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Felipe Villarroel, portfolio manager at TwentyFour Asset Management, said he recently swapped some 10-year Treasuries for higher yielding 30-year Treasuries. At these levels, yields give “a massive cushion in your total returns" to protect against bond prices falling further, he said. Yields on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury were over 4.95% in Asia trade on Thursday, their highest level in more than 16 years, and 30-year yields breached 5% this month for the first time since 2007. An auction of 30-year U.S. Treasuries showed weak demand last week, sending yields higher. "The tightness that (bond yields) are imposing on the economy and markets is rising ... this caps the extra work the Fed needs to do," said Smith.

Persons: Jerome Powell, David Rubenstein, Amanda Andrade, Rhoades, Felipe Villarroel, Treasuries, Matt Smith, Ruffer, Buyers, Leslie Falconio, Ruffer's Smith, Smith, Davide Barbuscia, Michelle Price, Ira Iosebashvili, Nick Zieminski Organizations: Federal, Economic, of Washington, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Treasuries, TwentyFour Asset Management, Bank of America Global Research, Treasury, UBS Global Wealth Management, BlackRock Investment Institute, Thomson Locations: Washington ,, Asia

☆ BlackRock Investment Institute raises rating of long-dated US Treasuries
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

A bronze seal for the Department of the Treasury is shown at the U.S. Treasury building in Washington, U.S., January 20, 2023. REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsOct 16 (Reuters) - BlackRock Investment Institute on Monday raised the rating of long-dated U.S. Treasuries to "neutral" from "underweight" as it sees yields approaching a peak. "We now see about equal odds that long-term yields swing in either direction," said Jean Boivin, head of BlackRock Investment Institute. BlackRock Investment Institute, an arm of U.S.-based investment firm BlackRock that provides proprietary investment research, is "overweight" on euro area and UK bonds as it sees more rate cuts than the market in these regions. Reporting by Susan Mathew in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak DasguptaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Kevin Lamarque, Jean Boivin, Susan Mathew, Shounak Dasgupta Organizations: Department of, U.S . Treasury, REUTERS, BlackRock Investment, BlackRock Investment Institute, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S, BlackRock, Bengaluru

☆ Investors can get a 5% yield in these assets and skip the bond market volatility
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-06 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Investing in money market funds The interest in money market funds began to heat up when the Federal Reserve started raising interest rates last year, Antoniewicz said. Some $64.13 billion flowed into money market funds the week ended Wednesday, bringing total net assets to a record $5.71 trillion, per the Investment Company Institute . Net assets also hit a record within retail money market funds, reaching $2.16 billion, the ICI said. The annualized 7-day yield yield on the Crane 100 list of the 100 largest taxable money funds is currently 5.18%. "So if you have stability in a money market fund and an equal or higher yield, why would anyone consider leaving a money market fund to go longer term and have the volatility?"

Persons: Peter Crane, Jean Boivin, Shelly Antoniewicz, Antoniewicz, Barry Glassman, Glassman, I'm Organizations: Crane, Treasury, Federal Reserve, BlackRock Investment Institute, Investment Company Institute, ICI, Data, Wealth Services

☆ Asia stocks slip, dollar firms on growth concerns, Fed outlook
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-06 | by ( Kane Wu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

REUTERS/Androniki Christodoulou/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsHONG KONG, Sept 6 (Reuters) - Asia stocks fell on Wednesday after faltering growth in China and Europe heightened concerns about global economic momentum, while the dollar firmed as investors weighed the outlook for Federal Reserve interest rates. MSCI's gauge of Asia Pacific stocks outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) dipped 0.45%. "The China decline was bigger than expected," said Redmond Wong, Greater China market strategist at Saxo Markets. Manufacturing data from Germany, Britain and the euro zone also showed declines, while their service sectors fell into contraction. "The Europe data were rather weak.

