As the Fed keeps raising interest rates to fight inflation, venture-debt defaults could soon go up. Venture debt, like a typical venture-capital investment, involves betting big on fledgling startups that may be far off from profitability. In the first six months of the year, venture debt increased 7.5%, even as VC funding fell 8% over the same period. The year for debtArmentum's Markell said venture debt had exploded in popularity this year as traditional VC deals dwindled and startup valuations plummeted. Factoring in expected Fed rate rises, Kroll thinks these interest rates will climb to as much as 12% next year.

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