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The Dow and the S&P 500 hit all-time highs Thursday as US stocks hit a six-week win streak. Strong third-quarter earnings from Netflix and Intuitive Surgical led to massive 10%+ stock gains. Upcoming earnings reports and economic data releases will be closely watched by investors next week. Shares of Netflix and Intuitive Surgical soared more than 10% to record highs after their third-quarter earnings bested analyst's profit and revenue estimates. Next week, on the economic data front, investors will monitor the release of September's US leading economic indicators index, data on existing home sales, and consumer sentiment.
Persons: , Dow Organizations: Dow, Netflix, Service, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Texas, Tesla Locations: FactSet
Since the start of October, there's been a notable divergence between the betting markets and the polls. Where do election odds stand in betting markets now? What's going on with the 'Trump whale' in the betting markets? Is the $30 million 'Trump whale' an influence campaign? Because the betting markets are relatively illiquid, a $30 million bet can have a big influence on moving the odds in favor of Trump.
Persons: Harris, , Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, there's, Will Donald Trump, Polymarket, Peter Thiel, ethereum's, Vitalik Buterin, Joe Gebbia, Trump, Kalshi, What's, Michie, Arkham, Adam Cochran, Cochran, Elon Musk, Mitt Romney, Barack Obama Organizations: Trump, Service, Street, Arkham Intelligence, Republican Locations: Polymarket, Crunchbase, Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada
The stock market could face a 7% correction by mid-November, says Fundstrat's Mark Newton. AdvertisementThe stock market looks poised for a 7% correction by mid-November, according to technical analyst Mark Newton of Fundstrat. AdvertisementNewton is monitoring the 5,900 level on the S&P 500 as potential resistance for the index. The S&P 500 traded at around 5,850 on Friday. "This market has seemingly 'dodged a bullet' thus far during one of the historically worst periods during most election years.
Persons: Fundstrat's Mark Newton, , Mark Newton of, Newton, Tom Lee's Organizations: Investor, Service, Equity, Technology, RSI Locations: Newton, Mark Newton of Fundstrat
US stocks were mostly higher on Friday amid a string of solid third-quarter earnings reports. Netflix and Intuitive Surgical beat Wall Street estimates, boosting their stock prices to new record highs. 82% of S&P 500 companies that have reported earnings so far have surpassed Wall Street's profit estimates. AdvertisementUS stocks traded higher on Friday, with all three major averages at or near record highs as investors digested third-quarter earnings results. Intuitive Surgical also reported solid third-quarter earnings that beat Wall Street estimates for revenues and profits.
Persons: Organizations: Netflix, Service, Wall
Berkshire Hathaway cut its Apple stake by 55% in the first half of 2024, potentially missing out on $23B in profits. Apple shares have jumped 10% since the second quarter, driven by optimism about Apple Intelligence. Berkshire Hathaway entered 2024 with a massive stake in Apple, holding 905.6 million shares worth about $174 billion at the time. Instead, Berkshire Hathaway's current stake in Apple was worth $84 billion at the end of the second quarter. AdvertisementThe difference between the weighted average price and the price of Apple stock on Thursday nets out the $23.1 billion in missed profits for Berkshire Hathaway.
Persons: Berkshire Hathaway, , Warren, That's, It's, Buffett Organizations: Berkshire, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Service, Business, company's Apple Intelligence Locations: Apple, Berkshire, HedgeFollow
Bitcoin has surged 12% as Trump's election odds in betting markets began rising in mid-September. Trump's crypto-friendly stance has boosted investor enthusiasm for bitcoin as his betting odds rise. According to the betting website Polymarket, Trump's odds of winning the Presidential election in November bottomed on September 18. Bernstein analyst Gautam Chhugani said last month that a Trump win could be monumental for the crypto industry. Bitcoin might be ultimately front-running a potential Trump win in November, with the cryptocurrency up 59% year-to-date.
Persons: Bitcoin, bitcoin, , Donald Trump, Trump, Kamala Harris, bettors, Stanley Druckenmiller, Bernstein, Gautam Chhugani, Chhugani, He's, he'd Organizations: Trump, Service, Billionaire, Bloomberg, Conference, Bitcoin Conference, Liberty Locations: United States
Ark Invest's Innovation ETF realized $3.5 billion in losses in the fiscal year ending July 2024. AdvertisementCathie Wood's Ark Invest recently filed its annual report for its fiscal year ending July 31, and it reveals some steep losses. Ark's flagship Innovation ETF realized $3.5 billion in losses from July 31, 2023, through July 31, 2024. The Ark Innovation ETF is down 9% year-to-date and off 70% from its record high. AdvertisementHere are the stocks in Ark Invest's flagship ETF that saw the biggest realized losses for the fiscal year ending July 31.
