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A recent mean reversion trade I shared on Alibaba demonstrated this well when I pointed out that Chinese stocks were due for a pullback. Today, I'm looking at a potential mean reversion trade on JPMorgan (JPM) . I cover many of these setups in my book Mean Reversion Trading . For instance, with JPM trading around $220, I'd set up the trade by purchasing a 225 strike put and simultaneously selling a 220 strike put. -Nishant Pant Founder: https://tradingextremes.com Author: Mean Reversion Trading Youtube, Twitter: @TheMeanTrader DISCLOSURES: (Nishant currently holds a JPM 225-220 put spread expiring on 11/22.)
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Alibaba, I've, I'm, I'd, Nishant Pant Organizations: JPMorgan Chase, JPMorgan, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Wells Fargo, BlackRock
—Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.
Persons: Katie Stockton Organizations: Mattel, Hasbro, DeMark, MAT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities
Autonomous driving is at a pivotal juncture, with several companies vying for leadership in a sector that promises to revolutionize transportation. While Tesla (TSLA) has dominated the autonomous vehicle headlines with its Full Self-Driving (FSD) system, it may not be the best autonomous driving investment. Waymo: A leader in the autonomous race Waymo, a subsidiary of Alphabet , has long been a frontrunner in the autonomous driving sector. Tesla's FSD software relies primarily on optical cameras, supported by advanced AI algorithms to interpret the road environment. The value autonomous driving adds to stock Currently, Alphabet, GM, and Tesla are not generating meaningful revenue from autonomous driving or robotics technology.
Persons: GM's, Google's Waymo, Waymo, Tesla's, Cruise, Mary Barra, Elon Musk, Tesla, AVs, GM's supercruise, TSLA, Price, Mary Barra's Organizations: General Motors, PACE, Hyundai, Federal Motor Vehicle Safety, Cruise, Cruise's, National, Traffic Safety Administration, Ford, Elon, GM's, Tesla, GM, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Phoenix, Los Angeles, AVs
SAVANNAH, Ga. — David Shockley doesn’t understand his son Darius’ political ideology. “It makes no sense,” said David, who is Black and plans to vote for former President Donald Trump for a second time. The latest NBC News Stay Tuned Gen Z poll, powered by SurveyMonkey, found that more than half of Gen Z respondents ages 18 to 29 say they have different political views than at least one of their parents. Both David and Darius — two Black men in a battleground state — are emblematic of a voter base that Democrats and Republicans see as integral to success. “Despite the chasm between the political views, we still come together on our—” said David as he searched for the right word.
Persons: — David Shockley doesn’t, Darius ’, Shockley, , David, Donald Trump, , Gen, Gen Zers, Harris, it’s, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, doesn’t, Darius, Kamala Harris, Obama, , Trump, Ben Waterhouse, Zs, Margaret Talev, ” Daniel Potter, ” Darius, ” David, Will, Darius —, Matt Barnes, Stephen Jackson, It’s Organizations: NBC, Trump, NBC News, Harris, University of North, Syracuse University’s Institute for Democracy, Washington , D.C, Kinder Institute, Urban Research’s, Population Research, , Georgia Southern University Locations: SAVANNAH, Ga, Savannah, America, University of North Carolina, U.S, Washington ,, Atlanta, Bronx , New York
Given the uncertainty surrounding the election next week and some mixed mega-cap technology earnings this week, I want to book some 2024 chip stock profits. I want to hedge my exposure by owning put options in the high-flying VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) . SMH YTD mountain VanEck Semiconductor ETF, YTD Risk can happen fast. Nonetheless, I'm looking to hedge given the big gains this year for the market and tech. This is downside risk mitigation and in the event this trade doesn't pay off, the Big tech exposure I have in my portfolio will continue to create 2024 gains.
