DIRS.INFO The most relevant business & tech news

☆ American Battleground: The fight to the finish — and what lies beyond the 2024 campaign
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Tom Foreman | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +25 min

“Do you think Donald Trump is a fascist?” Anderson Cooper asked her in a CNN town hall just two days earlier. They are indeed the ‘enemy from within.’”Former President Donald Trump addresses the crowd during his campaign rally at New York’s Madison Square Garden on October 27. You’re a sh*t vice president.’”It’s crude, it’s rude, but for Trump’s campaign it is right on target. “We know what Donald Trump wants,” Harris says in DC just outside the vice presidential residence. As Trump’s 2020 campaign communications director Erin Perrine puts it, “Donald Trump is a political anomaly.

Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Read, Trump, Kamala Harris, ” Anderson Cooper, “, ” Harris, Rebecca Wright, John Kelly, Trump “, Defense James Mattis, John Bolton, Mark Esper, Bob Woodward, Staff Mark Milley, Republican Sen, Lindsey Graham, Mitch McConnell, Mike Johnson, ”, Harris, ” “, Tony Hinchcliffe, Puerto Rico, ’ ”, Anna Moneymaker, ” Trump, Ezra Klein, Maggie Haberman, He’s, Edward, Isaac Dovere, …, ” Demonizing Harris, Frank Luntz, CNN’s, Michael Duncan, you’ve, Erick Erickson, Arnold Palmer’s, ’, Jenny Kane, Jeff Zeleny, Gloria Borger, he’s, Russia’s Vladimir Putin, Kim Jong, “ She’s, Eva McKend, ” Zeleny, CNN’s Laura Coates, Biden, ” Coates, Julia Roberts, Eminem, Oprah, Beyonce, Michelle Obama, CNN’s Dovere, Barack Obama, Jonathan Drake, Reuters Trump, ” McKend, Erin Perrine, “ Donald Trump, Daniel Dale, Hurricane Helene, Mike Pence, “ Let’s, Let’s, Sinéad O’Connor, Hillary Clinton, We’ve, Norm Eisen, Eisen, – Trump, –, Stephanie Cutter, Evelyn Hockstein, Reuters Harris, Abraham Lincoln Organizations: CNN, Los Angeles Dodgers, New York Yankees, ABC, ”, Trump, Trump’s, New York Times, Defense, Joint Chiefs, Staff, Republican, Marxist, Madison, Democratic, Puerto Ricans, New, Garden, GOP, Fox, WIN, Political, Illegal Voters, The New York Times, ” CNN, Fox News, Reuters, Biden, Univision, Capitol, “, United States Capitol Locations: Delaware County , Pennsylvania, York City, Puerto, Mexico, Portland , Oregon, Pennsylvania, DC, Georgia, In Michigan, Detroit, Charlotte , North Carolina, Trump, Hurricane, Madison, Washington ,

☆ A Gen Z pop star kicked off Harris’ campaign. Puerto Rican musicians may bring her to the finish line
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Elizabeth Wagmeister | Priscilla Alvarez | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

Harris campaign officials had always planned for star-studded events in the homestretch of the presidential election. Harris pollster Matt Barreto, who focuses on Latino voters, argued that endorsements can help mobilize voters. Annie Mulligan/APBoth campaigns utilize the power of celebrityEver since Harris’ campaign kicked off with Charli XCX’s lime green stamp of approval, Hollywood’s influence has been in the spotlight. Both Harris and Trump swiftly pounced on the “Swiftie” fanbase, showcasing the pop superstar’s immense reach: The Harris campaign created Harris-Walz friendship bracelets inspired by the singer, while the Trump campaign released Eras Tour-inspired T-shirts. As Election Day nears, the Harris campaign is bringing in more A-listers to mobilize people to vote, including a long-anticipated appearance by Beyoncé last week.

