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London CNN —French stocks and government bonds struggled to find direction Monday following surprise results in France’s parliamentary elections, which saw left-wing parties outperform the far right Sunday, leaving the country’s parliament facing gridlock. The yield, or return sought by investors, on benchmark 10-year bonds rose by a fraction of a percentage point to 3.22% by 8.09 a.m. But the premium traders demand to hold French bonds instead of the ultra-safe German equivalents was lower on the day. However, it was still a lot higher than before French President Emmanuel Macron called the snap elections on June 9. The value of the currency, which is shared by 19 other countries in the EU, has swung wildly since June 9.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Macron, France’s, , , Holger Schmieding, “ unaffordable, Schmieding, Hanna Ziady Organizations: London CNN, European Union, Rabobank, EU Locations: gridlock, Europe’s, , France, Paris,
“And now, what do we do?” blared the front page headline of Le Parisien, a daily newspaper, as the shock of Sunday’s election results began to sink in. The day after a historic election, France awoke to final results that none of the polls had predicted. The left-wing coalition’s New Popular Front took the most seats in the National Assembly, but nowhere near enough to form a government, followed by President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist coalition, which lost scores of seats. Finally, in third place, was the party that pollsters and pundits alike had expected to lead — the far-right National Rally. Now the question gripping the country was who would govern France, and how.
Persons: Le Parisien, Emmanuel Macron’s Organizations: National Assembly Locations: France
While a surge in support for the left-wing New Popular Front (NFP) coalition foiled Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally (RN) party, French politics is now more disordered than it was before the vote. The NFP won 182 seats in the National Assembly, making it the largest group in the 577-seat parliament. And the RN and its allies, despite leading the first round, won 143 seats. Does that mean the NFP “won” the election? Now, it is the largest bloc in the French parliament and could provide France with its next prime minister.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Le, , NFP “, Jordan Bardella, Le Pen, , ” Bardella, Kevin Coombs, Macron, Publique, – Jean, Luc Mélenchon, Raphael Glucksmann, Emmanuel Dunand, Éduoard Philippe, France’s, Brigitte Macron, Mohammed Badra, Gabriel Attal’s, France Unbowed, Mario Draghi, Benito Mussolini Organizations: CNN, Front, NFP, National Assembly, Ensemble, , Reuters, Socialists, Getty Locations: Vichy, France, Paris, AFP, Le Touquet, , Italy
Macron had called for a new legislative nationwide vote in France after the country's far-right party made significant gains in the European Union election last month. The gamble that French President Emmanuel Macron took when he called a snap election has not paid off, according to Armin Steinbach, Jean Monnet professor of EU Law and economics at HEC Paris. Macron's centrist Ensemble bloc is set to make up the second-largest group in parliament, followed by the RN and its allies. Just because the far-right did not perform as they had hoped in this election does not mean they should be discounted for the presidential election in 2027, Steinbach added. "For today it's a loss for them, … but it doesn't tell us anything about the 2027 presidential election.
Persons: Macron, Steinbach, CNBC's Charlotte Reed, Emmanuel Macron, Armin Steinbach, Jean Monnet, Tina Fordham, CNBC's, Fordham, HEC's Steinbach Organizations: Popular Front, Interior Ministry, Union, EU Law, HEC Paris, Fordham Global Insight, European Union Locations: Paris, France, Steinbach
Left-wing coalition thwarts far-right in French run-off vote
  + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLeft-wing coalition thwarts far-right in French run-off voteCNBC's Charlotte Reed discusses the French parliamentary run-off vote which saw the left-wing New Popular Front coalition unexpectedly thwart a far-right advance.
Persons: Charlotte Reed Organizations: Popular Front
LONDON — European stocks were set to fall at the open on Monday as markets reacted to an expected hung parliament in France after a surprise win for a left-wing coalition of parties. France's CAC 40 was seen falling 37.9 points to 7,631, according to IG, and the euro was down 0.18% against the dollar. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 index and Germany's DAX are both expected to fall around 6 points, while Italy's FTSE MIB is expected to slip 115 points at the open. European marketsFrance's left-wing New Popular Front won the largest number of seats in this weekend's parliamentary elections, scuppering an expected surge for the far-right. However, the coalition failed to secure an absolute majority, early data showed, leaving markets digesting the possibility of a hung parliament.
