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CNN —Donald Trump is returning to the White House, and the stock market is loving it. ‘The regime change’For now, stock market investors don’t seem bothered by the jump in bond yields or these inflationary or debt concerns. “The stock market jumped for joy that the election results were definitive, thus averting a contested election. Of course, market veterans say they wouldn’t be surprised to see the stock market eventually display concern about tariffs and inflation under Trump. That could pose a number of problems for the economy and the stock market.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, shockwaves, , David Kotok, Stephanie Roth, Roth, ” Roth, Sau Loeb, Kamala Harris, Harris, Jeff Buchbinder, , Kotok, it’s, ” Kotok, They’re, Freddie Mac, , Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, It’s, , BTIG’s Isaac Boltansky Organizations: CNN, White, Dow Jones, stoke, Trump, Advisors, Wolfe Research, Treasury, US Treasury Department, Getty, Wall Street, LPL, Fed, Stock Locations: Big, Washington , DC, Washington
Fires at DHL warehouses this year may have been part of Russian sabotage operations, officials have said. AdvertisementSuspected Russian sabotage activities targeting the air freight industry have been on the rise this year, and the industry is preparing for further action. Speaking a few months after the DHL fires, the chief of the UK's MI6 intelligence service, Richard Moore, said he believed Russian intelligence services had "gone a bit feral." AdvertisementKremlin Spokesman Dmitry Peskov has denied Russia's involvement in sabotage operations in Europe. The Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution, Germany's domestic intelligence services, and the BND declined to comment further.
Persons: , Brandon Fried, Fried, Thomas Haldenwang, Haldenwang, Frank Umbach, Umbach, Richard Moore, Shashank Joshi, Joshi, Dmitry Peskov, KIRILL KUDRYAVTSEV, Keir Giles, Giles, that's Organizations: DHL, Service, Airforwarders Association, Street Journal, Financial, Energy, Security, University of Bonn, Rheinmetall, Royal United Services Institute, NATO, Military Counterintelligence Service, Federal Office, Getty Images, Chatham House's, Eurasia Program Locations: Europe, Russia, Moscow, Germany, America, Leipzig, Birmingham, Lithuania, North America, Russian, Ukraine, AFP, Chatham House's Russia
Fires at DHL warehouses this year may have been part of Russian sabotage operations, officials have said. AdvertisementSuspected Russian sabotage activities targeting the air freight industry have been on the rise this year, and the industry is preparing for further action. Speaking a few months after the DHL fires, the chief of the UK's MI6 intelligence service, Richard Moore, said he believed Russian intelligence services had "gone a bit feral." AdvertisementKremlin Spokesman Dmitry Peskov has denied Russia's involvement in sabotage operations in Europe. The Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution, Germany's domestic intelligence services, and the BND declined to comment further.
Persons: , Brandon Fried, Fried, Thomas Haldenwang, Haldenwang, Frank Umbach, Umbach, Richard Moore, Shashank Joshi, Joshi, Dmitry Peskov, KIRILL KUDRYAVTSEV, Keir Giles, Giles, that's Organizations: DHL, Service, Airforwarders Association, Street Journal, Financial, Energy, Security, University of Bonn, Rheinmetall, Royal United Services Institute, NATO, Military Counterintelligence Service, Federal Office, Getty Images, Chatham House's, Eurasia Program Locations: Europe, Russia, Moscow, Germany, America, Leipzig, Birmingham, Lithuania, North America, Russian, Ukraine, AFP, Chatham House's Russia
On the campaign trial, Trump threatened to impose additional tariffs of 60% or more on Chinese goods sold to the U.S. She expects a stimulus package of more than 10 trillion yuan ($1.39 billion), with about 6 trillion yuan going towards local government debt swaps and bank recapitalization. More than 4 trillion yuan will likely go towards local government special bonds for supporting real estate, Su said. That divergence in stock performance indicates China's stimulus "will be slightly bigger than the baseline scenario," said Liqian Ren, who leads WisdomTree's quantitative investment capabilities. She estimates Beijing will add about 2 trillion yuan to 3 trillion yuan a year in support.
