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When it comes to investing in sectors such as financials and energy under Trump, Bianco believes that size matters. A Harris presidency would benefit the renewable energy industry, according to Amanda Rebello, head of Xtrackers ETF sales at DWS. That's primarily because a Harris presidency would result in more stringent fiscal policy than a Trump one. The national debt is also likely to rise faster under a Trump presidency compared to a Harris one. AdvertisementInvestors can prepare for a Harris presidency by adding fixed income assets such as US 10-year Treasury notes to their portfolios.
Persons: , David Bianco, Harris, it's, He's, Bianco, Trump, Russell, REITs There's, Amanda Rebello, That's, he's, REITs, iShares Cohen Organizations: Service, Trump, Business, Republican, DWS Group, Republican National Convention, Big Pharma, VanEck Pharmaceutical, Vanguard, Energy, Democratic, Fed, Harris, Real, Investment, Battery Tech, Clean Energy, Schwab, Steers, ETF Locations: Big, Harris ' California
So far, most of the AI winners have been confined to players further up the value chain, such as data center providers and semiconductor chip producers at the backbone of AI technology. As the buildout phase of AI matures, investors are looking further down the value chain for monetization opportunities, whether it be for consumers or businesses. Ayako Yoshioka, senior portfolio manager at Wealth Enhancement Group, sees three parts of the market that could see profit enhancements from the adoption of AI. 3 non-tech AI opportunitiesThere's significant potential for the healthcare sector to reap the benefits of AI. Large banks like JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs also use AI to comb through and sort large quantities of historical financial data, facilitate financial research, and provide investment advice.
Persons: , Ayako Yoshioka, Yoshioka, JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, They're, That's Organizations: Service, Big Tech, Business, Google, Security, Visa, Mastercard, Healthcare, Trust Nasdaq
According to Bank of America, the most recent market pullback is a symptom of a "buffalo" market. Related stories"A buffalo market is still in the bull family," McGregor said. She expects that the buffalo market will roam around this summer before stabilizing into a bull market later this year. "We're expecting this earnings growth story to broaden beyond the Magnificent Seven in tech in the coming quarters." Bank of America believes small-caps could lead the stock market for the next ten years if interest rates come down and remain favorable.
Persons: , Marci McGregor, we've, McGregor, We're, Russell Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Bank of America, Business, Energy, Vanguard Health Care Locations: Buffalo
Traditional infrastructure might not seem as sexy as the newer AI data centers, but Bank of America believes traditional infrastructure has stronger growth prospects than AI infrastructure. The heavy focus on technology and AI has resulted in investors overlooking traditional infrastructure investment. Invest in industrials and materialsIn particular, Bank of America identified the industrials and materials sectors as the best investment opportunity within traditional infrastructure. The industrials sector trades at a relative forward PE of 0.98, and materials trades at 0.92. AdvertisementSome specific industries within those sectors are especially undervalued, such as construction materials and metals & mining.
Persons: , there's, Savita Subramanian, it's, Reshoring Organizations: Service, Big Tech, American Society of Civil Engineers, Business, Bank of, Bank of America Government, Bank of America, Bank, Invest, Industrial Locations: North America, industrials
AdvertisementETF enthusiasmInstead of single stocks, clients across the board are putting their money into ETFs. Bank of AmericaEven though clients sold off individual small-cap stocks, they're not shying away from that size segment of the market at all. Clients invested more money in small-cap ETFs than large-cap ones, providing small-caps with the biggest boost since May of this year. Similarly, while individual tech stocks experienced a sell-off, tech ETFs saw the largest capital inflow out of all sectors last week. Small-cap ETFs include Vanguard Small-Cap Index (VSCIX) and Invesco S&P SmallCap 600 Revenue ETF (RWJ).
Persons: , Jill Carey, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Bank of America's, Bank of America, Equity, Business, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Big Tech, Health, Bank of America Investors, Communication, Fidelity MSCI Information Tech, NYSE Technology, Vanguard Infomation Technology, Vanguard
This reaction is especially encouraging, as it's happening during a tumultuous market environment with lots of geopolitical and domestic political uncertainty. Looking at Spotify, we own it in our growth portfolio at Inside Edge Capital, first adding the position in February 2023. Judging by this post-earnings reaction, I see the stock moving above $400 in coming months. -Todd Gordon, Founder of Inside Edge Capital, LLC DISCLOSURES: Gordon owns SPOT personally and in his wealth management company Inside Edge Capital. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Spotify, Netflix, Communication, Edge, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Wells Fargo says it's time to buy banks as a Trump trade
  + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Banks are headed for a significant period of outperformance in the near term as the "Trump Trade" heats up, according to Wells Fargo. The analyst replaced health care with banks in the firm's recommended sector barbell under the belief the group will outperform under an improved regulatory environment. Harvey added that banks' macroeconomic backdrop is already improving with the Treasury curve beginning to steepen, the pace of mergers and acquisitions accelerating, and consumer credit in line with expectations. Bank stocks are trading at a "significant discount," Harvey noted. That kind of move implies roughly 15% of outperformance over the next one to three months.
