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Punit Paranjpe | Afp | Getty ImagesIndia can achieve sustainable economic growth of up to 8% over the medium term, according to the country's central bank governor. The figures have ratcheted up pressure on the central bank to launch its own rate-cutting cycle sooner rather than later. Shaktikanta Das, governor of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), speaks during the Global Fintech Fest 2024 in Mumbai, India, on August 28, 2024. Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesIt comes as major central banks have started to ease monetary policy in recent months, including the European Central Bank, the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank. Women (silhouetted) walk past Reserve Bank of India (RBI) logo displayed at Global Fintech Fest exhibition in Mumbai.
Persons: Punit Paranjpe, CNBC's Tanvir Gill, Shaktikanta Das, Das, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Afp, Getty, Reserve Bank of India, International Monetary Fund, Nurphoto, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Swiss National Bank, The U.S . Federal Reserve, ECB, Bank of India, Global Locations: Mumbai, India, Japan, Germany, U.S, China
Axis AMC CIO: Banking earnings to "be more muted" this year
  + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAxis AMC CIO: Banking earnings to "be more muted" this yearAshish Gupta, CIO at Axis Mutual Fund sees a pickup in Indian IPOs in response to increased demand to invest in the Indian market, but a more muted earnings picture for banks as the Reserve Bank of India looks to cut rates in 2024.
Persons: Ashish Gupta Organizations: Mutual Fund, Reserve Bank of Locations: Reserve Bank of India
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRBI Governor: Monitoring for any signs of stress in banking sectorShaktikanta Das, the Governor of the Reserve Bank of India, spoke at length about the strict regulation of the NBFC sector, highlighting the RBI's commitment to maintaining India's financial stability.
Organizations: Shaktikanta Das, Reserve Bank of India
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRBI Governor: interest rate decision will be based on the future trajectory of inflation and growthShaktikanta Das, governor of the Reserve Bank of India, joins CNBC's Tanvir Gill in an exclusive interview, discussing India's inflation outlook, as well as the RBI's interest rate considerations.
Persons: Das, Tanvir Gill Organizations: Reserve Bank of India
RBI Governor: 7.5% GDP growth for India is sustainable
  + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRBI Governor: 7.5% GDP growth for India is sustainableThe Governor of the Reserve Bank of India, Shaktikanta Das, joins CNBC's Tanvir Gill in an exclusive interview to discuss India's long-term growth trajectory.
Persons: Shaktikanta Das, Tanvir Gill Organizations: Reserve Bank of India Locations: India
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Reasonable sense' that consumption in India will rebound, economist saysKrishna Bhimavarapu, Asia-Pacific economist at State Street Global Advisors, shares his prediction on when the Reserve Bank of India will cut interest rates.
Persons: Krishna Bhimavarapu Organizations: State Street Global Advisors, Reserve Bank of Locations: India, Asia, Pacific, Reserve Bank of India
Historically, a rate cut has been a signal for central banks in emerging markets, like India, to follow by easing monetary policy in their regions. The latest data shows that the inflation rate appears to be heading in the wrong direction in India. The headline inflation rate rose in August to 3.65% compared to 3.6% in the previous month. Instead, markets have simply hit snooze on a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India for the moment. If there's no global recession, a risk-on sentiment will likely help push up emerging market equities in the medium term after the U.S. central bank cuts rates.
Persons: Shah, Mahesh Nandurkar, Surendra Goyal, CNBC's, BofA, Banks Organizations: Federal, Reserve Bank of India, Reserve Bank, Capital Economics, India, greenback, Federal Reserve, Jefferies, Bank of America, Citi, India Research, Bank Locations: India, U.S
Asia-Pacific markets have extended gains on Wednesday after producer prices in the U.S. came in lower than expected for July. In Japan, business sentiment at manufacturers turned slightly less confident in August compared with the month before, according to the Reuters Tankan survey. The Tankan survey — which tracks the Bank of Japan's quarterly survey of the same name — showed that the sentiment index for manufacturers slipped to +10 in August, while the non manufacturers index fell to +24. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is also due to announce its latest decision on its official cash rate on Wednesday. Economist expectations are varied, with a Reuters poll forecasting the central bank will maintain rates at 5.5%.
Persons: Dow, Organizations: Dow Jones, Reuters, Bank of Japan, Reserve Bank of New Locations: Ginza, Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Pacific, U.S, South Korea, China, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
A security guard stands in the main entrance to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand located in central Wellington, New Zealand, July 3, 2017. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand lowered its cash rate by 25 basis points to 5.25% on Wednesday. The move surprised economists polled by Reuters, which were expecting the central bank to hold rates unchanged at 5.5%. This is the first time the central bank has cut the official cash rate since March 2020. In its release, the RBNZ noted that consumer price inflation is returning to its target range of 1% to 3%.
