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☆ Wall Street Cruel Summer: Stock Market Crash, Inflation Ends Vacation
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-05 | by ( Linette Lopez | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +12 min

Inflation canceled that, and now it's almost certain that Wall Street's summer is canceled, too. That means Wall Street's fantasies of decamping to the Hamptons for the summer have shattered. You can see why this tug-of-war will keep Wall Street on its toes and off Georgica Beach. There is a certain set on Wall Street that does not get to "rosé all day" on Hamptons summer water when currencies trade that way. The simplicity that Wall Street hoped for is one of the few options that's no longer on the table.

Persons: —, Justin Simon, decamping, Jerome Powell, opportunistically, Jamie Dimon, Torsten Slok, Slok, Powell, we'd, David Lefkowitz, dory, McDonald's, Silas Myers, Wall, Zuck, Simon, they're, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Jasper Capital, Nasdaq, Hamptons, JPMorgan, Fed, Pepsi, Mar Vista Investments, Wall, Nvidia, Tesla, Microsoft, Meta, Apple, EU Locations: Georgica, Japan

☆ The Fed won't cut interest rates this year, says Apollo Global's Torsten Slok
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed won't cut interest rates this year, says Apollo Global's Torsten SlokTorsten Slok, Apollo Global Management Chief Economist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the April jobs report, the state of the U.S. economy, why he thinks Fed cuts won't come this year and more.

Persons: Apollo Global's Torsten Slok Torsten Slok Organizations: Apollo Global Management Locations: U.S

☆ Reaccelerating economy is a problem for the Fed, says Apollo's Chief Economist
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailReaccelerating economy is a problem for the Fed, says Apollo's Chief EconomistTorsten Slok, Apollo Global Management chief economist & partner, joins 'Fast Money' to discuss why he believes a reaccelerating economy is putting pressure on inflation and will be an issue for the Fed.

Persons: Torsten Slok Organizations: Apollo Global Management, Fed

☆ A growing chorus of experts don't think a rate cut is coming in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-06 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Investors are starting to take seriously the idea that the Fed might not cut interest rates in 2024. At this point, investors are viewing economic strength as ultimately good news for the stock market, if that means a recession is delayed. AdvertisementFrom seven, to three, to now potentially zero, projected interest rate cuts in 2024 are quickly going out of style on Wall Street. So a delay in interest rate cuts, on paper, would suggest lower stock prices. And better-than-expected first quarter profits have helped put a floor on a stock market that is trading near record highs, even as talks of interest rate cuts fade.

Persons: Neel Kashkari, Kashkari, Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, Mohamed El, Torsten Slok, Slok, Ken Fisher Organizations: Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, Minneapolis Fed, Fed, Bank of America

☆ Wage growth will be the most important indicator in the March jobs report, says Apollo's Torsten Slok
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWage growth will be the most important indicator in the March jobs report, says Apollo's Torsten SlokTorsten Slok, Apollo chief economist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk what to expect from the Federal Reserve moving forward and what to look for in the March jobs report.

Persons: Apollo's Torsten Slok Torsten Slok Organizations: Federal Reserve

☆ Sam Altman's act may be wearing thin
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . In today's big story, we're looking into how some in Silicon Valley are starting to sour on OpenAI's Sam Altman . AdvertisementFrom hardball tactics when raising funds to relentless self-mythologizing about his role in the future of tech, Altman's act is wearing thin on some . Even VCs uninterested in AI deals are quickly becoming servants to Altman's AI empire. Big market, fall hard.

