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A farmers holds cocoa beans while he is drying them at a village in Sinfra, Ivory Coast, on April 29, 2023. Consumers could start to see the effect of surging cocoa prices as the world faces the worst supply deficit in decades, with farmers in West Africa struggling against bad weather, disease and failing trees. The world is facing the largest cocoa supply deficit in more than 60 years and consumers could start to see the effect at the end of this year or early 2025, Joules said. The International Cocoa Organization has forecast a supply deficit of 374,000 tons for the 2023-24 season, a 405% increase from a deficit of 74,000 tons in the previous season. Cocoa prices will likely remain elevated for some time because there are no easy fixes to the systemic issues facing the market, he said.
Persons: Michele Buck, Paul Organizations: Hershey, CNBC, National Confectioners Association, Rabobank, International Cocoa Organization Locations: Sinfra, Ivory Coast, West Africa, Cocoa
Workers collect dry cocoa beans in front of the store of a cocoa cooperative in the village of Hermankono on Nov. 14, 2023. Analysts believe the cost of the core chocolate ingredient may have room to extend its record-breaking run, with no sign of significant demand destruction yet on the horizon. Concerns over the supply of cocoa in West Africa, home to around three quarters of the world's production, have driven the market higher in recent months. In New York, benchmark ICE cocoa futures stood at $6,549 per metric ton on Wednesday. Somewhat surprisingly, the historic price surge has not yet hampered global demand.
Persons: Paul, CNBC's Organizations: Analysts, Rabobank Locations: Hermankono, West Africa, New York
Dollar firms ahead of busy data week with U.S. inflation in focus
  + stars: | 2024-02-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar was on the front foot on Monday ahead of a packed week filled with key economic releases that will provide further clues on the global interest rate outlook, with a U.S. inflation reading taking center stage. The dollar was on the front foot on Monday ahead of a packed week filled with key economic releases that will provide further clues on the global interest rate outlook, with a U.S. inflation reading taking center stage. The kiwi had risen 1.2% last week, helped by broad dollar weakness and the risk of a rate hike from the RBNZ on Wednesday. "If anything, the (data) may be stronger than markets currently expect, and that will likely give a modest boost to the dollar," said CBA's Kong. "But at the same time, any gains in the dollar will likely be pretty modest.
Persons: Carol Kong, Sterling, Jane Foley, CBA's Organizations: Reserve Bank of New, New Zealand, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, of Japan's, U.S, Rabobank, U.S . Commodity Futures, Fed Locations: Japan, Australia, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, China, Asia, U.S
Nikki Haley drew a sharp line Monday between her views on trade and the tariffs proposed by her rival, Republican front-runner Donald Trump. Think about that for a second," Haley said on CNBC's Squawk Box. "It's going to raise the cost of anything from baby strollers to appliances, under Donald Trump," she added. Over the weekend, Trump suggested tariffs were the way to force automobile manufacturers to build cars in the United States. This, and Trump's proposed tariffs if he were elected to a second term have left many Wall Street investors deeply concerned about what the global economy would look like in a second Trump administration.
Persons: Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, Haley, Trump, Donald Trump's, Michael Every, Reid Hoffman, Ken Langone, Stanley Druckenmiller Organizations: South Carolina Gov, Republican, National Taxpayers Union, The Washington Post, Rabobank, CNBC, Trump, U.S ., China Business Council, Wall, LinkedIn, South Carolina Locations: China, The, United States, America, U.S, New Hampshire, Iowa, New York City
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrump's proposed 10% tariff plan would 'shake up every asset class', says strategistMichael Every of Rabobank says the current economic regime hasn't worked well enough, providing space for new ideas like Trump's tariff plan that are aimed at "structurally breaking the global system".