Persons: Zhu Baoliang, Trump, Su, Yue Su, , Liqian Ren, Ren doesn't, Biden, Chris Miller, That's, China's, Zhiwei Zhang Organizations: Bund, Trump, Citigroup, U.S, Economist Intelligence Unit, National People's Congress, Huawei, Republicans, Senate, NBC, Republican Party, Emergency Economic, Trade Locations: Shanghai, China, Hong Kong, Beijing, U.S
US stocks had one of their best days in years and hit new records after Trump's resounding win over Kamala Harris in Tuesday's election. Both of those moves make sense, said David Kelly, the global strategy chief at JPMorgan Asset Management, in an interview on Wednesday. AdvertisementThe strategy chief has been adamant that higher tariffs — one of Trump's key proposals — would cripple the US economy and endanger the global economic expansion. Related storiesMost economists condemn tariffs, which are taxes on imports, because they tend to lead to higher prices and lower economic growth. Sean Gallagher, the global head of Lazard's small-cap equity platform, made a similar point in a recent interview with Business Insider when asked about Trump's tariffs and Kelly's stance.
Persons: Stocks, Donald Trump, David Kelly, Wall, he's, , Donald Trump's, Trump's, Kamala Harris, Kelly, Trump, Mahatma Gandhi, I'm, I've, Tom Orlik, who's, Chris Murphy, Susquehanna's, Orlik, Sean Gallagher, Gallagher, maven, He's, inflation's Organizations: House . Market, Service, Nasdaq, US, JPMorgan Asset Management, Republican, JPMAM, Bloomberg Economics, Business, Trump Locations: Tuesday's
As polls show a dead heat between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris in the final days of the race, news outlets are preparing an anxious nation for the likelihood that election night will stretch into an election week. Most major media outlets around the country rely on a handful of organizations to crunch the numbers and make race calls. “We’re also going to be really transparent about why we may not be able to call a race,” Pace said. In 2020, Joe Biden was not declared the winner of the presidential election until Saturday, several days after election night. While Biden went on to carry the state by roughly 10,000 votes, the network came under assault from Trump and his allies, who blasted the right-wing network’s election night projection.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Julie Pace, ” Pace, Elon Musk, “ We’re, , Pace, Joe Biden, Trump, , David Chalian, ” Chalian, Chalian, Biden, Arnon Mishkin, Axios, ” Mishkin, Scott Tranter, Tranter, ” Tranter, there’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Associated Press, AP, , CNN, Trump, Capitol, ” CNN, ABC, CBS, NBC, Edison Research, Fox News, Scripps Locations: New York, Pennsylvania, Arizona, South Florida, Washington ,
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Economist editor on VP Harris endorsement: The risks posed by Donald Trump are unacceptably highZanny Beddoes, The Economist editor-in-chief, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the magazine's endorsement in the 2024 presidential election, the rationale behind its endorsement for Vice President Kamala Harris, and more.
Persons: Harris, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris
Trump's policies could leave the US economy with two major challenges, Paul Krugman said. Krugman pointed to Trump's economic plan, which economists have described as inflationary. Trump's deportation plans could also hit the economy, given that immigration has boosted the job market. AdvertisementThe US could be in for twin shocks if Trump becomes president for a second time, Nobel economist Paul Krugman said. Trump's general economic plan is also widely thought to be more inflationary than Harris's.
Persons: Paul Krugman, Krugman, , Trump, Harris Organizations: Service, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Financial Times, University of Chicago, American Immigration, New York Times Locations: York
They argue that Casey, a middle-of-the-road liberal, had previously not been at the forefront of the populist economic turn in both parties. Casey’s Senate website dedicates an entire page to “greedflation,” which he also discussed at length in his speech at the Democratic National Convention this summer. The core of Casey’s argument is the assertion that, from July 2020 to July 2022, corporate profits rose five times faster than overall inflation. I would concede the economy has gotten better,” said McCormick, who has run an ad to counter Casey on the topic. “If you’re living paycheck to paycheck, you’re still in the grind, and that’s what I think Bob Casey and Kamala Harris do not understand.
