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Here are stocks that win when inflation slows
  + stars: | 2023-05-10 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Inflation moderated a tad in April, and so stocks that win historically when inflation eases could be big winners ahead if that trend continues. The easing in inflation could give a boost to stocks that have historically tracked the opposite direction of rising prices, according to Bank of America analysis. The Wall Street firm created an "Anti-Inflation" screen with S & P 500 companies whose relative performance has a strong negative relationship — or beta — with inflation. Amazon is on the top of the list with the strongest negative relationship to inflation. Consumer staples should also benefit from easing inflation, including Clorox and Kroger , which have historically moved in opposite direction to inflation.
Earnings season continues next week, with Club holdings Linde (LIN), Emerson Electric (EMR) and Walt Disney (DIS) all set to report. Similarly, shares of Meta Platforms (META) have surged over 20% since CEO Mark Zuckerberg reassured investors Wednesday evening that 2023 would be the technology giant's "year of efficiency." The bull case is further supported by continued signs inflation is easing, a still-robust job market and the breadth of market-buying activity since the start of the year. Lastly on Wednesday, the Fed's Federal Open Market Committee raised the federal funds rate by 25 basis points, in line with expectations. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
With few economic releases and the earnings season starting to wind down, an appearance by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell Tuesday could be among the newsiest events for markets in the week ahead. The Fed chair is speaking at the Economic Club of Washington D.C. at midday Tuesday. If he wanted to walk back anything, he could have done it then," said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley. Economists said Friday's surprisingly strong jobs report should encourage the Fed to push forward with planned rate hikes. Earnings, earnings, earnings But there continues to be earnings news.
2022 brought an end to an impressive bull run for technology — and the worst year for the Nasdaq Composite since 2008. Energy stocks, meanwhile, found favor in investors' portfolios, as did healthcare and financials. Given this outlook, CNBC examined some of the worst and best-performing stocks in the Nasdaq 100 this year. Energy stocks Energy won 2022, benefitting from volatile oil prices triggered by the war in Ukraine. Meta Platforms was the worst-performing FAANG name, and one of the poorest-performing Nasdaq stocks.
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Friday offered investors a list of seven stocks he believes could be great additions to investors' portfolios. The consumer discretionary sector is down about 37% for the year. But "while most consumer discretionary stocks have been horrendous this year, we've had some pools of strength, too, and many of them can work in 2023," according to Cramer. Here are his picks:Genuine Parts , O'Reilly Automotive and AutoZoneCramer highlighted these three auto parts stocks as potential buys, stating that AutoZone is his favorite. He added that because TJX operates discount retailers, its stock is a winner during times of recession, when consumers tend to trade down.
Analysts at Bank of America unveiled this week a slew of must-own stocks for 2023. CNBC Pro combed through recent research to find Bank of America's 'best-in-class" stocks heading into next year. "Although 2022 has been a year of modest growth for Lilly, shares have outperformed based largely on tirzepatide's peak potential," he wrote. Eli Lilly "Although 2022 has been a year of modest growth for Lilly, shares have outperformed based largely on tirzepatide's peak potential. Given this backdrop, Lilly remains a top pick, as we see its new product cycle / LT growth as clearly best-in-class."
The stock market could reach new lows in the new year, but there are some stocks where investors can weather market volatility, according to MKM Partners. That doesn't bode well for stocks and means there's a high risk that the equity market will see a new low next year, he said. In that market environment, MKM recommends focusing on stocks that are defensive and avoiding sectors trading at high-cyclical adjusted valuations. MKM sees investors overlooking the amount of leverage that Arch has as a positive going into the current cycle. The pick with the largest potential upside is Talos Energy , which MKM sees surging 47% to its target price.
