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☆ Gold inches higher as investors eye U.S. data for rate cues
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices edged higher on Thursday, with traders focusing on the upcoming U.S. economic data that may offer further insights into an expected reduction in the Federal Reserve's interest rate next week. Gold prices edged higher on Thursday, with traders focusing on the upcoming U.S. economic data that may offer further insights into an expected reduction in the Federal Reserve's interest rate next week. Data on Wednesday showed that U.S. consumer prices rose marginally in August, but underlying inflation showed some stickiness, which could discourage the Federal Reserve from delivering a half-point interest rate cut next week. CPI data showed no major inflation spikes, which is supporting gold prices to hold above $2,500 and suggesting no immediate changes to Fed policy, Wong added. Palladium climbed 1.3% to $1,021.84, its highest since July 8, following comments on export regulations from Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Persons: Kelvin Wong, OANDA's, Price, Wong, Vladimir Putin, Putin Organizations: Asia Pacific, Traders, U.S, PPI, Reserve, West Locations: U.S, Moscow

The pace of inflation likely moderated again in August — further relief for beleaguered consumers still smarting from pandemic-era price shocks. Though price growth has largely returned to the Federal Reserve's official 2% target, the sting of rapid price increases over the past four years lingers for many consumers. The latest inflation report is likely to cement a 0.25% cut in the Federal Reserve's key interest rate, currently at about 5.3%, later this month. But experts say it will take some time for consumers to feel the impact of the lower interest rate — and the relatively small size of the cut means borrowing costs will still be somewhat elevated. While the Fed is now widely expected to cut interest rates, a cut of just 0.25% may not be enough to stave off that scenario.

Persons: —, There's, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Zillow, Paul, ” Marina Walsh, ” Walsh, Torsten Slok, Slok, Sophia Kearney, Jerome Powell's, Kearney, Lederman Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve's, Democratic, Labor Statistics, Princeton, “, Mortgage Bankers Association, Apollo Global Management, FHN, NBC News, Fed Locations: U.S, New York, Los Angeles, Minneapolis, St, Las Vegas, Phoenix

☆ European Central Bank set to cut interest rates just days before the Fed's big decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Annette Weisbach | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank, at the ECB And Its Watchers conference in Frankfurt, Germany, on March 20, 2024. Traders are widely anticipating an interest rate cut at the Federal Reserve's Sept. 17-18 meeting, as well as at the ECB's meeting this week. "The rate cut this Thursday should be largely uncontroversial," Holger Schmieding, the chief economist at Berenberg Bank, told CNBC in an email to clients. In July, the ECB left interest rates unchanged in a unanimous vote following June's landmark cut. The ECB's key interest rate — which helps to price all sorts of loans and mortgages across the bloc — is currently at 3.75% after years of aggressive hikes.

Persons: Christine Lagarde, Holger Schmieding, Joachim Nagel, Anatoli Annenkov, what's Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB, Bloomberg, Getty, FRANKFURT, U.S . Federal Reserve, Federal, Berenberg Bank, CNBC, ECB Council, —, Bank Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Société, Ljubljana, Slovenia

☆ The Fed cutting 25bps next week should be 'more than enough', says Apollo's Torsten Slok
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed cutting 25bps next week should be 'more than enough', says Apollo's Torsten SlokTorsten Slok, Apollo Global Management chief economist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk what to expect from the Federal Reserve's rate decision next week.

Persons: Apollo's Torsten Slok Torsten Slok Organizations: Apollo Global Management

☆ Expect the Fed to cut rates by 25bps for the next five meetings, says BofA's Aditya Bhave
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpect the Fed to cut rates by 25bps for the next five meetings, says BofA's Aditya BhaveAditya Bhave, head of U.S. economics at Bank of America Securities, and Paul Christopher, head of global investment strategy at Wells Fargo Investment, join CNBC's "The Exchange" to discuss their expectations for the Federal Reserve's next monetary policy decisions.

Persons: 25bps, BofA's Aditya Bhave Aditya Bhave, Paul Christopher Organizations: Bank of America Securities, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment, Federal Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ Steve Eisman of 'Big Short' fame not worried about banks or economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Steve Eisman of "The Big Short" fame said he's unfazed by the weakness in bank stocks as well as any uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's next easing cycle. To Eisman, there's nothing to worry about. Eisman shot to fame by shorting collateralized debt obligations to profit from the demise of subprime mortgage loans before the 2008 financial crisis. Wednesday's data showed the consumer price index , a broad measure of goods and services costs across the U.S. economy, increased 0.2% in August , in line with the Dow Jones consensus. The economy Concerns about lower-income consumers have also increased recently, but Eisman said they are not indicative of a systemic issue endangering the wider economy.

