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Jerome Saragoussi, Schonfeld's top macro researcher, is set to join Bridgewater Associates. Saragoussi's exit follows the departure of macro trader Ben Melkman for Bridgewater. Schonfeld's top macro researcher is leaving after less than year to join hedge fund giant Bridgewater Associates. Jerome Saragoussi, head of macro research and strategy at Schonfeld Strategic Partners, is expected to join Bridgewater in June, according to people familiar with the matter, who weren't authorized to speak publicly about the move. The move reunites Saragoussi with macro trader Ben Melkman, who recently joined Bridgewater, the industry's largest hedge fund by assets, in a senior role after a brief spell at Schonfeld.
Persons: Jerome Saragoussi, Ben Melkman, Schonfeld, Colin Lancaster, Mitesh, weren't Organizations: Bridgewater Associates, Schonfeld Strategic Partners, Bridgewater, Business Locations: Bridgewater
Strategas' Chris Verrone expects new market highs this summer
  + stars: | 2024-05-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStrategas' Chris Verrone expects new market highs this summerChris Verrone, Strategas head of technical and macro research, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss his bullish market outlook
Persons: Chris Verrone
Here's why Renaissance's Jeff Degraaf is bullish on China
  + stars: | 2024-04-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's why Renaissance's Jeff Degraaf is bullish on ChinaJeff deGraaf, Renaissance Macro Research chairman, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss his market outlook and bullish attitude toward China.
Persons: Jeff Degraaf, China Jeff deGraaf Organizations: Macro Locations: China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket is close to the bottom to be putting risk back on again, says Strategas' Chris VerroneChris Verrone, Strategas Research Partners head of technical and macro research, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the latest technical signals after market sell-off, and more.
Persons: Strategas, Chris Verrone Chris Verrone Organizations: Strategas Research Partners
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGoldman strategist discusses how change in expectations around Fed may affect Southeast Asia marketsTimothy Moe, co-head of Asia macro research and chief Asia-Pacific equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, discusses the Monetary Authority of Singapore's decision to keep monetary policy unchanged, the outlook for Southeast Asian central bank monetary policy and his equity strategy for the region.
Persons: Goldman, Timothy Moe, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Monetary Authority Locations: Asia, Pacific
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStock market could see 'flashes' of leadership changes, says Strategas' Chris VerroneChris Verrone, Strategas head of technical and macro research, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss Verrone's view towards equity markets, if there's been a twist in the 'plot' of the bull market, and more.
Persons: Strategas, Chris Verrone Chris Verrone, there's Organizations: Email
Copper prices are in the midst of a sharp rally, and there are a few stocks investors could check out to play the trend, according to Strategas. In a Thursday report, he called out the "explosive move from copper" and identified stocks with exposure to the metal that are breaking out of their multi-year ranges. The average price target suggests downside of about 3% from current levels. The average price target suggests 29% downside from current levels. He also raised his price target to $130 from $91, implying that shares could rally about 17% from their Friday close.
Persons: Chris Verrone, Bernstein, Bob Brackett, Brackett, Jefferies, Alejandro Anibal Demichelis, Demichelis Organizations: Copper, Southern Locations: U.S, Freeport, McMoRan, McRoRan, Indonesia, Mexico
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGold still has more upside duration ahead, says Renaissance Macro's Jeff deGraafJeff deGraaf, Renaissance Macro Research chairman and CEO, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss technicals for commodities and energy.
Persons: Jeff deGraaf Jeff deGraaf Organizations: Macro
According to Bank of America, valuation levels explain 80% of the market's return over a 10-year period. Bank of AmericaThere are many ways to measure valuation levels in the overall market. Hussman says it's the most accurate indicator of future market returns that he's found. AdvertisementThe Conference BoardThird, the number of US states with a rising unemployment rate is spiking, meaning that the overall unemployment rate should see further upside. BullAndBearProfits.comThe US unemployment rate is already on a slight uptrend, having climbed from 3.4% in April 2023 to 3.9% as of February.
