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☆ A 28-year market vet shares 2 similarities between the dot-com bubble and today's stock market environment — and 4 threats to the AI trade that could spoil the rally
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-22 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewThere are two major similarities between today's stock market environment and the dot-com bubble era, says RIA Advisors CIO Lance Roberts. RIA Advisors/AccentureAnd two, there is a small group of firms leading the overall stock market rally, just as it was in 2000. He's a bit more optimistic this time around because of the robust earnings performance fueling the few stocks leading the market. Advertisement"We are again experiencing another of these speculative 'booms,' as anything related to artificial intelligence grips investors' imaginations," Roberts said.

Persons: —, Lance Roberts, Roberts, Jonathan Golub Organizations: Service, RIA, Business, Accenture, Nvidia, UBS, Investors, Federal Reserve

☆ Wall Street is set to wrap up a strong first half with a key inflation report on deck
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

With stocks set to close out a strong first half of 2024, investors have just one more key inflation hurdle to clear in the week ahead: May's personal expenditure report. Next week's personal consumption expenditure data, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, could show whether that overall picture is intact. May's consumer price index, for example, showed no increase from the prior month. Last month's producer price index , a measure of wholesale prices, unexpectedly dropped from the previous reading. Pending Home Sales Index (May) 11 a.m. Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index (June) Earnings: Nike, Walgreens Boots Alliance , McCormick & Co. Friday June 28 8:30 a.m.

Persons: Stocks, Terry Sandven, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Scott Chronert, Brian Leonard, Leonard, Bank's Sandven, Sandven, Mills Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft, U.S, Bank Asset Management, Federal, PCE, Bank of America Securities, Wall, Keeley, Advisors, FedEx, Dow, Nasdaq, Dallas Fed, Chicago, Richmond Fed, Carnival, New, Micron Technology, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Nike, Walgreens Boots Alliance, McCormick, Chicago PMI Locations: . Kansas, Chicago, Michigan

☆ Mortgage rates fall to their lowest level in almost three months
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Washington CNN —Mortgage rates fell this week to their lowest level since early April, taking some pressure off America’s unaffordable housing market. “These lower mortgage rates coupled with the gradually improving housing supply bodes well for the housing market.”Still, mortgage rates remain higher than anything seen in the decade before 2022, the year the Federal Reserve began to raise interest rates to combat inflation. Economists don’t expect the average mortgage rate to fall below 6% this year. Homebuilding constrained by high interest ratesWhile mortgage rates have eased recently, the US housing market overall remains hamstrung by elevated interest rates, which seem to be taking a toll on homebuilding. “Persistently high mortgage rates are keeping many prospective buyers on the sidelines,” NAHB Chairman Carl Harris said in a release.

Persons: Freddie Mac, ”, Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s, don’t, America’s homebuilders, “, Carl Harris, ” Skylar Olsen Organizations: Washington CNN —, “, Federal Reserve, Treasury, National Association of Home Builders Locations: ., Wells Fargo, America, San Diego , Los Angeles and New York, California, Honolulu

☆ A 32-year market vet shares 2 charts showing stocks could be entering a major market peak — and warns a coming recession will send the S&P 500 plummeting more than 60%
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-01 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

It's been a near-frictionless seven months for the S&P 500, with the benchmark index up a cool 26% since late October. While earnings were just fine in the first quarter, if they start to decline alongside a slowing economy, stocks will go with them. He sees the S&P 500 declining by more than 50% when all is said and done. The current inversion of 580 days implies a drop of around 65% for the S&P 500. Those fears have since dissipated, and the S&P 500 has rallied 47% since October 2022.

