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MUMBAI, May 22 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to open weaker against the U.S. dollar after the central bank said it will withdraw the highest value currency note from circulation. Non-deliverable forwards indicate rupee will open at around 82.80-82.84 to the dollar, compared to 82.66 in the previous session. On Friday, the Reserve Bank of India said it will withdraw its highest denomination 2,000-rupee note from circulation. "Rupee would come under pressure" alongside the fall in the cost of carry (the forward premiums), Goenka said. "Conducting sell/buy swaps (on USD/INR) would address cash dollar shortage and suck out rupee liquidity and could offer respite."
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIron ore and steel have become investable products for clients, says SGX head of commoditiesWill Chin, head of commodities at the Singapore Exchange, discusses the factors that have drawn driven investors to commodities.
MUMBAI, May 17 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to decline on Wednesday after the Chinese yuan dropped to its lowest level this year to the U.S. dollar. Non-deliverable forwards indicate that the rupee will open at around 82.28-82.30 to the U.S. dollar, compared with 82.2050 in the previous session. The offshore yuan, bogged down by the resurgent dollar, dropped below 7 to the dollar for the first time this year. U.S. retail sales rose 0.4% month-on-month in April, with control retail sales up by a robust 0.7%. 15** NSDL data shows foreign investors sold a net $43.2mln worth of Indian bonds on May.
MUMBAI, May 15 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to weaken on Monday, adding to last week's losses, tracking a rally on the dollar index and higher U.S. yields on worries surrounding U.S. inflation. The dollar index climbed 0.6% on Friday to reach its highest level in a month and the two-year U.S. yield was back to nearly 4%. Renewed worries over the inflation outlook in the U.S. pushed yields higher and supported demand for the dollar. "Their assessments of whether recent labour market and inflation data support pausing in June or not will be scrutinised," ANZ said in a note. India's inflation data was "supportive" of the rupee in the medium term, the trader said.
MUMBAI, May 3 (Reuters) - Indian rupee is expected to open higher on Wednesday, boosted by a broad decline on the U.S. dollar and plunge in yields amid worries over the U.S. banking sector. Non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 81.76-81.80 to the dollar compared to 81.88 in the previous session. The rupee reached 81.7225 on Tuesday, before dollar bids by public sector banks, probably for the Reserve Bank of India, prompted it to reverse course. The U.S. Federal Reserve will most likely raise rates by 25 basis points later in the day, interest rate futures indicate. Investors will be eyeing the U.S. central bank's forward guidance to assess the path ahead for interest rates.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSingapore's banking trio 'outperforming pretty well,' SGX strategist saysGeoff Howie, markets strategist at the Singapore Exchange, says "the grip that macro trends are having on … important sectors is dissipating somewhat."
MUMBAI, April 24 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is likely to open little changed to the U.S. currency on Monday, amid upbeat U.S. data and expectations that the local currency will manage to hold a near-term support level. Non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open nearly unchanged to the previous session's level of 82.09. The local currency declined last week, halting a four week winning streak and was in a 81.88 to 82.25 range. "The U.S data may have dampened thoughts about Fed rate cuts later this year," ING Bank said in a note. There is a slew of data this week to help investors assess the likely direction for U.S. rates.
The non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 82.06-82.10 to the U.S. dollar compared with 82.12 in the previous session. Heading into the data, investors are pricing in a 70% chance that the Fed will raise rates by 25 bps points at the May meeting. The India inflation data is due a few hours before the U.S. number. India's consumer inflation rate likely softened in March to 5.80%, dipping below the Reserve Bank of India's upper tolerance limit of 6% for the first time this year, according to a Reuters poll. "India inflation is way less important (than U.S.) for how the rupee will open tomorrow," the spot trader said.
Non-deliverable forwards indicate rupee will open at around 81.84-81.88 to the dollar, compared with 81.8850 in previous session. Rupee is on a three-week winning run, helped by foreign equity inflows and speculative positions, according to traders. It was the first time in two months that it has managed a weekly close of above 82. Risk appetite has held up well to the increased chances of another Fed rate hike. 5** NSDL data shows foreign investors sold a net $138.4mln worth of Indian bonds on Apr.
