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Nov 6 (Reuters) - Wall Street brokerages largely initiated Birkenstock (BIRK.N) with their top ratings, pointing to a likely boost from the German luxury sandal maker's recent investments to increase capacity, expansion into newer styles and brand loyalty. Birkenstock's shares dropped to as low as $35.83 in the days after listing on Oct. 11 and has traded below the IPO price of $46 apiece. Citigroup was among the most bullish, with a price target of $52, a more than 26% jump from the last close. Telsey Advisory Group analysts said Birkenstock has further avenue to expand into footwear categories such as orthopedics and professional, outdoor and active, kids, home, and sneakers. Morgan Stanley assigned a price target of $41 and an "equal-weight" rating, saying most catalysts were already priced in.
Persons: Birkenstock's, Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Jefferies, Birkenstock, Bernard Arnault, Lorraine Hutchinson, Morgan Stanley, Hogan, Riley, Reshma Rockie George, Susan Mathew, Savyata Mishra, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel, Sriraj Organizations: Arm Holdings, Citigroup, Telsey Advisory, U.S ., Global, Thomson Locations: U.S, French, Bengaluru
These distinct designer brands all have something in common: a single parent company named Tapestry, Inc. That parent company has been getting bigger and bigger throughout 2023. "Growth-oriented acquisitions really help to drive the business further, " said Dana Telsey, CEO of Telsey Advisory Group. "New designers can create interest because you can extend your customer base, whether it's extending your customer base older or younger, or extend your customer base globally." The popularity of online shopping has also provoked retailers to pursue mergers that promote expansion online and in stores. As social media creates new avenues for promotion, brands grappling with the high cost of celebrity endorsements are looking to expand their resources through mergers and acquisitions.
Persons: Jimmy Choo, Versace, Michael Kors, Kate Spade, Dana Telsey Organizations: Telsey Advisory Locations: Europe
Holiday sales growth is expected to be sluggish this year as shoppers continue to get squeezed by sticky inflation. "Shoppers are setting strict budgets for their holiday shopping," BofA said in a recent note. And, on Wednesday evening, the company said October net sales rose 4.5% year-over-year to $18.53 billion, continuing a streak of monthly sales growth. TJX YTD mountain TJX Companies YTD TAG expects holiday sales at off-pricers to grow 6% year over year, which would be faster than last year's 4.3% increase. Black Friday and Cyber Monday will remain popular holiday shopping events, the analysts anticipate, as more shoppers spread out their holiday purchases.
Persons: BofA, discounters, Andy Jassy, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Eduardo Munoz Organizations: Club, Bank of America, Shoppers, Starbucks, Costco, TJX Companies, BofA, China comps, comps, TJX, Marshalls, TAG, Amazon, Deal, CNBC, People Locations: China, China comps ., Maxx, HomeGoods, U.S, Canada, New York City
For the entire grocery industry, Cowen sees AI amplifying "loyalty by harnessing customer interaction data to offer prescriptive advice." Customer experience Costco has the "unique opportunity to drill into the buying habits of their individual members," Morningstar retail analyst Noah Rohr told CNBC in an interview. Rohr believes that generative AI advancements could be as simple as making promotional emails more relevant to each individual member. The retailer utilizing its large customer data sets is "a big advantage when it comes to inventory planning," Morningstar's Rohr said. Rohr said Costco can also optimize its data with AI by making sure store employees are using their time efficiently.
Persons: TD Cowen, Cowen, Noah Rohr, Joe Feldman, ChatGPT, Rohr, Feldman, it's, Morningstar's Rohr, Kirkland, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Costco, Walmart, Morningstar, CNBC, Kirkland, Advisory, Corbis, Getty Locations: Kirkland, Teterboro , New Jersey
In 2022, inventory "shrink" as a percentage of total retail sales accounted for $112.1 billion in losses, up from $93.9 billion in 2021, according to the NRF report on Tuesday. Retailers are either being forced to close a specific store location, reduce operating hours or alter in-store product selection to deal with the spike in retail crime, the report added. Dollar Tree (DLTR.O) has said it plans to remove goods like men's underwear, an item most prone to retail theft, from its stores. Retailers are ramping up prevention methods with 34% of respondents increasing internal payroll to support risks related to retail crime and 46% increasing the use of third-party security personnel among other methods, according to NRF. The NRF survey was conducted online among senior loss prevention and security executives in the retail industry with insights from 177 retail brands.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, David Johnston, John Rainey, Ananya Mariam Rajesh, Savyata Mishra, Siddharth Cavale, Shounak Dasgupta Organizations: Black, REUTERS, National Retail Federation, U.S, Kroger, Asset Protection, Retail, Retailers, Walmart, Telsey, Thomson Locations: Brooklyn , New York, U.S, New York, San Francisco , Los Angeles, Houston, Britain, Bengaluru
This week's government economic data revealed pockets of durable consumer spending despite sticky inflation, signaling a favorable quarter ahead and further upside for two of our retail stocks. Since Amazon is the largest e-commerce retailer, the government data suggests Amazon sales in the third quarter should be positive sequentially. Case for Costco Strong August retail sales numbers also bode well for Costco which essentially sells most items listed in the government's dataset. According to Jim, Costco has been doing so well because "the consumer seems very intrigued by bargains," as they've dealt with high inflation for over a year. For August, Costco said U.S. sales rose 2.8% from a year ago, slightly edging out the year-over-year, inflation-adjusted 2.5% gain in U.S. retail sales overall, reported by the Commerce Department.