Persons: It's, Jon Wolfenbarger, Merrill Lynch, BullAndBearProfits.com Wolfenbarger, Wolfenbarger, Bullandbearprofits.com Wolfenbarger, Jeremy Grantham, Marko Kolanovic, Albert Edwards Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, Fed, OVOM

☆ This signal could be good news for the stock market
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-29 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Some analysts think that means good news for stocks in the second half of the year. While [gross domestic product] and the labor market seem to be slowing, earnings are accelerating,” wrote the Bank of America analysts. That means an improving manufacturing cycle but slowing services can lead to a divergence between market performance and economic performance. “We’ve witnessed records repeatedly break in both stock and housing markets over the past year.”In addition to unrelentingly high home prices, the housing market is also grappling with a chronic lack of homes on the market and elevated mortgage rates. Put together, it has resulted in a tough housing market, especially first-time buyers.

Persons: Dow, PMIs, ”, Brian Luke, “ We’ve, Read, Apple’s Siri, Siri, Samantha Murphy Kelly, Tim Cook, ” Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Institute for Supply Management, PMI, Bank of America, Dell, Marvell, Costco, Dow Jones, Developers Conference, Google, Samsung, ” Apple Locations: New York, San Diego , New York, Cleveland, Los Angeles

☆ US home prices hit another record high in March
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-28 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Washington CNN —US home prices reached a record high in March, reflecting the housing market’s persistent affordability crisis. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index, a measure of home prices across the country, jumped 6.5% in March from a year earlier to a record high. It is the sixth time the index has reached a new record high over the past year. Persistent challenges, but some slight improvementsHousing affordability, which factors in incomes, home prices and mortgage rates, remains in the doldrums. Annual home price growth is down from a record high of 20.8% in March 2022, but it has picked up steam in the past several months.

Persons: ”, Brian Luke, Dow, “ We’ve Organizations: Washington CNN, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Treasury, National Association of Realtors Locations: San Diego , New York, Cleveland, Los Angeles

☆ Stock market today: Nasdaq hits record ahead of new inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-28 | by ( Max Adams | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The Nasdaq hit a record in early trading on Tuesday while other indexes were mixed. Traders are awaiting PCE inflation data on Friday. Markets will also digest housing data and revised GDP numbers for the first quarter. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementAlso this week, another round of Fed speakers will deliver commentary on the path of the economy, inflation, and interest rates.

Persons: —, Neel Kashkari, Kashkari Organizations: Nasdaq, Traders, Service, PCE, Minneapolis, CNBC, Wedbush, Apple

☆ Americans are expected to splurge on travel this summer — again
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-26 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Analysts are expecting the Memorial Day weekend to usher in yet another summer of strong consumer spending on travel and other leisure activities. “We haven’t seen Memorial Day weekend travel numbers like these in almost 20 years,” Paula Twidale, senior vice president at AAA Travel, said in a release. Spending this summer will likely be a little softer than last year’s, they said, but still strong. The bank’s consumer travel survey showed that 72% of people said they’re planning to travel, with 36% saying they’ve already planned their trip. Even among respondents making less than $75,000 a year, more than 60% said they’re planning to travel this summer.

Persons: ” Paula Twidale, Royal Caribbean’s, ” David Tinsley, they’ve, Joelle, aren’t, Dogecoin, Shiba Inu “, Atsuko Sato, ”, Sato, ” Kabosu, Kabosu, Shiba, Loretta Mester, Neel Kashkari, Lisa Cook, Robin, John Williams, Raphael Bostic, Lorie Logan Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, Washington CNN —, Transportation Security Administration, AAA, AAA Travel, Bank of America Institute, Bank of America, Japan, Europe, New York Fed, Public Policy Research, Mizuho Financial, Federal, Global, Index, Board, HP, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Abercrombie, Fitch, Eagle Outfitters, Costco, Dell, Dollar, Hormel, US Commerce Department, US Labor Department, National Association of Realtors, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Atlanta Fed Locations: Washington, Caribbean, South Korea, Switzerland, Colombia, Costa Rica, Canada, Mexico, Domestically , California, Florida, California, “, Sakura, CAVA, Chewy, Burlington, Birkenstock, Nordstrom, Kohl’s

