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As investors ponder how — and where — to invest in this uncertain climate, CNBC Pro asked market experts how they are positioning before the year-end. 'Capitalize on the shifting market dynamics' The fourth quarter is starting hot on the heels of central banks' rate easing cycle. "There is an interesting valuation point about U.K. equities, and given recent positive economic surprises that present potential upsides, we feel this is an attractive market." "International investors owning U.K. equities and not hedging the currency, either win on the currency strength gains or win on the equity market." Other markets Beyond the U.K., Hechler-Fayd'herbe sees potential in emerging markets such as Taiwan and South Korea.
Persons: Kevin Teng, Teng, , Europe —, he's, Morgan Stanley, Lombard, Nannette Organizations: Equity, CSI, Treasury, Wrise Private Singapore, CNBC Pro, U.S . Federal Reserve, People's Bank of China, Nvidia, Nasdaq, EMEA, CNBC, Bank of England, International Locations: Asia, East, Europe, Hong Kong, China, U.S, Swiss, Taiwan, South Korea
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina's latest policy measures are a good sign that the government is becoming 'less stubborn'Andy Rothman of Matthews Asia says the policy measures from the People's Bank of China and the Politburo are a small part of the process of restoring confidence and more are needed. He highlights that things will need time to change.
Persons: Andy Rothman, Matthews Asia Organizations: People's Bank of China
China's factory activity contracted for a fifth consecutive month in September as the world's second-largest economy struggles to revive its growth momentum. A PMI reading above 50 indicates expansion in activity, while a reading below that level points to contraction. However, China's Caixin PMI was 49.3, compared to 50.4 in August, according to the private survey compiled by S&P Global. The Caixin data released on Monday indicated that China's manufacturing sector experienced its sharpest contraction in 14 months in September, driven by declining demand and a weakening labor market. Headwinds for the manufacturing sector has continued to mount as a prolonged economic slowdown and property crisis dampen domestic demand.
Persons: Zhao Qinghe, Xi Jinping Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, PMI, Reuters, NBS, P Global, National Bureau, Statistics, People's Bank of China
Crypto stocks Coinbase slid 5% and MicroStrategy fell 2%. Bitcoin and crypto stocks retreated on the final trading day of September, following a rally last week, but are still poised to post a positive month. The combined net buying volume of U.S. bitcoin ETFs last week (16,774 BTC) exceeded a typical one-month supply of newly mined bitcoin (13,500), according to Bitwise-owned ETC Group. For the month, bitcoin is on pace to finish its strongest September ever with an 8% gain and its second positive September – historically the cryptocurrency's weakest month – in a row. The market is heading into a seasonally strong quarter for crypto and risk assets broadly.
Persons: cryptocurrency, Coinbase, MicroStrategy Organizations: Metrics, Analysts, BTC, People's Bank of China, U.S Locations: Coast, Gulf
AdvertisementUS financial firms' interest in China was on its last legs, but a new stimulus package has some investors excited again. The immediate impact of China's $114 billion package, which includes cutting interest rates and reducing the amount of money banks need to keep in reserve, has been big. Traders, investors, and speculators have sent China's stock market to its best month in nearly a decade , signaling that the market players think that Beijing's moves are a "bazooka." Our annual list of Wall Street rising stars is here. According to a new report from The Wall Street Journal, executives attempted to woo the AI researcher back before rescinding the offer.
Persons: , Andres Martinez Casares, Alyssa Powell, Linette Lopez isn't, Linette, Jon Hicks, that's, David Tepper, He's, Tepper, Pan Gongsheng, BI's Filip De Mott, Wall, Natalie Ammari, Crypto, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Marc Piasecki, Tyler Le, who's, OpenAI execs, Ilya Sutskever, it's, Tara Anand, aren't, Jerome Powell, Ryan Routh, El Chapo, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Grace Lett, Amanda Yen, Milan Sehmbi Organizations: Business, Service, Traders, Bank of China, bros, Trump, Getty, Houston Chronicle, Hearst Newspapers, Elon, Wall Street Journal, Netflix, Longshoremen's Association, National Association for Business Locations: China, New York, London, Chicago
China's aggressive stimulus measures have sparked a significant stock market rally. Still, traders, investors, and speculators have sent China's stock market to its best month in nearly a decade, signaling that the market players think that Beijing's moves are a "bazooka." The People's Bank of China's stock market stimulus was unusual. An active stock market and improved investor confidence will improve expectations for economic development," the media outlet wrote. Mainland China's stock markets will also be closed from Tuesday to Monday.