Certain stocks are poised to gain the most if high inflation is past its peak, according to analysts from the Bank of America. In the past-peak inflation environment, certain stocks are set up to potentially gain, according to a Dec. 6 note by Savita Subramanian, head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy at Bank of America Securities. This means that as inflation subsides, these stocks should get a boost. Other retail names on Bank of America's list include O'Reilly Automotive , Clorox , Ross Stores , Home Depot and Lowe's . Some of these companies picked out by Bank of America have also been able to hold up amid rising inflation.
This is Goldman Sachs' favorite retail stock for 2023
  + stars: | 2022-12-12 | by ( Carmen Reinicke | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Investors are carefully watching the retail sector going into 2023 for signs of a slowing economy and consumer weakness. Still, there are some stocks that are poised to gain even in an uncertain environment, according to Goldman Sachs. At the same time, Goldman downgraded shares of Ulta to neutral from buy, citing tougher growth in 2023 after a solid year. It has sell ratings on shares of Bed Bath & Beyond, Big Lots and Williams-Sonoma. On the flip side, it has buy ratings on shares of Walmart, O'Reilly Automotive, BJ's Wholesale Club, Dollar General, Dicks Sporting Goods, Five Below and more.
Three-Stock Lunch: IBM, O'Reilly Auto and Pepsi
  + stars: | 2022-11-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThree-Stock Lunch: IBM, O'Reilly Auto and PepsiDavid Wagner, Aptus Capital Advisors portfolio manager, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss Wagner's thoughts on three stocks: IBM, O'Reilly Auto Parts and Pepsi.
On Nov. 19, 2021, the Nasdaq-100 index — which is made up of the 100-largest Nasdaq Composite stocks — hit a record closing high of 16,573.34. DocuSign and Zoom Video have fallen more than 80% and 67%, respectively, since the Nasdaq-100 reached its record high. Megacap stocks such as Meta Platforms , Tesla and Amazon have also plunged over the past 12 months, in part due to their high valuations. Vertex Pharmaceuticals has rallied 69.5% since the Nasdaq-100 closed at a record. O'Reilly Automotive, T-Mobile and Gilead Sciences are also among the big Nasdaq-100 winners over the year since the Nasdaq closed at an all-time high.
Advance Auto Parts — Advance Auto Parts tumbled 16.3% after reporting lower-than-expected quarterly earnings after the bell Tuesday. Lowe's said the company, unlike Target, is not seeing negative inflation impact on sales. O'Reilly Automotive — Shares automotive parts retailer added 2% after the company upped its share repurchase program by $1.5 billion. Oscar Health — The insurance stock added 1.9% after Wells Fargo upgraded the stock to overweight, saying shares can rally nearly 40% going forward. Lincoln National — Shares added 2.1% following an upgrade to a buy rating by Goldman Sachs.
Lowe's (LOW) – Lowe's added 2.4% in premarket trading after the home improvement retailer beat top and bottom line estimates for its latest quarter and reported better-than-expected comparable store sales. Carnival (CCL) – Carnival slumped 12.7% in the premarket after the cruise line operator announced a $1 billion convertible debt offering as part of its refinancing plan. Advance Auto Parts (AAP) – Advance Auto Parts plummeted 14.7% in off-hours trading after the auto parts retailer posted lower-than-expected quarterly earnings. Competitor O'Reilly Auto Parts (ORLY) fell 2.9%. Sage Therapeutics (SAGE) – Sage Therapeutics gained 3.3% in premarket trading after an SEC filing showed CEO Barry Greene added 14,500 shares to his stake in the drug maker.
This year's bear market has wiped trillions in market cap off the stock market, hitting both growth and defensive stocks alike. 'Best in class' Of the three, just one stock is buy-rated by Bank of America: O'Reilly Auto. It describes the company as a "best in class" auto parts retailer, with a long track record of above-industry sales growth. The stock is up more than 20% this year, but Bank of America expects further outperformance in the share price. A defensive sector One reason for O'Reilly's outperformance this year could boil down to the defensiveness of the auto parts sector.
