovan, Taylor Swift, Kevin Mazur, Swift, Donovan, Matthias Hangst, it's, ove Organizations: Eiffel, Getty, UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, Wembley, Olympics, City of Light, Games, CNBC, —, Olympic, Paralympic Games, Paralympics, Paris, Chesnot, Visa, Paris Olympics, Centre for Law, Sport, Olympic Committee Locations: Paris, France, London, City, Greater Paris, U.S, Triomphe, cardholders, Barcelona

☆ 'Babies tossed out with the bath water': Why top strategists aren't scared during the wildest market since March 2020
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Related storiesWhile those concerns served as the kindling, it was the July jobs report that sparked terror. A closer look at the jobs report reveals that while job additions underwhelmed, jobless claims were also minimal. AdvertisementSecond-quarter earnings growth has been impressive so far and seems set to rise by low single digits, according to UBS GWM. The bullish strategy chief remarked in a note Monday that six of the 11 market sectors have enjoyed double-digit earnings growth this quarter, while only three have seen declines. "Such sell-offs can offer an opportunity to 'catch babies tossed out with the bath water,'" Stoltzfus wrote.

Persons: —, Oppenheimer, Jonathan Golub, Oppenheimer Jason Draho, Americas Solita Marcelli, Marcelli, Beryl, Draho, That's, David Lefkowitz, John Stoltzfus, Stoltzfus Organizations: Service, Business, UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, Labor, UBS GWM Locations: Americas

☆ Going back to Japanese stocks right now is like catching a falling knife: CIO
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGoing back to Japanese stocks right now is like catching a falling knife: CIOKelvin Tay from UBS Global Wealth Management argues that the weak Yen is the key driver to Japan's stock market rally the past 2 years. He expects the Yen to strength to 143 against the US dollar which means the selling pressure on Japanese stocks isn't over yet.

Persons: Kelvin Tay Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management

☆ UBS says 'going into Japan now is like catching a falling knife,' warns stock sell-off will continue
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

watch nowGoing into the Japanese market at this moment is akin to catching "a falling knife," Kelvin Tay, regional chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management, told CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia." Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon"The only reason why the Japanese market is up so strongly in the last two years is because the Japanese yen has been very, very weak. It strengthened sharply after the BOJ raised its benchmark interest rate last week to around 0.25% and decided to trim its purchases of Japanese government bonds. A stronger yen pressurizes Japanese stock markets, which are heavily dominated by trading houses and export-oriented firms by eroding their competitiveness. Ueda also said the 0.5% interest rate level — Japan has not seen that since 2008 — was not a barrier, and rates could go even higher.

Persons: Kelvin Tay, CNBC's, Tay, Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, — Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management, Nikkei, U.S, Bank of, Reuters Locations: Japan

☆ Nvidia, Super Micro Computer lead AI trade carnage with both stocks down more than 12%
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

With investors in a risk-off mood, AI shares with high valuations were among the first to be dumped from portfolios. Nvidia and Super Micro Computer shed about 12% each before the bell, while Advanced Micro Devices lost about 5%. Megacap technology stocks also sold off during premarket trading, with Alphabet , Meta Platforms and Amazon falling more than 5% each. Major technology stocks — with the exception of Nvidia — wrapped up a busy earnings stretch last week. Nvidia, Alphabet and Meta Platforms pulled back more than 5%, while Microsoft dropped more than 6%.

Persons: Tesla, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Nvidia —, Mark Haefele, Jefferies Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Computer, Super, VanEck, Microsoft, Apple, UBS Global Wealth Management

☆ Stock market today: Indexes tank after weak jobs report sparks panic
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks plunged Friday after a weak July jobs report sparked investor panic. The Nasdaq closed in correction territory, and the VIX soared as much as 60% to hit its highest since March 2023. AdvertisementUS stocks plunged on Friday, with the S&P 500 extending its two-day sell-off to more than 3%, as a weak July jobs report sparked panic among investors. Meanwhile, the CBOE Volatility Index, better known as the VIX, soared as much as 60% to 29.66, its highest level since March 2023. AdvertisementThe damage was exacerbated after the July jobs report showed an unexpected increase in the unemployment rate and payroll figures badly missed estimates.

