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Inflation data in the week ahead could determine whether a stock market that surged to all-time highs after Donald Trump 's decisive victory can continue to push higher. Meanwhile, the October producer price index, which excludes shelter, is set to have risen 0.3%, consensus estimates show, up from a 0.0% reading the prior month. Initial Claims (11/09) 8:30 a.m. Producer Price Index (October) Earnings: Applied Materials , Walt Disney Friday, Nov. 15 8:30 a.m. Export Price Index (October) 8:30 a.m. Import Price Index (October) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Donald Trump, Hogan, We've, Nancy Tengler, Bitcoin, Harker, Tyson, Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Riley Wealth Management, FactSet, Laffer, Investments, Trump, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Atlanta Fed, Treasury, Philadelphia Reserve, Carnegie Mellon, Occidental Petroleum, Nation Entertainment, Tyson Foods, Mosaic, Treasury Budget NSA, Cisco Systems, Walt Disney, Price, Retail, Manufacturing Locations: China, U.S
Andrew Caballero-Reynolds | AFP | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Powell, in yesterday's press conference, maintained that "the election will have no effect on our policy decisions." According to the futures market, just 30.4% of traders think the Fed will cut rates again in January. "By December, we'll have more data, I guess one more employer report, two more inflation reports and lots of other data," Powell said.
Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Andrew Caballero, Reynolds, Jim Reid, Trump, Scott Helfstein, Powell, we'll, that's, , Jeff Cox, Lisa Kailai Han, Hakyung Kim, Jesse Pound, Alex Harring Organizations: Federal Reserve, AFP, Getty, CNBC, Deutsche, Tech, Apple, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Global, Congress, Fed Locations: Washington , DC
Kent Nishimura | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Powell, in yesterday's press conference, maintained that "the election will have no effect on our policy decisions." "By December, we'll have more data, I guess one more employer report, two more inflation reports and lots of other data," Powell said. — CNBC's Jeff Cox, Lisa Kailai Han, Hakyung Kim, Jesse Pound and Alex Harring contributed to this report.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Kent Nishimura, Jim Reid, Trump, Scott Helfstein, Powell, we'll, that's, , Jeff Cox, Lisa Kailai Han, Hakyung Kim, Jesse Pound, Alex Harring Organizations: FTSE, Federal, CNBC, Deutsche, Tech, Apple, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Global, Congress, Fed Locations: GDAXI, Washington, Washington , DC
CNBC Daily Open: The Trump rally kicks off
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineDonald Trump's victory in the U.S. presidential elections is providing a tailwind to risk assets. The Trump rally, in short, has begun. To be sure, yesterday's frenzy could have been a relief rally as much as a Trump rally. For now, however, the Trump rally is lighting up the markets.
Persons: Donald Trump, Brian Snyder, Donald Trump's, Marc Pinto, Janus Henderson, Trump's, Tesla, Elon Musk, bitcoin, Trump, Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones, Yung, Yu Ma, Jesse Pound, Scott Schnipper, Alex Harring, Yun Li Organizations: Santander Arena, Reuters, CNBC, U.S, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors, Trump, Bank, General Motors, Ford, EV, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, BMO Wealth Management Locations: Reading , Pennsylvania, U.S
Donald Trump's return to the White House sparked a big move higher in small-cap stocks. Small-cap stocks were seen as potential winners under a second Trump presidency, as investors expect it would ease regulations on businesses — which tend to weigh more heavily on smaller businesses. Wednesday's gains in small caps were led by private prison stocks Geo Group and CoreCivic , which were up roughly 20% each. Small-cap stocks have trailed their large-cap counterparts this year. Notably, small caps outperformed in the 3mos after both the Trump 2016 and Biden 2020 wins."
Persons: Donald Trump's, Russell, Jason Goepfert, Wolfe, Chris Senyek, IWM, Wells, Chris Harvey, Robert Krankowski Organizations: Trump, DOJ, FTC, Congress, Wolfe Research, Geo, Biden, UBS, Ferrari Locations: Wells Fargo
Eugene Tanner | AFP | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. It may be tempting to view market moves as a proxy for the direction that the elections will go. But UBS thinks any outsized market moves caused by election volatility is an opportunity for investors to build up their portfolios. The optimism around the economy and markets is shared by Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group.
