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The Federal Reserve is gearing up to cut interest rates as soon as next month, which could bring relief to people with mortgages, credit cards and car loans. Certificates of deposit — fixed-rate bank accounts with term limits — are a go-to when interest rates are high. With interest rates coming down, the idea is just pay and save as much as you can right now. There’s no bad time to do that, but when the central bank lowers interest rates, it can be even more valuable. “It’s tempting to say, ‘Well, when interest rates go down, stocks are going to do well, because people are switching from low-return to higher-return assets,’” she said.

Persons: Mark Hamrick, “, ”, Hamrick, Rodney Lake, Laura Veldkamp, Veldkamp, Jude Boudreaux, now’s, ” Jude Boudreaux, you’re, ” Boudreaux, ” DON’T, Jonathan Smoke, Cox, Edmunds, Ivan Drury Organizations: Federal, GW Investment, George Washington University School of Business, Columbia University’s Graduate School of Business, Chipping, Columbia Business, Philadelphia Fed, Federal Reserve, Mortgage, Association, Fed Locations: U.S, Orleans, New Orleans, Edmunds

☆ Markets are counting on the Fed to head off recession with sizeable interest rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Jeff Cox | Jeff Cox Is A Finance Editor With Cnbc.Com Where He Covers All Aspects Of The Markets | Monitors Coverage Of The Financial Markets | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +5 min

Disappointing economic data recently generated worries that the Fed missed an opportunity at its meeting last week to, if not cut rates outright, send a clearer signal that easing is on the way. In the past, the Fed has implemented just nine such cuts, and all have come amid extreme duress, according to Bank of America. Lacking a catalyst for an intermeeting cut, the Fed is nonetheless expected to cut rates almost as swiftly as it hiked from March 2022-July 2023. Why wait?”LaVorgna, though, isn’t convinced the Fed is in a life-or-death battle against recession. Still, any quakes in the data, such as Friday’s downside surprise to the nonfarm payrolls numbers, could ignite recession talk quickly.

Persons: Jerome Powell, ” Steven Blitz, ”, Andrew Hollenhorst, ‘, ’ ”, Michael Gapen, Powell, Joseph LaVorgna, “, “ They’ll, isn’t, Goldman Sachs, David Rosenberg Organizations: Federal Reserve, TS Lombard, Fed, Citigroup, Bank of America, Nikko Securities, Rosenberg Research Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Nikko

☆ The popular 'carry trade' is unwinding — and economists fear Fed rate cuts could make matters worse
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Rapid interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve could make matters worse for the global "carry trade" unwind, according to economists at TS Lombard. The warning comes as market participants seek to aggressively roll back on carry trades following a dramatic global sell-off in risk assets. Carry trades refer to operations wherein an investor borrows in a currency with low interest rates, such as the Japanese yen, and reinvests the proceeds in higher-yielding assets elsewhere. The readings led investors to worry that the Federal Reserve may be behind the curve in cutting interest rates to fend off a recession. But this would exacerbate any carry trade unwind," economists at TS Lombard said in a research note published Monday.

Persons: paring Organizations: Federal Reserve, TS Lombard, Stock, Federal Locations: Europe

☆ Everyone is talking about the Sahm recession indicator. Here’s what you need to know
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A weaker-than-expected July jobs report on Friday officially triggered the Sahm rule. "We are not in a recession now — contrary the historical signal from the Sahm rule — but the momentum is in that direction," Sahm told CNBC by email on Friday. That frankly is not good enough, we can do better than avoiding a recession," Sahm told CNBC's "The Exchange." Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks at a news conference following a Federal Open Market Committee meeting at the William McChesney Martin Jr. Federal Reserve Board Building on July 31, 2024 in Washington, DC. In mid-June, Sahm told CNBC that the U.S. central bank risked tipping the economy into contraction by not cutting interest rates sooner.