Organizations: Reserve Bank of New, Reuters Locations: Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Wellington , New Zealand, New Zealand
Australia's second-quarter wages rise at slowest pace in a year
  + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Australian wages rose at their slowest pace in a year in the June quarter, falling short of expectations, while softer gains in the private sector suggest the labor market was easing. "The RBA will be somewhat relieved to see wage pressures subsiding," said Sean Langcake, head of macroeconomic forecasting for Oxford Economics Australia. "However, absent an improvement in productivity growth, the current pace of wage growth is still a little too strong for inflation to return to target quickly." The overall increase in annual wages was still just enough to take it above inflation of 3.6%, a welcome return to real pay growth after years of negative outcomes. Incomes will get an added boost from a major round of tax cuts that started in July.
Persons: Sean Langcake Organizations: Australian Bureau, Statistics, Oxford Economics Australia, Reserve Bank of Australia
Yen slips, markets brace for U.S. inflation data
  + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Last week ended calmer, with Thursday's stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data leading markets to pare bets for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year. "It's more a case of market squaring up a little bit ahead of the U.S. inflation data," said Christopher Wong, currency strategist at OCBC Bank in Singapore. The dollar was trading at 146.87 yen , up 0.2% from late U.S. levels on Friday. The Aussie was barely up at $0.6577 on Monday, while the New Zealand dollar stayed below last week's three-week high of $0.6035. Implied volatility on the yen, measured in yen options, has also subsided.
Persons: Bank of Japan's hawkishness, Jackson, Christopher Wong, J.P, Morgan Organizations: Bank of Japan's, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, OCBC Bank, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New, Bank, Japan, U.S . Commodity Futures Trading Commission Locations: U.S, Singapore, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
On Thursday, investors in Asia will assess trade data from Japan and interest rate decision from the Reserve Bank of India. Global equities and currencies plunged earlier this week after the Bank of Japan hiked interest rates to their highest levels since 2008, and the U.S. released weaker-than-expected employment numbers. Asia-Pacific markets were mostly down in choppy trading on Thursday after U.S. stock benchmarks fell overnight, while investors assessed trade data from Japan and awaited India's rate decision. "Assuming that the price stability target will be achieved in the second half of fiscal 2025, the Bank should raise the policy interest rate to the level of the neutral interest rate toward that time," the summary read. Japanese technology investor SoftBank Group said in a statement on Wednesday that it would buy back up to 500 billion yen ($3.4 billion) of its shares as part of its efforts to boost shareholder returns.
Persons: Shinichi Uchida, Lasertec, Korea's Kospi Organizations: Reuters, The Reserve Bank of, Reserve Bank of India, Global, Bank of Japan, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Nikkei, Bank, SoftBank, Semiconductor, Isuzu Motors, China's CSI, Cathay, Hong Kong's, Airbus Locations: The Reserve Bank of India, Asia, Japan, U.S, Pacific, Hong, Cathay Pacific
Japan stocks rebounded sharply on Tuesday after the Nikkei 225 and the Topix dropped over 12% in the previous session. The Bank of Japan raising rates to their highest level since 2008 on July 30 caused the yen to strengthen to a seven-month high, pressurizing stocks. Markets globally were also spooked by fears of a U.S. recession stoked by a weaker-than-expected jobs report. Real wages in Japan also grew 1.1% in June compared with a year ago, the first time that wages have risen in 26 months. Strong wage growth offers more room for the Bank of Japan to tighten its monetary policy.
Persons: Topix, Korea’s Kospi, Hong, Australia’s, Brent, Dow Organizations: Nikkei, Bank of, Softbank Group Corp, U.S ., South Korean, Samsung Electronics, chipmaker SK Hynix, China’s CSI, . West Texas, Bank of Japan, Reserve Bank of Australia, Dow, Nasdaq Locations: Japan, Asia, Pacific, Bank of Japan, U.S
RBA commentary 'more balanced out this time,' strategist says
  + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRBA commentary 'more balanced out this time,' strategist saysShane Oliver, head of investment strategy and chief economist at AMP, discusses the Reserve Bank of Australia's decision to keep interest rates on hold.
Persons: Shane Oliver Organizations: AMP, Reserve Bank
Japan’s markets led losses in the region as the Nikkei 225 and Topix dropped as much as 7% in volatile trading. At these levels, both the Nikkei and Topix are nearing bear market territory, having fallen almost 20% from their all-time highs on July 11. Monday’s decline follows Friday’s rout when Japan’s Nikkei 225 and Topix fell more than 5% and 6%, respectively. The broader Topix marked its worst day in eight years, while the Nikkei marked its worst day since March 2020. The Nasdaq was the first of the three major benchmarks to enter correction territory, down more than 10% from its record high.
