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☆ Treasury yields move lower as investors digest unemployment data after Fed cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( April Roach | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The 10-year Treasury yield was around 2 basis points lower at 3.7168%. The 2-year Treasury note yield was down around 2 basis points at 3.5784%. U.S. Treasury bond yields were lower on Friday following the release of lower-than-expected jobless claims in the wake of the Federal Reserve's jumbo rate cut. The Federal Reserve's decision on Wednesday to slash interest rates by 50 basis points comes amid a week full of central bank rate decisions. The Bank of England announced on Thursday it would hold interest rates steady after cutting rates for the first time in more than four years in August.

Persons: BOE Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal, Reuters, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, People's Bank of China Locations: Asia, China

☆ Volatility looms as election season heats up. Fortify your portfolio against autumn market shocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Recalibrate for risk Protecting your portfolio from sharp losses begins with understanding your comfort with risk and ensuring that your asset allocation reflects your long-term goals. "But over that period when markets were down, there were opportunities to harvest losses in stocks, individual names that experienced big pullbacks." And they've been a good buy for clients who are nearing retirement, seeking income and appreciate bonds' ability to offset stocks' volatility. Options for buffering losses Options are also playing a role in investors' portfolios as financial advisors try to mitigate volatility. Call options give investors the right to buy a stock at a specified strike price before a certain date.

Persons: Stocks, Goldman Sachs, Arun Prakash, Prakash's, Rafia Hasan, San, Hasan, they've, Andrew Herzog, We're, Herzog, he's, Gregory Guenther, Morningstar, " Guenther Organizations: Federal, Wealth Management, Fed, Treasury Bond ETF, SEC, GrantVest Financial Locations: San Francisco, Plano , Texas, Matawan , New Jersey

☆ Charts suggest traders should wait before they keep chasing utilities — the hottest trade of the year
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Traders instantly react to the data (sometimes wildly so), especially when the actual numbers are distinctly different than estimates. Thus, historically, XLU has been correlated with the direction of treasury bonds (which move in the opposite direction of bond yields). Here's a chart with XLU and the TLT 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF, which we're using since it's the most widely traded treasury bond ETF. From 2022 through 2023, XLU and TLT moved in the same direction more often than not. Another reason is simply that investors are aggressively seeking yield producing instruments, with the understanding that bond yields were destined to fall.

Persons: XLU, That's, TLT, We're Organizations: Federal Reserve, PPI, Utilities, Treasury Bond ETF, Bollinger, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: XLU

☆ Stock market today: Stocks close mixed as investors gear up for major Fed rate decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Tuesday's retail sales data boosted soft landing outlooks. AdvertisementIndexes were mixed on Tuesday with investors still split on the potential size of an interest rate cut, with less than 24-hours to go before the Federal Reserve announces its policy decision. Unanticipated strength in Tuesday's retail sales data convinced investors that the economy remains robust, and the S&P 500 briefly hit a record high before paring gains. Bond yields edged up ahead of the Fed decision, nodding to the possibility that the odds of a jumbo rate cut fell after retail sales surprised to the upside. AdvertisementStrong retail sales suggest that the Fed does not necessarily have to hurry with larger cuts, as the consumer economy appears intact for now.

Persons: —, LPL, Jeffrey Roach Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, bitcoin, Treasury

☆ China's bond market is rattled as central bank squares off with bond bulls
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A "Buy Treasury bonds" poster is seen at a bank in Haian, East China's Jiangsu province, Aug 1, 2024. "We remain actively bullish," said a bond fund manager, undeterred by unprecedented government moves to cool the sizzling treasury market and arrest a plunge in yields, which move inversely to prices. Falling yields also complicate the People's Bank of China's (PBOC) efforts to stabilize the weakening yuan. Unlike the West, "China's financial markets, including the bond market, are subject to top-down regulation," said Ryan Yonk, economist with the American Institute for Economic Research. Late on Friday, the central bank said it will gradually increase the purchase and sale of treasury bonds in its open market operations.

