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☆ Home Prices May Be Sky-High, but America Is Not in a Housing Bubble
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-14 | by ( James Rodriguez | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +12 min

The housing market, they claimed, was a bubble destined to burst. I’ve spent the past few years asking experts a simple question: Has the housing market reached bubble territory? AdvertisementFor a time, it seemed like the housing market was doing a speedrun through Simonsen’s checklist. And even if the economy does take a turn, a run-of-the-mill recession probably wouldn’t be enough to topple the housing market. The housing market is far from balanced, but we’re at least heading in that direction.

Persons: doomsayers, I’ve, Redfin, you’ve, you’ll, Mike Simonsen, megalandlords, ”, Ian Shepherdson, Goldman Sachs, Jerome Powell, Powell, Rick Palacios Jr, John Burns, ” doomsayers, might’ve, It’s, it’s, Logan Mohtashami, don’t, US homebuilders, “ It’s, ” Mohtashami, Selma Hepp, Fannie Mae, Palacios, ” Palacios, Mohtashami Organizations: Altos Research, Wall, John, John Burns Research, Consulting, Mortgage Bankers Association, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Federal Housing Finance Agency Locations: Charlotte, North Carolina, Austin, Las Vegas, Miami, Boise , Idaho, Dallas, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, US

☆ Spring homebuying and selling season just kicked off. Are you ready?
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-11 | by ( Anna Bahney | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

So if you’re planning to be in the market this year, here’s what to expect this spring — and how to be ready to pounce. Don’t wait for better prices or ratesLast year was the least affordable housing market since the 1980’s as mortgage rates spiked to 23-year highs at the end of October. But a slightly brighter season is dawning this spring. This spring is offering a bit of rate and price stability said Betty Jans, an Annapolis, Maryland-based real estate agent. “If you wait, and all of the sudden we have a little dip in rates, you’re going to be competing with everyone else that wants to buy then, too,” Jans said.

Persons: it’s, Fannie Mae, Betty Jans, Tiffany Hagler, homebuyers, ”, Jans, Berkshire Hathaway, PenFed, ” Jans, “, Mike Mravca, Mravca, ” Mravca, “ I’ve, Hillary Nash, Nash, “ It’s, you’re Organizations: Washington CNN, NFL, Super, Geard, Bloomberg, Getty, Berkshire, Taylor Properties, NAR, District of Columbia, of Housing, Urban Development, National Housing Conference Locations: Annapolis , Maryland, Larchmont , New York, Virginia , Maryland, Delaware, Washington, Washington , DC, Maryland, Virginia

It allows the city to suspend a landlord’s rental license if police answer four or more “nuisance” calls in a year. Minnesota law meanwhile prohibits landlords from limiting or preventing calls for emergency services and also preempts local ordinances penalizing landlords over such calls. She later learned the calls ran afoul of Peoria’s nuisance ordinance. Last year, Maryland prohibited landlords from evicting tenants over the number of emergency calls to their addresses, as well as prohibited cities and counties from penalizing landlords for emergency calls. Jose Cruz Guzman, who serves on the board of Minneapolis’ Sky Without Limits Cooperative, said emergency calls to an apartment would prompt support from fellow residents.

Persons: ”, Elizabeth Sauer, Jeff Weaver, Sue Abderholden, Scott Baumgartner, Baumgartner, Tina Davies, Davies, they’re, “ I’m, Kate Walz, Jose Cruz Guzman, ___ Hanna, Steve Karnowski Organizations: U.S . Department of Justice, Central Minnesota Legal Services, City, FBI, DOJ, Anoka, National Alliance, Mental, Associated Press, Fair Housing, Peoria, American Civil Liberties Union, New, New York Civil Liberties Union, National Housing Law, Housing, Prevention Locations: Minneapolis, Anoka, Mississippi, ”, Minnesota, California , Ohio, Illinois, Peoria, New York, Hesperia , California, U.S, Maryland, California, Topeka , Kansas

