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The major stock benchmarks rallied Friday but were lower last week, with the Nasdaq leading the way lower after reaching new highs. Eight other Club names reported earnings last week, including Eli Lilly and Eaton. Despite indications from Big Tech that Nvidia's AI chips will remain in hot demand, the Club stock fell 4.3% for the week. The S & P 500 , which is less tech-weighted, fell nearly 1.4% for the week, making it back-to-back weekly losses for the broader market index. Earnings After analyzing earnings reports from 14 of our portfolio companies last week, there is only one Club name on the docket this week.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Eaton, Jim Cramer, financials Goldman Sachs, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, That's, Jerome Powell, We're, we'll, Archer, Johnson, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Brendan McDermid Organizations: Nasdaq, Devices, Apple, Microsoft, Big Tech, Club, Nvidia, Dow, Intel, AMD, Dow Jones, Visa, American Express, JPMorgan, Bond, Federal Reserve, Boeing, Treasury, White, DuPont, Election, Protection, Electronics, Industrial, Constellation Energy, Marriott, Century Fox, Wynn Resorts, WYNN, Goodyear Tire, Cirrus, Diamondback Energy, Daniels, Midland, Apollo Global Management, Ferrari, Restaurant Brands, Emerson Electric, Devon Energy, Novo Nordisk, CVS Health, Howmet Aerospace, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries, Cedar Fair Entertainment, Toyota, American Electric Power Company, Johnson Controls, Dine Brands, Holdings, AMC Entertainment, Qualcomm, Coty, COTY, Energy, Barrick, Halliburton, HAL, Hershey, Air Products & Chemicals, Warner Bros ., Arista Networks, Rivian Automotive, Trade, Icahn Enterprises, Sony, SONY, Paramount, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange Locations: BlackRock, Florida, China, Sluggishness, Cleveland, New York City, U.S
Treasury yields rise as investors look to key jobs data
  + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by over one basis point to 4.2947%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last trading at 4.1806% after rising by more than one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Friday as investors awaited the all-important October jobs report and digested key economic data released throughout the week. Investors weighed a series of key economic reports published throughout the week, including Thursday's personal consumption expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge. It is also some of the last key economic data before the U.S. election next week.
Persons: Dow Jones, nonfarm payrolls, payrolls Organizations: Treasury, Federal, PCE, Fed, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Inflation increased slightly in September and moved closer to the Federal Reserve’s target, according to a Commerce Department report Thursday. The personal consumption expenditures price index showed a seasonally adjusted 0.2% increase for the month, with the 12-month inflation rate at 2.1%, both in line with Dow Jones estimates. Fed officials target inflation at a 2% annual rate, a level it has not achieved since February 2021. The annual rate was 0.1 percentage point higher than forecast but the same as in August. Consumer spending rose 0.5%, topping the outlook by 0.1 percentage point.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Commerce Department, Fed, Energy, Labor Department, of Labor Statistics
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFiscal policy sanity is the big issue of our future, says North Island's Glenn HutchinsGlenn Hutchins, North Island chairman, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the September PCE inflation data, state of the economy, the Fed's inflation fight, 2024 election, and more.
Persons: Glenn Hutchins Glenn Hutchins Locations: Island
CNN —Inflation has slowed further and is just a hair’s breadth from the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, which is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, showed prices rose 2.1% for the year ended in September, a slowdown from 2.3% in August, according to Commerce Department data released Thursday. The annual increase, which marks a fresh three-and-a-half-year low, fell right in line with what economists were expecting, according to FactSet consensus estimates. However, falling gas prices helped to keep the lid on any gains. Many states are seeing gas prices below $3 a gallon, a trend that’s expected to continue in the coming weeks as global supply eclipses demand.
Persons: ” Olu Sonola Organizations: CNN, Inflation, Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, Fitch
Key Fed inflation rate hits 2.1% in September, as expected
  + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Inflation increased slightly in September and moved closer to the Federal Reserve's target, according to a Commerce Department report Thursday. The personal consumption expenditures price index showed a seasonally adjusted 0.2% increase for the month, with the 12-month inflation rate at 2.1%, both in line with Dow Jones estimates. Fed officials target inflation at a 2% annual rate, a level it has not achieved since February 2021. The annual rate was 0.1 percentage point higher than forecast but the same as in August. In September, the Fed slashed the rate by a half percentage point, a move virtually unprecedented during an economic expansion.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Commerce Department, Fed, Energy, Labor Department, of Labor Statistics
One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. The 10-year Treasury yield was less than one basis point higher at 4.27%. The 2-year Treasury note yield added one basis point to 4.16%. U.S. Treasury bond yields rose as traders reviewed the gross domestic product reading for the third quarter and looked ahead to key inflation data out later in the session. A report on weekly jobless claims and the third-quarter reading on the employment cost index are also scheduled for release on Thursday.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal, Traders, Fed Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhat Today's Inflation Data Will Mean for Next Week's Fed MeetingPGIM Fixed Income chief U.S. economist Tom Porcelli discusses what will be most important for the markets and Fed to look for in today's PCE report.