Persons: Wang Hongfei, Ryan Yonk, Pan Gongsheng, Kiyong Seong, Tan Yiming Organizations: Bank of China's, American Institute for Economic Research, Societe Generale, Minsheng Securities Locations: Haian, East China's Jiangsu, Beijing, Shanghai, China, Asia

☆ Why a full-fledged bear market is still unlikely even after the latest sharp sell-off
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Bank of America says the recent stock market sell-off is unlikely to be the start of a new bear market. AdvertisementThe stock market's recent sharp sell-off is unlikely to transform into a full-fledged bear market, according to Bank of America. But according to Bank of America strategist Savita Subramanian, the tell-tale signs of a stock market peak have yet to materialize. AdvertisementFor perspective, Subramanian pointed to stock market history to highlight that pullbacks in the market are common. Instead of preparing for a prolonged market sell-off, Subramanian recommends investors go bargain hunting and focus on buying high quality stocks.

Persons: BofA, —, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian Organizations: of America, Credit, Service, Bank of America, Nasdaq, Conference, Senior

☆ U.S. recession fears spark selloff in international markets
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( David Hodari | David Hodari Is A London-Based Editor. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +2 min

LONDON — U.S. stocks are on course to open in the red Monday, with Japanese stocks suffering their worst day of trading since the 1980s and a global equities sell-off intensifying over fears of a U.S. economic slowdown. The Nikkei’s 12.4% fall marked the worst day for the Japanese index since 1987’s “Black Monday” — the sudden and unexpected stock market crash that raised fears of a depression. Noriko Hayashi / Bloomberg via Getty ImagesIn recent weeks, rising concerns around a potential U.S. recession have spooked investors. A rise in the value of the Japanese yen against the U.S. dollar — making Japanese assets more expensive for holders of other currencies — has also likely played a role in the selling. Even so, some investors put their money into U.S. Treasury bonds — so-called ‘haven’ assets that act as stores of wealth in volatile moments.

Persons: Noriko Hayashi, Japan’s, Shunichi Suzuki, “, ” Suzuki, ” Organizations: LONDON, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Tokyo Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty, Federal Reserve, Labor, U.S ., Treasury Locations: U.S, Europe

☆ Time to dump CDs? 6 experts share 6 investing moves to make as the Fed prepares to cut rates in September.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Certain areas of the stock market that benefit from lower rates could see a boost. AdvertisementInstead, plug some money into longer-duration bonds to lock in higher returns while they're still around, Milan said. In addition to tying down solid returns, longer-duration bonds could also appreciate when rates fall, he said. AdvertisementLook at rate-sensitive areas of the stock marketCertain areas of the stock market should also benefit from Fed rate cuts. But investors should keep their eye on the labor market the more the Fed cuts rates, Young Thomas said.

Persons: —, Daniel Milan, they're, Ed Mahaffy, Mahaffy, Robert Phipps, Bernstein, Liz Young Thomas, Shmuel Shayowitz, Kristy Kim, Young Thomas Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, Cornerstone Financial Services, Treasury, ClientFirst Wealth Management, Corporate, Per Stirling Capital Management, Bloomberg, Bond, Index, Fed, Vanguard, ®, Schwab, Fidelity Locations: Michigan, Milan, TreasuryDirect, TomoCredit

It’s been a year since interest rates reached a two-decade high, but they may soon begin to reverse course. The Federal Reserve is expected to hold its benchmark interest rate steady on Wednesday, while signaling that a cut is possible when policy-setting officials meet again in September. If interest rates are elevated for too long, they risk weakening the employment picture. The central bank uses interest rates to influence the broader economy. Home-equity lines of credit and adjustable-rate mortgages — which each carry variable interest rates — generally rise within two billing cycles after a change in the Fed’s rates.

