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College students around America are beginning the trek back to campus. A precursor to that journey is the back-to-school shopping season, and this year it's estimated to hit a record-breaking $94 billion for college students. Inflation is driving the price of school supplies up, but it's a TikTok trend that may be fueling a part of the high spending for college students. Back-to-school shopping is also used as a barometer to gauge potential holiday spending. Watch the video above to find out more about the TikTok trend fueling back-to-college spending.
Persons: Simeon Siegel Organizations: National Retail Federation, BMO Locations: America, U.S
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe are seeing people shop when they are given a reason to, says BMO's Simeon SiegelSimeon Siegel, BMO Senior Analyst, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the upcoming slate of retail earnings.
Persons: BMO's Simeon Siegel Simeon Siegel Organizations: BMO
Though studies on the topic are hard to come by, anecdotal evidence points to a continued love for casual and comfortable items exiting the pandemic. The two stocks have diverged this year: Lululemon shares have advanced nearly 20%, while Nike shares have slid 7%. The majority of Wall Street views the stock favorably, with more than 70% of analysts rating it a buy or strong buy, according to Refinitiv. Deckers' shares are up 39% in 2023. DECK 5Y mountain Deckers shares over the last half decade Analysts see more upside ahead.
Persons: comfort's, Simeon Siegel, Ashley Owens, ONON, BMO's Siegel, Cowen's John Kernan, Baird, Jonathan Komp, Bank of America's David Roux, Roux, Hoka, Raymond James, Rick Patel, Patel, Jay Sole, Sole, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Wall Street, BMO Capital Markets, Companies, Street, Lululemon, Nike, Bank of America's, UBS
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe know people will come to Prime Day but the question is will they spend, says BMO's Simeon SiegelSimeon Siegel, BM Capital Markets, joins 'Fast Money' to talk Amazon Prime Day and what it could mean for the retailer.
Persons: BMO's Simeon Siegel Simeon Siegel Organizations: BM Capital, Amazon
But that’s not the only effects expected: Combined with climate change, El Niño this year could dent US economic growth, potentially impacting everything from food prices to the winter clothing sales. Higher food prices are a common theme across El Niño events, according to a recent Deutsche Bank report. Dry weather has parched crops in El Salvador as the El Niño weather threatens food security. The last time there was an El Niño in 2018 through 2019, NOAA dubbed it “The Great Puny El Niño” due to its relatively weak impact on weather conditions. He projects that El Niño weather events could cause $84 trillion in economic losses in the 21st century.
Persons: Niño, that’s, , Christopher Callahan, ” Christopher Callahan, El, Lesley, Ann Dupigny, Giroux, Yi Yu, Linh Pham, Winters, Yu, Callahan, Simeon Siegel, , Chris Scheuring, “ It’s, Camilo Freedman Organizations: CNN, Oceanic, Atmospheric Administration, NOAA, Dartmouth, Southern, University of Vermont, University of California, Southwestern, Vietnam Electricity Group, Bloomberg, Getty, Deutsche Bank, BMO Capital Markets, Dupigny, US Federal Aviation Administration, California Farm Bureau, La Union, Prediction Locations: Niño, University of California Irvine, Asia, Australia, Southwestern United States, Tri An, Vinh Cuu, Dong Nai Province, Vietnam, United States, rainier, El, Pasaquina, La, El Salvador
Online brands like Warby Parker and Allbirds are also opening brick and mortar shops. Brands that have moved away from department stores and physical shops in recent years are now pivoting back to traditional retail tactics after experiencing first-hand the difficulty of acquiring and retaining customers directly online. And they're not alone: even digital-first brands like Warby Parker and Allbirds have also opened new physical storefronts. A recent study by UBS predicted that retail stores would continue to close over the next five years and estimated that 50,000 shops would disappear by 2028. Nike has also recently announced that it's expanding partnerships with other physical retailers like Designer Brands and Foot Locker after years of steadily cutting its wholesale relationships.
Persons: it's, Warby Parker, Allbirds, , they're, Simeon Siegel, Noble, Locker Organizations: Nike, Service, Brands, Journal ., Interim, Getty, BMO Capital Markets, International Council of Shopping Centers, Ross Stores, Barnes, Body Works, Walmart, UBS Locations: Macy's, Burlington
Nike is striking new deals with retailers as brands realize the DTC model isn't all it's cracked up to be. Designer Brands, Macy's, and Foot Locker have each announced expanded relationships with Nike. But, more recently, Nike has expanded partnerships with retailers, including Macy's and DSW owner Designer Brands, the Wall Street Journal reported. In a May presentation, Daniel Heaf, vice president of Nike Direct, said, "People always ask me: Are you a direct business or a wholesale business? Nike's wholesale business grew faster than its direct business between September and November, showing it's still key to the overall business.
