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However, the post-election environment is hitting different this time around for many small business owners, such as Barrel-Art’s Michael Prieto, and leaving them wondering what comes next. For business owners who already were unsettled about the economy or its direction prior to the election, navigating the months and years ahead could be even more precarious, he added. Running leaner, hoping for cheaper moneyIn the months leading up to the election, Prieto was taking a wait-and-see approach. Michael Prieto, owner of Barrel-Art, in his shop in Newport News, VA, on November 13. Michael M. Santiago/Getty ImagesSmall business owners, by their nature, are optimistic, he said.
Persons: Michael Prieto, Donald Trump, John Arensmeyer, they’ve, ” Arensmeyer, , , Art’s Prieto, Prieto, America ”, “ It’s, he’d, We’ve, Arensmeyer, Michael M, I’ve, Clifton Broumand, Janna Rodriguez, Rodriguez, she’d, can’t, JD Opel, he’s, ” Opel, ” JD Opel, — Opel, “ I’ve, Trump, Jeff Wood’s, ” Wood, we’ve, it’s, Marc Marcuse, Marcuse Organizations: CNN, Small, Economic, Shipping, Port, Getty, Machine, Corp, Opel, Reel Management, Management’s, Republican, White Locations: America, Newport News, Newark, New Jersey, China, Maryland, Freeport , New York, Evansville , Indiana, Jeff Wood’s Coldwater, Florida , Georgia, Utah, Pennsylvania, Los Angeles, Florida
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed's Powell: It will take time for the labor market to stabilizeFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks to business leaders in the Dallas-Fort Worth area on monetary policy. Powell delivered a speech followed by a Q&A session.
Persons: Fed's Powell, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Federal Locations: Dallas, Fort Worth
Wholesale prices nudged higher in October, though largely in line with expectations and mostly consistent with the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates again in December, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Thursday. On a 12-month basis, headline wholesale inflation was at 2.4%. Excluding food and energy, core PPI rose 0.3%, also one-tenth more than September and also matching expectations. Services rose 0.3% on the month, accounting for most of the PPI increase, and was driven largely by a 3.6% surge in portfolio management prices. Goods prices nudged higher by 0.1% after falling the previous two months.
Persons: Dow Organizations: Federal Reserve, of Labor Statistics, PPI, Traders, Labor Department
Powell noted that the unemployment rate has been rising but has flattened out in recent months and remains low by historical standards. Specifically, he said the labor market is holding up well despite disappointing job growth in October largely that he attributed to storm damage in the Southeast and labor strikes. "The economy is not sending any signals that we need to be in a hurry to lower rates," Powell said in remarks for a speech to business leaders in Dallas. Powell added that the calculus of getting the move to neutral rate will be tricky. The Fed also has been allowing proceeds from its bond holdings to roll off its mammoth balance sheet each month.
Persons: Powell, Nonfarm, Jerome Powell Organizations: Traders, Federal, Committee Locations: Dallas
CNN —President-elect Donald Trump and Elon Musk have big ambitions for making the federal government leaner and more efficient by reviewing its budget and operations from top to bottom. Details about how the new Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE, will operate – and how Musk and his co-leader Vivek Ramaswamy will avoid conflicts of interest – remain scarce. Musk also took aim at the Department of Education, a frequent target of Trump and Republicans, criticizing the agency for allegedly indoctrinating kids with left-wing propaganda and other failings. Slashing that much from the federal budget – which totaled roughly $6.8 trillion in fiscal 2024 – would require cutting every program by roughly one-third, said Bobby Kogan, senior director of federal budget policy at the left-leaning Center for American Progress. “Trump’s ‘Department of Government Efficiency’ will not be an actual department.