Persons: Honolulu Hale, Eugene Tanner, Tesla, Elon Musk's, Donald Trump, Stocks, Nomura, Marcelli, Ryan Detrick, Detrick, Fred Imbert, Pia Singh, Jesse Pound, Samantha Subin Organizations: AFP, Getty, CNBC, Democratic, Republican Party, UBS, Americas, UBS Global, Carson Group, White Locations: Honolulu, Honolulu , Hawaii, U.S
Stocks exploded higher, bonds tanked and crypto boomed to historic peaks, indicating lofty hopes for when the president-elect takes office in January. However, there's still a lot of game left to be played, and the score could change a lot in future days. Essentially, strategists worry Trump's plan for punishing tariffs, higher spending and lower taxes will send bond yields higher, generally a recipe for trouble in stocks. "The question for me is how much can the Trump rally extend in the short term, but it strikes me that selling long positions into a rally makes a good deal of sense." "This suggests an asymmetric risk/reward framework with a much higher probability of downside than upside," said Lisa Hornby, head of U.S. fixed income at Schroders.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Stocks, there's, Mark Dowding, Lisa Hornby Organizations: Trump, RBC Global Asset Management, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, Schroders
.SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD It's because the economy and earnings remain resilient. That is the main reason the S & P 500 is less than 2% from its historic high. Third quarter earnings for the S & P 500 are up 8.4%, well above the 6.0% estimated at the start of October. It's fourth quarter earnings that matter Remember, the most important thing to watch is the trend and whether it is accelerating or decelerating. The S & P 500 is up 50% in those two years.
Persons: There's, Tom Lee, Phil Mackintosh, Mackintosh, John Butters, Scott Chronert, Alec Young, MapSignals.com, Young, We're Organizations: Tech, Nasdaq, Democrat, Republican, Citigroup Locations: backwardation
But the true implications for investors monitoring the election may lie in which party controls Congress, rather than who will sit in the White House. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 The importance of whichever party controls Congress was highlighted by Trump's recent trips outside battleground states such as New Mexico , a state that hasn't voted for a GOP presidential nominee in roughly 20 years. On the other hand, Evercore ISI's Emanuel expects a Harris victory, with a Democratic sweep of Congress, could result in the S & P 500 falling to roughly 5,700. The S & P 500 slid 1%, while the Nasdaq dipped 0.5%. Earnings season continues with about 100 S & P 500 companies confirmed to report.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson, I'm, Abuhoff Jacobson, hasn't, Brian Burrell, Jay Hatfield, Harris, Hatfield, Evercore ISI's Julian Emanuel, Evercore ISI's Emanuel, Jerome Powell's, Ralph Lauren, Warner, Alex Harring Organizations: NBC, Congress, House, Democratic, Republican, Hartford Investments, GOP, Thornburg Investment Management, Infrastructure Capital Advisors, Senate, Wednesday, Regional Banking, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, National, Marriott International, Diamondback Energy, Wynn Resorts, Palantir Technologies, NXP Semiconductors, PMI, PMI Services, Services PMI, Petroleum, Brands, Technology, Computer, CVS, Howmet Aerospace, Gilead Sciences, Labor, Consumer, Moderna, Molson Coors Beverage, Halliburton, Hershey Co, Warner Bros, Expedia, Akamai Technologies, Paramount Locations: New Mexico, Albuquerque, Santa Fe , New Mexico, Hartford, Albemarle, Qualcomm, Michigan
CNBC Daily Open: Everyone loves Reddit
  + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Jakub Porzycki | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. It's not too surprising, then, that the companies behind those services – Snap , Reddit and Alphabet – reported third-quarter results that beat Wall Street's expectations. While Snap and Reddit didn't report their advertising top line specifically, there were indications both companies are also doing well in that area. Note: CNBC Daily Open will be on a break Thursday, Oct. 31, for the public holiday in Singapore.
Persons: Jakub Porzycki, Evan Spiegel, That's, Reddit, It's, Microsoft isn't, Meta, — CNBC's Julia Boorstin, Jonathan Vanian, Jennifer Elias Organizations: SNAP, Nurphoto, CNBC, Microsoft, Meta Locations: Singapore
The report was messy, but it doesn't dim Eli Lilly's bright multiyear outlook, rendering the dip in the stock as a chance to buy. LLY .SPX 5Y mountain Eli Lilly's five-year stock performance compared with the S & P 500. Bottom line We're upgrading Eli Lilly to our buy-equivalent 1 rating and leaving our price target of $1,000 a share unchanged. Eli Lilly Why we own it: Eli Lilly's best-in-class drugs should enable growth above the industry average for many years to come. Eli Lilly's new Alzheimer's drug Kisunla, which was approved by the FDA in July, was not a major focus on the call.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Eli, Eli Lilly's, Jim Cramer, Jim, , that's, David Ricks, Ricks, Semaglutide, Wegovy, Lilly, There's, Mounjaro, Trulicity, Verzenio, Jim Cramer's, Cristina Arias Organizations: Revenue, The Club, CNBC, JPMorgan, Novo Nordisk, Food, Novo Nordisk's, FDA, Zepbound, Biogen, Merck, Pfizer, Morphic, Company, Pharmaceutical Locations: Tuesday's, U.S, Novo, Eisai, FactSet, Zepbound, Alcobendas, Madrid, Spain
Options traders are buckling down for outsized volatility around next week's election, according to Goldman Sachs. Two of the funds with the highest implied volatility are linked to China: the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB) and the iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) . Crypto is already a volatile area, but Trump's embrace of the industry during his campaign could spark a significant reaction. The options market implies a move of more than 7% for ProShares Bitcoin ETF (BITO) , according to Goldman. BITO, which holds bitcoin futures, did not exist in 2020, so there are no prior election comparisons for the fund.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, John Marshall, Donald Trump's, Crypto, Goldman, BITO Organizations: CSI China Internet, Regional Banking, Republicans, ProShares, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission Locations: China, U.S
Niccol's overarching message: A bunch of changes, both big and small, are coming to Starbucks' menu, mobile app and stores that should satisfy all parties involved. Starbucks stock didn't do much in the five sessions since then, ending Wednesday at $97.32 a share. Starbucks is far from a quick fix, but Niccol on Wednesday night demonstrated that the optimism may not be misplaced. As for mobile orders, which account for more than 30% of transactions, the CEO said Starbucks will tweak its algorithm so that it provides specific pickup times to customers. Investors are hoping Starbucks' stock returns are reminiscent of that tenure, too.