Persons: Androniki, HSI, Redmond Wong, Wong, Australia's, Christopher Waller, John Milroy, Ord Minnett, Brent, Kane Wu, Edmund Klamann, Sam Holmes Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Saxo Markets, Nikkei, U.S, BlackRock Investment Institute, Institute for Supply Management, PMI, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, HONG KONG, Asia, China, Europe, London, U.S, 0520GMT, Asia Pacific, Greater China, Germany, Britain, BlackRock, ., Saudi Arabia, Russia

Money market funds, on the other hand — while also generally safe — are a bit riskier, experts said. Investors who prefer money market funds may opt for government money market funds, which carry slightly less risk, Elliott said. YieldMoney market funds tend to pay a slightly higher interest rate relative to high-yield savings accounts, Elliott said. TaxesInterest income for both high-yield savings and money funds is taxed as regular income, experts said. However, some money market funds may carry tax benefits, said Eric Bronnenkant, head of tax at Betterment.

Persons: Kamila Elliott, Elliott, Greg McBride, They've, McBride, Treasurys —, Eric Bronnenkant, Bronnenkant Organizations: Wealth Partners, CNBC, Bankrate, Federal Reserve, Deposit Insurance Corporation, Treasury, Lehman, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, Investor Protection Corporation, Investors, Data, Federal, Consumers, U.S Locations: Atlanta

The BlackRock logo is pictured outside their headquarters in the Manhattan borough of New York City, New York, U.S., May 25, 2021. "We prefer short-term government bonds over credit," the institute, an arm of BlackRock (BLK.N), the world's largest asset manager, said in a note. "We go underweight high quality credit on a strategic view of five years and longer and trim our overall underweight to sovereign bonds." "We think high quality credit offers limited compensation for any potential hit to returns from wider spreads and sensitivity to interest rate swings," the institute said. "To turn positive on long-term bonds, we would need to see term premium rise much more or think market expectations of future policy rates are too high.

Persons: Carlo Allegri, Davide Barbuscia, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: REUTERS, BlackRock Investment, ICE, Thomson Locations: BlackRock, Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S

Now, however, some firms and experts are walking back those predictions, calling into question the validity of a once-trusted recession indicator known as the yield curve inversion. Nobody rational would argue that the yield curve could have predicted a global pandemic and the short recession that followed it. NABE's most recent survey shows economists are divided on what a yield curve inversion means for the U.S. economy. In normal circumstances, yield curve inversions have been a pretty good indicator of recessions, according to Jebaraj. While the yield curve inverted in 2019, that was not necessarily a predictor of the 2020 recession.

Persons: Mervin, NABE, Goldman Sachs, NABE's Jebaraj, Sam, Jebaraj, — Organizations: Westend61, Getty, National Association for Business Economics, Reserve, Wall, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Center for Business, Economic Research, Walton College of Business, University of Arkansas, Treasury, National Association for Business Locations: U.S

☆ Swiss takeover board rules NewGAMe's partial offer for GAM shares complies with rules
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsAug 31 (Reuters) - Switzerland's takeover board has ruled that a partial offer for up to 28 million shares of GAM Holding (GAMH.S) by an investor group comprising NewGAMe SA and Bruellan SA is in line with Swiss takeover rules, NewGAMe said on Thursday. The arrangement would be also that the investor group would propose new GAM board members at the upcoming extraordinary general meeting (EGM), where the fund manager's current board is expected to stand down. The regulator on Thursday also challenged the validity of the condition making NewGAME's offer conditional to Rock's candidates being elected to GAM's board, NewGAMe said. Last week, a takeover offer from Liontrust won the backing of just 33.64% of GAM's shareholders. ($1 = 0.8830 Swiss francs)Reporting by Kanjyik Ghosh in Bengaluru; Editing by Maju SamuelOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Arnd, NewGAMe, Xavier Niel's NewGAMe, Liontrust, Kanjyik Ghosh, Maju Samuel Organizations: REUTERS, GAM, NewGAMe SA, Bruellan SA, Swiss, Rock Investment, Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority, Thomson Locations: Zurich, Switzerland, Bengaluru