Persons: Sen, Bob Casey, , Casey, “ greedflation, , Mike Mikus, ” Dave McCormick, I’m, they’re, they’ve, “ greedflation ”, Joe Biden, Kellogg’s, Clark, Proctor, McCormick, ” Sen, Raphael Warnock, Donald Trump, Maria Collett, greedflation ”, “ It’s, ‘ greedflation, Biden’s, Kamala Harris, Harris, pollsters, you’re Organizations: GOP, Democratic, Republican Senate, Federal Trade Commission, Senate, Gamble, Disney, Convention, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas, NBC, San Francisco Federal Reserve, The Washington Post, Republican, NBC News, Republicans, ” “, Federal Reserve Locations: , Pennsylvania, Haverford Township, Kimberly, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, U.S
China launches new lending tool before year-end loan expiry
  + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A man looks at his smartphone as he walks past the People's Bank of China building on May 20, 2022 in Beijing. Despite taking effect on Monday, the PBOC did not mention the new tool in its open market operations statement. China's central bank launched a new lending tool on Monday to inject more liquidity into the market and support credit flow in the banking system ahead of the expiration of trillions of yuan in loans at the end of the year. Beijing is counting on massive financial stimulus announced in September to kick-start lending and investment, as a sharp property market downturn and frail consumer confidence weigh on investor confidence. "The central bank's choice to launch this new tool at this time is also expected to be a better hedge against the concentrated expiry of medium-term lending facility before the end of the year," the article added.
Persons: Xu Tianchen Organizations: People's Bank of, Economist Intelligence Unit, European Union, State, Shanghai Securities News Locations: People's Bank of China, Beijing, OMO, United States
Paul Lee, 28, left New York City to move to Thailand in 2021. Life in NYC felt competitive and materialistic, which left him feeling unfulfilled. AdvertisementFour years ago, Paul Lee, 28, left New York City to move to Bangkok. Advertisement"It's already much nicer, bigger, and cheaper than the one I was living in New York City," he added. AdvertisementEven though Bangkok is a vibrant city, the pace of life is still slower than in NYC, Lee said.
Persons: Paul Lee, , Lee, It's, I'm, Lee isn't, there's, I've, Paul Lee . Organizations: Service, Big Apple, Business, New, Suvarnabhumi, Economist Intelligence Locations: New York City, Thailand, Bangkok, Macon , Georgia, Georgia, South Korea, New York, Thong Lo, SoHo, NYC, Jeju, Lee's, In Thailand, Pattaya, United States
Your election questions, answered
  + stars: | 2024-10-19 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +26 min
They ranged from questions about the Electoral College to specific inquiries about why ballots in some counties look the way they do. We’ll add answers to new questions weekly until the election and also send them out to the What Matters newsletter audience. CNN did not project that President Joe Biden would win the 2020 election until four days after Election Day. -- Linda in WashingtonThere were a lot of questions about the Electoral College, which should frustrate people on both sides of the aisle. I’m not including the election of 1800, even though it resulted in a tie in the Electoral College.