Persons: , Jon Wolfenbarger, Merrill Lynch, John Hussman's, he's, Warren Buffett, Wolfenbarger, Stocks, Woflenbarger, Cam Harvey, Claudia Sahm, Louis Fed, Jeremy Grantham, John Hussman, David Rosenberg, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, America's Savita Subramanian, Ian Shepherdson, Shepherdson Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Business, JPMorgan, National Federation of Independent Business, Board, Treasury, Bank, America's
Read previewIn what has been billed to be the year of macro, hedge funds are taking diverging paths on the sector. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. Related storiesTwo people familiar with the changes told Business Insider that Jaime Villa, Schonfeld's head of macro research, is no longer with the asset manager. And despite the popularity the strategy might have with allocators at the moment, funds are still quick to cut underperformers. Brevan Howard, one of the biggest macro players in the world, cut dozens of investors earlier this month after its biggest loss on record in February.
Persons: , Chris Rokos, Jaime Villa, Schonfeld's, Villa, Colin Lancaster, Mitesh, Jerome Sargoussi, Eisler, Raj Sethi, Brevan Howard, Steve Cohen's Point72, Mo Grimeh, Bloomberg —, Grimeh, Brett Gardocki — Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Pimco, KKR, SPX, Walleye, Bloomberg, Millennium, Pan, Former Walleye Locations: Schonfeld's London, New York, Minnesota, Stamford, Houston, Hong Kong
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Consumption remains the main engine': U.S. economy showing more resilience, analyst saysAlexandre Tavazzi, head of CIO office and macro research at Pictet Wealth Management, discusses economic data from the United States and how it might affect interest rates.
Persons: Alexandre Tavazzi Organizations: Pictet Wealth Management Locations: United States
Nvidia 's long rally could be giving way to a consolidation period that lasts for months, according to Renaissance Macro Research chairman Jeff DeGraaf. "I think we're stalled here for Nvidia," DeGraaf said Monday on CNBC's "Money Movers ." This combination of a big rally plus elevated trading activity suggests that the stock is overheated, according to DeGraaf. The stock was trading near the $870 level on Monday. This period could take three to six months, DeGraaf said, and he compared it to a brief slump Nvidia had last summer.
Persons: Jeff DeGraaf, DeGraaf, It's Organizations: Nvidia, Macro
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStrategas' Chris Verrone names these sectors as being on the verge of a breakoutChris Verrone, Strategas head of technical and macro research, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss which sectors he believes are on the verge of a breakout.
Persons: Chris Verrone
But some investors are concerned markets could be due for a broader unwind without the help from AI names. As it is, five of the Magnificent Seven names dropped last week, with the exception of Nvidia and Meta Platforms. That advance has helped the S & P 500 climb for 16 out of 19 weeks, notching record after record in its ascent. "A consolidation in the AI trade has been overdue for a while now, so Friday's key reversal day could signal the start of that unwind." NVDA 5D mountain Nvidia Crowding in AI Indeed, other market observers warned investors the overreliance on AI beneficiaries this year could mean danger for the overall market.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Peter Boockvar, semi's, Dubravko, BTIG's Krinsky, there's, Russell, Chris Verrone, Goldman Sachs, Krinsky, Samantha Subin Organizations: Nvidia, Meta, Apple, AMD, Bleakley Financial, Google, JPMorgan, Sunday
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRoom for Nvidia's stock to consolidate and absorb momentum, says Renaissance Macro's deGraafJeff Degraaf, Renaissance Macro Research chairman and CEO, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss what deGraaf expects to happen to Nvidia's stock, if investors will have more chances to get invested in Nvidia, and more.
Persons: Jeff Degraaf Organizations: Macro, Nvidia
Move on from Apple, tactically: Renaissance Macro Research CEO
  + stars: | 2024-03-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMove on from Apple, tactically: Renaissance Macro Research CEOJeff deGraaf, Renaissance Macro Research chairman and CEO, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss watching the market for momentum exhaustion.
Persons: Jeff deGraaf Organizations: Apple, Macro
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStrategas' Chris Verrone says, health care will lead the next market rallyChris Verrone, Strategas head of technical and macro research, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss which sector he believes will be the next driver of the market rally.
Persons: Chris Verrone
In this zodiac cycle, those born between Feb.10, 2024 and Jan. 28, 2025 will be classified as "Dragon babies." While people in China also hold these beliefs, birth rates in the country have actually fallen during the "Dragon Years." For instance, Singapore's birth rates rose by 21% in 1988, and 8% in 2000 and 2012. Asian folklore, however, may not be able to do much for China's falling birth rates, which could continue to drop "quite precipitously," Tay warned. China's birth rates have seen a secular decline, falling to 6.39% in 2023 from 22.37% in 1988.
