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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt would be very difficult for the Fed to hike rates, says New York Life Investment's Lauren GoodwinNew York Life Investment's Lauren Goodwin and Invesco's Brian Levitt join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the market mentality and sentiment.
Persons: Investment's Lauren Goodwin, Brian Levitt Organizations: Fed, York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe environment for the rally to continue is strong, says New York Life Investment's Lauren GoodwinYardeni's Eric Wallerstein and New York Life Investment's Lauren Goodwin join 'Closing Bell' to discuss earnings, Nvidia, and the outlook for the market rally.
Persons: Investment's Lauren Goodwin Yardeni's Eric Wallerstein, Investment's Lauren Goodwin Organizations: York, Nvidia
Loan loss reserves have perked back up in recent quarters and are at roughly 1.75% of loans outstanding, according to MRB Partners. If the economy only modestly slows, as many economists expect, new loan loss reserves could be smaller in the future. This situation comes as bank earnings were generally better than expected for the first quarter. Lauren Goodwin, chief market strategist and economist at New York Life Investments, agreed that a potential slowing or reversal of loan loss reserves would be positive for bank earnings but said she is cautious about bank profitability more broadly. To be sure, banks may need to increase their loan loss reserves if the economic outlook gets worse.
Persons: Banks, Bob Elliott, Salvatore Ruscitti, Ruscitti, Lauren Goodwin, Goodwin, they're, Unlimited's Elliott Organizations: MRB Partners, Funds, Bank, P Bank ETF, New York Life Investments Locations: Bridgewater, MRB
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEarnings to be a key driver of equities this year: Merrill's Marci McGregorLauren Goodwin, New York Life Investments economist, and Marci McGregor, senior investment strategist for the chief investment office at Merrill and Bank of America Private Bank, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss markets, the Fed, and the potential of the rally resuming.
Persons: Merrill's Marci McGregor Lauren Goodwin, Marci McGregor Organizations: New York Life Investments, Bank of America Private Bank Locations: New York, Merrill
U.S. stock futures were little changed Monday night after a losing day for the major benchmarks. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures flickered near the flatline. The 30-stock Dow dropped 248 points, or 0.65%, in its sixth straight losing day. Those losses follow a rise in yields that had investors shrugging off strong earnings from Goldman Sachs , as well as hot retail sales data. Big bank earnings are set to continue Tuesday, with the release of results from Bank of America, Johnson & Johnson and Morgan Stanley.
Persons: Dow, Goldman Sachs, we're, Lauren Goodwin, CNBC's, Johnson, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Treasury, Saturday, New York Life Investments, Bank of America, United Airlines, Traders Locations: Israel, U.S, UnitedHealth
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Solus Alternative's Dan Greenhaus and New York Life's Lauren GoodwinDan Greenhaus, Solus Alternative Asset Management, and Lauren Goodwin, New York Life Investments, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the current caution towards markets, how the Fed's trajectory is impacting equity markets, and more.
Persons: Solus Alternative's Dan Greenhaus, Life's Lauren Goodwin Dan Greenhaus, Lauren Goodwin Organizations: Management, New York Life Investments Locations: New, New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEquity markets won't see sustained downturn until earnings fall, says New York Life's GoodwinDan Greenhaus, Solus Alternative Asset Management, and Lauren Goodwin, New York Life Investments, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the current caution towards markets, how the Fed's trajectory is impacting equity markets, and more.
Persons: Life's Goodwin Dan Greenhaus, Lauren Goodwin Organizations: Equity, Management, New York Life Investments Locations: New, New York
Job creation in March easily topped expectations in a sign of continued acceleration for what has been a bustling and resilient labor market. The unemployment rate edged lower to 3.8%, as expected, even though the labor force participation rate moved higher to 62.7%, a gain of 0.2 percentage point from February. "This report and the February report showed some broadening in terms of job creation, which is a very good sign." Stocks have tumbled this week amid concerns that a strong labor market and resilient economy could keep the central bank on hold for longer than expected. Correction: The unemployment rate edged lower to 3.8%.