Persons: Cathie Wood, , Wood, Ark's Organizations: Ark Invest, Service, Invest, Times, Veracyte, Beam Therapeutics, Teladoc
Betting odds favor Trump winning the November election, with Polymarket odds at 59.5%. The Trump trade is back on, with Trump Media stock, bitcoin, and bank stocks rising. AdvertisementThe Trump trade has been regaining momentum as betting odds rise in favor of the former President winning the election in November. The Trump trade in markets weakened after the mid-September debate between Kamala Harris and Trump, as Harris was largely viewed as the winner of their one-and-only meeting. Here's what's moving in markets that suggest the Trump trade is back on as investors bet on a victory for the former president.
Persons: Trump, , Harris, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump's, Bernstein, Gautam Chhugani, Chhugani Organizations: Trump, Trump Media, Service, House, Bank, Washington DC, Biden White, P Bank ETF, Regional Banking Locations: Polymarket, Trump, United States
A contrarian sell signal recently flashed in the stock market, according to Bank of America. AdvertisementA sell signal in the stock market just flashed for the first time since February 2021, according to a note from Bank of America. The sell signal has typically preceded weak returns in the short term. The sell signal from Bank of America flashes at a time when stocks are trading near record highs. As to potential risks in the market, investors are most worried about geopolitical conflicts, which rose to 33% from 19% last month.
Persons: BofA, , Michael Hartnett, Jun, Hartnett Organizations: Bank of America, Service Locations: China
US stocks hit record highs on Monday as investors get ready for a wave of earnings reports. Over 80 S&P 500 companies, including Netflix and Goldman Sachs, report earnings this week. Monday's close marked the S&P 500's 46th record close of the year, as investors continue to power the two-year-old bull market higher. More than 80 S&P 500 companies are scheduled to report third-quarter earnings results this week, with major names like Netflix, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley on deck. According to data from Fundstrat, 6% of S&P 500 companies have already reported their results.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Fed Governor Waller, , Monday's, Morgan Stanley, Adriana Kugler, Christopher Waller, Waller Organizations: Netflix, Fed, Service, Dow Jones, Dow, Federal, Stanford University's Hoover Institution Locations: Fundstrat, Here's
The firm sees no immediate catalysts like surging interest rates or inflation to trigger a downturn. AdvertisementInvestors worried that the stock market is overvalued shouldn't sell stocks, according to a Monday note from Piper Sandler. AdvertisementWithout an imminent spike in interest rates, the unemployment rate, or inflation, the stock market should continue its upward trend even if it's overvalued, according to Kantrowitz. AdvertisementKantrowitz recommends investors monitor credit spreads to determine whether there is fear in the stock market that could signal a period of negative equity returns going forward. Tight credit spreads, a solid labor market, and continued GDP growth are all signals that investors should stay bullish, according to Kantrowitz, even if the stock market is slightly overvalued.
Persons: Piper Sandler, , Michael Kantrowitz, Kantrowitz, Stocks, it's Organizations: Service, Investors, CNBC
US stocks were mixed on Monday as investors await third-quarter earnings from major companies. Investors will monitor retail sales and jobless claims data this week. AdvertisementUS stocks were mixed on Monday as investors await a wave of third-quarter earnings results this week. More than 40 S&P 500 companies are set to report results this week, including Netflix, Morgan Stanley, and Goldman Sachs. AdvertisementBoth data points will give investors insights into the health of the consumer and job market, respectively.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Adriana Kugler, , Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Investors, Federal Reserve, Service, Netflix, Fed Locations: Fundstrat, Here's
Nvidia stock surged over 3% to near-record highs on Monday as excitement builds for its Blackwell GPU. Bank of America said cloud hyperscalers are in an "AI arms race," which should be a positive for Nvidia. AdvertisementNvidia stock jumped more than 3% on Monday to near-record highs as investor excitement around the chipmaker's upcoming Blackwell GPU product cycle grows. Monday's gain came amid a wave of Wall Street research reports on Nvidia, along with pricing details for Nvidia's next-generation GPU chip. AdvertisementThe initial list prices for Nvidia's Blackwell GPU chip were around $500,000, which Wells Fargo called an "incremental positive" in a note on Monday.
