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☆ Chinese finance minister hints at increasing the deficit at highly anticipated briefing
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-12 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

BEIJING — China's Minister of Finance Lan Fo'an told reporters Saturday during a press briefing that the central government has room to increase debt and the deficit. Economists have said China needs additional fiscal support, but Beijing has yet to announce any. He did not name specific figures and noted supporting real estate required multiple policies. In a meeting in late September, led by Chinese President Xi Jinping, authorities had called for strengthening monetary and fiscal policy support. China's retail sales grew only modestly over the last few months, and the country's real estate slump has shown few signs of turning around.

Persons: Lan Fo'an, Zheng Shanjie, Pan Gongsheng, Finance Lan Fo'an, Lan, Finance Liao Min, Xi Jinping, Ting Lu Organizations: National Development, Reform Commission, People's Bank of China, National People's Congress, BEIJING —, Finance, Nomura, National Bureau, Statistics Locations: Beijing, China, BEIJING

☆ Efforts by the US to counter China in the South China Sea could backfire
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-12 | by ( Thibault Spirlet | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +10 min

The US has played a key role in countering China in the South China Sea. They "want a Goldilocks situation in the South China Sea — not too hot, not too cold," he added. A China Coast Guard ship, at right, sails past the Philippine Coast Guard ship BRP Cape Engaño on August 26, 2024. AdvertisementASEAN held its annual summit in Laos this week, in part to discuss territorial tensions in the South China Sea. A Philippine Coast Guard vessel and a Chinese Coast Guard vessel during an incident in the South China Sea on August 19, 2024.

Persons: —, Bill Hayton, Antony Blinken, Hunter Marston, Omar Zaghloul, Bush, Marston, George W, Obama, Trump, Biden, It's, Martson, Gregory B, Poling, Chatham House's, Samuel Paparo, Hayton, Sabina, REUTERS Poling, Mutual Defense Treaty, of National Defense Gilberto Teodoro Organizations: US, Service, Chatham, South China, China Coast Guard, Philippine Coast Guard, BRP, ROSA, Getty, ASEAN, Southeast, Australian National University, Coral Bell School of Asia, Pacific Affairs, Anadolu Agency, Center for Strategic, Studies, Asia Program, Transparency Initiative, Pacific Command, US National Bureau of Economic Research, coastguard, Coast Guard, Chinese Coast Guard, REUTERS, Mutual Defense, CBS, of National Defense Locations: China, South China, Philippines, South, Asia, Chatham House's Asia, BRP Cape Engaño, AFP, Laos, Filipino, United States, Singapore, Vietnam, Malaysia, Indonesia, Cambodia, Brunei, Pacific, Chatham House's Hayton, Philippine, Taiwan, Hong Kong, West Philippine, Weibo, Handout, Poling, Ukraine

☆ Hong Kong plans to install thousands of surveillance cameras. Critics say it’s more proof the city is moving closer to China
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-05 | by ( Jessie Yeung | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

Hong Kong CNN —Glance up while strolling through parts of downtown Hong Kong and, chances are, you’ll notice the glassy black lens of a surveillance camera trained on the city’s crowded streets. Hong Kong police had previously set a target of installing 2,000 new surveillance cameras this year, and potentially more than that each subsequent year. Facial recognition gates at the departure hall of Hong Kong International Airport. Tang and the Hong Kong police have repeatedly pointed to other jurisdictions, including Western democracies, that also make wide use of surveillance cameras for law enforcement. Protesters on the streets covered their faces with masks and goggles to prevent identification, at times smashing or covering security cameras.

Persons: Chris Tang, Budrul Chukrut, Tang, haven’t, Kong’s, ”, Samantha Hoffman, Hoffman, Joshua Wong –, –, “, Miguel Candela, Qilai Shen, ” Hoffman, Sing, Sing Tao, Steve Tsang, it’s, doesn’t, Normann Witzleb, Chan Long Hei, Witzleb, they’re, ” Witzleb Organizations: Hong Kong CNN —, Hong Kong, Hong Kong International Airport, Budrul, CNN, Hong Kong Police Force, National Bureau of Asian Research, New, London, Protesters, New Town, QR, New York Times, Bloomberg, Getty, SOAS China Institute, University of London, Chinese University of Hong Locations: Hong Kong, China, Hong, Singapore, United Kingdom, Tao, United States, Hong Kong Hong Kong, New York City, Beijing, Xinjiang, Bund, Shanghai, Sing Tao, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Victoria Harbour

