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☆ The hidden risk factor investors may be missing in stocks, bonds, and options
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Investors may soon be forced to take on more risk and rethink their diversification strategies due to macroeconomic uncertainties. And that presents challenges for those who follow the traditional balance of 60% stocks to 40% bonds as a diversifier, he added. "Momentum has really been driving equities higher across the board, especially with respect to large-cap growth names," Adams said. The study found that stocks, bonds, and options strategies could have more correlated risk than is evident on the surface. "So value stocks are about the here-and-now, growth stocks are about the hereafter."

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Jon Adams, Adams, Jimmy Chang, Donald Trump, Chang, Nikolai Roussanov, David Kelly, you've, Kelly Organizations: Calamos Wealth, Treasury, Rockefeller, Family, Wharton School, Morgan Asset Management

☆ Nvidia earnings are more important to the market than the Fed and jobs data, according to options market
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Nvidia earnings results this week are more important to the stock market than the Federal Reserve or even jobs data, according to the options market. But Jensen Huang's company remains crucially important to the market, according to Wall Street firms tracking the options market. NVDA 1D mountain Nvidia The options market shows an implied move of 8% for Nvidia, according to Barclays. For investors, how Nvidia moves could determine what is next for a market that has been flagging lately following the postelection rally, according to Bank of America Securities' Asis. Asis recommends hedging against the earnings results in case Nvidia disappoints.

Persons: Jensen, Gonzalo Asis, Asis, Stefano Pascale Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, Wall, Bank of America Securities, Sunday, Nvidia, CPI, Barclays, Bank of America, Apple, Microsoft Locations: Asis

☆ Investors and CEOs will wait for clarity from new admin to commit capital, says Peter Kraus
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors and CEOs will wait for clarity from new admin to commit capital, says Peter KrausPeter Kraus, Aperture Investors chairman and CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss hurdles to market growth, what to expect from the Federal Reserve going forward, and much more.

Persons: Peter Kraus Peter Kraus Organizations: Investors, Aperture, Federal Reserve

☆ Trump's Treasury Secretary: The best commentary about who the president-elect should nominate
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( Chris Johnston | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

After announcing a swathe of names for his Cabinet, president-elect Donald Trump appears to be conducting auditions for his Treasury Secretary. AdvertisementHere's some of the best commentary we've seen about the race to be the next Treasury Secretary. Blowups somewhere are inevitable, and a Treasury secretary needs the experience to deal with the fallout in a way that reassures markets. There could now be a contest for Treasury Secretary where … the no1 job is reassuring the markets. In return he might be rewarded with the job of treasury secretary.

Persons: Donald Trump, Scott Bessent, Howard Lutnick, Marc Rowan, Kevin Warsh, Cantor Fitzgerald, Trump, Rowan, Apollo, Jay Powell, Warsh, Powell, hasn't, Kyle Bass, Mike Allen, You've, Ian Bremmer, Marco Rubio, Mike Waltz, Biden, Mr Lutnick, Mr Trump, … Mr Lutnick, …, Mr Lutnick's, John Thune, Jeff Stein Organizations: Key Square Capital Management, Apollo Global Management, Federal Reserve, New York Times, The Times, Times, Hayman Capital Management, X, Trump's, Treasury, CNBC, Trump, Fed, White, National Economic Council, Eurasia Group, Bloomberg, The, The Washington Post Locations: X U.S, Eurasia, Washington, United States, The Washington

☆ Meet the top 4 candidates Trump is considering for Secretary of the Treasury
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( Matthew Loh | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

AdvertisementLast week, Trump was said to be deciding between two leading candidates for Treasury Secretary. Here are the top picks Trump is reportedly now considering for Secretary of the Treasury. Kevin WarshKevin Warsh, center, is rising as one of the candidates for Trump's Treasury Secretary. AdvertisementMarc RowanMarc Rowan isn't said to be actively lobbying for Treasury Secretary, but his aides have reportedly been in touch with the Trump administration. Drew Angerer/Getty ImagesBessent, 62, was one of the original frontrunners for Trump's Treasury Secretary.

