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☆ Private payrolls increased by 192,000 in April, more than expected for resilient labor market
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Private payrolls increased at a faster than expected pace in April, indicating there are still plenty of tailwinds for the U.S. labor market, according to ADP. Companies with 500 or more workers showed the biggest gain in hiring with 98,000. In recent months, ADP has consistently undershot the Labor Department's count, though the numbers were fairly close in March. The department's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that private payrolls increased by 232,000 for the month versus ADP's 208,000. Friday's report is expected to show growth of 204,000 in total nonfarm payrolls for April, down from March's 303,000, according to the consensus Dow Jones estimate.

Persons: payrolls, Dow Jones, Nela Richardson Organizations: ADP, Labor, department's Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: March's

☆ We've been worrying about the Fed's plan since March's hotter jobs figure, says Jim Cramer
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe've been worrying about the Fed's plan since March's hotter jobs figure, says Jim Cramer'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer cuts through the noise to identify brown shoots in the market.

Persons: Jim Cramer

☆ Ron Insana: The 2024 inflation scare has arrived, but there are still signs of hope for investors
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Elizabeth Frantz | ReutersIt appears the great inflation scare of 2024 is upon us. The Fed's preferred measure of inflation, the core personal consumption expenditures price index, grew 2.8% from a year earlier in March. The recent inflation numbers have reduced the expected number of cuts down to one or two, with the first cut anticipated to arrive much later this year. Some recent signs of cooling emergeCommodity prices, like cocoa , coffee and copper , have been on a tear in 2024. Despite all the military activity in the Middle East, oil prices have been reasonably well behaved, taking into consideration the energy shocks of years past.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Elizabeth Frantz, –, specter Organizations: Federal, Committee, Reuters, Fed, Hamas Locations: Washington , U.S, Israel

☆ Asia markets rise as Fed meeting looms; Japan and China economic data in focus
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-29 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

An employee works on the assembly line of intelligent machinery at a workshop on March 31, 2024 in Qingzhou, Weifang City, Shandong Province of China. Asia-Pacific markets climbed Monday as traders look toward the Federal Reserve's meeting this week, following another hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation reading Friday. March's core personal consumption expenditures, excluding food and energy, rose 2.8% from a year ago, and came in ahead of the 2.7% expected by Dow Jones. Personal spending rose 0.8%, ahead of a 0.7% estimate. In Asia, China's official purchasing managers index for April is expected Tuesday ahead of the Labor Day holiday on Wednesday, along with Japan's industrial production and retail sales data from March.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Labor Locations: Qingzhou, Weifang City, Shandong Province, China . Asia, Pacific, Asia

Asia-Pacific markets were mixed on Friday as investors in Asia look to the Bank of Japan's policy decision and inflation figures out of Tokyo. Thirteen economists polled by Reuters unanimously forecast that the BOJ will leave its monetary policy unchanged. Tokyo's headline inflation rate for April came in at 1.8%, slowing from the 2.6% in March. Core inflation in the capital — which strips out prices of fresh food — sharply fell to 1.6% from March's 2.4%, missing expectations of 2.2% from economists polled by Reuters. Tokyo inflation data is widely considered as a leading indicator of nationwide trends.

Persons: Cherry Organizations: Nippon Budokan, Bank of, Reuters Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Pacific

☆ Gold on track for first weekly dip in six; focus on U.S. inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

An employee handles one kilogram gold bullions at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. Gold was little changed on Friday ahead of a key U.S. inflation report, but prices were on track for their first weekly drop in six weeks on easing concerns of a major escalation of the Middle East crisis. Focus now turns to March's core Personal Consumption Expenditures, or PCE, index data due later on Friday — the Fed's preferred measure of inflation — for further clues on the U.S. rate outlook. The dollar index was headed for its biggest weekly dip since early March, making the greenback-priced bullion less expensive for other currency holders. Spot silver rose 0.2% to $27.49 per ounce, spot platinum rose 0.8% to $921.45 and palladium gained 1.4% to $988.22.