☆ The key for markets next week will be inflation as stocks try to maintain record highs
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-24 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The news will come with stocks on pace to close out a strong month that included all-time highs. Stocks are poised to end an impressive month of gains after some softer inflation data released earlier in May and stronger-than-expected corporate earnings revived investor exuberance in the market rally. On Friday, the 30-stock Dow was on pace to snap a five-week win streak, falling by 2% for the period. Pesky inflation, consumer weakness The April personal income and expenditures report, which includes the PCE inflation reading, could confirm the recent trend of cooling inflation. Pending Home Sales (April) Earnings: Costco Wholesale , Ulta Beauty , NetApp , Best Buy , Dollar General , Hormel Foods Friday, May 31 8:30 a.m.

Persons: Dow, Mike Dickson, Dickson, FactSet, Goldman Sachs, David Mericle, Steph, it's, Christian Mueller, Glissmann, Mueller Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Horizon Investments, Fed, PCE, Robinhood, Costco Wholesale, Software, Dallas Fed, Richmond Fed, Hormel, Chicago PMI Locations: Chicago

☆ Mortgage rates fall for the third straight week, dipping below 7%
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-23 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Washington CNN —Mortgage rates declined for the third consecutive week in a shred of good news for Americans dealing with a still-tough housing market. Mortgage rates track the benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield, which moves in anticipation of the Federal Reserve’s decisions on interest rates. Stubbornly high inflation this year has dashed hopes that the Fed could cut interest rates in the spring or in the summer. Some Fed officials said earlier this week that they likely won’t raise interest rates again and a few have said they expect to cut rates this year. With mortgage rates still elevated, some homeowners are deciding to stay put.

Persons: Freddie Mac, inflation’s cooldown, there’s, homebuyers, ” Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s, That’s, ” Lawrence Yun, ”, Yun, Joe Biden Organizations: Washington CNN —, Treasury, National Association of Realtors, Fed, Housing Locations: San Diego, Chicago, Detroit

☆ 36% of Americans say real estate is the best long-term investment—financial pros say they may be wrong
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-23 | by ( Ryan Ermey | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

For years, Gallup has asked investors exactly that question, and since 2013 the most popular answer has been the same: real estate. It's tough to say what the best long-term investing option is without knowing the desired outcome." You can invest in real estate via real estate investment trusts, which trade like stocks, or ETFs that hold them. As you pay down your mortgage, you build equity in a piece of real estate that also appreciates in value. Among Americans making less than $40,000 per year, 33% choose real estate as their No.

Persons: Gallup, Stocks, Nick Foulks, Andrew Briggs, Briggs, Gold Organizations: cryptocurrency, Great Waters, National, Advisory, presto

☆ 'This is where you start bear markets from': A notorious bear who called the 2000 and 2008 crashes warns stock-market conditions resemble a major peak more than any time in the last 100 years
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-11 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

The gauge is shown below in green and red alongside S&P 500 price action in blue. Most strategists at major Wall Street banks, meanwhile, generally see the S&P 500 staying above 5,000 through 2024. And as the stock market ground mostly higher, he persisted with his doomsday calls. He predicted in April 2007 that the S&P 500 could lose 40%, then it lost 55% in the subsequent collapse from 2007 to 2009. The S&P 500, by comparison, is up about 26% over the past year.

Persons: Jeremy Grantham, John Hussman, he's, Hussman, —, it's, Warren Buffett, there's, David Rosenberg Organizations: Hussman Investment Trust, Business, CPS, Federal Reserve, Rosenberg Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Dynamics, bullish

☆ US home prices have soared 47% so far this decade, outpacing all of the growth seen in the 1990s and 2010s
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

US home prices have soared 47% so far this decade. The price surge has outpaced the gains seen in the 1990s and 2010s, and is nearly ahead of the 2000s. AdvertisementUS home prices have soared 47.1% so far this decade, according to a ResiClub analysis of the Case-Shiller National Home Price Index. The massive price gains seen in the first four years of the 2020s have eclipsed all of the growth seen in the 1990s and 2010s, according to the analysis. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.