Persons: Trump, Kevin Warsh, Marc Rowan, Donald Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Florida Sen, Marco Rubio, Janet Yellen, he's, it's, Kevin Warsh Kevin Warsh, Tasos Katopodis, Warsh, Morgan Stanley, George W . Bush, Axios, Jerome Powell, Marc Rowan Marc Rowan isn't, PETER, Getty Images Rowan, Rowan, Rowan isn't, Howard Lutnick Howard Lutnick, ANGELA WEISS, Cantor Fitzgerald, Lutnick, Linda McMahon, He's, Vance, Elon Musk, Musk, Scott Bessent Scott Bessent, Drew Angerer, Bessent, George Soros, Soros, Breitbart, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden's, MAGA Organizations: Treasury, White, Department of Health, Human Services, State Department, Trump, Street, New York Times, Trump's, Federal Reserve Board, Getty Images, Apollo Global Management, Apollo, Times, Bloomberg, Madison, Garden, AFP Lutnick, WWE, Hamptons, Apple, World Trade, Key, Capital Management, Reuters Locations: Florida, America, Lago

☆ Dollar sitting pretty, yen bears wary of Bank of Japan hawks
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Yen bears were tense in case Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda used a speech later Monday to flag a possible rate hike in December, in part due to the weakness of the currency. Markets imply around a 55% chance of a quarter-point rate hike to 0.5% when the BOJ meets on Dec. 19. Against a basket of currencies the dollar held at 106.730, having touched a one-year top of 107.07 on Friday. The rally has coincided with a savage swing in 10-year Treasury yields, which have climbed 70 basis points since the start of October, fuelling a 5.4% rise in the U.S. dollar index . Analysts generally assume Trump's touted policies of tariffs, reduced immigration and debt-funded tax cuts will be inflationary, so limiting the scope for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, Donald Trump's, Katsunobu Kato, Jonas Goltermann, Trump, Howard Lutnick, Cantor Fitzgerald, Scott Bessent Organizations: Bank of Japan, U.S, Japanese Finance, Capital Economics, Trump, Federal Reserve, Central Bankers Locations: U.S, Japan, Canada

☆ BMO sets next year's S&P 500 target at 6,700, or a 14% gain from here
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Stocks still have significant gains in front of them heading into 2025, at least according to BMO Capital Markets. Although bull markets over the past 50 years have averaged about six years in length, the current bull market is just starting its third year but, unfortunately, the third year of past bull markets have been the weakest of the bunch, he cautioned. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 is little changed on Monday, but has gained about 23% in 2024. Heading into 2024, the S & P 500 had advanced more than 24% in 2023. The latter envisions the S & P 500 ending 2025 at 5,500, or about a 6% decline from the index's current price, mostly as a result of inflation picking up steam.

Persons: Stocks, Brian Belski, Belski, Belksi Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, BMO, Federal Reserve, & $ Locations: Canadian

☆ Young adults are holding off on moving out of their parents' house — here's what's behind the trend
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( Charlotte Morabito | In Charlottemorabito | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Approximately 1 in 3 U.S. adults ages 18 to 34 live in their parents' home, according to U.S. Census Bureau data. The pandemic caused more young adults to return home or remain living with their parents into their late 20s and 30s, but aside from that spike, the numbers have remained fairly consistent in recent years. The 2008 financial crisis, the Great Recession and the pandemic are all examples of economic shocks. More than half of Gen Z adults say they don't make enough money to live the life they want due to the high cost of living, according to a 2024 survey from Bank of America. A significant number of millennials and Gen Z adults lack emergency savings.

Persons: Joanne Hsu, Hsu Organizations: Census, University of Michigan, Federal Reserve, Finance, Bank of America Locations: U.S

☆ 4 signs of re-inflation investors should watch out for, Charles Schwab says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

AdvertisementInflation's downtrend may not be as straightforward as some investors think, according to Charles Schwab. Immigration reform could mean higher labor costs," the note added. Labor costs risingLabor costs have accelerated in recent months, with unit labor costs among all workers in the business sector rising to 3.4% year-over-year in the third quarter, according to Federal Reserve data. Markets are beginning to dial back expectations for further rate cuts in response to inflation concerns," Schwab strategists said. Charles Schwab, Citi Economic Surprise Index"Stronger growth suggests that the Fed may not lower short-term rates as much as anticipated just a few months ago.