☆ An affordability crisis is making some young Americans give up on ever owning a home
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-03 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

Washington, DC CNN —Americans are living through the toughest housing market in a generation and, for some young people, the quintessential dream of owning a home is slipping away. Mortgage rates surged in recent years, hitting the highest levels in more than two decades last fall. CNN spoke with some young Americans about their thoughts on the current state of the US housing market and their plans for the future. “The housing market is not a single person’s market.”What typically happens when a regional housing market becomes too unaffordable is that people without the means simply move somewhere cheaper, such as a suburb an hour away, for example. Still, affordability takes into account mortgage rates, family incomes and single-family home prices, which remain a vexing pain point.

Persons: It’s, Baby, Brandie Grant, Grant, ”, “, ” Brandie Grant, Brandie, Ross, Emily Bunton, Ross Bunton, That’s, ” Bunton, I’m, Corey Griffis, ’, hasn’t, ” Griffis, Shyahm Aguilar, Shyahm Aguilar Shyahm Aguilar, Aguilar, we’ve, ” Aguilar, that’s, there’s, Fannie Mae’s, ” Mark Palim, Fannie Mae, Mario Tama, Daryl Fairweather, Redfin’s, Sofiya Vyshnevska, Vyshnevska, “ Young Organizations: DC CNN, Baby Boomers, CNN, San Francisco Bay Area, National Association of Realtors, Housing Administration, Montana State University, Federal, Housing Survey, “, NAR Locations: Washington, San Francisco Bay, United States, St, Louis , Missouri, Portland , Oregon, Mexico, Santa Fe , New Mexico, Santa Fe, Merida, Colorado, Phoenix, Queen Creek , Arizona, Minneapolis, Houston, Dallas, Austin , Texas, Tampa, Jacksonville, Orlando, Florida, Atlanta

☆ Americans see cheaper mortgage rates ahead as expectations flip for the first time ever in Fannie Mae's latest survey
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-09 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

On balance, more Americans now see mortgage rates falling than rising in the year ahead. That's the first time it was happened in the history of Fannie Mae's survey. The latest National Housing Survey showed 31% of consumers expect mortgage rates to drop. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementMore Americans than ever are expecting lower mortgage rates ahead, according to the latest Fannie Mae National Housing Survey.

Persons: Fannie, —, Fannie Mae, Mark Palim, Fannie Mae's Organizations: Housing Survey, Service, Fannie, Housing, Business Locations: Fannie Mae's

☆ 10 industry leaders transforming business in 2023
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-11 | by ( ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +20 min

In 2023, Business Insider's annual list of People Transforming Business highlights key players across the advertising, ESG, finance, AI, and labor sectors. Increasingly, they're turning to more opaque private credit markets to borrow money. The world of private credit sits outside the traditional banking system. Analysts expect the private credit market to balloon in size — likely keeping lawyers like Breen very busy. Muthukrishnan is trying to make sense of how risky these private credit loans are by overseeing what is so far the most comprehensive look at vulnerabilities in the industry.