Persons: Nonfarm, Dow Jones, Lauren Goodwin, Jerome Powell Organizations: Dow, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Wall, Retail, New York Life Investments, Federal Reserve, Stock
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRates might drive correctioin into earnings season: Solus' Dan GreenhausDan Greenhaus, Solus Alternative Asset Management chief strategist, Lauren Goodwin, New York Life Investments economist, and Kristen Bitterly, head of investment solutions at Citi Global Wealth, join 'Closing Bell,' to discuss the markets, economy, labor market, and the Fed's next moves.
Persons: Solus, Dan Greenhaus Dan Greenhaus, Lauren Goodwin, Kristen Organizations: Asset Management, New York Life Investments, Citi Global Wealth Locations: New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Solus' Dan Greenhaus, New York Life Investments' Lauren Goodwin and Citi Global Wealth's Kristen BitterlyDan Greenhaus, Solus Alternative Asset Management chief strategist, Lauren Goodwin, New York Life Investments economist, and Kristen Bitterly, head of investment solutions at Citi Global Wealth, join 'Closing Bell,' to discuss the markets, economy, labor market, and the Fed's next moves.
Persons: Solus, Dan Greenhaus, Lauren Goodwin, Kristen Organizations: Dan Greenhaus , New York Life Investments, Citi Global, Asset Management, New York Life Investments, Citi Global Wealth Locations: Dan Greenhaus , New York, New York
Such a move would bode well for fixed income, including municipal bonds. Recent data from Columbia Threadneedle Investments and Bloomberg, shows that muni bonds can see a jump in cumulative tax-equivalent returns once the Fed begins cutting rates. When taking into account the tax savings, muni bond investors don't have to take that much risk to capture attractive yields. Rising flows and higher yields Investors have been pouring money into muni bond funds lately. BlackRock's iShares National Muni Bond ETF (MUB) , meanwhile, has seen an exodus of more than $1 billion in flows this year, but it experienced inflows of $150.9 million in the past week.
Persons: Jerome Powell, bode, munis, Catherine Stienstra, BlackRock's, Duane McAllister, Baird Organizations: Federal Reserve, Columbia Threadneedle Investments, Bloomberg, York Life Investments, Columbia, Bond, Muni Bond ETF, Baird Asset Management, AAA, BBB Locations: Columbia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRisks to rally are things I don't see happening in the next few months, says New York Life's GoodwinLauren Goodwin, New York Life Investments chief market strategist, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss if Goodwin's stance towards equities, what Goodwin wants to see to be more constructive on equities, and much more.
Persons: Life's Goodwin Lauren Goodwin, Goodwin Organizations: New York Life Investments Locations: New, New York
High interest rates squeeze companies of all sizes, but that’s especially the case for smaller firms, unlike large companies better equipped to weather the storm. Before the Bell: How do the effects of higher-for-longer interest rates on companies vary by size? I think it might be a stretch to say that M&A activity picks up because of higher interest rates, so instead, it’s that if good businesses are beginning to suffer because of higher interest rates, then they might be more likely to be a target. Gas prices always rise as winter winds down because demand increases and gas stations must switch over to more expensive summer fuel. No matter the cause, rising gas prices are bad news for consumers already frustrated by the cost of living.
Persons: It’s, Bell, Lauren Goodwin, Matt Egan, , Patrick De Haan, doesn’t, ” Read, Raphael Bostic, Michelle Bowman, Philip Jefferson, Patrick Harker, Lisa Cook, Neel Kashkari, Christopher Waller Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Federal Reserve, New York Life Investments, AAA, , HSBC, Walmart, Home Depot, Barclays, Caesars Entertainment, Nvidia, Rivian, Fidelity, Marriott, Intuit, Pacific Gas & Electric, Global, Chicago Fed, US Labor Department, National Association of Realtors, Warner Bros ., Icahn Enterprises Locations: Washington, Wingstop, United States
If productivity is strong, that means the US economy is doing more with less, or being more productive. Productivity is measured by dividing all the goods and services produced in the economy by every hour people worked. “But the economy did well, so that translated into higher productivity, supporting higher wage growth and fending off inflation from accelerating.”Last year’s productivity boom could also be a combination of all of the above. Still, it may be too soon to know if last year’s productivity burst was truly a transformative shift in the US economy. “Sometimes at the very end of an economic cycle, productivity can be boosted by cost-saving measures,” Goodwin of New York Life Investments said.