Persons: Claudia Sahm, Sahm, —, we're, CNBC's, Dario Perkins, Perkins, Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Andrew Harnik Organizations: Federal, CNBC, U.S . Federal, New Century Advisors, New, Lombard, National Bureau of Economic Research, Federal Reserve, Getty, U.S Locations: U.S, Washington , DC

☆ Sanctions-hit Russia is rushing to set up payment systems, including crypto, to make trading easier
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Read previewRussia is stepping up sanctions-evading measures to keep its international trade flowing. Russian central bank governor Elvira Nabiullina said the first transactions are expected by the end of this year, per Reuters. An existing ban on crypto payments in Russia remains, but Moscow's greenlighting crypto for international trade marks a significant shift. Russia could be eying a digital-currency-based settlement systemIt isn't clear how Russia's crypto and digital currency regimes will shape up. Even China, which has one of the world's most advanced digital currencies, relies on a "two-tier" system involving banks as wallet-holding agents.

Persons: —, Elvira Nabiullina, Nabiullina, Vladimir Putin, Moscow hasn't, Christopher Granville, Granville Organizations: Service, Russia's, Duma —, Reuters, Business, Bloomberg, US Treasury, GlobalData, Lombard, Russia Locations: Russian, Russia, Ukraine, cryptocurrencies, Hong Kong, Moscow, China, UAE, Turkey, Austria, India

☆ Business owner goes viral for mass 'Trump 2024' email—why he missed the mark, from a 'productive discourse' expert
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( Ashton Jackson | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Others responded with intense distaste, especially once the memo went viral on social media. "I support Trump. I suggest buying one that shows you support Trump," he added in his email, which a recipient screenshotted and posted to Reddit. Those two sentences appear to have been removed from the version Sticker Mule posted to social media. The memo prompted more than 30,000 comments across social media platforms, and hundreds of reaction videos on TikTok.

Persons: Anthony Constantino, Donald Trump, Trump, Mule, Steven Collis, Collis, Constantino, Biden Organizations: The University of Texas, Austin School of Law, CNBC, Trump Locations: Amsterdam , New York, U.S

☆ Opinion | Party Time: Dos, Don’ts and So-Whats
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-07 | by ( ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

To the Editor:Re “How to Party (Without Regrets)” (Sunday Styles, June 23):If I were to take most of the advice in this article, I might actually leave a party with many regrets. The art of gathering should be focused on being together (as you are, without a rigid set of prescriptive rules to follow) and forging genuine connections. In a world with a never-ending list of to-dos, I feel grateful most days just to break bread with those I love, however they may like to dress or however early they may need to leave (e.g., to relieve a sitter, to go on call for night shift at a hospital). In order to find your kindred spirits, you do not need a guide on how to be performative and how to assimilate in order to “fit in.”I was particularly rankled by Rebecca Gardner’s contribution: “Please don’t ask people to take off their shoes when entering your apartment. It’s rude.”

Persons: ”, Styles, Rebecca Gardner’s Locations: ”

☆ Critics roasted LVMH for spending big on Tiffany. 4 years later, the bet doesn't look so bad.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-06 | by ( Madeline Berg | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +13 min

When luxury giant LVMH shelled out $15.8 billion for storied jewelry company Tiffany in 2021, it faced outsize expectations. On the luxury resale site The RealReal, Tiffany is the most-searched jewelry brand of 2024 so far. Meanwhile at Tiffany, LVMH is using a team of Cartier veterans. Growing pains have tarnished TiffanyBut reviving a luxury brand isn't easy, and investors have been murmuring that Tiffany's turnaround hasn't met expectations. "When you go into a Tiffany store, you're going to expect to have that amazing experience in customer service."

Persons: —, Blake Lively, Gabrielle Union, Hailey, Katy Perry, Tiffany, That's, haven't, Bernard Arnault, they're, Cartier, it's, — hasn't, Arnault, Abraham Lincoln, Mary Todd, Theodore Roosevelt, LVMH, Fflur Roberts, HSBC's Rambourg, Cindy Ord, Rambourg, Bernard Arnault's baguette, Euromonitor's Roberts, Bulgari, Jelena Sokolova, Morningstar, China —, Roberts, Jeremy Moeller, Vierig, It's, Van, Taylor Swift, Chiara Battistini, " Roberts, There's, Battistini, Audrey Hepburn, — it's, LVMH's Tiffany, Hailey Bieber, Taylor Hill, Sokolova, I'm Organizations: Service, Business, LVMH's, HSBC, Bloomberg, Getty, Cartier, Fifth, Nike, McKinsey Locations: Manhattan, China, Asia, Paris, Tiffany, influencers, LVMH's