Persons: Trump's, Michael Every, hasn't Organizations: Rabobank
Mike Segar | ReutersMarkets need to begin thinking about the structural impact of Donald Trump's proposed 10% tariff increase, which "shakes up every asset class," according to Michael Every, global strategist at Rabobank. He suggested one of investors' top concerns would be the 10% tariff on all U.S. imports. Trump floated the 10% tariff during an interview last year with Fox Business' Larry Kudlow, his former White House economic advisor, saying "it's a massive amount of money." China responded with its own tariffs on U.S. goods, and Trump also imposed tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from most countries, including many of Washington's biggest allies. He noted Trump's tendency to "change his mind" so frequently on geopolitical issues that "people won't know where his thinking is at."
Persons: Donald Trump, Mike Segar, Donald Trump's, Michael Every, Janet Yellen, Ron DeSantis, CNBC's, Trump, Tom Lee, Larry Kudlow, it's, Keen, Joe Biden's, Dan Boardman Organizations: U.S, Republican, New, Reuters, Rabobank, The, Foundation, Forum, GOP, Trump, Fox Business, White, AAF, BRI Wealth Management Locations: New Hampshire, Rochester , New Hampshire, U.S, America, China, Beijing, Weston
Dollar headed for second weekly gain on tempered rates outlook
  + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Dollar bills and Japanese currency Yen lying on a table on August 03, 2016 in Berlin, Germany. The dollar headed for a second weekly gain in a row on Friday on signs of resilience in the U.S. economy and caution about rate cuts from central bankers. Weekly gains on the risk-sensitive Australian and New Zealand dollars of 1.7% and 2.1% are set to be the largest since November and June respectively. Rabobank revised its one-month forecast for dollar/yen to 148 from 144, expecting further unwinding of bets on the pace of U.S. rate cuts to support the dollar. An unexpected rise in British inflation also drove a sharp pullback in bets on Bank of England interest rate cuts, and leant support to sterling.
Persons: Jane Foley, Christopher Waller, Bitcoin Organizations: New, Bank of Japan, Rabobank, Federal, Bank of Locations: Berlin, Germany, U.S, New Zealand, Asia, Europe, Bank of England
With 23% of the vote, Wilders stands a good chance of leading any future governing coalition. In the Netherlands, forming a majority coalition with Wilders' party was considered unthinkable not long ago. "And Wilders took off in the polls.”In December, a member of Wilders' party became president of parliament, marking a breakthrough in political acceptance. There is now a real prospect of his far-right party joining, or even leading, a majority governing coalition. Rather than far-right parties being pulled to the center, the center may veer to the right.
Persons: SINT, , Geert Wilders, Wilders, ’ ”, Rem Korteweg, , Walter de Jong, De Jong, Mark Rutte, Tom Theuns, ” Wilders, Theuns, ” Theuns, Jean, Marie Le Pen, Le Pen’s, , North Africa —, Mark Rutte's, Frans Timmermans Organizations: Party, Freedom, European Union, EU, Party for Freedom, Rabobank, , Leiden University, National, Frontex, , Pulitzer Center, Crisis Locations: SINT WILLEBRORD, Netherlands, Willebrord, Europe, Germany, France, Spain, Sweden, Austria, The Hague, Hungary, Serbia, Poland, Rucphen, Sint Willebrord, Ukraine, Soviet, Syria, Turkey, Belgium, Dutch, North Africa, EU
Futures contracts on orange juice , cocoa , coffee and sugar have soared in part because of extreme weather and supply concerns related to El Niño. "You can say El Niño has a sweet tooth because it sort of eats or takes away much of the sugar in the world," Carlos Mera, head of agri commodities market research at Netherlands-based Rabobank, told CNBC. "Sugar prices have probably already been passed on [to consumers] but certainly for chocolate we should expect a big increase at retail level — and El Niño is certainly something to watch." Joe Raedle | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThe effects of El Niño tend to peak during December, but the impact typically takes time to spread across the globe. It also warned that several crops could be adversely affected by El Niño early next year, while acknowledging there is the potential for some crops to benefit, citing those in the United States, southern Brazil and Argentina.