Persons: Steve Eisman, he's, Neuberger Berman, shorting, Michael Lewis's, Eisman, Dow Jones Organizations: Federal, JPMorgan, Ally Financial, Dollar Locations: U.S

☆ Cramer says to 'keep it simple' and celebrate any Fed rate cut as nerves run high
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

"I say keep it simple: Rate cuts are good," he said. "Small rate cuts are great, because they project confidence and give you a lot more rat cuts later on, and they do not allow for panic." While overall inflation declined to its lowest level since February 2021, one key metric rose slightly more than expected, disappointing some who hoped the Fed would make a 50 basis-point rate cut instead of a 25 basis-point cut. He stressed that even a smaller rate cut than hoped would be positive for many businesses. But Cramer stressed the palpable tension on Wall Street does not set the stage for any steadfast conclusions.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, Jensen Huang's, Morgan Organizations: Federal, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Broadcom, Fed

☆ Gold prices holds steady with U.S. CPI data on radar
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold bars and gold coins of different sizes lie in a safe on a table at the precious metal dealer Pro Aurum. Gold prices steadied on Wednesday, as investors keenly awaited the U.S. inflation data for hints on the size of the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cut next week. The U.S. Consumer Price Index data is due at 1230 GMT, while the Producer Price Index reading and initial jobless claims are due on Thursday. The Fed will lower interest rates by 25 basis points at each of the three remaining policy meetings in 2024, according to a majority of economists in a Reuters poll. Zero-yield bullion tends to be a preferred investment amid lower interest rates and geopolitical turmoil.

Persons: Matt Simpson, Price, Jerome Powell's, Peter Fung, Yoav Gallant Organizations: Aurum, Federal, Index, U.S, Consumer, Metals Locations: Gaza, Lebanon

☆ Why this Wells Fargo strategist expects a full percentage rate cut by end of 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhy this Wells Fargo strategist expects a full percentage rate cut by end of 2024Aditya Bhave, head of U.S. economics at Bank of America Securities, and Paul Christopher, head of global investment strategy at Wells Fargo Investment, join CNBC's "The Exchange" to discuss their expectations for the Federal Reserve's next monetary policy decisions and more.

Persons: Wells, Aditya Bhave, Paul Christopher Organizations: Bank of America Securities, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment, Federal Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ European stocks set for mixed open as markets await U.S. inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Shoppers at a Walmart store in Secaucus, New Jersey, U.S., in March 2024. LONDON — European stocks are expected to open in mixed territory on Wednesday as global markets focus on the latest U.S. inflation data set to be released later in the day. The U.K.'s FTSE index is seen opening 4 points higher at 8,208, Germany's DAX up 25 points at 18,304, France's CAC 40 flat at 7,404 and Italy's FTSE MIB up 66 points at 33,259, according to data from IG. Traders have their eyes on two key economic reports out of the U.S. this week, with the consumer price index report for August due Wednesday, followed by the producer price index on Thursday. The data comes before a widely anticipated interest rate cut at the Federal Reserve's Sept. 17-18 meeting that could help assuage concerns over a weakening U.S. economy.

Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: Walmart, LONDON, CAC, IG, Traders, Federal Locations: Secaucus , New Jersey, U.S

☆ What Trump and Harris’ economic proposals mean for you
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

Here’s a look at what could happen to inflation, jobs and the deficit if Trump or Harris win in November. That, among other things, would keep the top tax rate individuals pay at 37% compared to 39.6% before it went into effect. Meanwhile, the tax proposals Harris has put forth so far mostly involve imposing higher taxes, which would have a positive impact on the deficit. For instance, she’s endorsed raising the top individual income tax rate to 44.6% and the top long-term capital gains tax rate to 28% versus the current 20%. Taken together, the Penn Wharton Budget model estimates Harris’ proposals could increase the deficit by an additional $1.2 trillion by 2034.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Goldman Sachs, Trump, Warwick McKibbin, Goldman, she’s, ”, Justin Wolfers, Kevin Dietsch, He’s, Elon Musk, She’s, Joshua Gotbaum Organizations: New, New York CNN, Labor Department, Trump, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Gross, University of Michigan, CNN, Federal Reserve, Treasury Department, Wharton Budget, Social Security, Penn, Wharton Budget Model, Penn Wharton Budget, Brookings Institution Locations: New York, United States, Penn

☆ Top banking analyst Mayo says Citi shares can double over the next 2-and-a-half years
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Wells Fargo bank analyst Mike Mayo highlighted Citigroup stock as his favorite bank name on Tuesday while speaking on CNBC's " Squawk on the Street ." Shares of Citigroup could double over the next two-and-a-half years "simply by going back to tangible book value," Mayo said. Citigroup sold for 73% of tangible book at the end of June, up from 60% at the end of last December, according to FactSet data. "Even after running this model, banks still have plenty of excess capital to support the economy," Mayo noted. "Recession or no recession; higher rates or lower rates … whatever hits you, I think banks are able to weather it quite well now."