Persons: SMH Organizations: VanEck Semiconductor, Semiconductor, Nasdaq, Boeing, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Exxon Mobil (XOM) is a range-bound stock judged that is fully rested and in a position to come to life in the weeks or months ahead. By our work, XOM is now in position to reassert itself to the upside. The current dividend yield is 3.39% vs the 1.29% yield for the S & P 500 Index. THIS CONTENT IS PROVIDED FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSITUTE FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX OR LEGAL ADVICE OR A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY ANY SECURITY OR OTHER FINANCIAL ASSET. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: XOM, Carter Braxton Worth Organizations: Exxon Mobil, Exxon, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
With the Magnificent 7 stocks floundering this week, and about 30% of the S & P 500 members breaking below their 50-day moving average in October, where can investors find emerging strength? The structure of the daily chart remains positive as long as Visa remains above the $290 price point, which now serves as potential support. The weekly RSI has remained above 40 during pullbacks in October 2023 and June 2024, demonstrating that the overall momentum picture remains bullish on the long-term time frame. Similar to the buy signal in November 2023, we see this as a sign of renewed bullish sentiment for Visa. And as long as Visa remains above moving average support, this payment processor could be headed to much further gains into early 2025.
Persons: David Keller Organizations: Visa, RSI, pullbacks, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
By contrast, Vice President Kamala Harris's tax plan is expected to increase tax revenues by $1.7 trillion over 10 years, but at a cost of negative 2% to long-run GDP and 786,000 jobs. The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania estimates that, including her spending proposals, the primary deficits would increase by $1.2 trillion, and accounting for adverse economic feedback effects, primary deficits increase to $2 trillion. Higher deficits and higher debts, just with different paths to get there. One candidate proposes cutting taxes to improve economic activity but increase deficits, and the other proposes raising taxes and increasing spending by even more and growing deficits. If the deficit keeps increasing faster than our economy grows, so will the debt, inflation, and interest rates.
Persons: We'll, Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris's, Harris, Kamala Harris, Bernie Sanders, Treasuries Organizations: Tax Foundation, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Medicare, Green New Deal, TLT, Treasury Bond ETF, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: United States, Europe
In fact, the state polls are showing not just an astonishingly tight race, but also an improbably tight race. Imagine if pollsters in this world conducted 100 identical surveys of 863 randomly selected voters (that’s the average sample size of this year’s swing state polls). Actual swing state polls show far less variation than the benchmarks we would expect in a perfect polling world. Visualizing how the reported polling margins compare to what we would expect in a perfect polling world strongly suggests “herding” of swing state polling margins around the statewide polling averages. The pattern is especially pronounced in Pennsylvania, where a huge share of the public polls have showed a tied race.
Persons: there’s, shouldn’t, Harris, Josh Clinton, pollsters, pollster Organizations: Trump, NBC, Pennsylvania Locations: Pennsylvania, Arizona , Michigan, Wisconsin
With bitcoin approaching a major breakout attempt and new all-time highs, it continues to attract all of the attention and rightly so. While it may seem like ether has been out of favor for a considerable length of time, it's not anything different than we've seen before over the years. Overall, there have been five relative phases – with the other two being the times when ETH outperformed BTC. But we've seen it before. Every time is different, but we've now seen bitcoin and ETH leverage technical patterns for nearly a decade now.
Persons: we've, they've, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: ETH, BTC, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: ETH
LULU has demonstrated resilience, driven by strong financial controls, international expansion, and continued product innovation. With strong growth, LULU has positioned itself as a market leader, capturing increasing market share in North America while expanding into high-growth areas like APAC and EMEA. LULU has shed over 50% of its value earlier this year and just recently completed a bottoming formation below $270. THIS CONTENT IS PROVIDED FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSITUTE FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX OR LEGAL ADVICE OR A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY ANY SECURITY OR OTHER FINANCIAL ASSET. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Lululemon Athletica, LULU Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: North America, OptionsPlay
There is uncertainty abound about the future direction of the stock market heading into what many say is the most important presidential election of our lifetimes. In the elevated volatility levels that began in late September heading into the election. The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX in black) trades with an inverse relationship to the S & P 500. As the S & P 500 goes lower, people become fearful as they buy put option protection pushing the general level of option prices (both puts and calls) higher. This creates the inverse relationship of VIX and S & P 500.