Persons: Mira Murati, who's, Vince Toye, Eileen Fisher, Eileen Fisher Fisher, Guerin Blask, Eileen Fisher Eileen Fisher, she's, Fisher, Janelle Jones, Jones, Lexey, —, She's, Justin Breen, Proskauer Breen, Proskauer Justin Breen, he's, Breen, Ares Capital, He's, McLaren, Julie Su, Labor Julie Su, Department of Labor Julie Su, Su, Marty Walsh, Murati, Jim Wilson, Neal Mohan, YouTube Mohan, Katie Thompson, YouTube It's, YouTube isn't, Mohan, Muthukrishnan, Satya Nadella, Microsoft Satya Nadella, Ben Kriemann, Nadella, Steve Ballmer, Mathias Döpfner, Axel Springer, Tim Cook, Apple Cook, Justin Sullivan, Cook, Steve Jobs, Jobs, JPMorgan Chase Toye, JPMorgan Chase, Toye, they'll, Vince Toye's, Bella Sayegh, Rebecca Ungarino, Lara O'Reilly, Juliana Kaplan, Alex Nicoll, Tim Paradis, Stephanie Hallett, Michelle Abrego, Josée Rose, Ryan Joe, Emily Canal, Kaja Whitehouse, Alyssa Powell, Davis, Jonann Brady Organizations: JPMorgan, Service Employees International, SEIU, New York, Ford, Service Employees International Union, United Auto Workers Union, Spelman College, US Department of Labor, Economic Policy Institute, Center for Economic, Research, Department of Labor, The New York Times, Ares, Churchill Asset Management, European, Atlético Madrid, Labor, Labor Department, MacArthur Foundation, New York Times, Dartmouth, OpenAI, Associated Press, YouTube, NFL, DirecTV, Federal, Microsoft, Manipal Institute of Technology, University of Wisconsin -, University of Chicago, Apple, Apple Watch, Google, Time, JPMorgan Chase, National Housing Trust, Trenton Almgren Locations: McDonald's, Lorain , Ohio, Atlanta, California, Los Angeles, Albania, Canada, Muthukrishnan, Hyderabad, India, University of Wisconsin - Milwaukee, OpenAI, Virginia, Wells Fargo, Trenton

SANTA FE, N.M. (AP) — Voters have approved a tax on mansions to pay for affordable housing initiatives in New Mexico's capital city of Santa Fe. Tuesday's vote signals newfound public support for so-called mansion taxes to fund affordable housing and stave off homelessness. The buyer would pay $6,000 to the city’s affordable housing trust fund. Santa Fe voters previously shied away from prominent tax initiatives, rejecting a 1% tax on high-end home sales in 2009 and defeating a tax on sugary drinks to expand early childhood education in 2017. The Santa Fe Association of Realtors has filed a lawsuit aimed at blocking the tax, arguing that it the city overstepped its authority under state law.

Organizations: SANTA FE, —, Voters, Santa Fe, Santa Fe Association of Realtors Locations: SANTA, New Mexico's, Santa Fe, Los Angeles, Chicago, Santa

☆ More remote workers are willing to move in order to find affordable housing
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-03 | by ( Anna Bahney | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Continuing remote and hybrid work, at levels remarkably unchanged from two years ago, is enabling people to move toward housing affordability, the study found. At the beginning of the year, 22% of remote and hybrid workers said they would be willing to relocate to a different region or increase their commute. The research showed that among remote workers, all age and income groups have grown more willing to relocate or live farther away from their workplace since 2021. This is good news for remote workers during a time of crushingly low levels of home affordability. The researchers say the change to the housing market brought about by remote workers holds broader implications for the link between housing and the labor market.

Persons: Fannie Mae, Fannie, ’, “, ” Organizations: DC CNN, Housing, Housing Survey, Workers Locations: Washington, ’

☆ New York will pay homeowners up to $125,000 to build an ADU in their backyard to help ease the nation's housing shortage
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-22 | by ( Kelsey Neubauer | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

New York allocated $85 million to pay homeowners for building ADUs in their backyards. The state has given out $23.4 million to go to homeowners from the Buffalo area to New York City. As of August 15, the Empire State has spent $23.4 million doing so, according to New York State Homes and Community Renewal, which is in charge of the funds. miller.photo for VillaMany cities, in New York and beyond, have eased zoning ordinances to allow homeowners to build additional living units on their property. In California — where the housing crisis is especially dire — the state legislature even overrode local zoning ordinances, to allow all homeowners to build on their property.