Persons: Germany's DAX, France's, scuppering, Jim Reid, Nathan Posner Organizations: CAC, IG, Popular Front, Deutsche Bank, New, Republique, Anadolu, Getty Locations: France, Paris, France's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFrance elections 2024: Voters reject far right as left-wing coalition claims surprise victoryFrance's left-wing New Popular Front coalition on Sunday unexpectedly thwarted a far-right advance, clinching the largest number of seats but falling short of an absolute majority in a parliamentary run-off vote, according to initial indications.
Persons: France's Organizations: Popular Front, Sunday
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBNP Paribas CIO questions how long France's New Popular Front can hold togetherEdmund Shing, CIO of BNP Paribas Wealth Management, discusses the French election results and comments on the differing policies of the New Popular Front party.
Persons: Edmund Shing Organizations: BNP, Wealth Management, New
Asia-Pacific markets opened mixed on Monday as investors awaited key economic data from the U.S. and China later this week, while election results in France overnight signaled a hung parliament. France's left-wing New Popular Front coalition on Sunday unexpectedly thwarted a far-right advance, clinching the largest number of seats but falling short of an absolute majority in a parliamentary run-off vote. Investors await the U.S. consumer price index reading, due Thursday stateside, to assess the Federal Reserve's interest rate path, while China's inflation figures on Wednesday will signal the state of the country's economic recovery. Central bank decisions from South Korea, New Zealand and Malaysia will also be announced this week, although no changes are expected, according to a Reuters poll of economists.
Persons: France's Organizations: Popular Front, Sunday Locations: Asia, Pacific, U.S, China, France, Central, South Korea, New Zealand, Malaysia
The euro slipped on Monday after projections from France's election pointed to a hung parliament amid an unexpectedly strong showing for a left-wing alliance, spawning fresh uncertainty over the country's fiscal outlook. The euro slipped on Monday after projections from France's election pointed to a hung parliament amid an unexpectedly strong showing for a left-wing alliance, spawning fresh uncertainty over the country's fiscal outlook. The yen headed for a third day of gains after rebounding from last week's nearly 38-year trough to the dollar. The euro was 0.06% lower at $1.0827, and earlier slid as much as 0.4% as investors weighed the consequences of a hung French parliament. The dollar slipped 0.07% to 160.70 yen, down from as high as 161.96 on Wednesday.
Persons: Sterling, Emmanuel Macron's, Chris Weston, Macron, Weston, bitcoin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labour, Conservative, New Popular Front, Le, Traders Locations: Gox
Anadolu | Anadolu | Getty ImagesGovernment bond markets in France saw some selling early on Monday, but were fairly muted overall despite political gridlock after a second round of legislative elections. Jitters have spread through France's bond market in recent weeks. The 10-year yield topped 3.3% — a roughly 8-month high — after French President Emmanuel Macron called the snap parliamentary election in the middle of June. Meanwhile, the gap (or spread) between French bond yields and German bond yields had topped 85 basis points in recent weeks, hitting its highest level since 2012. He added that the chances of a confrontation with Brussels remained with the left-wing alliance, but not to the same extent as if the National Rally had won.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Emmanuel Macron's, , David Roche, Digard, Kepler Cheuvreux Organizations: New, Republique, Anadolu, Getty, Government, European Commission, Sunday, Popular Front, Independent, National Rally, CNBC Locations: Paris, France, France's, London, Brussels
Founder of left-wing party La France Insoumise (LFI) Jean-Luc Melenchon reacts during the election night of left-wing party La France Insoumise (LFI) following the first results of the second round of France's legislative election at La Rotonde Stalingrad in Paris on July 7, 2024. After the left-wing's election success in France on Sunday, all eyes are now on radical firebrand Jean-Luc Mélenchon who has demanded the left be given the premiership and a chance to govern following its unexpected election win. The New Popular Front (NFP) coalition — of which Mélenchon is the self-appointed figurehead — won the largest number of seats in the second round of France's snap parliamentary election. Europe had braced itself for France's far-right to win the largest number of votes in the second round of France's snap election. French President Emmanuel Macron's centrist "Together" bloc came in second with 163 seats and the far-right National Rally and its allies won 143 seats.