Persons: CNN —, Nicky Jam, Donald Trump, ” Nicky Jam, Harris, Jennifer Lopez, Ricky Martin, Marc Anthony, Don Omar, “ Despacito, Luis Fonsi, Bunny, Lopez, Trump, –, Danielle Alvarez, Bunny –, Benito Antonio Martínez Ocasio –, Harris ’, “, ”, Bad Bunny, Harris pollster Matt Barreto, ” Barreto, Barreto, ” Beyoncé, Kamala Harris, Annie Mulligan, kamala, Charli, Chappell Roan, Taylor Swift’s, Walz, Beyoncé, Brett Favre, Phil McGraw, Elon Musk, Angela Weiss, Leonardo DiCaprio, Arnold Schwarzenegger, I’m, ” Schwarzenegger, Schwarzenegger, Jon Voight, Kelsey Grammer, Roseanne Barr, Jason Aldean, John Rich, Dennis Quaid, Zachary Levi, Mel Gibson, Mike Tyson, Harrison Butker, Buzz Aldrin, podcasters, Adin Ross, podcaster Joe Rogan Organizations: CNN, Las, Puerto Ricans, Trump’s New, Trump’s New York City, Puerto, Bad, Hollywood, Packers, Trump’s, Television, Madison, Getty, Republican, ”, Trump, Kansas City Chiefs Locations: Las Vegas, Trump’s New York, “ Puerto Rico, Puerto, Puerto Rican, Pennsylvania, Puerto Rico, Houston, Gen, Green Bay , Wisconsin, Trump’s, New York City, California, American, Hollywood

Groups in favor of the ballot measure are making a final push as early voting is underway, with hundreds of thousands of ballots already cast. While some states, like California and Vermont, passed abortion rights ballot measures by well over 60%, in other states, such as Michigan and Ohio, they passed by about 56%. Jeanette Nuñez, who opposes the ballot measure, accused the abortion rights ads of being deceptive. And one state agency that regulates health care providers, including abortion clinics, launched a website last month opposing the ballot measure. “But they don’t necessarily connect that there’s a six-week abortion ban.”

Persons: Chelsea Daniels, ” Daniels, Court's Dobbs, Octavio Jones, —, Roe, Wade, it’s, ”, Fernand Amandi, Ron DeSantis, ” Amandi, Gov, Jeanette Nuñez, Nuñez, they're, “, Lauren Brenzel, there’s, Alex Berrios Organizations: MIAMI, Getty, Democratic, Republican, Republican Florida Gov, of Health, NBC News, Physicians for Human Rights, Network, The Florida Department, State’s, Security, Department of Transportation Locations: Florida, Parenthood’s Miami, Orlando, Fla, California, Vermont, Michigan, Ohio, Miami

In fact, the state polls are showing not just an astonishingly tight race, but also an improbably tight race. Imagine if pollsters in this world conducted 100 identical surveys of 863 randomly selected voters (that’s the average sample size of this year’s swing state polls). Actual swing state polls show far less variation than the benchmarks we would expect in a perfect polling world. Visualizing how the reported polling margins compare to what we would expect in a perfect polling world strongly suggests “herding” of swing state polling margins around the statewide polling averages. The pattern is especially pronounced in Pennsylvania, where a huge share of the public polls have showed a tied race.

Persons: there’s, shouldn’t, Harris, Josh Clinton, pollsters, pollster Organizations: Trump, NBC, Pennsylvania Locations: Pennsylvania, Arizona , Michigan, Wisconsin

☆ Nate Silver: Don't trust the Trump swing in 2024 presidential election polls, betting markets data
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Eric Rosenbaum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Silver told Fortt that his current model shows the odds favoring Trump, who holds a 55% to 45% win probability advantage over Harris. Most people no longer even have the landline phones which past election cycle polling history relied on. Why the betting markets may be all 'vibe and chatter'The betting markets show a much bigger edge for Trump, with major wagers placed on Polymarket, Robinhood jumping into the action, and presidential election contracts surging in popularity. Critics have raised concerns that the election betting markets are potentially being manipulated. But Silver, who is a consultant to one of the leading prediction markets, Polymarket, says he wouldn't pay much attention to the betting markets data right now, as they simply may not be very accurate at this moment in the election cycle.

Persons: Nate Silver, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Silver, Trump, CNBC's, Jon Fortt, Fortt, Harris, Ken Griffin, Stanley Drunkenmiller, Critics Organizations: New York Times, CNBC Technology, CNBC, Trump, Trump Media Locations: New York City

You’ve probably heard a lot about the gender gap in presidential politics by now. And this most of all: In modern presidential politics, the gender gap has never been wider, but it gets particularly large when we break out gender by educational attainment. KerrY Bush Obama McCain Obama Romney Clinton Trump Biden Trump Harris Trump +40 Dem. KerrY Bush Obama McCain Obama Romney Clinton Trump Biden Trump Harris Trump +40 Dem. The story of this election could well be the gender gap between those Americans who went to college and those who didn’t.