☆ China's factory activity contracts less than expected in September
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

China's factory activity contracted for a fifth consecutive month in September as the world's second-largest economy struggles to revive its growth momentum. A PMI reading above 50 indicates expansion in activity, while a reading below that level points to contraction. However, China's Caixin PMI was 49.3, compared to 50.4 in August, according to the private survey compiled by S&P Global. The Caixin data released on Monday indicated that China's manufacturing sector experienced its sharpest contraction in 14 months in September, driven by declining demand and a weakening labor market. Headwinds for the manufacturing sector has continued to mount as a prolonged economic slowdown and property crisis dampen domestic demand.

Persons: Zhao Qinghe, Xi Jinping Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, PMI, Reuters, NBS, P Global, National Bureau, Statistics, People's Bank of China

☆ Are immigrants taking jobs from 'native' U.S. workers? Here's what economists say
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-28 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Immigrants expected to boost the economyThere are several reasons why immigrants largely benefit the economy and job market, economists said. Immigrants take jobs but they also create new ones by spending in local economies and by starting businesses, economists said. One 2020 research paper from the National Bureau of Economic Research found immigrants are 80% more likely to become entrepreneurs than native workers. To the extent there's job competition from new immigrants, it tends to fall mostly on prior immigrants rather than native U.S. workers, according to the National Academies paper. "Sudden surges of immigration obviously affect the ability of native workers to find and take jobs on a given afternoon," Clemens said.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Carlos Moreno, NurPhoto, Donald Trump's, Pew, Alexander Arnon, Michael Clemens, Clemens, Cohen, Giovanni Peri, it's, Peri, Arnon, Penn Wharton, Tim Chapman, George Borjas, Borjas —, —, Mariel boatlift, Borjas, Stephen Miller, Trump, Anna Kelly, David Card, Joe Sohm Organizations: Juventud, Getty, Republican, Trump, Pew Research Center, Pew, Penn Wharton Budget Model, Immigrants, National Bureau of Economic Research, Congressional, Office, Congress, George Mason University, Penn Wharton Budget, Immigration, El, Bloomberg, U.S, Global Migration, University of California, National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, National Academies, Florida Straits, Miami Herald, Harvard, Academies, Republican National Committee, America, Universal Locations: Tijuana , Mexico, Wilmington , North Carolina, U.S, El Chaparral, San Ysidro Port, Davis, Key West , Florida, Mariel, Florida, South Florida, Miami, USA, San Francisco

China's industrial profits plunged by 17.8% in August from a year ago, the National Bureau of Statistics said Friday. Industrial profits covers factories, mines and utilities in China. Sluggish domestic demand, a prolonged housing downturn and rising unemployment have weighed on the world's second largest economy. In August, China's industrial activity, retail sales and urban investment all grew slower than expected, with retail sales rising by barely more than 2% and industrial production by 4.5% from a year ago. The urban unemployment rate was 5.3% in August, an uptick from 5.2% in the previous month.

Persons: China's, Xi Jinping, Pan Gongsheng Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, People's Bank of China Locations: China's, Jiangsu, China, Beijing

☆ The truth about promotions
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Aki Ito | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

That was obviously a bad idea, and since then, we've spent a century and a half honing the art and science of promotions. To study promotions, the researchers conducted a series of clever experiments. But in other groups, managers were selected based on their own preferences. What did much better at predicting good managers was intelligence, as measured by a common IQ test. "Don't think, well, they like to talk, and therefore they're going to be a good manager."

Persons: we've, we're, David Deming, It's, Dunning, Kruger, Mark Zuckerberg, Elon Musk, Deming, they'll, Aki Ito Organizations: National Bureau of Economic Research, Employees, Harvard Kennedy School, Harvard, Tech, Business Locations: America

☆ China’s youth unemployment hits fresh high amid economic slowdown and restrictive hiring policies
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | Lee Ying Shan Is A News Associate With Cnbc International Based In Singapore. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +1 min

China’s youth unemployment rate in August rose to the highest level since the new system of record-keeping began in December, driven by an economic slowdown and restrictive hiring policies, according to analysts. China’s urban unemployment rate across all age categories rose 5.3% in August, compared to a 5.2% rise in July. China’s youth unemployment has also been affected by restrictive hiring policies amid a struggling economy as companies are refusing to hire recent college graduates due to the difficulty and costs involved in firing workers in China. This is expensive so no one wants to fire anyone now or hire anyone new,” he noted. “That’s why the [overall] unemployment rate isn’t that bad but the unemployment rate for youths is so high,” Rein added.