Persons: Charles Schwab, Donald Trump, Trump, Schwab, It's Organizations: Trump, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor, Federal Reserve, Unit, Bloomberg, Treasury, Business, Citi

☆ 4 ways Trump's housing plans are expected to hurt homebuyers and 3 ways they could help
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( Eliza Relman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

AdvertisementHigh housing costs, driven in large part by a shortage of homes, are keeping inflation sticky. Economists say Trump's proposals are a mixed bag; some could help housing costs and some could hurt. Ultimately, housing policy experts and industry leaders say housing costs will largely depend on how much new supply can be delivered to the market, which is suffering from a severe shortage of homes. Federal housing assistanceDuring his first term, Trump repeatedly proposed major cuts to housing assistance for households with low incomes or members with disabilities. This would make it harder for lower-income Americans to afford homes and slow down affordable housing construction.

Persons: Trump, Donald Trump, Karoline Leavitt, Vance, Jim Tobin, Tobin, Maurice Page, JD Vance, they're, Anirban Basu, Biden, Ben Metcalf, Metcalf Organizations: Federal Reserve, Trump, National Association of Home Builders, Biden, Administration, Nevada Housing Coalition, Business, Energy, Associated Builders and Contractors, Economic, of New, Reserve, UC Berkeley, Immigrants, Republican Locations: Nevada , Arizona, Utah, of New York, China

☆ Wall Street is gearing up for an M&A boom under Trump. These companies could be attractive targets
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Now that the election is over, and a change at the FTC seems highly likely, Wall Street is getting ready for a new era. "In my opinion, bank M & A has reopened for every bank absent the globally systemically important banks," Mills told CNBC. DFS 1M mountain Shares of Discover Financial rallied sharply after the election of Donald Trump. The merger between those two companies was blocked by a judge and then dropped this past week , but both companies could be players moving forward. There's still a populist tone in the Trump campaign … and enforcement, in my opinion, is not going to go away.

Persons: Trump, Lina Khan, Carlyle, Harvey Schwartz, Morgan Stanley, Stephanie McCann, McDermott Will, Emery, Wolfe, Naturium, Goldman, Ed Mills, Raymond James, Mills, Donald Trump, Joe Biden's, Matt Gaetz —, —, There's, Kyle Healy, Alston, Michael Lynton Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal Trade, FTC, Federal, CNBC, Wolfe Research, Amazon, Electronic Arts, Zoom Video Communications, EA, Activision Blizzard, Capital, Discover Financial Services, DFS, Discover Financial, Spirit Airlines, Frontier, JetBlue, Regulators, Trump, Bird, Warner Music Locations: Washington

☆ Small businesses are hurting at the worst possible time
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

That’s because small businesses typically having tighter profit margins compared to behemoths like Walmart and Amazon, so they feel the sting of rising costs more acutely. The Small Business Index shows that 8 in 10 small retail businesses rely on holiday sales to meet their annual profit goals. If only it were that simple for small businesses. John Waldmann, chief executive of Homebase, a payroll software provider for more than 100,000 small businesses, said Enjou Chocolat’s dilemma is something he hears all the time. “Small businesses are really reticent to increase prices, so when they do, it’s because they have to,” Waldmann said.

Persons: Washington CNN — Enjou, Mark Chinsky, “, ‘ that’s, you’ve, ” Chinsky, that, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, we’re, ”, Thomas Barkin, “ Price, Joe Raedle, John Waldmann, Enjou, ” Waldmann, “ They’re, Scott Olson, there’s, Sarah Jordan, ” There’s, Bill Dunkelberg Organizations: Washington CNN, CNN, National Federation of Independent Business, Walmart, ” Richmond Fed, Target, “, Board, Wrigley Field Locations: Morristown , New Jersey, America, Miami, Chicago

☆ Restaurant executives can't wait for 2025 after slow traffic and wave of bankruptcies
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( Amelia Lucas | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

After a tough year for the restaurant industry, executives can't wait for 2025 to start. And many of the nation's largest restaurant chains, from McDonald's to Starbucks , have disappointed investors with same-store sales declines for at least one quarter. But green shoots have appeared, fueling tepid optimism for the future of the restaurant industry. Plus, interest rates are finally falling. For restaurants, lower interest rates mean that it's cheaper to finance new locations, fueling growth.

