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New York CNN —More than half of gas stations in the Miami-Fort Lauderdale area were without gasoline Wednesday after flooding from last week’s massive storm caused a wave of panic buying by drivers topping off their gas tanks. “I would estimate that 80% of [station closings] are due to panic buying,” said Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis for GasBuddy, which tracks station closings and gas prices. Data from GasBuddy showed that 59% of stations in the Miami-Fort Lauderdale market were closed Wednesday, up from about 20% on Sunday. But the even better news is that with full tanks, drivers will not need to fill up in the coming days as they normally might have, and the panic buying is likely to subside. He expected most of the closed stations to be reopened by the weekend.
OPEC+ moves will send US gas prices higher
  + stars: | 2023-04-03 | by ( Chris Isidore | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
New York CNN —OPEC and its allies’ surprise move to slash oil production will soon be felt at US gas pumps. “I think OPEC is reawakening the inflation monster,” said Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA. It certainly alters the calculus for a while.”The national average for US gas prices stood at $3.51, on Monday, according to AAA. Even at $3.51, US gas prices were just below the $3.53 average on Feb. 23, 2022, the day before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. “They have ability to cut production and they seem motivated to do so,” he said.
Why prices shot up, then fellA number of factors have coincided to bring prices steadily lower since then. Now, a year after the start of the war, crude oil prices on global markets and the retail price of regular gas across most of the United States are below pre-war levels. OPIS expects the average price throughout the course of 2023 to come in around $3.45, down from $3.96 last year. Few things take a bite out of gas prices like a recession, or even just the fear of one. The average price of a gallon of regular gas hit a then-record of $4.11 in early July 2008, according to OPIS data.
Gasoline prices are now cheaper across the U.S. than they were a year ago, and the price per gallon could fall below $3 for most Americans by the end of the year. Unleaded gasoline was at a record $5.01 per gallon June 14 and stayed high through the summer and fall. Gas prices fell 15 cents per gallon in the past week and are down from $3.80 a gallon a month ago. Even with OPEC+ reaffirming a 2 million barrel a day production cut this past week, oil prices have still fallen. But for now, gasoline prices are in decline.
And a freight rail strike could cost the US economy $1 billion in its first week alone, according to a new analysis from the Anderson Economic Group. But that’s nothing compared to what would happen with a prolonged rail strike. CommutingOnly the nation’s freight rail lines face a pending strike, but commuters would likely be affected, too. Many commuter trains travel on tracks maintained and operated by the freight railroads and passenger railroads expect they’ll have to shut down their operations once the freight strike starts. Many commuter railroads also move over freight rail lines and could not operate if a strike was called.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEnergy expert Tom Kloza warns diesel prices could go haywire over the next 100 daysTom Kloza of the Oil Price Information Service offers a big warning about diesel fuel over the next few months. With CNBC's Melissa Lee and the Fast Money traders, Bonawyn Eison, Karen Finerman, Dan Nathan and Guy Adami.
OPIS' Tom Kloza breaks down the diesel supply shortage
  + stars: | 2022-10-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOPIS' Tom Kloza breaks down the diesel supply shortageCNBC's Lori Ann LaRocco and Tom Kloza, OPIS co-founder, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the diesel supply shortage as the fuel dwindles ahead of the winter season.
New York CNN Business —There is one surefire cure for high gas prices. “There is now a perceived huge downward risk tied to recession,” said Tom Kloza, chief energy analyst for OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA. And it’s not just US economic worries that’s putting downward pressure on gas prices. It doesn’t take a severe economic downturn to take a bite out of gas prices. The nine-month recession of 2001 ended with prices down 37% at the end of that year from their peak.
New York CNN Business —It’s not at all clear if President Joe Biden’s latest announcement that he’s releasing oil from the nation’s emergency stockpile will help bring gas prices down. The national average stood at $3.85 a gallon Wednesday, down 2 cents from Tuesday and 7 cents in the last week. But a number of West Coast refineries that had been offline have returned to operations, and that has sparked a plunge in gas prices west of the Rocky Mountains, driving down the national average. “As it started selling off [Tuesday], it triggered some liquidation [of oil futures].” Oil and gas prices both rebounded modestly in Wednesday trading. Correction: A previous version of this article misidentified the day of the week the national gas price average stood at $3.85 a gallon and the prior day.
More than any of his predecessors, President Joe Biden has aggressively leaned on this emergency oil stockpile to knock down the high pump prices that voters despise. That has left this emergency oil stockpile at its lowest point since June 1984 — a time when both the US economy and energy demand was significantly smaller than today. The SPR headlines are rattling an energy market already on edge over a potential recession. US oil prices dropped 3% to $82.82 on Tuesday, returning to levels last seen before rumors swirled regarding OPEC+’s controversial production cuts. They’ve done a tremendous job achieving their goal of trying to get energy prices lower,” said Michael Tran, managing director of global energy strategy at RBC Capital Markets.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOPIS co-founder Tom Kloza warns the energy crisis will be around for yearsTom Kloza, Oil Price Information Service co-founder, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the diesel fuel shortage.
$4 gas could be coming — again
  + stars: | 2022-10-10 | by ( Chris Isidore | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
New York CNN Business —Here’s the bad news first: Gas prices are on the rise in most of the US and could soon hit a national average of $4 a gallon for the first time in two months. The national average price Monday was $3.92 for a gallon of regular gas. That’s up 12 cents in just the last week and 24 cents since a 98-day price slide ended late last month. Now those refineries are starting to come back online — and the price of gas in Western states is already falling. Currently roughly 25% of the nation’s 130,000 gas stations are selling regular gas for $4 or more, up from about 15% when the slide in prices ended last month.
New York CNN Business —Even before Wednesday’s action by OPEC+ to cut oil production, US gas prices were on their way up. Gas prices rose nearly 3 cents a gallon in AAA’s daily reading Wednesday, to $3.83 a gallon, the biggest one-day hike in nearly four months. Gasoline futures are up about 20 cents a gallon since the slide in gasoline prices ended last month, pointing to possible higher prices ahead. Unfortunately, the refinery capacity squeeze “means gas prices are not going to go down like I had thought,” said veteran oil analyst Andy Lipow. The concern by the Biden administration is that rising gas prices bring renewed focus in voters’ mind.
Another major factor that had been driving gas prices lower: Growing concerns of a global recession that could hurt demand for gas. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and the sanctions that followed, that helped to spark the steep rise in oil and gas prices. Gas prices will probably remain relatively close to the current levels in the near term, said Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, which tracks gas prices nationally for AAA. Yet if gas prices begin to rise that could undermine the Biden administration and the Federal Reserve’s efforts to keep inflation in check. Falling gas prices are the sole reason America’s consumer prices have remained steady overall during the past few months after rising sharply in 2021 and the beginning part of this year.
New York (CNN Business) The US economy can keep running without freight trains — but not for long. But a rail strike could send prices shooting higher again due to limited supplies. The National Retail Federation said last week it is concerned about shortages later this year if there is a rail strike. A rail strike would "devastate the movement of manufactured products that families depend on." CommutingAlthough only the nation's freight rail lines face a pending strike, many of the nation's commuter trains travel on tracks maintained and operated by the freight railroads.
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