☆ While much of Europe embraces hard-right parties, the UK has swung wildly to the left. Here’s why
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Francois Lo Presti | Afp | Getty ImagesLONDON — A somewhat strange and ironic political shift has gripped Europe over the last few years. "There's an anti-incumbency mood again in Europe," Dan Stevens, professor of politics at Exeter University, told CNBC. Shared concernsThe U.K. is not alone in looking for a political change of scenery. A similar shift has been observed in much of western and eastern Europe in recent years, with hard-right populist and nationalist parties upsetting and unseating the old political establishment. Political analysts point out that, although far-right political parties in France, Germany and Italy made gains in the recent European Parliament elections, they also did not perform quite as well as expected.

Persons: Jordan Bardella, Francois Lo Presti, Dan Stevens, Stevens, Christopher Granville, leaderships, they've, Granville, Sofia Vasilopoulou Organizations: Union, Afp, Getty, Labour Party, Conservative Party, Europe —, Exeter University, CNBC, Conservative, Party for Freedom, EMEA, TS Lombard, King's College London Locations: France, Henin, Beaumont, Europe, euroskeptic, Ukraine, Italy, Netherlands, Germany

☆ Stock market today: US stocks close at record highs after dovish June jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The June jobs report showed 206,000 jobs added to the economy, slightly above estimates. "To us, the message is the labor market is slowing," Fundstrat's Tom Lee said of the June jobs report. AdvertisementUS stocks closed at fresh record highs on Friday after a dovish June jobs report. Both indexes finished the week at record highs, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average has yet to hit its record high reached in May. AdvertisementThe April jobs report was also revised lower to 108,000 jobs added that month, down from the initial reading of 165,000.

Persons: Tom Lee, —, Steven Blitz, Lombard, JPMorgan's David Kelly Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Fed, GlobalData

☆ Stock market today: US stocks edge lower as AI-fueled tech rally stalls
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

US stocks moved slightly lower on Friday following a sharp reversal in tech stocks on Thursday. AdvertisementThe AI-fueled tech rally showed signs of exhaustion, with the stalwart Nvidia experiencing a near 7% swing in Thursday's trading session, rising as much as 3% before it finished the day lower by 3.5%. Other AI tech darlings saw sharp reversals and moved lower on Thursday, with those losses spilling over into Friday's trading session. There is rising inventory and a perceived drop in traffic that is recessionary in its level," GlobalData TS Lombard said on Thursday. Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Friday:AdvertisementHere's what else is going on today:In commodities, bonds, and crypto:

Persons: GlobalData, Lombard Organizations: Nvidia, Dell, Broadcom, Micro, Federal Reserve Locations: Here's

☆ Cost of debt should be higher for France, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCost of debt should be higher for France, economist saysDavide Oneglia, economist at TS Lombard, says total credit to gross domestic product for France is likely at the highest level in the developed world.

Persons: Davide Oneglia Organizations: TS Lombard Locations: France

☆ The Everything Guide to Partying (Without Regrets)
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( George Gurley | Carson Griffith | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +22 min

And don’t ask who else is coming. Romilly Newman, chef, food stylist, social media personality Don’t bring a guest to a seated dinner. Raul Tovar/Houses & Parties Rebecca Gardner Please don’t ask people to take off their shoes when entering your apartment. Bronson van Wyck Gosh, I don’t think you can avoid certain topics in 2024. But don’t think you’re décor.