Persons: Gold, Yeap Jun Rong, Jun Rong Organizations: Co, Federal Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, U.S

☆ The US economy started the year much slower than expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US real GDP rose at an annualized rate of 1.6% in the first quarter. While a slowdown was expected for the first quarter, the forecast was 2.5%. AdvertisementAmid US job growth above forecasts and accelerating inflation, the US economy in the first quarter of this year slowed more than expected. A news release from the Bureau of Economic Analysis out Thursday showed US real gross domestic product rose at an annualized rate of 1.6%. "Looking ahead, we see the economy gently cooling as slower labor demand, easing wage growth, stubborn inflation, and tight credit conditions constrain private sector activity," Daco said.

Persons: —, Gregory Daco, EY, Daco Organizations: Service Locations: That's

☆ Stock futures fall after Meta Platforms, IBM report quarterly results: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-24 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on April 09, 2024 in New York City. U.S. stock futures fell on Wednesday night after tech juggernaut Meta Platforms reported its latest quarterly results. S&P 500 futures slid 0.6%, and Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 1.1%. Meta Platforms plunged 15% in extended trading after the social media giant issued second-quarter revenue guidance that was lighter than expected. Fed funds futures trading suggests the first cut could take place at the September Fed meeting, according to CME FedWatch Tool.

Persons: Dow Jones, Anastasia Amoroso, Northrop Grumman, Myers Squibb Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Traders, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Business Machines, Dow, Federal, FedWatch, Caterpillar, Honeywell, Northrop, American Airlines, Comcast, Merck, Bristol, Myers, CNBC Locations: New York City . U.S

☆ Asia markets extend gains ahead of business activity figures from around the region
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets extended gains from Monday as tech shares rebounded on Wall Street and investors look toward flash business activity figures from Australia, Japan and India. Figures from S&P Global show that Australia's composite purchasing managers index hit a two-year high, coming in at 53.6 against March's 53.3. Japan and India's PMI numbers will be released later Tuesday. Japan's Nikkei 225 popped 0.8% at the open, while the broad based Topix was up 0.66%. Futures for Hong Kong's Hang Seng index stood at 16,681, pointing to a weaker open compared to the HSI's close of 16,511.69.

Persons: Kospi Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty, March's, PMI, Nikkei Locations: Jama, New Delhi, India, Asia, Pacific, Australia, Japan

☆ Why the steep plunge in stocks in April means the bull market can push on
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The S&P 500's recent sell-off is actually a sign the bull market is here to stay, according to Ken Fisher. AdvertisementThe recent sell-off in stocks isn't a reason for investors to flee the market — and it's actually a sign that the bull rally could push even higher, according to market veteran Ken Fisher. Advertisement"It is a bull market. Markets have been too "fixated" on various negative catalysts for stocks, Fisher added, pointing to investor concern regarding rate cuts and elevated inflation. "This bull market, just enjoy it, even though stocks are volatile from time to time," Fisher said.

Persons: Ken Fisher, —, it's, Fisher, we've Organizations: Fox Business Network, Investors, Service, Fisher Investments

We could see mortgage rates start to trend down later this year if incoming data shows that inflation is coming down sustainably. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. As inflation comes down and the Federal Reserve is able to start cutting the federal funds rate, mortgage rates should fall further as well. Now that the Fed has paused hiking rates, mortgage rates have come down a bit. Once the Fed starts cutting rates, which is likely to happen this year, mortgage rates should fall even further.

Persons: Freddie Mac, they'll, Sam Khater, Freddie Mac's Organizations: National Association of Realtors, Zillow, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: February's, Chevron

☆ China may be shaking out of its slump, and its economy could grow 5% this year after a surprising first-quarter performance, BofA says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

China's breakout from its economic slump may also mean less government support ahead, BofA said. BofA doesn't expect a "a full-blown growth rebound" as real estate woes and weak demand are still a problem. AdvertisementBank of America boosted its forecast for China's economic growth in 2024 on the heels of a surprisingly strong first-quarter performance from the world's second-largest economy. AdvertisementWith a robust first quarter dataset in hand, policymakers may be less inclined to intensify easing measures, dashing hopes for imminent policy support, according to the bank. The analysts wrote that they anticipate a gradual growth deceleration through the rest of 2024 as policy support wanes.

