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☆ A famed economist who called the 2008 recession warns stocks are in a 'mega-bubble' with the S&P 500 ahead of fundamentals by at least 25%
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-19 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Economist David Rosenberg warns the stock market is in a "mega-bubble." The S&P 500 continues to register new highs and has climbed an incredible 23% so far this year. For investor positioning, here's household equity ownership as a percentage of assets as of the start of this year. Related storiesBy Rosenberg's measure, the S&P 500 is at least 25% higher than where fundamentals suggest it should be. AdvertisementSince then, the S&P 500 has risen to 5,864.

Persons: David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, —, That's, it's, J.P, Morgan Organizations: Service, Rosenberg Research, Federal Reserve

Attorneys for Sean “Diddy” Combs filed a motion Tuesday requesting that his accusers in a federal sex trafficking case be publicly identified so he can prepare a proper defense. Sean "Diddy" Combs and his defense lawyer Marc Agnifilo stand before U.S. Magistrate Judge Robyn Tarnofsky after prosecutors brought three criminal charges against him in federal court in Manhattan on Sept. 17. Yesterday alone, anonymous accusers filed an additional six lawsuits,” Tuesday's motion argues. Buzbee announced at an Oct. 1 news conference that he was representing accusers with allegations against Combs — under the Victims of Gender-Motivated Violence Protection Act. The lawsuits name Combs and his various businesses as defendants, and the accusers are seeking unspecified damages.

Persons: Sean “ Diddy ” Combs, Arun Subramanian, Combs, Sean, Diddy, Marc Agnifilo, Robyn Tarnofsky, Jane Rosenberg, Casandra, Cassie, Ventura, “, Tony Buzbee, Buzbee, “ We’re, ” Buzbee, Subramanian Organizations: Combs ’, U.S . Department of Homeland Security, CNN, Buzbee, of, NBC News Locations: Manhattan, Los Angeles, Texas, Southern, of New York

☆ S&P 500 would be lower if this was truly an earnings-driven rally, says David Rosenberg
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailS&P 500 would be lower if this was truly an earnings-driven rally, says David RosenbergDavid Rosenberg, Rosenberg Research founder and president, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Rosenberg's thoughts on price action in equities, if there are fears inflation will reignite, and more.

Persons: David Rosenberg David Rosenberg, Rosenberg Organizations: Rosenberg Research

☆ Don't let September's jobs report fool you — the labor market is still deteriorating at a worrying rate, economists warn
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-13 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Small businesses also face tight credit conditions and are slowing hiring. AdvertisementThe September payrolls report seemed to switch the investor narrative around the labor market on a dime. Given the usual lags involved between changes in rates and activity, things will probably get worse for small businesses before they get better." "The labor market is not out of the woods just yet, and I continue to see another hiccup in the jobs market before year-end," Dutta wrote. AdvertisementStill, it's unclear how much pressure the labor market will come under in the months ahead.

Persons: —, bearish David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch, Samuel Tombs, Tombs, Neil Dutta, Dutta Organizations: Service, Fed, September's, Rosenberg Research, Pantheon, Macro Research, The Conference Board

☆ A 32-year market vet shares 5 labor market indicators showing the US economy is barreling toward a recession — putting an overvalued stock market at risk for major declines
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-12 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

This is while S&P 500 valuations remain high, putting the market at risk for big declines. In a September note, Wolfenbarger shared the below chart from Bank of America showing 19 of 20 valuation measures they monitor as being overvalued. That means the S&P 500 would have to fall 60% just to return to the historical average. But it's still unclear how accurate the September jobs data is. Future revisions and further lackluster jobs data could resume investor fears that a downturn is a serious potential threat.