Persons: El, Carlos Mera, El Niño, Joe Raedle, Dave Reiter, Reiter, Sia Kambou Organizations: Future Publishing, Rabobank, CNBC, Getty, Reiter Capital Investments, Twitter, Workers, Afp Locations: Yichang City, China's Hubei, Netherlands, El, Orange, Miami , Florida, Southeast Asia, India, Australia, Africa, United States, Brazil, Argentina, Florida, Hermankono
New York CNN —Egg and turkey prices are down. But a deadly bird flu is still threatening poultry flocks, turkey in particular. Turkey takes a hitThis year, turkey prices were low ahead of Thanksgiving — partially because turkey farmers expected an outbreak in the spring that didn’t really happen, boosting turkey supplies, explained Matt Busardo, poultry market reporter at Urner Barry. But the uptick of bird flu cases has hit turkey farms hard, and threatens to tighten supply in groceries this spring. In part that’s because unlike eggs, turkey isn’t a kitchen staple — meaning that higher prices could just lead people to skip that turkey sandwich after all.
Persons: ” Dennis Summers, Summers, We’re, ” Summers, Emily Metz, “ We’ve, Ryan Hojnowski, Urner Barry, skyrocket, , Hojnowski, it’s, Matt Busardo, Barry, , there’s, ” Busardo, , Kasinger, Ohio’s Summers, Christine McCracken Organizations: New, New York CNN, CNN, American Egg Board, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bloomberg, Getty, Rabobank, Locations: New York, United States, Iowa, Ohio, Turkey, Minnesota
After three years of plentiful rain and rising livestock numbers, dry weather has withered pastures across Australia. The extreme change in conditions has helped trigger the fastest plunge in cattle and sheep prices in decades, threatening livelihoods in Australia's A$75 billion ($50 billion) red meat and livestock industry. While farmers suffer, falling livestock prices have brought some relief to Australian households hurting from high inflation. Falling U.S. beef production means demand for Australian beef should rise, helping support livestock prices, said Angus Gidley-Baird, an analyst at Rabobank in Sydney. Agricultural consultants Episode 3 estimate that Australian beef processors are reaping their best profits in at least two decades thanks to low local cattle prices and high sale prices in export markets.
Persons: Angus Hobson, Peter Hobson, Angus, Hobson, Stuart Austin, Wilmot, Angus Gidley, Baird, Teys, Mat Larkings, gaunt, haven't, they'll, Sonali Paul Organizations: Livestock, New, REUTERS, Beef, Livestock Australia, Woolworths, Data Monitor, Rabobank, Meat packers, Teys Australia, Farmers, Thomson Locations: Delegate, New South Wales, Australia, Angus Hobson's, Australia's, United States, El Nino, Japan, China, Sydney, Walcha
The pound was on track for a roughly 3.8% gain for the month, its largest monthly gain in a year. Elsewhere, the dollar fell 0.32% to 148.97 yen , while the euro gained 0.2% to $1.0952. The dollar index slipped 0.12% to 103.31 and was headed for a monthly loss of more than 3%, its worst performance in a year. In China, the yuan slipped after the official midpoint snapped five straight sessions of strengthening, with the onshore yuan last at 7.1550 per dollar. Reporting by Rae Wee; Editing by Gerry Doyle and Christopher CushingOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Sterling, Carol Kong, Jane Foley, Rae Wee, Gerry Doyle, Christopher Cushing Organizations: Federal, Reserve Bank of New, PMI, Bank of England, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Traders, Rabobank, ", Fed, New, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, OPEC, Australia, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, New Zealand, China, Beijing
In this photo illustration, a old British £1 note is pictured with a one Dollar bill note on November 05, 2023 in Bath, England. The Australian dollar likewise stood near a roughly three-month high and last bought $0.6578, ahead of domestic inflation data on Wednesday. The weakening greenback provided some respite for the Japanese yen , which sat on the stronger side of 150 per dollar and last stood at 149.52 per dollar. The New Zealand dollar eased 0.1% to $0.6076, but was likewise hovering near Friday's more than three-month high of $0.6096. "I think the issues in the Middle East have definitely become more of a background risk," said CBA's Kong.