Persons: Jolie Milstein, Kathy Hochul, HCR, miller.photo, Milstein Organizations: Service, Empire State, New York State Homes, Community, New York State Association for Affordable Housing, of, Villa, California —, Spectrum Locations: York, Buffalo, New York City, Wall, Silicon, Ulster County, Amherst, of New York City, Westchester, San Jose, New York, California

☆ Top investors say these stock sectors are 'super cheap' and Warren Buffett likes them both
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-16 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

I mean they're always kind of cheap, but they're really cheap," Link said. Housing stocks have risen sharply, with the SPDR S & P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) up about 23% over the past year. Both investors agreed that energy stocks could see a similar rally to housing in the years ahead. "I believe what we are seeing with homebuilders is going to happen with energy stocks in two to three years. In addition to energy stocks being cheap, they could also see fundamentals improvement if oil prices continue to rise, Link said.

Persons: Fundstrat, Tom Lee, Stephanie Link, Lee, Warren, Link Organizations: CNBC, Hightower Advisors, Berkshire, Occidental Petroleum, Chevron, Diamondback Energy, Exxon, Devon Energy Locations: Horton, Chevron, homebuilder

☆ Over 80% of Americans think it's a bad time to buy a house
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-08 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Americans don't feel good about the prospect of buying a house right now. 82% think it's a "bad time to buy" a new home, according to a Fannie Mae survey. Affordability has plunged due to soaring mortgage rates and low inventory levels. And just 64% of the people surveyed by Fannie Mae believe it's a good time to sell a house. "Unsurprisingly, consumers continue to attribute the challenging conditions to high home prices and unfavorable mortgage rates," he added.

Persons: Fannie Mae, Fannie, Black Knight, Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae's, Doug Duncan Organizations: Service, Housing Survey, Federal Locations: Wall, Silicon, Fannie Mae's, Black

☆ Wall Street landlords are selling homes back to Main Street. Here's what it might mean for runaway housing prices.
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-03 | by ( Alex Nicoll | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

The companies — Invitation Homes and AMH — have already sold 1003 homes this year, through July, to non-corporate buyers, according to Insider's analysis of data from real estate tracker Attom Data. The group, which has included Wall Street firms like Blackstone (which spun off Invitation Homes), has been blamed for exacerbating the housing shortage that has pushed real-estate prices sky-high. One exception might be in 2019 when Invitation Homes sold 785 homes to non-corporate buyers, versus 225 sales through July of this year. The lack of housing supply, which has kept prices high even as mortgage rates rise, makes selling homes in markets that cost more to operate rentals a profitable play. In reporting earnings last week, Invitation Homes increased its core revenue guidance for the rest half of the year because its rent prices actually outperformed expectations.

Persons: —, AMH, Jon Olsen, execs, Dallas Tanner, Tanner, Gary Beasley, Roofstock, Beasley, He's, Dave Singelyn, Singelyn Organizations: Attom, Wall, Blackstone, Invitation Homes, SFR, Invitation, MLS, Homes, Sun, Wall Street, Homeowners, Seller Services Locations: SFR, New York City, America

☆ Homelessness in England has reached a 25-year high by this measure
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-26 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

London CNN —The number of households living in temporary accommodation in England has hit its highest level since at least 1998, according to official data. Local authorities in England have a duty to provide accommodation for households that have become “unintentionally homeless.” While authorities process a household’s application for housing, they often provide temporary accommodation. “The majority of households in temporary accommodation have been placed under the main homelessness duty,” the housing department says in its definition of temporary accommodation. In addition, there were almost 38,000 households at risk of becoming homeless, broadly unchanged from the first quarter of 2022. The figure refers to homes in England, the department told CNN Wednesday.

Persons: —, “, Matt Downie, they’re Organizations: London CNN, Local, National Housing Federation, Scotland’s Heriot, Watt University, National, Building Council, CNN Locations: England, United Kingdom, —, Scotland, Wales

☆ Less than 5% of U.S. housing supply is accessible to older, disabled Americans. These changes may help
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-21 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Despite a sizeable elderly and disabled population in the U.S., there is not enough affordable housing to accommodate those individuals. "In particular, too many older adults and people with disabilities cannot afford accessible housing," Casey said. At the same time, 1 in 5 Americans will be older than 65 by 2030. Accessible homes — which offer specific features or technologies — can help older and disabled individuals continue to live in their own homes or in communities they choose. Yet less than 5% of the national housing supply is accessible, Casey said.