Persons: That’s, “ It’s, ”, Dan Wang, Shaun Rein, “, ” Rein Organizations: National Bureau, Statistics, HSBC, China Market Research, “ Locations: China

☆ China's youth unemployment hits fresh high amid economic slowdown and restrictive hiring policies
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

China's youth unemployment rate in August rose to the highest level since the new system of record-keeping began in December, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed, amid an economic slowdown. China's urban unemployment rate across all age categories rose 5.3% in August, compared to a 5.2% climb in July. China paused reporting the youth unemployment rate for much of the latter half of last year while it reassessed its calculation methods. China's youth unemployment has also been affected by restrictive hiring policies amid a struggling economy as companies are refusing to hire recent college graduates due to the difficulty and costs involved in firing workers in China. "That's why the [overall] unemployment rate isn't that bad but the unemployment rate for youths is so high," Rein added.

Persons: That's, Dan Wang, Shaun Rein, Rein Organizations: National Bureau, Statistics, HSBC, China Market Research, People's Bank of Locations: China, People's Bank of China

☆ Asia-Pacific markets open lower after Federal Reserve rate cut optimism sent markets higher last week
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A Chinese flag in Pudong's Lujiazui Financial District in Shanghai, China, on Sept. 18, 2023. Asia-Pacific markets opened lower Monday as investors assessed monetary policy decisions from Japan and China on Friday after U.S. Federal Reserve's sharp rate cut sent markets higher last week. Despite growing calls for lower interest rates, the People's Bank of China unexpectedly left its key benchmark rate on hold on Friday. The Reserve Bank of Australia starts its two-day policy meeting on Monday, where central bankers will decide on the country's monetary policy path on Tuesday. Overall year-on-year CPI is expected to have cooled to 2.15%, compared to 2.40% the previous month

Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, People's Bank of China, Reserve Bank of Australia Locations: Lujiazui, Shanghai, China, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Federal, Singapore

The cultural shift has spawned a booming business in divorce photography not only for Tan, but also for other photographers hoping to profit. Photos shared on Chinese social media Xiaohongshu show some couples signing their divorce papers, while others pose with their divorce certificate. Happy divorce,” one user wrote alongside a photo of her marriage and divorce certificates side by side. “It is not shameful to be brave enough to divorce,” Tan said. Faces on old wedding photos are spray-painted, to ensure privacy is respected, before being tossed into a crusher along with other tokens of memories.

Persons: Tan, ” Tan, “, Peng Xiujian, ‘, Peng, it’s, Liu Wei, Liu, Justin Robertson, ” Liu, he’s, Gary Ng, “ I’ll, ” Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Companies, Victoria University, CNN Locations: Beijing, Hong Kong, Henan, China, Australia

☆ Big names like David Tepper and 'Big Short' investor Michael Burry are quietly upping their bets on the Chinese economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Zahra Tayeb | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

From property woes to sluggish economic data, China appears to be suffering from long Covid. Wall Street turns bullishBillionaire investors, including Appaloosa Management founder David Tepper and "Big Short" investor Michael Burry, recently revealed they are sticking to their China bets. The famed investor loaded up on Alibaba stock in the second quarter, revealing an $11.2 million position in the company. That makes Alibaba Burry's largest holding, with other Chinese tech stocks including Baidu and JD.com also featuring on Burry's portfolio. Meanwhile, BCA Research recently upgraded Chinese onshore stocks to overweight, with China strategist Jing Sima expecting Chinese onshore stocks to passively outperform global equities.