Persons: Blackwell, , Nvidia's, Wells, Aaron Rakers, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Nvidia, Blackwell, Bank of America, Service, Citi, Monday's, Nvidia's Blackwell, Microsoft, hyperscalers, Investors
In today's big story, the stock market has officially enjoyed a bull rally for over two years. The big storyBullish on the bull marketNoam Galai/Getty ImagesHappy belated birthday to the stock market's bull rally! Stock market experts who spoke with Business Insider's Matthew Fox don't see things slowing down anytime soon . In fact, the average bull market lasts longer than five years, so we might not even be halfway to the finish line. The actual stock market is healthier, too, as it's no longer reliant on the Magnificent Seven's performance.
Persons: , Noam Galai, Insider's Matthew Fox, Chelsea Jia Feng, we've, Alex Brandon, Jamie Dimon, Ken Griffin, he's, Republican megadonor hasn't, BlackRock, Jett Lara, Augustus Doricko, Doricko, Roblox, Natalie Ammari, Inflation's, Z's, It's Elliott Hill's, Hill, It's, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Business, Service, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Stock, Insider's, JPMorgan, Republican, Citadel, Wall, Menlo Ventures, Nike, Columbus, District of Columbia Locations: Chelsea, Ukraine, El Segundo , California, a16z, New York, it's, Italian American, London
With the bull market in stocks now two years old, investors are wondering how long the rally can last. AdvertisementThe stock market bottomed on October 12, 2022, marking two years since the start of the ongoing bull rally. A resilient job market, lower inflation, and continued corporate earnings growth helped push the stock market higher over the past two years. A common Wall Street expression is "rotation is the lifeblood of a bull market," and that appears to be playing out. Advertisement"Although many might think this bull market has gone too far and is getting old, that isn't the case at all.
Persons: , Jay Woods, Woods, Ryan Detrick, Detrick, Baird, Ross Mayfield Baird, Ross Mayfield, Mayfield, Rob Haworth, Haworth Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Freedom Capital, Jay, Freedom Capital Markets, Carson, Carson Group, Business, Asset Management, Rob, Bank Asset Management, Federal Reserve
JPMorgan and Wells Fargo reported strong earnings that eased fears of a consumer slowdown. September's producer price index was flat, calming inflation concerns amid rising yields. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon praised his bank's performance in the earnings release but warned that geopolitical conditions are "treacherous and getting worse." AdvertisementApart from earnings results, retail sales data, set to be released on October 17, is the next big data release for investors to watch. Here's where US indexes stood at the 4:00 p.m. closing bell on Friday:AdvertisementHere's what else is going on:In commodities, bonds, and crypto:
Persons: Dow Jones, Wells, , Wells Fargo, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, David Russell Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Dow Jones, PPI, Business, Bank of America
Tesla stock fell as much as 10% after its robotaxi reveal underwhelmed Wall Street analysts. Tesla's vision drew skepticism from Wall Street over execution and potential profit challenges. AdvertisementTesla stock dropped as much as 10% on Friday after the automaker's robotaxi reveal event underwhelmed Wall Street. "We found Tesla's Robotaxi event to be underwhelming and stunningly absent on detail," Sacconaghi said. There was at least one Wall Street analyst who struck a positive tone after Tesla's robotaxi event: Wedbush analyst Dan Ives.
Persons: , Elon Musk, wasn't, Wells, Colin Langan, Bernstein, Toni Sacconaghi, Tesla, Sacconaghi, Dan Ives, Ives Organizations: Street, Service
US stocks rose as September's wholesale price data showed cooling inflation. The producer price index was flat, and core PPI rose less than expected in September. AdvertisementUS stocks edged higher on Friday after Producer Price Index data for September came in lower than expected, signaling a continued cooling of wholesale inflation. The producer price index was flat month-over-month, below economist estimates of a 0.1% rise. Apart from earnings results, retail sales data, set to be released on October 17, is the next big data release for investors to watch.
Persons: Wells, , Price, David Russell, Russell, Jamie Dimon Organizations: PPI, JPMorgan, BlackRock, Service, Business, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Here's Locations: Wells Fargo, BlackRock
Nvidia stock is set for more gains as demand for its GPU chips surges, Morgan Stanley says. Nvidia's Blackwell GPU is on schedule and is sold out for the next 12 months, the company said. AdvertisementNvidia stock is poised for more gains as its GPU chip business continues to see surging demand. AdvertisementThat should be a boon for Nvidia's GPU chip product set, according to the note. Nvidia stock is up 172% since the start of this year.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Nvidia's, , Jensen Huang, Colette Kress, Joseph Moore, Moore, Blackwell, Hopper Organizations: Nvidia's Blackwell, Service, Nvidia, Blackwell, Microsoft Locations: New York City
TD Bank shares fell 8% after it pleaded guilty to anti-money-laundering charges and agreed to pay a $3 billion fine. The charges involved a scheme by Chinese cartels bribing TD employees at bank branches in New York and New Jersey. The penalty is the largest ever anti-money laundering fine imposed on a bank by US officials. The bank cannot grow past its current $370 billion in asset size for as long as the asset cap is in place. The charges stem from an investigation that revealed TD Bank didn't have proper anti-money laundering practices in place.