MUMBAI, April 5 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to rise against the U.S. currency on Wednesday as weak manufacturing and job openings data dented demand for the dollar. The non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 82.08-82.12 to the U.S. dollar, compared with 82.3325 on Monday. The dollar index overnight dropped to its lowest level since Feb. 2. Data overnight showed U.S. job openings dropped to their lowest level in nearly two years in February, indicating that the Fed rate hikes were cooling off the U.S. labour market. The job openings release comes on the back of data that showed that U.S. manufacturing activity slumped in March to the lowest level in nearly three years.
MUMBAI, April 3 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to open lower versus the U.S. dollar on Monday after a surprise production cut by OPEC+ fuelled a jump in oil prices. The non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 82.35-82.40 to the U.S. dollar compared with 82.1650 in the previous session. A rise in oil prices directly affects the Indian economy and the rupee as the country imports about 83% of its oil requirements, said Anil Bhansali, head treasury at Finrex Treasury Advisors. According to estimates by some economists, a 10% hike in oil prices leads to an increase in India’s current account deficit by 0.3% to 0.5% of the GDP. Apart from oil prices, the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) policy decision on Thursday and the U.S. jobs report on Friday will be key for the rupee this week.
The non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 82.45-82.50 to the dollar compared to 82.6550 on Tuesday. Even though the Fed statement was perceived as slightly dovish compared to its stance earlier this month, it's unlikely the rupee will sustain its gains as we're expecting large dollar bids, said a state-run bank trader. Traders may be anticipating a dollar liquidity crunch in the domestic markets, and hence the rupee is expected to fall towards 82.65-levels, he added. Fed funds futures traders imply a nearly even chance of just one more 25 bps rate hike at the May meeting. "Much of the damage seems to have come from Treasury Secretary Yellen's parallel remarks... right when Jerome Powell was insisting that the banking sector was sound," ING analysts said in a note.
The non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 82.05-82.10 to the U.S. dollar compared with 81.91 in the previous session. These were Powell's first comments following the higher-than-expected U.S. January inflation data. He seemed to acknowledge that "disinflationary process" he spoke of repeatedly in a Feb. 1 news conference was not unfolding smoothly. Powell's comments pushed up the probability of a half a percentage point hike at the upcoming March meeting to 72%. 3** NSDL data shows foreign investors sold a net $122.4 mln worth of Indian bonds on Mar.
MUMBAI, Feb 17 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to open lower against the U.S. currency on Friday, following a surge on the dollar index after two Federal Reserve officials said they preferred bigger rate increases to tackle inflation. Non-deliverable forwards indicated the rupee will open at 82.80-82.85 to the dollar, compared with 82.7175 in the previous session. The dollar index was up at 104.26, while the Korean won tumbled 1%, dragging Asian currencies lower. Futures are now pricing a Fed terminal rate of near 5.30% and about 30 bps of rate cuts from July to December this year. "Hopes of an early Fed pivot have vanished," DBS Group Research said in a note to clients on Friday.
MUMBAI, Feb 14 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee was poised to open higher against the U.S. dollar, tracking a broad pullback on the currency in the lead-up to key U.S. inflation data due later on Tuesday. The non-deliverable forward market indicated an opening of around 82.60 for the rupee compared with 82.7175 in the previous session. Intraday position takers were not likely to chase the USD/INR pair lower at open, a spot trader at a Mumbai-based bank said. The overnight risk of the U.S. data and India's surprise on inflation would mean little follow-through after the open, he added. Asian currencies were mostly higher ahead of data that is expected to show that U.S. inflation had eased.
On the back of this repricing, the U.S. consumer inflation data due on Tuesday will draw more than the usual scrutiny. Economists polled by Reuters expect both the annual headline and core inflation rate to soften. Unless there is a big surprise in U.S. inflation data, the rupee should hold the 82.40-82.90 range, a trader at a Mumbai-based bank said. Also due later in the day is the India inflation data. The inflation rate is forecast to have risen to 5.9% in January from 5.72% in December.
MUMBAI, Feb 9 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to decline against the U.S. dollar on Thursday, weighed by hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials and higher oil prices. The non-deliverable forwards indicated the rupee would open around 82.60-82.62 per dollar, compared with the 82.4925 closing in the previous session. Fed officials on Wednesday said more interest rate rises are on the cards in the central bank's efforts to bring down inflation. Moving to a rate of between 5.00% and 5.25% "seems a very reasonable view," New York Fed President John Williams said. Fed fund futures are pricing in rate cuts of about 30 to 35 basis points after peaking at around 5.12% in July.