Persons: —, Tom Lee Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, Treasury, Amazon, Intel, Federal, CME, Fed, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: Americas, Here's

☆ UBS' Paul Donovan on U.S election, the economy and its industry policy
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS' Paul Donovan on U.S election, the economy and its industry policyPaul Donavan from UBS Global Wealth Management joins Asia Squawk Box to discuss a wide range of issues facing global economy.

Persons: Paul Donovan, Paul Donavan Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, Asia

☆ Biden's withdrawal from the presidential race spells uncertainty for the 'Trump trade'
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Joe Biden's withdrawal from the 2024 presidential race is causing market uncertainty. Analysts now expect more market volatility after Biden pulled out of the race. AdvertisementUS President Joe Biden's withdrawal from the presidential election is throwing fresh uncertainty into the markets for a second straight week. Investors were already trying to position themselves for the so-called "Trump trade" following the failed assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump on July 13. Markets at large were relatively calm following Biden's withdrawal after the Trump trade gripped sentiment last week.

Persons: Joe Biden's, Trump, Biden, —, Donald Trump, Mark Haefele, Jim Reid, Kyle Rodda, Harris, Chris Weston, Pepperstone, Kamala Harris, Biden's, Haefele Organizations: Service, Trump, Republican, UBS Global Wealth Management's, Nasdaq, Treasury, Deutsche Bank, Democrats, Democratic Party, Democratic, UBS

☆ Wealth in Turkey grew the most in the world at 157% despite soaring inflation, according to ranking
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-17 | by ( Natasha Turak | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Turkey came out miles ahead of the rest of the world in an annual global wealth ranking — in a result that may come as surprising, given the country's high levels of inflation. The next-highest countries in terms of average wealth growth per adult were Russia and Qatar with nearly 20% and South Africa with just over 16%. But for Turks who own assets like homes, wealth has grown, as inflation pushes up the costs of those holdings. In a call with journalists, some of the report's authors broke down the relationship between inflation and wealth rises in Turkey. The report also noted the "currency effect", which is what changes wealth growth the most — local currency growth figures for wealth are often significantly different from those in dollar terms.

Persons: Türkiye, Samuel Adams, Adams Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, CNBC Locations: Turkey, Swiss, Russia, Qatar, South Africa, U.S, London, Japan

☆ Most developed countries are set to gain more millionaires in the next 5 years — with 2 big outliers
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-17 | by ( Lian Kit Wee | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewMost developed countries are set to gain more wealthy people in the next five years — with two big outliers. Some countries, like Taiwan, will gain as many as 50% more millionaires during that time. But the United Kingdom and the Netherlands make "notable exceptions" on this list, per UBS, because both are forecasted to lose millionaires. The UK's three million millionaires put it third among countries with the highest number of millionaires last year, as measured in US dollars, per UBS. The loss continues a trend: The UK lost 16,500 millionaires between 2017 and 2023, per immigration consultancy Henley & Partners.

Persons: —, Paul Donovan, Donovan, Andrew Amoils, Amoils Organizations: Service, UBS, Business, UBS Global Wealth Management, Henley & Partners, Russia, BI, Henley, Partners Locations: Taiwan, United Kingdom, Netherlands, Paris, Dubai, Sydney, Italy, Spain, Europe

☆ Slowdown in consumer demand due to 'too high' interest rates: analyst
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSlowdown in consumer demand due to interest rates being 'too high': analystClaudia Panseri, CIO France at UBS Global Wealth Management, joins Street Signs to discuss current market trends including potential concerns for the luxury sector, and the upcoming earnings season.

Persons: Claudia Panseri Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management

☆ Deflationary forces present in almost every sector in U.S., says UBS Global Wealth's Paul Donovan
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDeflationary forces present in almost every sector in U.S., says UBS Global Wealth's Paul DonovanPaul Donovan, chief economist at UBS Global Wealth Management, and Jared Woodard, head of research committee at Bank of America Securities, join CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss deflation, macro outlooks, and more.