Persons: Tom Porcelli Locations: today's PCE
An executive at Palo Alto Networks also posted about it on LinkedIn , without mentioning the dollar amount and duration. These headlines could be helping support shares of Palo Alto in Thursday's down market. Palo Alto did not respond to CNBC's request for comment on the licensing agreement. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, nonfarm, Morgan Stanley, Palo, Nikesh Arora, , Missouri —, we're, Jeff Marks, Abbott, we'll, payrolls, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Microsoft, Meta, Boeing, Reserve, Palo Alto Networks, Department of Defense, Palo, Abbott Labs, NEC, Judicial, Apple, Coterra Energy, Intel, . Steel, Juniper Networks, Chevron, Exxon Mobil, LyondellBasell, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: U.S, Palo Alto, Thursday's, Missouri
Safe-haven gold on track for best month in seven
  + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold Bullion from the American Precious Metals Exchange seen in this picture taken in New York on Sept. 15, 2011. Gold prices climbed to a record high on Thursday and were headed for their best month in seven on safe-haven demand ahead of the U.S. presidential election, while investors awaited U.S. inflation report for clues on the interest rate path. Spot gold was steady at $2,786.89 per ounce, as of 0254 GMT, after hitting a record high of $2,790.15 earlier in the session. "Traders want to buy gold whether it rises or falls, and that has kept retracements small and consolidations tight. All three metals were on track for a monthly gain.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Kyle Rodda, Matt Simpson, Bullion Organizations: Precious Metals, U.S, Republican, Democratic, Trump, Capital.com, Index Locations: New York, U.S, United States, Index ., China
A gold ingot and gold coins are seen in this illustration picture taken November 17, 2017. "Gold is very much being anchored on the U.S. election outcome ... "If we see hot inflation numbers or a strong jobs report, then there could be a derailment in gold prices," Wong added. In addition, Goldman Sachs lowered its gold forecast from $3,080 to $3,000 by December 2025, but maintained its bullish stance. On the retail front, Indian gold buyers overlooked record high prices, purchasing for the Dhanteras and Diwali festivals, hoping for continued price rallies amid a cooling stock market.
Persons: Gold, Kelvin Wong, OANDA, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Wong, Friday's, Goldman Sachs Organizations: U.S, Asia Pacific, U.S . Labor Department
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Then there were selloffs in Club stocks Eli Lilly and Advanced Micro Devices after their earnings releases. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Eli Lilly, Lilly's, AMD's financials, Stanley Black, Decker, Estee Lauder, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Dow, Caterpillar, Devices, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Starbucks, MGM Resorts, Linde, Merck, ConocoPhillips, Mastercard, Roblox, Myers, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Bristol
Stock futures slid on Wednesday evening, as Wall Street absorbed a fresh batch of earnings reports from megacap technology names. S&P 500 futures lost 0.3%, and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.5%. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 27 points. The S&P 500 declined 0.3%, while the Dow dropped 0.2%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell nearly 0.6%. Economists polled by Dow Jones expect that the PCE grew by 0.2% on a monthly basis and 2.1% from a year earlier.
Persons: Dow Jones, Jamie Cox Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Investors, Federal, Harris Financial, Tech, Apple, Merck, Intel
While the cumulative effect of inflation has had a pronounced influence on the U.S. economy, the view in relative terms is getting progressively better. Judging by the personal consumption expenditures price index, inflation was expected to run at just a 0.2% rate in September and 2.1% from a year ago, according to Dow Jones estimates. "Another strong quarter of GDP growth and close-to-target quarterly inflation reading will be welcomed by the Fed stuck between balancing the risks of inflation and the labor market," Citigroup economist Alice Zheng said in a note Wednesday. Within the GDP report, the PCE rate for the quarter was just 1.5%, suggesting that the battle has been won. While the market is still betting heavily on more rate cuts this year, the Fed likely will be cautious.
Persons: Dow Jones, Alice Zheng, Shruti Mishra Organizations: Commerce Department, Labor, Citigroup, Bank of America Locations: U.S
The economy accelerated at a 3% pace in the second quarter. The U.S. economy posted another solid though slightly disappointing period of growth in the third quarter, propelled higher by strong consumer spending that has defied expectations for a slowdown. Personal consumption expenditures, the proxy for consumer activity, increased 3.7% for the quarter, the strongest performance since Q1 of 2023. "You've got the perfect combination of strong growth and slowing inflation. The personal savings rate decelerated in the third quarter to 4.8%, down from a 5.2% level that had been revised up sharply.