Persons: Brian Niccol, Jim Cramer, Niccol, Wall, , Laxman Narasimhan —, Howard Schultz, Jim, Rachel Ruggeri, we've, Jim Cramer's, Jakub Porzycki Organizations: Starbucks, Chipotle, Investors, CNBC, Nurphoto, Getty Locations: U.S, China, Chipotle, Manhattan Beach , California
The S & P 500 typically advances about 7% from November to April, compared to the index's average 2% rise from May to October, according to CFRA Research chief investment strategist Sam Stovall. This year's market strength follows a standout 20% gain for the S & P 500 in 2023's "best six months" period, he noted. "This double-dose of double-digit returns has caused investors to wonder if the market has used up its energy reserves and may be headed for tough times," Stovall wrote. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 has advanced more than 22% in 2024. Stocks were bhigher on both Friday and Monday , with the S & P 500 trading within a hair's breath of this month's all-time high of 5864.67.
Persons: Sam Stovall, Russell, Stocks, Stovall Organizations: Stock Traders, Research, Investors Locations: U.S
Brendan McDermid | ReutersThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineThe Nasdaq Composite managed to log a seventh consecutive winning week. Investors also looked ahead to Big Tech earnings coming out this week: shares of Meta , Amazon and Microsoft added as much as 1%. Even though almost three-quarters of S&P companies have beaten expectations, according to FactSet data, the rate of profit growth has not met expectations, disappointing investors.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, CNBC's Pia Singh, James Quincey, — CNBC's Brian Evans, Pia Singh, Alex Harring Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Investors, Big Tech, Meta, Microsoft, Dow
In this article TSLAKOMSFTAMZNMETA.DJI.SPX.IXIC.N225JPY=@LCO.1@CL.1 Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTTraders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on October 22, 2024 in New York City. Spencer Platt | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? What you need to know todayThe bottom line
Persons: Spencer Platt Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Getty, CNBC Locations: New York City
Analyst Ike Boruchow and the bank's consumer team found the tariffs proposed by the Republican nominee are likely a significant challenge for retailers. High tariffs would be the latest hit after what has already been a tough year, with shares of the value-focused retailer diving 59% in 2024. Target is an even larger retailer that Wells Fargo is concerned will suffer from high tariffs enacted in a second Trump term. After this monster run, the average analyst only foresees further upside of about 2.5% for Walmart over the next year, the LSEG survey says. Still, the majority of analysts are unwilling to abandon the nation's largest retailer and hold buy ratings on Arkansas-based Walmart.
Persons: Donald Trump, Ike Boruchow, Trump, Boruchow, Wells, SPX Organizations: White, Republican, Wall, Trump, Walmart Locations: Wells, China, Minneapolis, Arkansas
And how should investors be thinking about future equity returns as the bull market enters its third year riding stellar multi-year performance and facing demanding valuations? So, expansionary policies that would quicken the economy's metabolism and produce more inflation was exactly what the market craved then – but now? Right now, the S & P 500 is up 42% from 18 months ago and fetches 22-times expected earnings. No reliable augurs of a coming bear market are in evidence: S & P up 10 of 11 months, making a new high in September, credit spreads resolutely narrow, all point to an upside bias over a span of months, at least. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD Which leaves the question of just how much upside, if any, a bull should reasonably expect from here.