Persons: UBS Global Wealth's Paul Donovan Paul Donovan, Jared Woodard, CNBC's Organizations: UBS Global, UBS Global Wealth Management, Bank of America Securities Locations: U.S

☆ Women are set to inherit trillions of dollars in the great 'horizontal wealth transfer'
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Robert Frank | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Up to $9 trillion is expected to be passed along to spouses and partners in the coming years as part of what's being called "the horizontal wealth transfer," according to a new report. Yet because surviving spouses and partners typically get the initial inheritances, and because women typically outlive men, bequests in the coming years will largely go to women, according to the UBS Global Wealth Report. UBS calls it the "horizontal wealth transfer," since the wealth is moving intra-generationally rather than intergenerationally. "Most people have a rather feudal idea of wealth going down through generations," said Paul Donovan, chief economist of UBS Global Wealth Management. According to the report, the largest horizontal wealth transfers will be in the Americas.

Persons: Paul Donovan Organizations: UBS Global Wealth, UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: what's, Americas

☆ 5 ways investors can hedge against under-the-radar threats to this 'Goldilocks' market, according to a leading UBS strategist who saw this rally coming
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

He reasoned that while higher interest rates were a concern, solid earnings growth would keep stocks afloat. Since then, the S&P 500 has rallied 11.1% off its early May lows and extended its year-to-date surge to 16.9%. Since UBS GWM is neutral on US stocks, Lefkowitz recommends that investors keep their expectations in check and look for alternatives. Though not flashy, bonds boast attractive yields and should continue to rally if the Fed cuts rates this fall, according to UBS GWM. "We think investors should position for a lower interest rate environment and buy quality bonds, which have attractive yields and the potential for capital appreciation amid the potential for a deeper easing cycle," Marcelli wrote in the note.

Persons: —, it's, David Lefkowitz, who's, Lefkowitz, We'll, that's, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, UBS GWM, seconding, Solita Marcelli, Marcelli, Trump Organizations: Service, UBS Global Wealth Management, UBS GWM's, Business, UBS GWM, Federal, Nvidia, UBS, White Locations: Washington

☆ Number of millionaires to soar globally but plunge in the UK, research finds
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

LONDON — The number of global millionaires is set to keep rising over the next five years — with the U.K. a stark outlier, according to the 2024 Global Wealth Report from UBS. Gains will be led by tech powerhouse Taiwan, where the number of millionaires is set to jump 47% on the back of the booming microchip industry and a rise in immigration by wealthy foreigners. The two hubs in which the most global millionaires are based, the U.S. and mainland China, are set to see their figures rise 16% and 8% respectively. Another country where the number of dollar millionaires is forecast to decline was the Netherlands, which is estimated to see a 4% drop in such wealthy individuals. The report meanwhile sees the number of U.S. dollar millionaires in Russia growing by 21%.

Persons: Paul Donovan, Donovan Organizations: UBS, Taiwan, UBS Global Wealth Management, Russia, Labour Party, Conservative Locations: Turkey, Kazakhstan, Indonesia, Japan, U.S, China, France, Italy, London, Dubai, Singapore, Netherlands, Russia

☆ UBS says it has a neutral view on Japan
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS says it has a neutral view on JapanHartmut Issel, head of Asia-Pacific equities at UBS Global Wealth Management, discusses the weak yen and why it likes Indonesian banks.

Persons: Japan Hartmut Issel Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: Japan, Asia, Pacific

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Adam Parker, David Lefkowitz, & Ayako Yoshika
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Adam Parker, David Lefkowitz, & Ayako YoshikaDavid Lefkowitz, senior equity strategist at UBS Global Wealth Management; Ayako Yoshika, senior portfolio manager at Wealth Enhancement Group; and Adam Parker, founder and CEO of Trivariate Research, join CNBC's 'Closing Bell' to discuss the market outlooks, expectations for the Fed, and more.

Persons: Adam Parker, David Lefkowitz, Ayako Yoshika David Lefkowitz, Ayako Yoshika, CNBC's Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management, Trivariate Research, Fed

☆ Important to divorce politics from portfolio construction, says UBS' Tom McLoughlin
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailImportant to divorce politics from portfolio construction, says UBS' Tom McLoughlinTom McLoughlin, UBS Global Wealth Management, Americas head of fixed income, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss how the 2024 presidential election will impact the markets.

Persons: Tom McLoughlin Tom McLoughlin Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: Americas

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