Persons: we're, Morgan Stanley, Amazon's, Jim Cramer, bode, Jim, Jefferies, Costco's Kirkland, Jim Cramer's, Robert Nickelsberg Organizations: Texas, Costco, Amazon, Deal, Management, Commerce Department, Jefferies, Telsey Advisory, CNBC, Costco Wholesale, Getty Locations: U.S, Colchester , Vermont
[1/2] The Macy's logo is displayed on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., August 19, 2021. A bellwether for back-to-school demand, Foot Locker joined rival Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS.N) on Wednesday to cut annual profit forecast, sending the shares of sportswear retailers tumbling. "We did see a softening in trends in July and are adjusting our 2023 outlook to allow us to best compete for price-sensitive consumers," Foot Locker CEO Mary Dillon said. Walmart last week raised its full-year forecasts and beat second-quarter results, benefiting from strong demand for its low-priced groceries. Reporting by Ananya Mariam Rajesh and Aishwarya Venugopal in Bengaluru; Editing by Arun KoyyurOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Cristina Fernandez, Foot Locker, Mary Dillon, Macy's, Adrian Mitchell, Locker, Thomas Hayes, Hogan, Ananya Mariam Rajesh, Aishwarya Venugopal, Arun Koyyur Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dick's Sporting, Target, Walmart, Riley Wealth, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S, Bengaluru
[1/2] Shoppers load a box of merchandise into a truck after visiting a Lowe's hardware store in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S. November 4, 2020. REUTERS/Mark Makela/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSummaryCompanies Consumer sentiment turning more positive - CEOLowe's to outperform home improvement market in H2 2023Shares up 3.4%Aug 22 (Reuters) - Lowe's (LOW.N) said on Tuesday consumer sentiment was improving after it topped Wall Street estimates for quarterly profit and comparable sales, as sustained spending on smaller projects countered a broader lull in the home-improvement sector. Lowe's said disposable income at U.S. households started to improve over the past quarter, which is boding well for the industry. "We started to see consumer sentiment turn more positive on the Do-It-Yourself customer side... What we're looking for now is just that the (sentiment improvement sustains)," CEO Marvin Ellison said in an interview. Lowe's second-quarter per-share earnings of $4.56 also topped estimates of $4.49, driven by falling lumber prices and tighter cost management.
Persons: Mark Makela, Lowe's, Marvin Ellison, Ellison, Joe Feldman, Deborah Sophia, Shinjini Organizations: REUTERS, Home, Pro, Thomson Locations: Philadelphia , Pennsylvania, U.S, North Carolina, Bengaluru
[1/2] Shoppers load a box of merchandise into a truck after visiting a Lowe's hardware store in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S. November 4, 2020. REUTERS/Mark Makela/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsAug 22 (Reuters) - Lowe's (LOW.N) beat Wall Street estimates for quarterly profit and posted a smaller-than-expected drop in comparable sales on Tuesday, as sustained consumer spending on smaller projects countered a broader lull in the home-improvement sector. A delayed spring season also pushed demand for goods such as garden equipment and outdoor supplies into the second quarter from earlier in the year, helping Lowe's and larger rival Home Depot (HD.N) top quarterly results estimates. In contrast, Home Depot said Pro-customer sales performance was slightly negative in the quarter. Same-store sales at Lowe's fell 1.6% in the second quarter ended Aug. 4, less than analysts' estimate of a 2.36% drop, according to Refinitiv data.