Persons: — Organizations: Service, Business

☆ Home prices soar even higher in February, despite higher mortgage rates, says S&P Case-Shiller
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Diana Olick | In Dianaolick | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Strong demand and tight supply continue to push home values higher, even though mortgage rates are now moving higher again. "For the third consecutive month, all cities reported increases in annual prices, with four currently at all-time highs: San Diego, Los Angeles, Washington, D.C., and New York." The second decline followed the peak in average mortgage rates last October," he added. This index records prices on a three-month moving average, so they go back as far as December, when mortgage rates hit their recent lows. Since that time, however, mortgage rates have jumped nearly a full percentage point.

Persons: Brian Luke, Dow, Luke Organizations: Dow Jones, D.C, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, Diego , Los Angeles , Washington, New York, San Diego, Chicago, Detroit, Portland , Oregon, Boston , New York, Washington

☆ US home prices rose in February at the fastest pace in more than a year
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

Washington CNN —US home-price growth accelerated in February at the fastest annual pace since November 2022, a sign that America’s housing market remains tough amid elevated mortgage rates. Of the 20 cities, San Diego saw the biggest increase in home prices in February, a steep 11.4% rise, followed by Chicago and Detroit. America’s housing market began to recover in the beginning the year as home sales surged from decades-lows in the fall and homebuilders began to feel to more upbeat about the economy. Mortgage rates have followed suit, since they track the 10-year yield. Economists don’t expect mortgage rates to drop meaningfully this year, and they could continue to climb if inflation remains stuck.

Persons: homebuilders, Freddie Mac Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal Reserve, National Association of Realtors, Treasury Locations: San Diego, Chicago, Detroit, Portland , Oregon

☆ The Fed will be the main event in the week ahead that includes a jobs report, more tech earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

On top of that, the latest U.S. jobs market scorecard will be released along with more mega-cap earnings. This week, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield briefly climbed above 4.7% for the first time since November. That's down sharply from the six or seven rate cuts investors were anticipating coming into the year. April jobs Investors will also get an update on the labor picture next week, with the release of the April nonfarm payrolls report set for Friday. Corporate earnings season will also ramp up in the week ahead with a slew of consumer-facing companies set to report.

Persons: Stocks, Powell, David Alcaly, Jerome Powell's, we've, they're, Brian Nick, Matt Stucky, it's, Stucky, Dow Jones, Nick, Archer, Eli Lilly, Kraft, Estee, Ingersoll Rand, Stanley Black, Decker, Hershey Organizations: Nasdaq, Google, Microsoft, Treasury, Lazard Asset Management, Macro, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company, Fed, Apple, Micro Computer, Dallas Fed, Paramount, ON Semiconductor, Chicago PMI, Prudential Financial, Devices, Storage, Diamondback Energy, Caesars Entertainment, Corning, Daniels, Midland, Molson Coors Beverage, Marathon Petroleum, GE Healthcare Technologies, PayPal, ADP, P Global, Manufacturing, Oil, MGM Resorts International, Allstate, Etsy, eBay, Qualcomm, MetLife, First, Devon Energy, Cruise Line Holdings, Brands, Marriott International, Kraft Heinz, Pfizer, Companies, CVS Health, Generac, Mastercard, Labor, Nation Entertainment, Booking Holdings, Natural Resources, Motorola Solutions, Expedia, EOG, Coterra Energy, Dominion Energy, Howmet Aerospace, ConocoPhillips, Moderna, PMI, Services PMI Locations: U.S, Chicago, McDonald's, Albemarle, EOG Resources

☆ The Market May Have Finally Hit a Real Record, But It Could Be a Problem
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-05 | by ( Jeff Sommer | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