Persons: —, Baltimore's Francis Scott Key, Sam Altman, Alastair Grant, Rebecca Zisser, Darius Rafieyan, Altman, Elon Musk, à, Steve Jobs, VCs, Samantha Stokes, Eric Baradat, Torsten Slok, David Rosenberg, BofA, Drew Watson, Birkin, Abanti Chowdhury, Elon, Don Lemon, that's, Musk, Mark Zuckerberg, Google's, Meta, Dave Calhoun, Aaron Schwartz, Adam Neumann, Neumann, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, George Glover, Grace Lett Organizations: Business, Service, Baltimore Fire Department, Tech, Apple Vision, NFL, ChatGPT, Kruze Consulting, Apollo Global Management, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Abanti, Getty Images, Street Locations: Silicon Valley, Plenty, Big, Orlando, New York, London, Chicago

☆ There's no reason why the Fed should cut rates right now, JPMorgan market strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

There's no reason why the Fed should cut rates right now, a JPMorgan market strategist says. The economy seems to be holding up fine, and growth projections for 2024 have only gone up. AdvertisementInvestors have been holding their breath for rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, but there's no reason the central banks needs to do anything at all right now. According to JPMorgan strategist Oksana Aronov, there's not a compelling reason the central bank would lower rates in the current environment. In fact, growth projections for 2024 have only increased, Aronov noted.

Persons: —, Oksana Aronov, there's, Jerome Powell, Aronov, Apollo's Torsten Sløk Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Fed

☆ There are several drivers that could lift inflation in the coming months, says Torsten Slok
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere are several drivers that could lift inflation in the coming months, says Torsten SlokTorsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo Global Management, discusses his expectations for February CPI.

Persons: Torsten Slok Torsten Slok Organizations: Apollo Global Management

☆ The Fed insists it will cut rates this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Jerome Powell reiterated on Wednesday that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year. While the Fed says it wants inflation to cool further, it doesn't need for the measure to hit its 2% target in order to cut rates. AdvertisementFed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday silenced the growing chorus of forecasters questioning the prospect of rate cuts this year. AdvertisementPowell did clarify that inflation doesn't have to fall all the way to 2% before the central bank decides to cut rates. Experts like Torsten Slok have forecasted no rate cuts may arrive at all in 2024.

Persons: Jerome Powell, —, Powell, Torsten Slok Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, House Financial Services Committee, CPI

☆ Premarket stocks: Why it’s not all doom and gloom for commercial real estate
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-04 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

New York CNN —After decades of growth bolstered by low interest rates and easy credit, commercial real estate has hit a wall. I take that as a signal of a potential turn in the CMBS market in terms of the market sentiment. It’s not just all gloom and doom in the CRE market. Richmond Federal Reserve President Tom Barkin echoed the idea that the central bank may not cut interest rates this year. OPEC+, a coalition of the world’s top oil producing countries, had announced voluntary oil cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day in November.

Persons: Tracy Chen, Chen, that’s, Bell, Banks aren’t, CMBS, We’ve, they’ve, —, Jerome Powell, Torsten Slok, “, Tom Barkin, ” Barkin, “ I’m, Eva Rothenberg, Brent, Goldman Sachs Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, New York Community Bancorp, Brandywine, Intercontinental Exchange and Bank of America, outperformance, Fed, New York Community Bank, York Community Bank, Federal, Apollo Global Management, Richmond Federal, CNBC, OPEC, AAA Locations: New York, Japan, Switzerland, Germany, New, New York City, Richmond, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, United States

☆ The Fed is 'held hostage' by data and risks sparking financial instability, Mohamed El-Erian says
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-04 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Fed's over-dependence on data risks financial instability, Mohamed El-Erian wrote in a recent op-ed for Bloomberg. He says the central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve's strict adherence to data is sapping it of policy alternatives, economist Mohamed El-Erian wrote for Bloomberg on Friday. Many central bank officials want to see a clear disinflationary trend in the data before cutting rates. He expects the Fed to keep rates unchanged through 2024, citing that neither inflation nor the US economy is sufficiently cooling.

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian, —, Torsten Slok Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Fed

☆ Apollo Global says the Fed won't cut rates this year because inflation is moving higher again
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-01 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Some measures of inflation are trending higher, Apollo's Torsten Slok said in a note to clients. The upshot is, "the Fed will not cut rates this year and rates are going to stay higher for longer." Slok cited a host of data showing underlying measures of trend inflation moving higher or set to do so, mentioning the Fed-preferred "supercore" basket of goods and services. He also noted evidence of higher prices paid in both manufacturing and the service data as further evidence of storm clouds gathering. In this environment, Slok said the Fed will need most of the year to continue batting down inflation.