Persons: Mike Mayo, Mayo, Jane Fraser Organizations: Citigroup, Federal Reserve, UBS, Lehman Brothers, Credit Suisse, Prudential, Deutsche Bank, Federal Locations: Wells Fargo, . U.S

☆ Treasury yields rise ahead of final inflation prints before Fed meeting
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. The yield on the 10-year Treasury was 2 basis points higher at 3.721%, with the 2-year Treasury yield also up by 2 basis points at 3.691%. Treasury yields rose early Tuesday ahead of the final major inflation prints before the Federal Reserve's September meeting. Treasury yields have stablized after tumbling through last week when a series of labor market releases missed estimates. Debate has erupted over whether the Fed could opt for a 50 basis point rather than a 25 basis point interest rate cut during the Sept. 17-18 meeting.

Organizations: Treasury, Investors Locations: July's

☆ Stock futures are little changed as traders brace for August consumer inflation report: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

U.S. stock futures were little changed Tuesday night ahead of the August consumer inflation report due Wednesday morning. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures both dipped 0.1%. Traders are anticipating a key economic report Wednesday morning: August's consumer price index. The CPI report and Thursday's producer price index could help determine the size of a widely expected rate cut at the end of the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting on Sept. 18. Fed funds futures trading suggests a 69% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut and a 31% likelihood of a 50-basis-point reduction, according to CME's FedWatch Tool.

Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, CME's, Kristina Hooper, Hooper Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, GameStop, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Nvidia, JPMorgan, CPI, Federal

☆ No recession in sight despite weakening labor market: iCapital's Anastasia Amoroso
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNo recession in sight despite weakening labor market: iCapital's Anastasia AmorosoAnastasia Amoroso, iCapital chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss if she is still worried about inflation, which of the Federal Reserve's moves would be seen as positive, and much more.

Persons: iCapital's Anastasia Amoroso Anastasia Amoroso

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Barclays CEO C.S. Venkatakrishnan
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Barclays CEO C.S. VenkatakrishnanC.S. Venkatakrishnan, Barclays CEO, joins CNBC's 'Money Movers' to discuss Barclays three-year plan, his reaction to the Federal Reserve's newly unveiled regulation proposal, and more.

Persons: Venkatakrishnan Organizations: Barclays, C.S, Federal Locations: Venkatakrishnan

☆ Stock market today: Indexes end mixed as investors brace for August inflation report
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Investors are waiting for the consumer price report on Wednesday. JPMorgan led a slide in bank stocks after easing its earnings optimism. AdvertisementUS stocks ended mixed Tuesday ahead of the August consumer price index report due out Wednesday morning. Most investors anticipate a 25 basis point rate cut, but any shock in the inflation data could shift that outlook in favor of a steeper cut. Ahead of each report, Tuesday's presidential debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris could also sway markets.

Persons: Dow, —, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Nasdaq, Ally Locations: Here's

☆ UBS trader turns bearish for next two months, worried about a 'large unwind'
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( John Melloy | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

"I am tactically bearish for the next 2 months," wrote Rebecca Cheong, head of Americas equity derivatives strategy for UBS, in a note. The S & P 500 rapidly rebounded, though, making back most of the losses and approaching a new high once again. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD And September has gotten off to a sour start with the S & P 500 down four of the first five trading days. Other reasons that make the trader bearish: UBS clients have sold stocks 11 of the last 12 days. Cheong suggested hedges that would pay off if the S & P 500 is down 10% in one month and 15% in two months.

Persons: Rebecca Cheong, Cheong Organizations: UBS, Nvidia, Global, Tech, Federal, U.S

☆ The possibility of stagflation hitting the US economy isn't off the table, JPMorgan chief Jamie Dimon says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said the worst outcome for the US economy is stagflation. Speaking at a Tuesday conference, Dimon said he "wouldn't take it off the table." Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementEven as inflation approaches the Federal Reserve's target, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon says stagflation is still a possibility. "I would say the worst outcome is stagflation — recession, higher inflation," Dimon said.