Persons: BofA, —, Helen Qiao, wasn't Organizations: of America, Service, Bank of America, FAI Locations: China

Until inflation slows further and the Federal Reserve is able to start lowering the federal funds rate, mortgage rates are likely to remain elevated. If the latest PCE numbers support the narrative that inflation is remaining stubbornly high, mortgage rates could inch up further. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Essentially Flat (+0.01%)The average 15-year mortgage rate is 6.12%, just a single basis point higher than last week. Mortgage rates also rose dramatically in 2023, though they started trending back down toward the end of the year.

Persons: you'll, It's, refinance Organizations: Federal Reserve, US, of, Fed, Zillow, FHA Locations: Chevron

Mortgage rates are a bit lower today, though they're still well above where they started the month. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates were 6.16% this week, according to Freddie Mac data, which is a 10-basis-point increase from the previous week. Now that the Fed has paused hiking rates, mortgage rates have come down a bit. Once the Fed starts cutting rates, which is likely to happen this year, mortgage rates should fall even further.

Persons: they're, Freddie Mac Organizations: Markets, Treasury, Investors, Federal Reserve, Zillow, Fed Locations: February's, Chevron

Average 30-year mortgage rates increased to 6.88% this week, according to Freddie Mac. If this measure shows some slowing in inflation, mortgage rates could inch back down. It's likely that we'll need to wait for more data before it becomes clear how mortgage rates will trend this year. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage Refinance Rates TodayMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments.

Persons: Freddie Mac, It's, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal Reserve, CPI, of Labor Statistics, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, ARM Locations: Chevron

☆ Wholesale prices rose 0.2% in March, less than expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A measure of wholesale prices increased less than expected in March, providing some potential relief from worries that inflation will hold higher for longer than many economists had expected. Excluding food and energy, the core PPI also rose 0.2%, meeting expectations. The release comes a day after the BLS reported that consumer prices again rose more than expected in March, raising concerns that the Federal Reserve will be unable to lower interest rates anytime soon. However, wholesale prices for final demand food and goods less food and energy climbed 0.8% and 0.1%, respectively. That contrasted with the consumer price index, which showed gasoline up 1.7% on the month.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Dow, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, PPI, BLS, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Group

☆ What March's hotter-than-expected CPI report means for stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhat March's hotter-than-expected CPI report means for stocksNancy Curtin, Global Chief Investment Officer at AITi Tiedemann Global, and CEO and Portfolio Manager at Howard Capital Management, discuss what sticky inflation and the rate cut outlook mean for the markets.

Persons: Nancy Curtin Organizations: Global Chief, Howard Capital Management

A hotter-than-expected inflation report has pushed back expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut. This means mortgage rates are likely to remain elevated for longer than many forecasters had anticipated. This would keep mortgage rates elevated throughout the summer homebuying season, when many home shoppers will be looking to get a mortgage. "March inflation figures were very bad, which also means bad news for interest rates," Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, said in a blog post reacting to March's CPI data. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.

Persons: Lawrence Yun, you'll, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal, Labor Statistics, National Association of Realtors, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, Sky Locations: Chevron

☆ Inflation came in hotter than expected in March
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-10 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

March's year-over-year increase was forecasted to be a higher rate than February's rate. The forecast for March's year-over-year increase in the CPI was 3.4%, a higher rate than the 3.2% increase or the 3.1% increase in February or January respectively. The rate came in above the forecast and was higher than February's year-over-year change. CPI increased 0.4% in March from the preceding month — same as the 0.4% surge in February. AdvertisementAverage hourly earnings increased 4.1% year over year to $34.69 an hour in March, which fell short of the 4.3% year-over-year increase in February.

Persons: —, That's, Julia Pollak, Pollak Organizations: Consumer, Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business Locations: March's, That's

☆ Stock futures slip on Wednesday evening as traders brace for another inflation report: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-10 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures dipped as Wall Street looked ahead to a second key inflation report. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 60 points, or about 0.2%, while S&P 500 futures also lost 0.2%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average led Wednesday's losses, tumbling 1.09%, while the S&P 500 dropped 0.95%. Ten of the 11 S&P 500 sectors finished the session in negative territory, with real estate bearing the brunt of the selling pressure and posting decline of more than 4%. Economists polled by Dow Jones expect wholesale prices to have grown by 0.3% in March, and 0.2% when excluding food and energy.