Persons: You’ve, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Trump, KerrY Bush Obama McCain Obama Romney Clinton Trump Biden, KerrY Bush Obama McCain Obama Romney Clinton Trump Biden Trump Harris, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton’s, —, Trump’s, JD Vance, ”, Vance, Biden, Ronald Reagan, Reagan, Joe Rogan’s, Joe Rogan, Brené Brown, Wade, Joe Biden’s, Amanda Iovino, Glenn Youngkin’s Organizations: Trump, Harris, women, Pew, Mr, Pew Research, Facebook, Democratic, Pew Research Center, KerrY Bush Obama McCain Obama Romney Clinton Trump Biden Trump, KerrY Bush Obama McCain Obama Romney Clinton Trump Biden Trump Harris Trump, ., Election, Republicans, Republican Party, Democratic Party, America, Lake Research Partners, Democratic National Committee, WPA Intelligence, Republican, Republican National Convention, Democratic National Convention, YouTube Locations: American, New York, Roe

Ahead of Donald Trump’s Tuesday appearance in the heavily Latino city of Allentown, Pennsylvania, a comedian’s racist joke about Puerto Ricans at the former president’s Madison Square Garden rally drew fresh blowback. “However, the other five million who live in the United States, whom they also labeled as trash, can vote.”One of those five million Puerto Rican voters is Allentown resident Efraín Dávila. Hinchcliffe made his racist jokes in an election cycle in which Republicans have said they are messaging to Latinos as Americans. But the comedian at his rally attacked Puerto Ricans, who are American citizens at birth, not immigrants, said Mike Madrid, a Republican consultant who opposes Trump. Madrid added that it is more difficult to waive off the comedian’s racist jokes, because they did not come from Trump.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Kamala Harris, “ Trump, “, Efraín, Trump, he’s, MAGA, Bad Bunny, Oscar, Benicio Del, Puerto Rico, Hinchcliffe, Democratic pollster Carlos Odio, ” Odio, ” Rafaela Gomez, Gomez, she’s, ” Gomez, “ didn’t, ”, Biden, Harris, Mike Madrid, JLo, Marc Anthony, Geraldo Rivera, Trump “, Donald Trump, ” Frankie Miranda, Hurricane Maria, Miranda, Gardner Mojica, “ Hamilton, Lin Manuel, Nicole Acevedo, Suzanne Gamboa, George Solis Organizations: Puerto Ricans, Puerto Rico’s, El Nuevo Día, New, of America, Puerto Rican, Allentown, Efraín Dávila, NBC News, ” Puerto, Republicans, Trump, Americans, Democratic, Pennsylvania, Puerto, Hispanic, Arizona, Republican, Hispanic Federation, Hurricane Locations: Allentown , Pennsylvania, Madison, Puerto, El Nuevo, Puerto Rico, United States, ”, ” Puerto Rican, Benicio Del Toro, Puerto Rican, Drexel Hill , Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, Mexico, Madrid, ” Madrid, Hurricane, Allentown, Philadelphia, New York, San Antonio

Now, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump appear to be in a dead heat in Michigan, and it’s once again crucial for winning the presidency. For our latest Times Opinion focus group, we gathered a cross-section of Michigan voters to assess the race in the home stretch. The takeaway isn’t especially positive for Ms. Harris. Others thought Mr. Trump didn’t understand what it meant to struggle financially. Perhaps most worrisome for Ms. Harris, nine of our 11 participants thought she would pursue policies similar to Mr. Biden’s.

Persons: Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, it’s, Harris, Jill Stein, Trump, Biden’s, Muhammad, Biden, “, ” Muhammad Organizations: Democratic, Democrats, Green Party, Mr, Michigan Locations: Michigan, America, Israel, Trump

Trump’s Changing Messages on Abortion, in 660 Quotes Donald Trump has softened his rhetoric, contradicted himself and nearly dropped “pro-life” from his vocabulary. Trump’s Statements on Abortion Before and After Dobbs The way Donald Trump has talked about abortion changed after the Dobbs decision. Below, a comparison of the themes Mr. Trump mentioned most in his public statements, based on a Times analysis. Abortion is an important issue Times Trump said abortion is an important issue, by quarterAfter he was elected, Mr. Trump kept many of his promises to the anti-abortion movement. For much of this campaign, Mr. Trump declined to say whether he would veto a federal abortion ban.