Persons: Donald Trump, Elon Musk, Vivek Ramaswamy, Trump, ” Musk, Ramaswamy, Musk, , , ” Ramaswamy, Stephen Moore, Elon, Vivek, Moore, Larry Summers, Clinton, Glenn Hubbard, George W, Bush, Bobby Kogan, ” Kogan, Brian Riedl, Riedl, GOP Sen, Rob Portman, Sharon Parrott, Ronald Reagan, Reagan, William Hoagland, Peter G, Peterson, , Jon Greenbaum, ’ that’s, Harry Sandick Organizations: CNN, Elon, Department of Government, Trump, Republican, White House, SpaceX, Department of Education, of Defense, Veterans Affairs and Homeland Security, Education Department, Labor Department, FBI, Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Heritage Foundation, US, of Economic, American, Security, Social Security, Manhattan Institute, GOP, ‘ Department, Government, White, White House & Congress, Congressional Republicans, Children’s Health Insurance, Affordable, Budget, Republicans, Grace, Center, Elon Musk, Federal Advisory Committee, Democratic Locations: Rob Portman of Ohio
Homebuilders and economists have said a deeper labor shortage could cause housing costs to spike. The issue is the construction labor force, whose 500,000-worker shortage is already making conditions more challenging. Related Video Musk visits border, calls for Trump-style wallForeign-born workers make up about a quarter of the construction workforce. They argue that the surge in home costs is largely a result of the nationwide housing shortage, and immigrants are a key part of building housing. AdvertisementDuring the pandemic, many older, experienced workers retired, and the pipeline of younger US-born workers isn't sufficient, homebuilders say.
Persons: Homebuilding execs, Donald Trump's, , Eric Finnigan, John Burns, Ben Metcalf, Jim Tobin, JD Vance, Trump, Vance, Barack Obama, Obama, Joe Biden, Tom Homan, Chad Blocker, Homebuilders, Dennis Webb Organizations: Service, Trump, University of California, National Association of Home Builders, Immigration, Biden Locations: Berkeley, Los Angeles, Phoenix
Then, less than six hours after giving birth, O’Neil was wheeled through the labor and delivery unit to go home. Racial disparities persist, she added; for Black people, the preterm birth rate is 1.5 times higher than the rate among all other babies. Many of the regions with high preterm birth rates are maternity care deserts, Williams said. The US cities with high preterm birth rates also are “areas where there are many chronic conditions and patients living with a greater number of things like hypertension, diabetes, obesity – those are all drivers of preterm birth as well,” Williams said. “Every pregnant woman who lives in a maternal health care desert should be provided with access to a health care app that is monitored by remote providers.
Persons: CNN —, , Ashley O’Neil, O’Neil, Jorge, , , Vinson, ” O’Neil, , Amanda Williams, Williams, ” Williams, Gilbert, ‘ We’re, Lori Tremmel Freeman, prematurity, We’re, ” Freeman, Amanda Shafton, ” Shafton, Telehealth, ’ O’Neil, Kolin, Ashley ONeil, I’ll, ’ ” Kolin, don’t, O’Neil’s, Dr, Sanjay Gupta Organizations: CNN, US Centers for Disease Control, Dimes, United, Detroit, Cleveland, Affordable, Medicaid, National Association of County, City Health, Hospitalist, , OB, CNN Health Locations: Maryland, , United States, Mobile , Alabama, Ramapo , New York, Irvine , California, Gilbert , Arizona, NICU, Kolin
Miller was a powerful White House aide in Trump’s first term, authoring much of his most fiery scripted rhetoric as a speechwriter. Yet despite these draconian visions, there’s uncertainty about how far Trump will go in his deportation program and whether it matches his dystopian speeches. Many Democrats and Republicans could agree on Trump’s vow to start by deporting criminal undocumented migrants — the easiest part of his plan. Trump’s critics and vulnerable undocumented migrants, however, will find little in the president-elect’s new staff picks to offer them comfort. In every incoming presidential administration, staffing is important and provides ideological clues to how a White House will act.
