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CNBC Daily Open: More all-time highs? Yes please
  + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Why are Treasury yields rising? Treasury yields tend to move in tandem with interest rates. When the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates last week, it's not unreasonable to expect Treasury yields to dip.
Persons: Hong, it's, they've, Jeff Cox, Sam Altman, Bret Taylor, Sarah Friar, OpenAI's, Ishiba, Shigeru Ishiba, Sanae Takaichi Organizations: CNBC, Major, CSI, Treasury, U.S . Federal Reserve, Altman, PM, Liberal Democratic, Bank of, People's Bank of China, Barclays Locations: Major U.S, Asia, Pacific
Massive stimulus from central banks in the U.S., China and elsewhere is driving bubble-like stock returns and could head off a global recession, according to Bank of America. "It's the bubble dream," BofA chief investment strategist Michael Hartnett wrote in his weekly "Flow Show" breakdown of where investors are putting their money. "Fed slashing, oil crashing, China inflating ... and if this China stimulus don't work then geopolitical risks [are] going to soar." But while some indicators do point to a slowing in global growth, the abundant forecasts for recession have eased. "Fed cutting into recession is negative for risk assets, but Fed cutting with no recession is positive and investors firmly of view Fed + China is sufficient policy easing to short-circuit recession risk," Hartnett wrote.
Persons: Michael Hartnett, Hartnett Organizations: Bank of America, Federal Reserve, People's Bank of China, Investors Locations: U.S, China
Crimson clouds light up the skyline of Victoria Harbour on July 14, 2022 in Hong Kong, China. Asia-Pacific markets mostly rose Friday, with Chinese stocks likely set to cap off a week of gains on the back of Beijing's stimulus measures aimed at boosting the economy. The bank added that the weighted average deposit reserve ratio of financial institutions will be about 6.6% after this reduction. Tokyo's headline inflation rate eased to 2.2%, down from August's 2.6%. The core inflation rate — which strips out prices of fresh food — in the capital city came in at 2%, in line with expectations from economists polled by Reuters and down from 2.4% in August.
Organizations: People's Bank of China, Reuters Locations: Victoria Harbour, Hong Kong, China, Asia, Pacific, Tokyo, August's
But by the end of the day, his net worth jumped by $17 billion to $201 billion, the index reported, calling it his third-biggest daily increase ever. That market, which accounted for 31% of total revenue last year, is dominated by China. Hong Kong’s benchmark Hang Seng index has added just over 12% so far this week, while mainland China’s blue-chip CSI300 has gained more than 15%. However, experts urged investors to be cautious as officials must still come up with ways of stabilizing the property market, which once accounted for as much as 30% of economic activity. It began to cool in 2019 and fell into a deep trough about two years later, after a government-led clampdown on developers’ borrowing.
Persons: Bernard Arnault isn’t, Arnault, LVMH, , Nomura, Xi Jinping, Pan Gongsheng, Pan Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, LVMH, Bloomberg, Markets, People’s Bank of China Locations: China, Hong Kong, LVMH, Paris, Asia, “ Beijing
The Chinese central bank unrolled the most significant stimulus program since the COVID-19 pandemic and Chinese equities are starting to show signs that the long history of underperformance relative to western equities could possibly be on borrowed time. The name that has already demonstrated leadership that we want to focus on should this move into Chinese names continues is Tencent Holdings (TCEHY) . Before we get further into the company specifics it's important to reiterate that Chinese equities have under-performed U.S. equities since 2007. The goal of the program according to Chinese officials is to return the economy to a 5% growth rate. Turning to the focus company Tencent Holdings (TCHEY) is a multinational technology conglomerate listed on the Hong Kong exchange since 2004.
Persons: TCHEY, Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Tencent Holdings, People's Bank of China, Hong, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: China, Hong Kong
The Fed effectively cut rates to zero during the pandemic plunge, and the S & P had an extraordinary bull market. How to play it Consider PDD Holdings . PDD Holdings Inc. is a multinational commerce group that owns and operates several online platforms. PDD YTD mountain PDD Holdings, YTD The share price is nearly 44% below the all-time highs of early 2021. If you're looking for a single stock to get involved with to hitch your wagon to PBOC's train, consider PDD Holdings.
Persons: you've, I've, PDD Organizations: Fed, People's Bank of China, Holdings, PDD Holdings Inc, Pinduoduo, PDD Holdings, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S, United States, China
The measures were significant because Beijing has been holding back on a "bazooka" stimulus even though China's economy has been struggling to stage a convincing recovery post-pandemic. To be sure, this is not the first attempt China has made at boosting its economy in the past few years. However, Beijing's display of resolve also triggered market speculation that it's alarmed and panicked over the state of its economy, which is facing multiple challenges. Related storiesNotably, even on the heels of China's big stimulus announcement, most analysts also think Beijing still needs to do more to boost China's economy, particularly in boosting gloomy domestic demand. "Onshore stocks are a policy- and momentum-driven market, and policy signals don't get much clearer than this," they wrote.