Persons: Stocks, —, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, CNBC's, Dow Jones, Wells Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Constellation Brands, JPMorgan, Citigroup Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ Hot inflation data pushes market’s rate cut expectations to September
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-10 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Three months of inflation data have brought those expectations back down to earth. "Not that you've put a pin in inflation getting to the Fed's target, but it's not happening imminently." The 2-year Treasury note , which is especially sensitive to Fed rate moves, jumped to 4.93%, an increase of nearly 0.2 percentage point. The pricing in of seven rate cuts earlier this year was completely at odds with indications from Fed officials. However, when policymakers in December raised their "dot plot" indicator to three rate cuts from two projected in September, it set off a Wall Street frenzy.

Persons: Michael M, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, you've, There's, Today's, Phillip Neuhart, Joseph LaVorgna, Schwab's Sonders, Sonders Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty, Federal, Labor, CPI, Fed, Traders, First, Bank Wealth, Dow Jones, Treasury, Nikko Securities, Atlanta Fed Locations: New York City

☆ Trump slams Biden for 'raging' inflation after hotter-than-expected March price report
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-10 | by ( Rebecca Picciotto | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

"INFLATION is BACK—and RAGING!," the former president wrote in a Truth Social post. "The Fed will never be able to credibly lower interest rates, because they want to protect the worst President in the history of the Untied States!" "I'm calling on corporations, including grocery retailers, to use record profits to reduce prices," Biden said in a statement following the CPI report. "Congressional Republicans want to slash taxes for billionaires and big corporations, while helping special interests and Big Pharma raise prices. Biden has continually blamed big corporations and Republicans for the lingering high costs of living that consumers still report feeling while touting economic gains from his own policies.

Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Biden Organizations: Federal Reserve, Congressional, Big Pharma

☆ How March's CPI report could impact the Fed's interest rate policy
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHow March's CPI report could impact the Fed's interest rate policyLindsey Piegza, Stifel chief economist, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss whether the Federal Reserve should have raised rates higher to bring inflation down, whether the Fed's next move could be a hike, and more.

Persons: Lindsey Piegza Organizations: Federal

☆ Take some profits and buy cyclical names if March CPI only matches expectations, investors say
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-09 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Conversely, Kilburg is adding to positions that have lagged the market, such as industrial and health-care stocks. "Those are three names that I believe are blue chip, essential names to the U.S. economy," he said. UnitedHealth and other health-care stocks are also trading at a discount, Kilburg said, citing Johnson & Johnson as a potential winner. Buy cyclical names Bailey, formerly a health-care analyst at Legg Mason and Stifel Financial before joining FBB in 2015, expects a hotter-than-forecast inflation report on Wednesday would take stocks lower. The Johns Hopkins MBA also sees the larger, diversified banks as attractive in a climate of higher inflation and interest rates.

Persons: Jeff Kilburg, Kilburg, Mike Bailey, Bailey, payrolls, Lockheed Martin, Johnson, Legg Mason, Berkshire Hathaway, Johns Hopkins, UnitedHealth Organizations: KKM, FBB Capital Partners, Meta, Nvidia, Lockheed, Stifel, FBB, Treasury, Berkshire, Union Pacific, Old Dominion Freight Locations: U.S, McLennan, Progressive, Chevron

Stocks ended Monday little changed as another uptick in interest rates kept investors from making big moves ahead of key U.S. inflation data. March's CPI number is also being closely watched to gauge when the central bank will begin to lower interest rates. The S&P 500 declined nearly 1% during the period, its biggest weekly loss since early January. The market did finish the week on a positive note, however, after a stronger-than-expected jobs report Friday. The surprising gain in payrolls gave investors hope that a strong economy could continue to support corporate earnings growth, even if it means higher interest rates for longer.

Persons: Stocks, Elon Musk, Dow Jones, Matt Rowe, Dow Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Federal, Nomura Capital Management Locations: payrolls

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