Persons: Donald Trump, ”, Donald J, Trump, “ I’m, “, Dobbs, Jackson, Roe, Wade, ” Mr, Karoline Leavitt, Jason Rapert, Rapert, “ It’s, —, they’re, Lake, he’s, doesn’t, MAGA, Times Trump, Kamala Harris, they’ll, Melania Trump, “ We’re, Trump’s, ’, “ We're, Judge Scalia, Justice Scalia, We're, we've, ” Susan B, Anthony, They're, we'll Organizations: New York Times, Mr, Trump, National Association of Christian Lawmakers, Democratic, Republican, ”, Republican Party, Supreme, Times, Life, “, and Drug Administration, Justice Department, Breitbart, Federalist Society, Senate, U.S, ” Christian Broadcasting Network Locations: United States, Florida, Pensacola, Fla, “, Pa, Dubuque , Iowa, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Indiana

☆ Analysis: How a night of fighting words upended the election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Tom Foreman | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +22 min

“We’ve got to take a look at what I was left when I became president.” Biden rises to the challenge. Former President Donald Trump, left, and President Joe Biden take part in the CNN presidential debate on June 27. “I would say that there was a time period in which it felt like Donald Trump couldn’t lose,” she says. “Donald Trump knows how to turn every moment into victimhood,” pollster Frank Luntz notes on CNN. A crowd waits in the sun for Donald Trump to speak at an event in Butler, Pennsylvania, on July 13.

Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, “, Biden, Trump, Jake Tapper, Dana Bash, “ We’ve, ” Biden, Will Lanzoni, CNN’s Kristen Holmes, ”, He’s, Hunter, They’ve, ” Trump, smirking, Austin Steele, ” Holmes, ” CNN’s John King, Phil Mattingly, Michigan’s Gretchen Whitmer, J.B, Pritzker, Kentucky’s Andy Beshear –, ” Mattingly, gleeful, Ronald Reagan’s, David Chalian, Grover Cleveland, Republican hagiographers, Holmes, Donald Trump couldn’t, slanders, anyone’s, shrugged, “ He’s, nodded, didn’t, pollsters, Team Trump, “ Donald Trump, ” pollster Frank Luntz, ” Donald Trump, Tom Brenner, “ They’re, They’re, Pollsters, Lounging, Hillary Clinton, ” King, ‘, ’, Gene J, Let’s, “ I’m, Mike DiFrischia, CNN’s Erin Burnett, “ Joe Biden – You’re, Donna Hutz, Anna Moneymaker, MAGA, Corey Comperatore, Helen, David Dutch, James Copenhaver, Thomas Matthew Crooks, Crooks, John Miller, Franklin Graham, “ Trump, Kimberly Cheatle, Zach Cohen, Evan Vucci, chokeholds Organizations: CNN, ”, Trump, Biden, Democratic, gleeful Trump, Georgia Tech, GOP, Republican, White House, Republican Party, Capitol, Surveys, Team, New York Times, Team Trump, Pew Research, Electoral College, Republican National Convention, Secret, Marine, Bethel Park Skilled Nursing, Rehabilitation Center, Washington Post, Secret Service Locations: United States, Georgia, Trump, —, California, Michigan’s Gretchen Whitmer , Illinois, New York, Chesapeake , Virginia, Ukraine, Gaza, Mexico, Atlanta, Florida, Nevada , Arizona, Georgia , Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania, Butler , Pennsylvania, Ohio, USA, American, America

☆ Economic concerns are top of voters' minds, but Kamala Harris is choosing a different path for her closing argument
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-27 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Kamala Harris has stepped up her attacks on Donald Trump, echoing John Kelly's view that he's "a fascist." Harris and her allies have seized on former White House chief of staff John Kelly calling Donald Trump a "fascist." NEWThe Kamala Harris campaign has released a new ad featuring audio from General John Kelly’s interview with the New York Times. Addressing concerns that she's making the wrong closing argument, Harris told reporters on Friday that voters can process multiple things simultaneously. AdvertisementThose outside the Harris campaign say her approach is well-taken.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, John Kelly's, Harris, —, Joe Biden's, John Kelly, John Kelly’s, Trump, Yashar Ali 🐘, lanning, ike, et,, ernie S anders, ove, ruth S ocial, elly, ike P, hite Organizations: Trump, Service, White House, New York Times, itt, ust