Persons: It’s, ” Jonathan Smoke, that’s, Freddie Mac, ”, Sam Khater, —, “ Banks, Ken Tumin Organizations: Federal, “ Manufacturers, Cox Automotive, Treasury, Savings Vehicles Locations: Edmunds

☆ China's manufacturing activity seen extending decline in July
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The world's second-largest economy grew much slower than expected in the second quarter, with the consumer sector a particular cause for concern. Retail sales growth sank to an 18-month low as deflationary pressures forced businesses to slash prices on everything from cars to food to clothes. While half of the 300 billion yuan ($41.40 billion) in ultra-long treasury bonds China's state planner announced on Thursday will be allocated to support a program of consumer trade-ins, that amount is seen as too little to meaningfully boost economic recovery, as it is equivalent to just 0.12% of economic output and 0.3% of 2023's retail sales. Solid Chinese exports have provided some support to factory managers in recent months and propped up progress towards the government's growth target of around 5%, but as a growing number of trade partners mull import tariffs, the jury is out on whether that boost can be sustained.

Locations: mull

☆ Yields on cash are likely to drop. Put money to work here instead, Janus Henderson says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Investors who are camped out in cash are nabbing sweet yields, but the clock is ticking on that attractive income. Money market fund assets totaled $6.14 trillion as of the week ended July 24, according to the Investment Company Institute . The largest money market funds are offering an annualized 7-day current yield of 5.12%, per the Crane 100 Money Fund Index. "Investors must also remember that the liquid securities held in money market funds have maturities capped at slightly over a year," he said. While these short-term bonds may be an attractive alternative to hiding out in cash, investors should avoid making them the lion's share of their fixed income holdings.

Persons: Daniel Siluk, Janus Henderson, Matthew Mish, Siluk Organizations: Investment Company Institute, Federal, UBS, SEC, BBB, Treasury Bond ETF

☆ China's industrial profits post faster gains in June despite faltering economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

China's industrial profits grew at a faster clip in June, official data showed on Saturday, even as businesses were grappling with a downshift in consumers' sentiment amid a shaky economic recovery. A 3.6% year-on-year rise in profits last month followed a 0.7% gain in May, while first-half earnings were up 3.5%, accelerating from a 3.4% increase in the January-May period, National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) data showed. Roughly half of more than 10 mainland-listed alcoholic beverage firms that had released forecasts for H1 earnings expected a loss-making first half. State-owned firms reported profits up 0.3% in the first half, foreign firms recorded an 11% gain, while private-sector companies booked a 6.8% rise, according to a breakdown of the NBS data. Industrial profit numbers cover firms with annual revenues of at least 20 million yuan ($2.75 million) from their main operations.

Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, Nvidia Locations: Lujiazui, Shanghai, China, Suzhou

The average interest rate on a 6-month CD is 1.81% APY (Annual Percentage Yield), and the average rate for a 1-year term is 1.85% APY. The hunt for CDs offering 7% APYRight now, there aren't any financial institutions offering 7% interest on a CD. Here are factors to consider when making your choice:Interest rate: Look at the CD's interest rate and how often the bank compounds interest. Look at the CD's interest rate and how often the bank compounds interest. 7% APY CD FAQsAre there really CDs offering 7% APY?

Persons: Banks, you'll Organizations: California Coast Credit Union, Financial Partners Credit Union, Federal Reserve Locations: California, San Diego, Riverside, California Coast, Chevron

Understanding the Federal Reserve's role in mortgage ratesThe Federal Reserve's actions are a big influencer in where mortgage rates head. In the time since the Fed began raising rates, mortgage rates have climbed steadily. The Fed's impact on mortgage rates FAQsHow does the Federal Reserve affect mortgage rates? The Federal Reserve influences mortgage rates by setting the federal funds rate, which impacts borrowing costs, investor activity, and market conditions. When the Fed raises interest rates, mortgage rates often increase as well, making borrowing more expensive.

Persons: Michael Gifford, Fannie Mae's Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury, it's, Mortgage Bankers Association, Reserve, Chevron Locations: lockstep

I asked a financial planner whether I should take money out of savings if interest rates drop. I haven't felt ready to follow their advice, especially since my high-yield savings account at Ally Bank has been offering 4% to 5% APY on the money in the account. If that happens, it might make sense for me to move money out of my high-yield savings account. I met with certified financial planner Jake Skelhorn, who shared three things I can do with that cash if interest rates drop. "While more volatile year-to-year, stock market returns have averaged approximately 10%, which is about double what you're getting in a high-yield savings account today."