Persons: Jon Wolfenbarger, —, Merrill Lynch, St, Louis Fed, Wolfenbarger, September's, it's, David Rosenberg Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, JPMorgan, Conference Board, Global, Bank of America, Rosenberg Research, Nvidia Locations: St

☆ Israel marks a year since Oct. 7 attacks and Hurricane Milton strengthens: Morning Rundown
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Elizabeth Both | Elizabeth Both Is An Associate Platforms Editor For Nbc News | Based In New York. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +9 min

Israel observes the first anniversary of the Oct. 7 attacks as it steps up attacks on Gaza and Lebanon. The people of Gaza have endured an unmitigated humanitarian catastrophe as Israel carries out one of the most intensive bombing campaigns in history. Gaza was already impoverished, overcrowded and largely inescapable, blockaded by Israel and Egypt for 17 years. Life-threatening storm surges are due to hit the state’s Gulf Coast as Hurricane Milton is set to make landfall on Wednesday. Justine Goode / NBC News; Getty ImagesWaking up and browsing your closet each morning might sometimes feel like an immense challenge.

Persons: Israel, Hurricane Milton, It’s, “, ”, Frank Lowenstein, Barack Obama, Milton, Helene, Hurricane Helene, Anna Maria, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Bush, Gore, George W, Joe Biden’s, Roe, Wade ., Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, NFL Todd Rosenberg, Jalen Tolbert, Greg Rosenstein, alen, J. Organizations: Hamas, United Nations, IDF, United, Gov, Washington, Getty, Republican, Wade, NFL, Getty Images Dallas Cowboys, Pittsburgh Steelers, Sunday, NBC Locations: Gaza, Lebanon, Hurricane, Florida, Israel, Egypt, Beirut, Iran, United States, Coast, Tampa, Gulf of Mexico, U.S

☆ Celebrities who partied with Diddy may want to contact their lawyers
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Natalie Musumeci | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

Celebrities who partied with Combs may want to consult their lawyers, entertainment attorneys told BI. AdvertisementCelebrities who attended Sean "Diddy" Combs' parties should consider lawyering up, even if they attended one of his more high-profile soirees. "He's had many legitimate parties over the years and, chances are, most celebrities and guests were not aware of his sex parties." AdvertisementThe "Freak Offs," prosecutors say, occurred regularly, often in hotel rooms, and sometimes lasted multiple days. "Sean Combs' white parties and other events were iconic, a true convergence of hip-hop, Hollywood, and Black excellence.

Persons: Sean, Diddy, Combs, —, Wayne Dennison, Brown Rudnick, Johnny Depp, Amber Heard, Dennison, Neama Rahmani, they're, Rahmani, Stuart Morton, Camron, Mills Sadat Dowlat, Tre Lovell, Lovell, He's, Marc Agnifilo, Jane Rosenberg, Sean Combs, Johnny Nunez, WireImage, Adria, Jonathan Davis Organizations: Service, Hamptons, West, Trial, Getty, Los, Lovell, Reuters, White Party Locations: Beverly Hills, St, Manhattan, Brooklyn, Los Angeles, Miami

In reality, a federal judge, not Smith, made the decision to release that filing to the public. After hearing opposition from Trump's team about the redactions Smith's team suggested, Chutkan reviewed the brief and ultimately decided that the redactions were appropriate. Chuck Rosenberg, a Justice Department veteran and NBC News legal analyst, said Smith's team was doing things by the book. Litigating that case is an obligation of the Smith team and not a violation of Justice Department guidelines," Rosenberg said. "In any event, the Smith team properly sealed its filing.

Persons: WASHINGTON —, Donald Trump, Jack Smith, Smith, Tanya Chutkan, Chutkan, James Comey’s, Hillary Clinton’s, ” Chutkan, Trump, Trump's, that's, Chuck Rosenberg, Rosenberg, It’s, ”, they've, Jan Organizations: WASHINGTON, Trump, Justice Department, NBC News, Justice, DOJ, Department

☆ The job market is reaching a turning point that will usher even steeper Fed rate cuts, top economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The job market is about to see a big shift that could bring faster Fed rate cuts, David Rosenberg said. That will emphasize the need for faster Fed rate cuts, he said in a note to clients. The ratio of the vacancy rate to the unemployment rate has tumbled in recent months. It's the unemployment rate that's moving up (+0.5 percentage points this year alone), while the vacancy rate has stabilized." "As the labor market eases, we'll see more modest changes in the vacancy rate and larger changes in the unemployment rate.