Persons: Kate Jaspon, Dunkin, Burger Organizations: Inspire Brands, Restaurant Finance, Development Conference, Intelligence, Starbucks, Revenue Management Solutions, Burger King, Restaurant Brands, Federal Reserve Locations: Las Vegas, McDonald's

WASHINGTON — President-elect Donald Trump’s consistent campaign pledge to impose sweeping tariffs on products imported into the U.S. is likely to face stiff challenges in court and potentially pushback from Congress. There are potential legal limits to Trump’s authority, even though he has said he would unilaterally impose the increases. But a broad array of tariffs on allies “could cross the line,” especially as the Supreme Court has taken a generally pro-business stance in recent years, he added. During the Biden administration, the Supreme Court embraced a theory called the “major questions doctrine.” Biden’s ambitious plan to wipe out billions of dollars in student debt was one of the proposals the Supreme Court faulted. The Supreme Court declined to take up the issue.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump, he’s, Joe Biden, ”, Alan Morrison, “, ” Morrison, ‘, ” Trump, Ed Brzytwa, Brzytwa, Sen, Rand Paul, Rick Scott, ” Scott, Petros Mavroidis, ’, Jennifer Hillman, Hillman, Biden, Matt Priest, “ We’ll, ” Priest Organizations: WASHINGTON, China . Industry, George Washington University Law School, Chicago Economic Club, National Bureau of Economic Research, Federal Reserve Board, Consumer Technology Association, “ Consumers, CTA, Fox News, Sunday, Republicans, Columbia Law School, Georgetown Law Center, of International Trade, Trump, Appeals, Federal Circuit, Supreme, Federal Communications, Federal Energy Administration, Footwear Distributors, Retailers of America Locations: U.S, Congress, China, United States, Ky, Canada

☆ 7 ways a Trump administration could affect your finances
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-16 | by ( John Towfighi | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

Here are seven ways a Trump administration could affect your personal finances. During Trump’s first term, the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act temporarily expanded the child tax credit from $1,000 to $2,000. “He will deliver.”TaxesThe Trump administration is expected to focus on extending tax cuts introduced by the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act that are set to expire in 2025. The Trump administration wants to “promote choice and competition” and make health care more affordable, according to his policy platform. The Trump administration will likely cut red tape to encourage business and real estate developments.

Persons: Donald Trump, he’d, Trump, JD Vance, Maria Castillo Dominguez, —, Karoline Leavitt, Vance, “, ” Leavitt, Alan Auerbach, Social Security Trump, Biden, Berkeley’s Auerbach, Joe Biden’s, ” Auerbach, “ They’re, ”, Trump’s, Auerbach, Sarah Lueck, ” Trump Organizations: CNN, Social Security, Jobs, Valoria Wealth Management, Trump, Urban, Brookings Tax, Tax, UC Berkeley, Center, enrollees, Republicans, Public, Consumer, National Retail Federation, Health, Republican, Center for Budget, Medicare, it’s, Housing

We had no income tax, and all we had was tariffs.”That’s why some Wall Street titans are trying to push for Bessent. Kyle Bass, a billionaire hedge fund investor at Hayman Capital Management, said Lutnick doesn’t have the composition to lead the Treasury. “Scott Bessent is eminently more qualified than Howard Lutnick to run the U.S. Treasury,” Bass posted on X Wednesday. A full week after appearing to decide on nominating Bessent, Trump interviewed him again at Mar-a-Lago. A key Cabinet player, the Treasury secretary advises the president on economic and fiscal matters, including spending and taxes.

Persons: Donald Trump, Elon Musk, Trump, Howard Lutnick, Cantor Fitzgerald, Scott Bessent, ” Musk, —, Bessent, ”, Kyle Bass, Lutnick doesn’t, “ Scott Bessent, ” Bass, “ Scott, I’ve, Bass, Dan Loeb, Scott Lincicome, Lutnick, “, Cheney, Lutnick —, Dick Cheney’s, George W, Tennessee Sen, Bill Hagerty, Larry Kudlow, Kudlow, Steven Mnuchin, Mnuchin Organizations: CNN, Trump, “, Wall, Fox News, titans, Hayman Capital Management, Treasury, U.S . Treasury, Cato Institute, Federal Reserve, Peterson Institute for International Economics, National Economic Council, America, Policy Institute, Fox Business, Bessent, Mar, Republicans, Treasury Department Locations: America, United States

☆ Why your next new car could very well cost more than $50,000
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-16 | by ( Chris Isidore | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Americans paid a whopping $47,612 on average for a new car in October, according to data from Edmunds. That means new car prices have risen much faster than most goods and services. But much of the reason Americans are paying nearly $50k for a car is that automakers decided to go all-in on expensive cars. The combination of higher interest rates and higher car prices, along with the biggest average loans ever taken out to buy them, lifted the average monthly car payment to $742 in October. And that would make every car built in America more expensive, because no vehicle is made with 100% American parts.