Persons: it's, they've, haven't, Jake Skelhorn, Skelhorn Organizations: Ally Bank

☆ Mortgage interest rates are expected to drop by the end of the year—here’s how much you could save on monthly payments
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-19 | by ( Mike Winters | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

While mortgage rates are most closely linked to 10-year Treasury bonds, they tend to move in tandem with the Federal Reserve's benchmark interest rate. Consequently, a rate cut is likely to lower mortgage rates later this year. That's potentially good news for homebuyers, since interest rate cuts would likely make monthly mortgage payments a bit more affordable. Most major housing organizations expect mortgage rates to drop by the end of the year. Mortgage rate forecasts for the end of 2024 differ slightly.

Persons: Fannie Mae, Wells, Kevin McLoughlin Organizations: Federal, Traders, Mortgage, Association ., Federal Reserve Locations: Virginia

☆ From Amazon to Dell, Corporate America's in-office crackdown is in full swing
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-17 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

In today's big story, Amazon wants to stop employees skirting in-office mandates by tracking their hours spent in the office . The big storyPunching the clockGetty Images; Jenny Chang-Rodriguez/BIAt Amazon, coffee is for closers people who spend at least 2 hours in the office. AdvertisementBusiness Insider's Eugene Kim has a report on Amazon monitoring the hours its corporate employees spend in the office . Amazon and its employees have been in an ongoing battle over its return-to-office mandate, which was first announced early last year. AdvertisementFor Amazon employees, the RTO mandates have been shrouded in mystery and confusion.

Persons: —, you've, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Eugene Kim, it's, Eugene, they've, Justin Sullivan, Getty, Dell, Polly Thompson, Lizzie Reed, Goldman Sachs, Mark McQueen, Elizabeth Reed, Donald Trump's, Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Russell, Deena So'Oteh, Greg Warnock, Warnock, Elon Musk, Tesla, Stephen Pasterino, Rachel Katzman's, Jennifer Aniston, Johnson, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Denver Airport, Business, Amazon, Foods, Dell, Computer, Workers, Goldman, Walmart, Treasury, Netflix, SpaceX, Lone Star State, Northeast, BI, Olympic, United Airlines, Johnson Locations: it's, Corporate America, Utah, California, Texas, Paris, Seine, New York, London

☆ Premarket stocks: The Dow’s surge is a calculated response to political turmoil
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-16 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Tragedy strikes and traders (or trading algorithms) sniff out a way to make money off of it. Stocks also went on a tear as Covid-19 killed millions and gutted economies across the globe. “The market’s up today, but the market’s up every day,” Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, tells me. Whether or not the political bump lasts, some traders did seize on the moment to double down on so-called Trump trades. In short, when the yield curve gets steeper, that’s a sign bond traders are nervous.

Persons: CNN Business ’, Stocks, it’s, Steve Sosnick, Sosnick, ”, “, Trump, Reagan, Coinbase, Elon Musk, Sturm Ruger, he’s, Joe Biden —, ” Sosnick, they’re Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN — Financial, Dow, Interactive, Trump, White, Macquarie, Trump Media, Smith, Wesson, Democratic, Treasury Locations: New York

☆ Institutions snapping up Chinese treasury bonds are shorting the economy, state media says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Financial institutions snapping up Chinese government bonds are basically shorting the Chinese economy, China's central bank-backed Financial News reported on Saturday, citing what it said were the views of industry sources and experts. It came after the paper said late on Friday that China's central bank is determined to maintain a normal upward-sloping yield curve and correct bond-market risks. The move shows the central bank's desire to stabilise exchange rate and economic expectations, Financial News reported, citing unnamed experts. "Financial institutions frantically snapping up government bonds equals to expecting that interest rates will get lower and lower in the future," the paper said. "They are basically shorting China's yuan and the Chinese economy, increasing the pressure for capital outflows."