Persons: Ivy Getty, Rufus Wainwright, We've, Lang Phipps, Kate Upton, Illa Gaunt, Rebecca Gardner, William Laird, Sarah Harrelson, Jen Rubio, Jason Sean Weiss Sarah Harrelson, Alex Hitz, Ariel Arce, Larry Milstein, Eat, Maneesh, “ I’m, Wes Gordon, Lizzi Bickford, Smile, Tefi Pessoa, Daisy Prince, There’s, “, Kristy Hurt, headhunter, Kendall Werts, Don’t, Jorn Weisbrodt Rufus Wainwright, Harry Hurt III, Liz Lange, Athena Calderone, Jennifer Gilbert, Kyle Hotchkiss Carone, it’s, you’ve, you’re, ”, Krista Schlueter, The New York Times Molly Jong, Gary Jackson Bronson van, —, Laila Gohar, Susan Gutfreund, it’ll, Josh Flagg, somebody’s, Bronson van Wyck, Max Tucci, Sara Ruffin Costello, David Sedaris’s, Steven Badius, Kyle Hotchkiss, Kendall Werts “, It’s, Truman Capote, Jennifer Gilbert Don’t, Romilly Newman, Raul Tovar, don’t, Emily Post, ” They’re, Jobe, Lela Rose, ” Lizzi Bickford, Paloma Sandoval, Elsie Richter, Whitney, I’m, Zibby Owens, Molly Jong, That’s, Yana Paskova, The New York Times Harry Hurt, Elise Taylor, Francis Hauert, Doris Hauert, Jana Platina, Plum Sykes, Putin, Julie Reiner, Karsten Moran, Jennifer Gilbert I, Ken Fulk, Nobody, Giselle, Emma Gwyther, The New York Times Kendall Werts, Sedi, Nikki Haskell, Andy Warhol, Richard Weisman, Patricia Altschul, Amy Sacco, Hunter McRae, The New York Times Patricia Altschul, Dorothy Parker, Joey Wolffer Joey Wölffer, they’re, now’s, Rufus Wainwright I’m Organizations: Yorker, The New York Times, Trump, Biden, The New York, Google Locations: Converse, Uggs, Gardens, East Hampton, N.Y, New York, Gary Jackson Bronson van Wyck, we’ll, Delmonico’s, Europe, stow, someone’s, New Hampshire, Ukraine, Israel

☆ The Fed's first rate cut could come next month if the labor market slows
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates in July to prevent a recession. Markets are only pricing in a 10% chance of an interest rate cut in July, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. AdvertisementMarkets may think it's a long-shot, but the Federal Reserve could make its first interest rate cut in July as recessionary cracks start to form in the economy. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are only pricing in a 10% chance of an interest rate cut at the July policy meeting, with most market participants expecting the first interest rate cut to happen in either September of November. And with recent data showing cracks forming in the housing and labor markets, that means a rate cut will happen sooner than most expect.

Persons: —, Steven Blitz, Jerome Powell, Powell, Neel Kashkari Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, GlobalData, Fed

☆ Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi's election shortfall leaves Wall Street scrambling
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( Seema Mody | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi gestures, at the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) headquarters in New Delhi, India, June 4, 2024. Over the past several years, chief executives from some of the biggest companies in the United States have invested time and money into relationships with Modi, as they set their sights on the Indian market. Modi's economic agendaModi's failure to secure a supermajority for his party also raises new questions about the Modi government's broader economic agenda. Now, one of the labor laws that Modi's government had intended to reform may not get implemented, because Modi's party, the Bharatiya Janata Party, or BJP, no longer holds an outright majority in Parliament. Supporters of the ruling Bharatiya Janta Party (BJP) holding cut-outs of India's Prime Minister a Narendra Modi during an election campaign rally in Amritsar on May 30, 2024.

Persons: Narendra Modi, Adnan Abidi, Garre, Modi, Pramit Chaudhuri, Rahul Sharma, Shafer Cullen, Sharma, Chaudhuri, Raghuram Rajan, Rajan, Narinder Nanu Organizations: Indian, Bharatiya Janata Party, BJP, Reuters, Bernstein, GE Aerospace, Apple, Nvidia, CNBC, Modi, Coalition, Asia Society's, Reserve Bank of India, University of Chicago's Booth School of Business, Bharatiya Janta Party, India's, Afp, Getty Locations: New Delhi, India, United States, China, Asia, Asia Society's India, Eurasia, Amritsar

☆ Nvidia's Jensen Huang receives a rockstar reception in Taiwan amid a record high stock market
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-31 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewNvidia cofounder and CEO Jensen Huang is in Taiwan this week, where he's getting rockstar reception and boosting the stock market. The drills started on Thursday, but Taiwan's stock market was little changed over the period. "In this case, the AI equity theme, physical investment in AI, and the wider upturn in electronic component demand are driving robust Taiwanese growth and the strong stock market performance," wrote Green. He added that an outright invasion of Taiwan by China is "very unlikely" due to high military and economic risk. "If the macro backdrop is positive and China remains far from achieving 'fortress-like' economic conditions, future sell-offs may offer attractive buying opportunities," Green wrote.