Persons: , Pan Gongsheng, Andrew Rocco, Rocco didn't, Pan, Freya Beamish, Rory Green, Anthony Sassine, Sassine, Rocco, macroeconomy, China's CSI300 Organizations: Service, People's Bank of China, Business, Lombard, Investors, Zacks Investment Research, Global Data.TS, Yahoo Finance, Data.TS Locations: China, Beijing, Swiss, London
China's stimulus package has boosted market sentiment and pushed the Chinese yuan to a 16-month high. But a strong yuan could hurt exports, a key pillar of China's economy, amid weak domestic demand. AdvertisementChina's massive stimulus package for its battered economy has boosted market sentiment and injected confidence into the Chinese yuan. This means $1 could buy fewer Chinese yuan. A strong yuan is bad for exportsEven though a strong yuan signals confidence in China's economy, analysts aren't sure the gains will hold.
Persons: , Pan Gongsheng, Vishnu, Varathan, Larry Hu, Hu, aren't, Pan, Macquarie's Hu Organizations: People's Bank of China, Service, US Federal Reserve, Macquarie Group, Lombard, Bloomberg Locations: Asia, Japan, China, Beijing, Swiss, China's
China needs more than rate cuts to boost economic growth
  + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
Cfoto | Future Publishing | Getty ImagesBEIJING — China's slowing economy needs more than interest rate cuts to boost growth, analysts said. He expects Beijing will likely ramp up fiscal stimulus due to weak growth, despite reluctance so far. "The market is forming a medium to long-term expectation on the U.S. growth rate, the inflation rate. As for Chinese government bonds, Ding said the firm has a "neutral" view and expects the Chinese yields to remain relatively low. He pointed out that monetary easing still requires fiscal stimulus "to achieve the effect of expanding credit and transmitting money to the real economy."
Persons: Larry Hu, That's, Edmund Goh, Yifei Ding, Ding, CF40, Pan Gongsheng, Haizhong Chang, Chang Organizations: China Resources, Getty, BEIJING, People's Bank of China, Macquarie, U.S, of Finance, PBOC, Ministry of Finance, Fitch Locations: China, Nanjing, Jiangsu province, abrdn, Beijing, U.S, Invesco
The Chinese yuan has weakened sharply against the U.S. dollar in the last several weeks as the greenback strengthens and investors worry about China's economic growth. China's yuan hit its strongest level in over 16 months on Wednesday after Beijing unveiled a slate of stimulus measures to shore up the slowing economy on Tuesday. The Chinese offshore yuan strengthened briefly to 6.9946 per dollar, the strongest since May 2023. China's onshore yuan is currently trading at 7.0319 against the greenback, also holding at the strongest levels since last May. China bonds rallied after the PBOC announcement with 10-year and 30-year yields hitting record lows.
Persons: Ben Emons, Edmund Goh, Zerlina Zeng, CreditSights, Pan Gongsheng, Emons, Hong, — CNBC's Evelyn Cheng Organizations: U.S, Beijing, greenback, Fed Watch, BNP, U.S ., Asia Credit, People's Bank of China Gov, CSI Locations: China, abrdn, Hong Kong, London, Singapore, New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina needs a policy-led promotion of the economy, not just the expansion of financial channelsJack Dwyer of Infusive says he expects more policy support to come from the PBOC and Chinese regulators and discusses the need for a coordinated policy push by the state to restore confidence in the economy.
Persons: Jack Dwyer, Infusive Organizations: China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPBOC's mortgage rate cut is a measure that could 'really save' China's real estate, says UOBQi Wang, CIO, wealth management at UOB Kay Hian, discusses "two concerns" he has about the Chinese market and the recent slate of measures from the People's Bank of China.
Persons: Qi Wang, UOB Kay Hian Organizations: People's Bank of China
Lynn Song, chief economist for greater China ING, called the repo rate cut announcement “the most important” move made during the news conference. “If we see a large fiscal policy push as well, momentum could recover heading into the fourth quarter.”The headquarters of the People’s Bank of China in Beijing. During his first news conference as central bank governor in January, Pan said the PBOC would cut the reserve requirement ratio. Unlike the Fed’s focus on a main interest rate, the PBOC uses a variety of rates to manage monetary policy. Pan has indicated he would like the 7-day rate to become the main policy rate.