Persons: Topix, , Australia’s, Kospi Organizations: Nikkei, Mitsubishi, Mitsui, Co, Sumitomo, Topix, Reserve Bank of Australia, Reuters, CSI, Nasdaq, Dow, Dow Jones Locations: Asia, Pacific, China, Taiwan, Australia, India, U.S
Japan's markets led losses in the region as the Nikkei 225 and Topix dropped as much as 7% in volatile trading. At these levels, both the Nikkei and Topix are nearing bear market territory, having fallen almost 20% from their all-time highs on July 11. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart iconMonday's decline follows Friday's rout when Japan's Nikkei 225 and Topix fell more than 5% and 6%, respectively. The broader Topix marked its worst day in eight years, while the Nikkei marked its worst day since March 2020. The Reserve Bank of Australia kicks off its two-day monetary policy meeting Monday.
Persons: Topix, Australia's, Kospi Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Nikkei, Mitsubishi, Mitsui, Co, Sumitomo, Topix, P, Reserve Bank of Australia, Reuters Locations: Shibuya, Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Pacific, China, Taiwan, Australia, India, Hong Kong
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda delivers a speech at the start of issuance of new yen banknotes at the Bank of Japan headquarters in Tokyo on July 3, 2024. Asia-Pacific markets were mixed on Wednesday as investors awaited the Bank of Japan's rate decision and China's business activity data. Economists polled by Reuters expecting the bank to raise rates to 0.1%, though other analysts are expecting a larger hike. The BOJ's benchmark interest rate currently is in a range of 0% to 0.1%. Should the bank raise rates, this will mark the first time since 2010 that its benchmark interest rate stands firmly at 0.1% or higher.
Persons: Kazuo Ueda Organizations: Japan, Bank of Japan, Bank of, Reuters, Reserve Bank Locations: Tokyo, Asia, Pacific
Despite its progressive intentions, the tax failed to raise sufficient revenue for the monarch, as people boarded up their windows to lower their tax liability. Window tax was a property tax based on the number of windows in a house. In addition, the minister also lifted capital gains for stock market investors who cash in within a year from 15% to 20%. While the tax raises more than £3 billion ($3.9 billion) annually, it has given birth to far riskier forms of speculation while simultaneously hurting the stock market. However, given the lofty valuations that Indian stock markets currently trade, the tax to skim the excesses might be a positive development over the longer term.
Persons: Nirmala Sitharaman, Ajay Aggarwal, King William III of, Mike Kemp, Upasana Chachra, Morgan Stanley, Siddhartha Khemka, Motilal Oswal, Michael Langham, Abrdn, it's, JPMorgan's Jahangir Aziz, Aziz, Raghuram Rajan, Suman Bery, Bery Organizations: Union Finance, Budget Press Conference, National Media Centre, Hindustan Times, Getty Images, Getty, Budget, Motilal, Institute for Fiscal Studies, Reuters, CNBC, Health, Reserve Bank of India Locations: DELHI, INDIA, New Delhi, India, Mayfair, London, United Kingdom, England, Britain, Kerala, Malaysia, Nipah
Tim Graham | Getty ImagesIndia "clearly has a problem" figuring out new drivers for its economic growth even as its economy expands at a fast pace, JPMorgan's Jahangir Aziz said, following the country's union budget. "If you look at India over the last two years post the pandemic, recorded growth has been strong. But if you look at the drivers of growth, it's essentially these two: Public infrastructure and services export," Aziz, chief emerging markets economist at JPM, told CNBC's "Street Signs Asia" on Tuesday. According to estimates by the Ministry of Commerce and Industry, India's services exports will likely hit $30.3 billion in June, compared with $27.8 billion in the same month last year. According to the International Monetary Fund's latest World Economic Outlook, the country's growth is predicted to decline to 6.5% in 2025.
Persons: Tim Graham, JPMorgan's Jahangir Aziz, Aziz, CNBC's, V Anantha Nageswaran, Raghuram Rajan Organizations: Getty, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, Services, Reserve Bank, India's, International Monetary, University of Chicago Booth School, Reserve Bank of India Locations: Tardeo South Mumbai, India
New Delhi, India – February 01: Finance minister, Nirmala Sitharaman, outside Finance Ministry on the Budget Day, with other members of Finance Ministry in New Delhi on February 01, 2024. (Photo by Hardik Chhabra/ The India Today Group via Getty Images)This report is from this week's CNBC's "Inside India" newsletter which brings you timely, insightful news and market commentary on the emerging powerhouse and the big businesses behind its meteoric rise. There are high expectations for a "populist" budget since the recent general election results delivered a slimmer than expected win for Modi. The demands from the various members of the fragile alliance could mean the government opens the taps on welfare spending. Bank of America analysts, who are also open to the idea that the deficit may fall, believe it is "refreshing" to see a finance minister "under-promise, over-deliver."