Persons: I’ve, Debbie, Ariel Edwards, Levy, Read, they’ve, Will, Trump, Dennis, Donald Trump, don’t, faithless, Sen, Bernie Sanders of, Ron Paul of Texas, Jeanette, Elon Musk, , Democrats –, Elena, you’re, that’s, you’ve, Harris, Kamala Harris, CNN’s KFile, it’s, Ron, CNN’s Tami Luhby, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, George W, Bush, Jennifer Agiesta, what’s, we’re, hasn’t, noncitizens, Critics, doesn’t, Sheila, Nicole Unzicker, Unzicker, Terry I’m, Harvey Let’s, Doug Sosnik’s, Patricia, Al Gore, Rutherford B, Hayes, Samuel Tilden, Tilden, John F, Kennedy, Richard Nixon, James Garfield, Winfield Hancock, I’m, Sandra, Jack Smith, Julie Organizations: CNN, Electoral College, Washington, Puerto Rican, Social Security, Electoral, Library of Congress, Elon, Democrats, Trump, Colorado Presidents, Security, Federal, Republican, Heritage Foundation, Dominion, Senate, White, Democratic, Lumina Foundation, Supreme, eventual, Michigan Trump, Gallup Locations: Florida, Madison, Chad, Virginia, Michigan, Puerto Rico, Guam, Minnesota, Washington, DC, Puerto, Congress, Bernie Sanders of Vermont, Pennsylvania, Colorado, South Carolina, United States, California, Harris, Georgia, North Carolina, . Pennsylvania, Missouri, North Dakota, California , Maryland, Vermont, Washington ,, Ohio, Butler County, Texas, New York, It’s, today’s America, New Hampshire
China’s National Bureau of Statistics on Friday reported third-quarter GDP growth of 4.6% year on year, slightly exceeding the 4.5% expected by economists polled by Reuters. “The national economy showed positive signs of growth in September,” Sheng Laiyun, the bureau’s deputy commissioner, said at the news conference, according to CNBC’s translation of the Chinese. Other data also released on Friday, such as retail sales and industrial production, also beat expectations, a hopeful sign for the world’s second-largest economy. “Despite the multitude of challenges, China’s economy is not incurable as some would suggest,” Xu added. Authorities continued to dip feed more stimulus measures throughout this month amid low consumer sentiment and a flagging property sector.
Persons: ” Sheng Laiyun, , Tianchen Xu, ” Xu, Finance Lan Organizations: China’s National Bureau, Statistics, Reuters, Economist Intelligence Unit, China’s, Finance, Ministry Locations: China’s, Beijing
China's National Bureau of Statistics on Friday reported third-quarter GDP growth of 4.6% year on year, slightly exceeding the 4.5% expected by economists polled by Reuters. "The national economy showed positive signs of growth in September," Sheng Laiyun, the bureau's deputy commissioner, said at the press conference, according to CNBC's translation of the Chinese. Other data also released on Friday, such as retail sales and industrial production, had also beat expectations, a hopeful sign for the world's second largest economy. Beijing has faced growing public scrutiny over its ability to meet its own annual growth target of "around 5%." Amid low consumer sentiment and a flagging property sector, the Chinese government has intensified stimulus measures in recent weeks in an effort to boost its lackluster economy.
Persons: Sheng Laiyun, Tianchen Xu Organizations: National Bureau, Statistics, Reuters, Economist Intelligence Unit Locations: China, Beijing
In yet another incident, crowds of angry drivers gather outside an apartment complex, demanding justice for a fellow delivery driver said to be bullied by security guards there. They’re among the many episodes of explosive confrontations across China involving delivery workers widely circulated on Chinese social media, showing people stretched to the breaking point. As China’s economy grapples with a raft of setbacks, from a protracted property crisis to a lack of consumer spending, delivery workers are taking a beating. That eats into delivery workers’ income as their pay is usually tied to a commission based on the price of the order. In 2019, a delivery driver died after he was hit by a tree knocked over by strong winds in Beijing, according to state media Global Times.
Persons: , , Jenny Chan, Chan, they’ve, Greg Baker, Morningstar, Alibaba, , Lu Sihang, Lu, China’s, Gary Ng, ” Ng, Pedro Pardo, Workers.cn, Yang, Justin Robertson Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Polytechnic University of Hong, Getty, iiMedia Research, CNN, China New Employment Research Center, Research, China Labour Bulletin, Polytechnic University, Global Times, Chongqing Broadcasting Group Locations: Beijing, Hong Kong, China, Polytechnic University of Hong Kong, AFP, Chinese, Hunan
London CNN —Three economists were awarded the Nobel Prize Monday for their research into how the nature of institutions helps explain why some countries become rich and others remain poor. Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson and James Robinson will share the prize, which carries a cash award of 11 million Swedish kronor ($1 million). The authors warned that “the current path of AI is neither good for the economy nor for democracy.”The latest Nobel Prize in economics was announced in Stockholm on October 14, 2024. In “Why Nations Fail,” he and Robinson argued that China, because it lacks inclusive institutions, would not be able to sustain its economic growth. The economics prize is officially known as Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel.
