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☆ The best writing online about why Trump won, why Harris lost, and what it all means
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( Theron Mohamed | Erin Snodgrass | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +20 min

Commentators and academics have been weighing in on why Donald Trump won the US election. The images of him bleeding after a failed assassination attempt became the symbol of what supporters saw as a campaign of destinyHow Mr. Trump won is also the story of how Ms. Harris lost. Laurel Duggan, UnHerdWhy white women stuck with TrumpAdvertisementThe abortion issue had seemingly little impact on Republicans's performance with white women in this cycle. Nate Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight and author of the Silver Bulletin newsletterSilver republished a lengthy blog post from late October with the new title "24 reasons that Trump won." Nate Silver offered up 24 reasons why Trump won.

Persons: Donald Trump, —, There's, Donald Trump's, They've, Kamala Harris, Frank Bruni, Let's, Harris, aren't, Hannibal Lecter, Trump, Allysia Finley, Taylor Swift, Taylor, Swift, they'd, I'd, Sarah Baxter, Mueller, Francis Fukuyama, Ankush Khardori, Politico Trump, Shane Goldmacher, Maggie Haberman, Jonathan Swan, MAGA, Biden's, John Burn, Alexandra Ulmer, Gram Slattery, Elon Musk, Jim VandeHei, Mike Allen, Axios, David Weigel, Annie Lowrey, Biden, Gerard Baker, Hitler, Laurel Duggan, UnHerd, Sen, Chuck Schumer, Todd Landman, Evan Vucci Steve Hanke, Ronald Reagan, Steve Hanke, Reagan, Steve Hanke Nate Cohn, Tina Fordham, Trump's, Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight, AP Matthew Yglesias, Yglesias, overperform electorally, Dominic Sandbrook, Sandbrook, Hillary Clinton, Tom Williams, Eric Cortellessa, Musk, Eric Cortellessa's Organizations: Service, Democratic, The New York Times Democrats, Trump, Street, Democrats Get, demeaned, Democrats, Financial, Republican, Biden, The New York Times, Trump Won, Republican Party, Britain's, Reuters Trump, White, Republicans —, Trump Republicans, Semafor, The Atlantic Voters, The, Democrat, Republicans, University of Nottingham, AP, Johns Hopkins University, Silver Locations: Trump, Ukraine, White, London, Florida, South Dakota, Arizona, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Ohio, Illinois, Wisconsin, Washington, New York City, San Francisco, Israel, California

The chart below shows the difference between Trump’s vote percentage in 2020 and his percentage in 2024 in Pennsylvania precincts. Dots above the dotted black line are precincts where Trump out-performed his vote percentage four years ago. Most precincts in Pennsylvania shifted toward Trump, with the biggest shifts coming in areas where he won 20% to 30% of the vote in 2020. While Harris and Biden both won this region comfortably, Harris’ vote margin was nearly 120,000 votes smaller than Biden’s. The map on the left shows Philadelphia precincts according to who won that precinct.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump, Trump’s overperformance, Harris, Harris ’, Biden Organizations: NBC, Republicans, Democrats, Trump Locations: Pennsylvania, Trump, Philadelphia, Harris, That’s, Center City

For many Democratic voters, Vice President Kamala Harris' loss to Donald Trump was disappointing but not surprising, they said in interviews, agreeing that their party hadn't done enough to talk about the economy and lamenting lingering racism and sexism. Voters in Dearborn, America's only Arab-majority city, broke decisively for Trump over Harris, a departure from Joe Biden’s beating Trump there in 2020. "I was really praying that she would get it," said Deborah McKinnon, 68, a Black Democratic voter from Pittsburgh. "It just underscores that Black women are the most loyal Democrats, and they were the power behind Kamala Harris' campaign," Allison said. John Park, 37, a Black Democratic voter in suburban Atlanta, said that as a warehouse worker for an automotive company, he initially liked Trump's "pro-America" approach.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Laytza Hernandez, ”, Hernandez, Sami Khaldi, Joe Biden’s, Khaldi, Biden, Luis Muza, Symone Sanders, Townsend, Sanders, “ Kamala, they're, Angela Weiss, MJay Hawkins, Hawkins, wasn’t, —, Deborah McKinnon, Hillary, Clinton, Gary Tate, Tate, Aimee Allison, Allison, George W, Bush, John Park, Trump's, Steve Harvey's, Harvey, Park, Luis Cortés, Esperanza, Harris didn't, Cortés Organizations: Democratic, NBC, Trump, Arizona State University, Biden, Howard University, Washington , D.C, Getty, —, Puerto Ricans Locations: Gaza, Dearborn , Michigan, Dearborn, America's, New York , Illinois, California, Milwaukee, Pennsylvania, Washington ,, Pittsburgh, Atlanta, America, Philadelphia

☆ 5 dead after small jet crashes into vehicle after taking off in suburban Phoenix
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms Ap-Live-Blog-Byline-Image.Png | The Associated Press | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: 1 min

MESA, Ariz. — A small jet crashed into a vehicle Tuesday after taking off from a suburban Phoenix airport, killing five people, police said. The plane crashed while taking off from Falcon Field Airport in Mesa, police there said in a statement. The Honda HA-420 light business jet struck the vehicle outside airport property at 4:40 p.m., according to the Federal Aviation Administration. Television news video showed what appeared to be a large fire on a road near the airport. The FAA, the National Transportation Safety Board and Mesa authorities will investigate.