Persons: , Vishnu, Pan Gongsheng, Pan, Criss Wang, Data.TS, Varathan Organizations: Service, CSI, People's Bank, China Securities Journal, Chinese Communist Party, Hong Kong Stock Exchange Locations: China, Asia, Japan
As a result of that excitement, China ETFs are dominating the list of top performing funds in September, according to FactSet. The iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI) was up about 22% on the month, while the KraneSharesCSI China Internet ETF (KWEB) was up more than 32%. Other top performers include the Global X MSCI China Consumer Discretionary ETF (CHIQ) and the Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF (PGJ) , with September gains of roughly 32% and 30%, respectively. The MSCI China Index's total annualized return during that period is under 1%. The average here is a gain of +78% over 176 trading days vs. a decline of -42% over 165 trading days," the note continued.
Persons: Todd Sohn, David Tepper, there's Organizations: People's Bank of, CSI, China Internet, Dragon China Locations: People's Bank of China, China, U.S
Noel Celis | Afp | Getty ImagesShares of Chinese property developers rallied on Monday after major cities in mainland China unveiled easing measures to boost homebuyer sentiment, following the central bank's blitz of policy stimulus. The Guangzhou city government said in a notice on Sunday that all restrictions on home purchases would be removed, effective from Monday. China Overseas Land & Investment and China Vanke climbed 5.06% and 12.89%. Mainland China's CSI 300 surged 6% Monday, after the index logged its best week in almost 16 years on Friday. The easing measures follow the central government's call last week to combat the property slump last week.
Persons: Noel Celis, China Vanke, Allen Feng, Gary Ng, Ng, Xi Jinping Organizations: HK, Afp, Getty, Mainland Properties, Longfor Group Holdings, Hang Lung, China Resources, ., . China Overseas Land & Investment, China's CSI, CSI, People's Bank of Locations: Guangzhou, China's, Guangdong, China, Shanghai, Hong Kong, . China, , Beijing, People's Bank of China
China's bond traders are piling into the safe-haven asset despite recent stimulus efforts. The 30-year government bond yield hit its lowest level since 2005 last week and fell again Monday. AdvertisementWhile Chinese stocks have roared on Beijing's stimulus jolt, the country's bond market suggests there's lingering skepticism. But the bond market seemed less convinced, with the 30-year government bond yield falling the next day to close to its lowest level since 2005. Investors may be reacting to the widely held view that despite the size and scope of China's stimulus moves, they still might not be enough.
Persons: , Stocks, it's Organizations: Bank of America, Service, CSI, People's Bank of Locations: China, People's Bank of China, CNY1.85tn
Until the government's measures pan out, investment strategists are recommending a handful of oversold stocks in China. U.S. hedge fund billionaire David Tepper said Thursday on CNBC's " Squawk Box " that he bought more Chinese stocks after the change in China policy. That hedge fund allocation rose to 7.3% on Tuesday, which saw the largest single day purchases by hedge funds since March 2021, Rubner said. Retail investors account for the majority of trading activity in mainland Chinese stocks, also known as A shares. Mainland Chinese stock exchanges are scheduled to close from Oct. 1 to Oct. 7 for a holiday, which this year commemorates the 75th anniversary of the People's Republic of China.