☆ VIEW Bank of England raises rates for a 14th time
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

The BoE raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 5.25% and said high inflation meant it was unlikely to stop raising rates any time soon. However, with Thursday's decision, traders began to price in a lower peak in UK rates. MONEY MARKETS: Interest-rate derivatives showed traders believe UK rates will peak around 5.67% by March, compared with an expected peak of 5.73% in the run-up to the decision. Rising interest rates means higher borrowing costs, which will lead to larger monthly mortgage payments for many homeowners." The Bank of England remains committed to bringing inflation down, unfortunately raising interest rates is one of the only tools the Bank can use to sap demand out of the economy."

Persons: BoE, Sterling, VIVEK PAUL, we’ll, STUART COLE, JEREMY BATSTONE, CARR, RAYMOND JAMES, MARCUS BROOKES, ” SEEMA SHAH, Rishi Sunak, GILES COGHLAN, THOMAS PUGH, JOHN LEIPER, Amanda Cooper, Samuel Indyk Organizations: Bank of England, FTSE, BLACKROCK, LONDON, TOM HOPKINS, Bank of, RSM, Bank, EMEA, Thomson Locations: LONDON, EUROPEAN, U.S

☆ BlackRock to expand proxy voting choice to retail ETF investors
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-17 | by ( Ross Kerber | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

FILE PHOTO: The BlackRock logo is pictured outside their headquarters in the Manhattan borough of New York City, New York, U.S., May 25, 2021. REUTERS/Carlo Allegri/File Photo(Reuters) - The world’s top asset manager BlackRock said it will offer proxy voting choices to U.S. retail investors of its biggest exchange-traded fund, expanding a strategy that could blunt criticism of how the firm considers environmental, social and governance (ESG) matters. Investors will not be able to specify votes in specific company elections. While many clients will rely on the votes BlackRock will continue to cast, “consistent with our fiduciary duty as an investment manager, others want the choice to participate in proxy voting more directly,” said Joud Abdel Majeid, Global Head of BlackRock Investment Stewardship, in a statement. Rivals including State Street and Vanguard have their own programs to devolve proxy voting rights.

Persons: Carlo Allegri, BlackRock, Glass, ”, Joud Abdel Majeid Organizations: REUTERS, BlackRock, New, Services, Glass Lewis, managements, Investment, Rivals, State, Vanguard, Republican Locations: BlackRock, Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, New York, Republican U.S

[1/3] A street sign for Wall Street is seen outside the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, New York, U.S., July 19, 2021. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly/File PhotoSummaryCompanies U.S., European shares tick up as traders eye CPI, earningsChina inflation surprisingly weak in JuneDollar, oil prices declineJuly 10 (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks rose slightly on Monday, while oil prices and the dollar dipped, as investors digested Chinese economic data and looked ahead to a key U.S. inflation report and corporate earnings. "Stubbornly high U.S. CPI inflation data this week could bolster the recent bond yield surge as markets expect the Fed to hike rates." Currently futures imply around a 90% probability of a rise to 5.25%-5.5% this month, up 25 basis points. The yield on 10-year U.S. notes fell 4 basis points on Monday to 4.008%.