Organizations: Falcon Field, Honda, Federal Aviation Administration, Television, Authorities, FAA, National Transportation Safety Board, Mesa Locations: Phoenix, Mesa

Vice President Kamala Harris has won Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, NBC News projects, earning an electoral vote from a red state. The historically competitive 2nd District, which includes Omaha and the surrounding suburban areas, has oscillated between Democratic and Republican representation (and presidential winners) in recent years. Nebraska is one of two states that allocates its electoral votes by congressional district. I’m voting for Harris.”Trump’s allies failed in their effort to change Nebraska’s electoral vote allocation back to a winner-take-all system. In a state that has leaned Republican going back decades, had lawmakers reverted to that model, Trump would have captured all five of the state’s electoral votes.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Barack Obama, Joe Biden, Mitt Romney, Donald Trump, Harris, ” Trump’s, Trump Organizations: Congressional District, NBC News, District, Democratic, Republican, Trump Locations: Omaha, Nebraska

☆ Lisa Blunt Rochester wins in Delaware, making her the state's first female senator
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Donna M. Owens | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +4 min

Democratic Rep. Lisa Blunt Rochester will become the first Black woman to represent Delaware in the Senate after she defeated Republican Eric Hansen and independent candidate Mike Katz, NBC News projects. Blunt Rochester, 62, told NBC News before Election Day that she had her sights set on creating jobs, protecting reproductive rights, health care and centering the needs of seniors and families. Blunt Rochester said that despite her lead in the polls, she took nothing for granted. In her grief, Blunt Rochester said, she sought direction and felt inspired to run for office. EMILY’s List, which supports women running for elected office, called Blunt Rochester a “groundbreaking leader” in a statement Tuesday night.

Persons: Lisa Blunt Rochester, Republican Eric Hansen, Mike Katz, Blunt Rochester, I’m, ”, “, ” Hansen, Katz, Laphonza Butler, Gavin Newsom, Dianne Feinstein, Butler, Debbie Walsh, Kamala Harris, Carol Moseley Braun, ” Walsh, ” Blunt Rochester, Sen, Tom Carper, Carper, Ruth Ann Minner, Delaware’s, Blunt, Jessica Mackler Organizations: Democratic, Republican, NBC, NBC News, Walmart, Procter, Gamble, Senate, Gov, Center for American Women, Rutgers University, Carol Moseley Braun of Illinois, Black, Democrat, Metropolitan Wilmington Urban League, U.S . Senate Locations: Delaware, ”, California, New Jersey, Carol Moseley Braun of, U.S

☆ Trump nabs Florida as votes are still being counted in key East Coast swing states
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Bryan Metzger | Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Trump has been declared the winner in ten states, including Florida, while Harris has won seven. AdvertisementPolls have now closed in the key swing states of Georgia, North Carolina, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. Each state gets a set number of votes that correlates with its population — if a state has two US senators and three House members, it has five electoral votes. The winner must get at least 270 electoral votes — a majority of the 538 total. She has generally polled better in these states than the Sun Belt states of Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, and North Carolina.

Persons: Trump, Harris, Mark Robinson, —, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, it's, Josh Stein, Robinson, we'll Organizations: Dems, Service, Loudon, Democrats, Trump, Biden, gubernatorial, North Carolina, Fox News, NBC, Gov, CNN, College, Electoral, Sun Locations: Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Alabama , Arkansas , Indiana, Florida , Kentucky , Mississippi , Oklahoma, South Carolina , Tennessee, West Virginia, Connecticut , Illinois, Maryland , Massachusetts , New Jersey, Rhode Island, Vermont, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Northern Virginia, Loudon, It's, Trump, North, North Carolina , Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Pennsylvania , Michigan, Arizona , Nevada , Georgia

Younger votes tilted red, Latino voters increasingly backed Trump, and spending hit record highs. Democrats' lead with young voters fell by 11 pointsAmerica's younger voters shifted to the right in 2024, exit poll data released by the major news networks indicated. The exit poll found that Latino men drove Trump's gain, as they voted for him over Harris by 10 points. Related storiesAbout two-thirds of voters felt the economy was either "not good" or "poor," exit poll data showed. Advertisement45% said their financial situation is worse than at the last election, compared to 20% of 2020 voters who felt they were worse off than in 2016.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, —, we've, Joe Biden, Harris, Gen X, Biden, Biden — Organizations: Service, Democratic, Trump, Latina, Biden, Georgia, Cities, The New York Times, Financial Times Locations: Rural, Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona, North Carolina, Trump

☆ Johnson and GOP increasingly bullish about holding onto control of House
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Sarah Ferris | Manu Raju | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

CNN —Speaker Mike Johnson and the GOP are feeling increasingly bullish about holding onto the House of Representatives, believing they have defied political gravity in key suburban seats as President-elect Donald Trump powered his party toward what may become a full sweep of Washington. But House Republicans and Democrats alike privately believe the GOP will maintain control, according to a half-dozen senior campaign operatives. “We’re going to hold the House,” one senior GOP campaign official said Wednesday. However, House Democrats insist it’s too early for a post-mortem. “We need to pitch a perfect game and that probably won’t happen,” a senior House Democrat campaign official said.

