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Former US President Donald Trump during a campaign event at Trump National Doral Golf Club in Miami, Florida, US, on Tuesday, July 9, 2024. "Trump's re-election would thus pose a significant downside risk to our otherwise constructive growth forecast for the Euro area." Trade policy uncertainty, added defense and security pressures and spillover effects from U.S. domestic policies on, for example, taxes could impact Europe, they explained. Trade tensionsTrump's trade policy, and the uncertainty around it, could be one factor that impacts Europe's economy, just as it did during his last presidency, analysts Stehn and Moberly said. In 2018 and 2019, uncertainty about trade policy reduced industrial production in the euro area by around 2%, they estimated.
Persons: Donald Trump, Eva Marie Uzcategui, Goldman Sachs, Jari Stehn, James Moberly, Trump's, Trump, Joe Biden, Moberly Organizations: Trump National Doral Golf Club, Bloomberg, Getty, White, Trump, European Union, EU, . Defense, NATO, U.S, Stehn Locations: Miami , Florida, Europe, Pennsylvania, U.S, Germany, Stehn, Moberly, Ukraine
Commercial and residential buildings are illuminated at dawn in Seoul, South Korea, on Saturday, Oct. 21, 2023. Japan's Nikkei 225 surged to a fresh high on Thursday, crossing the 42,000 mark for the first time. Other Asia-Pacific markets rose on the back of a U.S. Big Tech rally and greater confidence on Federal Reserve rate cuts. Chip stocks were among the biggest winners of the U.S. trading session. In Asia, investors will be watching for any spillover optimism in the region's tech stocks, particularly in Japan, where chip related companies have lifted the Nikkei 225 to record highs.
Persons: Topix Organizations: Nikkei, Big Tech, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Qualcomm, Broadcom, Bank of Locations: Seoul, South Korea, Asia, Pacific, U.S, Japan
France's parliamentary election has already rattled investors as the country's risk premium rises — but two possible scenarios have still not been priced in by markets and could impact stocks in the wider European region, according to Citi. "However, the market is not priced in for far-right or far-left majority," Manthey said. "The outcome is still quite unclear, we only have polling for the first round of the election. "Let's put the announcement of the election in the context of the positioning of the investors. If the French election outcome "is very market unfriendly ... markets in Europe are quite correlated.
Persons: Beata Manthey, CNBC's, Manthey, Emmanuel Macron's, Let's, we've Organizations: Citi, CAC Locations: Sunday's, Europe, U.S
Over the past few years, the country has attracted billions of dollars in data center investments, including from tech giants like Google , Nvidia and Microsoft . Data center capacity is typically measured by the amount of electricity it consumes. Until then, Japan followed by Singapore currently lead the region in terms of live data center capacity. The index did not provide a detailed breakdown of data center capacity in China. Kenanga Investment Bank Research estimates that potential electricity demand from data centers in Malaysia will hit a total maximum demand of 5 GW by 2035.
Persons: James Murphy, APAC, Murphy, Byte's Murphy, it's Organizations: Luza, Getty, Malaysia, Google, Nvidia, Microsoft, DC, Authorities, Kenanga Investment Bank Research, Tenaga Nasional Berhad Locations: Southeast Asia, Johor Bahru, Singapore, Asia, Malaysia, Japan, India, China, Hong Kong, Malaysian
3 risks to global economic growth
  + stars: | 2024-06-13 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
The World Bank on Tuesday raised its 2024 outlook for global economic growth to hold steady at 2.6%, an increase from its previous projection of 2.4% growth. “Four years after the upheavals caused by the pandemic, conflicts, inflation, and monetary tightening, it appears that global economic growth is steadying,” Indermit Gill, the World Bank’s chief economist, said in a release accompanying the report. Prospects for the world’s poorest economies are even more worrisome.”Here are three risks the World Bank sees. The World Bank said that spillover risk from the Russia-Ukraine war and Israel-Hamas war could curb global growth by pushing up oil prices and shipping costs. Trade tensions are already brewing between some of the world’s biggest global economic engines.