Persons: Andrew Kelly, Matthias Scheiber, Wells, Michael Barr, Brent, Lawrence Delevingne, Nell Mackenzie, Mark Heinrich, David Evans, Will Dunham, Christina Fincher Organizations: Wall, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Allspring Global Investments, Citigroup, JPMorgan, Citi, PepsiCo, BlackRock Investment, U.S, Federal Reserve, Federal, Thomson Locations: New York City , New York, U.S, China, reflating, London, Europe, Wells Fargo, BlackRock, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Boston

Only a handful of companies are responsible for most of the index's gains thus far, including the likes of Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA ), Meta (NASDAQ: META ) and Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA ). The good news is market breadth improved beginning in late May and leadership has expanded to include cyclical sectors and industries. Still, these firms have become so expensive relative to the broader market that some analysts have recently begun downgrading them. More from Personal Finance:As July 4 motorists kick off summer travel, how to save on gasWhat to know about your rights as an air travelerHow travelers are booking vacations amid inflationOne place to start could be cruise companies: Carnival Cruise Line (NYSE: CCL ), Norwegian Cruise Line (NYSE: NCLH ) and Royal Caribbean International (NYSE: RCL ). Perhaps no other industry took it on the chin as hard during the pandemic, which halted sailings for months.

Organizations: NASDAQ, Nvidia, Meta, Tesla, Finance, NYSE, Cruise Line, Royal Caribbean International

☆ Preferred securities are yielding nearly 7%. After a turbulent first half, here's why it may be time to jump in
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-06 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

After a rocky first half of the year, it may be a good time to buy preferred securities. The ICE BofA Fixed Rate Preferred Securities index, which tracks the performance of fixed-rate preferred securities, has a yield-to-worst of 6.7%. While many preferreds have fixed rates, some have floating rates or fixed-to-floating rates that switch from fixed to floating after a certain period of time. In 2022, the ICE BofA Fixed Rate Preferred Securities index lost 19%. Its top-rated funds include Global X US Preferred ETF and iShares Preferred & Income Securities ETF.

Persons: Leslie Falconio, Michael Youngworth, Youngworth, Falconio, Bonds, JR Humphreys, Humphreys, Humphrey, America's Youngworth, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, UBS, BofA Securities, Securities, Brock Investment Advisors, ICE, JPMorgan, American Equity Investment, Western Alliance, Bank, America's, preferreds . Bank of America, Global, US, iShares, Income Securities Locations: preferreds, preferreds .

The research arm of BlackRock, the world's biggest asset manager, shifted its view on Japanese equities to neutral from underweight. "We are looking for more evidence of corporate reform to support the enthusiasm for its equity markets that has gripped foreign investors so far this year," wrote analysts at BlackRock Investment Institute, in its mid-year outlook report last week. "It's not the case that we've already seen the completion of offshore investors' quite aggressive investment in Japan equity markets," said Nomura's chief equity strategist for Japan, Yunosuke Ikeda. "Now, a lot of asset owners have decided just not to invest in China any more, and that's made Japan the top dog in Asia." Many analysts and investors, though, consider the declines a healthy and necessary retracement before the next leg higher, with 35,000 often touted as a target for this year as slower-moving foreign investors start to buy in size.

Persons: Nomura, It's, Yunosuke Ikeda, Archie Ciganer, Rowe Price, Ciganer, that's, Warren Buffett, Vikas Pershad, Kevin Buckland, Ankur Banerjee, Junko Fujita, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: Nikkei, BlackRock Investment Institute, Nomura Securities, Graphics, G Investments, Thomson Locations: TOKYO, Japan, BlackRock, China, Asia, Tokyo, Singapore

☆ BlackRock says AI 'mega-force' to buck tough macro trend
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

June 28 (Reuters) - Shares of AI-focused companies will be a major driver of returns for developed markets in a tough economic environment, BlackRock Investment Institute said, citing an unusually concentrated rally in a handful of technology stocks. "We think this unusual equity market shows a mega force like AI can be a big driver of returns even when the macro environment is not your friend," BlackRock Investment Institute's team wrote in a mid-year outlook note. The institute, an arm of the world's biggest asset manager, has an over-weight allocation for AI-related shares in developed markets. "We think this is an environment that is going to persist," Jean Bovin, Head of the BlackRock Investment Institute told reporters on Wednesday. BlackRock said it expects central banks in developed economies to keep rates steady at a high level regardless of possible episodes of financial instability.