In this article AAPLORLYCARSVECOSBUX Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTApple CEO Tim Cook visits the Apple Fifth Avenue store for the release of the Apple iPhone 14, New York City, September 16, 2022. Chatterjee reiterated his buy rating as well as his $200 price target on Apple. (See Cars Hedge Fund Trading Activity on TipRanks) The analyst highlighted the momentum in the adoption of Cars.com's Digital Solutions. Ranked 68th in an over 8,000-strong database of analysts on TipRanks, Prestopino has delivered profitable ratings 57% of the time. The analyst reiterated a buy rating on the stock with a price target of $25.
McDonald's — The fast-food giant's shares got a 2.8% lift after the company beat earnings expectations for its most recent quarter. Align Technology — The Invisalign maker saw its shares tumble 18% after it posted disappointing earnings for the most recent quarter. Credit Suisse — Shares of the Swiss bank plummeted 19.5% after Credit Suisse posted a greater-than-expected loss for the third quarter. ServiceNow — The stock jumped 13% after ServiceNow surpassed earnings expectations in its most recent quarter. Comcast — The media giant's stock rose 4.8% after topping analysts' earnings expectations for the third quarter.
Morning Bid: Consumer drain as banks gain
  + stars: | 2022-10-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Google's results in particular bode ill for Facebook parent Meta Platforms (META.O), especially reliant on advertising and reporting its results late on Wednesday. Consumer blues contrasted with bumper earnings from banks who are raking in huge windfalls from rising interest rates - direct cash injections from reserves they hold at central banks along with higher net interest margins and trading revenues flattered by volatile markets. read more read more read more read moreEuropean banks reporting this week matched Wall St counterparts on that score, raising conundrums for the European Central Bank meeting this week and Bank of England and U.S. Federal Reserve gatherings next week. They all plan further policy rate rises to rein in inflation - but this also involves direct transfers to their banks and potentially a drain on government finances. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Check out the companies making headlines after the bell:Meta Platforms — The Facebook parent plunged more than 13% after missing earnings estimates for the third quarter. Meta beat revenue estimates, posting a better-than-expected decline year-over-year but shared disappointing guidance for the fourth quarter. ServiceNow — The software stock soared 12.4% postmarket as earnings per share came in 12 cents ahead of Wall Street expectations. Align Technology — The maker of Invisalign dental straighteners toppled 16.8% after missing earnings estimates for the recent quarter. O'Reilly Automotive — Shares gained more than 3% after hours following a beat on revenue and earnings for the third quarter.
Stocks rallied this week as earnings season ramped up and is so far off to a better-than-expected start. With 20% of the S & P 500 having reported financials so far, sales results have thus far been 1.4% above expectations while earnings results are 5.4% above expectations, in aggregate. That inverse correlation between bond yields and stocks was powerful enough to trump positive earnings reports. Looking back On the earnings front, we got results from Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Procter & Gamble (PG), and Danaher (DHR). As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
The three major averages closed higher Friday, with the S & P 500 adding 2.37% to close at 3,752.75. Stovall said the S & P 500 had six positive moves of 1% or more in the last 17 trading days, as of Friday. Earnings, earnings, earnings About 150 S & P 500 companies report earnings in the coming week. Technically speaking Scott Redler, partner with T3Live.com, said he is watching a formation in the S & P 500 that could be positive. His first target for the S & P 500 is 3,800.
Wells Fargo said Wednesday that retail names exposed to the housing theme could see a "possible uptick in 2H Home Improvement demand." Fadem added that even beyond the possible uptick in sales from the storm, defensive positioning is warranted across hardline retailers. Wells Fargo said that the storm could contribute between 30 and 80 basis points of incremental quarterly comparisons across its home improvement coverage in Florida alone. Wells Fargo noted that the benefits to Floor & Decor Holdings, for example, depends on the extent of water damages. Wells Fargo said that while comparisons can be attractive quarter over quarter or year over year, it doesn't necessarily mean higher margins.
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