Persons: Warren Pies, Pat Tschosik, Ned Davis, Donald Trump, payrolls, Harris, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Fed, 3Fourteen Research, Trump, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Dow, Leuthold, quicken, Wall Locations: U.S, China, Wells
Investors will contend with earnings results from five of the Magnificent Seven companies next week. .SPX 1M mountain S & P 500 "I sort of refer to this period that we're in right now as like a strange brew," said Mark Malek, investment chief at Siebert. On Friday, the Nasdaq Composite hit an all-time high , but the S & P 500 snapped a six-week win streak. In fact, the high concentration of the mega-cap leaders in the S & P 500 spurred Goldman Sachs' David Kostin this month to release a dim long-term forecast for the overall market. HSBC head of equity strategy Nicole Inui upped her S & P 500 year-end target to 5,900.
Persons: Mark Malek, Siebert, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Siebert's Malek, they've, Nicole Inui, Inui, D.R Horton, Price, Eli Lilly, Lauder Organizations: Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Nasdaq, U.S, Treasury, Big Tech, HSBC, FactSet, Richmond Fed, Dallas Fed, Ford, Semiconductor, Caesars Entertainment, Devices, Pfizer, Royal Caribbean Group, PayPal, ADP, Kraft Heinz, Caterpillar, GE Healthcare Technologies, Holdings, ECI Civilian Workers, PCE, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, Cruise Line Holdings, Uber Technologies, Lauder Companies, Mastercard, Generac, Jobs, PMI, Manufacturing, Exxon Mobil Locations: U.S, Chicago
Brendan McDermid | ReutersThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineLike an unwelcome ex-partner who shows up during the most inopportune times and refuses to leave, Treasury yields too have made a return and are hogging the market limelight. It's not inconceivable, then, that the strong economy might prompt the Fed to slow down, or even hold back, its rate cuts. The stock market slumped as yields rebounded.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Brent Schutte, Paul Hickey, Hickey, Wells, they'll, , Jeff Cox, Lisa Kailai Han, Pia Singh, Brian Evans Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, CNBC, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq Locations: TY, New York City, U.S
The S & P 500 suffered its first three-day decline since early September. Chief market technician Jonathan Krinsky noted a "decent probability" the broad market index could fall as much as 5% to roughly 5,500 in coming weeks. The S & P 500 has pulled back this week from record highs reached just Oct. 17. Krinsky pointed to the recent move higher in Treasury yields as the key catalyst. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning, JPMorgan reiterated Live Nation with an overweight rating and raised a $137 price target, implying upside of more than 19%.
Persons: BTIG, Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, Tesla Organizations: UPS, JPMorgan
The recent strong run in stocks could be just the beginning, according to Canaccord Genuity. The recent rally comes as the current bull market turned two years old. Canaccord Genuity analyst Michael Welch thinks more gains could lie ahead. .SPX mountain 2022-10-12 SPX during bull market "The current two-year-old bull market remains below the median in both percent gain and duration, suggesting the upside has further room to run," he wrote Monday. The latest market run also comes as investors pore through third-quarter results.
Persons: Canaccord, Michael Welch, Welch, Goldman Sachs, Warby Parker, Goldman Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S
Iger's CEO contract currently runs until Dec. 31, 2026. Gorman joined Disney's board earlier this year and in August was named the lead of Disney's succession planning committee, which is tasked with finding Iger's replacement. In Nelson Peltz's unsuccessful proxy fight earlier this year, the activist investor took issue with how Disney's board previously handled succession. The firm's new CEO, Ted Pick, has "reaped some of the great success of Gorman," Jim added. Morgan Stanley shares soared to all-time highs last week after it reported top and bottom-line beats for its third quarter .
Persons: Bob Iger, James Gorman, Morgan Stanley, Mark Parker, Disney, Gorman, Iger, Bob Chapek, Nelson Peltz's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Ted Pick, Gary Hershorn Organizations: Disney, Nike, Wall, DIS, Club, CNBC, Hulu, ESPN, Magic, Walt Disney World, Corbis, Getty Locations: Orlando , Florida
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineThere's a YouTube series called "I Like to Watch," in which two people react to Netflix shows. While it has accumulated an ardent fanbase for the hosts' kooky reactions, the series is, essentially, a show about Netflix shows. Netflix shows are often all of the above. Many of us like to watch Netflix shows.
Persons: Ashish Vaishnav, Richard Broughton, Ampere, Doug Anmuth, — CNBC's Sean Conlon, Ryan Browne, Lisa Kailai Han, Alex Harring Organizations: Netflix, Lightrocket, CNBC Locations: Mumbai
The S & P 500 returned 13% annually the last 10 years, above the long-term average of 11%, according to Goldman. Goldman's bearish long-term forecast comes just as the S & P 500 has entered the third year of a bull market, garnering a 27% annual total return the last two years. "The current high level of equity valuations is a key reason our 10-year forward return forecast sits at the lower end of the historical distribution," stated the note. The firm said the equal-weight S & P 500 would produce higher returns than the regular benchmark because of the concentration risk. The Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP)F tracks an equally distributed version of the index.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Goldman, Goldman's Organizations: Nvidia
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