Persons: Mike Johnson, Donald Trump, “ We’re, ”, “, it’s, It’s, Jared Golden, Marcy Kaptur, Susan Wild, Don Bacon of Nebraska, Kamala Harris, Trump, Bacon Organizations: CNN, GOP, Republicans, Democrats, Democratic, Democrat, Colorado –, GOP Rep, Republican Locations: Washington, California, Oregon, Nebraska, Pennsylvania, Maine, Ohio, Trump, New York, Michigan, Colorado, California , Oregon, Arizona

☆ Living the remote life, how to practice self-care, poignant Titanic postcard: Catch up on the day’s stories
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Daniel Wine | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Editor’s Note: CNN’s 5 Things newsletter is your one-stop shop for the latest headlines and fascinating stories to start and end your busy day. The day after a high-stakes presidential election usually brings elation on one side and dejection for the other. Now’s the time to take a breather and practice a little self-care. Today, the suburban New York dad has dedicated his life — and developed a video game — to help save other young people from overdoses. 3️⃣ Poignant postcard: In 1912, a first-class passenger on the Titanic scrawled a message in pencil to someone back home in England.

Persons: ake, ike, rance, riends, tim, Tod, Coll, egon, Georg, Richard Locations: ife, nsw, Ohio

George Walker IV/AP Trump supporters watch election results come in at his election night party at the Palm Beach County Convention Center. Eva Marie Uzcategui/Bloomberg/Getty Images Election workers process mail-in ballots in West Chester, Pennsylvania, on Tuesday. Trump and Harris tied with three votes each in the tiny New Hampshire township, kicking off Election Day. Joseph Prezioso/AFP/Getty Images Election workers prepare ballots in Denver on Monday, November 4. RJ Sangosti/The Denver Post/Getty Images A patron eats inside a restaurant near the White House that had plywood covering its windows on the eve of Election Day. David Dee Delgado/AFP/Getty Images Election workers sort ballots during early voting in San Francisco on Thursday.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, he’d, George W, Bush, Harris, Hillary Clinton, Austin Steele, Roe, Wade, Biden, It’s, West Virginia Sen, Joe Manchin’s, Jim Justice’s, Montana Sen, Jon Tester, Tim Sheehy, Ohio Sen, Sherrod Brown, Bernie Moreno, Sue Ogrocki, Colin Allred, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, Debbie Mucarsel, Powell, Sen, Rick Scott, Mitch McConnell, John Cornyn, South Dakota Sen, John Thune, Democrats didn’t, Hakeem Jeffries, hamstrung, they’re, Harris underperformed Biden, –, ”, Jen O’Malley Dillon, David Axelrod, Puerto Rico, Chip Somodevilla, Ron DeSantis romped, Melania, Barron, “, Will Lanzoni, CNN Trump, Ian Maule, Go Nakamura, Jeff Roberson, Vincent Alban, Chet Strange, Leah Charles, Tianna Adams, George Walker IV, Christian Monterrosa, Shelby Knowles, Jason Bean, Rebecca Blackwell, Leah Millis, Brynn Anderson, Matt York, Paul Kuehnel, David Robert Elliott, Nathan Howard, San Francisco Columbarium, Jeff Chiu, Nicole Craine, Ernesto Benavides, Steven Vandenburgh, Charlie Riedel, Lindsey Wasson, Andres Leighton, Butch Wilmore, Suni Williams, Nick Hague, Don Pettit, Hague, Eva Marie Uzcategui, Matt Slocum, Susan B, Anthony, Lauren Petracca, Richard Burkhart, Ronald Reagan, Chris Pizzello, Rebecca Droke, Jay Janner, Ken Brandon, Charlie Neibergall, Scott Morgan, John Locher, Jordan Dunson, Chris Lachall, Bill Clark, David Goldman, David Dee Delgado, Suzanne Kreiter, Ryan Collerd, Joseph Prezioso, Charles Rex Arbogast, Patrick T, Fallon, Evan Vucci, Nam, Rebecca Cook, Elijah Nouvelage, Ed Jones, Jonathan Drake, Reuters Ohio Sen, JD Vance, Carolyn Kaster, Carlos Berríos Polanco, Skye, Quinn Glabicki, Jose Luis Magana, RJ Sangosti, Robyn Beck, Zach Boyden, Holmes, Mike Stewart, Carlos Osorio, Steven Senne, David Paul Morris, Kayria Hildebran, Jenny Kane, Craig Hudson, Bing Guan, Scott Olson, Lynne Sladky, Allison Joyce, Megan Varner, Scott Graham, Adam Bettcher, RONDA CHURCHILL, Republicans —, Texas — Organizations: CNN, White, Republican Senate, Democrats, Biden, Sun, Republican, Trump, Howard University, Democratic, Republicans, GOP, Navy, Bernie Moreno . Ohio Republican, AP Democrats, Senate, Rural, Penn State University, CNN –, Dorton, Voters, Republican Gov, Miami, Dade, CNN Trump, Reuters Trump, West Palm Beach, Reuters, Carolina, AP Trump, Convention, Center, Bloomberg, Getty, Empire, People, Reno Gazette, USA, Florida's, AP Observers, Spelman College, AP, York Hospital, Kansas City Urban Youth Academy, New York Times, CNN Howard University, San Francisco, AP Voters, NASA, Space, Mount Hope, Savannah Morning, Ronald Reagan Presidential, Austin American, Statesman, Hartford Memorial Baptist Church, Honda, Allegiant, Las Vegas Raiders, First Presbyterian Church, City, Inc, First Presbyterian, of, Boston Globe, Getty Images Trump, College Park ,, Getty Images Workers, Sipa, US, Denver Post, City of, Reuters Voters, City Hall, Atlanta's, Museum of Art, Pisgah Baptist Locations: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, Nevada, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Arizona , Georgia, New Mexico, Virginia, Trump, Washington , DC, West, Montana, Bernie Moreno ., Westlake , Ohio, Kentucky, Texas, South Dakota, Washington, New York, California, America, Pennsylvania’s Huntingdon, Montgomery County, Philadelphia, Harris, Oakland County, Trump’s, Raleigh , North Carolina, United States, Florida, Ohio, Dade County, West Palm Beach , Florida, Las Vegas, Chandler , Arizona, West Palm Beach, West Palm, Pewaukee , Wisconsin, Denver, Greensboro , North Carolina, Beach, Fulton, Fairburn , Georgia, Reno , Nevada, St . Petersburg , Florida, Atlanta, Phoenix, York , Pennsylvania, Kansas City , Missouri, Waleska , Georgia, Navajo, Kayenta , Arizona, AFP, Lawrence , Kansas, Seattle, Chinle , Arizona, West Chester , Pennsylvania, Rochester , New York, Garden City , Georgia, Savannah, Simi Valley , California, Pittsburgh, Austin , Texas, Hartford, Detroit, Omaha , Nebraska, Savannah , Georgia, Camden , New Jersey, San Francisco, Alexandria , Virginia, of Dearborn , Michigan, Boston, Lancaster , New Hampshire, Chicago, Palm Beach , Florida, College Park, College Park , Georgia, Leicester , North Carolina, Reuters Ohio, Cincinnati, Dearborn , Michigan, Caguas , Puerto Rico, Springfield , Pennsylvania, Dixville, New Hampshire, City, City of Industry , California, Des Moines , Iowa, Charlotte , North Carolina, Grand Rapids , Michigan, Providence , Rhode Island, Henderson , Nevada, Bronx, Portland , Oregon, Oregon, New Castle , Delaware, Pisgah, Pisgah Baptist Church, Brooklyn, Kenosha , Wisconsin, Miami, Wilmington , North Carolina, Minneapolis