Persons: Jean, Luc Melenchon, Luc Mélenchon, , Mélenchon, Emmanuel Macron's, Gabriel Attal, Mélenchon —, Hugo Chavez, he'd Organizations: France, La Rotonde, Front, NFP, France Unbowed, Socialist Party, French Communist Party, National Assembly, NATO Locations: La, La Rotonde Stalingrad, Paris, France, Europe
CNBC Daily Open: French far-right advance blocked
  + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Far-right advance thwartedFrance's left-wing New Popular Front coalition unexpectedly blocked a far-right advance in the parliamentary run-off vote, securing the largest number of seats but falling short of an absolute majority. Gox bankruptcy estate confirmed that repayments in bitcoin and bitcoin cash had commenced, likely fueling investor concerns of a massive sell-off. However, recent profit-taking and valuation concerns led to a pullback and a rare downgrade from a Wall Street analyst.
Persons: France's, Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs, Bitcoin, Emmanuel Papadakis Organizations: CNBC, Popular Front, Rassemblement, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Novo Nordisk, Novo Nordisk's Ozempic, Deutsche Bank, Harvard Medical, Nvidia, Wall Locations: Europe's, U.S, Gox, bitcoin, Novo
Francois Lo Presti | Afp | Getty ImagesFrench voters are heading to the polls on Sunday for the second and final round of voting in a snap parliamentary election. By offering voters a starker choice and fewer candidates, RN's opponents hope that the electorate will opt for the non-RN candidate. "For instance, former Prime Minister Edouard Philippe has said voters should vote neither for the RN nor candidates from the far-left France Unbowed (LFI) party. At the same time, current Prime Minister Gabriel Attal has called for everyone to vote against the RN." If the choice was between a far-left and far-right candidate, however, the picture was more nuanced, showing a split vote.
Persons: Francois Lo Presti, Emmanuel Macron's, Jordan Bardella, Antonio Barroso, Edouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, Ifop, Teneo's Barroso, Harris, Emmanuel Macron, Xi Jinping, Mohammed Badra, Macron, Teneo, Julien De Rosa Organizations: French, Afp, Getty, National Assembly, Front, NFP, Le, Palais des Sports, Nurphoto, Research, Harris Interactive, Reuters, Republicans, Macron's, Chinese Business Council, National Locations: Henin, Beaumont, France, Paris, Franco, Marigny, Garches
The newly-formed left-wing coalition, the New Popular Front (NFP), came second with 28%, while Macron’s Ensemble alliance trailed in a distant third with 21%. In the outgoing parliament, Macron’s alliance had only 250 seats, and so needed support from other parties to pass laws. In an attempt not to split the anti-far right vote, more than 200 candidates from Macron’s alliance and the NFP agreed to stand down in the second round. Whatever the result of Sunday’s vote, France seems set to endure a period of political chaos, with Macron unable to call another parliamentary election for at least a year. Jordan Bardella speaks at the RN headquarters in Paris after the first round of voting, June 30, 2024.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, , Jordan Bardella, Bardella, Gerald Darmanin, Sarah Meyssonnier, Macron, Jean, Luc Melenchon, Raphael Gluckmann, Gabriel Attal, Macron’s Organizations: CNN — Voters, Front, NFP, National Assembly, Macron’s, France Unbowed, Melenchon Locations: France, Vichy, Paris, Europe, Brussels, Ukraine
Even as vote counting was still underway across France on Sunday night, one thing was clear: The left-wing coalition called the New Popular Front did much better than expected and helped deny the far right a victory. Projections show the coalition coming out in front and gaining dozens of seats — a feat for an alliance that was forged only last month with the goal of keeping the far-right National Rally from power. The alliance includes four left-wing parties: Communists, Socialists, Greens and the far-left party, France Unbowed. While many in France cheered what appeared to be a loss for the far right, others were fearful of what the far left might bring. Last week, after the first vote in a two-round election, the coalition withdrew more than 130 of its candidates from three-way races in which the far right had a chance of winning — and pushed their supporters to vote strategically against far-right candidates.