Persons: Banks, Saturday's, Donald Trump, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Christopher Harvey, Harvey Organizations: Trump, Republican, Fund, Traders, Bank of America, Citigroup Locations: Wells Fargo
The charts indicate the ETF could be nearing a substantial breakout attempt. The ETF is comprised of five industries: financial services (33%), banks (26%) capital markets (21%), insurance (16%) and consumer finance (4%). Daily Bullish Pattern First, here's the daily chart. The SPX finally eclipsed its 2007 high in 2013; the XLF reclaimed its 2007 high in 2021, but that didn't hold. Putting it all together, a successful daily pattern breakout also would help the much bigger weekly pattern break out, which would finally create distance from the 2007 high and prompt a multi-decade breakout.
Persons: Banks, XLF, it's, that's, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Read previewAfter Big Tech's meteoric rise in the stock market, valuations may be coming back down to earth. Elevated Big Tech valuationsThe stock market is incredibly narrow, with just a few mega-cap tech stocks driving the market rally. Overall, the tech sector has risen by roughly 40% since November 2023. AdvertisementTruistAccording to Lerner, tech valuations are overheating in the short term, fueled by investor optimism. The tech sector's forward P/E has increased 19% just since May 1st of this year, jumping from 26x to 31x.
Persons: , Keith Lerner, Lerner Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Apple, Google, Business, Utilities, P Telecom, US Telecommunications ETF, Vanguard Utilities Index Fund
"This country will need more nuclear plants going forward," Chris Womack said at the Reuters Global Energy Transition conference in New York City. This is equivalent to about 10 new nuclear plants with a single reactor each. Based on market capitalization, Southern Company is the second largest name in the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) . After two decades of nearly flat power growth, Southern Company is now expecting demand to grow by three to four times, the CEO said. "You're also seeing in the Southeast, this incredible population growth and you're seeing all this onshoring with manufacturing."
Persons: Chris Womack, It's, Womack Organizations: Southern Company, Reuters, Energy, Department of Energy, Utilities, Southern Locations: States, New York City, Georgia , Alabama, Mississippi, Atlanta, U.S, Southern
CNBC Daily Open: Boeing's 'moment of reckoning'
  + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Immigrants, jobs and inflationImmigration has helped the U.S. job market sustain a strong run in recent months without reigniting inflation, economists and analysts say. This dynamic — a hot job market and cooling inflation — is in part the result of increased inflows of immigrants. The conglomerate sold 1.3 million shares for $39.8 million, reducing its holding to 6.9%. [PRO] S&P 500 to hit 6,000Evercore ISI predicts the stock market will soar to unprecedented heights, setting a new year-end target for the S&P 500 at a record 6,000.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, CNBC's Rebecca Picciotto, Ryan Cohen, Keith Gill, Matthew Bartolini, Berkshire Hathaway, Charlie Munger, Tesla Organizations: CNBC, Microsoft, Apple, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Minneapolis Federal, GameStop, Fund, Nvidia, SPDR Locations: U.S, SPDR Americas, Berkshire, BYD
The usual rebalancing of the S & P 500 index and the exchange traded funds around it is a quarterly event occurring Friday. There are exchange-traded funds that follow the broad market benchmark and ETFs that track the S & P 500 sector indexes, including technology. The S & P 500 indexes are pure indexes. Nvidia could become 99% of the S & P 500 by market capitalization, and it would be reflected in the index. This trio dominates the S & P 500 technology index.
Persons: Dow, Matthew Bartolini, Bartolini, We've Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, SPDR Technology, Broadcom, P Technology, SPDR, SPDR Americas Research, Regulators Locations: Americas, SPDR Americas
Nvidia 's blistering rally will force a major technology exchange-traded fund to acquire more than $10 billion worth of shares of the chip giant while cutting dramatically back on Apple . The index that the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) follows will soon rebalance, based on an adjusted market cap value from Friday's close. As a result, Microsoft and Nvidia will likely have a weight of around 21%, while Apple will fall sharply to about 4.5%, Bartolini said. That is a change from the prior weightings, which saw Nvidia's weight be kept artificially low by index rules. As of June 14, Microsoft and Apple were both at about 22% each in the fund, while Nvidia was just 6%.