Persons: Dow Jones, You've, Dan North, Kamala Harris, Republican Donald Trump, Harris, — Trump Organizations: Gross, Commerce Department, Treasury, Allianz Trade North America, Federal Reserve, Fed, Republican Locations: U.S
The Commerce Department is expected to report Wednesday that gross domestic product grew at a hardy 3.1% annualized pace in the third quarter, adjusted for seasonality and inflation, according to the Dow Jones consensus forecast. Along with that, the release is expected to show that inflation moved closer or perhaps even below the Federal Reserve's 2% target. The Fed uses the personal consumption expenditures price index, included in the GDP estimate, as its primary inflation gauge. The report, then, should indicate a solid economy and easing inflation , the latter at least on a relative basis from how things looked a year ago. "Overall, another quarter of above-trend growth and a benign inflation reading will be welcomed by the Fed."
Persons: Dow, Oliver Allen, Allen, nudging, Alice Zheng Organizations: Commerce Department, Fed, Pantheon, stoke, Citigroup, Citi Locations: U.S
The S & P 500 typically advances about 7% from November to April, compared to the index's average 2% rise from May to October, according to CFRA Research chief investment strategist Sam Stovall. This year's market strength follows a standout 20% gain for the S & P 500 in 2023's "best six months" period, he noted. "This double-dose of double-digit returns has caused investors to wonder if the market has used up its energy reserves and may be headed for tough times," Stovall wrote. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 has advanced more than 22% in 2024. Stocks were bhigher on both Friday and Monday , with the S & P 500 trading within a hair's breath of this month's all-time high of 5864.67.
Persons: Sam Stovall, Russell, Stocks, Stovall Organizations: Stock Traders, Research, Investors Locations: U.S
Gold slips as dollar firms; market eyes crucial U.S. data
  + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A one kilogram gold bar sits on top of silver bars. Gold prices fell on Monday as the U.S. dollar held firm, while investors awaited U.S. economic data for fresh insights on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path. Spot gold fell 0.5% to $2,733.01 per ounce, as of 0232 GMT. A stronger dollar makes gold less appealing for other currency holders. Gold hit a record high of $2,758.37 on Wednesday, driven by safe-haven demand due to geopolitical uncertainties.
Persons: Tim Waterer, CME's, Benjamin Netanyahu, Ali Khamenei, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: U.S ., Federal, U.S, KCM, Fed, Iranian Locations: U.S
The one big fear that could upend the bull market
  + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A chain reaction sparked by continued inflation could put the bull market to rest, according to Trivariate Research. As the bull market enters its third year, investors are wondering how much more room there is to run before a pullback is due. Now, Fed funds futures are pricing in a more than 95% likelihood of another drop to the borrowing costs at the central bank's November gathering, according to CME's FedWatch tool. In 2021 and 2022, Parker said there was a "strong and statistically significant relationship" between Fed funds futures and the price-to-earnings multiple on growth stocks. Though that connection now looks different, the Morgan Stanley alum said he would be "surprised if multiples did not compress meaningfully" if the expectation for the Fed funds rate rises from 3.5% to 5% or above.
Persons: Adam Parker, Paul Tudor Jones, Stanley Druckenmiller, Parker, Morgan Stanley, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Tudor Jones, Dow Jones Organizations: Research, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Dow
The Street is looking for Stanley Black & Decker sales of $3.8 billion in the third quarter and earnings per share (EPS) of $1.05. The Street is looking for Linde sales of $8.35 billion in the third quarter and EPS of $3.89. In addition to the headline results and forward guidance, overall organic sales growth and data center energy power demand will be focus items for investors. The Street is looking for sales of $94.47 billion in its fiscal fourth quarter and EPS of $1.55. The Street is looking for Coterra sales of $1.3 billion in the third quarter and EPS of 34 cents.