Persons: New York CNN — It’s, That’s, Buyers, ”, Ivan Drury, “, didn’t, Charlie Chesbrough, Drury, –, ” Drury, Donald Trump, Jeff Schuster, GlobalData, They’re Organizations: New, New York CNN, Cox Automotive, Nissan, Infiniti, General Motors, Ford, Jeep, Dodge, Chrysler, GM, Federal Reserve Locations: New York, Edmunds, American, United States, Stellantis, Mexico, America

☆ Postelection stock market thrust unable to be sustained as rate and valuation worries creep back in
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-16 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

.SPX 1M mountain S & P 500, 1 month The S & P is still about 3-4% above levels where chart readers would start to get more concerned about the underlying trajectory. Even in Friday's 1.3% slide in the S & P 500, only two-thirds of all stocks were down on the day and the equal-weight S & P was off a modest three-quarters of a percent. It makes sense that the market wasn't able to summon a sustained thrust of exuberance after the election anxiety evaporated, given the somewhat demanding starting point. A more mature economic and risk cycle and vulnerability to higher rates among smaller, lower-quality stocks mean they aren't likely to lead from here, Pies says. Is the market presciently foretelling an unleashing of transactional fervor that will return Wall Steet's middlemen to their former glory?

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Russell, Jay Powell, Warren Pies, Goldman Organizations: Nasdaq, KBW, ICE, Trump, Federal Reserve, Investors, Bank, 3Fourteen Research, Wall Street Locations: Friday's

U.S. consumers collectively owe an eye-popping $1.17 trillion in credit card debt — a record — according to estimates the Federal Reserve Bank of New York released this week. But while there are still major financial risks for carrying hefty balances, the researchers said the data suggests that “rising debt burdens remain manageable” for the typical consumer. Prices are still going up, but they’re not going up as fast, and incomes are once again going up at a faster rate than expenses. Earnings growth has averaged 6.2% per year since the pandemic began, compared to the cumulative debt balance rising 4% per year. “Especially for higher-risk borrowers, credit card and auto loan delinquencies are the highest in a dozen years, and that’s with unemployment at 4%.

Persons: ’, Donald Trump, they’re, Greg McBride What’s, TransUnion, That’s, ”, Greg McBride, “, McBride Organizations: ’ paychecks, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York Fed, Commerce Department, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bankrate Locations: ’ paychecks . U.S

☆ Disney is avoiding more political dust-ups, but Netflix is bringing the fight to the media giant when it comes to live sports
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . You can opt-out at any time by visiting our Preferences page or by clicking "unsubscribe" at the bottom of the email. In today's big story, Disney reported strong earnings and has a bright outlook on the future, but it doesn't want to discuss politics . The big storyLet's not talk politicsBob Iger, CEO of Disney Charley Gallay/Getty ImagesWhen it comes to Donald Trump, Disney is taking a page from its famous mascot and being as quiet as a mouse. But the king of streaming — Netflix — seems unstoppable , and it's threatening a space that Disney's ESPN previously had a stronghold: live sports.

Persons: —, it's, Bob Iger, Disney Charley Gallay, Donald Trump, didn't, Iger, we've, Minnie Mouse, Iger's, BI's Lucia Moses, Ron DeSantis, Trump, Hulu —, Jake Paul, Mike Tyson, Michael Ostuni, Tyler Le, Fiona Carter, Goldman Sachs, Jerome Powell, it's Elon, Steve Schwarzman's, Sam Altman, Elon Musk, Tesla, Lina Khan's, Rebecca Zisser, Dan DeFrancesco, Grace Lett, Ella Hopkins, Hallam Bullock, Amanda Yen, Milan Sehmbi Organizations: Business, Service, Disney, Revenue, Trump, Walt Disney World, Anadolu, Getty, Disney's ABC, ESPN, Netflix, Federal Reserve, EV, Microsoft, Federal Trade Commission Locations: Asia, Hollywood, Florida, Blackstone, ChatGPT, New York, Chicago, London

☆ Jim Cramer's week ahead: Earnings from Nvidia, TJX and Walmart
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