Persons: Pan Gongsheng, Pan, Lynn Song, , , Jiang Qiming, ” Edmund Goh, Goldman Sachs, Li Yunze, Li, Nomura Organizations: People’s Bank of China Gov, China ING, , U.S . Federal Reserve, People’s Bank of China, China News Service, Getty, Pan, National Financial Regulatory Administration Locations: BEIJING, China, Beijing, abrdn
Property stocks in Hong Kong rally on homes mortgage stimulus
  + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Chinese property stocks rallied on Tuesday after top financial regulators vowed a range of monetary easing measures to provide some relief for millions of families and boost a recovery in the real estate market. During a high-level press conference Tuesday morning, People's Bank of China Gov. Hang Seng Mainland Properties Index surged as much as 5% when Hong Kong markets opened shortly after the announcement was made. Chinese policymakers have been ramping up support to reduce household's financial burden and shore up the troubled real estate sector. Homeowners could also be allowed to refinance with a different bank for the first time in years, the outlet reported.
Persons: Pan Gongsheng, Pan, William Wu, Bruce Pang, Pang Organizations: People's Bank of China Gov, Mainland Properties, Longfor Group Holdings, China Overseas Land & Investment, Daiwa, Bloomberg Locations: Beijing, Hang, Hong Kong, China, JLL
The relatively rare high-level press conference was scheduled after the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates last week. That kicked off an easing cycle that theoretically gives China's central bank further room to cut its rates and boost growth in the face of deflationary pressure. Pan became PBOC governor in July 2023. He then told reporters in March, alongside China's annual parliamentary meeting, there was room to cut the RRR further. China's government system also means that policy is set at a far higher level than that of the financial regulators speaking Tuesday.
Persons: Pan Gongsheng, Gongsheng, Pan Organizations: People's Bank of China, BEIJING — People's Bank of China Gov, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: Shanghai, China, BEIJING
CNBC Daily Open: Fedspeak reassures markets
  + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Markets regain momentumU.S. markets rose Monday, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average notching fresh closing highs. Asia-Pacific stocks mostly climbed Tuesday, with the Chinese and Hong Kong markets popping over 3% on Beijing's announcement of policy easing measures. PBOC policy easingThe People's Bank of China Governor Pan Gongsheng on Tuesday announced a cut to banks' reserve requirement ratio.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, The Beverly Hilton, Pan Gongsheng Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, The Beverly, CNBC, Dow Jones, People's Bank of China, Boeing, Tech, Big Tech, Companies, Nomura Locations: Beverly Hills , California, U.S, Asia, Pacific, Hong Kong, China, Beijing
A man walks past the People's Bank of China (PBOC) building on July 20, 2023 in Beijing, China. (Photo by Jiang Qiming/China News Service/VCG via Getty ImagesChina bond yields fell to a record low after the People's Bank of China on Tuesday announced that it would cut the reserve requirement ratio for banks. Yield on China's 10-year government bonds fell 3.75 basis points to 2.043%, data from LSEG showed, marking a record low. 30-year bond yields also dropped to a record low of 2.168%. In recent months, insurance companies and institutional investors have flocked to China's bond market, partly due to limited investment opportunities available.
Persons: Jiang Qiming, Pan Gongsheng, Pan Organizations: People's Bank of China, China News Service, Getty Images, PBOC, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: Beijing, China, Getty Images China, LSEG
Asia-Pacific markets climbed on Tuesday, tracking gains on Wall Street after the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average touched new closing highs in Monday's trading session. The broad market index added 0.28% to end at 5,718.57, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 61.29 points, or 0.15%, to close at 42,124.65. The briefing is set to begin before Chinese markets open at 9:30 a.m. Currently, futures for the mainland Chinese CSI 300 are at 3,205.6, slightly lower than its last close of 3,212.76. As such, CBA expects a slightly less hawkish statement, but does not see a material shift in language or tone.
Persons: Pan Gongsheng Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow Jones Industrial, Traders, People's Bank of China, PBOC, CSI, Reuters, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, CBA Locations: Asia, Pacific, Australia's
Rows of new energy vehicles are parked at Changan Automobile's vehicle distribution center in Chongqing, China, on January 14, 2024. Shares of Chinese automakers climbed Tuesday, shrugging off a U.S. government proposal to ban certain types of vehicles equipped with car parts from China and Russia, amid a broad rally after Beijing announced policy easing. The Joe Biden administration has cited national security risks for its latest measure aimed at curbing Chinese auto industry's influence and reach in the U.S."Cars today have cameras, microphones, GPS tracking, and other technologies connected to the internet. U.S. proposal to ban Chinese auto parts may not have a direct negative impact on the Chinese auto industry as the sales volume of Chinese auto exports to the U.S. markets are "very small" and limited, Wu said. Additionally, Chinese parts companies have already set up factories in South America, which can be exported directly to U.S. markets under the U.S.-Mexico Tariff Agreement, he added.