And on Thursday, Harris delivered an unscheduled speech focused on former Trump chief of staff John Kelly confirming Trump praised Adolf Hitler’s generals. The Harris campaign argues that the plan will tip some final undecided voters — a chunk of which are disaffected Republicans or independents. The Harris campaign says it is also focused on understanding what messaging could impact the small number of undecided voters that remain in key battleground states. “The two most motivating messages for Democratic turnout are those around abortion and democracy.”Some Harris campaign officials echoed that argument. Still, some Democrats who have worked with Harris worry there is too much focus on Trump and not on Harris’ unique skills and vision.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Liz Cheney, John Kelly, Adolf Hitler’s, Harris ’, ”, Cornell Belcher, Democratic pollster, Obama’s, Ashley Etienne, ” Etienne, “, Donald, Harris wasn’t, Kelly, ” Harris, “ Trump, Roe, Wade, “ It’s, stewing, Barack Obama, Nikki Haley, —, Kelly’s, Hitler, ” Belcher, Pete Giangreco, Cheney, Harris pollster, she’s Organizations: WASHINGTON, Republican, Trump, Capitol, Democratic, CNN, Social Security, United Nations Locations: Houston, Georgia

Their memories are so short,” the man said, incredulous that any union member in Wisconsin is now backing Trump. Teamsters members who backed Harris carried out what’s considered by the campaign to be among the most persuasive of arguments: those made peer to peer. After the news broke that the national organization wouldn’t endorse Harris, however, local Teamsters groups, including many of the largest, swiftly backed Harris. Trump’s a scab!”The United Auto Workers union, which has a vast representation in the swing state of Michigan, has also put its weight behind Harris. It’s my tax money going to union workers,” Jones said.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Scott Walker’s, Donald Trump, “, Trump, ”, Harris, Tim Walz, Democratic Sen, Tammy Baldwin, what’s, Elon Musk, ” Josh Orton, Harris ’, Bill Carroll, Mandel Ngan, Sean O’Brien, Joe Biden, Karoline Leavitt, ” Leavitt, Leavitt, Jim Ridderbush, ” Ridderbush, didn’t, Shawn Fain, Biden, John A, Daniel Jones, “ That’s, ” Jones, “ Donald Trump, he’d, Scott Walker, Tesla, “ I’m Trump, ” Jacob Ralph, Lori Jensen, Sean O’Brien didn’t, Sean, “ I’ll Organizations: Teamsters, Republican Gov, Gov, Democratic, Trump, NBC News, Getty, International Brotherhood of Teamsters, United Food, Commercial Workers, “, United Auto Workers union, Biden, Neenah Locations: OSHKOSH, Wisconsin, Foxconn, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Madison, Wis, AFP, Green Bay, Oshkosh, Duluth , Minnesota, Superior , Wisconsin

— 42% of national registered voters pick Harris, while 40% choose Trump. Comparing Trump’s and Harris’ popularityIn addition, the CNBC poll shows Trump slightly more popular than Harris nationally, with Trump’s rating at 42% positive, 48% negative (-6 net rating), while Harris' stood at 39% positive, 49% negative (-10). But their ratings are almost identical in the battleground states — 44% positive, 49% negative for Trump (-5), compared with Harris’ 43% positive, 48% negative rating (-5). That 4-point edge for Republicans is identical in the combined battleground states, 48% for Republicans to 44% for Democrats. CNBC’s poll was conducted Oct. 15-19 of 1,000 registered voters, which has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

Persons: CNBC’s, Republican Donald Trump, Democrat Kamala Harris, Harris, ” Trump, Trump, Jay Campbell, Campbell, Micah Roberts Organizations: Republican, Democrat, Trump, America Economic Survey, NBC News, CNBC, Democratic, Hart Research Associates, Republicans Locations: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona , Georgia

☆ Kamala Harris isn't connecting to the persuadable voters, says pollster Frank Luntz
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailKamala Harris isn't connecting to the persuadable voters, says pollster Frank LuntzPollster and political strategist Frank Luntz joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss state of the 2024 election, VP Kamala Harris' town hall, whether undecided voters remain, and more.

