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How 31 Presidential Budgets Compared With RealityYear of budget 1994 Deficits Budgets Reality Spending Taxes and other revenueYou have probably heard of the main reason for this: The president’s budget has no force of law. But the president’s budget is often not predictive for another reason: Unexpected, cataclysmic events end up changing the trajectory of federal spending far more than shifts in any line item in a budget table. Bill ClintonDeficits Budgets Reality Spending Taxes and other revenueMr. Clinton’s budgets matched actual spending and revenue far more than those of the presidents who followed him. Another was the Budget Control Act, a bipartisan bill that reduced federal spending across the government that Mr. Obama had not proposed. And as we’re often reminded during budget season, budgets are also important because they tell you about a president’s goals and values.
Chart showing the percentage cut the committee would make to each area of government spending to balance the budget over 10 years. 8 8 8 Deficit 6 6 6 4 4 4 Spending Spending Spending Revenue Revenue Revenue 2 2 2 2023 2033 2023 2033 2023 2033 Current projections Deficits are projected to grow to $2.7 trillion by 2033. 8 8 8 Deficit 6 6 6 4 4 4 Spending Spending Spending Revenue Revenue Revenue 2 2 2 2023 2033 2023 2033 2023 2033 Eliminate by increasing taxes Current projections Eliminate by cutting spending Deficits are projected to grow to $2.7 trillion by 2033. plan to balance budget 50% Projections 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Current trajectory 200% of G.D.P. plan to balance budget 50% Projections 1930 1960 1990 2020 2050 Sources: Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget; Congressional Budget Office; Republican Study Committee Note: Both plans were released in 2022 and are based on outdated baseline projections; their debt reduction may differ modestly.
Several Republicans have cast their votes for Representative Byron Donalds of Florida. The only way Mr. McCarthy could still win on this ballot is if several members decide not to vote or if he gains Democratic support. Mr. McCarthy could win the speakership with fewer than 218 votes by persuading lawmakers who do not want to support him to instead vote “present” or to not vote at all. During the second vote, those same 19 opposed him but rallied around Representative Jim Jordan of Ohio, a founding member of the ultraconservative House Freedom Caucus. How Every Representative Voted
To capture this moment of adaptation, we contacted 200 New York Times readers who had sent us photographs of their pandemic lives at the end of 2020 and asked them to share a new photo reflecting what normal means two years later. Nearly the same share, 42 percent, said the pandemic had changed their lives in lasting and significant ways. Just 12 percent said the pandemic never changed much: “I didn’t give up anything,” one respondent said. What is one thing about your life that the pandemic has changed in a lasting way? Together, the photos collected below capture a kind of then-and-now of pandemic times, when many are still figuring out what comes next.
Hassan did betterthan Biden democrats have won control Arizona › Mark Kelly (D) wins D+5.7 D+0.3 +5.4 pts. Kelly did betterthan Biden democrats have won control Pennsylvania › John Fetterman (D) wins D+4.4 D+1.2 +3.2 pts. Warnock did betterthan Biden democrats have won control Nevada › Catherine Cortez Masto (D) wins D+0.7 D+2.4 +1.7 pts. Welch did betterthan Biden democrats have won control Maryland › Chris Van Hollen (D) wins D+26.4 D+33.4 +7.0 pts. Rep. Van Hollen did worsethan Biden democrats have won control Connecticut › Richard Blumenthal (D) wins D+14.9 D+20.1 +5.2 pts.
We’re tracking the remaining uncalled House races — and showing when they are called — as states continue to count the outstanding votes from the midterm elections. The tallies below are based on the reported vote so far, and the margin in many races will continue to change as more ballots are counted in the coming days.