Persons: David Rosenberg, —, Rosenberg, we've, Powell Organizations: Service, Rosenberg Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Fed, Atlanta

☆ Trump is threatening tariffs on yet another business — and economists say it makes no sense
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Ana Altchek | Grace Eliza Goodwin | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Now, trade economists say Trump's latest trade threat makes no sense. I love the company, but as you know, they've announced a few days ago that they're going to move a lot of their manufacturing business to Mexico," Trump said at Monday's event. AdvertisementJohn Deere is the latest company to face a threat of tariffs from Donald Trump. It's not the first time Trump has threatened companies and Trump's threat to impose large tariffs on imports also isn't new. Trump's tariff goals going into the next election go beyond his former policy on international imports.

Persons: —, Donald Trump, John Deere, they've, Trump, Jonathan W, Coppess, Ian Sheldon, Sheldon, Gary Hufbauer, Hufbauer, Rick Wilking, he's, Trump's, we're, Nicole Bivens Collinson, Sandler, Travis, Rosenberg, Collinson, " Collinson, Kamala Harris Organizations: Service, Business, Fox Business, Republican, University of Illinois, Agricultural Marketing, Trade, The Ohio State University, Peterson Institute for International Economics Locations: Mexico, Smithton , Pennsylvania, Iowa, United States, University of Illinois Urbana, Champaign, Canada, North America, Central America, South America, Georgia, China

☆ There's a reason Diddy's famous friends have stayed silent amid his arrest. PR experts say it's the best strategy.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Callie Ahlgrim | Jacob Shamsian | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

But Diddy's empire began to crumble when Ventura sued Combs last year, accusing him of rape and abuse. Last week, Combs was arrested and indicted on racketeering and sex trafficking charges by federal prosecutors in Manhattan. AdvertisementSean "Diddy" Combs depicted in a courtroom sketch from September 17, 2024. Jane Rosenberg/ReutersAs discussions and theories have swirled around Combs' felony counts, his famous friends, colleagues, and labelmates have also become sources of speculation. However, according to Evan Nierman, CEO of the crisis PR firm Red Banyan , that silence is almost certainly strategic.

Persons: —, Sean, Diddy, Combs, Jennifer Lopez, Cassie Ventura, Jay, Naomi Campbell, Justin Bieber, Mary J, Blige, John Legend, Mark Wahlberg, Prince Harry, Ventura, Jane Rosenberg, There's, Damian Williams, Ricky Vigil, Justin E Palmer, Evan Nierman, Nierman, Sean Combs, they'd, disavow Combs, Chris Brown, Jeff Kravitz, Eric Schiffer, he'd, Schiffer, " Schiffer, Usher, WireImage Usher, Streisand Organizations: Service, Metropolitan Detention Center, Hollywood, Business, Prosecutors, Diddy, Management, Ventura Locations: New York's, Manhattan, Combs, publicists

☆ Rosenberg: Falling demand for workers is leading to higher unemployment
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRosenberg: Falling demand for workers is leading to higher unemploymentDavid Rosenberg of Rosenberg Research talks about supply and demand dynamics in the US labor market, and says the higher unemployment rate comes down to weaker demand, not higher supply.