Persons: ” Indermit Gill, Jerome Powell, , Ayhan Kose, Danielle Wiener, Bronner, Joe Erlinger, aren’t, TikTok, John S, James L, Donald Trump, Joe Biden’s, Biden Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Bank, World Bank, European Central Bank and Bank of Canada, US Federal Reserve, European Commission, EU, Bureau of Labor Statistics, McDonald’s, Pew Research Center, Knight Foundation, TikTok Locations: New York, Russia, Ukraine, Israel, India, Mexico, United States, France, United Kingdom, China, Beijing
CNN —Dr. Anthony Fauci, the former director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, testified on Monday at a House subcommittee hearing about the US response to the Covid-19 pandemic and the origins of the virus. The hearing was Fauci’s first public testimony on Capitol Hill since his retirement from government service. It turned contentious at times as Republicans grilled Fauci over a wide range of topics, including the basis for public health recommendations during the pandemic and email use by public health officials. Fauci said there was a “disconnect between the health-care system and the public health system” during Covid-19 in the US. That’s in large part why public health agencies emphasized the importance of people wearing masks to reduce the number of germs that could float in the air and make people sick.
Persons: Anthony Fauci, Fauci, ” Fauci, Morens, David Morens, , — Jeremy Farrar, Kristian Andersen, , Debbie Dingell, “ They’re Organizations: CNN, National Institute of Allergy, Capitol, US Centers for Disease Control, National Institutes of Health, NIH, FOIA, Wellcome, Scripps Research, World Health Organization, Wuhan Institute of Virology, US Department of Energy, Democratic, CDC Locations: Covid, , China
Opinion Guest Essay Why the Pandemic Probably Started in a Lab, in 5 Key Points Illustration by Mike McQuade. Here’s what we now know:1 The SARS-like virus that caused the pandemic emerged in Wuhan, the city where the world’s foremost research lab for SARS-like viruses is located. Wuhan China Taiwan Laos South China Sea Thailand The pandemic started roughly 1,000 miles away, in Wuhan, home to the world’s foremost SARS-like virus research lab. Wuhan China East China Sea india Taiwan Myanmar Laos South China Sea philippines Thailand The pandemic started roughly 1,000 miles away, in Wuhan, home to the world’s foremost SARS-like virus research lab. In the United States, virologists generally use stricter Biosafety Level 3 protocols when working with SARS-like viruses.
Persons: Mike McQuade, Anthony Fauci, , Shi Zhengli, Shi’s, Sarah Temmam et, Shi, coronavirus, EcoHealth, Peter Daszak, Biden, Daszak, Baric, Jesse Bloom, Fauci Organizations: Getty Images, National Institute of Allergy, Wuhan Institute of Virology, China East China, U.S, New York, Facebook Locations: United States, Wuhan, China, Yunnan, Southeast Asia, Laos, Yunnan province Taiwan Laos, Laos South China, Thailand, China East China, Taiwan Myanmar Laos South China, Laos philippines Thailand, Taiwan Laos South China, China East, philippines Thailand, Wuhan China Taiwan Laos South China, Wuhan China East China, China Wuhan East China, Covid, MERS
Thomas Coex | Afp | Getty ImagesThe oil-producing Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies could extend existing output cuts this week, delegates and analysts told CNBC, even as focus shifts from Middle East tensions to summer demand. OPEC+ producers are currently implementing a combined 5.86 million barrels per day of supply cuts. And then August is the peak month for tightness," Viktor Katona, lead crude analyst at Kpler, told CNBC. "However, I think that the market right now has priced in a full extension of the voluntary cuts. A high-inflation environment and tight monetary policy in turn reined in oil demand, but central banks have signaled readiness to lower interest rates in the second half of the year.
