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Traders on the New York Stock Exchange floor on Sept. 9, 2024. Spencer Platt | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesSeptember historically hasn't been kind to stock investors. September is the only month during that nearly century-long period in which investors experienced an average loss, according to Morningstar. Trying to time the market is a losing betAlistair Berg | Digitalvision | Getty ImagesInvestors holding their money in stocks for the long-term shouldn't bail, Yoder said. Don't put faith in market maximsSimilarly, investors shouldn't necessarily accept market maxims as truisms, experts said.
Persons: Spencer Platt, Morningstar, Abby Yoder, Yoder, Alistair Berg, Digitalvision, Edward McQuarrie, McQuarrie, couldn't, J.P Morgan Organizations: New York Stock, Getty, Morningstar Direct, Finance, Morgan Private Bank, Investors, Santa Clara University, Fidelity Investments, Federal Reserve, Investor, Mutual Locations: U.S, Wells, New York City, New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBe a buyer in an oversold condition of financials as it develops, says Strategas' Chris VerroneChris Verrone, Strategas Research Partners head of technical and macro research, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the tech and financial trades and market seasonality.
Persons: Strategas, Chris Verrone Chris Verrone Organizations: Strategas Research Partners
Last week, bitcoin tumbled 9% for its worst weekly performance since August 2023. Bitcoin jumped Monday evening and topped $57,000 after Wall Street's rebound from its worst week of the year. The three major averages last week posted their worst weekly performance in 2024. Bitcoin has been trading range bound for most of the year. "This relief in the equity markets could help alleviate selling pressure on bitcoin, providing a conducive environment for a recovery."
Persons: cryptocurrency, bitcoin, Bitcoin, Wall, MicroStrategy Organizations: Metrics, Nasdaq
Breaking Dawn was one of two places that opened in the San Francisco Bay Area last spring emphasizing brunch. Asian American restaurants in other cities have also found that sweet and savory spot between breakfast and lunch. Jessica Nguyen, 28, who was finishing brunch at Breaking Dawn, says she’ll almost always choose Asian brunch over regular eggs or waffles. Within the last few decades, Asian and Asian American cuisine has become more popular through media and savvy foodies. She doesn’t see other restaurants with Asian brunch as rivals.
Persons: Dawn, Liz Truong, Terry Tang, , Truong, Lerspreuk, Thanasit “ Toto ” Nanthasitsira, yum, , Chef Francis Ang, buttered, Jessica Nguyen, she’ll, Nguyen, Martin Manalansan, ” Manalansan, “ It’s, There’s, Eric Silverstein, Silverstein, we’re, ” Silverstein Organizations: GATOS, FO, Breaking, San Francisco Bay Area, NBC Asian Locations: Calif, Bay, sunnyside, Los Gatos, San Francisco Bay, San Mateo, Thailand, Francisco’s, China , Hong Kong, Taiwan, Austin , Texas, Tokyo, Atlanta, NBC Asian America
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Pay-TV distributors — that's conventional cable guys like Comcast, satellite-TV outfits like DirecTV, and digital alternatives like YouTube TV — lost 1.6 million subscribers in the second quarter of 2024, according to analysts at MoffettNathanson. But not as bad as other Q2s, like in 2023, when the industry lost 1.7 million subscribers, or in 2022, when it lost 1.8 million subs. And in other good news for the TV industry … well, that's about it. That's why YouTube TV lost subscribers for the first time in the first quarter, and added only 50,000 subscribers in the second.
Persons: , MoffettNathanson's Craig Moffett, Michael Nathanson, we've, Nathanson, Venu, Warner, Fox —, Moffett, James Faris, Jimmy Pitaro Organizations: Service, Comcast, DirecTV, YouTube, Business, Hulu, Moffett, Warner Bros, Disney, Fox, ESPN, ABC
The good news outweighs the bad Seasonality aside, the market is riding a wave of momentum, and with good reason: 1) The market "broadening" trend is very real. At Jackson Hole, chairman Jerome Powell made it clear that the Fed had shifted its attention from fighting inflation to the job market. S&P 500 in September: It's been ugly recently (rounded) 2023: down 5%2022: down 9%2021: down 5%2020: down 4% The elections are another wildcard. Two-thirds of the S&P 500 was up in August. Most importantly, the Equal-Weight S&P 500 (RSP) modestly outperformed the S&P 500 in August and closed Friday at an historic high.