Persons: Wendy Liu, Rupal Agarwal, Bernstein, David Tepper, Donald Trump, Tepper, Pan Gongsheng, Xi Jinping, Scott Rubner, Goldman Sachs, Rubner, Goldman, China hasn't, Li Dongfang, Li, financials, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CSI, JPMorgan, Tal Education, Huawei, People's Bank of China, CNBC, HK Locations: Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, Tsingtao, U.S, Zhejiang, Asia, Hong Kong, Beijing, Mainland, People's Republic of China
The central bank of the People's Republic of China is responsible for formulating and implementing monetary policies, preventing and defusing financial risks and maintaining financial stability. The People's Bank of China on Sunday told commercial banks to start lowering interest rates on all existing housing loans, in a sweeping move to help lighten the mortgage burden on households hit by a slowing economy. All commercial banks must, in batches, reduce interest rates on existing mortgages by Oct. 31 to no less than 30 basis points below the PBOC's Loan Prime Rate, the central bank's benchmark rate for mortgages, according to a statement released by the PBOC.
Organizations: People's Bank of China, Sunday, PBOC's Locations: People's Republic of China
Homebuyers can also now put less money down on their purchases — an attempt to breathe life into China's moribund property market. Since the pandemic, China's leader, Xi Jinping, has done little to stop the bleeding in the country's property market or to get China's ailing consumers to start spending money again. Xi's Beijing lacks the will and the power to turn China's economy around. At the heart of its problems is a lack of consumer demand and a property market going through a deep, slow-moving correction. Plus, there's Xi, who seems fairly uninterested in restructuring the property market.
Persons: Gongsheng, Wall, Xi Jinping, China —, Goldman Sachs, , Sam Altman, Genéralé, Michael Pettis, Xi doesn't, Friedrich Hayek, Xi Organizations: Beijing, People's Bank of China, People's Bank, Shanghai, Chinese Communist Party, Nasdaq, CCP, Peking University, Carnegie Endowment, European Union Locations: China's, China, Beijing, Austrian
The e-commerce giant's shares in Hong Kong are around 18% higher this week. Chinese tech stocks, including beaten-down names like Alibaba, rallied this week, hitting highs not seen in more than a year after China's central bank announced measures to stimulate the world's second-largest economy. Prior to the cuts, investors had been cautious on Chinese tech stocks like Alibaba and Meituan which are sensitive to the economy and consumer in China. However, big-name investor have started to strike a bullish tone on Chinese stocks. Despite the latest upswing, Chinese tech stocks remain significantly off their all-time highs hit in 2021.
Persons: Alibaba, David Tepper, Evelyn Cheng Organizations: Hong, Hang Seng Tech, Hong Kong, People's Bank of, Billionaire, CNBC, U.S . Federal Reserve, Baidu Locations: U.S, Hong Kong, People's Bank of China, China
China's industrial profits plunged by 17.8% in August from a year ago, the National Bureau of Statistics said Friday. Industrial profits covers factories, mines and utilities in China. Sluggish domestic demand, a prolonged housing downturn and rising unemployment have weighed on the world's second largest economy. In August, China's industrial activity, retail sales and urban investment all grew slower than expected, with retail sales rising by barely more than 2% and industrial production by 4.5% from a year ago. The urban unemployment rate was 5.3% in August, an uptick from 5.2% in the previous month.
Persons: China's, Xi Jinping, Pan Gongsheng Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, People's Bank of China Locations: China's, Jiangsu, China, Beijing
Barclays has identified a handful of European stocks poised to benefit from China's anticipated economic stimulus measures. Mainland Chinese stocks jumped on the news. The investment bank suggested that China's current economic climate resembles April 2024, when Chinese and China-exposed stocks experienced a significant rally. According to Barclays, U.K.-headquartered insurer Prudential , cosmetics giant L'Oreal , carmakers BMW and Mercedes , and miner Rio Tinto are among the top European stocks that could benefit from China's stimulus efforts. China's recent economic challenges have been evident, with the country experiencing its longest period of deflation since 1999.