Organizations: Communists, Socialists, Greens Locations: France
CNN —In a surprise second-round result, the left-wing New Popular Front is projected to finish ahead of Marine Le Pen’s far-right party in French parliamentary elections, according to an IPSOS estimate. Despite leading after the first round of votes, the far-right National Rally (RN) was projected to win between 132 and 152 seats. But Sunday’s projection comes as a huge upset and shows French voters’ overwhelming desire to keep the far right from gaining power. After the first round, an unprecedented number of seats – over 300 – went to a three-way runoff between Ensemble, the NFP and the RN. By Tuesday, more than 200 centrist and left-wing candidates withdrew from the second round, in a bid to avoid splitting the vote.
Persons: Le, , Emmanuel Macron’s, Cheers, Luc Mélenchon, France Unbowed, ” Mélenchon, Bois de Vincennes, Jordan Bardella, Macron Organizations: CNN, NFP, Socialists, National Assembly, Ensemble Locations: France, Vichy, Paris, Stalingrad, Bois de
PinnedThe left was set to surge in legislative elections in France on Sunday and the far right to come up short of expectations, according to early projections, as no party secured an absolute majority. The New Popular Front and Mr. Macron’s centrist bloc then withdrew candidates from more than 200 races to avoid dividing support. Their strategy appeared to have succeeded in denying the National Rally an absolute majority, according to the projections. “Today the National Rally made the biggest breakthrough in its history,” Mr. Bardella told supporters in Paris. “Unfortunately,” he added, “dangerous electoral deals” made by Mr. Macron’s allies and the left had “deprived” the country of a far-right government.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron’s, Jordan Bardella, ” Mr, Bardella, , Macron’s Organizations: jockeying, National Assembly, National, , Rally Locations: France, Paris
France faced a hung parliament and deep political uncertainty after the three main political groups of the left, center and right emerged from snap legislative elections on Sunday with large shares of the vote but nothing approaching an absolute majority. The preliminary results upended widespread predictions of a clear victory for the National Rally, Marine Le Pen’s anti-immigrant party that dominated the first round of voting a week ago. Instead, the left-wing New Popular Front won 178 seats. The centrist coalition of President Emmanuel Macron, who cast the country into turmoil a month ago by calling the election, was in second place with 150 seats. Trailing it was the National Rally and its allies, which took 142 seats.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron Organizations: National Rally, Popular Front Locations: France
France's Prime Minister Gabriel Attal gives a speech following the first results of the second round of France's legislative election at Matignon in Paris on July 7, 2024. French Prime Minister Gabriel Attal said he would submit his resignation on Monday, after early poll data showed his and French President Emmanuel Macron's centrist Ensemble party and its allies coming in second in the parliamentary runoff. Attal, who stepped in as France's youngest ever prime minister only in January, is unlikely to hold the country's second-highest position as part of the upcoming administration. Tonight, no absolute majority can be led by the extremes." In light of the run-off results, Attal set the scene for a period of transition for France's political landscape:"Ladies and gentlemen, this evening, a new era begins.
Persons: Gabriel Attal, Emmanuel Macron's, Attal, Jordan Bardella, Macron Organizations: France's, Popular, Republican, CNBC, Rassemblement National Locations: Matignon, Paris, France, Republic
The bloc brings together five different parties. Far-left France Unbowed and the Communist party has joined with the center-left parties, the socialists and the greens to form a New Popular Front. It’s equally hard to imagine how the current constellation would allow France to play an important role regarding Ukraine. The left has remained relatively quiet on Ukraine - different parties from the coalition have slightly different stances - France Unbowed is against what it calls “escalation” with Russia. Macron’s gamble may have prevented the far right from coming to power, but it could yet plunge the country into chaos.