Persons: Locker, , Brands, Macy's, Matt Friend, Daniel Heaf, it's, Simeon Siegel, Siegel Organizations: Nike, Brands, Service, Wall Street Journal, Adidas, BMO Capital Markets, DTC
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIf there's no dramatic market change, retail will have repricing opportunities: BMO's Simeon SiegelSimeon Siegel, senior analyst at BMO Capital Markets, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss Lululemon seeing a surge in its stock after a Q1 earnings sales beat.
Persons: BMO's Simeon Siegel Simeon Siegel Organizations: BMO Capital Markets
Bath and Body Works ' stock jumped more than 10% in premarket trading Thursday after it beat fiscal first quarter earnings expectations and raised its guidance. It expects adjusted earnings per share to be between $2.68 and $3.08 for the year. The retailer expects earnings per share of 27 to 32 cents in the next quarter, compared to an estimate of 32 cents a share. It reaffirmed its full year sales forecast of flat net sales to a mid-single digit decline. As consumers become more cautious and retail discounts and promotions tick up against a tough macroeconomic backdrop, Bath and Body Works margins dropped.
The success or failure of the Nordstrom Rack turnaround effort could shape the company's future. Those chains such as T.J.Maxx , Ross Stores and Burlington Stores , have opened more stores and wooed new customers, driving higher foot traffic than Nordstrom Rack has seen. Nordstrom Rack stores outnumber the company's namesake stores, with 241 locations across the country, according to company filings. Nordstrom Rack stores accounted for more than 40% of new customers in 2022, CEO Erik Nordstrom said on the March earnings call. As it pins its growth hopes on the off-price locations, Nordstrom has turned Rack stores into e-commerce hubs, too.
The company drove higher sales, in part, by offering lower prices. The company's Chief Financial Officer David Bergman chalked up the margin decline to higher promotions as Under Armour marked down merchandise from prior seasons and sold it through off-price retail. The company said it expects margins will still be under pressure as higher promotions outweigh lower freight costs. Simeon Siegel, a retail analyst for BMO Capital Markets, said the pandemic gave retailers a chance to press the reset button. As of the end of the quarter, Under Armour had nearly $1.2 billion in inventory, up 44% year over year.
BMO's Simeon Siegel on upgrading Peloton to market perform
  + stars: | 2023-05-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBMO's Simeon Siegel on upgrading Peloton to market performSimeon Siegel, BMO Capital Markets, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss BMO upgrading Peloton to market perform from underperform.
The shops, called Market by Macy's and Bloomie's, are about one-fifth of the size of the retailer's typical Macy's and Bloomingdale's stores. It has not announced the locations of the four Market by Macy's stores, but said the additional Bloomie's store will be in Seattle. By opening the strip-mall shops, the retailer could steal business away from its larger namesake mall stores. Market by Macy's stores have worked best in shopping centers with grocery anchors or stores such as off-mall retailers that draw traffic, Mastronardi said. Melissa Repko | CNBCInside of Market by Macy's, shoppers find a narrower mix of merchandise than in the mall stores.
Companies with strong balance sheets have a downside cushion and can find unique opportunities during a slowing economy, according to Morgan Stanley. Corporations with high amounts of cash on their balance sheets can take advantage of a slowing economy by buying back their stock or acquiring businesses at discounted prices, said Morgan Stanley strategist Todd Castagno. "We've identified companies with strong balance sheets and sufficient liquidity, that also generate excess returns over their cost of capital," Castagno said in a note to clients. Investors have been increasingly focused on the strength of corporate balance sheets amid rising concerns that the Federal Reserve's series of interest rate hikes could tip the U.S. economy into a slowdown or recession. Castagno screened the Russell 1000 , except for financials, real estate and utilities, to find companies with fortress-like balance sheets.
TJ Maxx sells products at 20% to 60% cheaper than department stores and retailers. TJ Maxx says its thriving because of this. A network of experienced buyersTech accessories on display at TJ Maxx. Buying in bulkThe massive selection of purses and handbags at TJ Maxx. Well-known brands like Ralph Lauren have been known to make items for TJ Maxx in the past, but pulled back in a bid to address worries about brand exclusivity.