Persons: Sen, Bob Casey, Casey, Mike Braun, Braun, " Braun Organizations: Aging, Finance, Social Security, med Social, Senate Locations: U.S

☆ Canadian housing starts jump 41% in June - CMHC
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

TORONTO, July 18 (Reuters) - Canadian housing starts rose 41% in June compared with the previous month, the largest increase in the last 10 years, led by groundbreaking on multiple unit urban homes, data from the national housing agency showed on Tuesday. The seasonally adjusted annualized rate of housing starts rose to 281,373 units in June from a revised 200,018 units in May, the Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) said. Economists in a Reuters poll had expected starts to increase to 220,000 in June. Reporting by Fergal Smith; Editing by Andrew HeavensOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Fergal Smith, Andrew Heavens Organizations: TORONTO, Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation, Thomson

☆ The U.S. economy keeps skirting recession, but consumer sector might slowly be splitting apart
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The signals that economists lean on to gauge the odds of a recession are contradictory at the moment. The yield curve remains deeply inverted, and manufacturing surveys have been flashing recession signals for months. On Tuesday, Goldman Sachs lowered its odds of a U.S. recession in the next 12 months to just 25%. watch nowBut can the strong consumer sector continue to hold up as the pandemic-era savings fade away and interest rates remain elevated? Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Dollar General's stock fell sharply after the retailer cut its full-year outlook.

Persons: Mike Blake, Goldman Sachs, Marko Kolanovic, Lauren Goodwin, Goodwin, It's, Nick Bunker, they're, Bunker Organizations: Reuters, Federal Reserve, PMI, JPMorgan, New York Life Investments, Target, American Airlines, Labor, Meta, Disney, North America Locations: Carlsbad , California, U.S

While a federal election is not due until 2025, housing affordability is among the top concerns for Canadians who have grappled with supply shortages. The Liberal Party government's ambitious plan to welcome 500,000 immigrants per year by 2025, or about 1.25% of its population, is expected to fuel robust demand for housing. In April 2022, the Liberal government announced plans to double housing construction over the next decade. It's been 8 years (since he took power), and now, housing costs have doubled," Poilievre said on Twitter earlier this month. Speaking with the heads of Canada's municipalities last week, Trudeau said the government's next "long term infrastructure" plan will be revealed this autumn.

Persons: Justin Trudeau, Randall Bartlett, Bartlett, Pierre Poilievre, Trudeau, Poilievre, Darrell Bricker, they're, Bricker, James Laird, Laird, Fergal Smith, Steve Scherer, Marguerita Choy Organizations: TORONTO, Bank of Canada, Liberal Party, Desjardins, Liberal, Housing, Canada Mortgage, Housing Corporation, Canadian Home Builders ' Association, Reuters, Conservative Party, Twitter, Toronto Area, Public Affairs, Thomson Locations: Toronto, Ottawa

☆ Canadian housing starts slow as BoC rate hikes weigh
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-19 | by ( Fergal Smith | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

TORONTO, April 19 (Reuters) - Canadian housing starts fell more than expected in March, contributing to a slower trend in recent months that follows a rapid increase in borrowing costs, data from the national housing agency showed on Wednesday. The seasonally adjusted annualized rate (SAAR) of housing starts fell 11% to 213,865 units from a revised 240,927 units in February, the Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) said. "The SAAR of housing starts and the trend appear to be returning to pre-pandemic levels," Bob Dugan, CMHC's chief economist, said in a statement. The Bank of Canada has lifted its benchmark interest rate to a 15-year high of 4.50% to tackle inflation. For the first quarter, starts averaged 223,000, the weakest quarter since the depth of the COVID-19 pandemic in early-2020, Robert Kavcic, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets, said in a note.