Persons: Sterling, Carol Kong, Jane Foley, CBA's Organizations: Federal, Reserve Bank of New, PMI, Bank of England, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, U.S ., U.S, Rabobank, Fed, New Zealand, Israel Locations: Bath, England, OPEC, Australia, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Friday's, U.S, East, Gaza
Dollar slips on bets US rates have peaked
  + stars: | 2023-11-24 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
A woman counts U.S. dollar bills at her home in Buenos Aires, Argentina August 28, 2018. Currencies traded in a relatively narrow range with U.S. markets closing early the day after the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday. "I think what we're seeing is a classic case of the market taking the 'path of least resistance.'" The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency with six peers, eased 0.4 % to 103.35 , staying close to the 2-1/2 month low of 103.17 touched earlier this week. German business morale improved for a third straight month in November, data showed.
Persons: Marcos Brindicci, Michael Brown, Jane Foley, Sterling, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ankur Banerjee, Joice Alves, David Evans, Jason Neely, Richard Chang Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Trader, P Global, Rabobank, Federal, ING, Thomson Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, London, Germany, Singapore
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDutch Freedom Party has 'much less clear' ideas on how to pay for populist policies: EconomistEster Barendregt, chief economist at Rabobank, discusses the economic implications of far-right leader Geert Wilder winning the most votes in the Netherlands' parliamentary election.
Persons: Ester Barendregt, Geert Wilder Organizations: Party, Rabobank Locations: Netherlands
Dutch voters have gone to the polls today in one of the most tightly contested general elections in recent years. Next stepsForming a coalition in the 150-seat Dutch parliament is typically lengthy and difficult, even where the victor is not a political pariah. There is still no guarantee Wilders will become the new prime minister, even with his Freedom Party (PVV)'s 37 seats. On fiscal policy, Wilders' party has a "clear populist" bent, said Ester Barendregt, chief economist at Rabobank. Certainly one wish of Geert Wilders is to pay less to Europe.
Persons: Geert Wilders, Carl Court, shockwaves, Wilders, Mark Rutte, Sarah de Lange, Pieter Omtzigt's, de Lange, CNBC's, Ester Barendregt, Barendregt, Liza Mügge Organizations: Party for Freedom, Getty, European Union, Freedom Party, Department of Political Science, University of Amsterdam, Party, Rabobank Locations: SCHEVENINGEN, NETHERLANDS, Dutch, Scheveningen , Netherlands, Netherlands, Brussels, Ukraine, policymaking, U.S, China, Europe
Dutch politician Geert Wilders, the leader of the PVV party, speaks during the final debate between the lead candidates in the Dutch election before polls open on Wednesday, in The Hague, Netherlands, November 21, 2023. REUTERS/Piroschka van de Wouw/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsAMSTERDAM, Nov 23 (Reuters) - A shock win for Geert Wilders's far-right, anti-EU Freedom Party in Dutch elections has set the stage for months of uncertainty. However, Wilders took a more pragmatic approach during the campaign and he will need to collaborate with pro-EU parties if he wants to govern. Opponents of a critical pension fund reform, which went into effect in July, now have a majority in parliament. There is broad support for raising taxation on banks, including from Wilders' party, which also backs taxing lenders' windfall profits from higher interest rates.
Persons: Geert Wilders, de, Geert Wilders's, Mark Rutte, Wilders, Marcel Klok, Klok, WILDERS, Rutte, van Zanden, Rabobank's van Zanden, Banks, ING's Klok, Joost Beaumont, Yoruk, Amanda Cooper, Toby Chopra Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, EU, Party, ING, European Union, Rabobank, ABN AMRO, Thomson Locations: The Hague, Netherlands, Dutch, Europe
Asia stocks slip as dovish Fed cheer fades
  + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
But it fell 0.2% in early trade on Wednesday. Nasdaq futures (.IXIC) were down 0.2% and S&P 500 futures fell 0.1% early in the Asia day. They have fallen about 50 basis points since the Fed held rates steady early in the month. It was broadly steady at $1.0921 to the euro and 148.17 yen in early trade on Wednesday. In commodity markets Brent crude futures held just above their 50-day moving average at $82.64 a barrel.