Persons: That's, It's, Stanley Black, Decker, we're, We're, Eli Lilly, Lilly, Amy Hood's, Brian Niccol, Wednesday's, Linde, it's, we'll, Phillips, Horton, Kraft Heinz, SIRI, Estee Lauder, BUD, Cardinal Health, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Stephanie Keith Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, Fed, PCE, YouTube, Justice, AMD, GE Healthcare, Reality Labs, Microsoft, Management, Starbucks, U.S, Presidential, Linde, Apple Intelligence, Amazon, Services, Coterra Energy, WM, Cadence Design Systems, Labor, PayPal, BP, Pfizer, Royal Caribbean Cruises, JetBlue, HSBC, Devices, Grill, Electronic Arts, EA, Gross, Caterpillar, Brinker International, AFortive Corporation, Illinois Tool, Coinbase, eBay, EBAY, Booking Holdings, MGM Resorts, MGM, Bausch Health, LIN, Merck, ConocoPhillips, Mastercard, Altria, Cruise, Myers Squibb, Comcast, Mobileye, Cheniere Energy, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Anheuser, Busch InBev, Intel, United States Steel, Juniper Networks, Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Dominion Energy, Charter Communications, LyondellBasell Industries, Cardinal, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Eaton, Corning, Illinois, Bristol, New York City
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Carahsoft, George Kurtz, We'll, Stanley Black, Decker, Eli Lilly, Eaton, Brian Niccol's, It's, we'll, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Nasdaq, Communication, Newmont Corporation, Nucor, Universal Health Services, HCA Healthcare, Bloomberg, Carahsoft Technology, Internal Revenue Service, IRS, Bloomberg News, Microsoft, Club, Nvidia, Devices, GE Healthcare, Nextracker, Linde, Coterra Energy, Starbucks, Federal, Boeing, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: U.S, China
Investors will contend with earnings results from five of the Magnificent Seven companies next week. .SPX 1M mountain S & P 500 "I sort of refer to this period that we're in right now as like a strange brew," said Mark Malek, investment chief at Siebert. On Friday, the Nasdaq Composite hit an all-time high , but the S & P 500 snapped a six-week win streak. In fact, the high concentration of the mega-cap leaders in the S & P 500 spurred Goldman Sachs' David Kostin this month to release a dim long-term forecast for the overall market. HSBC head of equity strategy Nicole Inui upped her S & P 500 year-end target to 5,900.
Persons: Mark Malek, Siebert, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Siebert's Malek, they've, Nicole Inui, Inui, D.R Horton, Price, Eli Lilly, Lauder Organizations: Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Nasdaq, U.S, Treasury, Big Tech, HSBC, FactSet, Richmond Fed, Dallas Fed, Ford, Semiconductor, Caesars Entertainment, Devices, Pfizer, Royal Caribbean Group, PayPal, ADP, Kraft Heinz, Caterpillar, GE Healthcare Technologies, Holdings, ECI Civilian Workers, PCE, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, Cruise Line Holdings, Uber Technologies, Lauder Companies, Mastercard, Generac, Jobs, PMI, Manufacturing, Exxon Mobil Locations: U.S, Chicago
Inflation is not deadDaly began her talk with an anecdote of a recent encounter she had while walking near her home. But the conversation encapsulated a dilemma for the Fed: If inflation is on the run, why are interest rates still so high? As evidenced by the young man's question, convincing people that inflation is easing is a tough sell. watch nowThe annual rate of CPI inflation was 2.4% in September, a vast improvement over the 9.1% top in June 2022. However, year-over-year spending increased just 1.7%, below the 2.4% CPI inflation rate.
Persons: Brandon Bell, Goldman Sachs, Mary Daly, Daly, Goldman, Jerome Powell, , hasn't, haven't Organizations: Walmart, Federal Reserve, San Francisco Fed, New York University Stern School of Business, Commerce Department, Fed, York Fed, Bank of America, National Federation of Independent Business Locations: Austin , Texas, U.S, , Wyoming, Atlanta, York
Investors who fear stubborn inflation, if not an outright rebound, got a bit of a salve on Friday morning. Wholesale prices showed no change month over month for September, coming in below expectations. The producer price index report may help offset some of the slight concerns about Thursday's consumer price index report, which was a bit hotter than expected. The personal consumption expenditures price index for September will be released on Oct. 31. "We think the Fed is really still on track to cut 25 [basis points] at each of the next two meetings," Seif added.
Persons: David Seif, Seif, Wells Organizations: Nomura Securities, Fed, PPI, Traders, JPMorgan Chase, BNY Mellon Locations: Wells Fargo
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell arrives to a news conference following the September meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee at the William McChesney Martin Jr. Federal Reserve Board Building on September 18, 2024 in Washington, DC. This week's inflation data provided more evidence that the Federal Reserve is nearing its objective, fresh on the heels of the central bank's dramatic interest rate cut just a few weeks ago. Consumer and producer price indexes for September both came in around expectations, showing that inflation is drifting down to the central bank's 2% target. The Wall Street investment bank on Friday projected that the Commerce Department's personal consumption expenditures price index for September will show a 12-month inflation rate of 2.04% when it is released later this month. The Fed prefers the PCE as its inflation gauge though it uses a variety of inputs to make decisions.
Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Austan Goolsbee Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, Washington , DC, Commerce, Fed, PCE, Chicago Fed, CNBC Locations: Washington ,
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