West Palm Beach, Florida CNN —Donald Trump began his political comeback when many in his own party wanted him to go away. A lineup of former allies, including Trump’s first vice president, Mike Pence; ex-political protege Florida Gov. Trump’s political team seized on their change in fortune, selling T-shirts with his mug shot and consolidating support throughout the country. Trump’s campaign had made substantial gains among every demographic his campaign set out to find new votes. “They came from all quarters: Union, nonunion, African American, Hispanic American, Asian American, Arab American, Muslim American,” Trump said in his victory remarks.

Persons: Palm Beach , Florida CNN — Donald Trump, underwhelmed, Trump, “, ” Trump, Jill Stein, ”, Brian Hughes, Susie Wiles, Chris LaCivita, Trump’s, Susie, Chris, Joe Biden, Rather, Kamala Harris, Mike Pence, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, —, Wiles, Palm Beach . Wiles, Haley, Joe Rogan —, Alex Bruesewitz, Barron, Biden, Ronna McDaniel, McDaniel, James Blair, “ We’re, Charlie Kirk, Elon Musk, Musk, Kirk, CNN’s David Wright Organizations: Palm Beach , Florida CNN, White, Sun, Republican, Detroit, Green, Democratic, Republican Jewish Coalition, Electoral, Republican Party, GOP, Gov, United, Nazi, Mar, Michigan autoworkers, Social Security, CNN, RNC, Trump, America PAC, Musk’s, Madison Locations: Palm Beach , Florida, Palm Beach, Midwest, Israel, Florida, Trump, American, Iowa, Vermont, Washington, DC, Michigan, Bronx, Nevada, Philadelphia, Arizona, Puerto Rico, Arab