Persons: Frank Gretz, Wellington Shields, Robert Hum, It's, Consumer Staples, Jerome Powell, David Smith, Brendan McDermid Organizations: Dow, NASDAQ, Russell, NYSE, Megacap Tech, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Consumer, Estate, Technology, American Association of, Bulls, PCE, Fed, Rockland Trust, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Wellington, Meta, Rockland, New York City, U.S
US stocks tested record highs as Fed chairman Jerome Powell delivered his speech at Jackson Hole. "The time has come for policy to adjust," Powell said, confirming imminent interest rate cuts. AdvertisementUS stocks tested record highs on Friday as Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell delivered remarks at the Jackson Hole economic symposium. AdvertisementOf note about Powell's Jackson Hole speech, according to Renaissance Macro Research, is that it didn't include the word "gradual." AdvertisementIf Friday's surge higher holds, it could buck the trend of the stock market's reaction to Powell's previous Jackson Hole speeches.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Jackson, Powell, , Susan Collins, Raphael Bostic, Powell's Jackson, Steve Sosnick, Sosnick Organizations: Service, Federal, Treasury, CNBC, Macro, Interactive Brokers
While expectations are high and caution is certainly warranted, we don't think it's quite that simple. While the Oscillator and Williams' work do point to possible selling pressure ahead, we don't want to get too bearish. However, we don't think the risks are so elevated as to warrant more than a small cash raise. We still view Nvidia as an "own it, don't trade it" stock, but we also don't keep our heads in the sand. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Larry Williams, Williams, Jim, Estee Lauder, Morgan Stanley, hasn't, they've, We're, Jim Cramer's, Dominika Organizations: Nvidia, Club, Abbott Laboratories, Federal, Blackwell, Apple, Microsoft, Super Six, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Nurphoto, Getty Locations: Williams
In addition to the headline numbers, here are three other factors to keep in mind when Palo Alto reports after Monday's market close. Palo Alto cut its 2024 full-year guidance for revenue and billings during quarterly results in February because of its pivot to "platformization," or bundling its products and services. Shares of Palo Alto nosedived 28% in the session following the Feb. 20 release. PANW YTD mountain Palo Alto Networks (PANW) year-to-date performance 2. As for other competitors, the case for companies to give Palo Alto their business just keeps getting stronger.
Persons: Jeff Marks, Palo, Nikesh Arora, it's, Jim Cramer, Wells Fargo, Evercore, CrowdStrike, Arora, we've, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Chris Jung Organizations: Palo Alto Networks, Wall, Palo Alto, Palo, billings, Palo Alto nosedived, Barclays, Alto, Investors, CNBC, Mobile, Congress, Fira, Barcelona, Getty Locations: Palo Alto, Palo, billings, Barcelona, Spain
watch nowConsumer spending held up even better than expected in July as inflation pressures showed more signs of easing, the Commerce Department reported Thursday. Advanced retail sales accelerated 1% on the month, according to numbers that are adjusted for seasonality but not inflation. Excluding auto-related items, sales increased 0.4%, also better than the 0.1% forecast. Miscellaneous retailers saw a plunge of 2.5% while gas stations saw receipts climb just 0.1% and clothing stores were down 0.1%. There was one counterpoint to that in another data release Thursday in which the Labor Department said import prices increased 0.1% in July, slightly ahead of the forecast for no change.
Persons: Dow Jones, Richard de Chazal, William Blair Organizations: Commerce Department, Stock, Labor Department
Don't get too excited about this latest inflation report
  + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Stocks had a strong showing Tuesday after the latest U.S. wholesale inflation report came out. In other words, just because PPI rose less than expected, it doesn't mean investors should expect a tame CPI report on Wednesday. "Financial markets seem to react too much every month to PPI," said Stanley, the bank's chief economist. " The S & P 500 closed Tuesday's session nearly 2% higher, while the Nasdaq Composite climbed 2.4%. The major averages are now well above the lows seen in Aug. 5, when the Dow and S & P 500 suffered their biggest one-day pullbacks since 2022.
Persons: Stocks, Stephen Stanley, Stanley, Dow, David Russell, We're Organizations: ISI, PPI, Santander U.S, CPI, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAsset manager says beware of seasonality extending market volatilityPhil Blancato, Ladenburg Thalmann, joins 'Fast Money' to talk inflation, the state of the consumer, the impact on retailers, market volatility and more.
Persons: Phil Blancato, Ladenburg Thalmann
Bank of America found that the S & P 500 typically is lower two months after the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) spikes above 45. In the eight weeks after such a volatility surge, the S & P 500 is higher only 40% of the time and loses 0.72% on a median basis, BofA data shows. Typically, the broad market index gains 66% of the time and advances 1.95% on a median basis. Roughly three months after a Vix spike, the broad market index is higher 80% of the time, gaining 5.17% on a median basis, per BofA. One year later, the S & P 500 is up 80% of the time, rallying 18.18% on a median basis.