Live forecast: Estimating the outcomeThis is our current best estimate for the outcome of this race. We look at the votes that have been reported so far and adjust our estimate based on what we expect from the votes that remain. See the full forecast ›
Live forecast: Estimating the outcomeThis is our current best estimate for the outcome of this race. We look at the votes that have been reported so far and adjust our estimate based on what we expect from the votes that remain. See the full forecast ›
Live forecast: Estimating the outcomeThis is our current best estimate for the outcome of this race. We look at the votes that have been reported so far and adjust our estimate based on what we expect from the votes that remain. See the full forecast ›
Live forecast: Estimating the outcomeThis is our current best estimate for the outcome of this race. We look at the votes that have been reported so far and adjust our estimate based on what we expect from the votes that remain. See the full forecast ›
Live forecast: Estimating the outcomeThis is our current best estimate for the outcome of this race. We look at the votes that have been reported so far and adjust our estimate based on what we expect from the votes that remain. See the full forecast ›
Nevada Governor Election Results
  + stars: | 2022-11-08 | by ( Nate Cohn | Lazaro Gamio | Alicia Parlapiano | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: 1 min
Officials did not make predictions for the pace of reporting. (In 2020, it took three days for 90 percent of the vote to be reported.) The state conducts a predominantly mail-ballot election, and ballots postmarked by Election Day have four days to arrive.
Live forecast: Estimating the outcomeThis is our current best estimate for the outcome of this race. We look at the votes that have been reported so far and adjust our estimate based on what we expect from the votes that remain. See the full forecast ›
Texas Governor Election Results
  + stars: | 2022-11-08 | by ( Nate Cohn | Lazaro Gamio | Alicia Parlapiano | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: 1 min
How votes compare with 2020The map below shows how votes cast in this race compare with votes cast in the 2020 presidential election in the same area. Only counties that have reported almost all of their votes are shown.
Officials may not begin processing mail ballots until Election Day, and officials have said that vote counting may take until the morning after the election or later that day. Early returns could give a misleading impression of a large Republican advantage before all mail ballots are counted. Learn more about the timing of results ›
Arizona Governor Election Results
  + stars: | 2022-11-08 | by ( Lazaro Gamio | Alicia Parlapiano | Maggie Astor | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: 1 min
Most people are expected to vote early — by mail, in-person or by drop box. Those ballots require the verification of voters’ signatures, and officials say the timing of results will depend on how many people return their ballots at the last minute on Election Day. No results are released until 10 p.m. Eastern. Learn more about the timing of results ›
Counting could be faster than in 2020, when 68 percent of votes were reported by midnight Eastern and 77 percent were reported by noon on Wednesday. Officials are now allowed to begin processing mail ballots before Election Day; in 2020, mail ballots could not be opened or counted until after the election. Learn more about the timing of results ›
Live forecast: Estimating the outcomeThis is our current best estimate for the outcome of this race. We look at the votes that have been reported so far and adjust our estimate based on what we expect from the votes that remain. See the full forecast ›
Live forecast: Estimating the outcomeThis is our current best estimate for the outcome of this race. We look at the votes that have been reported so far and adjust our estimate based on what we expect from the votes that remain. See the full forecast ›
While officials said it could take awhile for counties to begin uploading results after the polls close, they did not make predictions for the pace of reporting. (In 2020, it took three days for 90 percent of the vote to be reported.) The state conducts a predominantly mail-ballot election, and ballots postmarked by Election Day have four days to arrive. Learn more about the timing of results ›
Counting could be faster than in 2020, when 68 percent of votes were reported by midnight Eastern and 77 percent were reported by noon on Wednesday. Officials are now allowed to begin processing mail ballots before Election Day; in 2020, mail ballots could not be opened or counted until after the election. Learn more about the timing of results ›
Officials are not permitted to begin processing mail ballots before Election Day, and the state’s top election official said it would most likely take several days for full unofficial results to be available. Early returns could give a misleading impression of a large Republican advantage before all mail ballots are counted. Learn more about the timing of results ›
Live forecast: Estimating the outcomeThis is our current best estimate for the outcome of this race. We look at the votes that have been reported so far and adjust our estimate based on what we expect from the votes that remain. See the full forecast ›
Tracking the most competitive statesEach party needs to win a share of the most competitive races for Senate control. The win targets below are based on what each party needs for control after accounting for the races the parties are expected to win most easily. Alaska is expected to be won by one of the two Republicans leading the vote count in that state.
Tracking the most competitive districtsEach party needs to win a share of the most competitive districts for House control. The win targets below are based on what each party needs for control after accounting for the races the parties are expected to win most easily. There is one race in a district rated competitive prior to the election that has not yet been called.
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