Persons: Matthew Bartolini, Bartolini Organizations: Nvidia Corporation, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, SPDR, SPDR Americas Research Locations: Taipei, Taiwan, SPDR Americas
At stake is one of the top two spots in the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) , whose June rebalance is based on market cap values as of Friday's close. The market caps of Microsoft, Apple and Nvidia were all within $100 billion of each other as of Thursday's close, according to a FactSet calculation. This type of big shift in an index fund is unusual, but not unprecedented. The fund tracks an index from S & P Dow Jones Indices that uses weighting caps to keep the index in bounds. Depending on how many shares of Nvidia are required, it might cause a short-term spike in the name," Bajaj said.
Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, Matthew Bartolini, Bartolini, Mohit Bajaj, SPDR, Bajaj, Todd Sohn, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, Technology, Apple, Microsoft, Dow Jones, Dow Jones Indices, UBS, SPDR, Amazon, Trading, WallachBeth, Bajaj, Street Global Advisors, NYSE Technology Locations: U.S, SPDR Americas, rebalancing
Investors may want to be careful when buying tech stocks, as some names in the sector have become overvalued after their recent gains. Additionally, the CNBC Magnificent 7 Index has seen gains nearly twice that of the XLK and Nasdaq year to date, rising about 35%. CNBC Pro screened FactSet data for stocks in the XLK whose forward price-earnings ratio is above the S & P 500's. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 23.4, which is nearly double its five-year average P/E of 12.6. The megacap tech stock's forward P/E of 32.8 is 13.1% above its five-year average.
Persons: Jefferies, Oppenheimer Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC, Barclays, Broadcom, JPMorgan, Citi, UBS, Microsoft
CNN —Nearly four years ago, while campaigning in the runup to the last presidential election, Donald Trump warned that President Joe Biden would “destroy” the oil industry. In the last three and a half years, US oil production — and oil and gas company profits — have broken records. That’s a 160% jump compared to the first three years of the pro-big-oil Trump administration, according to calculations by CNN. However, in March, the Biden administration approved ConocoPhillips’ massive Willow oil drilling project on Alaska’s North Slope, which holds around 600 million barrels of oil, angering climate advocates. Despite his mixed record with oil and gas companies, though, Biden has presided over a historic run for the industry, Kloza said.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Biden, That’s, , Tom Kloza, , Hess, Chevron’s, Abdullah Hasan, Darren Woods, Mike Wirth, Woods, Obama, Bob McNally, Kloza, ” Kloza, “ It’s Organizations: CNN, Global, ExxonMobil, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, Resources, Schlumberger, Oil Price Information Service, US Energy Information Administration, Oil, Natural Resources, Exxon, White, Shareholders, Microsoft, Apple, The Washington Post, Keystone XL, Rapidan Energy Group, Republican Locations: United States, Ukraine, Boon, dealmaking, The
But both inflation and economic growth have upside and downside risks relative to consensus. AdvertisementOn inflation, Arnott believes it's far more likely that it surprises to the upside. AdvertisementTo take advantage of these asymmetries in the market, Arnott said that value stocks and TIPS are two investments that would perform well in a higher-inflation environment. One way investors can gain exposure to these assets is through funds like the iShares Core S&P U.S. Value ETF (IUSV), the Schwab U.S. More specifically, value stocks within both developed and emerging markets are trading in their "cheapest decile ever" compared to growth stocks, Arnott said.
Persons: , Rob Arnott, Arnott, it's, there's, I've, I'm Organizations: Service, Treasury, Securities, Business, Research Affiliates, Federal Reserve, Value, Schwab, MLP, Funds, Equity Locations: Schwab U.S
The major averages hit record highs in May, with the S & P 500 breaking above 5,300 for the first time. Historically, the summer months prove to be less robust for the S & P 500. July is typically a standout month, however, with the S & P 500 posting a 3.27% increase on average. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 has added more than 11% in 2024. The S & P 500 tech sector averages a flat performance for June going back a decade.
Persons: It's, — CNBC's Christopher Hayes Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, CNBC, Tech, Technology, Nvidia
One AI model that is built to help investors pick winners in the stock market has grown confident in the near-term upside for a mid-sized energy stock. Some of the data sources that feed into the iFi AI model include macroeconomic updates, news articles, fundamental company data and technical trading indicators. The AI model is bullish on more energy stocks than just Marathon, as Southwestern Energy also makes the cut. One potential momentum play from the iFi AI list is Vertiv , whose share price has more than doubled in 2024. The CEO of iFi AI, which launched in March , is CNBC senior analyst and commentator Ron Insana.