Persons: Mark Makela, Marvin Ellison, Lowe's, Joe Feldman, Telsey's Feldman, Deborah Sophia, Shinjini Organizations: REUTERS, Home, Pro, Telsey Advisory, Depot, Thomson Locations: Philadelphia , Pennsylvania, U.S, North Carolina, Lowe's, Bengaluru
REUTERS/Jim Young/File PhotoAug 15 (Reuters) - Home Depot (HD.N) on Tuesday reported a smaller-than-expected drop in quarterly same-store sales and topped profit estimates, as Americans spending on small-scale projects countered a pause in larger home remodeling and renovation work. "While there was strength in categories associated with smaller projects, we did see continued pressure in certain big-ticket, discretionary categories," Home Depot CEO Ted Decker said in a statement. Customer transactions fell for the ninth straight quarter, down 1.8% in the second quarter, but smaller than the 4.8% fall in the first quarter. Comparable sales fell 2% in the quarter, while analysts had expected a 3.54% drop, according to Refinitiv IBES data. "Whether the bottoming in the housing market would translate to sales or not - that's where there is caution from investors," Feldman said.
Persons: Jim Young, Ted Decker, Depot's, Wells, Joe Feldman, Feldman, Deborah Sophia, Sriraj Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Walmart, Home, Advisory, Thomson Locations: Niles , Illinois, Bengaluru
A customer leaves one of the stores of discount retail chain Target in Ancaster, January 15, 2015. REUTERS/Peter Power/File PhotoAug 14 (Reuters) - Target (TGT.N) is expected to post its first quarterly drop in revenue in about six years when it reports results on Wednesday, as the big-box retailer reels from a shift in consumer spending away from discretionary goods to services. "Target is going to suffer more versus the others because they have a much larger consumer discretionary element to their business," Edward Jones analyst Brian Yarbrough said. At least 16 analysts have cut their price targets on the retailer since the beginning of June as its merchandise is skewed towards discretionary items such as clothes, electronics and beauty products. THE CONTEXTTarget in May had warned of dour second-quarter results as inflation forces consumers to shun non-essential goods.
Persons: Peter Power, Edward Jones, Brian Yarbrough, Erik Carnell's Abprallen, Group's Joseph Feldman, Jane Hali, Jessica Ramirez, Granth, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: REUTERS, Mastercard, American Express, Pride, Associates, Reuters, Refinitiv, Walmart, Target, Thomson Locations: Target, Ancaster, Bengaluru
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBrands are benefitting from Barbie collabs and Taylor Swift shows, says Telsey Advisory Group CEODana Telsey, CEO of the Telsey Advisory Group, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss retail brands benefiting from the success of Taylor Swift shows and the Barbie movie, trends in the clothing retail space, and the risk profile of Tapestry heading into earnings.
Persons: Barbie collabs, Taylor Swift, Dana Telsey Organizations: Brands, Telsey Advisory
Eros Hoagland | Getty ImagesOver the past few years, Alicia Browne has noticed a change in what college students haul out of cars on move-in days at the University of Alabama. A growing pie — and market share up for grabsAs college spending is poised to grow, retailers have another reason to vie for students' dollars. Jakub Porzycki | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesIt is difficult to estimate how much college market share Bed Bath had in total. Shipt, the Target-owned delivery service, and Walmart have both tried to attract more college students to their membership programs by offering a special discounted price. She said the company's growth has been fueled by college students who want uniquely decorated rooms that reflect their personalities.
Persons: Eros Hoagland, Alicia Browne, Keurig coffeemakers, decorators, Browne, Prosper, Browne chalks, " Browne, Marshal Cohen, Jakub Porzycki, Harmon, Cristina Fernandez, Sonoma, TikTok, Dormify, Amanda Zuckerman, Zuckerman, Kate Reppeto, Callie Weathers Kate Reppeto, Repetto, she's, Anna Emblom Organizations: University of North, Hill, University of Alabama, College, National Retail Federation, IRI, NPD, Target, Walmart, Consulting, Deloitte, Nurphoto, Goods, Ikea, Telsey Advisory, Williams, Hamptons, Madison, University of Mississippi, Eagle Locations: University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill , North Carolina, Kohl's, Bath, Bed, Williston , Vermont, New York City, Madison Ave, Oxford, Miss, Southlake, Dallas, Fort Worth in Texas, Birmingham, Ala
The company reported an adjusted $2.11 per share on revenue of $8.31 billion, while analysts polled by Refinitiv forecasted $1.98 and $7.58 billion. Analysts surveyed by Refinitiv had penciled in a loss of 33 cents per share on $175 million of revenue. Palantir Technologies — Palantir Technologies slid 3.4% after the data analytics company reported its second-quarter results. Beyond Meat reported an adjusted loss of 83 cents per share on $102.1 million in revenue, while Refinitiv forecasted 86 cents and $108.4 million. Paramount Global — The media conglomerate's shares climbed more than 2% in premarket trading after the company reported a quarterly earnings and revenue beat.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, NASH, Banks, Moody's, Eli Lilly, EchoStar, Charlie Ergen, Refinitiv, Lucid, Palantir, Hims, Simon & Schuster, Yun Li, Samantha Subin, Sarah Min, Pia Singh, Jesse Pound Organizations: Sagimet, Goldman, T Bank, Citizens Financial, Bank of New York Mellon, Truist, JPMorgan Chase, Telsey, Refinitiv, Novo Nordisk —, Dish, United Parcel Service, behemoth, UPS, Palantir, Paramount Global, Paramount, KKR Locations: New York, Banks —
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHome Depot and Lowe's downgraded to 'market perform' at Telsey Advisory GroupThe "Halftime Report" traders debate the biggest analyst calls of the day.