See the Voting Groups That Swung to the Right in the 2024 Vote Donald J. Trump’s swift victory was driven by red shifts across the country, with gains among seemingly every possible grouping of Americans. PennsylvaniaPennsylvania, a crucial swing state, shifted red in 2016, blue in 2020 and back to red in 2024. Less-educated counties 2,460 counties More-educated counties 285 countiesEconomic types In 2024, Mr. Trump’s support in farming counties continued to grow. Farming counties 417 counties Mining counties 206 counties Manufacturing counties 480 countiesAge Mr. Trump has generally been more popular with older voters, but his electoral performance improved across other age groups. Younger counties 101 counties Middle-age counties 521 counties Older counties 323 counties

Persons: Donald J, Joseph R, Biden, Jr, Trump, Trump’s, Kamala Harris, Harris Organizations: Mr, Georgia North Carolina Wisconsin Michigan, Mecklenburg Co, Wayne Co, Detroit, Suburban, Rural, Democratic, Mining, Manufacturing Locations: Pennsylvania Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Georgia North Carolina, Georgia North Carolina Wisconsin Michigan Cities, Philadelphia, Mecklenburg, Charlotte, Mich, Detroit, Atlanta, Urban, Black

☆ The best writing we're finding around the web on why Trump won, Harris lost, and what it all means
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Experts have been weighing in on why Donald Trump won the US election. AdvertisementThere's been an avalanche of analysis following Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election on Wednesday, as experts sought to explain how the former president won a second term. They've offered a variety of reasons, ranging from a populist revolt against the elites to Vice President Kamala Harris' shortcomings as the Democratic candidate. Nate Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight and author of the Silver Bulletin newsletterSilver republished a lengthy post from late October titled "24 reasons that Trump won." AdvertisementNate Silver offered up 24 reasons why Donald Trump won.

Persons: Donald Trump, —, There's, Donald Trump's, They've, Kamala Harris, Steve Hanke, Johns Hopkins University Hanke, Ronald Reagan, Reagan, Steve Hanke Nate Cohn, Trump, Tina Fordham, Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight, Harris, AP Matthew Yglesias, Yglesias, overperform electorally, Dominic Sandbrook, Sandbrook, Hillary Clinton, Eric Corellessa, Musk Organizations: Service, Democratic, Johns Hopkins University, The New York Times, Silver, Trump, America, AP Locations: Washington, New York City, San Francisco, Israel, California

Here's a look at some of the key counties to watch across the seven presidential battleground states, ordered by the state's final poll closing time (in Eastern Standard Time). Mitt Romney won more than 80% in Forsyth in 2012, but Trump won just two-thirds of the vote there eight years later. In 2020, Joe Biden won this county by only 4 points over Trump, while Hillary Clinton carried it by 13 points in 2016. While Trump won it by 3 points in 2016, Biden won Maricopa by 2 points four years later. And that Democratic gain helped the party flip Wisconsin in 2020, given that Biden won the state by just 20,000 votes.

Persons: Donald Trump, Mitt Romney, Anson, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Kamala Harris, Hurricane Helene, Trump, Romney, Nikki Haley, Nash, Biden, It's, Dave Wasserman, Amy Walter, Barack Obama, they've, Harris, Clinton, Dane Organizations: NBC News, Trump, Cobb, Black, Democratic, Republican, The, NBC, Clinton, Biden, Democrats, Maricopa, Arab American, University of Wisconsin, Republicans, Biden’s, GOP Locations: . Georgia, County, Forsyth, exurbs, Marietta, Gwinnett, Atlanta, North Carolina, Henderson, South, Asheville, Raleigh, North Carolina . Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Philly, Erie, Buffalo, Cleveland, Pittsburgh, Lake Erie, Lackawanna, Scranton, Northampton, Arizona, Maricopa, Michigan, Kent, Grand Rapids, Wayne, Detroit, Traverse City, . Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Waukesha, Washington

☆ The 2024 presidential election may come down to swing states' results. Here's where Trump and Harris lead in the polls.
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( John L. Dorman | Kelsey Vlamis | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +15 min