Persons: Rosenberg, David Rosenberg Organizations: Rosenberg Research

☆ Will Caroline Ellison get jail time for her role in the $11 billion FTX fraud scheme? Here's what the judge must weigh.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Jacob Shamsian | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

Read previewOn Tuesday, a judge will decide what sentence to give Caroline Ellison, who pleaded guilty to conspiring with Sam Bankman-Fried in an $11 billion fraud scheme. Ellison's sentencing sets up a high-stakes balancing test. She still participated in a massive fraud scheme, after all, the value of which he put at $11 billion. Ellison was the SBF trial's star witnessEllison pleaded guilty to fraud and money laundering for her role in the FTX scandal. Because the Bankman-Fried case went to trial, Kaplan has a lot of information at his disposal when deciding Ellison's sentence.

Persons: —, Caroline Ellison, Sam Bankman, Lewis Kaplan, Bankman, Fried, Ellison, Kaplan, FTX, cooperators, Sarah Krissoff, Cozen O'Connor, Joshua Naftalis, That's, Naftalis, Fried JANE ROSENBERG, John J, Ray III, Ryan Salame, Salame's, Gary Wang, Nishad Singh, Ellison's, Krissoff Organizations: Service, Business, Alameda Research, LLP, Prosecutors, Fried JANE ROSENBERG Prosecutors, Securities Exchange Commission, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Government, MIT, Bankman Locations: Bankman, Manhattan, Alameda, New York, Brooklyn

☆ The job market is about to rebound as widespread spending boosts the economy, Apollo chief economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

In a note to clients, Slok issued a more positive outlook on the US job market, even as hiring has slowed this year. "It is inconsistent to say that the incoming economic data is strong but the labor market is weakening," Slok wrote. AdvertisementHowever, consumption and business spending data have been strong in recent months. If the 30-year fixed rate slumps to around 5%, that could that could spark a rebound in home sales, providing a boost to the economy and job market, Slok said. AdvertisementThe outlook for the job market, though, remains mixed, with some commentators warning that hiring could continue to slow due to the lagged impact of the Fed's rate hikes.

Persons: —, Torsten Slok, Slok, Freddie Mac, David Rosenberg, who's Organizations: Service, Apollo Global Management, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Challenger, IRA, Atlanta Fed Locations: Atlanta

☆ Trailblazing Black trans singer Jackie Shane finally gets her due in Tennessee
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Dan Allen | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +9 min

Hers is the most unconventional of success stories, but Jackie Shane wouldn’t have had it any other way. The memorial is especially significant for its setting in the capital of Tennessee, where trans rights have recently been targeted. A gifted young Nashville soul singer who saw too few opportunities for herself as a Black trans performer in the Jim Crow South of the late 1950s, Shane joined a traveling carnival. Jefferson Street in North Nashville on March 19. Flash forward to the 2010s, when a series of Canadian music connoisseurs rediscovered Shane and resurrected her career in absentia.

Persons: Jackie Shane wouldn’t, ”, Sarah Calise, Crys Matthews, Nashville Mayor Freddie O’Connell, Olivia Hill, ” Calise, Jackie Shane, Jim Crow, Shane, Seth Herald, William Bell’s “, “ Jackie, Lorenzo Washington, “, ” Shane, Jackie Shane Story, Michael Mabbott, Lucah Rosenberg, Lee, Elliot Page, ” Mabbott, could’ve, Mabbott, Jeff Goode, Jackie, Jason Kempin, ’, Museum Services Michael Gray, Washington, ’ ” Organizations: Nashville, Historical Commission, Nashville Mayor, NBC News, Getty, Jefferson Street Sound Museum, North Nashville . Washington, Toronto, Toronto Star, North Star, PageBoy Productions, Country Music Hall of Fame, Music Hall of Fame, Music, Museum Services, NBC Locations: Tennessee, city’s, Jefferson, North Nashville, Nashville, Black, AFP, Canada, Toronto, Los Angeles, North Nashville .