Persons: Apollo's Torsten Slok, Slok Organizations: Federal Reserve, Apollo Global Management, Deutsche Bank Locations: U.S

☆ 10 reasons the Fed won't cut rates in 2024, according to a chief economist
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-01 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Apollo chief economist Torsten Slok laid out 10 reasons the Fed won't cut rates in 2024. AdvertisementAdd Apollo chief economist Torsten Slok to the growing chorus of people skeptical the US will see a rate cut this year. "As a result, the Fed will not cut rates this year, and rates are going to stay higher for longer." Underlying inflation trends are moving higher, not coolingBLS, Cleveland Fed, Atlanta Fed, Haver Analytics, Apollo Chief Economist3. RB of Atlanta, NFIB, Haver Analytics, Apollo Chief Economist.

Persons: Torsten Slok, Slok, —, Jerome Powell Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Apollo, Cleveland Fed, Atlanta Fed, BEA, Haver, RB Locations: Atlanta, NFIB

☆ The US economy is so strong that there might not be any rate cuts in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-01 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Now, some economists think the Fed won’t cut interest rates at all this year. “The Fed will not cut rates this year and rates are going to stay higher for longer,” he added. Richmond Federal Reserve President Tom Barkin echoed the idea that the central bank may not cut interest rates this year. In some ways, the expectations of interest rate cuts by the Fed undermined their efforts to actually cut the rates. Still, about half of investors are expecting an interest rate cut at the Fed’s June meeting, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

Persons: —, that’s, Jerome Powell, Torsten Slok, “, Tom Barkin, ” Barkin, “ I’m, ” Robert Frick, ”, Powell Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Apollo Global Management, Richmond Federal, CNBC, Navy Federal Credit Union, CNN, Fed, National Federation of Independent, Investors, Financial Services, Senate Locations: New York, Richmond

☆ Premarket stocks: Revolution or market bubble? Investors weigh the AI boom
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-28 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

New York CNN —What’s the difference between a revolution and a market bubble? Thanks to strong performances in stocks and bonds in 2023, coupled with steady savings rates and employer-provided matching contributions, 401(k) investors ended 2023 very much in the black, reports my colleague Jeanne Sahadi. That’s according to new fourth-quarter data from Fidelity Investments, one of the largest providers of workplace retirement plans that cover 23 million 401(k) participants. The troubled plant-based meat company, which has partnerships with McDonald’s and KFC owner Yum! On a Tuesday call with Beyond Meat’s investors, Brown outlined a set of initiatives intended to rightsize the struggling company.

Persons: New York CNN —, ’, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, ”, Torsten Slok, Yung, Yu Ma, “, Jeanne Sahadi, Gen Xers, Fidelity, Samantha Delouya, Ethan Brown, Brown Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Nvidia, AMD, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, JPMorgan, CNBC, Apollo Global Management, Federal Reserve, BMO Wealth Management, Big, Norges Bank Investment Management, Legal, General, AFL, US Securities and Exchange Commission, Lawyers, SEC, Fidelity, Fidelity Investments, McDonald’s, KFC, Brands Locations: New York, California, “

☆ The number of home sales per real estate agent is at its lowest level in over a decade
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-16 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The number of home sales per agent has fallen to its lowest level in over a decade, Apollo's Torsten Slok said. There are also fewer real estate agents per 1,000 jobs in states like California and New York as people flock to southern states. And it's slowing things down for real estate agents. The number of home sales per agent has fallen to its lowest level in over a decade, a note from Apollo Management's Torsten Slok stated. Real estate agents per 1,000 jobs Apollo ManagementThe cost of living and even the climate have helped warp the market.