Persons: Stephen Suttmeier, it's Organizations: Bank of America Securities . Bank of America, BofA Securities
.VIX YTD mountain Cboe Volatility Index in 2024 That is literally what the VIX measures: expectations for volatility over the next 30 days. Was Monday a 'flash crash'? A "flash crash" is a sudden and severe price drop that lasts for a very short period, usually a few hours. "It appears that the sell-off of August 5th qualified as a flash crash, although it was rather modest by historical standards," he told me. During the 1987 flash crash, Higgins said an investor was trying to orchestrate trades on the phone while he was preparing to go to his relative's funeral.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, Alec Young, haven't, Mark Higgins, Higgins Organizations: Bank of Japan, Yen Trust, JPMorgan Chase, Fund, Dow Jones Locations: Japan, backwardation
Any September decision to lower the Fed's target range would be the first time interest rates have fallen since the hiking cycle began in March 2022. However, stocks fell soon after the rate cut in 2001 and 2007 by 13.5% and 20.6%, respectively, due to the dotcom crash and the global financial crisis. The current tightening episode is the seventh in the past 40 years. Historically, the Fed has cut rates because the U.S. economy was heading into a recession or experiencing a notable growth slowdown. While nominal rates peaked at 11.5% at the end of the 1983-84 episode, the current target range of 5.25%-5.50% is the highest this millennium.
Persons: Kevin Kliesen, Louis Organizations: CNBC, CNBC Pro, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of St Locations: U.S
AMD sold off on its first-quarter earnings report due in large part to its MI300 sales guidance falling short of sky-high expectations. Nvidia remains the dominant player in AI chips, but AMD is continuing to carve out a lane in the rapidly expanding market. Among the highlights, Su said Microsoft has expanded its use of the AI chips for certain software applications, including messaging app Teams. AMD's data center business is now nearly 50% of companywide revenues, up from 37% in the fourth quarter of 2023. Within data center, sales of both AI chips and traditional server chips will grow in the third quarter, Su said.
Persons: Lisa Su, Su, Jim Cramer, it's, , FactSet, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Cheng Organizations: Revenue, AMD, Intel, Nvidia, Broadcom, Club, Microsoft, CNBC, Micro Devices, Afp, Getty Locations: Taipei
Dexcom shares sank more than 40% on Friday and headed for their worst day ever after the diabetes management company reported disappointing revenue for the second quarter and offered weak guidance. The stock fell $45.38 to $62.47 as of early afternoon, wiping out about $18 billion in market cap. Prior to Friday, the biggest drop came in September 2017, when the shares plunged 33% in a day. Dexcom held its stock market debut in 2005. With Friday's selloff, Dexcom shares are down almost 50% for the year, while the S&P 500 is up 15%.
Persons: Dexcom, Kevin Sayer, we've, Sayer, JPMorgan's Robbie Marcus, Marcus, Jereme Sylvain, Sylvain, William Blair, Leerink, Stelo, Friday's Organizations: JPMorgan, U.S . Food, Drug Administration
Ford posted adjusted earnings per share of 47 cents compared to the consensus forecast of 68 cents, according to LSEG. Edwards also reported second-quarter adjusted earnings of 70 cents a share, a penny above expectations, per LSEG. Honeywell — Shares moved more than 4% lower after the industrial giant's full-year outlook missed analysts' expectations. According to LSEG, analysts were expecting earnings to come in at $2.20 per share on $15.62 billion in revenue. Northrop Grumman — The defense stock climbed more than 5% after the company beat second-quarter earnings expectations.
Persons: Ford, Molina, FactSet, Edwards Lifesciences, Edwards, CJ Desai, LSEG, RTX, AbbVie, Northrop Grumman, , Alex Harring, Yun Li, Pia Singh, Hakyung Kim, Jesse Pound Organizations: Ford, Viking Therapeutics, U.S . Army . American Airlines, American Airlines, Honeywell —, Southwest Airlines —, Southwest, Citi, Hasbro, Revenue, Machines, Business Machines, Nasdaq
Shares of Dexcom tumbled more than 35% in extended trading Thursday after the diabetes management company reported disappointing revenue for the second quarter and offered weak guidance. The company reported net income of $143.5 million, up from the $115.9 million it reported during the same period last year. Dexcom updated its full fiscal year guidance to reflect expected revenue between $4 billion and $4.05, which is down from the $4.20 billion to $4.35 billion it forecast last quarter. "While Dexcom advanced several key strategic initiatives in the second quarter, our execution did not meet our high standards," Dexcom CEO Kevin Sayer said in the release. In March, the company announced its new over-the-counter CGM called Stelo had been cleared for use by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration.