☆ Diddy's 'attack the accuser' defense could easily backfire — but it may be all he has
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Laura Italiano | Jacob Shamsian | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +10 min

AdvertisementBut as ugly as it is, going on the attack may be Combs' only defense, former federal prosecutors told Business Insider. Related storiesThose limits are set down in a section of the federal evidence statute known as "Rule 412." AdvertisementAgnifilo also mentioned a recorded conversation in which Ventura's lawyer asked Combs' lawyer for $30 million to keep the R&B star from publishing a tell-all book about the relationship. "That conversation, I guess, didn't go so well for her and the lawyer," Agnifilo said. Attacking the accuser can backfire at trialIf a judge does allow Combs to air his blame-the-accuser defense, it may backfire before a jury.

Persons: —, Sean Combs, Cassandra, Cassie, Ventura, Marc Agnifilo, Combs, Agnifilo, he'd, Johnny Depp, Amber Heard, Depp, Ephraim Savitt, Savitt, Agniflo, Diddy, — Combs, Andrew Carter, Jennifer Beidel, Sean, Jane Rosenberg, didn't, Jeff Kravitz, FilmMagic, Elizabeth Geddes, Kelly, Geddes Organizations: Service, Business, Prosecutors, Combs, FBI, Shihata, Geddes LLP Locations: Manhattan, besmirching, Dykema, Ventura, Brooklyn, Geddes

Combs’ attorneys had asked that he be released on bail and said he could post a $50 million bond. Sean "Diddy" Combs in court in New York City on Tuesday. Johnson, the prosecutor, told the judge: “The defendant’s power gives him a unique ability to influence and intimidate witnesses and victims. They settled the lawsuit a day after it was filed without disclosing the terms and with Combs denying any wrongdoing. She said the witnesses who received subpoenas have firsthand knowledge of Combs’ behavior as charged in the indictment.

Persons: Sean Combs, Kalenna Harper, Dawn Richard, Diddy, Combs, Harper, Emily Johnson, Robyn Tarnofsky, Andrew Carter Jr, Sean, Jane Rosenberg, Johnson, ” Prosecutors, Richard, groped, ” Richard, Casandra Ventura, Cassie, ” Johnson, Harper “, hasn’t, Marc Agnifilo, Ventura, “, ”, ” Combs, Agnifilo, ” Agnifilo Organizations: U.S, District, Prosecutors, Bad Locations: New York, U.S, New York City

☆ The Fed's 50 basis point rate cut won't do anything to stop a recession, economist David Rosenberg says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Fed's big rate cut won't stop a recession, economist David Rosenberg says. Rosenberg's bearish call comes one day after the Federal Reserve delivered a jumbo 50 basis point interest rate cut, the Fed's first rate cut since 2020. AdvertisementBut Rosenberg isn't backing down, likening 2024 to 2007, right before the economy slowed and entered a painful recession. He added: "Half the country is in recession right now when we apply data science to the commentary." AdvertisementAs for the soaring stock market, Rosenberg says investors should heed the warning signs coming out of the bond market.

Persons: David Rosenberg, He's, Rosenberg, —, Rosenberg's Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, BLS

☆ Americans are the richest they've ever been thanks to soaring real estate and stock prices
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Americans' net worth hit a record $163.8 trillion in Q2, driven by a surge in real estate and stock prices. Data from the Federal Reserve shows a nearly 2% increase In net worth from Q1, with real estate leading the gains. Record highs in Americans' net worth could drive a "wealth effect" that leads to the economy's continued resilience. AdvertisementNew data from the Federal Reserve reveals that Americans are the richest they've ever been. A $1.8 trillion increase in real estate valued and a $700 billion gain in stocks drove the increase.

Persons: —, David Rosenberg, " Rosenberg, It's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, National, Census Locations: States

☆ Trump will mimic Harvey Weinstein's successful appeal to fight his own sexual-assault verdict Friday. It won't be as easy.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-05 | by ( Laura Italiano | Jacob Shamsian | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +10 min

The judge who oversaw the trial later said: "Trump 'raped' her as many people commonly understand the word 'rape.'" AdvertisementBut the lawyers who won Weinstein's appeal told Business Insider that what worked for their client probably wouldn't work for Trump. In the May 2023 verdict, the jury found Trump liable for sexual abuse and defamation and awarded Carroll $5 million in damages. In the second trial, earlier this year, a separate jury said Trump owed Carroll an additional $83 million in defamation damages. AdvertisementInstead, it needed to find it was "more probable than not" that Trump sexually assaulted Carroll, a standard far more common in civil cases.