Persons: ” Lauren Goodwin, Mark Zandi, John Min, Austan Goolsbee, It’s, ” Min, ” Goodwin, Organizations: DC CNN, Labor Department, New York Life Investments, CNN, Microsoft, Meta, Citigroup, Monex, Federal Reserve, Chicago Fed, Bloomberg Locations: Washington
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email2024 playbook may mirror 2023 until there's a break in economic data: NY Life Investments' GoodwinLauren Goodwin, New York Life Investments chief market strategist, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss her expectations for the economy post CPI report.
Persons: there's, Goodwin Lauren Goodwin Organizations: Investments, New York Life Investments Locations: New York
Investors with a focus on tax-free income have two new choices to consider from Vanguard as the asset manager launches a pair of municipal bond exchange-traded funds. Tax advantages The biggest selling point for municipal bond funds is the tax-free income they provide. VTEC follows the S & P California AMT-Free Municipal Bond Index, while VTEI tracks the S & P Intermediate Term National AMT-Free Municipal Bond Index. However, in November, $2.8 billion in assets flowed into intermediate-term muni bond funds, followed by another $2.3 billion in December, Morningstar found. said Foos of municipal bond funds.
Persons: Beth Foos, there's, VTEI, Jeffrey Johnson, Johnson, Morningstar, it's Organizations: Vanguard, California, Bond, Federal Reserve, Morningstar, York Life Investments, Free Municipal Bond Index, Free Municipal Bond, muni, Treasury Locations: California
Read previewThe labor market smashed expectations in January, adding 353,000 new jobs, far above economist forecasts of 187,000. Despite the strong headline number, however, there are signs that the job market is deteriorating beneath the surface. For one, the Bureau of Labor Statistics' household survey is showing some divergence from its payroll survey. "High labor and credit costs are beginning to materially impact corporate profits, which impacts both the labor market and (eventually) the default rate." Still, while there are signs of weakening, there are also signs of improvement in the labor market.
Persons: , Jeff Schulze, today's, Shulze, Louis Fed, Lance Roberts, Ian Shepherdson, Lauren Goodwin Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, of Labor Statistics, BLS, of Labor, ClearBridge Investments, RIA Advisors, National Federation of Independent Business, Pantheon, Bank of America's Global, New York Life Investments, ClearBridge
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNot a lot has changed despite Powell's comments on rate hikes, says New York Life's GoodwinLauren Goodwin, New York Life Investment Management, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the playbook after Jerome Powell's recent comments, if March's Fed meeting even matters, and Goodwin's thoughts on the credit markets.
Persons: Life's Goodwin Lauren Goodwin, Jerome Powell's Organizations: New York Life Investment Management, Fed Locations: New
BondBloxx is set to debut three new funds on Thursday: BBB Rated 1-5 Year Corporate Bond ETF (BBBS) , BBB Rated 5-10 Year Corporate Bond ETF (BBBI) and BBB Rated 10+ Year Corporate Bond ETF (BBBL). Bonds rated BBB or an equivalent are considered the last rung of investment grade credit. Tony Kelly, co-founder of BondBloxx, said BBB credit is the "not-so-secret sauce" for active managers trying to beat credit benchmarks. Of course, economic downturns are always a concern for corporate credit. This is not unusual for corporate bond funds since banks and other financial institutions issue a lot of short-term debt, but it does suggest that the funds could have some concentration risk.