Persons: —, Jensen Huang, Huang, Li Xi, Morris Chang, Lisa Su —, Pat Gelsinger, Cristiano Amon, Rene Haas, Rory Green, It's, Green Organizations: Service, China's People's Liberation Army, Business, Local, rockstar, Asus, AMD, Qualcomm, Semiconductor, PLA, Investors, Philadelphia Stock Exchange, Nvidia Locations: Taiwan, China, Beijing, TSMC, Taipei, Taiwan's, GlobalData.TS, Ukraine, Russia

☆ Fed Chair Powell is 'running a risk' of inflation rising again, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Chair Powell is 'running a risk' of inflation rising again, economist saysSteven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TS Lombard, discusses the outlook for U.S. inflation and Federal Reserve monetary policy.

Persons: Powell, Steven Blitz Organizations: TS Lombard, Federal Reserve

☆ Monzo: 2024 CNBC Disruptor 50
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( Cnbc.Com Staff | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

As a digital-only bank, Monzo operates entirely within a mobile app. In September, the company partnered with BlackRock , the asset management giant, to offer three funds to Monzo customers. Founded in 2015, it has more than nine million customers, making it the largest digital bank in the U.K. and the seventh largest U.K. bank by customers. In March, Monzo raised $430 million in a new round of funding led by CapitalG, the venture arm of Alphabet. It appointed Conor Walsh, a former executive at Block's Cash App division, as the CEO at Monzo U.S. in October.

Persons: Monzo, neobanks, Starling, —, CapitalG, Conor Walsh, Anil Organizations: BlackRock, Starling Bank, Zopa, Sutton Bank, Monzo, Financial Times Locations: Monzo, U.S

☆ Displaying art in your home? Here are some do's and don'ts
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-13 | by ( Lucy Handley | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Andreas Von Einsiedel | Corbis Documentary | Getty ImagesThere are two common mistakes people make when hanging art in their homes, according to art consultant Louisa Warfield. People sometimes make the mistake of hanging artwork too high, according to art consultant Louisa Warfield. Louisa Warfield Art ConsultancyA guideline is to hang the work so that its center is about 150cm above the floor, Warfield said. Louisa Warfield Art ConsultancyIn a large home, a gallery wall might be about 160cm in height and about the width of the couch the art will hang above, Warfield said. Art collector Helen Sunderland Cohen said she aims for a "harmonious and balanced" environment when it comes to playing art.

Persons: Louisa Warfield, Andreas Von Einsiedel, Warfield, it's, David Price, Rachael Harding, —, Louisa Warfield's, Sophie Carter, Yoko Kloeden, Helen Sunderland Cohen, Yinka Shonibare, Aimee Parrott, Prunella Clough, Simon Bejer, Sunderland Cohen Organizations: CNBC, Sunderland, City & Guilds School of Art Locations: British, Nigerian, London

☆ I got a hair transplant in Istanbul, a sanctuary for balding men. It pulled me out of a dark place.
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-11 | by ( Spencer Macnaughton | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +17 min

Bennett, who's three years older than me and was a bit further along in the balding process, had been my hair loss mentor. But now, he was one of the growing number of men who traveled 5,000 miles to Istanbul, the global capital for hair transplant surgery. According to the Turkish Health Tourism Association, about one million people traveled to Turkey for a hair transplant in 2022, spending about $2 billion. Bennett/Spencer Macnaughton Show less Bennett lounging poolside in December 2022 , 11 months after his hair transplant. Spencer Macnaughton during his hair transplant in Istanbul Turkey Kenny Wassus/Business InsiderWhen they finally announced I was finished, it was around 10 p.m.