Persons: —, Donald Trump, Trump, Jean Carroll, Harvey Weinstein, John Sauer, he'll, Carroll, Sauer, It's, Weinstein, Barry Kamins, Kamins, Marci Hamilton, Goodman, Lewis Kaplan, Jessica Leeds, Natasha Stoynoff, Brittainy Newman, Diane Kiesel, Stoynoff, you've, Kaplan, Roberta Kaplan, Roberta Kaplan's, Jane Rosenberg Trump's, Arthur Aidala, shouldn't Organizations: Service, Business, Appeals, 2nd, Mar, New York state's, Trump, Hollywood, Child USA, New, Leeds, York state's, Stoynoff, New York Law School, REUTERS Locations: Manhattan, Lago, New York, Los Angeles, Brooklyn, Aidala, York, Leeds, Bergdorf's, Carroll, Carroll's, Hamilton

☆ NFL Quarterback Tiers 2024: Only 2 join Mahomes in Tier 1; Rodgers, Herbert drop out
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-26 | by ( Mike Sando | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +54 min

QB Tiers rangesTier Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4 Movement Moved down Moved up New to Tiers Not in '23 Tiers Same tier Expand all Collapse all Loading Try changing or resetting your filters to see more. Photo: Ryan Kang / Getty Images Tiers over time Annual votes by tier Tier 1 Same tier 2 Joe Burrow Bengals Cincinnati 2024 Tier Voting Avg. Photo: Kathryn Riiley / Getty Images Tiers over time Annual votes by tier Tier 3 Same tier 18 Deshaun Watson Browns Cleveland 2024 Tier Voting Avg. Photo: Cooper Neill / Getty Images Tiers over time Annual votes by tier Tier 3 Same tier T20 Geno Smith Seahawks Seattle 2024 Tier Voting Avg. Photo: Chris Unger / Zuffa LLC / Getty Images Tiers over time Annual votes by tier Tier 4 Same tier T26 Anthony Richardson Colts Indianapolis 2024 Tier Voting Avg.