Persons: LSEG, Dexcom, Kevin Sayer, Stelo Organizations: LSEG Revenue, U.S . Food, Drug Administration
Separate data on spending shows that American shoppers are still shopping. That measure strengthened in the second quarter, rising to a 2.9% rate compared to 2.6% seen earlier this year. Generally, one risk that comes with an economy that’s expanding robustly is that price pressures can either get stuck or heat up. Businesses are still spending, but less on thisBusinesses invested much more in the second quarter than in the first three months of the year. The measure for that — known as “nonresidential fixed investment” — rose to a 5.2% rate in the second quarter, up from 4.4% in the first quarter.
Persons: That’s, pare, , Jamie Cox, ” Scott Helfstein, ” Oren Klachkin Organizations: Washington CNN, Gross, Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, PCE, Harris Financial Group, , Nationwide
Real gross domestic product , a measure of all the goods and services produced during the April-through-June period, increased at a 2.8% annualized pace adjusted for seasonality and inflation. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for growth of 2.1% following a 1.4% increase in the first quarter. Economic activity in the U.S. was considerably stronger than expected during the second quarter, according to an initial estimate Thursday from the Commerce Department. The so-called chain-weighted price index, which takes into account changes in consumer behavior, increased 2.3% for the quarter, below the 2.6% estimate. There also is pressure in the housing market: Sales are declining while home prices continue to climb, putting pressure on first-time homebuyers.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Commerce Department, Stock, Federal Reserve, Fed, Philadelphia Federal Locations: U.S
Southwest reported 58 cents in adjusted earnings per share on $7.35 billion of revenue. Analysts surveyed by LSEG were looking for a profit of 51 cents per share on $7.32 billion in revenue. RTX reported $1.41 earnings per share, ex-items, compared to analysts' estimate of $1.30 per share, according to LSEG. KLA reported adjusted earnings of $6.60 per share, higher than analysts' expectations of $6.15 per share, according to LSEG. Ford reported adjusted earnings per share of 47 cents, significantly less than the consensus forecast of 68 cents, per LSEG.
Persons: oversupply, overshadowing, AbbVie, Dow, LSEG, Northrop Grumman, Dr Pepper, ServiceNow, CJ Desai, Molina, FactSet, Edwards, Ford, , Yun Li, Jesse Pound, Christina Cheddar Berk, Fred Imbert Organizations: Airlines —, American Airlines, Honeywell —, Southwest Airlines —, Hasbro, IBM, Northrop, LSEG, Nasdaq, KLA Corporation, U.S . Army, Molina Healthcare, Technology, Ford, Viking Therapeutics Locations: LSEG
The stock market is facing several issues: a tech re-rating, a slower economy, a seasonally weak period and an uncertain presidential outcome. Big cap tech is getting re-rated This is what happens when the market gets top-heavy in technology. Prices for megacap tech stocks have run up dramatically in hopes of outsized earnings. Regardless, investors have been re-rating tech stocks for many weeks now. Technology stocks have been toppy for some time.
Persons: Sundar Pichai, he'd, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Matt Bartolini, Kamala Harris, Sam Stovall, Trump Organizations: Technology, Cloud Computing, Semiconductor, P Technology, X Social Media, Semiconductors, Micron, Qualcomm, Nvidia, Broadcom, SPDR, SPDR Americas Research, State, Trump, Democratic Locations: SPDR Americas
A few companies with quarterly results due next week could see shares slide as analysts have lowered their earnings forecasts. The second-quarter earnings season so far has seen roughly 27% of S & P 500 companies report results, notching more than 10% earnings growth according to FactSet data. Earnings estimates have declined at least 10% in the past three and six months Implied upside to average price target of 10% or less Companies are reporting earnings next week New York-based utility Consolidated Edison is on the list. Analysts' estimates for earnings have slid by 372% over the past three months, and they are down 167% over the past six months. Earnings estimates from analysts have slid 59% over the past three months and 69% over the past six months, according to FactSet.
Persons: Guggenheim, Ruben Roy, Jason Bazinet Organizations: Wall, CNBC, Consolidated Edison, Intel, Electronic Arts, CNBC Pro's, EA, FactSet, Citi, Arts Locations: New York
The automaker posted adjusted earnings per share of 47 cents, significantly less than analysts' forecast of 68 cents, per LSEG. The burrito chain topped earnings and revenue expectations as it saw higher traffic at its restaurants. The company reported adjusted earnings of $2.43 per share on revenue of $15.77 billion for the second quarter. ServiceNow posted second-quarter adjusted earnings of $3.13 per share on revenue of $2.62 billion. KLA reported adjusted earnings of $6.60 per share, higher than analysts' expectations of $6.15 per share, per LSEG.
Persons: LSEG, ServiceNow, Molina, FactSet, Edwards, O'Reilly, , Darla Mercado Organizations: Ford, Wall, Automotive, Machines, IBM, Healthcare, KLA Corporation, Revenue, O'Reilly Automotive
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