Organizations: Telsey
He maintained his price target for Home Depot Shares at $315 , which implies 4.3% downside from Monday's close. He also kept his price target on Lowe's shares at $225, suggesting less than 1% upside from where shares last closed. He noted that Home Depot and Lowe's shares are up approximately 17% and 12% since May 2023, respectively. While the housing market does show signs of reaching some stability, the bottoming phase could still take some time, according to Feldman. Meanwhile, Lowe's shares also declined 1.4% Tuesday before the bell.
Persons: Joseph Feldman, Feldman, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Home, Home Depot
[1/2] People shop for clothes at Target retail chain in Westbury, New York, U.S., May 20, 2021. Walmart (WMT.N) and Target (TGT.N), the two biggest retailers in the United States, have set a cautious tone for the rest of the year. David Klink, senior equity analyst at Huntington Private Bank, said he saw "encouraging" signs in Amazon's results. Walmart, which reports on Aug. 17, had a better-than-expected first quarter and forecast sales to be up about 3.5% for the year. "I think that value-based retailers like Walmart and Target" will hold up better than others, he said.
Persons: Shannon Stapleton, David Klink, Neil Saunders, Joseph Feldman, Siddharth Cavale, Ananya Mariam Rajesh, Rosalba O'Brien Organizations: REUTERS, Walmart, Target, Foods, Huntington Private Bank, Amazon, Apple, Maersk, WPP, Telsey, Thomson Locations: Westbury , New York, U.S, United States, Seattle, New York, Bengaluru
Sales of surplus Yeezy shoes generated around 400 million euros ($437 million) in the second quarter, helping Adidas reduce its predicted loss for the year to 450 million euros, down from the 700 million euro loss previously expected. JD Sports (JD.L) said it had started selling Yeezy products from Adidas' second release of Yeezy shoes on Wednesday. Adidas said its 2023 outlook does not include the second Yeezy release. Citi analysts expect further Yeezy drops to generate 1.5 billion euros in revenues and 700 million euros in earnings after Adidas' planned charity donations. North America was the laggard, with sales dropping 16.4% in currency-neutral terms, which Adidas put down to high inventory levels there.
Persons: Kanye West, Shannon Stapleton, Bjorn Gulden's, Ye, Cristina Fernandez, Fernandez, Gulden, Liu Qingyi, Shuting Qiu, Helen Reid, Sonali Paul, Mark Potter, Jan Harvey Organizations: Adidas, REUTERS, FX, Foundation, Combat, Defamation League, Telsey, JD, Citi, North, Thomson Locations: Garden City , New York, U.S, New York, Greater China, China, Shanghai, North America
Consumers looking to save money are scaling back on big-ticket discretionary purchases, while spending at Club name Costco Wholesale (COST) continues to thrive. Excluding impacts from changes in gasoline prices and foreign exchange, total company core-comparable sales were up 5% on an annual basis last month. Costco's "stronger than expected results are a signal it continues to take share in this difficult consumer environment," analysts at UBS wrote in a note. This strategy offers higher value proposition to customers, allowing the company to raise prices while still maintaining customer engagement. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Jim Cramer, BUD, Raymond James, Anheuser, Molson, Elliott, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: Club, Costco Wholesale, Costco, TAG, UBS, Constellation Brands, Modelo Especial, U.S ., Anheuser, Bush Inbev, Molson Coors, TAP, Constellation, Procter & Gamble, Tide, Gillette, Atlantic, Anheuser Bush, Elliott Management, CNBC, Corbis, Getty Locations: U.S, Teterboro , New Jersey
"The food industry is undergoing a major revolution," Telsey Advisory Group analyst Sarang Vora wrote in a June 26 note. The rise, fall and future of plant-based meat Plant-based meat has been around for decades. The firm is forecasting a $450 billion market opportunity for cultivated meat by 2040, perhaps reaching 20% of the global meat market. Investing in cultivated meat For investors interested in getting in on the cultivated meat "revolution," it is still early stages, said Telsey's Vora. Archer-Daniels-Midland also recently announced it is collaborating with Believer Meats on new ways to develop and commercialize cultivated meat products.