Persons: Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Jordan Love, San Francisco 49ers ’ Brock Purdy, Houston Texans ’ C.J, Stroud, Mahomes, —, Toney, “, Tom Brady, ”, He’s, Brady, Ryan Kang, Joe Burrow, Burrow, Kirk Cousins, he’s, Cooper Neill, Josh Allen, Allen, Joe, Sam Howell —, Trevor Lawrence, Kathryn Riiley, Lamar, Jackson, Todd, Monken, Patrick Smith, Matthew Stafford, Stafford, recommitment, “ He’s, Matt Stafford, Sean, Rey Del, Justin Herbert, Herbert, “ Herbert, Aaron Rodgers, Jim Harbaugh, “ Harbaugh, I’ve, Rodgers, Achilles, it’ll, Tom Brady’s, Bobby Slowik, ’, Tim Warner, Prescott, Drew Brees, Ben Roethlisberger’s, Dan Marino, Peyton Manning, “ Dak, Jared Goff, It’s, Goff, “ They’ve, they’ve, Tua Tagovailoa, “ Goff, I’m, Junfu, Shane Steichen, Tua, Kellen Moore, Jason Kelce, Brock Purdy, Purdy, Colin Kaepernick, “ Purdy, it’s, “ I’m, Kurt Warner, ” Warner, Brock, Kyle Shanahan, Shanahan, Cousins, Kirk, ” Cousins, Michael Penix Jr, Michael Penix, Kevin C, Cox, ” Love, Squeaking, Mike McDaniel, Kyle Shanahan’s, ” Purdy, Tagovailoa, “ Tua, Lawrence, ” Lawrence, Lawrence —, I’d, Perry Knotts, Kyler, Murray, ‘ Kyler Murray, ” Murray, Marvin Harrison Jr, Deshaun Watson, Watson, Ken Dorsey, ” Watson, Nick Cammett, “ Baker, Baker, Mayfield, Mike Evans, moxie, Nic Antaya, Derek Carr Saints, Carr, Jon, Gruden, “ Gruden, Derek Carr, Smith, Russell Wilson, “ Trevor Lawrence, Justin Fields, Geno Smith, Wilson, Pete Carroll, Sean Payton, Mike Tomlin, Tomlin, “ Tomlin, Payton, Russ, Let’s, Joe Sargent, Daniel Jones, Jones, “ I’ve, Drew Lock, Daniel Jones ’, Malik Nabers, DK Metcalf, Jacoby Brissett, Peter Joneleit, Justin, you’ve, Justin K, Seattle’s Smith, “ Nobody, “ Gardner Minshew, Minshew, Aidan O’Connell, Chris Unger, Anthony Richardson, Richardson, marveled, Cam Newton, ’ ”, “ Shane Steichen, “ Richardson, Shane, Todd Rosenberg, ” Levis, “ I’ll, Carson Wentz, Mac Jones, Frank Reich, Dave Canales, Bryce Young, David Jensen, Sam Darnold, Darnold, J.J, McCarthy, Kevin, I’ll, ” Darnold, Stephen Maturen, Brissett, Kevin Stefanski, “ Jacoby, Alex Van Pelt, Drake Maye, Jaiden, David DeChant, Marc Mazzoni, Dan Goldfarb, John Bradford, Skye Gould, Ray Orr, Amy Cavenaile Organizations: NFL, Baltimore Ravens, Green Bay Packers, San Francisco 49ers, Houston Texans ’, Patrick Mahomes Chiefs Kansas, 0pts, Voters, Philly, Super, Chiefs, EPA, Joe Burrow Bengals, Burrow, ”, Josh Allen Bills Buffalo, Lamar Jackson Ravens, Ravens, Kansas City, Matthew Stafford Rams, Stafford, Rams, Rey Del Rio, Justin Herbert Chargers, Chargers, Aaron Rodgers Jets, Rodgers, Jets, . Stroud Texans, Stroud, Baltimore, Texans, Dak Prescott Cowboys, Niners, Packers, Cowboys ’, Prescott, “, Jared Goff Lions, Eagles, Alabama, College Football, Brock, Brock Purdy 49ers San Francisco, 1.2pts, 49ers, Detroit, Purdy, Kirk Cousins Falcons, Falcons, Atlanta, Jordan Love Packers, Dallas, Green Bay, Cowboys, Tua Tagovailoa Dolphins, Miami, AFC East, Trevor Lawrence Jaguars Jacksonville, Jaguars, Kyler Murray Cardinals, Cardinals, Murray, Deshaun Watson Browns, Browns, Cleveland, Baker Mayfield Buccaneers Tampa, ” Voters, Derek Carr Saints New, Mayfield, NFC, Saints, Buccaneers, Geno Smith Seahawks Seattle, Seattle, Russell Wilson Steelers Pittsburgh, of Fame, Steelers, Daniel Jones Giants New, Giants, Justin Fields Steelers, Bears, Gardner Minshew Raiders, Indy, Colts, Minshew, Raiders, Anthony Richardson Colts, Health, Levis Titans, Titans, Levis, Bryce Young Panthers Carolina, Panthers, Jacoby Brissett Patriots, Patriots, Getty Images, USA Locations: San Francisco, Baltimore, Mahomes, Burrow, Matthew Stafford Rams Los, Tier, Justin Herbert Chargers Los, Green Bay, Stroud, “, what’s, USA, Oklahoma, Cleveland, Atlanta, Jackson, Lawrence, Kyler Murray Cardinals Arizona, Arizona, Houston, Derek Carr Saints New Orleans, Seattle, Pittsburgh, Wilson, Denver, Cam, Levis, Carolina, Sam Darnold Vikings, New York, Minnesota, New England