It’s been a splendid run for the market — so emphatically great that in just the first three months of the year, the S&P 500 climbed to record highs on 22 separate days. But what most reports and commentary haven’t pointed out is that because inflation has also climbed sharply over the last few years, the value of stock prices has eroded, along with nearly everything else in the economy. When you factor in inflation, the stock market did not actually reach new heights. That’s finally changing, with the market’s gains outpacing the ravages of inflation sufficiently to push real stock valuations close to a new peak, according to calculations by Robert J. Shiller, the Yale professor and Nobel laureate in economics. In a phone conversation, he said, “On a monthly, inflation-adjusted basis, it does appear that the S&P 500 now is right around a record high.”

Persons: It’s, Robert J, Shiller, “, ” Organizations: Yale

☆ Now is probably a good time to hedge against downside risk in the stock market. Here are 4 ways you can protect your portfolio — including 2 that are historically cheap.
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-31 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

But with the market at an all-time high, now is probably a good time to hedge against potential downside, experts say. That's especially the case because there's an elevated degree of risk facing stocks, and the cost of some insurance measures is historically cheap. Related storiesThe S&P 500 also looks overextended on a technical basis, according to many measures. AdvertisementRosenberg Research"The definition of a stretched market is one when the S&P 500 gaps 14% or more above the 200-day trendline. Beyond extreme, in fact — back to 1928, the S&P 500 has only drifted this far above the moving average 7% of the time," Rosenberg said.

Persons: Jim Smigiel, they've, Louis Fed, Phillip Colmar, Colmar, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Steve Sosnick, we're, Smigiel, Sosnick Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Microsoft, Bank of America's, Survey, Bank of America, SEI, Fed, Louis Fed Inflation, MRB Partners, Rebels, Rosenberg Research, Interactive Brokers Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Israel, Palestine, Suez

☆ A 32-year market vet warns the S&P 500 is set to fall 50%-70% in the years ahead with valuations at historic highs — and says that an imminently weakening labor market will be the catalyst for the cra
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-30 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

According to Bank of America, valuation levels explain 80% of the market's return over a 10-year period. Bank of AmericaThere are many ways to measure valuation levels in the overall market. Hussman says it's the most accurate indicator of future market returns that he's found. AdvertisementThe Conference BoardThird, the number of US states with a rising unemployment rate is spiking, meaning that the overall unemployment rate should see further upside. BullAndBearProfits.comThe US unemployment rate is already on a slight uptrend, having climbed from 3.4% in April 2023 to 3.9% as of February.

Persons: —, Jon Wolfenbarger, Merrill Lynch, John Hussman's, he's, Warren Buffett, Wolfenbarger, Stocks, Woflenbarger, Cam Harvey, Claudia Sahm, Louis Fed, Jeremy Grantham, John Hussman, David Rosenberg, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, America's Savita Subramanian, Ian Shepherdson, Shepherdson Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Business, JPMorgan, National Federation of Independent Business, Board, Treasury, Bank, America's

As the weather warms up and we head into the homebuying season, high mortgage rates should keep home prices from rising too fast. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 15-year Fixed Mortgage RatesLast week, average 15-year mortgage rates were 6.21%, a five-basis-point increase from the previous week, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates started ticking up from historic lows in the second half of 2021 and increased over three percentage points in 2022. Once the Fed cuts rates, mortgage rates should fall even further.

Persons: Selma Hepp, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's Organizations: Zillow, Federal Reserve Locations: Chevron

☆ Investing legend Jeremy Grantham sounds the alarm on a stocks bubble, blasts bitcoin, and says the dollar's still king
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The stock market "shows every sign of being just as crazy" as it's ever been, the GMO cofounder and long-term investment strategist told the Insightful Investor podcast in a recent conversation. AdvertisementThe veteran investor underscored that prolonged bull markets typically begin when unemployment is high, profit margins are depressed, and stock valuations are beaten down. Current conditions are the polar opposite of that, putting stocks in "double jeopardy" as both profits and valuations may plunge, Grantham said. Related storiesThe stock market has staged big rallies during boom times a couple of times before, including in 1929 and 1999, but those "ended incredibly badly," he said. Grantham also tackled the topic of de-dollarization and whether the dollar might lose its status as the world's reserve currency.