Persons: Thomas Coex, Viktor Katona, overproducers, Jorge Leon, Yemen's, Tamas Varga Organizations: Organization of, Petroleum, Afp, Getty, CNBC, Energy, Market Research, PVM Oil Associates, United Arab Emirates Locations: OPEC, Vienna, China, Iraq, Kazakhstan, Paris, Ukraine, Gaza, Red, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Guyana, Brazil, Canada
AdvertisementGetting accepted is just the startThe Manhattan mental health court is one path available to those who plead guilty to felonies. Related storiesMerchan is the sole judge of the mental health court in all of Manhattan, and has presided over it since its founding in 2011. If the office allows it, a mental health court treatment plan can become part of their plea agreement, which includes different consequences for failures. "It's really hard, a huge burden to even get so far as to be accepted into mental health court," said Orlins. If you fail the mental health court program in such a dramatic fashion, the next step can be a sentencing hearing.
Persons: , Donald Trump's, Stormy Daniels, Juan Merchan, Merchan, Donald Trump, Curtis Means, Trump, I'm, Eliza Orlins, Justice Juan M, Seth Wenig, Juan Merchan's, ANGELA WEISS, Orlins, Jane Rosenberg, Iris Organizations: Service, Republican, Business, New, Trump, Justice, AP, Manhattan, Attorney's, Getty, Associated Press Locations: United States, Washington, Manhattan, New York City
In this photo illustration the Nvidia logo is displayed on a smartphone screen and in the background. Asia-Pacific markets are set to extend gains from Monday as tech shares pushed the Nasdaq Composite to record highs. Nvidia shares gained more than 2% overnight on multiple bullish analyst calls that highlighted the company's preeminent market position. The tech-heavy Nasdaq gained 0.65% to reach an all-time intraday high and close at a record level at 16,794.87. Investors in Asia will be watching for any spillover effect on companies up and down Nvidia's value chain, such as Taiwan's TSMC and Foxconn , as well as South Korea's Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix.
Organizations: Nasdaq, Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix Locations: Asia, Pacific
The bird flu virus that is spreading through American dairy cows can probably be traced back to a single spillover event. Late last year, scientists believe, the virus jumped from wild birds into cattle in the Texas panhandle. By this spring, the virus, known as H5N1, had traveled hundreds of miles or more, appearing on farms in Idaho, North Carolina and Michigan. Instead, it hitched a ride with its hosts, the cows, moving into new states as cattle were transported from the outbreak’s epicenter to farms across the country. Many facilities focus on just one step in the production process — producing new young, for instance, or fattening adults for slaughter — and then send the animals on.
Locations: Texas, Idaho , North Carolina, Michigan, United States
The index has rallied nearly 30% from its January low, having entered a bull market earlier this month. Longfor Group, the ninth largest homebuilder in China, surged 11%, becoming the top performing stock on the Hang Seng Index. “We think this is a largely symbolic move to show support for the sector with a ‘national team’ for the housing market,” said Citi analysts. “We are cautiously optimistic about the ‘government-led buying on unsold units’ as it’s still being rolled out in more cities, “ said Jeff Zhang, an equity analyst at Morningstar. Nasdaq Golden China Index, which tracks Chinese companies listed on Wall Street, has gained 11% since the start of April.
Persons: , , Jeff Zhang Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Longfor, China Holdings, National Development, Reform Commission, , Citi, ING Group, Morningstar, homebuyers, Communist Party, Nasdaq Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing, Hangzhou, Xi’an, Chengdu, Shanghai
The intelligence chief of Israel's Defense Forces has resigned citing failures linked to the Hamas terror attack carried out on Oct. 7, during which 1,200 people died in Israel and more than 200 were taken hostage. "On Saturday, October 7, 2023, Hamas carried out a murderous surprise attack against the State of Israel, whose consequences are severe and painful. Haliva had previously assumed responsibility for failure to prevent the devastating attack, amid mounting domestic criticism and demands for accountability from Israel's highest echelons. "The reports regarding sanctions against the Netzah Yehuda Battalion are not currently known to the IDF. Should such a decision be made on the matter, its consequences will be reviewed," the Israeli military added.