Persons: Kamala Harris isn't, pollster Frank Luntz Pollster, Frank Luntz, Kamala Harris

☆ Presidential election is a dead heat though Trump leads Harris big on economy, says CNBC survey
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Steve Liesman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

In the seven battleground states, Trump leads 48% to 47%, within the 4% margin of error for that portion of the poll. The nationwide sample included 186 voters from the battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. An additional 400 voters were interviewed in those states for a total sample of 586 from battleground states. Trump holds commanding leads among voters who prioritize the inflation, the economy and addressing the needs of the middle class. Harris leads on a variety of second tier issues, areas of high concern that rate below the economy.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Jay Campbell, Harris Organizations: CNBC, America Economic Survey, Trump, Voters, Hart Research, Democratic Locations: Arizona , Georgia, Michigan, Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin

The “blue wall” states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania have paved the path to the White House for the last two Democratic presidents. Recent discussions have centered on the possibility of an anomaly happening this year with just part of the blue wall breaking its way. “We absolutely are competing to win Michigan,” Harris campaign spokeswoman Lauren Hitt said, noting Harris’ presence there this week. The blue wall states have been pivotal to elect presidents in the last several elections. “Those three, the blue wall states, almost always stay together, but this year it’s an extraordinarily tight race.

Persons: Kamala Harris ’, ”, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, —, “, ” Harris, Lauren Hitt, Mark Robinson’s, Josh Stein, Joe Biden, Biden, Dan Kanninen, Helene, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Harris ’, Michael Dukakis, Tad Devine, Devine, Elissa Slotkin, Dane County, Tim Walz, Obama, Bill Clinton, Matt Baretto, Republicans —, ” Baretto Organizations: White House, Democratic, Pennsylvania, White, Detroit News, Washington Post, Michigan, Trump, Republican, Republicans, Wisconsin, Biden, Democrats Locations: Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Nevada, Hurricane, Arizona , Nevada, Georgia, Nevada , Arizona, Arizona, Gaza, In Wisconsin, Dane, Milwaukee

☆ How Liz Cheney tried to give GOP women permission to vote for Harris
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

CNN —Republican women can vote for Kamala Harris — and they don’t need to tell anyone about it. Such voters need to be approached gently since she’s asking dissident Republican voters to shelve some of their most cherished political positions. Cheney’s appearances with Harris came as the vice president seeks to further widen a massive gender gap with the ex-president among women voters. A New York Times/Siena College poll this month showed Harris leading women voters by 56% to 40% over Trump. Trump’s struggles with women votersHarris’ events with Cheney raised the question of just how many Republican voters might be in reach for her.

Persons: Kamala Harris —, Liz Cheney’s, Donald Trump, Roe, Wade, aren’t, Harris, Cheney, ” Cheney, “, she’s, Haley The Harris, Bush, Reagan, Dick Cheney, Nikki Haley, Trump, I’m, ” Cheney –, –, – it’s, He’s, He’s overbearingly, ”, Haley “, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Arnold Palmer’s, ’, Kristen Soltis Anderson, Kasie Hunt, “ Dick Cheney, ” Trump Organizations: CNN, Republican, Democratic, Trump, GOP, South Carolina Gov, New York Times, Siena, White, South, White House, Republicans, Truth Locations: Waukesha County, Milwaukee, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Detroit, Wyoming, Chester County , Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Texas, Alabama, South Carolina, Arkansas, Iraq

☆ The electorate is changing. Here’s what that means for Trump and Harris
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +21 min

He also found that women will comprise nearly 52% of all eligible voters, which should help Harris. (North Carolina is the sole swing state where he found that they had increased as a portion of eligible voters since 2020.) The groups that Harris needs to give her winning margins are the non-White and college-educated White voters (especially women in each case). “I think Gen Z women, including White women, are very committed to an inclusive democracy,” she said. But this history clearly shows it is likely that the changes in the composition of the eligible electorate Frey has documented will closely track the shifts in the configuration of the actual electorate.