Persons: Jiang Sheng, It's, Ted Alexander, CNBC's, David Tepper, Michael Burry, Alibaba, Tepper, Burry, JD.com, Jing Sima, George Boubouras, Goldman Sachs, Song Zhiyong, Eric Lin Organizations: Visual China, Getty, Appaloosa Management, KE Holdings, Baidu, BCA Research, K2 Asset Management, CNBC, Bank of America, National Bureau of Statistics, China's Ministry of Transport, Civil Aviation Administration, Asia Pacific Summit for Aviation Safety, Paris Olympic Games, Greater, Greater China Research, UBS Locations: China, Beijing, Wall, Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Europe, Greater China

☆ CNBC Daily Open: After the Fed’s first cut, where to next?
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. CNBC's Sarah Min breaks down how a rate cut could affect the S&P 500 . Welcome to U.S. rate cut week! But given that the rate cut has been so clearly telegraphed by the Fed, it's hard to imagine it not happening. This cut might not be big in terms of basis points, but it will be big in what it signals to markets.

Persons: It's, Sarah Min, Biden, Donald Trump, Rafael Barros, Cat Stevens, Aditya Bhave, CNBC's Pia Singh, Hakyung Kim, Brian Evans Organizations: Eccles Federal Reserve, CNBC, U.S . Federal Reserve, Discount, China's National Bureau, Statistics, Republican, Federal Bureau of Investigation, Secret Service, U.S, Federal, Fed, Bank of America U.S Locations: Washington , DC, Florida, U.S

☆ CNBC Daily Open: The real question isn’t the Fed’s first cut, but where it goes after
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

CNBC's Sarah Min breaks down how a rate cut could affect the S&P 500 . Welcome to U.S. rate cut week! Furthermore, jumbo hikes of 75 basis points were enacted between June 2022 to November 2022. But given that the rate cut has been so clearly telegraphed by the Fed, it's hard to imagine it not happening. This cut might not be big in terms of basis points, but it will be big in what it signals to markets.

Persons: It's, Sarah Min, Donald Trump, Rafael Barros, Cat Stevens, Aditya Bhave, CNBC's Pia Singh, Hakyung Kim, Brian Evans Organizations: Eccles Federal Reserve, CNBC, U.S . Federal Reserve, China's National Bureau, Statistics, Republican, Federal Bureau of Investigation, Secret Service, U.S, Federal, Fed, Bank of America U.S Locations: Washington , DC, Florida, U.S

☆ China’s retail sales and industrial data miss expectations in August
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-14 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

BEIJING — China's retail sales, industrial production and urban investment in August all grew slower than expected, according to National Bureau of Statistics data released Saturday. Retail sales rose by 2.1% in August from a year ago, missing expectations of 2.5% growth among economists polled by Reuters. Fixed asset investment rose by 3.4% for the January to August period, slower than the forecast of 3.5% growth. The urban unemployment rate was 5.3% in August, an uptick from 5.2% in July. The youth unemployment rate in July was 17.1%.

Persons: Liu Aihua Organizations: National Bureau, Statistics, Reuters, Investment, National Bureau of Statistics Locations: Hangzhou, China, BEIJING

☆ Chinese-Owned Bitcoin Mines Are Using up America's Energy, Electricity
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Taylor Dorrell | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +13 min

Concerns about the use of cryptocurrencies for illegal activity resulted in an effective ban on crypto mining and transactions. After a massive public outcry at the end of 2021, mining companies in Kazakhstan were effectively cut off from the grid. Today, the US makes up about 40% of the global hashrate — up from 17% during China's 2021 peak — making America the biggest hub for bitcoin mining. However, in recent years, bitcoin mining has become increasingly concentrated in the hands of a small number of private companies. Given how much energy bitcoin mining consumes, it's worth questioning whether its presence in the US is really worth the trade-off.

Persons: Xi Jinping, Zoe Liu, hasn't, pushback, haven't, Jeremy Fisher, Fisher, Gladys Anderson, Kelley Sayre, Stephanie Marsh, Marsh, Gavin Newsom, would've, Donald Trump, Trump, Satoshi Nakamoto, Saifedean Ammous, Cheyanne Diehl, wasn't, Biden, Joe Biden, Liu Pengyu, America Organizations: Council, Foreign Relations, Mining, Cambridge, Goodyear, Sierra, Environmental, New York Times, Tech, Gov, Securities and Exchange Commission, July's Bitcoin, SEC, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, Nasdaq, Embassy, EV, Sierra Club, City Council, Digital Locations: China, Kazakhstan, America, Utah, West Virginia, Akron , Ohio, Rockdale , Texas, Murphy , North Carolina, Massillon , Ohio, Bono , Arkansas, Vilonia , Arkansas, Akron, California, Nashville, Massillon, Ohio, Chinese, Massillon's City, In Arkansas, Wyoming, Washington, Harrison , Arkansas