Persons: Bennett, Turkey —, who's, It's, poolside, what's, I'd, —, Aygin . Bennett, Spencer Macnaughton, Serkan Aygin, he'd, Kenny Wassus, Aygin, He's, they'd, Choi, you've, Istanbul Turkey Kenny Wassus, Kenny, I've, I'm Organizations: Mercedes Club, Business, Turkish Health Tourism Association, FDA, International Society of Dermatology, Turkish Airlines, Istanbul Airport Locations: midtown Manhattan, Turkey, Istanbul, Manhattan, New Jersey, Turkish, United States, New York, Istanbul Turkey, Detroit

☆ British neobank Monzo boosts funding round to $610 million to crack U.S. market, launch pensions
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( Ryan Browne | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

MonzoBritish neobank Monzo said Wednesday that it's raised another $190 million, lifting the total it's raised so far this year to $610 million. Singaporean sovereign wealth fund GIC also participated in Monzo's latest fundraise, a source familiar with the matter told CNBC. The total $610 million round marks the single-biggest funding round for a European fintech in the past year, according to Dealroom data. "What I like about how we're approaching this is, at the heart of it, it's not just words," Anil told CNBC in an exclusive interview Tuesday. European expansion is also on the cards, Anil said, although he didn't commit to a date for when this will happen.

Persons: Anil, Monzo, it's, GIC, we've, Monzo's, Revolut Organizations: CNBC, Hedosophia, Barclays, NatWest, BlackRock, JPMorgan, Citibank Locations: U.S, Berlin

☆ The Fed likely won't cut rates until after a recession strikes, research firm says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The Fed likely won't cut interest rates until after a recession arrives, according to GlobalData TS Lombard. The research firm said Fed Chair Powell is likely to fall into the trap of being reactionary when it comes to rate decisions. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve is making a big mistake by not cutting interest rates right now, according to GlobalData TS Lombard chief US economist Steven Blitz. And if inflation sees a sharp rebound to 5%, "they obviously hike" interest rates, Blitz said. AdvertisementAll-in, according to Blitz, it means that interest rates could stay at current levels for longer-than-expected, especially since it appears there will be no recession this year.

Persons: Powell, Steven Blitz, Jerome Powell, Blitz, Jeremy Siegel Organizations: Fed, GlobalData, Lombard, Federal Reserve

☆ Europe is beating inflation. Why can’t America declare victory?
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

The Fed aims to keep inflation at 2% over the longer run. Meanwhile, among the 20 countries that use the euro, annual consumer price inflation has slowed steadily since the start of the year. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said earlier this month that she would favor a rate hike “should progress on inflation stall or even reverse.”So why does the United States appear to have a bigger inflation problem than Europe? Some economists argue there isn’t actually much daylight between the US and European rates of inflation, pointing to a quirk in the US measures. The measure is designed to track inflation in the real estate market while accounting for the fact that most Americans own their homes.

Persons: Michelle Bowman, Paul Donovan, Simon MacAdam, ”, MacAdam, ” Carsten Brzeski, Janet Yellen, Jim Watson, Brzeski, “, ” Davide Oneglia Organizations: London CNN, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, PCE, UBS Global Wealth Management, Capital Economics, ING, CNN, Monetary Fund, Washington, Reuters, Getty, —, ECB, Lombard Locations: United States, Europe, Centreville , Maryland, AFP, Russia, Ukraine

☆ Slowing growth plus stubborn inflation add up to a headache for Fed officials
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The slowing growth and stubborn inflation picture emerging in the U.S. economy may not be quite a nightmare scenario for the Federal Reserve, but it at least could make for some restless sleep. Markets had been looking for the string of good readings dating back to mid-2022 to continue, with economists estimating real GDP growth of 2.4% and inflation readings around 3%. What it got was essentially what some on Wall Street called the worst of both worlds, with weakening growth and stubborn price pressures. The Fed will get a more granular look at PCE data on Friday when the Commerce Department releases the monthly figures for March. "We still think Fed cuts are coming this summer, before inflation has sustainably slowed."

Persons: Matthew Ryan, —, Ryan, Steven Blitz, Veronica Clark Organizations: Federal Reserve, Commerce, Treasury, Commerce Department, TS Lombard, Citigroup, Citi Locations: U.S

☆ Expect more global growth and bottoming in China, says Skylar Montgomery Konig
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpect more global growth and bottoming in China, says Skylar Montgomery KonigSkylar Montgomery Konig, Director of Macro Strategy at TS Lombard, discusses earnings, market concentration, and economic growth.

Persons: Skylar Montgomery Konig Skylar Montgomery Konig Organizations: TS Lombard Locations: China

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