Persons: Sarang Vora, Tyson, that's, we've, Alec Lucas, Laine Clark, it's, Clark, We'll, Hiral Patel, Brazil —, Institute's Clark, We're, It's, Telsey's, Kellogg, Steve Cahillane, Steakholder, Ben Haynor, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Advisory, Department of Agriculture, Foods, McKinsey & Company, Tyson Foods, Kellogg, Global, Food Innovation, Whole Foods, Food Institute, CNET, Barclays, McKinsey, Daniels, Midland, Reuters, Steakholder, Global Partners Locations: Jordan, United States, U.S, Norway, China, India, Brazil
Headline U.S. retail sales came in softer-than-expected for June, rising 0.2% versus the 0.5% increase economists were expecting, according to the Commerce Department. But the retail sales control group, which excludes receipts from autos, building materials retailers, and gasoline stations, was up 0.56% compared to the 0.5% consensus estimates. Online sales for the month accelerated to 1.9%, while sales at department stories and groceries fell 2.4% and 0.7%, respectively. Over the long run, they expect Amazon to "continue to gain market share" through its 200 million Amazon Prime subscriber base. The Amazon Prime logo is displayed on the side of an Amazon delivery truck on June 21, 2023 in Richmond, California.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Club, Headline U.S, Commerce Department, Telsey, Group, Amazon, Amazon Web Services, CNBC Locations: United States, Richmond , California
Amazon 's Prime Day is off to a strong start, lifting third-party sellers' and other retailers' online sales, early data shows. Prime Day kicked off Tuesday and runs through Wednesday. As of midday Wednesday, Prime Day shoppers spent more per order, with an average order size of $56.07, compared with $53.14 a year ago, according to data from Numerator. The strong preliminary Prime Day sales data is the latest indicator that consumer spending may be more resilient than feared. Amazon doesn't typically provide sales data from Prime Day.
Persons: Fahim Naim, eShopportunity, Naim, Mike Scheschuk, I've Organizations: Adobe Analytics, Amazon, Walmart, Target, Adobe, Apple, Advisory, Scout, Prime Locations: U.S
Many retailers are grappling with a rise in theft at their stores that is cutting into profits. Most losses were attributed to organized retail crime, employee theft and process-control failures. While theft is an industry-wide phenomenon, the shrink headwind appeared to have more of a material impact among discount retailers. Off-price retailer TJX Companies (TJX) also cited shrink as a headwind to gross margins in its latest results . At its stores, TJX has also made efforts to better secure expensive merchandise by putting it behind locked cases and using more innovative tagging.
Persons: , hasn't, Jim Cramer's, Locker, Dana Telsey, TJX, Tom Nikic, Foot Locker, Nikic, Wedbush, Jim, Mary Dillon's, Rich Galanti, We've, Telsey, they're, Jim Cramer, Victor J Organizations: National Retail Federation, UBS, TJX Companies, Costco, Telsey Advisory, CNBC, TAG, Wedbush, Management, TJ Maxx, Blue, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: FL, New York, U.S
Shares of the retailer, which had consistently raised its outlook over the past two years, fell 4.5% to $45.07 after the dull forecast. Last month, rival Walmart raised its annual forecasts as more Americans shopped for its lower-priced groceries and other essentials. However, Kroger's gross margins rose 21 basis points, compared to a fall a year earlier, benefiting from lower supply chain costs as well as its efforts to source some products closer to its distribution centers. It also profited from shoppers - including higher-income consumers looking for more economical options amid persistent inflation - preferring its store-label brands to pricier national brands. Reporting by Granth Vanaik in Bengaluru; Editing by Shinjini GanguliOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Joseph Feldman, Kroger, Rodney McMullen, Kroger's McMullen, Arun Sundaram, Granth, Shinjini Organizations: Kroger, Investors, Walmart, Albertsons, CFRA, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTelsey: The lower-end consumer is more pressured in terms of spendingDana Telsey, CEO of Telsey Advisory Group, discusses the retail sector's performance this earnings season.
Persons: Dana Telsey Organizations: Telsey Advisory
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