Persons: Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson, James Robinson, , , , Robinson, Acemoglu, Johnson –, MIT –, Christine Olsson, ” Acemoglu, Alfred Nobel, Claudia Goldin, Goldin Organizations: London CNN —, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, MIT, University of Chicago, TT, Agency, AP, Bank of Sweden, Economic Sciences, Harvard University Locations: Turkish, American, British, Nogales, Arizona, Mexico’s Sonora, Nogales , Arizona, Stockholm, China, Beijing, Bank, Swedish
But the measures that Beijing’s economic planning agency announced this week proved to be an anticlimax — the trillions of yuan that observers were hoping would be revealed never materialized. Beijing might even miss its annual growth target of 5% — a figure it often surpassed prior to the pandemic. But while Chinese officials project confidence, the markets and the country’s public seem less convinced. Its broader financial lethargy and this week’s market turmoil will hardly be welcomed by Beijing. Costphoto / NurPhoto via Getty ImagesDomestic stimulus aside, there have been outward signs that China’s economy is in trouble.
Persons: Xi Jinping, Long Wei, , Keyu Jin, Trump, Joe Biden, isn’t, Fu, Miao Yuqing, Miao, Alicia Garcia, Herrero, what’s, Zheng Shanjie, Yue Su, ” Su Organizations: Beijing, Traders, Investors, CSI, Getty Images, London School of Economics, The, Communist Party, U.S, AFP, Getty, , Asia Pacific, , National, Reform, Economist Intelligence Unit Locations: BEIJING, Shanghai, Hong Kong, China, Beijing, Hangzhou, Long, Lianyungang, Natixis, Guizhou province, Washington
After the latest blast of consumer inflation data, traders are facing a conundrum around how they should interpret the monthly numbers. September's consumer price index report topped the Street's expectations, rising 0.1% from the month prior and increasing at a pace of 2.4% over the past 12 months. Still, the annual inflation rate was the lowest since February 2021. Relative to expectations, September's CPI number does not imply a reacceleration of inflation. Rather, the rate of consumer inflation continues to slow, albeit at a more modest pace than some had hoped for.
Persons: Dow Jones, Nonfarm payrolls, Austan Goolsbee, Ron Insana Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Social Security, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, CNBC Locations: U.S
China's Ministry of Finance, pictured here in Beijing in 2021, is refunding taxes and cutting fees to support economic growth. China's Finance Minister Lan Fo'an is set to hold a press conference at 10 a.m. on Saturday local time on "intensifying" fiscal stimulus policies, the country's State Council Information Office said. Authorities are likely to affirm that at the press conference on Saturday, Zhao said. At the time, Chinese major indexes began to rally, surging over 25% as investors cheered on the slate of stimulus measures. Lan Fo'an, China's Minister of Finance, attends a press conference during the second session of the 14th National People's Congress (NPC) in Beijing on March 6, 2024.
Persons: Cong, Lan Fo'an, NDRC, Zheng Shanjie, Chen Zhao, CNBC's, Zhao, Chetan Ahya, Morgan Stanley, Wang Zhao Organizations: of Finance, Bloomberg, Getty, China's Finance, Beijing, Investors, National Development, Reform, Authorities, China's Ministry, Finance, China's, National People's Congress, Afp Locations: Beijing, country's, Shanghai, Asia
September's robust job growth signaled what looks like a booming labor market. In general, the job market is booming. There's some tension hiding in the dataOn its face, the labor market is looking rosy. Job openings ticked up in August but have been broadly declining since 2022, adding to the tough labor market picture for job seekers. Related storiesEven though the labor market has cooled, it's largely done so without mass layoffs or a full-blown recession.