Georgia2012 margin: Romney +7.8%Advertisement2016 margin: Trump +5.1%2020 margin: Biden +0.2%Related storiesFor decades, Republicans could easily depend on the Peach State's electoral votes falling into their column. Two years later, Biden won Georgia by roughly 12,000 votes over Trump, followed by the dual 2021 runoff victories of Sens. Pennsylvania2012 margin: Obama +5.4%2016 margin: Trump +0.7%2020 margin: Biden +1.2%AdvertisementBiden's hometown of Scranton is dear to his heart so Pennsylvania was always going to be a key state for the party in 2024. Wisconsin2012 margin: Obama +6.9%2016 margin: Trump +0.8%Advertisement2020 margin: Biden +0.6%Wisconsin is one of the most politically divided states in the country. But Trump flipped Wisconsin to the GOP in 2016, the first time it had supported a Republican presidential nominee since 1984.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, —, Joe Biden, Harris, Kevin McCarthy of, Mike Johnson of, suburbanites, Roe, Wade, Trump, Bill Clinton, Kansas Sen, Bob Dole, Barry Goldwater, Mitt Romney, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Biden, Katie Hobbs, MAGA, Kari Lake, Sen, Mark Kelly, Republican Blake Masters, Adrian Fontes, Hobbs, Mark Finchem, Ruben Gallego, Stacey Abrams —, Georgia —, Abrams, Sens, Raphael Warnock, Jon Ossoff, Kelly Loeffler, David Perdue, midterms, Warnock, Republican Herschel Walker, Walker, Brian Kemp, Gretchen Whitmer, Dana Nessel, Jocelyn Benson, Obama, Clinton, Clark County Sheriff Joe Lombardo, Steve Sisolak, reelecting Sen, Catherine Cortez Masto, Adam Laxalt, — Dina Titus, Steven Horsford, Susie Lee —, Arizona GOP Sen, John McCain, Josh Stein, Mark Robinson, Roy Cooper, Gov, John Fetterman, GOP Sen, Pat Toomey, Josh Shapiro, Tom Wolf, Al Gore, John Kerry eked, Tony Evers, Scott Walker —, Tammy Baldwin, Evers, Tim Michels, Ron Johnson, Mandela Barnes Organizations: Swing, Sun, Service, Democratic, Republican, House, Republicans, State, Massachusetts Gov, Trump, Democratic Rep, GOP, Republican Party, Georgia, Gov, Michigan, Silver State, Democratic Gov, North Carolina, Arizona GOP, Romney, Democrats, Senate, Badger State Locations: Midwest, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Israel, Kevin McCarthy of California, Mike Johnson of Louisiana, Kansas, Massachusetts, Ruben Gallego . Georgia, Atlanta, Detroit, Gaza, Nevada, Silver, Clark, Clark County, North Carolina, North, Roy Cooper . Pennsylvania, Scranton, Philadelphia, Allegheny County, Pittsburgh

☆ Moreno will defeat Brown in Ohio, CNN projects, in key pickup for GOP
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Simone Pathe | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

CNN —Republican Bernie Moreno will defeat Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown, CNN projects, a key pickup for the GOP in a state that’s been trending its way and putting the GOP one step closer to securing the Senate majority. Moreno emerged as the GOP nominee earlier this year after Democrats helped prop him up in the primary, believing he’d be the weakest opponent. Moreno’s GOP allies also tried hitting Brown over transgender athletes in an effort to cast the senator as too liberal for the state. (Brown and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee went up with a response ad on the issue that says the senator agrees with GOP Gov. But Moreno had significant outside firepower from GOP groups that helped boost his candidacy in the fall.

Persons: Bernie Moreno, Democratic Sen, Sherrod Brown, Moreno, Donald Trump, he’d, Brown, —, Kamala Harris, Mike DeWine, ”, Ohioans Organizations: CNN, Democratic, GOP, Buckeye State, Republican, Senate, Democratic Senatorial, Gov Locations: nonjudicial, Buckeye, Cleveland

☆ What to watch for on Election Day as Harris and Trump face off
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | Alice Tecotzky | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Pre-election polling showed her race against former President Donald Trump could be the closest in history. Bucks County, Pennsylvania: Pennsylvania Gov. Montana: Sen. Jon Tester, a Democrat, is facing an even tougher challenge in Montana, a state Trump carried by over 16 points in 2020. AdvertisementCalifornia 22nd: Rep. David Valadao is one of 18 House Republicans representing a district President Biden won in 2020. Valadao is also one of the only two remaining House Republicans who voted to impeach Trump after the January 6 Capitol riot.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, —, Kamala Harris upended, Gallup, It's, Trump, Harris, Biden's, Obama, Carter, Josh Shapiro, Hillary Clinton, Biden, Doug Ducey, Mark Blumenthal, Blumenthal, they're, Elissa Slotkin, Mike Rogers, Rogers, Slotin, Sen, Sherrod Brown, Bernie Moreno, Brown, AdImpact, Moreno, Montana : Sen, Jon Tester, Tim Sheehy, Sheehy, Tester, David Schweikert, Katie Hobbs, Mark Kelly, Shah, Marc Molinaro, Josh Riley, David Valadao, Valadao, Rudy Salas Organizations: Service, White House, White, Electoral, North, Bucks, Pennsylvania, GOP, Democrats, Biden, Republican, Netflix, Senate, Michigan, Trump, Democrat, Cleveland, Ohio Senate, Montana :, Republicans, Rep, Gov, . New York, Democratic, Former Locations: Pennsylvania, New York, California, Michigan , Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia, Nebraska, Bucks County , Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Waukesha County , Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Clinton, Maricopa County , Arizona, Phoenix, Ohio, Montana, Arizona, Scottsdale, . New

☆ What we learned from 15 months talking to America’s most crucial voters
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( John King | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

If the former president wins, Caparra’s “my version of this country” comment could be instructive. Economic concerns dominateIf Trump wins, voters like Joseph Knowles and Brian McMutuary will be part of his comeback math too. CNNIf Harris wins, women will be the foundation of her coalition. Many Trump voters echo their candidate in saying the only way for Harris to win is through fraud. Attorney Joan London is another Haley voter turned Harris voter.