Rupee eyes RBI policy decision, weighs Powell's comments
  + stars: | 2023-02-08 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
MUMBAI, Feb 8 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is likely to open little changed to the U.S. dollar on Wednesday, with traders weighing comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and awaiting the Reserve Bank of India's policy decision. The non-deliverable forwards indicate an opening of 82.68-82.74 for the rupee , compared with 82.70 in the previous session. We doubt RBI will have a major impact on the rupee, a trader at a Mumbai based bank said. Some market participants had expected Powell to adopt a more hawkish stance after the jobs report blew past expectations. Powell was "not materially more hawkish" than he was after the recent Fed decision, ING Bank said in a note.
MUMBAI, Feb 6 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee was headed lower against the dollar on Monday after a better-than-expected U.S. jobs report prompted investors to bet on more Federal Reserve rate increases. The 1-month non-deliverable forward suggested that the rupee would open at 82.35-82.40 to the dollar compared with 81.8275 in the previous session. "We continue to expect two more 25 basis points fed funds rate hikes in March and May, and we continue to expect no rate cuts in 2023." Goldman Sachs's call for no rate cuts this year compares to CME futures indicating shallow rate cuts later this year. "Oil prices are a big positive for the rupee, but we doubt that will have a large impact," the trader said.
MUMBAI, Jan 19 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is likely to weaken at open against the U.S. dollar on Thursday as mounting global growth concerns prompted investors to exit risk assets. The rupee is tipped at around 81.45 to the dollar in early trading against the dollar, compared with the 81.24 close in the previous session. The S&P 500 index fell the most in over a month overnight as weak U.S. retail sales data fuelled worries on the growth front. Retail sales fell more than expected in December, putting consumer spending and the overall economy on a weaker growth path heading into 2023. Further, the decline in retail sales in November was revised to show an even weaker reading.
INDIA RUPEE Rupee likely to inch up on upbeat Asian cues
  + stars: | 2023-01-16 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
MUMBAI, Jan 16 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee may open marginally higher against the U.S. dollar on Monday, supported by a further uptick in Asian currencies after last week's rally. The rupee was likely to open at 81.25 per dollar compared with 81.3250 in the previous session. However, it was fairly obvious that rupee will not be repeating the kind of rally it saw last week, he said. Portfolio outflows and likely decent support (for USD/INR pair) at 81 should keep rupee in check, he added. Foreign portfolio investors have taken out $1.8 billion from Indian equities so for this month and $116 million from debt.
MUMBAI, Jan 11 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee may open slightly higher against the dollar on Wednesday, building on the previous day's momentum when it managed to move above important resistance levels, traders said. The rupee is tipped to open at around 81.66-81.70 compared with 81.7850 in the previous session. Yesterday, the rupee managed to scale multiple resistance levels that were there between 81.80 to 82.20, surprising most market participants, a spot trader at a foreign bank said. The rupee will simply be carrying yesterday's momentum at open, he added. Anil Bhansali, head treasury at Finrex Treasury Advisors, reckoned that after Tuesday's move, the new support levels for USD/INR are at 81.70 and 81.40.
The dollar index dropped below 103 overnight to its lowest level since June, extending its U.S. jobs data-prompted slide. ING Bank said in a note that after the U.S. jobs data, Fed futures have reverted to pricing in a peak rate of less than 5%. The focus now shifts to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech later in the day and to the critical U.S. inflation on Thursday. Fed policymakers said on Monday the inflation data will help them decide whether they can slow the pace of interest rate hikes at their upcoming meeting to 25 basis points. Overnight, U.S. shares slipped overnight, unable to sustain an earlier rally.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailListing on SGX is a good way for us to diversify our fundraising channels: Telecommunications firmAnnabel Huo of Comba Telecom says "it's not only a second listing for us, it's more like a strategic move."
MUMBAI, Jan 2 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is tipped to open little changed against the U.S. dollar on Monday, with traders assessing the outlook for the local currency after a difficult year. The rupee is expected at around 82.70-82.75 per dollar at the open, compared to 82.72 in the previous session. We anticipate an increase in volatility later this month on new positions and flows and before India's budget, the trader said. At the open, the rupee will have to contend with the 3% jump in Brent crude futures on Friday. The dollar index was little changed, at around 103.5, to begin the week.
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