Persons: PBOC Organizations: Financial, People's Bank of China Locations: outflows

☆ Treasury yields retreat as Fed Chair warns on keeping rates elevated for too long
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( April Roach | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The 10-year Treasury yield was one basis point lower at 4.2880%. The 2-year Treasury note yield was little changed at 4.6284%. U.S. Treasury bond yields were slightly down on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned that keeping interest rates elevated for too long could stunt economic growth. Powell said Tuesday that the economy and labor market remain strong, despite some recent cooling. The CPI pint is seen as a key test for the market and the outlook for rate cuts.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Capitol, Committee, House Financial

☆ Hong Kong's IPO market is finally starting to turn around, consulting firm EY says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-04 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing celebrates the 24th anniversary of its listing on June 21, 2024. "We are seeing more of these [U.S. dollar] funds, they are moving back to Hong Kong. "I would say if the interest rate can be further cut down, 1% maybe, that would have a significant effect on the IPO market," Chan said. Hong Kong IPO returns are improving. "These things added together are projecting an upward trend for the Hong Kong market [in the] next 5 years."

Persons: George Chan, Chan, EY, Hong Kong, Marcia Ellis, Morrison Foerster, Hong Kong IPOs, China IPOs, Bonnie Chan, EY's George Chan, EY's Chan Organizations: Hong Kong Exchanges, China News Service, Getty, CNBC, Information, HK, China Securities Regulatory, Hong Kong . Investors, U.S . Federal Reserve, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, Hong, Hong Kong Locations: BEIJING, Hong Kong, China, U.S, Shanghai, Hong, Greater China

☆ Treasury yields retreat after data hints at slowing economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( April Roach | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

U.S. Treasury bond yields were slightly down on Friday as investors pondered the latest economic data for signs of a slowing economy. The 10-year Treasury yield was 2 basis points lower at 4.2302%. The 2-year Treasury note yield was down over 1 basis point at 4.7130%. Yields and prices move in opposite directions. One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%.

Organizations: Treasury

☆ Treasury yields rise as investors await jobless claims and housing data
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( April Roach | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

U.S. Treasury bond yields rose on Thursday as investors looked ahead to data on initial filings for unemployment benefits and housing starts. The 10-year Treasury yield was about 3 basis points higher at 4.2497%. The 2-year was up also around 3 basis points at 4.7372% at 3:20 a.m. Yields and prices move in opposite directions. One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%.

Organizations: Treasury

☆ A top VC predicts the industry is heading for a massive and enduring contraction
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-19 | by ( Blake Dodge | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Venture capital has cyclical fluctuations, but Scott Stanford, a cofounder and partner at ACME Capital, an early-stage VC firm, thinks something more meaningful is underway. In a chart compiled by Stanford and shared with BI, by 1990, there were 300 VC firms overseeing $17 billion in assets. Now, there are 3,000 VC firms overseeing $1.2 trillion. Limited partners (LPs), or investors who put money into venture firms, have other options thanks to higher interest rates, Stanford added. AdvertisementThe ACME Capital team.

Persons: —, EisnerAmper, You've, Scott Stanford, Hany Nada, Stanford, today's, Nada Organizations: Service, Venture, Business, ACME Capital, Stanford, BI, ACME, Tech

☆ Treasury yields rise ahead of May retail sales data
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( April Roach | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The 10-year Treasury yield was under a basis point higher at 4.2808%. The 2-year Treasury note yield was also up by less than a basis point to 4.7629%. U.S. Treasury bond yields rose Tuesday as investors traders looked ahead to May retail sales data for insights into the health of the consumer. Retail sales data for May is due Tuesday morning. Federal Reserve officials including Boston Fed President Susan Collins, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan and Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin are expected to speak at events across the country throughout the day.

Persons: Neel Kashkari, Kashkari, Susan Collins, Lorie Logan, Tom Barkin Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Minneapolis Federal, Sunday, CBS News, CBS, Federal, Boston Fed, Dallas, Richmond Fed Locations: Minneapolis, U.S, United States

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