Persons: Donald Trump, he’s, Elon Musk, Stephen Miller, he’d, Tom Homan, Trump, Marco Rubio, CNN’s Kaitlan Collins, Rubio, Donald J, ” Rubio’s, Elise Stefanik, Mike Waltz, ” Rubio, Lee Zeldin, Zeldin, , don’t, James Comey, Susie Wiles, Homan, Miller, George W, Waltz, Donald Rumsfeld, Robert Gates . Homan, Alyssa Farah Griffin, ” Griffin, CNN’s Erin Burnett, Trump’s, there’s, , , ” Miller, Trump . Chad Wolf, ” Wolf, CNN’s Jake Tapper, Biden, Vladimir Putin, Volodymyr Zelensky’s Organizations: CNN, it’s, White, Fox News, Democratic, Republican, Republican National Convention, The New York Times, GOP, United Nations, New York, Florida, New York Rep, Environmental Protection Agency, FBI, Senate Foreign Relations, Intelligence, Harvard, Bush, Wing, Customs, Army, Trump White House, CBS, Trump, Conservative Political, Conference, Trump ., Hamas, Democratic Party, Biden Locations: Washington, Lago, Trump’s, Madison, Florida, America, China, Zeldin, Afghanistan, East, Africa, Ukraine, Gaza, Israel, Europe
Now, with many celebrating the apparent defeat of inflation, Summers is delivering another warning to Washington. Summers, the famed economist and former Treasury secretary, cautioned Tuesday that the inflation genie may not be back in the bottle. “My own judgement is that the Fed and markets are still underestimating the overheating risk,” Summers said during a conversation hosted by the New York Economic Club. “I am fearful that the Fed is going to be more like once burned, twice burned, rather than once burned, twice shy, on inflationary risks,” Summers said. “There is a very substantial risk that the president will attempt to implement what he talked about.
Persons: Larry Summers, Donald Trump, Summers, Trump, , ” Summers, Clinton, Biden, Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Powell, Donald Trump’s, ” Trump, Organizations: New, New York CNN, White, Federal Reserve, New York Economic, Reserve, Harvard, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: New York, Washington
Canadian Labor Minister Steven MacKinnon has invoked federal powers to end work stoppages at the ports of Vancouver, Prince Rupert and Montreal, ordering binding and final arbitration between labor unions and ports ownership. Strike actions by unions and ports ownership lockouts had hit both coasts of the key U.S. northern trade partner. "The lockouts of the Canadian ports were causing ships to divert and contributing to congestion and delays throughout North America. Under section 107 of the Canada Labor Code, the Labor Minister can order binding arbitration to end labor disputes. Existing collective agreements will remain in place pending a new deal being reached between dockworker unions and the ports.
Persons: Steven MacKinnon, Vancouver , Prince Rupert, Prince Rupert, Vancouver and Prince Rupert, Stephen Lamar, Lamar, MacKinnon, Mackinnon Organizations: Canadian Labor, Canadian, Retail Council, Canada, CNBC, Local, U.S . Department of Transportation, American Apparel & Footwear Association, U.S . West Coast, Canada Labor, Labor, Canadian Pacific Kansas City, Canadian National Railway Co, Canada Industrial Relations Locations: Vancouver, Montreal, U.S, United States, Canada, North America
By contrast, that projected growth would take a hit if Trump were able to enact his mass deportation plans. An estimated 11 million unauthorized immigrants reside in the United States, but Trump’s focus has mostly been on deporting immigrants with criminal records. Goldman Sachs reported in June that it estimates about 1.2 million unauthorized immigrants, or 8% of that population, have criminal convictions. Here’s the financial impact for Americans if Trump follows through on his mass deportation plan. The report noted that inflation could peak at 0.5 percentage points higher under a mass deportation plan.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Goldman Sachs Organizations: CNN, White, Congressional, University of New Hampshire Carsey School of Public Policy, Brookings Institute, US, American Immigration, Social Security, Trump, NBC News, US Immigration, Customs Enforcement, ICE Locations: America, United States
Recession risk has jumped to 75% due to the potential for a trade ware under Trump, BCA Research said. Trump's proposed tariffs could lower household income and depress corporate investments. In a Friday note, Berezin increased the probability of an economic recession to 75% from 65%, citing the risk of a new trade war under Trump. On the campaign trail, Trump proposed implementing universal tariffs of 10%-20% on goods imported into the country and a 60% tariff on goods from China. Berezin cited a study from the Budget Lab at Yale that estimates Trump's proposed tariffs could reduce real disposable income for the median US household by $1,900-$7,600.