CNBC's Jim Cramer on Friday highlighted the biggest events next week on Wall Street, pinpointing earnings reports from Nvidia , TJX and Walmart . Cramer praised the two retailers but said investors might want to wait for a pullback before diving in to Walmart. Retailers TJX, Target and Williams-Sonoma will report Wednesday morning. Cramer recommended investors "wait and see" with Target as Wall Street worries about the impact of potential tariff increases by the Trump administration. After the market closes, Palo Alto Networks and Nvidia report, and Cramer said both could sell off post-earnings.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, I've, Cramer, Donald Trump, Medtronic, Trump, he'd Organizations: Nvidia, TJX, Walmart, Trump, Viking Holdings, Depot, Federal Reserve, Williams, Palo Alto Networks, Intuit, Procter & Gamble, GE Healthcare Technologies Locations: Vertiv, Sonoma, Williams, China

☆ The fight over Jerome Powell puts Elon Musk at odds with Wall Street
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Alice Tecotzky | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

There's little appetite on Wall Street for undermining the central bank or ousting Jerome Powell. On Friday, billionaire Elon Musk endorsed a suggestion to let the president control the Federal Reserve, which is run by Chair Jerome Powell. Advertisement"He seems to be someone who has the ear of the president," Mark Spindel, an investment manager who co-wrote a history of Fed independence, told Business Insider of Musk's influence. Many Wall Streeters are concerned that undermining Fed independence would undercut investors' faith in the stock and bond markets. Trump is, Siegel said, extremely attuned to the stock market and uses it as a barometer of his success.

Persons: Elon Musk, Jerome Powell, —, Powell, Mark Spindel, Trump, Jeremy Siegel, he'd, Stocks, reappoint Powell, Scott Bessent, Peter Orszag, Obama, Lazard, Wharton's Siegel, Gallup, Siegel, Spindel, Musk's, Volodymyr Zelenskyy Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Wall Street Journal, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Fed, Trump, Bloomberg, Federal, Treasury, Congress Locations: Powell, Europe, Japan, U.S, Trump

☆ Mortgage rates may be stabilizing after the election. Here's what to expect into early 2025
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Ana Teresa Solá | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Don't expect 'huge swings' on mortgage ratesElection uncertainty contributed to an upward swing in mortgage rates during October. But now that we have a president-elect, mortgage rates are expected to gradually come down over time, Lautz said. Experts say that mortgage rates might head into a "bumpy" or "volatile" path over the next year. "Our expectation is that rates are going to be in the 6% range as we move into 2025," she said. For example, if you bought your home around this time last year, when mortgage rates peaked at around 8%, you might benefit from a mortgage refinance, Lautz said.

Persons: Freddie Mac, it's, Jessica Lautz, Lautz, Jerome Powell, Robert Dietz, Jessica Lautz Jessica Lautz, Jeff Ostrowski, Jacob Channel Organizations: Getty, Federal Reserve, National Association of Realtors, Treasury, Trump, Federal, CNBC Locations: U.S

☆ Trump's plan to build more homes on federal land could push prices higher, UBS says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Trump's plan to transform federal land into housing will be costly, given minimal existing infrastructure, UBS says. Those policies, plus a set of potentially inflationary proposals, could drive up both home prices and mortgage rates, they say. Trump's plan to transform federal land into more housing seems particularly challenged, the analysts say. The higher rates will likely continue the housing lock-in effect, where existing homeowners prefer to remain locked in at their current lower rates. In prepared remarks on Thursday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the US is in no hurry to cut rates, signaling that mortgage rates could stay higher for longer.

Persons: —, Donald Trump's, homeownership, Trump, JD Vance, Vance, homebuyers, Jerome Powell Organizations: UBS, Service, Builders

☆ Markets are grappling with the impact of Trump's win and how the Fed will react
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

However, he went on to back up Chair Jerome Powell 's statement Thursday that the Fed doesn't need to be "in a hurry" to cut. "I do think if there's disagreement of what's the neutral rate, it does make sense at some point to start slowing." Getting to neutral, or a place that neither boosts nor restrains growth, is the Fed's ultimate goal, but Trump's victory could complicate the journey. The burst of euphoria after Trump's win actually complicates the situation by providing looser financial conditions that might make the Fed slower to ease. In any event, traders see a high likelihood that even if a December cut does happen, the Fed almost certainly will skip January as it assesses the landscape.

Persons: Donald Trump, Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee, Jerome Powell, Susan Collins Organizations: Trump, Wall, Federal, Chicago Federal, CNBC, Wall Street Journal, Boston Fed, Traders

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