Persons: Jean Bovin, BlackRock, Susan Mathew, Davide Barbuscia, Sinead Carew, Anil D'Silva, Barbara Lewis Organizations: BlackRock Investment Institute, Investment, Thomson Locations: BlackRock, Japan, Bengaluru, New York

Recessions haven't always resulted in declining stock markets, and good opportunities can be found amid them. Sectors for recession naysayersThe best sectors for recession disbelievers are the most economically sensitive ones: industrials, materials and financials. Well-positioned companies with good growth prospects currently include: Corteva, Dow Chemical, Ecolab, Linde plc, Martin Marietta Materials, Nucor Corp., PPG Industries and Sherwin-Williams. Currently buyable names include: Campbell Soup Co., General Mills, The Hershey Co., Kellogg's, Kimberly-Clark Corp., Kroger, Procter & Gamble and Walmart. Sector names with reasonable risk levels and good growth prospects include: Vertex Pharmaceuticals, IDEXX Laboratories, DaVita Inc., Veeva Systems Inc., IQVIA Holdings Inc., Cigna Group and Zoetis Inc.

Persons: Sherwin, Williams, Mayur, Martin Marietta, JPMorgan Chase, Rowe Price, Willis Towers Watson, Campbell, General Mills, Clark, Willie B, Thomas, Digitalvision Organizations: Westend61, University of Michigan Consumer, Investors, Westinghouse Air Brake Co, Cummins Inc, CSX, Emerson Electric, Otis Worldwide, Carrier, Caterpillar, Honeywell, Illinois Tool, Lockheed Martin Corp, Dow Chemical, Ecolab, Linde plc, Martin, Martin Marietta Materials, Nucor Corp, PPG Industries, XLF, JPMorgan, Rowe Price Group Inc, American International Group, Allstate, The, McLennan, Sectors, Co, Hershey Co, Clark Corp, Kroger, Procter, Gamble, Walmart, Getty Images Health, iShares U.S, Medical Devices, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, IDEXX Laboratories, DaVita Inc, Veeva Systems Inc, IQVIA Holdings Inc, Cigna, Zoetis Inc Locations: American, The Hartford, Marsh, Kimberly

With some 1.6 million of those due to re-fix mostly 2-5 year fixed rate deals over the next 18 months - half of those by the end of this year - this super-hike will burn. Two-year fixed mortgage rates have doubled to 6% in just 10 months and were less than 1% two years ago. Fixed-rate deals were only introduced at all in 1989 and the vast majority were floating rates until just eight years ago. As Leaviss points out, five-year inflation expectations in the bond market are still stubbornly one percentage point above the 2% goal. In the end, the BoE has few good choices - but the days of fine tuning the economy with nudges and tweaks may be over.

Persons: BoE, that's, Moyeen, Jim Leaviss, Vivek Paul, Paul, Leaviss, Mike Dolan, Naomi Rovnick, Conor Humphries Organizations: Bank of England, National Institute of Economic, Social Research, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Barclays, Bank, Investment, BlackRock Investment Institute, OECD, Twitter, Thomson Locations: United States, Germany

At the height of the tightening cycle in September last year, eight central banks hiked rates by a cumulative 550 bps. Year-to-date, G10 central banks have delivered 21 rate hikes and tightened by a total of 725 bps. That compares with 54 rate hikes in the whole of 2022 and 2,700 bps of rate hikes. Developed markets interest ratesMeanwhile, emerging markets were slightly further advance in the cycle with some central banks changing tack to easing mode. That compares with 11 meetings in April, where two central banks delivered a total of 50 bps.

