“The key differential between 2018 and 2022 is that in 2018 Joe Biden was not president,” the former official said.
Biden allies also point to early polling that shows Biden narrowly ahead in a potential rematch against former President Donald Trump, who hinted Monday night at a rally that he’ll launch his own bid for re-election in a week.
“You have an incumbent with a really good track record, and you’ll have Donald Trump [running],” said Jim Messina, who ran Obama’s re-election campaign in 2012.
Democrats in some of the toughest races largely shied away from Biden, preferring popular surrogates, like Obama or first lady Jill Biden.
In 2018, Biden held his final rally in a Pennsylvania county that had the largest swing from 2008 to 2016.