☆ Canadian housing starts fall 11% in March -CMHC
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

TORONTO, April 19 (Reuters) - Canadian housing starts fell more than expected in March compared with the previous month as groundbreaking decreased on multiple unit and single-family detached urban homes, data from the national housing agency showed on Wednesday. The seasonally adjusted annualized rate of housing starts fell 11% to 213,865 units from a revised 240,927 units in February, the Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) said. Economists had expected starts to fall to 237,800. Reporting by Fergal Smith; Editing by Chizu NomiyamaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Real-Estate Agents Face a Reckoning As Housing Market, Home Sales Slow
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-19 | by ( James Rodriguez | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +14 min

Just as the housing market goes through booms and busts, so do the ranks of real-estate agents. This has left real-estate agents fighting over a dwindling pool of listings. That makes the job of a local real-estate agent trickier and more nuanced than it was a year ago. "What makes a good real-estate agent and what makes a successful real-estate agent have almost no crossover." She joined a women's support group for real-estate agents on Facebook, where she found many others were experiencing similar challenges.

☆ The 10 US cities where it's hardest to build affordable housing
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-21 | by ( Eliza Relman | Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Restrictive zoning, often originally designed to exclude people of color, persists in metros across the US. Restrictive zoning policies are a major obstacle to building more housing, particularly affordable housing for lower and middle-income Americans, amid a national housing shortage. But restrictive zoning isn't limited to major coastal cities. And it prevents neighborhoods from becoming more dense, worsening the national housing shortage and limiting the supply of much-needed affordable housing. Multi-family homes, apartment buildings, and other more affordable housing are illegal to build in vast swaths of the nation's residential neighborhoods.

☆ A day in the life of a sorority house interior designer, from picking out makeup mirrors to transforming closets into mental wellness spaces
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-11 | by ( Britney Nguyen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Liz Toombs is a Lexington, Kentucky-based interior designer who mostly works with sororities. Her work varies from designing a newly built sorority house to styling one room in a facility. After refreshing some rooms in the house, Toombs was approached by a sorority who needed work on their house, too. "When we're building a new sorority house, we're doing everything. For a new sorority house, Toombs said whatever furniture goes in one bedroom goes in all of them.

☆ Senate Plan Aims to Revitalize Beaten-Down Communities
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-07 | by ( Andrew Ackerman | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

WASHINGTON—A bipartisan group of U.S. lawmakers is reviving efforts to spur the renovation of single-family homes in blighted neighborhoods, the latest effort to dent a long-term national housing shortage. Legislation introduced in the Senate aims to create a new tax credit to cover a developer’s costs when the renovation of a crumbling building exceeds a home’s potential selling price, so the project becomes feasible.

☆ The Fed's own economists are warning of a 19.5% housing correction and more rate hikes could set off a 'domino effect'
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-01 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

For more on that, I recommended reading my colleague Dan DeFrancesco's excellent 10 Things on Wall Street newsletter. And for today, let's see why the Fed's own economists are warning of a nearly 20% housing correction. They argued US home prices would have to tumble nearly 20% to bring the housing market back to fundamentals — and additional Fed rate hikes could lead to an even worse housing correction. Have you entered or exited the housing market in the last year? These four charts explain the troubling state of the housing market right now.

☆ US home prices could tumble nearly 20% and Fed economists warn further rate hikes risk an even worse housing correction: 'The bubble hypothesis merits attention'
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-28 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Dallas Fed economists warned of a 19.5% housing market correction in a Tuesday research report. "[I]f the observed price-to-rent ratio grows at an explosive rate relative to its fundamental-based ratio estimated with long-term interest rate and rent growth data, the bubble hypothesis merits attention," they said. For the US housing market to return to its fundamentals, they estimated that a 19.5% correction would be necessary. There were signs that the US price-to-rent ratio began to fall in third quarter as prices cooled faster than rents, they added. For now, a modest housing correction remains the baseline scenario, but the authors warned that more hawkish monetary policy could trigger a steeper correction.

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