Persons: Trump's, , Peter Berezin, Donald Trump's, Berezin, Trump Organizations: Trump, BCA Research, Service, Yale Locations: China
Grocery chain Asda is calling workers back to the office three days a week from January. The British retailer says it will improve on-site catering and provide better bathrooms for staff. Asda chair Stuart Rose said remote work doesn't suit the fast pace of the consumer goods industry. In recent months, companies like Dell and Amazon have announced that staff must be back in the office five days a week. If RTO policies become too strict, top talent will simply leave to find a system that works for them, Ravin Jesuthasan, a respected future-of-work researcher, previously told Business Insider.
Persons: Stuart Rose, , Rose, Spencer, Mohsin Issa, Issa, Zuber, Asda's, Ravin, Nick Bloom, Bloom Organizations: Service, Marks, Asda, The Observer, Business, TDR, Walmart, Dell, Amazon, Observer, Stanford Locations: British, Argos, Asda
Two major countries’ approach to climate change has turned upside down Down Under. Critics argue that both countries are falling short as they head to this year’s United Nations Climate Change Conference, or COP29, which starts Monday in Azerbaijan. “Standing shoulder to shoulder with Pacific Island nations seems not to mean doing anything Pacific Island leaders have asked,” Hemming said. Albanese’s office and the office of his minister for climate change and energy, Chris Bowen, did not respond to requests for comment. Australia came in for special criticism last month at the Commonwealth Heads of Government Meeting in the Pacific Island nation of Samoa.
Persons: , Anthony Albanese, Christopher Luxon, Jacinda Ardern, Luxon, , Antonio Guterres, Manaui Faulalo, “ We’re, Ralph Sims, ” Sarah Clement, Albanese, Penny Wong, Polly Hemming, ” Hemming, Chris Bowen, Wong Organizations: United Nations, Labor, Conservative, Radio, Getty, Organization for Economic Cooperation, Development, Massey University, Change, Australian National University, Australia Institute, Commonwealth Locations: Australia, New Zealand, South Pacific, Asia, Pacific, Palau, Tuvalu, Kiribati, Anthony Albanese . New Zealand, Samoa’s, AFP, Azerbaijan, Samoa, Vanuatu, Fiji, Canada, Britain
AdvertisementA key sticking point for the 73,479,065 Americans (and counting) who voted for President-elect Donald Trump was inflation. Inflationary promisesThe main Trump proposals viewed as inflationary are: sweeping tariffs on imports, mass deportation of immigrants, and lower taxes. Related storiesTypically, US companies simply pass the tariff costs to consumers via higher prices, and company executives are already signaling this to investors. Possible inflation falloutIf Trump delivers on all of these proposals, then a rebound in inflation is all but guaranteed, economists have said. AdvertisementIt's worth noting that the tariffs Trump enacted in his first term did not result in a significant inflation increase.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Trump, It's, Taylor Rogers —, Philip Daniele, Timothy Boyle, Wendy Edelberg, Nobel, Paul Krugman, Ned Davis, Veneta Dimitrova, Dimitrova Organizations: Trump, Service, White, Biden, Republican National, Center, Columbia, Washington Post, National Association of Homebuilders, Federal Reserve Locations: China,
Mass deportation would exacerbate this economic issue, say employers and economists. Leverant says it is still being determined how jobs lost from a mass deportation would be filled. "Looking at specific occupations, about one-quarter of farm workers, agricultural graders, and sorters are undocumented workers. "One of the natural problems with undocumented workers, we don't know how many are here because they are undocumented. A mass deportation is not possible without crippling economic impact," he said.