Persons: NVDA, we'll, we're, Todd Gordon, Gordon, Schwab Organizations: Nvidia, Google, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: NVDA
Two weeks ago, I had covered a trade on Alibaba using a very popular indicator called the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence). Note that a bearish crossover is happening again for ACN indicating a loss in upward momentum. With a bearish outlook on ACN, I’m utilizing a strategy known as a "bear put spread" to potentially profit from a pullback. The trade This involves purchasing a put option with a higher strike price and simultaneously selling a put option with a slightly lower strike, creating a net debit position. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: it's, Nishant Pant Organizations: Accenture, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Beauty and Estée Lauder are well-known companies in the beauty and cosmetics industry. Their customers generally have higher disposable incomes, as Estée Lauder is a luxury brand emphasizing premium, high-quality ingredients. Estée Lauder combines a traditional retail model with a growing e-commerce presence. Estee Lauder has fallen roughly 45% over the past seven months. ELF EL YTD mountain Estee Lauder vs. elf Beauty, YTD e.l.f.
Persons: Estée Lauder, Gen X, Nordstrom, Estee Lauder, Trump Organizations: Target, Walmart, Presidential, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S, North America, United States, Asia, Europe, Americas, China, Estee
—Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.
Persons: Jack, JACK, Katie Stockton Organizations: McDonald's Corp, Brands Inc, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities
Viking Therapeutics (VKTX) ... the eight-month standoff is at an end. After surging to $100 in mid February, Viking Therapeutics, has slumped some 40% in the ensuing eight months, and just now is coming to life. Two identical charts below: Converging trendlines... otherwise known as a symmetrical triangle chart pattern, depict the standoff of the past 8 months. A well-defined series of lower highs and lower lows, as the stock works into the apex of the formation. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Carter Worth, Carter Braxton Worth Organizations: Viking Therapeutics, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Tesla (TSLA) surged more than 20% post earnings as CEO Elon Musk delivered an encouraging forecast and revealed surging sales in his electric vehicle company. This short-covering created a significant increase in volatility making option premiums increase lock-in-step. Volatility is a known characteristic for Tesla as the stock has a beta of 2.29, more than double that of the S & P 500. And Tesla earnings have historically created volatility in the stock. DISCLOSURES: (Long Tesla, sold this put spread, also short TSLA o-t-m calls and put options.)
Persons: Tesla, Elon Musk, Kilburg, YTD Musk Organizations: Shareholders, EV, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: TSLA, Tesla
And among young voters who say they will vote in the presidential election in November, Harris leads 56%-36%, a 20-point advantage. Young women said they’ll vote for Harris over Trump by a 33-point margin. The gender differences splashed across the issues young voters say are most important to their vote. Roughly a third of young voters said they’ll pay attention to endorsements by political leaders (38%) and organizations to which they belong (31%). One-third of young voters have a positive view of Trump’s VP pick, JD Vance, and 45% have a negative view of him.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, that’s, Joe Biden, Taylor Swift, Elon Musk, Elon, Swift, Tim Walz, JD Vance, Walz, Vance Organizations: NBC, Trump, Democratic National Convention, SurveyMonkey, American, Survey
Pairs trading is a market-neutral trading strategy that involves simultaneously buying one asset, such as a stock, and selling another related asset. We will review a pairs trade candidate and how to execute it with options. The idea with pairs trading is that, from time to time or over time, there may be a divergence or spread in their prices. Alternatively, another form of pairs trading takes a longer-term and more fundamental perspective. Nike vs. Lululemon Well-known athletic apparel companies Nike (NKE) and Lululemon Athletica (LULU) aren't direct competitors.
Persons: Jim Simons, shorting, Lululemon Athletica, LULU, aren't, Michael Jordan, Tiger Woods, Serena Williams, Lulu, DK Metcalf, Jordan Clarkson, Leylah Fernandez, Lululemon, Lulu hedged Organizations: Ford, General Motors, Technologies, Nike, Seattle Seahawks, NBA, LULU, Lululemon, mojo, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Lulu
We can see the cup-with-handle pattern developing on the daily chart, consisting of a six-month rounded bottoming pattern followed by a brief pullback in the month of October. The key to a cup with handle pattern is the "rim" of the cup, which is essentially a trendline connecting the highs during the price pattern. Other indicators on the chart seem to suggest that an impending breakout is likely, especially the RSI which has been in a bullish range since July of this year. Similar to the daily chart, we can see the weekly RSI has been in a bullish range for the last five years. This continued bullish momentum range suggests a bullish secular trend, reinforcing the upside potential represented on the daily chart.