Persons: Nirmala Sitharaman, Hardik Chhabra, Narendra Modi's, Premal Kamdar, Modi, Goldman Sachs, Santanu Sengupta, Sengupta, It's, Goldman, Staples, Adity Suresh, Aastha Gudwani Organizations: Finance, Finance Ministry, India Today, Getty, BJP, Modi, UBS Wealth Management, Bank of America, Reserve Bank of India, UBS, Kamdar, Columbia India Consumer ETF, Hindustan Unilever, Unilever, " Bank of America's, Central Public Sector Enterprises Locations: Delhi, India, New Delhi, Bihar, Hindustan, " Bank of America's India
Yen jumps on suspected intervention, sterling hits one-year high
  + stars: | 2024-07-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The yen rose sharply on Wednesday in what traders suspected was likely the result of yet another intervention from Japanese authorities to prop up the battered currency from multidecade lows. The euro was last down 0.8% at 171.15 yen, while sterling fell 0.76% to 203.75 yen. Combined with the estimated amount spent a day earlier, Japan is suspected to have bought nearly 6 trillion yen via intervention last week. That sent traders paring back bets of a rate cut from the Bank of England in August, providing a small boost to sterling , which was last up 0.43% to $1.3029. But the more important data is the inflation data, and that's telling the market that the Fed is in a position to cut fairly soon."
Persons: Geoff Yu, Masato Kanda, Michael Brown, Kyle Rodda Organizations: Mellon, Kyodo, Bank of Japan, Bank of England, Monetary, MPC, Tuesday's, Federal Reserve, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Locations: London, Tokyo, Japan, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Dollar adrift ahead of U.S. inflation test; sterling firms
  + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar fell a touch on Thursday although moves were largely subdued ahead of a U.S. inflation report due later in the day, while sterling firmed on receding expectations for an August rate cut from the Bank of England (BoE). The dollar fell a touch on Thursday although moves were largely subdued ahead of a U.S. inflation report due later in the day, while sterling firmed on receding expectations for an August rate cut from the Bank of England. BoE Chief Economist Huw Pill on Wednesday said price pressures in Britain's economy were persistent and that the timing of a first rate cut was an "open question". His colleague Catherine Mann signalled she is unlikely to vote for an interest rate cut in August. Against the greenback, the euro gained 0.04% to $1.0834, and the Aussie dollar rose 0.01% to $0.6754.
Persons: BoE, Huw Pill, Catherine Mann, Carol Kong, Jerome Powell Organizations: Bank of England, Monetary, ANZ, MPC, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Federal Reserve, U.S, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New, Bank of Japan Locations: U.S, Asia, Japan
The New Zealand dollar edged higher ahead of the central bank's rate decision, with traders on alert for any signals on the timing for policy easing. In the first day of his testimony to Congress overnight, Powell said a rate cut is not appropriate until the Fed gains "greater confidence" inflation is headed toward the 2% inflation target. Traders lay about 73% odds for a rate cut by September, slipping from 76% a day earlier. New Zealand's kiwi added 0.1% to $0.6131, but staying mostly flat this week after pulling back sharply from Monday's three-week high of $0.6171. "If they do, financial markets could fully price the first RBNZ rate cut in October, from November at present," spurring a retreat in the kiwi to NZ$1.1031 per Aussie dollar, she added.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Taylor Nugent, Kristina Clifton Organizations: Federal, New Zealand, Fed, Traders, National Australia Bank, Reserve Bank of New, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Aussie, NZ Locations: Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Big change in language' from the RBNZ signals dovish tilt, economist saysPhilip O'Donaghoe of Deutsche Bank discusses the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's decision to hold its cash rate.
Persons: Philip O'Donaghoe Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Reserve Bank of New
Add to that the noise surrounding the US election, and it could be a rougher second half. Central Banks in Canada and the eurozone have both cut interest rates, but inflation rose in both of those regions last month. Australia, meanwhile, saw its inflation rate rise to 4% this week, stoking fears that the Reserve Bank of Australia could soon move to raise rates again. It was already well known that no documentation was found to show who worked on the door plug. Without the bolts, the door plug incident was pretty much inevitable.
Persons: London CNN —, they’ve, Michelle Bowman, she’s, Mary Daly, Austan Goolsbee, stoking, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, , José Torres, Torres, wouldn’t, Joseph Stiglitz, Trump, Trump’s, Max, , Al Michaels, Michaels, Peacock, ” Michaels, , CNN Michaels, Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, London CNN, Federal Reserve, foibles, San Francisco Fed, Chicago Fed, Central Banks, Reserve Bank of Australia, Interactive Brokers, Treasury, Trump, Peterson Institute, Oxford Economics, Allianz, CNN, Boeing, Alaska, Alaska Airlines, National Transportation Safety Board, Alaska Air, NBC, Summer Games, Olympics Locations: London, Canada, Australia, Renton , Washington, Paris,
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