Persons: Ai, Ron Insana Organizations: Oil, Southwestern Energy, CNBC Locations: Marathon, LSEG, The Ohio
Don't overlook the the financial sector as the stock market trends higher, according to Oakmark Funds portfolio manager and noted value investor BIll Nygren. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 40,000 for the first time on Friday, while both the Nasdaq Composite and S & P 500 entered Monday after four-week-long rallies. Despite the financial sector outperforming the broader market, banking and consumer finance stocks are cheaper compared to all S & P 500 companies, according to Nygren. The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) , which tracks the S & P 500 financials index, has returned 12.6% in 2024, including reinvested dividends, while the S & P 500 has returned less than 11.8%. His portfolio's top holdings include some of the country's largest banks, such as Citigroup and Wells Fargo , as well as regional banks like First Citizens .
Persons: BIll Nygren, Nygren, CNBC's Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Citigroup Locations: Wells Fargo
XLU 1M mountain Utilities stocks have risen sharply in May. Woodard identified other ETFs and stocks that could benefit from increased energy consumption and investment in the electric grid. Miners should retain pricing power given constrained capacity after a decade of underinvestment," the Bank of America note said. Bank of America is positive on the Global X Uranium ETF (URA) , which offers exposure to both physical uranium and miners. Bank of America did not include a utilities ETF in the note, but the firm has a buy rating on Xcel Energy, among such stocks.
Persons: Jared Woodard, Woodard, ruddy, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America . Investment, Utilities, Bank of America, Miners, Companies, VanEck Oil Services, Halliburton, Uranium, Xcel Energy Locations: Freeport, McMoRan
"We should be anticipating higher highs in the market," Lundgren, the chief market strategist at MOTR Capital Management & Research and a portfolio manager at Little Harbor Advisors, recently told Business Insider. The 28-year market veteran's upbeat sentiment is more widespread now than last fall, when the S&P 500 struggled mightily before a powerful end-of-year surge. There can be negative or positive stretches within an established bull or bear market, Lundgren noted. Only one of the ETFs tracking Lundgren's preferred sectors has beaten the S&P 500 (in dark blue) since late last summer. When adjusting for market cap, cyclicals have fared much better and have bested the equal-weight version of the S&P 500 in several cases.
Persons: , David Lundgren, Lundgren, he'd, we've Organizations: Service, MOTR Capital Management & Research, Little Harbor Advisors, Business, Yahoo Finance, Yahoo
Two U.S.-listed ETFs — the SPDR S & P Metals & Mining ETF and VanEck Steel ETF — and the Japan-listed NEXT NOTES Japan Equity High Beta Select 30 ETF have each risen more than 10% every year since 2019. SPDR S & P Metals & Mining ETF The SPDR S & P Metals & Mining ETF (ticker: XME) gives investors broad exposure to the metals and mining segment. The VanEck fund has outperformed the S & P 500 in four of the past five years. NEXT NOTES Japan Equity High Beta Select 30 The NEXT NOTES Japan Equity High Beta Select 30 ETF (ticker: 2068.T-JP) is a smart beta ETF. High beta stocks react with more volatility than the rest of the market.
Persons: SPDR, It's Organizations: CNBC, P Metals, Mining, VanEck Steel, , Japan, CNBC Pro, Mining ETF, VanEck, NEXT, Nomura Japan Equity Locations: U.S, Japan
Strategist Mislav Matejka said equities are coming up against a seasonally weak period and advised investors buy traditionally defensive stocks such as utilities and staples. "The latest market move to a more Defensive trading should have legs, such as recent outperformance of Utilities and Staples." "We continue to believe that will happen irrespective of bond yields direction from here, alongside a more positive performance of commodity sectors - Energy and Mining," he said. XLU 1M mountain Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) Utilities have outperformed quarter to date, while most other sectors have shown weakness. The Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) advanced 4.7% this quarter, making it top performing sector in the S & P 500.
Persons: Mislav Matejka Organizations: JPMorgan, Stocks, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Utilities, Staples, Energy, Mining, NRG Energy, NextEra Energy, Communication
The U.S. economy is flashing a sign that's favorable for dividend stocks, according to Bank of America. In this environment, investors want to own dividend stocks with above-market yields, she said. For those characteristics, she looks to quintile two of the Russell 1000 by trailing dividend yield. Her screen guards against owning distressed companies that might move into the first quintile, the highest dividend yield group, if prices fall ahead of potential dividend cuts. APA has a 3.1% dividend yield, while HF Sinclair yields 3.5%.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Russell, Jeffrey Martin, CNBC's Jim Cramer, John Christmann Organizations: Bank of America, Bank of, AES, APA, Sinclair, Callon Petroleum, CNBC, Citigroup, Citi Locations: U.S
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