Persons: I'm, I've, David Keller Organizations: Kroger Co, Kroger, RSI, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
The world’s best bars for 2024 announced
  + stars: | 2024-10-23 | by ( Lilit Marcus | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
CNN —A two-level speakeasy in Mexico City’s hip Colonia Juarez neighborhood has been proclaimed the world’s best bar. Handshake Speakeasy clinched the title last night in Madrid, where a splashy awards ceremony was held by the World’s 50 Best association. The World’s 50 Best voters are a mix of industry professionals, including bartenders and food and drink writers. Named after a classic Japanese hairstyle, it was ranked the Best Bar in the Middle East and Africa this year. I also know it’s impossible to have everyone deserving of a place, mentioned on this list, so just keep doing the great things you are doing!”The world’s 50 best bars for 2024
Persons: Speakeasy, Hong Kong’s, , Barcelona’s, Singapore’s, Mimi Kakushi, Iain McPherson, Edinburgh’s, . McPherson, “ Congrats Organizations: CNN, El, Pony, Travelers, Mexico City, ., Scotland Locations: Mexico, Colonia Juarez, Madrid, Hong Kong’s Italian, Asia, London, Athens, Tokyo, Sydney, Lima, Shinjuku, Singapore, Rosewood, Connaught, Mayfair, Dubai, East, Africa, New York City, Buenos Aires
As industries increasingly rely on real-time AI models, Akamai's infrastructure offers both speed and enhanced security by processing data closer to users. This technological edge, combined with the company's attractive valuation, offers substantial upside potential, with recent market activity reflecting growing investor interest in its AI-driven growth opportunities. AKAM has formed a classic bottoming pattern over the past few months and is now breaking above a major resistance level at $102.50. AI models distributed on Akamai's extensive edge computing network provide significant upside potential, especially as demand for low-latency AI solutions increases across various industries. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: AKAM, Zhang Organizations: Akamai Technologies, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: AKAM
In fact, the period just before and just after a stock reports is a perfect time to review the relevant patterns and levels. We're going to do just that today for Netflix (NFLX) , Meta (META) and Alphabet (GOOGL) , the biggest components of the S & P 500's communication services sector. Alphabet bullish pattern Alphabet reports earnings next week on Tuesday. Meta's key area Lastly, but certainly not least, Meta reports next Wednesday. Like NFLX and GOOGL, it's done a good job extending from upside gaps and filling downside gaps in 2024 in between earnings reports.
Persons: NFLX, that's, Meta, it's, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: Netflix, Meta, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: NFLX
As a key benchmark for long-term interest rates, including 30-year fixed mortgage rates, this rise in yields is exerting negative pressure on the real estate sector. With this in mind, I'm looking to capitalize on the continued pressure on real estate as long as yields keep climbing. Below is a 6-month daily chart of the iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR) , which tracks the performance of U.S. real estate-related equities. The options chain for Nov. 8 shows that there is a 68% chance that the $102 call will expire worthless by expiration date. The trade Given the bearish outlook, I'm utilizing a bear call spread, also known as a call credit spread.
Persons: Nishant Pant Organizations: Treasury, Real, IYR, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S
The stock is consolidating just below all-time highs and if Netflix's move after earnings is any indication, I think SPOT should punch through to new all-time highs. We're currently trading at $386, just below the all-time highs of $387 set back in 2021. The earnings trajectory for this company has been insane: 2022 EPS ($3.09) 2023 EPS ($2.95) 2024 EPS +$6.37 2025 EPS +$9.06 (est.) Netflix beat expectations and broke to new all-time highs led by new subs, 50% of which are coming from an ad tier. Meta is also in the communication sector sitting close to new all-time highs like NFLX, so the trend for this group remains firmly higher.
Persons: Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Spotify, Apple, Sirius XM, Tactical Alpha, Netflix, Meta, Facebook, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
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