Persons: CNN — “, Emmanuel Macron, France’s, Jordan Bardella, Macron, Le Pen, it’s Organizations: CNN, la Republique, NFP, France Unbowed, Communist, National Assembly Locations: la, Paris, France, Ukraine, Macron, Russia, Macron’s
By doing so, Macron hoped the voters would establish a stronger mandate in the lower house and strengthen his influence on the world stage. AdvertisementThe New York Times reported that Macron, without a majority in the lower house and relegated to political maneuvering, said his decision was inevitable. On June 30, the National Rally Party again dealt a huge blow to Macron's Renaissance party and its allies by securing 33% of votes in the first round of voting, which saw a high turnout. AdvertisementMacron's centrist coalition, the Ensemble, which includes the Renaissance party, came in second with a projected 148 seats, while the far-right National Rally came in third with 142 seats. Jean-Luc Mélenchon, leader of the left-wing alliance, called the results an "immense relief for a majority of people in our country," the AP reported.
Persons: , Emmanuel Macron's, Macron, Pen, Jean, Luc Mélenchon Organizations: Service, Rally, National, Marine, Renaissance, Business, National Assembly, New York Times, National Rally Party, Associated Press, Times, New, The Times, AP Locations: France, Nazi
A woman steps out of a polling booth prior to cast her vote in the first round of parliamentary elections in Le Touquet, northwestern France, on June 30, 2024. LONDON — France's left-wing New Popular Front coalition is set to unexpectedly win the most seats in the second round of the country's parliamentary election but fail to clinch an absolute majority, early data showed. By offering voters a starker choice and fewer candidates, RN's opponents hoped that the electorate would choose the non-RN candidate. The prime minister must leave," Jean-Luc Melenchon, leader of the France Unbowed party, said in a CNBC-translated social media update after the release of the early poll data. The final round of the election shows that voters, ultimately, have rejected Macron.
Persons: France's, France Unbowed, Ipsos, Emmanuel Macron's, , pollster Ipsos, Jean, Luc Melenchon, Macron, Melenchon, Macron's Organizations: LONDON, Popular Front, Socialists, CNBC, NFP, National Rally Locations: Le Touquet, France, Europe's
“Without an absolute majority, the government will be at the mercy of opposition parties banding together” to topple it, said Dominique Rousseau, an emeritus professor of public law at the Panthéon-Sorbonne University in Paris. It was not clear whether the centrists or the right-wing National Rally would be the second-largest bloc. When it wasn’t, Mr. Macron’s government came dangerously close to falling. This time, Mr. Macron’s options appear far more limited. Some analysts believe that Mr. Macron’s position will become so untenable he will have to resign, but he has said he won’t.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Dominique Rousseau, , Samy Benzina, Macron, Macron’s, Jean, Luc Mélenchon Organizations: Sorbonne University, National Assembly, University of Poitiers, French, Greens Locations: France, Paris
What a hung parliament in France could mean for markets
  + stars: | 2024-07-07 | by ( Matt Clinch | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Emmanuel Dunand | Afp | Getty ImagesInitial indications on Sunday evening for the French parliamentary run-off vote threw up some big surprises, leaving political commentators contemplating a "hung parliament" scenario that could prove challenging for both policymaking and financial markets. With none of the groups expected to hit the 289 seats needed for an absolute majority, gridlock could ensue over the coming weeks. The euro slipped about 0.3% against the U.S. dollar in thin trading on Sunday evening after the exit polls were released. "Regardless, uncertainty about the outlook for French policymaking is likely to be long-lasting," the analysts said. France is facing a challenging fiscal position, and the European Commission announced two weeks ago that it intended to place France under an Excessive Deficit Procedure due to its failure to keep its budget deficit within 3 percent of gross domestic product.
Persons: Emmanuel Dunand, France's, Emmanuel Macron's, policymaking, Jack Allen, Reynolds, Macron, David Roche Organizations: la Republique, Afp, Getty, Popular Front, Rassemblement National, U.S, Citi, Daiwa, European Commission, Capital Economics, Independent, National Rally Locations: France, la, Paris, Italy, Germany
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