Persons: Apollo's Torsten Slok, —, Apollo Management's Torsten Slok, Sløk, There's, Still Organizations: Service, Apollo, San Locations: California, New York, Florida , Texas , Arizona, Colorado, Real, Los Angeles, San Francisco, San Jose, New York City

☆ Apollo's Torsten Slok talks the connection between low housing starts and inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailApollo's Torsten Slok talks the connection between low housing starts and inflationTorsten Slok, Apollo Global Management chief economist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk falling housing starts, the Federal Reserve and the state of inflation.

Persons: Torsten Slok Organizations: Apollo Global Management, Federal Reserve

☆ The Fed can still break markets. Here’s how
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Those gains came even as Federal Reserve officials attempted to reduce investors’ lofty expectations for a plethora of interest rate cuts this year. It is now signaling that interest rates could come this year but not until spring or summer. That means they think the Fed is keeping interest rates too high and could potentially slow down economic growth too much and risk a recession. That makes the NFL and the Super Bowl all the more valuable to advertisers trying to reach a mass market. Li-Lac Chocolates, which calls itself the oldest chocolate shop in Manhattan, told CNN that their raw chocolate prices are up 13% this February compared to a year ago.

Persons: Torsten Slok, Jerome Powell, Raphael Bostic, Olivier Darcy, Sunday’s, CNN’s John Towfighi, ”, Michele Buck Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Big Tech, Federal Reserve, Investors, Nasdaq, Federal, Apollo Global Management, National Association for Business, Atlanta Fed, CNN, Kansas City Chiefs, San Francisco 49ers, CBS, Chiefs, Philadelphia Eagles, NFL, Allegiant, NFC, Fox, AFC, Super Bowl, Companies, Hershey Co Locations: New York, There’s, Las Vegas, West Africa, North America, Manhattan

☆ Fed will only cut rates three times this year, says Apollo Global's Slok
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed will only cut rates three times this year, says Apollo Global's SlokTorsten Slok, Apollo Global Management chief economist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss whether Slok is still unconvinced about the soft-landing narrative, how many cuts will happen this year, and what the market's saying about the Fed's trajectory.

Persons: Slok Torsten Slok, Slok Organizations: Apollo Global Management

☆ These charts show how much traffic has plunged in the Suez and Panama canals — and the potential impact on inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Read previewThe number of vessels passing through the Suez Canal and Panama Canal have dropped 50% from normal levels, according to Apollo Management's top economist. AdvertisementSuez Canal slowdownAbout 12% of global trade passes through the Suez Canal, according to an estimate from the US Naval Institute. Related stories"Normally, 200 ships travel through the Suez Canal from south to north over a week, but that number has recently declined to 100," Sløk wrote. Suez Canal traffic is down 50% APThe trouble in the Suez Canal has been ratcheting up as Yemen-based Houthi rebels have been launching attacks against ships in the Red Sea, forcing some ships to take longer — and costlier — detours. And although goods inflation has been tumbling, higher shipping costs could send that back up again if they continue to follow recent trends.

Persons: —, Torsten Sløk, Sløk, Thierry Wizman Organizations: Service, Business, US Naval Institute, Apollo, Container, Shipping, Apollo Management, Macquarie Locations: Suez, Panama, Yemen, Red, Shanghai, Rotterdam, Drewry

☆ This is not a soft landing, and reaccelerating growth will bring back a more hawkish Fed, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-11 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementSo what's turning up the heat in the economy that could herald a hawkish return? "Non-cyclical components have continued to see strong growth in particular with strong post-Covid tailwinds to restaurants, hotels, and airlines," the economist explained. That pent-up demand that gushed over the economy after the pandemic wore off is still stoking consumer spending today, according to Sløk. Cyclical components of GDP growth rebounding Apollo ManagementMeanwhile, financial conditions have been easing since Silicon Valley Bank collapse in March last year.