Persons: Jamie Dimon, Dimon, —, stagflation Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, of Institutional, CNBC, Business

☆ Barclays CEO on growth targets: We expect investors to continue to appreciate what we're doing
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBarclays CEO on growth targets: We expect investors to continue to appreciate what we're doingC.S. Venkatakrishnan, Barclays CEO, joins CNBC's 'Money Movers' to discuss Barclays three-year plan, his reaction to the Federal Reserve's newly unveiled regulation proposal, and more.

Organizations: Barclays, Federal Locations: Venkatakrishnan

☆ Goldman says watch out for more drawdowns, but the risk of a bear market is still low
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

For investors who just weathered a bout of summer turbulence, Goldman Sachs said expect more patchiness in stocks, but believes the bull market will remain intact. "However, we think the risk of a bear market remains low with relatively low recession risk, helped by a healthy private sector and central bank easing." The stock market benchmark has since recouped much of the losses, recently trading some 3.4% below its July 16 all-time high. A bear market represents at least a 20% decline from the S & P 500's record high, while even a correction would amount to a 10% drawdown. … Encouragingly, though … we are not staring at a severe slowdown," Bank of America said in a note to clients on Tuesday.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Christian Mueller, Goldman, Mueller, Glissmann, … Organizations: U.S, Bank of America, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S

☆ Jamie Dimon says 'the worst outcome is stagflation,' a scenario he's not taking off the table
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Jamie Dimon, Chairman and Chief Executive officer (CEO) of JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) speaks to the Economic Club of New York in Manhattan in New York City, U.S., April 23, 2024. JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said Tuesday he wouldn't rule out stagflation, even with greater confidence recently that inflation is coming off its highs. "I would say the worst outcome is stagflation — recession, higher inflation," Dimon said at a fall conference from the Council of Institutional Investors in Brooklyn, New York. "And by the way, I wouldn't take it off the table." In August, he said the odds of a "soft landing" were around 35% to 40%, implying a recession is the more likely outcome.

Persons: Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, Dimon Organizations: JPMorgan Chase & Co, Economic, of New, JPMorgan, of Institutional Investors Locations: of New York, Manhattan, New York City, U.S, Brooklyn , New York

☆ Deep rate cuts are necessary because the Fed's unprecedented hikes actually made inflation worse, Nobel-winning economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-06 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Nobel-prize-winning economist called on the central bank to cut interest rates by 50 basis points at its approaching policy meeting. AdvertisementFriday's weaker-than-expected reading did not completely ease concerns, putting pressure on the Fed to ease policy quickly. But Stiglitz, speaking ahead of the data's release, told CNBC that he would pursue deeper rate cuts regardless of Friday's report. Builder confidence also tanked to a December bottom, though experts anticipate that falling interest rates should eventually boost sentiment. AdvertisementMeanwhile, homebuyers appear sidelined as they wait for interest rate cuts to ease mortgage rates.

Persons: —, Joseph Stiglitz, Stiglitz, homebuyers Organizations: Service, CNBC, Business

☆ Dick's Sporting Goods blows past earnings estimates but issues cautious guidance ahead of 2024 election
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-04 | by ( Gabrielle Fonrouge | In Gabrielle-Fonrouge | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

For fiscal 2024, Dick's is now expecting diluted earnings per share to be between $13.55 and $13.90, up from previous guidance of $13.35 to $13.75 per share. At the midpoint, Dick's only raised its earnings guidance by about 18 cents, even though its fiscal second-quarter earnings came in 54 cents higher than expected. At the low end, Dick's earnings guidance falls a bit short of the $13.79 that analysts had expected, according to LSEG. Dick's maintained its sales guidance of $13.1 billion to $13.2 billion, which also fell flat compared with the $13.24 billion that analysts were looking for, according to LSEG. Dick's is slated to discuss its results with analysts and share more insights on its guidance at 8 a.m.

Persons: Lauren Hobart, Dick's, didn't, Walmart –, there's Organizations: Sporting Goods, LSEG, Target, Walmart, Federal

☆ Increased sausage demand could be worrying signal on the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-26 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

An uptick in sausage demand can offer the latest sign of consumers tightening their belts as they continue grappling with high prices. There has been "modest growth" in the dinner sausage category for one producer, according to the Dallas Federal Reserve's Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey released Monday. "This category tends to grow when the economy weakens," the respondent said, according to edited comments included in the Dallas Fed's report. That is because "sausage is a good protein substitute for higher-priced proteins and can 'stretch' consumers' food budgets." This anecdote pointed out by eagle-eyed Bespoke Investment Group on social media site X comes as grocery prices remain top of mind for consumers.

Persons: Fred Meyer Organizations: Dallas Federal, Texas Manufacturing, Dallas Locations: Kroger, Palmer , Alaska, An

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