Persons: Aharon Haliva, Haliva, Benjamin Netanyahu, Haliva's, Netanyahu, Axios, Netzah Yehuda, Yehuda, Yoav Gallant, Antony Blinken Organizations: Israel's Defense Forces, State, IDF, Israeli, Reuters, Times, Hamas, West Bank, CNBC, Netzah, Israel Defense Forces, U.S Locations: Israel, Times of Israel, Gaza, U.S, Iran
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina faces a difficult balancing act managing its currency: StrategistFrancesca Fornasari of Insight Investment expects the Chinese Yuan to remain 'relatively steady' against the U.S. dollar, but says that creates spillover effect to other Asian currencies.
Persons: Francesca Fornasari, Yuan Organizations: China, Insight Investment, U.S .
That’s why Fed Chair Powell conveyed on Tuesday the central bank won’t be cutting interest rates any time soon. How would the US economy handle more months of painstakingly high interest rates? Investors are banking on cutsWhen Fed officials initially penciled in three rate cuts at the end of last year, markets hit new highs. But the longer the Fed leaves interest rates higher means more pain could be inflicted on households and businesses, said Goldstein. But not everyone thinks cracks in the economy will widen if the Fed doesn’t cut rates this year.
Persons: Powell, ” Powell, paring, Itay Goldstein, Tesla, Goldstein, , Brian Rose, David Mericle, Goldman Sachs Organizations: New, New York CNN — Federal Reserve, Bank of Canada, Tiff, Investors, Dow, Nasdaq, University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business, CNN, Fed, Treasury, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA spillover of Middle East tensions is a big geopolitical risk, says IMF's Gita GopinathSpeaking to CNBC's Karen Tso at the International Monetary Fund's Spring Meetings, Gita Gopinath, first deputy managing director of the IMF, discusses the major geopolitical risks facing markets and the world.
Persons: Gopinath, Karen Tso, Gita Gopinath Organizations: International
Crude oil prices have been volatile in April amid heightened geopolitical risks. Fears of a spillover conflict in the Middle East have led some market watchers to predict oil prices could soar to $100 per barrel and beyond . Any disruption in its capacity to supply global markets could send oil prices higher, analysts told CNBC. Oil and gas stocks that show a negative correlation with crude oil prices will enable investors to withstand any volatility while remaining invested in the sector. A correlation of 0 would mean no link between the crude oil price and the stock price.
Persons: Bartosz, Andy Lipow, — CNBC's Lee Ying Shan, Jenni Reid Organizations: Organization of, Petroleum, CNBC, Brent, Lipow Oil Associates, CNBC Pro, Energy Locations: Iran, Israel, Conotoxia, Hormuz, lockstep
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde on Tuesday said the central bank remains on course to cut interest rates in the near term, subject to any major shocks. Lagarde said the ECB would monitor oil prices "very closely" amid elevated fears of a spillover conflict in the Middle East. However, since Iran's unprecedented air attack on Israel over the weekend, she said the oil price reaction had been "relatively moderate." Her comments come shortly after the central bank gave its clearest indication to date that it could start cutting interest rates during its June meeting. The ECB on Thursday held interest rates steady at a record high for the fifth consecutive meeting, but signaled that cooling inflation means it could begin trimming soon.
Persons: Christine Lagarde, Lagarde, CNBC's Sara Eisen Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB Locations: Israel
“China calls on the international community, especially countries with influence, to play a constructive role for the peace and stability of the region,” the ministry added. The decision by Iran’s leaders to strike at Israel directly has pushed the shadow war between the two regional foes into the open. That’s why China does not condemn Iran,” said Yun Sun, director of the China program at the Washington-based Stimson Center think tank. Beijing meanwhile denounced the strike as a “barbarian act,” with protests erupting outside US diplomatic compounds across China. “For China, had US applies enough pressure on Israel, neither the Israeli attack nor the Iranian retaliation would have taken place.