Persons: shrugging, Li, Nio, Leapmotor, Joe Biden, Gina Raimondo, Ivan Wu, Pan Gongsheng, Wu Organizations: Beijing, Guotai, People's Bank of China Gov, U.S, China Automobile Dealers Association Locations: Chongqing, China, U.S, Russia, Hong Kong, South America, Mexico
China's central bank injects cash, lowers 14-day reverse repo rate
  + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
China's central bank supplied 14-day cash to its banking system for the first time in months on Monday and at a lower interest rate, signaling its intent to further ease monetary conditions. China's central bank supplied 14-day cash to its banking system for the first time in months on Monday and at a lower interest rate, signaling its intent to further ease monetary conditions. The PBOC added 160.1 billion yuan via 7-day reverse repos at 1.70%, it said in a statement. It also injected 74.5 billion yuan via 14-day reverse repos at 1.85%, compared with 1.95% during the previous injection. Monday's injection comes ahead of China's National Day holidays starting Oct. 1, and the cut in rates aligns the 14-day repo rate with the shorter 7-day repo rate which was cut in July.
Organizations: People's Bank of China Locations: China
A Japanese flag is displayed as shoppers and pedestrians walk past stores at a shopping street in Tokyo, Japan, on Wednesday, Nov. 23, 2016. Asia-Pacific markets opened higher on Friday with Japan's Nikkei 225 leading gains, after Wall Street soared overnight following the Federal Reserve's outsized rate cut. Japan's core consumer prices index climbed 2.8% year on year, in line with Reuters estimates, versus a 2.7% rise in the previous month. The reading will be the last gauge of the economy before the BOJ concludes its two-day monetary policy meeting, where it's expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 0.25%. The Japanese yen was nearly flat at 142.67.
Persons: PBOC Organizations: Japan's Nikkei Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Pacific
China's yuan rose to its strongest level in nearly 16 months on Friday on bets that Beijing will unveil fresh economic stimulus following a jumbo U.S. rate cut, though gains were capped by dollar buying from Chinese state banks. The onshore yuan strengthened to as much as 7.0420 per dollar, the firmest level since May 24, 2023, on track for a six-session rising streak. The Fed cut rates by a larger than usual 50-basis-points on Wednesday. On Friday, China's major state-owned banks were seen buying dollars in the onshore market to prevent the yuan from appreciating too fast. Prior to the market opening, the People's Bank of China set the midpoint rate at 7.0644 per dollar, its strongest in nearly 16 months.
Persons: recouping, Zhiwei Zhang, Yang Fan Organizations: Citic Securities, People's Bank of Locations: Beijing, China, U.S, People's Bank of China
China on Friday kept its main benchmark lending rates unchanged at the monthly fixing. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) said it would keep the one-year loan prime rate (LPR) at 3.35%, as well as the five-year LPR at 3.85%. The one-year LPR affects corporate and most household loans in China, while the five-year LPR acts as a benchmark for mortgage rates. Urban jobless rate rose to a six-month high, while year-on-year home prices fell at their fastest pace in nine years. Bank of America lowered their forecast for China's 2024 GDP growth to 4.8%, and Citigroup trimmed their projection to 4.7%.
Organizations: Reuters, People's Bank of China, Bank of America, Citigroup Locations: People's Republic of China, China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS: China will benefit less from the Fed's rate cut than other APAC marketsEva Lee, head of Greater China equities at UBS, explains why she thinks China will not benefit much from the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, and why it may also make it easier for the PBOC to move on its policy.
Persons: Eva Lee Organizations: UBS Locations: China
PDD 's tumble of nearly 30% last week on disappointing quarterly results is a reminder that China's consumer has largely moved on from its years of double-digit growth. "The reaction of its stock price is out of touch with its fundamentals," he said in Mandarin, translated by CNBC. "The entire Chinese consumer market is weak, yes, [but] PDD management's very peculiar comments caused the share price decline," he said. Chen Lei, chairman and co-CEO of PDD, warned multiple times on the earnings call about future declines in profit. Revenue grew by 21%, while adjusted earnings nearly doubled from a year ago.
Persons: PDD, Charlie Chen, Chen Lei, Morgan Stanley, Wang Xing, Trip.com, Liqian Ren, Ren, Joey Wat, Banks, Morgan, Richard Xu, Xu Organizations: China Renaissance Securities, CNBC, JPMorgan, Hong, Management, KFC, Yum, Savings Bank of Locations: Asia, Hong Kong, U.S, China, WisdomTree, Beijing, Yum China, Hong, Savings Bank of China
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