Persons: —, Apollo, Torsten Sløk, Sløk Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Fed

☆ UK needs new plan to reverse hit to living standards, researchers say
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

People walk alongside the City of London financial district in London, Britain, October 25, 2023. REUTERS/ Susannah Ireland/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Dec 4 (Reuters) - Britain needs a new economic strategy to reverse 15 years of falling living standards and worsening inequality, a leading think tank and an academic research centre said on Monday. "There is no excuse for fatalism," Torsten Bell, chief executive of the Resolution Foundation, said. "Closing the gap with peers like Australia, France and Germany would deliver huge living standards gains, with typical households over 8,000 pounds better off." ($1 = 0.7881 pounds)Writing by William Schomberg; Editing by Daniel WallisOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Susannah Ireland, Jeremy Hunt, Keir Starmer, Torsten Bell, William Schomberg, Daniel Wallis Organizations: City, REUTERS, Foundation, London School of Economics, Centre for Economic, Labour Party, Conservative Party, Starmer's Labour, Thomson Locations: London, Britain, Australia, France, Germany, Birmingham, Manchester

☆ Benko's complex web at Signa - from Chrysler building to Berlin landmark
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

SIGNA PRIME/PROPERTY PORTFOLIOAccording to Signa, Prime is the group's largest company in its real estate division, valued at around 20.4 billion euros ($22.23 billion). Since 2019 Signa Holding has also been a co-owner of New York's iconic Chrysler Building. TRADING/RETAIL COMPANIESBenko has bundled his trading interests under the divisions Signa Retail and Signa Premium. In Switzerland, Benko's trading investments are bundled into Signa Retail Selection AG, which filed for bankruptcy protection on Wednesday. In 2018, Signa Holding bought around 24% stake in Austrian daily newspapers "Krone" and "Kurier" from Funke media group.

Persons: Lisi Niesner, Rene Benko, Ernst Tanner, Hans Peter Haselsteiner, Torsten Toeller, Arthur Eugster, SIGNA, Signa, Otto Wagner, Benko's, Klaus, Michael Kuehne, Kuehne, Hamburg's, Chirathivat, Benko, Frasers, Kaufhof, Karstadt, Galeria, Alexandra Schwarz, Goerlich, Mattias Inverardi, Victoria Farr, Emma, Rachel More, Elisa Martinuzzi, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: Signa, REUTERS, Chrysler, Bank Austria, Femina, Chrysler Building, . Central Group, Globus, Selfridges, Central Group, Funke, Thomson Locations: Berlin, Germany, New, Britain's Selfridges, Innsbruck, Swiss, Vienna, Hamburg, KaDeWe, Oberpollinger, Munich, Vienna's, Tyrol, Essen, Duesseldorf, London, Switzerland

Yet labour markets are softening, the euro zone faces recession and China's property sector is in crisis. Here's what some closely-watched market indicators say about global recession risks:1/ AMERICAN EXCEPTIONALISM? Britain's economy avoided the start of a recession in the third quarter but still failed to grow. Economists broadly expect the global economy to slow next year but avoid a recession. If supply shocks resulting from the Israel-Hamas war become severe enough to push Brent crude to $150, a level it has never breached, a "mild and fleeting" global recession could result, Oxford Economics reckons.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Guy Miller, COVID, Zurich Insurance's Miller, Torsten Slok, Austria's, David Katimbo, We've, Brent, Yoruk Bahceli, Dhara Ranasinghe, Naomi Rovnick, Alexandra Hudson Organizations: Wall, REUTERS, Zurich Insurance, Reuters, Traders, U.S . Federal Reserve, ECB, Apollo Global Management, P, Sweden's SBB, HK, Bank of England, Business insolvencies, EdenTree Investment Management, Oxford Economics reckons, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Alexandra Hudson Our, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, China, Zurich, England, Wales, Europe, Israel

☆ Expect rates sustained at the higher levels for at least another 7-8 months, says Apollo's Slok
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpect rates sustained at the higher levels for at least another 7-8 months, says Apollo's SlokTorsten Slok, Apollo Global Management chief economist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the expectations of rate cuts next year, what to make of where the consumer is going, and more.

Persons: Apollo's Slok Torsten Slok Organizations: Apollo Global Management

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