Persons: Bonds, Rick Rieder, Tony Kelly, BondBloxx, Kelly, Lauren Goodwin, Goodwin Organizations: BBB, Corporate, New York Life Investments, Reserve Locations: BondBloxx
Indeed, investors get paid for taking a small step down in credit quality in the muni bond space. What's even sweeter is that municipal bond income is generally exempt from federal income tax. This also means high income investors would have to scoop up a higher yielding corporate bond to get the same tax-advantaged yield a muni bond would generate. A measured amount of risk Munis offer lower yields compared to their corporate counterparts, but they also carry significantly less risk. Lower risk, however, doesn't necessarily mean risk free.
Persons: Jennifer Johnston, Franklin Templeton, Lyle Fitterer, munis, corporates, Cooper Howard, Jonathan Mondillo, Franklin Templeton's Johnston Organizations: Federal Reserve, Franklin, AAA, muni, Strategic Municipal Bond Fund, York Life Investments, Moody's Investors Service, Charitable, Schwab Center, Financial Research Locations: muni, Abrdn
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Ritholtz's Josh Brown and New York Life Investments Lauren GoodwinJosh Brown, chief executive of Ritholtz Wealth Management, and Lauren Goodwin, New York Life Investments economist, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the bullish sentiment, market value, and the rally's staying power.
Persons: Ritholtz's Josh Brown, Lauren Goodwin Josh Brown, Lauren Goodwin Organizations: New York, Ritholtz Wealth Management, New York Life Investments Locations: New York
Municipal bonds, favored for their tax-free income, are looking at a solid year in 2024 and could be a compelling purchase for investors hoping to lock in attractive yields. "We will likely see positive total returns," said Cooper Howard, fixed income strategist at the Schwab Center for Financial Research. "Munis are one of the best things going in the fixed income space," he said. It provides all the attributes of fixed income, and it serves as ballast to an overall diversified portfolio." Naturally, rates are on the minds of fixed income investors and strategists, as well as recession risk.
Persons: Cooper Howard, who've, Peter Higgins, Ben Barber, Schwab's Howard, Paul Malloy, It's, Beth Foos, Malloy, Howard, you've Organizations: Schwab Center, Financial Research, Morningstar U.S, Municipal, Shelton Capital Management, York Life Investments, Franklin, AAA, Vanguard, Bond, Morningstar Locations: New York , New Jersey, California
Investors who hope to generate portfolio income while recession fears ramp higher can seek some safety in municipal bonds. Wells Fargo Investment Institute recently issued its fixed income guidance for 2024, forecasting "higher for longer" rates across the yield curve as the Federal Reserve remains vigilant to bring down inflation. Municipal bonds offer a combination of characteristics that appeal to investors: General obligation bonds are backed by the revenue of the municipality issuing them. "Going into a slowdown, you anticipate rates to fall," said Brian Rehling, head of global fixed income strategy at Wells Fargo Investment Institute. The top marginal income tax rate is 13.3% in California and well over 10% in New York and New Jersey.
Persons: Brian Rehling, Jennifer Johnston, Franklin Templeton, Johnston Organizations: Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Federal Reserve, Fargo Investment Institute, AAA, Muni Bond ETF, Vanguard, Bond, Fed, New York Life Investments, Investors, York State, Metropolitan Transportation Authority Locations: Wells Fargo, Fargo, New, California, New York, New Jersey, York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Jeremy Siegel, Lauren Goodwin and Jordan JacksonJeremy Siegel, Wharton School professor of finance, Lauren Goodwin, New York Life Investments economist, and Jordan Jackson, JPMorgan global market strategist, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss their outlook on the Fed, recession risks, and more.
Persons: Jeremy Siegel, Lauren Goodwin, Jordan Jackson Jeremy Siegel, Jordan Jackson Organizations: Wharton School, New York Life Investments, JPMorgan Locations: New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe economy is closer to a recession than markets think, says New York Life Investment's GoodwinLauren Goodwin, New York Life Investments economist, joins 'Closing Bell' 'Closing Bell' to discuss the current market rally and her market outlook.
Persons: Investment's Goodwin Lauren Goodwin Organizations: New York Life Investments Locations: New York
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