Persons: , ​ ​ Cory Stahle, they're, Liz Wilke, Elizabeth Renter, Matt Colyar, Claudia Sahm, Julie Su, Wilke, It's Organizations: Service, Workers, Moody's, New Century Advisors, mhoff
The US job market is in a strange quandary, according to Claudia Sahm. The September jobs report was huge, but Sahm said the labor market is still cooling. AdvertisementThe job market is in a weird spot, even after Friday's stunningly strong nonfarm payroll report, Claudia Sahm says. The former Federal Reserve economist and the creator of a highly watched recession indicator pointed to signs that the labor market is cooling, despite September's blowout jobs report. Other forecasters have said the job market remains in uncertain territory, though labor conditions are generally on strong footing.
Persons: Claudia Sahm, Sahm, , they're Organizations: Employers, Service, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Challenger, Atlanta Fed
Russia is breaking down institutions and "borrowing from the future," Konstantin Sonin says. The economist notes Russia is taking measures to exert more control over its economy. But those actions are hurting Moscow's economic future, Sonin said. Konstantin Sonin, a professor at the University of Chicago Harris School of Public Policy, said he foresaw a dark economic future ahead for Russia. Putin's war not only imposes on today's Russians a worse life than they otherwise would have had.
Persons: Konstantin Sonin, Sonin, Organizations: Service, University of Chicago Harris School of Public, Syndicate, Heineken, International Monetary Fund Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Moscow
The jobs market had a very strong September
  + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
The Fed is pivoting away from fighting inflation to supporting the labor market. The encouraging numbers doubled down on a labor market that's showing signs of strength after a slowdown. The Federal Reserve signaled a pivot from fighting inflation to supporting the job market with a 50-basis-point interest rate cut in mid-September, the first cut in four years. AdvertisementWage growth was another highlight for the labor market in September. The latest jobs report didn't just indicate a strong September.
Persons: , Glen Smith Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, BLS, GDS Wealth Management, Fed
China has ramped up its military presence around Taiwan, the country's navy commander said. Adm. Tang Hua told The Economist that China wants it to make a mistake so it can justify a blockade. AdvertisementChina is trying to force Taiwan into making mistakes and is looking for excuses to trigger a blockade, according to Taiwan's navy commander. Adm. Tang Hua told The Economist that China is "slowly, but surely" ramping up its military presence around Taiwan and is ready to blockade Taiwan "at any time they want." "The PLA is trying to force Taiwan to make mistakes," he said, using the acronym for China's People's Liberation Army.
Persons: . Tang Hua, , Adm . Tang Hua, Tang, Phil Davidson, Wellington Koo, Xi Jinping Organizations: Economist, China, Service, PLA, People's Liberation Army, American Enterprise Institute, Institute for, Institute for Economics, Peace, Lieber Institute for Law, Warfare, Financial Times Locations: China, Taiwan, Point, People's Republic of China
CNN —September’s jobs report, due out Friday morning, is expected to show that the US labor market has slowed somewhat but remains on solid footing. While September’s employment data is expected to stay relatively tame, the same can’t be said for the October jobs report, which is set to be released on November 1, just days before the presidential election. The strikes and hurricane-related effects “are not going to permanently alter the trajectory of the labor market; but September is probably our last clean reading on the labor market for a while,” Ryan Sweet, chief US economist at Oxford Economics, told CNN earlier this week. The August jobs report, which showed better-than-expected estimated 142,000 payroll gains and a drop in the unemployment rate, went a long way to quell those fears. It showed that the jobs market is in “stasis,” Wells Fargo economists wrote in a note issued Tuesday.
Persons: bode, Lydia Boussour, ” Ryan Sweet, Helene, , Erica Groshen, They’ve, , Andrew Challenger, Wells, Noah Yosif, ’ Sweet, Ejindu Ume, “ We’re, ” Ume Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, Boeing, Gulf Coasts, Oxford Economics, of Labor Statistics, Cornell University School of Industrial and Labor Relations, Employers, Challenger, Labor Department, Pantheon, Labor, BLS, , American Staffing Association, Oxford, Miami University in Locations: EY, Hurricane, East, Gulf, Miami University in Ohio
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