Persons: Pennsylvania CNN — Shannon Elliott, Kristin Caparra, “ I’m, ’ ’, Elliott, “, ” Caparra, Kamala Harris, ”, Caparra, Drexel Hill, Donald Trump, ” Elliott, Joe Biden’s, Caparra’s, Diehard Trump, Nikki Haley, Trump, Harris, ” Ebersole, Joseph Knowles, Brian McMutuary, Knowles, Biden, “ We’ve, –, ” Knowles, John King, CNN McMutuary, McMutuary, Tamara Varga, Suresh Sharma, ‘, ” John King, Lakeysha Hallmon, ” Hallmon, ” Shannon Elliott, ’ ” Elliott, Michael Pesce, Haley, Angela Lang, Chris Mudd, ” Trump, “ He’s, ’ ”, Pesce, Pennsylvania Haley, Joan London, she’s Organizations: Pennsylvania CNN, Trump, Drexel Hill, Democratic Socialist Party, Swarthmore, Drexel, South Carolina Gov, Republicans, CNN, Republican, Republican Party, Biden, White, Democratic, Black, Communities, Reagan Republican, GOP Locations: Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Swarthmore, Delaware County, Washington, Iowa, Michigan, Macomb County, Milwaukee, “, Tucson , Arizona, Georgia, Atlanta, Bucks County, New Tripoli , Pennsylvania, Cedar Falls , Iowa, London

When asked why, a Trump campaign official put it bluntly. “If there’s one state that could bite you in the a--, it’s North Carolina,” the official said. Yet he’s made a plan of returning to North Carolina each day until the election. While Harris campaign aides on social media chided Trump for holding a defensive posture in a state that hasn’t gone blue since 2008, the Trump campaign cast the repeated visits to North Carolina as an aggressive, cover-all-the-bases strategy. “North Carolina, I’m here to ask for your vote.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, he’s, Kamala Harris ’, ”, Trump, Harris, ” Trump, “, Hurricane Helene, —, Joe Biden, Morgan Jackson, Jackson, Roe, Wade, ” Jackson, …, Donald Trump Organizations: Sun, Trump, Gastonia, Silver State, Republicans, Republican, Democratic, optimist, North, North Carolina Democrats, Democrats, Obama Locations: North Carolina, it’s North Carolina, Virginia, New Mexico, Greensboro, Gastonia, Charlotte, Kinston, Raleigh, Gastonia Saturday, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada, Silver

☆ 10 House races to watch on election night (and beyond)
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-03 | by ( Terence Burlij | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +17 min

With so much at stake, CNN has identified 10 races to watch on Tuesday – grouped into buckets that nod to broader themes across the House landscape. Democratic Rep. Abigail Spanberger decided against seeking a fourth term, instead launching a campaign for governor in 2025. Democratic Rep. Jared Golden has crafted a moderate profile by challenging his party on issues ranging from spending to immigration. This year she faces a challenge from GOP state Rep. Gabe Evans, a fellow Mexican American and a former Army helicopter pilot and police officer. GOP Rep. Zach Nunn, an Air Force officer, was first elected in 2022 – defeating Democratic Rep. Cindy Axne by about 2,000 votes.

Persons: CNN —, Mike Johnson, Hakeem Jeffries, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Eugene Vindman, Derrick Anderson, Abigail Spanberger, Biden, Vindman, Anderson, Trump’s, Alexander –, Volodymyr Zelensky, Jen Kiggans, Missy Cotter Smasal, Don Bacon, Tony Vargas, –, Joe Biden, Brad Ashford, Bacon, Vargas, Harris, Jared Golden, Austin Theriault, Golden, Theriault, Elissa Slotkin’s, Curtis Hertel, Tom Barrett –, Barrett, Gretchen Whitmer, Michigan’s, Dan Kildee, Yadira Caraveo, Gabe Evans, Hyoung Chang, Yadira, Evans, Scott Perry, Janelle Stelson, Stelson, Josh Shapiro, Perry, Marc Molinaro, Josh Riley, Sen, Al Franken, Trump, Michelle Steel, Derek Tran, Don Davis, Davis, Laurie Buckhout, Zach Nunn, Cindy Axne, Lanon Baccam, CNN’s David Wright, Matt Holt, Molly English, Renée Rigdon, Andrew Menezes Organizations: CNN, Congress, Republicans, GOP, Louisiana Republican, New York Democrat, White, Republican, Democratic, Labor, Army, National Security Council, NSC, Biden, Nebraska Rep, GOP Rep, Air Force, Democrats, Electoral College, Harris, Capitol, Trump, Marine Corps, Trump voters, NASCAR, Democrats outpacing Republicans, Republican Democratic Rep, Army helicopter, Slotkin, Hertel, CIA, Central Michigan, Colorado Rep, Denver Post, crosscurrents, Colorado, Latina, Caucus, – Trump, MAGA, Empire, Democrats outspending Republicans, District :, US Army, North, North Carolina –, an Air Force, Iowa’s, Dallas County, US Department of Agriculture Locations: Louisiana, Virginia’s, Washington, Virginia, District, Virginia Beach, Omaha, Maine’s, Canada, Lewiston –, AdImpact, Michigan’s, Michigan, Lansing, Central, Denver, exurbs, Mexican, Aurora, Central Pennsylvania, New York, Empire, Hudson, It’s, California’s, District : California, California, Orange, Los Angeles, Korean, North Carolina’s, North Carolina, Alabama, Iowa’s, Des Moines, Laos