☆ A famed economist who called the 2008 recession warns the Fed is behind on rate cuts — and that a downturn is coming despite 'off the charts' investor sentiment
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-24 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

"Incredibly, the Fed raised rates 500 basis points under a false presumption — by over one million — of just how robust the jobs market was," Rosenberg said. AdvertisementIn addition to the yearly revisions, monthly payroll revisions from the Bureau of Labor Statistics have also been poor more recently. Related storiesOne is a model that aims to enhance the yield curve as a recession indicator by taking into account US businesses' ability to repay debts and the Fed's National Financial Conditions Index. A soft-landing outcome, where the Fed avoids sending the economy into recession, is also still the consensus view on Wall Street. With inflation down under 3% and rate cuts almost surely on the way, such a scenario is still seemingly possible.

Persons: —, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch, Pascal Michaillat, Emmanuel Saez, Vane, Chuck Prince, Ian Shepherdson, Shepherdson, payrolls, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Rosenberg Research, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Fed, Treasury, Pantheon, Labor Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ Rising household debt and shrinking incomes are setting the stage for a recession, top economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-07 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The US looks poised to enter a recession, thanks to troubling trends in household finances. Economist David Rosenberg pointed to rising debt levels and shrinking incomes among American households. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe US still looks poised to enter a recession, as rising debt and shrinking incomes are setting the economy up for a downturn.

Persons: David Rosenberg, —, Rosenberg Research who's, Rosenberg Organizations: Service, Rosenberg Research, Business

☆ Markets are counting on the Fed to head off recession with sizeable interest rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Jeff Cox | Jeff Cox Is A Finance Editor With Cnbc.Com Where He Covers All Aspects Of The Markets | Monitors Coverage Of The Financial Markets | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +5 min

Disappointing economic data recently generated worries that the Fed missed an opportunity at its meeting last week to, if not cut rates outright, send a clearer signal that easing is on the way. In the past, the Fed has implemented just nine such cuts, and all have come amid extreme duress, according to Bank of America. Lacking a catalyst for an intermeeting cut, the Fed is nonetheless expected to cut rates almost as swiftly as it hiked from March 2022-July 2023. Why wait?”LaVorgna, though, isn’t convinced the Fed is in a life-or-death battle against recession. Still, any quakes in the data, such as Friday’s downside surprise to the nonfarm payrolls numbers, could ignite recession talk quickly.

Persons: Jerome Powell, ” Steven Blitz, ”, Andrew Hollenhorst, ‘, ’ ”, Michael Gapen, Powell, Joseph LaVorgna, “, “ They’ll, isn’t, Goldman Sachs, David Rosenberg Organizations: Federal Reserve, TS Lombard, Fed, Citigroup, Bank of America, Nikko Securities, Rosenberg Research Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Nikko

☆ The stock market's recession playbook is in full effect
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Investors are de-risking their portfolios amid recession fears, driving a stock-market sell-off. AdvertisementThe stock market's recession playbook is in full swing as suddenly panicked investors look to aggressively de-risk their portfolios amid fears of a downturn. Investors are questioning whether the Federal Reserve waited too long to cut interest rates and whether it's too late to fend off recession. AdvertisementDetailed below are four outperforming areas of the market that make it clear investors are employing the recession playbook:1. "Next's year's pricing makes sense if the US economy falls into recession and/or inflation tumbles below the Fed's 2% target," analysts said of the market's rate-cut expectations.

Persons: —, it's, they've, David Sekera, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Ned Davis Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Treasury, Bloomberg, Morningstar, Global, ETF, Rosenberg Research, Ned Davis Research

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