Persons: , Wells Fargo, Michael Hsu, FinCEN, Bharat Masrani, Masrani Organizations: Bank, Service, TD Bank, HSBC, Department of Justice, Federal Reserve, OCC Locations: New York, New Jersey, Canada
Hurricane Milton's impact on Florida won't cause major losses for catastrophe bond investors, portfolio managers say. Insurance companies still face significant losses, but cat bond investors aren't eyeing the worst-case scenario. AdvertisementThe impact of Hurricane Milton on Florida is unlikely to trigger massive losses for catastrophe bond investors. The losses for cat bond investors, therefore, might only be in the low-single digits. This will drive an increase in risk premiums, leading to higher return expectations for cat bond investors moving forward," Steiger said.
Persons: aren't, , Helene, Milton, Chin Liu, Tanja Wrosch, That's, Florian Steiger, Steiger Organizations: Insurance, Service, Investors, Twelve, Bloomberg, Icosa, Progressive, Allstate, Chubb Limited, Swiss Locations: Florida, Hurricane Milton, Tampa, Milton
Hurricane Milton may cause major losses for catastrophe bond investors. AdvertisementThe back-to-back barrage of Hurricanes Helene and Milton could trigger big losses for investors in catastrophe bonds. However, on the other hand, a strong hurricane can trigger various clauses within catastrophe bonds, resulting in big losses for investors. AdvertisementHowever, according to RBC, higher reinsurance rates implemented following Hurricane Ian could soften the blow for cat bond investors, depending on the severity of Hurricane Milton. The potential for massive damage caused by Hurricane Milton, which is considered to be a once-in-a-generation event, is also dragging down global reinsurer stocks.
Persons: Milton, , Hurricanes Helene, Hurricane Ian, Hurricane Milton, Helene, Hurricane Organizations: Service, Hurricanes, Investors, Swiss Re, Hurricane, Jefferies, RBC, Cat, Swiss Locations: Florida, Hurricane, Artemis, Hurricane Milton, North Carolina, Munich
In today's big story, we got our first interest-rate cut, but it doesn't feel like it for many consumers . We finally got an interest-rate cut, but borrowing costs are still high. First off, last month's interest-rate cut wasn't going to provide immediate relief. Yes, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has gone up 47 basis points since the Fed cut rates , writes BI's Matthew Fox. So the Fed cut rates but borrowing costs went up?
Persons: , Milton, Alyssa Powell, isn't materializing, Jennifer Sor, Let's, BI's Matthew Fox, I'm, It's, BI's James Rodriguez, who's, Warren Faidley, Hurricane Milton, Hindenburg, Chelsea Jia Feng, Vinod Khosla, OpenAI, Mark Zuckerbergs, Gen Zers, haven't, Rebecca Zisser, Elon Musk's, Tesla, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Business, Service, Gas, Hindenburg, Tech, DOJ, Google, Walt Disney World, Hurricane Milton, Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury, Hurricane, Energy, Futures, Bank of America, Disney Locations: Florida, Warren, Tampa, Chelsea, Robotaxi, Hurricane, New York, London
JPMorgan's top strategist had something positive to say about stocks for the first time in a while. "While it is too soon to assume that this is a turning point, it does suggest that a recession is unlikely in the near term." Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. But that seems to be changing, based on a Tuesday note from JPMorgan chief global equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas. "We are neutralizing our long Defensive and short Cyclicals view," Lakos-Bujas said.
Persons: Dubravko Lakos, Bujas, Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Reserve, Federal Reserve, & $ Locations: China, buybacks
Fed easing hasn't led to lower mortgage rates, with the 30-year fixed rate actually rising since the first rate cut. Mortgage rates are closely linked to the 10-year US Treasury yield, which have also risen over the period. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve's jumbo interest-rate cut in mid-September was welcome news to prospective homebuyers, with the expectation that a lower fed funds rate would help push mortgage rates lower. According to data from Mortgage News Daily, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has jumped about 47 basis points since the Fed rate cut, to 6.62% from 6.15%. Whether that will manifest itself in lower mortgage rates is up in the air.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Sonu Varghese, it's Organizations: Treasury, Service, Mortgage News, Carson, CME
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