Persons: Donald Trump, Donald J, Trump, Jason Leverant, Leverant, Chad Prinkey, AtWork, Janeesa Hollingshead, Hollingshead, Uber, Trump's, David Leopold, Leopold, Kristen Welker, isn't, they're, Nan Wu, Wu, Prinkey Organizations: U.S, White, TPS, AtWork, American Progress, American Immigration Council, American Community Survey, Pew Research Center, Consulting, Uber Works, American Immigration, Citizenship, Immigration Services, Trump, NBC News, AIC, USDA, Conservative, CNBC Workforce, cnbccouncils.com, wec Locations: Mexico, Eagle, , Texas, Piedras Negras, U.S, United States, Madison, New York, Greensfelder, California, Prinkey, Boston, Austin
In September, there was one job opening per unemployed person, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. That's as compared to two jobs per unemployed person in March 2022. And the economy added just 12,000 jobs in October. Among the industries that have added the largest number of jobs in 2024 are food services, hospitality and government (leisure and hospitality did see a slight downtick in September). None are necessarily known for offering high-paying work, but even "those industries you wouldn't think" have six-figure jobs actually do, says John Mullinix, head of growth marketing at Ladders.
Persons: John Mullinix Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: That's
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Friday identified what to look out for next week on Wall Street, highlighting earnings from Home Depot , Disney and new consumer price index data from the Labor Department. Cramer also reflected on the Trump-fueled market rally over the past few days, saying there are likely more gains to come. Tuesday has more action, with earnings from Home Depot, Shopify , Tyson Foods and Spotify . Because Tyson Foods is a major meat seller, Cramer said investors can learn a lot about grocery pricing from the company's earnings commentary. Cramer added that some believe there's weak demand in the semiconductor capital equipment sector, but he said it's possible an earnings report from Applied Materials could "change that dynamic."
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, Tyson, Shopify, he's Organizations: Home Depot, Disney, Labor Department, Trump, Home, Tyson Foods, Spotify, Federal, Cisco Locations: Shopify
Generative AI wasn't part of the lexicon for most of us during President-elect Donald Trump 's first four years in the White House. At a high level, generative AI is a cutting-edge form of technology that will shape the next decade and beyond. While the AI field has been around for decades, generative AI applications can create new content, including computer code, human-like text and images, in response to user prompts. Those that lead in generative AI will very likely shape the world as we know it. With 5G, Trump didn't just hope the U.S. could just fun faster than everyone else.
Persons: Donald Trump, ChatGPT, Kamala Harris, Trump, Elon Musk, OpenAI, JD Vance, Vance, Joe Biden's, Trump's, OpenAI's Sam Altman, Alphabet's Sundar Pichai, Jim Cramer, it's, Jim, they're, Jim Cramer's, Callaghan Organizations: Trump, Billionaire, Republican, Big Tech, Republican Party's, GOP, 5G, Mobile, Sprint, Verizon, Nvidia, Microsoft, Huawei, Biden, Deutsche Bank, South China, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Apple, Washington, Intel, Eaton, Trust, CNBC, Convention Center, Callaghan O'hare Locations: Ohio, U.S, United States, America, We've, China, Taiwan, South, Beijing, Palm Beach, West Palm Beach , Florida
Indeed is launching an AI-powered tool called Pathfinder to help job seekers discover career paths. Jessica Jensen, Indeed's chief marketing officer, said the focus will be on positioning Indeed as a "livelong talent agent." The new product comes as job seekers report profound frustration with the hiring process, citing indignities like "ghost jobs" and overwhelming competition. Related storiesThe company's internal marketing team is executing the product launch, and channels will include email, events, and job seeker content. "Outreach on the part of employers is so valuable and drives better results for job seekers and employers."