Persons: Jacelyn Phang, feng, Yuan Zhong Siu, Phang, Erica Tay, Maybank, Tay, Tianchen Xu Organizations: CNBC, The Economist Intelligence Locations: China, Asia
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) during morning trading on January 26, 2023 in New York City. Stock futures were marginally lower on Tuesday morning as investors prepared for a key inflation report. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 38 points or 0.1%. S&P 500 futures slipped 0.18%, while Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 0.21%. In regular trading, the 30-stock Dow closed at a fresh record.
Persons: Carl Icahn, Dow, Chris Verrone, Dow Jones Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Avis Budget, JetBlue Airways, Federal Reserve, Hasbro, Marriott International, MGM Resorts Locations: New York City
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed is only likely to deliver 3 or 4 rate cuts this year, says economistNeil Dutta of Renaissance Macro Research says the U.S. economy is on "pretty firm ground" and explains why he is not concerned about a recession this year.
Persons: Neil Dutta Organizations: Macro Locations: U.S
"For those of you younger than us who did not live through the Tech Bubble of the late 1990s, you are now living through Tech Bubble 2.0. As a reminder, the NASDAQ fell about 80% when that bubble burst in the mild recession of the early 2000s," Wolfenbarger said. AdvertisementThere is evidence that backs up Wolfenbarger's bubble claims, starting with fairly standard valuation measures like the Shiller cyclically-adjusted price-to-earnings ratio. While it's not as high as it was during the dot-com bubble, it's higher than it was in 1929 — and is at one of its most elevated levels in history. Bank of AmericaAs for what will finally deflate the bubble, Wolfenbarger is expecting a recession to hit the US economy.
Persons: , Microsoft —, Jon Wolfenbarger, Merrill Lynch, Wolfenbarger, it's, America's Michael Hartnett, Louis Fed Wolfenbarger, Jeremy Grantham, Adam Karr, Orbis Investment Management Karr, It's Organizations: Service, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Business, JPMorgan, ClearBridge, Tech, NASDAQ, ClearBridge Investments Bank, America's, Bank of America, Bank of America's Global, Institute for Supply Management's Manufacturing, Orbis Investment Management, Global Fund, Federal Reserve Locations: Japan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGood news for economy shouldn't mean the Fed needs to stay hawkish: Wilmington Trust's Meghan ShueNeil Dutta, Renaissance Macro Research head of U.S. economics, and Meghan Shue, Wilmington Trust head of investment strategy, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: Wilmington, Meghan Shue Neil Dutta, Meghan Shue Organizations: Wilmington Trust Locations: hawkish, Wilmington
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStock market still largely led by cyclicality so don't fight the trend, says Strategas' VerroneChris Verrone, Strategas head of technical and macro research, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss what happens now in the stock market after record-highs, if the character of the recent rally has changed, and much more.
Persons: cyclicality, Chris Verrone Organizations: Email
The global economy is moving into a new "super cycle," with artificial intelligence and decarbonization being driving factors, according to Peter Oppenheimer, head of macro research in Europe at Goldman Sachs. "We are moving clearly into a different super cycle," he told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe" on Monday. The most recent significant super cycle that the world economy experienced began in the early 1980s, Oppenheimer said, discussing content from his newly launched book "Any Happy Returns." This was characterized by interest rates and inflation peaking, before a decadeslong period of falling capital costs, inflation and rates, as well as economic policies such as deregulation and privatization, he explained. "We're not likely to see interest rates trending down as aggressively over the next decade or so, we're seeing some pushback to globalization and, of course, we're seeing increased geopolitical tensions as well."
Persons: Peter Oppenheimer, Goldman Sachs, CNBC's, Oppenheimer, We're Organizations: Dow Jones, New York Stock Exchange, Goldman, U.S Locations: Europe, Russia, Ukraine, China, Israel
The market is going to worsen early in 2024 before recovering, according to Evercore ISI. The firm sees the S & P 500 falling in the first half of next year to 3,970 as a "recession materializes and politics [amplify] volatility." An inverted yield curve also portends the start of a recessionary period in the first quarter of 2024, he added. "'Defense Wins Championships' is a consistent theme between [the] last hike and first cut in the recession playbook," said Emanuel. By comparison, the S & P 500 is up 20.1% year to date.
Persons: That's, Julian Emanuel, Emanuel Organizations: ISI
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