Persons: CNN —, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, demographer William Frey, Frey, Whites, Liz Cheney, Trump, Ronald Reagan, Reagan, Harris, Harris ’, Trump’s, don’t, ”, Manuel Pastor, Pastor, “, White, she’s, Joe Biden, Biden, Patrick Ruffini, Republican pollster, “ Trump, ” Ruffini, Gen, millennials, Melissa Deckman, ” Deckman, Michael McDonald, McDonald, Barack Obama, NORC, Catalist Organizations: CNN, GOP, White, Trump, Whites, Keystone State, Harris, Metro, Nevada . College, Equity Research, University of Southern, Republican, “ Party of, Religion Research Institute, College, University of Florida, Center for American Women, Rutgers University, Rutgers Center, Pew Research, Democratic, Pew, Edison Research Locations: Philadelphia, Detroit, Milwaukee, Arizona, Nevada, Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, In Michigan, In Pennsylvania, Arizona , Georgia, North Carolina . Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Arizona, University of Southern California, “, ’, ”, White, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Trump

☆ 7 key forces shaping the final days of the election: From the Politics Desk
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( The Politics Desk | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +6 min

No matter the poll, voters consistently say that the cost of living is their top concern, usually followed by threats to democracy, immigration and the economy in general. Female voters are backing Harris by 14 points, while Trump is winning men by 16 points, according to the latest NBC News poll. The October NBC News poll showed Harris leading Trump by 5 points, 45% to 40%, on who better represents change. Yet he isn’t all that impressed with Obama, the nation’s first Black president, nor Harris, who would be the second. “He’s only gaining support with Black men.”Democrats have been unnerved by recent polls that show Harris’ numbers sagging among Black voters, particularly young Black men.

Persons: Mark Murray, Peter Nicholas, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, they’ve, Joe Biden’s, Biden, that’s, Obama, Young, Peter Nicholas TUCSON, Charles Johnson, Johnson, Barack Obama, ” Johnson, “ He’s, Black, he’ll, podcasters, “, ”, Joel Benenson, pollster, ‘ You’ve, ’, Read, Peter → That’s Organizations: NBC, White House, Capitol, NBC News, Trump, Associated Press, Democratic, University of Arizona, Black, Obama Locations: Ariz, Tucson, Las Vegas

Yet he isn’t all that impressed with Obama, the nation’s first Black president, nor Harris, who would be the second. “He’s only gaining support with Black men.”Democrats have been unnerved by recent polls that show Harris’ numbers sagging among Black voters, particularly young Black men. At a pair of rallies in Tucson and Las Vegas in recent days, Obama drew thousands of cheering supporters, though the turnout among young Black men appeared sparse. He came to hear Obama speak and as he stood in line for the event on campus, he said he didn’t see Obama as a figure who would be especially influential with young Black men. Trump is a white 78-year-old, but he possesses a “charisma” that some younger Black men find appealing, he added.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Charles Johnson, Johnson, Barack Obama, Obama, Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, ” Johnson, “ He’s, Black, he’ll, podcasters, Ronald Reagan, Joe Biden, David Plouffe, “, ”, Joel Benenson, pollster, ‘ You’ve, ’, It’s, Henry Louis Gates Jr, he’s, Lauren Hitt, Miles Covington, hasn’t, didn’t, ” Covington, “ They’re, He’s, Stephen A . Smith, Obama isn’t, Biden, JB Pritzker, ” Pritzker, “ I’ve, Kalid Meky, Meky, Harris ’, ” “ Obama, “ I’m, Kamala Organizations: Democratic, University of Arizona, Black, Trump, Emerson College, Obama, Black Harvard University, White House, New York Times, Siena College, Harris —, Illinois Locations: TUCSON, Ariz, America, Tucson, Las Vegas, Pittsburgh, Harris, “, California, Central Park

With voters citing the economy and inflation, abortion, immigration and democracy as top issues in this election, the survey tested a series of policy proposals on those topics, offering clues about which policies could move voters. The survey did not identify which party or candidate is associated with the proposal. While economic policies could move voters toward a candidate, the survey also finds that election denialism could turn them off. Voters across swing groups, including suburban women, independents, moderates and seniors, say they are less likely to support a candidate who denies the election results. The NBC News poll of 1,000 registered voters, 898 of whom were reached by cellphone, was conducted Oct. 4-8.

Persons: Donald Trump, Roe, Wade, “, ”, Democratic pollster Aileen Cardona, Arroyo, —, Trump, MAGA, Kamala Harris, Harris Organizations: NBC News, Democratic, Hart Research Associates, Republican, MAGA Republicans, Trump, NBC

☆ We are 15 days from the 2024 presidential election. Here's where things stand.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-20 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

The presidential race remains razor close, with control of the White House at a coin-flip. AdvertisementIn just over two weeks, Election Day 2024 will be here — a final cap to a wild, at times unprecedented presidential fight that, for the moment, remains far too close to call. Noted election forecaster Nate Silver's model now shows Trump with an extremely slight lead in what continues to remain a toss-up race. Harris trolled Trump on Friday for being "exhausted," referencing a string of interviews he has reportedly walked away from. In the overwhelmingly conservative state, there's a swing district, the Omaha-based Nebraska 2nd.