Persons: Anshul Gupta, Larry Hu, Hu, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Evelyn Cheng Organizations: Barclays, People's Bank of China, Prudential, L'Oreal, carmakers BMW, Mercedes, Rio Tinto, U.S, Prudential plc, Macquarie Locations: China, Rio, China's
China cuts banks' reserve ratio as economic growth sputters
  + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) building in Beijing, China, on Tuesday, April 18, 2023. Source: BloombergChina's central bank said on Friday it would cut the amount of cash that banks must hold as reserves by 50 basis points, the second reduction this year aimed at bolstering faltering economic growth. The People's Bank of China said it would cut the reserve requirement ratio for all banks, except those that have implemented a 5% reserve ratio. "The PBOC has adhered to a supportive monetary policy stance, increased the intensity of monetary policy regulation and control, and improved the precision of monetary policy regulation and control, so as to create a favourable monetary and financial environment for China's stable economic growth," its statement said. But analysts have noted businesses and consumers have little appetite to take on fresh debt given the uncertain economic outlook.
Persons: Pan Gongsheng, Pan Organizations: People's Bank of China, Bloomberg, PBOC, People's Bank of Locations: Beijing, China, People's Bank of China
Crimson clouds light up the skyline of Victoria Harbour on July 14, 2022 in Hong Kong, China. Asia-Pacific markets mostly rose Friday, with Chinese stocks likely set to cap off a week of gains on the back of Beijing's stimulus measures aimed at boosting the economy. The bank added that the weighted average deposit reserve ratio of financial institutions will be about 6.6% after this reduction. Tokyo's headline inflation rate eased to 2.2%, down from August's 2.6%. The core inflation rate — which strips out prices of fresh food — in the capital city came in at 2%, in line with expectations from economists polled by Reuters and down from 2.4% in August.
Organizations: People's Bank of China, Reuters Locations: Victoria Harbour, Hong Kong, China, Asia, Pacific, Tokyo, August's
LONDON — European markets headed for a higher open on Friday as investors weighed the outlook for the economy and looked to fresh data. European stocks had climbed Thursday, with the pan-European Stoxx 600 closing 1.25% higher after being boosted by gains in Asia-Pacific markets. Those widely continued their climb on Friday, still buoyed by China's announcement of stimulus measures earlier in the week. Economists are expecting headline PCE to have risen 2.3% on an annual basis and 0.1% from the previous month. Back in Europe, preliminary inflation data for September is expected out of France, and the latest German unemployment data is also due.
Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: CAC, MIB, LONDON, People's Bank of, PCE Locations: Asia, Pacific, People's Bank of China, U.S, Europe, France
China optimism is surging. Why some investors are cautious
  + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
A shareholder at a securities hall in Hangzhou, the capital of Zhejiang province in east China, on Sept. 24, 2024. "Markets should place more emphasis on the specifics of the stimulus," Lu said. The People's Bank of China this week cut major interest rates, and announced plans to lower rates for existing mortgage holders. Questions about scaleFor some investment institutions, that's still not enough to move the needle on their China outlook. A survey in September of more than 1,200 companies in China by the U.S.-based China Beige Book found that corporate borrowing declined, despite historic lows in the costs to do so.
Persons: Xi Jinping, Ting Lu, Lu, Nomura's Lu, that's, Paul Christopher, Christopher, Shehzad Qazi, Qazi Organizations: Getty, BEIJING, Shanghai, Nomura, People's Bank of, Finance, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, U.S Locations: Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China, Beijing, People's Bank of China, Wells Fargo, U.S . Federal, U.S
CNBC Daily Open: More all-time highs? Yes please
  + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Why are Treasury yields rising? Treasury yields tend to move in tandem with interest rates. When the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates last week, it's not unreasonable to expect Treasury yields to dip.
Persons: Hong, it's, they've, Jeff Cox, Sam Altman, Bret Taylor, Sarah Friar, OpenAI's, Ishiba, Shigeru Ishiba, Sanae Takaichi Organizations: CNBC, Major, CSI, Treasury, U.S . Federal Reserve, Altman, PM, Liberal Democratic, Bank of, People's Bank of China, Barclays Locations: Major U.S, Asia, Pacific
Massive stimulus from central banks in the U.S., China and elsewhere is driving bubble-like stock returns and could head off a global recession, according to Bank of America. "It's the bubble dream," BofA chief investment strategist Michael Hartnett wrote in his weekly "Flow Show" breakdown of where investors are putting their money. "Fed slashing, oil crashing, China inflating ... and if this China stimulus don't work then geopolitical risks [are] going to soar." But while some indicators do point to a slowing in global growth, the abundant forecasts for recession have eased. "Fed cutting into recession is negative for risk assets, but Fed cutting with no recession is positive and investors firmly of view Fed + China is sufficient policy easing to short-circuit recession risk," Hartnett wrote.