The Wall Street Journal on Wednesday reported sales for the singer's Ivy Park Adidas line fell 50%. Adidas' struggles to gain traction with Ivy Park come after the brand cut ties with Kanye West. Sales of the Ivy Park line with Adidas decreased more than 50% to roughly $40 million last year, well short of the company's $250 million forecast, according to the Journal. The Adidas line with Ivy Park launched in 2020. The contract between Beyoncé and Adidas expires after 2023, according to the Journal, which reported Adidas has discussed ending or revising the deal.
Ralph Lauren 's 50% rally in the past four months has gone too far, too fast, according to BMO Capital Markets, which downgraded the stock Friday to underperform. Siegel suspects the decline of North American margins may be due to increased marketing spending, supply chain pressures, and consumer questions regarding the average selling price of items. BMO questions whether the current level of Ralph Lauren shares—which are close to pandemic peaks—can be sustained, given the changes in consumer spending during 2021. Shares for Ralph Lauren fell 3.23% in Friday premarket trading following the call. Ralph Lauren reports results on February 9.
New Adidas CEO Bjørn Gulden could reinvigorate the rivalry with Nike. Top of mind with stock pickers: Nike needs to shed inventory and get sales growing more in China. Where is the next leg of growth going to come from? Before the December earnings report, Simeon Siegel, managing director for equity research at BMO Capital Markets, told Insider Nike appeared to be turning a corner in China. Analysts also think new Adidas CEO Bjørn Gulden, who previously worked as CEO of Puma, could reinvigorate the rivalry with Nike.
Lululemon is everywhere and that's a problem
  + stars: | 2023-01-09 | by ( Danni Santana | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
At the ICR conference, Lululemon said it now expects gross margin to be down 90-110 basis points. At the ICR conference Monday, Lululemon said it now expects gross margin to be down 90-110 basis points, compared to small gains expected late last year. Lululemon does not break out Mirror sales in quarterly earnings. Adidas, as an example, expects gross margin to be down 900 basis points following its split from Ye, he wrote in a note Monday. "Inventory growth has likely peaked, which should alleviate gross margin pressure in FY23," he said.
3 things that should be worrying Nike
  + stars: | 2022-12-26 | by ( Matthew Kish | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
New Adidas CEO Bjørn Gulden could reinvigorate the rivalry with Nike. Top of mind with stock pickers: Nike needs to shed inventory and get sales growing more in China. Analysts are also wondering how much competition Nike will face from Adidas under its new CEO Bjørn Gulden. Before the December earnings report, Simeon Siegel, managing director for equity research at BMO Capital Markets, told Insider Nike appeared to be turning a corner in China. Analysts also think new Adidas CEO Bjørn Gulden, who previously worked as CEO of Puma, could reinvigorate the rivalry with Nike.
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNike's gross margins will get better early next year, says BMO's Simeon SiegelSimeon Siegel, BMO Capital Markets senior retail analyst, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss Nike's earnings following the company's announcement.
Adobe Analytics expects consumers to spend between $11.2 billion and $11.6 billion on Cyber Monday. Overall, Black Friday sales topped $8.9 billion last year, versus $10.7 billion on Cyber Monday 2021. Meanwhile, e-commerce giant Amazon said sales on Black Friday broke a record, underscoring the appeal of shopping online. Sarah Hymer, a mother of two in Utah, said she hadn’t planned on any in-store Black Friday shopping. Rega, holding multiple bags, said Black Friday prices struck her as “comparable” to a year ago.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailConsumers aren't lined up for Black Friday anymore, says BMO Capital's Simeon SiegelBMO's Simeon Siegel and Piper Sandler's Ed Yruma, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss retail on 'Black Friday' and consumer behavior and trends.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with BMO's Simeon Siegel and Piper Sandler's Edward YrumaBMO's Simeon Siegel and Piper Sandler's Edward Yruma, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss retail on 'Black Friday' and consumer behavior.
Nov 22 (Reuters) - Nordstrom Inc (JWN.N) said on Tuesday net sales at its eponymous retail stores fell 3.4% in its third quarter, and overall sales for the company slowed down in the past couple of months, "particularly in geographies with unseasonably warm weather." The company also trimmed its net profit forecast for the fiscal year ending January 2023. In the third quarter, sales in its off-price division — Nordstrom Rack — fell 2%. Nordstrom's adjusted earnings of 20 cents per share topped estimates of 13 cents. It expects an annual profit of $2.13 and $2.43, excluding share repurchase activity, trimmed from $2.45 to $2.75 previously.
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