Persons: Jessica Jensen, , Chris Hyams, Hyames, you've, Hymes, " Hyams, it's, Jessice Jensen, Jensen Organizations: Service, Pathfinder, BI, Companies
Trump took a dim view of the Powell Fed during his first term in office, calling policymakers "boneheads" and once compared Powell to a golfer who couldn't putt. Powell, who was nominated by Trump in November 2017 and took office the following February, largely shrugged off the criticism then, and he again deflected Thursday. However, dealing with the ramifications of a Trump presidency will be almost unavoidable for the Fed leader. LaVorgna has a unique perspective on the situation, having served as chief economist for the National Economic Council under Trump. Trump historically has favored lower rates, though that too could change if the Fed cuts and inflation rises.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Kent Nishimura, Donald Trump, Trump, Powell, I'm, Joseph LaVorgna, LaVorgna, Lavorgna Organizations: Federal, Getty, firebrand Republican, Powell Fed, Trump, Fed, Nikko Securities, National Economic Council Locations: Washington, Washington , DC, stoke
Federal Reserve Lowers Interest Rates
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: 1 min
The economy is strong overall and has made significant progress toward our goals over the past two years. The labor market has cooled from its formerly overheated state and remains solid. We are committed to maintaining our economy’s strength by supporting maximum employment and returning inflation to our 2 percent goal. decided to take another step in reducing the degree of policy restraint by lowering our policy interest rate by a quarter percentage point. In the near term, the election will have no effects on our policy decisions.
The move comes as inflation remains on a downward trend while the job market continues to lose momentum. While that has helped rein in price pressures, it also puts the job market in jeopardy. So I’m going to be patient.”Still, rate cuts are expected to stretch through 2025, even during a Trump presidency, according to economists. On one hand, there’s evidence that America’s job market has continued to lose momentum in recent months. But since Trump’s economic vision could eventually stoke inflation, that could mean the Fed delivers fewer rate cuts in the coming years.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Donald Trump, Powell, “ I’m, Raphael Bostic, , Kamala Harris, Felipe Villarroel, , Trump, hasn’t, Arthur Burns, Richard Nixon, Ben Bernanke Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal, President, White, Atlanta Fed, Trump, TwentyFour Asset Management, Fed, CNN, White House, Capitol Locations: Jackson , Mississippi
Firm dollar keeps peers on back foot ahead of BOE, Fed decisions
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Trump's policies on restricting illegal immigration, enacting new tariffs, lowering taxes and deregulation may boost growth and inflation and crimp the Fed's ability to cut rates. Following the election, markets now see about a 70% chance the Fed will also cut rates next month, down from 77% on Tuesday, according to the CME Group's Fed Watch Tool. Anything less than a "dovish cut" from the Fed on Thursday could see traders trim back bets for a December cut and the dollar and yields rising higher, Simpson added. The yen was up 0.22% at 154.30 per dollar, after touching 154.7 on Wednesday, its lowest against the greenback since July 30. The Riksbank is seen easing by 50 basis points, and the Norges Bank is set to stay on hold.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Matt Simpson, Trump, Treasuries, Simpson Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Trump, White, Index, Treasury, Fed, Republicans, CME, Bank of England, Norges Bank, Bitcoin Locations: U.S, Index ., cryptocurrencies
Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by a quarter point
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
watch nowThe Federal Reserve approved its second consecutive interest rate cut Thursday, moving at a less aggressive pace than before but continuing its efforts to rightsize monetary policy. Among them was an altered view in how it assesses the effort to bring down inflation while supporting the labor market. The statement slightly downgraded the labor market, saying "conditions have generally eased, and the unemployment rate has moved up but remains low." Generally, the labor market has held up well. An acceleration in economic activity under Trump could persuade the Fed to cut rates less, depending on how inflation reacts.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Jerome Powell, nonfarm, Donald Trump, Trump, Powell, Pace Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal, Committee, Gross, Atlanta Fed, Trump Locations: Tuesday's
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