Persons: Michael Hartnett, Hartnett Organizations: Bank of America, Federal Reserve, People's Bank of China, Investors Locations: U.S, China
China's stock markets surged this week, marking the best weekly performance since late 2008. AdvertisementChina's stock markets closed sharply higher Friday, notching their best week in 16 years as investors joined the rally party. The stock market party overwhelmed tech systemsThe stock market party got too hot to handle. AdvertisementFurthermore, the US Federal Reserve has started cutting interest rates, which has historically benefited Chinese markets, they added. So even if Beijing's stimulus isn't enough for China's economy, a liquidity or leverage-driven market rally could still be "very powerful," they wrote.
Persons: , Vishnu Varathan, Hong, Hao Hong, Pan Gongsheng, Data.TS, Freya Beamish, Rory Green Organizations: Service, Grow Investment, Shanghai Stock Exchange, of America, Bank of America, US Federal Reserve, People's Bank of China Locations: China, Beijing, Asia, Japan, Shanghai, India
David Tepper is growing even more bullish on Chinese stocks amid the nation's new fiscal stimulus measures. Tepper views China's stock market as more attractive than the US stock market due to valuation differences. AdvertisementIt's a buy "everything" moment for Chinese stocks after the country launched a fiscal stimulus bazooka this week, according to billionaire investor David Tepper. But Tepper believes Chinese stocks have plenty of room to run higher, even after the recent surges. On US markets, Tepper said he is not following his buy "everything" mantra with Chinese stocks and is being more selective in buying US stocks.
Persons: David Tepper, Tepper, , Pan Gongsheng, Donald Trump, he's Organizations: Service, CNBC, Fed, Federal, People's Bank of China, PDD Holdings, Tencent Holdings, Management, Wynn Resorts, Vegas Sands, Baidu, China Internet Locations: China, Vegas
The Chinese central bank unrolled the most significant stimulus program since the COVID-19 pandemic and Chinese equities are starting to show signs that the long history of underperformance relative to western equities could possibly be on borrowed time. The name that has already demonstrated leadership that we want to focus on should this move into Chinese names continues is Tencent Holdings (TCEHY) . Before we get further into the company specifics it's important to reiterate that Chinese equities have under-performed U.S. equities since 2007. The goal of the program according to Chinese officials is to return the economy to a 5% growth rate. Turning to the focus company Tencent Holdings (TCHEY) is a multinational technology conglomerate listed on the Hong Kong exchange since 2004.
Persons: TCHEY, Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Tencent Holdings, People's Bank of China, Hong, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: China, Hong Kong
AdvertisementLorraine Tan, Morningstar's director of equity research for Asia, also thinks monetary stimulus won't be sufficient. History says their skepticism is warranted, as China's past stimulus efforts have often failed to lead to sustainable gains. Even if this surge holds up, it won't necessarily spark a self-fulfilling prophecy that provides a lasting boost for China's economy. But others like Tan from Morningstar believe this bad news is reflected in Chinese stocks' cheap valuations. The team at UBS Global Wealth Management is also cautiously optimistic about Chinese stocks after this news.
Persons: , they're, Betty Wang, Marcelli, Lorraine Tan, Tan, Brian Mulberry, Mulberry, Wang, China isn't, Jeff Kleintop, Charles Schwab, Donald Trump, Rory Green, Xi Jinping, Biden, Trump, That's, Kleintop, Morningstar, she'd Organizations: Service, Business, People's Bank of, Oxford Economics, UBS Global Wealth Management, Zacks Investment Management, Federal Reserve, BI Locations: China, People's Bank of China, Asia, Central, Republic
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