Persons: Beijing’s, Antony Blinken, Wang Yi –, Saudi Arabia –, , William Figueroa, Figueroa, , Xi Jinping, China’s, Iran ”, Israel, ” Figueroa, Wang Wenbin, Wang, Yun Sun, Bill Clinton, Jiang Zemin, ” Sun, Kishida, Jaishankar, Israel Katz, Hossein Amirabdollahian Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Foreign Ministry, Washington, US State Department, Hamas, Beijing, Tehran, University of Groningen, Global Security Initiative, CNN, Chinese Foreign Ministry, Stimson, NATO, Embassy, Japan’s, Israel’s Foreign, Iranian Locations: China, Hong Kong, East, Iran, Israel, Beijing, Gaza, Tehran, Damascus, Republic, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Palestinian, Red, Tehran –, Netherlands, underinvestment, United States, Israeli, Syria, Quds, Washington, Belgrade, That’s, Yugoslavia, Asia, , India, Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia
Anadolu | Anadolu | Getty ImagesWorld leaders have called for calm in the aftermath of Iran's large-scale air attacks on Israel on Saturday, with many expressing deep concern over the prospect of a broader regional conflict. Ahead of a war cabinet meeting on Monday, Israel has pledged to "exact a price" from Iran in response to the Saturday attack. watch nowU.S. President Joe Biden on Saturday said that he condemned "in the strongest possible terms" Iran's unprecedented air attack against military facilities in Israel. 'No one wants to see more bloodshed'European leaders castigated Iran's attack against Israel and vowed to work to de-escalate the situation. France and the U.K. intercepted some of Iran's strikes on Israel on Saturday.
Persons: Israel, Joe Biden, Biden, Benjamin Netanyahu, Iran's, Emmanuel Macron, Rishi Sunak, Annalena Baerbock, Baerbock, Sunak, Yoko Kamikawa, Kamikawa, Gustavo Petro, Petro, Nicolas Maduro Organizations: Anadolu, Getty, CNBC, NBC News, Downing, German, NBC, Israel, Saudi Arabia's Foreign, United Nations Security Council, Sunday, UN, UNRWA, Kyodo, Japan's, United Nations, Colombia's, Bloomberg Locations: Israel, Tehran, Iran, Syria, Gaza, Syrian, Damascus, France, London, England, Germany, East, North Africa, Saudi, Egypt, Asia, China, Beijing, Palestine, Tokyo, Japan, South America, U.S, Miraflores, Caracas, Venezuela
Iran has warned that it will respond with “stronger and more resolute” actions if Israel retaliates over this weekend’s strikes, according to Tehran’s ambassador to the United Nations. Biden will also meet with G7 leaders on Sunday “to coordinate a united diplomatic response to Iran’s brazen attack,” according to a statement released by the White House. US defensive assets moved to the region earlier this week and “helped Israel take down nearly all of the incoming drones and missiles,” according to the statement. US forces intercepted more than 70 one-way attack drones and at least 3 ballistic missiles Iran fired toward Israel, according to two US official familiar with the situation. US fighter jets were also part of the US’ response to Iran’s attack on Saturday and shot down drones launched towards Israel, another US official told CNN.
Persons: Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu, Joe Biden, Iran –, , , Biden, Netanyahu, Jordan, ” CNN’s Nic Robertson, , Mohammed Reza Zahedi, Mohammad Hadi Haji Rahimi, Donald Trump, IRGC, Qassem Soleimani, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Ebrahim Raisi, IRNA, ” Israel, General Mohammad Reza Ashtiani, Iran’s, António Guterres, Josep Borrell, Rishi Sunak, Javier Milei, Manuel Adorni, CNN’s Paul Murphy Organizations: CNN, Israel, United Nations, Iran, White House, US Navy, US, Revolutionary Guards, Iran’s Defense, Foreign Ministry, UN, British Locations: Iran, Syria, Israel, Republic, Haifa, Jordan, Iraq, Lebanon, Jerusalem, Tel Aviv, Gaza, Damascus, Baghdad, Lebanese, Quds, East, Europe, America, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, France, Netherlands, Austria, Czech Republic, Spain, Portugal, China, Beijing, Chile, Mexico, Denmark
Vcg | Visual China Group | Getty ImagesBEIJING — China's latest policy to boost demand will soon have a greater effect on growth, a top official at the economic planning agency told reporters Thursday. "We believe this work will achieve bigger and bigger results," he said in Mandarin, translated by CNBC. He noted that equipment upgrades account for 9% to 10% of total GDP. 'Strong' central government fiscal supportIn terms of fiscal funding for those upgrades, Zhao said the central government would provide "strong support." Part of the equipment upgrade and consumer trade-in policy also focuses on improving standards for the kinds of products that can be used.