Persons: —, Jeremy Grantham, Grantham Organizations: Service, Business, Kodak, Polaroid, greenback

☆ There’s more bad news for potential homebuyers: Prices just hit another record
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +1 min

CNN —US home prices rose at the fastest clip in months to a fresh record high in January, according to data released Tuesday, highlighting how a housing shortage combined with high mortgage rates continues to limit affordability. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller US National Home Price index rose 6% in January from a year before, accelerating from a 5.6% annual increase in December. “On a seasonal adjusted basis, home prices have continued to break through previous all-time highs set last year,” he noted. On a month-over-month basis, prices rose 0.4% on a seasonally adjusted basis. Minneapolis home prices have declined 2.4% during the three months ended in January, according to the report.

Persons: ”, Brian Luke, Dow, Freddie Mac Organizations: CNN, “, San Diego, Dow Jones, Minneapolis Locations: San Diego , Los Angeles, Washington

☆ Here’s why the Fed doesn’t see a US recession in coming years
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-24 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

“The economy is strong, the labor market is strong and inflation has come way down,” Fed Chair Jerome Powell said Wednesday. Fed officials continue to expect three rate cuts this year but the days of ultra-low interest rates are long gone. Up NextMonday: The Chicago Fed releases its National Activity Index for February. The US Commerce Department releases February data on sales of new single-family homes. The US Commerce Department releases February data on household spending, income and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Jerome Powell, Mike Skordeles, Skordeles, ” Stephanie Lang, Homrich Berg, ”, Clare Duffy, Reddit, Read, Lisa Cook, Christopher Waller Organizations: Washington CNN, Fed, Truist Advisory Services, CNN, Atlanta Fed, Employers, New York Stock Exchange, Trading, IPOs, Chicago Fed, US Commerce Department, McCormick, GameStop, Global, Board, Wednesday, Walgreens Boots Alliance, US Labor Department, University of Michigan, National Association of Realtors

☆ 2 major market themes that could make or break stocks after this week's rally
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-23 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

That answered a big question going into the central bank's two-day March meeting following two months of hotter inflation readings. We hope to see that strength continue in the coming months as increasing supply would help keep housing inflation down. Following the company's last quarterly report, Jim Cramer said, "You cannot have a recession if Cintas is blowing the doors open." ET: PCE price index (See here for a full list of the stocks in Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.

Persons: Jim Cramer, JEF, HB Fuller, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Victor J Organizations: Dow, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, McCormick & Company, GameStop, Jefferies, Gross, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Visitors, New York Stock Exchange, Blue, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: U.S

☆ A notorious stock-market bear who called the 2000 and 2008 declines warns that conditions are 'consistent with the risk of an abrupt air-pocket, panic, or crash' — and the S&P will fall 50%-70%
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-23 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Hussman FundsThese levels indicate the S&P 500 is likely to return around -5% annualized over the next 12 years, according to Hussman's math. AdvertisementBy the time the current market cycle bottoms out, the S&P 500 could well have fallen by 50%-70%, Hussman said. He predicted in 2000 that the S&P 500 would likely see negative total returns over the following decade, which it did. He predicted in April 2007 that the S&P 500 could lose 40%, then it lost 55% in the subsequent collapse from 2007 to 2009. The S&P 500, by comparison, is up about 33% over the past year.

Persons: —, John Hussman's, Hussman, he's, we've, Jeremy Grantham, Grantham, There's, David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch's, Gary Shilling Organizations: Service, Hussman Investment Trust, Business, Exchange, Federal Locations: Miami

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