☆ The US presidential election is 2 days away. Here's where things stand.
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-03 | by ( John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Harris and Trump are campaigning in swing states as they make their final appeals to voters. AdvertisementWith Election Day on Tuesday, the end is in sight for what has been a contentious US presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. It wasn't long before Harris began to narrow the gap between the Democrats and the GOP in the presidential race. Now, millions of women live in states with near-total abortion bans, while millions of other women live in states where abortion rights have been strengthened. In the closing days of the race, Harris has heavily emphasized the issue, which also helped Democrats in the 2022 midterms.

Persons: Harris, Trump, —, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Biden, Brandon Bell, Barack Obama, ANGELA WEISS, Roe, Wade Organizations: Service, Democratic, Democratic Party, GOP, Congressional, Getty Images, Nebraska's, Nebraska's Omaha, Sun, Biden, Trump, Getty, New York Times, Siena College Locations: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Getty Images Michigan, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, United States, Siena

☆ After their son came out as gay, these conservative Christian parents went into a closet of their own
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-03 | by ( John Blake | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +37 min

But that’s not what happened to Greg Jr. That’s what happened to his parents, Greg Sr. and Lynn McDonald. One of them is a portrait of their son, Greg Jr., around the time his parents confronted him about his secret. An undated family photo shows Greg Jr., Greg Sr., Lynn and Connie McDonald. Courtesy Greg Sr. and Lynn McDonaldEven so, Greg Jr. learned to be quiet and blend in. They didn’t know how to answer this question: Can you still love God, the Bible and your gay son?

Persons: Greg McDonald Jr, “, you’re, ” Greg Jr, Betsy, Greg Jr, he’d, He’d, ”, that’s, Greg Sr, Lynn McDonald, Greg, ’, Austin Steele, ” Rob Bell’s, Charles Swindoll’s “, Ali Forney, –, PFLAG –, Lynn, ‘, McDonald, Hodges, Jon Cherry, Kahlib Barton, Barton, they’re, ” Barton, Connie, Grace ’, ” Greg Sr, He’ll, Connie McDonald, ” Lynn, James Dobson, ” Dobson, Jeff Fusco, ” Lynn McDonald, Abraham, Isaac, “ Wanna, Karen, David Gushee, ethicists, Gushee, ” Gushee, Gushee’s, Jesus, —, Lynn’s, ’ ’ ’ Lynn, David Quinones, Quinones, Deb, Josh, ” Quinones, David Quinones Quinones, ” David Quinones, Andy Stanley, Stanley, Sterling Graves, Albert Mohler, podcaster, Mohler, ” “, ” Mohler, Dominic Gwinn, ” Stanley, Andy, “ Greg Jr, ” Greg McDonald, ‘ We’re, Greg McDonald, They’ve, Patrick Potulski, Potulski, ” Potulski, Standing, he’s Greg Jr, Jon, doesn’t, John Blake Organizations: CNN, McDonalds, Christian, Ali, Supreme, Kentucky State Capitol, DePaul University in, DePaul, Fashion Institute of Technology, ”, Episcopal, North Point Community Church, North, “, Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, National Conservative Conference, Washington D.C, McDonald Locations: Grand Rapids , Michigan, America, Chattahoochee, Atlanta, Christian, Frankfort , Kentucky, DePaul University in Chicago, Philadelphia, Chicago, New York City, Duluth , Georgia, New Zealand, Georgia, North Point, Atlanta ., North, Washington, AFP, England, South Africa, Australia, Ethiopia, Poland

Here are five keys to Harris’ bid to make history and become the first woman, the first Black woman and the first Indian American person to become president. Harris cannot afford much slippage with these groups, which are full of low-propensity voters who need encouragement to turn out. Here are five keys to a Trump victoryBut will that curiosity materialize into actual votes for Trump at the ballot box? They could give Harris a crucial boost because these voters tend to reliably turn out in election after election. In addition, Trump has campaigned heavily on the fears of migration and blamed Harris for chaos at the southern border.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Harris ’, Joe Biden, Wade, enshrine Roe, Gen, Joe Rogan’s, Dave Portnoy, Elon Musk, John Della Volpe, “ bro, ” Will, Liz Cheney, Adam Kinzinger, Nikki Haley, Biden, — Organizations: Sun, Black, Trump, Democratic, Democrats, Sports, Republican, Republicans Locations: Lakes, It’s

As the Fed lowers rates, mortgage rates are expected to go down, though next week's cut is already priced in and is unlikely to have an impact. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowWhat Are Today's Mortgage Refinance Rates? See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering around 6.50%, according to Zillow data. But now that inflation has decelerated and the Fed has started cutting rates, mortgage rates have trended down.

Persons: they've, Freddie Mac, it's, Fannie Mae Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Boeing, Federal Reserve, Zillow, Fed, Mortgage, Association, ARM, . Government Locations: U.S, Chevron, Government

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