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Insider asked several experts in AI, economics, and remote work about the multitude of ways Americans' working lives could be impacted by AI moving forward. AI could eliminate some jobs and boost competition for those that remainGenerative AI technologies like ChatGPT will likely create some jobs and replace others. But for companies with leadership that has this concern, AI productivity gains could help them forget about some of their remote work "productivity paranoia" — a factor that in theory, could help remote work persist at some businesses. "So I think the biggest AI impact will be a ton of fully remote jobs like data-entry, payroll etc going to AI." Added Frey: "Any technology that increases productivity, ChatGPT included, makes a shorter workweek more feasible."
Persons: , there's, Goldman Sachs, Mark Muro, Carl Benedikt Frey, coders, Frey, Oded, Muro, Nick Bloom, Columbia's Netzer, Michael Chui Organizations: Service, Brookings Institution, Columbia Business School, Workers, Microsoft, New York Fed, Companies, Stanford, McKinsey Global Institute Locations: Oxford
Finding a remote job is getting more and more difficult. That's because competition for remote work in the US remains fierce, the number of job postings are on the decline, and some of the remote jobs that remain are being outsourced overseas. Companies are moving remote jobs overseasSome companies are embracing remote work, but not in the US. Instead, they're outsourcing jobs overseas and saving on labor costs. For Americans who are eager to snag that remote job, it's not all doom and gloom.
Dawn-Michelle Lewis loves remote work, but not her remote job. Many researchers have found a correlation between remote work and happier employees. The share of remote postings could fall to 10% by the end of 2023, Nick Bloom, a leading work-from-home researcher and Stanford economist, previously told Insider. Remote work also saves them money on transportation — they sold one of their two vehicles — and allows them to live almost wherever they want. I want to give people the same opportunity of remote work I have been fortunate enough to have."
Joe, 37, is torn between leaving his job and clinging to the flexibility of remote work. Many remote workers like him have gotten used to the WFH lifestyle, and built lives around it. With remote job openings tapering off, more remote workers may be inclined to stay put. Even before the pandemic, remote workers tended to be happier and stay at their jobs longer than on-site workers. The share of remote postings could fall to 10% by the end of 2023, Stanford economist and leading work-from-home researcher Nick Bloom told Insider.
Such a productivity boost could make a four-day workweek more possible. Calls for implementing a four-day workweek have picked up steam over the past year as pilot programs have described promising results. "Any technology that increases productivity, ChatGPT included, makes a shorter workweek more feasible," Carl Benedikt Frey, an Oxford economist, told Insider. 'The workweek length is up for grabs'Rep. Mark Takano, a Democrat from California, is among those advocating a four-day workweek. "Yes, ChatGPT might make a four-day workweek more feasible in principle," Frey said.
Remote workers taking afternoons off are powering a boom in golfing and other leisure activities. Maganas, 60, is one of the many American remote workers powering an afternoon-leisure boom. That type of schedule, which Maganas has had for about 20 years, has become increasingly popular with the widespread adoption of remote work. Research from Nick Bloom, a Stanford University economist who's studied remote work for nearly 20 years, and his colleague Alex Finan tracks a rise in split schedules for those who are remote. For those considering a foray into the split schedule, Maganas recommends giving it a try and seeing whether it affects stress levels.
While remote workers are hitting the green on weekday afternoons, productivity isn't dropping. That's good news for leisure businesses and shows remote work has changed people's work structures. While some companies have called employees back to the office, Bloom doesn't think remote work is going anywhere. All those remote workers hitting the green doesn't necessarily mean people are working less. This will raise 'Golf productivity' — the number of golf courses played (and revenue raised) per course."
Their research spans areas like the birth rate, housing, mental health, and climate change. Leading remote work expert Nick Bloom says it could be part of the solution to four of America's biggest problems. The share of work being conducted from home rose from 5% in 2019 to over 60% in 2020, Stanford economist and leading remote work expert Nick Bloom told Insider. Young Americans' mental health is plummetingTeenagers, in particular teenage girls, are in the midst of their worst mental health crisis in a decade, according to CDC data. Whether remote work will help the US move towards its climate goals remains to be seen.
Amazon CEO Andy Jassy announced recently that employees would be expected to return to the office three days a week in the spring. In less than a week, 14,000 employees had joined the Slack channel and a petition started circulating, demanding the company retract the policy. General Motors, Starbucks, Apple and Twitter are among other big companies that have started calling employees back to the office. Employees resist RTO mandatesEmployers are doing their best to really sell RTO, marketing it to employees using words like collaboration, socialization and free snacks. Employees are a lot happier if they work from home one or two days a week so that boosts recruitment and retention.
In San Francisco, tax revenue is projected to drop by as much as a billion dollars over the next six years. In order to bring in these new residents, cities will have to shift some of their priorities. Research coauthored by Steven Levitt of "Freakonomics" found that increases in violent and property crimes were correlated with city residents migrating to the suburbs. All is not lostThere's little doubt that superstar cities like New York and San Francisco have serious problems on their hands. Christopher Okada is the CEO of Okada & Company, a full-service commercial real estate brokerage and investment company in New York City.
More corporate bosses could follow Iger's lead with fresh RTO mandates, says Caitlin Duffy, director of research at Gartner. Plans to boost in-office days unlikely to pan outSo far, most hybrid policies expect workers in offices two to three times a week. But requirements increasing in-office days are unlikely to become a norm, experts say. As of January, workers say they want to work from home for 2.8 days on average, versus employers planning to allow 2.3 days remote. Some leaders are expanding remote work to keep their workers happy with their jobs and pay, Bloom says.
Disney and Starbucks are requiring employees to return to the office more often. Even in a recession, many companies would likely stick with their remote working arrangements. Last week, Disney announced that beginning March 1st, hybrid workers will be required to return to the office four days per week, a shift from the company's previous three-days-a-week policy. First, Bloom said remote work "keeps employees happy" and could help companies retain and attract talent as a result. Third, Bloom said his research has found that a hybrid work environment increases productivity.
Salesforce's CEO said the company's younger, remote workers may be less productive than their peers. It's possible that Salesforce's younger, remote employees are less productive than the rest of the staff. But it's unlikely that the problem is remote work itself, or the work ethic of remote employees, based on the growing body of research on flexible work. The problem isn't remote work — it's how remote workers are managedBut Salesforce's problem probably isn't necessarily that it permits remote work. On the other hand, Neeley wrote, leaders who micromanage their employees' time "are the kiss of death in hybrid work."
Hybrid Work is Here to Stay
  + stars: | 2022-11-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHybrid Work is Here to StayAs the unofficial "Father of Hybrid Work," Stanford's Nick Bloom has spent years studying how we work, and how we will work. He'll present new research and share his thoughts on what companies should be preparing for as many have begun to enforce return-to-office policies, often with a mixed reception from employees who have grown accustomed to the flexibility of working from home.
Some say "quiet quitting" is among the key reasons why. But "quiet quitting" likely isn't why. But while quiet quitting may be a real phenomenon and newly coined phrase, the practice is not a new one. "I don't think "quiet quitting" is real or affecting productivity growth," Adam Ozimek, chief economist at the policy organization Economic Innovation Group, wrote on Twitter last week. But while remote workers may be productive once they're up and running, it's possible new remote employees are less productive.
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