Persons: Jean Boivin, Karin Strohecker, Vincent Flasseur, Hugh Lawson Organizations: European Central Bank, Bank of England, Federal Reserve, BlackRock Investment Institute, UN, Thomson Locations: Australia, New Zealand, Norway, BlackRock, Israel, South Africa, Thailand, Malaysia, Hungary

☆ Mega-cap tech dominance in the S&P 500 is obscuring investor bets that the US may already be in a recession
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-31 | by ( Carla Mozée | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The jump in S&P 500's big tech stocks is masking concerns among investors that the US is already in recession, BlackRock Investment Institute says. The US has logged back-to-back quarters of contraction in gross domestic income. The S&P 500 has tacked on about 9% this year. Last week, the government said gross domestic income declined 2.3% in the first quarter of 2023 on a seasonally adjusted annual basis. Its aggressive series of hikes last year contributed to driving the S&P 500 down more than 18% last year.

Persons: —, Jean Boivin Organizations: BlackRock Investment Institute, US, Service, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Fed Locations: BlackRock, Germany, Europe's, U.S

☆ BlackRock moves from 'overweight' to 'neutral' on credit
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-22 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

[1/2] People are seen in front of a showroom that hosts BlackRock in Davos, Switzerland Januar 22, 2020. REUTERS/Arnd WiegmannMay 22 (Reuters) - BlackRock Investment Institute on Monday said it was moving from "overweight" to "neutral" on credit, saying yields are not enough to compensate investors for tightening credit conditions. In a research note, it also said it was moving from "underweight" to "neutral" on private markets following recent weakness in the U.S. regional banking industry. "The fallout from the banking sector troubles and further tightening of credit conditions adds to the pressure on public credit but could be a potential boon for private credit," the investment management company said. The BlackRock Investment Institute is an arm of U.S.-based investment firm BlackRock that provides proprietary investment research.

☆ 'Big money never buys cheap': Why investors are waiting on Japan
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-18 | by ( Summer Zhen | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Yet for many, the lofty milestones are a reminder that Japan's stocks have gone sideways for years, making many foreign asset allocators reluctant to venture into the market. "A very significant inflow from global investors (followed)," Powell said, "but then unfortunately, a lot of the enthusiasm has dissipated." Swiss wealth manager Union Bancaire Privée is also underweight Japan, with the policy outlook presenting currency risks. BIG MONEY WAITINGThe policy and communication challenge for new BOJ governor Kazuo Ueda is a tricky one. "Big money never buys cheap, it buys momentum."

☆ Analysis: 'Big money never buys cheap': Why investors are waiting on Japan
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-18 | by ( Summer Zhen | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

☆ Anti-inflation fight may spur recession, investment opportunities -BlackRock
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-15 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

NEW YORK, May 15 (Reuters) - Central bank efforts to tame inflation could spark a recession and market selloff that later this year or in 2024 leads to investment opportunities, the BlackRock Investment Institute (BII) said on Monday. Increased market volatility is likely ahead over talks in Washington to raise the U.S. government's $31.4 trillion borrowing cap. But the old playbook of buying the dip does not apply now, the institute said. Any selloff may cause risk assets to better price in the economic damage the institute expect from interest rate hikes. "We're ready to shift our views on a six- to 12-month horizon to take advantage of opportunities that may appear," it said.

☆ Vivek Ramaswamy's firm courts GOP officials as he pushes businesses to stay out of politics
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-12 | by ( Brian Schwartz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +14 min

Scott Olson | Getty ImagesRepublican presidential hopeful Vivek Ramaswamy built his White House bid around urging companies to stay out of politics. The messages show Ramaswamy's firm actively engaged with GOP state leaders who have defended the fossil fuel industry and criticized environmentally conscious investment standards. Ramaswamy on Thursday defended the firm's engagement with GOP officials, saying bigger firms BlackRock, Vanguard and State Street have conducted similar practices with state officials across the country. Strive has become one of the more vocal opponents of ESG investing and has gained enough notoriety to challenge the likes of fossil fuel giant ExxonMobil . Ron DeSantis, have often attacked ESG investing standards and corporations that support social causes — an increasingly common refrain within the GOP.

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