☆ Who is the real Alice Guo? Fugitive mayor accused of spying for China faces legal reckoning after weeks on the run
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-04 | by ( Kathleen Magramo | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

The official inquiry into Alice Guo, disgraced former mayor of a small town not far from the capital Manila, has been compulsive viewing for Filipinos since it began in May. But who exactly is Alice Guo? The Bureau of Immigration (BI) says Indonesian authorities have informed them that former Mayor Alice Guo has been arrested in the country on September 4, 2024. Guo shows her chicken farm in Bamban, Tarlac province, in the Philippines in a YouTube video posted on April 20, 2022. The real concern about Guo arose from her alleged ties with business associates from China currently in prison.

Persons: Alice Guo, Guo, “, Ferdinand Marcos Jr, lawbreakers, ”, Alice L, David Buenaventura, Ditjen, she’s, Alice Leal Guo, scammers, Senator Risa Hontiveros, Marcos Jr, ” Marcos, Guo Hua Ping, hasn’t, Zhang Ruijin, Lin Baoying, Zhang, Lin, AMLC, Shiela, Cassandra Li Ong Organizations: CNN, absconding, Ang Law, Immigration, Philippine Bureau, YouTube, Philippine Offshore Gaming, Philippine News Agency, Philippine senate, Facebook, National Bureau of Investigation, Money, Yuan Technology Inc, Hongshen Gaming Technology Inc, QJJ, Inc Locations: Philippines, Manila, China, South China, Southeast Asia, Indonesia, Bamban, Tarlac province, Malaysia, Vietnam, Philippine, what’s, POGOs, Beijing, Singapore

☆ What's stalling China's stock market recovery, according to KraneShares' CIO
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-31 | by ( Anna Gleason | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

China's slow post-Covid recovery could be a lasting headwind for its stock market. With the mainland's two largest indexes — the Shanghai Composite and the Shenzhen Composite — each negative so far in 2024, KraneShares Chief Investment Officer Brendan Ahern thinks government stimulus is necessary to kick-start the country's stock market performance. Ahern, whose firm runs the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB) , added that Chinese households are still reluctant to spend at pre-pandemic levels. This week's post-earnings plunge in PDD Holdings is emblematic of China's consumer pullback, according to Ahern. Ahern returned to the idea that a top-down economic recovery might be necessary to stimulate China's tech sector in particular.

Persons: China's, Brendan Ahern, CNBC's, we've, Ahern Organizations: Shenzhen, CSI China Internet, country's National Bureau, Statistics, Holdings Locations: Shanghai, China, country's

☆ U.S. job growth revised down by the most since 2009. Why this time is different
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-21 | by ( Steve Liesman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A few facts worth considering:By the time the 2009 revisions came out (824,000 jobs were overstated), the National Bureau of Economic Research had already declared a recession six months earlier. (It would subsequently be revised higher in the two of those quarters, one of which was revised higher to show growth, rather than contraction. As a signal that job growth has been overstated by an average of 68,000 per month during the revision period, it is more or less accurate. In the cutting process, the Fed will follow growth and jobs data more closely, just as it monitored inflation data more closely in the hiking process. The jobs data could be subject to noise from immigrant hiring and can be volatile.

Persons: payrolls, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Amerant, National Bureau of Economic Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Goldman Locations: Florida, Sunrise , Florida

☆ 59% of Americans wrongly think the U.S. is in a recession, report finds
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Jessica Dickler | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Officially, the National Bureau of Economic Research defines a recession as "a significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and lasts more than a few months." The last time that happened was early in 2020, when the economy came to an abrupt halt. Economists have wrestled with the growing disconnect between how the economy is doing and how people feel about their financial standing. We're in a 'vibecession'We're in a "vibecession," Joyce Chang, JPMorgan's chair of global research, said at the CNBC Financial Advisor Summit in May. "Everything looks great but when you look beneath the surface, the disparity between the wealthy and nonwealthy is widening dramatically."