Persons: Tyrone Siu, Naka, Rabobank's, Philip Marey, Jonathan Petersen, Michele Bullock, Changpeng Zhao, Sam Holmes Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Japan's Nikkei, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Thursday's, Federal Reserve, Fed, Capital Economics, Bank of Japan, Reuters, Wednesday Reserve Bank of Australia, Thomson Locations: Exchange, Hong Kong, China, Rights SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, Japan, United States, U.S, Singapore
At a time when social and environmental investments have been politicized, Ford and Land O’Lakes are staying the course. Courtesy Land O’Lakes, Inc.“We’re focusing on the things that are most important to our members, their families and to their businesses,” she told CNN. The EPA and the Hershey Company gave $2 million to Land O’Lakes member farms in Pennsylvania. Land O'Lakes CEO Beth Ford at the company's headquarters in Arden Hills, Minnesota, on July 29, 2021. In 2020, Land O’Lakes convened the American Connection Project coalition to advocate for public and private investment in high-speed internet infrastructure in rural communities.
Persons: , Beth Ford, Ford, Evan Hillan, don’t, Truterra, ” Ford, , Ford’s, Carol, , CNN’s Poppy Harlow, ‘ I’ve, ’ ” Ford, Harlow, Richard Tsong, I’ve, “ I’ve, O’Lakes, isn’t, Lucas Fuess, Kim Reynolds, Fuess, there’s, Kelly Garrett, ” Garrett, Garrett Organizations: Arden Hills , Minnesota CNN —, Fortune, Arden, Ford, CNN, Inc, US Environmental Protection Agency, EPA, Hershey Company, Pepsi, Mobil, Scholastic —, Star Tribune, Getty, American Connection, Biden, Republican, , Nature Locations: Arden Hills , Minnesota, Wisconsin, Truterra, Mill Hill , Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, America, Ford, Sioux City , Iowa, Iowa, Iowa , Idaho , Kansas, Modale , Iowa, Inc, West, Arion , Iowa, American
In 2022, Amazon opened office space in de Koepel, a former prison in Haarlem, Netherlands. AdvertisementAdvertisementAmazon Web Services debuted a new office space in Haarlem, Netherlands in 2022 , but there's one unusual thing about it, which has gained traction on social media this week: the office is inside a former prison. Amazon uses space on the third floor of de Koepel, where prison cells have been converted into office spaces, and communal desks are available for individuals. The video shows a few former prison cells, with the AWS logo plastered just above the cell numbers. The prison is a dome-shaped building, with multiple stories of prison cells facing the central space.
Persons: , De Koepel, underpaid, they're, Valerie Vallenduuk, Koepel Organizations: Amazon, Service, Federal Trade Commission, Rabobank Locations: Koepel, Haarlem, Netherlands, TikTok
U.S. Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. The Australian dollar fell 0.5% overnight and was last at $0.6405, just above its 50-day moving average. It seems set for its largest weekly fall since June, as the central bank appeared to raise the bar for further hikes after lifting rates on Tuesday. In Asia, China's yuan touched a two-month high in overnight offshore trade. China's consumer prices fell in October, data showed on Thursday, stoking expectations for lower interest rates.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Gabriel Makhlouf, Joachim Nagel, Jane Foley, Mario Draghi, Brent, Ping, Michael Wan, Jerome Powell, Tom Westbrook, Christian Schmollinger Organizations: REUTERS, Central Bank's, Bank of Japan, Rabobank, Treasury, New Zealand, Canadian, Italian, ECB, Financial, Reuters, Ping An Insurance Group, HK, MUFG, Bank of Israel, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Ireland's, U.S, Asia, Europe, Singapore, East, Gaza City
Oct 20 (Reuters) - S&P Global is the first among the “big three” rating agencies to upgrade Greece to investment grade since the country’s debt crisis in 2010. The other two agencies, Fitch and Moody's, rate the country one notch below investment grade. DBRS Morningstar upgraded Greece's rating to investment grade BBB (low) last month. Greece expects economic output to rise 3% in 2024 following a 2.3% expansion this year more than twice the eurozone average. It’s trading as investment grade anyway,” Rabobank senior rates strategist Lyn Graham-Taylor told Reuters.