Persons: That's, Zhao Chenxin, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Zhao, Bruce Pang, Fu Jinling, Fu, Francoise Huang, We're, JLL's Pang, Shan Zhongde Organizations: Visual China, Getty, BEIJING, National Development, Reform Commission, CNBC, Analysts, People's Bank of, Allianz Trade, Ministry of Industry, Information Technology, Ministry of Housing, Ministry of Commerce, State Administration, Market, China's Ministry of Commerce, Industry, Global Locations: Qingzhou, Weifang City, Shandong Province, China, oversupply, Beijing, JLL, People's Bank of China
CNBC Daily Open: Fights in the House of Mouse
  + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( Clement Tan | In Clemtan | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Actors dressed as Walt Disney characters Mickey Mouse (left) and Minnie Mouse (right) perform during a press preview for the "Minnie Besties Bash!" This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Rumbling signs of lifeThe IPO market in the U.S. is showing signs of revival after more than two years. CNBC previously reported that United would pause pilot hiring this spring for the same reason.
Persons: Walt Disney, Mickey Mouse, Minnie Mouse, Minnie Besties, Jerome Powell's, Slack, Matt Orton Organizations: Tokyo Disneyland, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, European Commission, United Airlines, Boeing Locations: Tokyo, Urayasu, Japan, U.S
Starting Monday, fast-food workers in California at chains with more than 60 national locations earn $20 an hour, higher than the state's broader minimum wage of $16 per hour. California pay is already highwatch nowWhile the new fast-food minimum wage is among the highest in the U.S., California employers are used to paying more for their labor. Even when it is not mandated, restaurants usually find themselves paying more than the minimum wage to attract hourly workers. As a full-service restaurant chain, the company won't be obligated to pay its California workers $20 an hour. Advocates prepare to go biggerFrom start to finish, the California law, which was backed by the Service Employees International Union, has been controversial.
Persons: David Paul Morris, Gavin Newsom, Matthew Haller, Daniel Zhao, Zhao, Lauren Crabbe, she's, Crabbe, Matthew Clark, Jennifer B, Perez, I'm, it's, Newsom, Greg Flynn, Flynn Organizations: McDonald's Corp, Bloomberg, Getty, International Franchise Association, CNBC, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Service Employees International Union, Gov, SEIU Locations: Oakland , California, U.S, California, , California, Fresno, San Francisco, Long Beach
EIU also expects the Bank of Japan will exit its negative interest rate policy in the second quarter. Markets currently expect the Fed to start with a 25-basis-point rate cut in June. Euro zoneThe European Central Bank last week also held its policy rate at a record high of 4%, signaling that it won't cut rates before June. JPMorgan said in a research note that the Turkish central bank may cut its policy rate in November and December, keeping its year-end policy rate forecast of 45%. IndonesiaIndonesia's central bank kept its benchmark policy rate at 6% in its recent meeting.
Persons: EIU, Jerome Powell, LSEG, Nomura, Perry Warjiyo, CNBC's JP Ong, BOK, Goldman Sachs, Goohoon Kwon, Kwon Organizations: Getty, Economist Intelligence Unit, Bank of Japan, United, United States U.S, Federal, Fed, European Central Bank, ECB, Swiss National Bank, UBS, Bank of Canada, Bank of, JPMorgan, Reserve Bank of, ANZ, New Zealand Auckland Savings Bank, Bank, Bank Indonesia, BMI, Fitch Solutions, U.S, Oxford Economics, Macquarie Locations: Czech, China, Japan, United States, Switzerland Swiss, Bank of Canada, Turkey, Turkish, Reserve Bank of Australia, New, Indonesia, South Korea, Asia
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