Persons: Gene Goldman, Vishal Kapoor, Joyce Chang, JPMorgan's, that's, Chang, Goldman Organizations: Cetera Financial, National Bureau of Economic Research, CNBC, Summit Locations: El Segundo , California

☆ China stocks escaped much of the latest sell-off. Signals for whether to buy
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-11 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The latest global market volatility has reinforced China's status as a distinct market, even if its growth has slowed recently. While U.S. tech stocks plunged and Japanese stocks swung wildly in a historic two days of price action , Chinese stocks suffered less . The investors remained net buyers of Chinese stocks for the third quarter so far as of Aug. 6, the data showed. Finally, the low correlation of the China stock market with the U.S. stock market could provide investors with diversification benefits." Chinese stocks, especially those traded on the mainland, have historically been less correlated to global market moves due to Beijing's capital controls and other restrictions.

Persons: Matt Wacher, William Yuen, Invesco, That's, Steven Sun, Paul Christopher, Morningstar's Wacher, it's, Wacher Organizations: Nasdaq, Nikkei, Morningstar Investment Management, U.S, HSBC, Technology, Shanghai —, Bank of, Federal Reserve, Treasury, HSBC Qianhai Securities, National Bureau, Statistics, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Index Locations: Asia, U.S, Shanghai, China, Pacific, EPFR, Hong Kong, Bank of China, Wells Fargo

☆ China's consumer prices pick up more than expected in July, up by 0.5%
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-09 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

BEIJING — China's consumer prices rose by a more-than-expected 0.5% in July from a year ago, boosted by a surge in pork prices, according to data from the National Bureau of Statistics released Friday. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected a slight pickup in the consumer price index to 0.3% in July from a year ago, versus 0.2% in June. Prices of pork, a widely consumed food staple in China, surged by 20.4% year-on-year in July. Pork prices play a significant role in China's consumer price index, but can be prone to large swings due to disease or other factors affecting production. Core CPI, which strips out food and energy prices, rose by 0.4% year-on-year in July.

Persons: That's Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, Reuters, CPI Locations: Beijing, BEIJING, China

☆ China will have nearly twice as many pets as young children by 2030, Goldman Sachs says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-08 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

China's pet population will be close to double that of its young children by 2030 as young Chinese remain unwilling to start new families, Goldman Sachs said in a recent note. The country's urban pet population is set to hit over 70 million by the end of the decade, while the number of children four and under will dwindle to less than 40 million, according to Goldman Sachs research that cited data from the National Bureau of Statistics. In 2017, the situation was just the opposite — there were 90 million children aged four and under, compared to the urban pet population of around 40 million. "We expect to see stronger momentum in pet ownership amid a relatively weaker birth rate outlook and higher incremental household pet penetration from the younger generation," the investment bank's equity analyst Valerie Zhou wrote. New births in the country are projected to fall at an average rate of 4.2% until 2030, largely driven by a decline in the population of women aged 20 to 35 years, and as the younger generation is less inclined to have children, the report stated.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Valerie Zhou Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics

☆ The mortgage lock-in effect shaved $20 billion off the US economy in a year
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-08 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

A paper found that the housing market's lock-in effect cost the US economy $20 billion over a year. High mortgage rates led to economic stagnation and reduced housing activity. Researchers estimated Americans who moved paid an extra $21 billion a month in mortgage payments. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementHigh mortgage rates cost the US economy billions of dollars last year.

Persons: —, Jack Liebersohn, Jesse Rothstein Organizations: Service, National Bureau of Economic, Business

☆ China's city dwellers will soon have more pets than toddlers, and there's one way investors can cash in on the trend, Goldman Sachs says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Kwan Wei Kevin Tan | Aditi Bharade | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Read previewChina's baby bust could see its urban pet population outnumbering the number of toddlers by 2030, investment bank Goldman Sachs wrote in a July 28 report. According to Goldman Sachs' forecasts, China will have more than 70 million urban pets by 2030. AdvertisementThe rise in pet ownership, the bank said, could help push China's pet food market to $12 billion by 2030. People having more pets than babies shouldn't be surprising considering how China is presently grappling with a demographic crisis. China's population shrank again in 2023, with the number of deaths exceeding the number of births by 2.08 million people.

Persons: —, Goldman Sachs, Lin Zhang, Zhang, Zheng Mu, Zheng, Cash, haven't, Bihan Chen, Emily Huang, Huang, Ann, Hunter van Kirk Organizations: Service, Business, country's National Bureau of Statistics, University of New, Zhang, National University of Singapore, National Association of Realtors, NAR, Bloomberg Intelligence Locations: China, country's, University of New Hampshire, Europe, East Asia

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