Persons: Fitch, DBRS Morningstar, Lyn Graham, Taylor, Akshita, Harry Robertson, Shailesh Kuber, Marguerita Choy Organizations: Global, BBB, Reuters, Greece's, Rabobank, Thomson Locations: Greece, Bengaluru, Lefteris, Athens
Tyson is investing in insect protein
  + stars: | 2023-10-20 | by ( Danielle Wiener-Bronner | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
New York CNN —Tyson, a major US producer of beef, pork and chicken, is betting on protein that comes from insects. “Today, we’re focused on more of [an] ingredient application with insect protein than we are a consumer application,” said John R. Tyson, chief financial officer of Tyson Foods. A business opportunity“One feature of being in the animal protein business is having to figure out … how to derive value from” waste, Tyson said. Picard helped create the Center for Environmental Sustainability through Insect Farming, a partnership between academia and industry members including Tyson and Protix. “There are more and more startups coming into the space because there’s so much demand for insect protein,” she said.
Persons: New York CNN — Tyson, Tyson, we’re, , John R, Kees Aarts, Aleks, hasn’t, Mars, Tyson doesn’t, , Protix, Christine Johanna Picard, Picard, Kaan Mika, iStockphoto, ” Aarts, Reza Ovissipour Organizations: New, New York CNN, Tyson Foods, Rabobank, Indiana University – Purdue University Indianapolis School of Science, for Environmental Locations: New York, Protix, Netherlands, Springdale , Arkansas, Texas
A bumper harvest will strain storage capacity and hold down prices of the world's most traded commodity crop. Already corn prices are trending near three-year lows at a time when some food prices are rising due to tight supplies of other staples like rice, stoking inflation worries. Just 16 months ago corn prices were at their highest in a decade as the war in Ukraine disrupted supplies from the Black Sea breadbasket. USDA forecast that domestic corn supplies would jump 55% to 2.111 billion bushels in the 2023/24 marketing year, helping push the global stockpile to a five-year high by September 2024. Some growers need to take out loans to fund their operations as they wait and hope corn prices will rise.
Persons: Shannon Stapleton, Steve Pitstick, Pitstick, Stephen Nicholson, Bill Roenigk, Harold Wolle, Wolle, Tom Polansek, Caroline Stauffer, David Gregorio Our Organizations: REUTERS, U.S . Agriculture Department, Brazil, Rabobank, Corn, Maine Foods, U.S, Growers, Thomson Locations: Kelley , Iowa, U.S, PARK , Illinois, Chicago, Illinois, Ukraine, Cal
While the human tragedy dominates the broader global news agenda, its hold on global markets has typically loosened pretty quickly. Inflation-adjusted real rates matter more when deciding whether to hold gold. The 2014 Gaza War lasted about six weeks and saw Israeli forces cross the border into Gaza. The 2008-09 Gaza War also echoes today's situation and saw Israeli forces cross into Palestinian territory. And over the course of the 2014 Gaza War Brent crude fell around $10 to $93 a barrel.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Jim Reid, Brent, Michael Every, Jamie McGeever, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Barclays, Deutsche, Benchmark, Swiss, Rabobank, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Rights ORLANDO , Florida, Israel, Lebanon, Gaza
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