Persons: —, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump's, pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson, iecuUVyJ5e, Kristen Soltis Anderson, Harris, Mark Robinson, Nate Silver's, Harris trolled Trump, Trump, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, She's, Mark Cuban, Liz Cheney, Obama, Bruce Springsteen, Clinton, Bon Jovi, He's, It's, Melania Trump, night's Al Smith, Mike Pence, cohosts, Nikki Haley, Elon Musk, Musk, Spencer Platt, Mary, there's, There's, Biden, Trump's, Warren Buffett's Organizations: Service, White, Labor, RCP, Trump, Gov, The New York Times, Democrats, GOP, Capitol, Fox, Tesla, PAC, Getty, Pennsylvania, North Carolina —, Democratic, Electoral, Nebraska, Nebraska Republicans Locations: North Carolina, Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Siena, Georgia, Des Moines , Iowa, Philadelphia, New York, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nebraska, Maine , Nebraska, Omaha, Minnesota , New Hampshire, New Mexico, Arizona

“The polls — public and private — are closer in this election than any I have ever seen,” said Dan Pfeiffer, a former aide to Barack Obama. Republican pollster Frank Luntz summed up the election with a single gif: A coin flip. The Trump era brought a return of uncertainty after most pollsters and prognosticators missed his 2016 victory, and 2024 is the narrowest polling election of all three of his runs. In 2020, the data correctly predicted Joe Biden’s victory, but Trump came much closer than many expected. “This race is remarkable for its closeness but also the insane stability of polls here in the closing weeks,” said Republican pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson.

Persons: James Carville, ”, “, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Dan Pfeiffer, Barack Obama, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, Tim Malloy, ” “ It’s, ” Nate Silver, Republican pollster Frank Luntz, Matt Gorman, “ It’s, Bush, Gore, Gorman, “ There’s, Hope, decamping, Ronald Reagan, Barack Obama’s, John McCain, Trump, prognosticators, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden’s, Monmouth University pollster Patrick Murray, ” Murray, Obama, underestimating Harris, gaffes, pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson, Harris, Carville Organizations: Democratic, NBC, Republican, Quinnipiac University, Supreme, Trump, Monmouth University, Electoral College Locations: Manhattan, Florida, Erie County, Pennsylvania

☆ Opinion | The 21 Slivers of America That Could Decide the Election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-18 | by ( Patrick Ruffini | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +7 min

Opinion Guest Essay The 21 Slivers of America That Could Decide the Election Sebastian Siadecki for The New York TimesIn almost every presidential battleground state, polling suggests something close to a dead heat between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. For Ms. Harris and Mr. Trump, each could be a crucial building block in a winning swing-state coalition. In 2016, with Mr. Trump in the race, these areas began to march to national trends: Rural areas trended Republican, while Milwaukee’s well-off, close-in suburbs zoomed left. Still, loyalties remain potent in Wisconsin, from Democratic-leaning, ancestrally Scandinavian voters in the state’s rural west to middle-class suburban Republicans outside Milwaukee. Mr. Trump lost Nash County by just 0.2 points in 2020 and Wilson County by three points.

Persons: Sebastian Siadecki, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump ., Harris, Trump, Nate Silver’s, Joe Biden, Badger State . Arizona Battlegrounds, Mark Kelly, Biden, Trump’s, Patrick Ruffini Organizations: The New York Times, Pennsylvania, Keystone, Philadelphia, Democratic, Milwaukee —, Washington, Mr, Republican, Republicans, Milwaukee, Badger State, Senate, Northampton, “ Party of, Populist Coalition Locations: America, Pennsylvania, Appalachia, Philadelphia, Philadelphia’s, . Wisconsin, Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Milwaukee — Waukesha, Ozaukee, Badger, Badger State . Arizona, Arizona, Phoenix, Florida and Texas, . North Carolina, North Carolina, Southern, Nash, Rocky, Wilson, Wilson County, Nash County, Northampton, Erie, Bethlehem, Georgia, Brown County, Green Bay, Outagamie County, Appleton, Winnebago County, Oshkosh, Maricopa County

Search resuls for: "Pollster"

25 mentions found