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But he did not announce any major new plans for ensuring economic health, leaving investors feeling underwhelmed. The iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI) sank nearly 11%, on track for its worst day ever. The iShares China Large-Cap ETF, for example, soared 33% between Sept. 23 and Oct. 7. Morgan Stanley strategist Laura Wang on Tuesday revised price targets for the major Chinese stock market indexes, suggesting no room for further gains compared with current levels. "Today's press conference at least in the near term reinforces such belief, in our view, and the stock market could see more divergence at individual stock level."
Persons: Zheng Shanjie, Bilibili, Nio, Ray Dalio, FXI, Jeff deGraaf, David Tepper, Morgan Stanley, Laura Wang, Wang, Merrill Lynch, Helen Qiao, Xiangrong Yu, Yu Organizations: National, Reform Commission, CSI China Internet, Billionaire, Bridgewater Associates, Greenwich Economic, Appaloosa Management, U.S . Federal Reserve, Wynn Resorts, Sands, Macau — Locations: China, Greenwich, Greenwich , Connecticut, Beijing, Macau, Tuesday's, U.S
China's stock rally could extend another 15% to 20%, Goldman Sachs says. Goldman highlighted out still-low valuations and diminishing risk as tailwinds for a continued rally. AdvertisementThe blowout surge in China's stock market still has ways to go, with another 15% to 20% upside ahead, Goldman Sachs predicts. Third, earnings growth could pick up if the economy responds well to China's latest support measures. Goldman is optimistic in this outcome, estimating that the central bank's policy easing could uplift China's GDP by 40 basis points.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, , It's Organizations: Beijing, Service Locations: China, Beijing
Emerging markets on the MSCI list include Brazil, China, Greece, India, Indonesia, South Korea, Malaysia, Mexico, the Philippines, Qatar and Thailand. One fund manager, however, is looking outside that list, at an "up and coming emerging market and the next dragon in Asia" — Vietnam. "It's in a sweet spot in terms of economic growth, urbanization, labor market participation and having the right government policy. In spite of its strong growth, Vietnam is still not part of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index. A 'big theme' Mafli is betting on "high growth sectors" and stocks "doing well in underperforming sectors."
Persons: Li Mafli, Eric Sturdza, Mafli —, Mafli Organizations: Eric Sturdza Investments, Vietnam Prosperity, CNBC Pro, General Statistics Office, International Monetary Fund, FTSE, Index, Mobile World Investment, Infrastructure Locations: Brazil, China, Greece, India, Indonesia, South Korea, Malaysia, Mexico, Philippines, Qatar, Thailand, Asia, Vietnam
Qilai Shen | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesChinese investors are looking for more policy direction from China's top economic planning body on Tuesday, when mainland markets return from a week-long holiday. Before the week-long holiday, authorities unveiled a flurry of stimulus policies, including interest rate cuts, lower cash reserve requirements at banks, looser property purchase rules and liquidity support for stock markets. Chinese major indexes have surged over 25% as investors cheer on the barrage of stimulus measures. Last week, China's CSI 300 blue-chip index extended a nine-day winning streak, surging over 8% Monday, before the market closed for a week-long holiday. Now the government needs to add fiscal stimulus to maintain the rally's momentum, said Shaun Rein, founder and managing director of China Market Research Group.
Persons: Qilai Shen, Zheng Shanjie, Erica Tay, Tuesday's presser, Shaun Rein, Rein, Adek Berry, Lynn Song, Song, Gary Ng Organizations: Shoppers, Bloomberg, Getty Images, National Development, Reform, State Council, CSI, SGX FTSE, Maybank Investment Banking Group, Ministry, Finance, China Market Research, AFP, Getty, ING Locations: Nanjing, Shanghai, China, Beijing, Hong Kong, SGX FTSE China, Tuesday's, Xicheng, Greater China, Shenzhen
The recent stimulus-triggered rally in Chinese stocks could have legs, said Goldman Sachs, whose strategists upgraded the regional equities and projected high double-digit returns. The Wall Street firm hiked its rating on Chinese stocks to overweight from equal weight and raised its 12-month price target on the MSCI China index to 84, implying an upside between 15% to 18%. The announcement prompted massive buying from hedge funds, who piled into beaten-down Chinese stocks like never before. the long-awaited "Beijing put" has been triggered," Goldman strategists said in a note to clients. The iShares MSCI China ETF climbed another 2.7% on Monday, jumping more than 30% from its mid-September low and pushing the fund's 2024 return to more than 40%.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, bullish, , Michael Bloom Locations: China, Beijing
After all of these years, after all of the rather incredible rallies and gains in the stock market from so many groups, the typical morning still starts with a bevy of negativity. We hear about OpenAI and its brilliant $167 billion valuation , but we don't see any stock available to public-market investors. I have been furious at myself for thinking the Chinese government couldn't do anything about the country's struggling stock market. The Chinese stock market has been rallying nicely since the stimulus announcements. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: , Elon Musk, he's, isn't, Carl Quintanilla, David Tepper, holler, That's, that's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Federal Reserve, Walmart, Fed, SpaceX, Nike, Walgreens, CVS Health, Club, GE Healthcare, Wynn Resorts, Chinese Communist Party, Apple, PDD Holdings, JD.com, Baidu, Diamondback Energy, Exxon Mobil, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: U.S, China, , New York City
India's recent stock market surge has investors viewing the country as an emerging market poised for long-term outperformance. The India NSE Nifty 50 Index , the country's domestic stock market benchmark, has soared 18.7% this year, hitting record levels. "The data show that, historically, the Indian market has offered robust returns with reduced volatility." Going back to 2015, INDA has seen bigger annual gains and smaller declines than the broader emerging market fund. How to play the Indian market Financials are among investors' favorite spots in India's booming stock market.
Persons: It's, Malcolm Dorson, Dorson, GlobalX, Russell, , EEM, INDA, Amr Abdel Khalek, Khalek, Jerome Powell, Venugopal Garre, Krishna Mohanraj, You've, Mohanraj Organizations: India NSE, Global, CNBC, U.S, Federal, Fed, Nasdaq, China, MRB Partners, Traders, Barclays, Diamond Hill Capital Management, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Axis Bank, ICICI, HDFC, Whitehaven Coal, Prestige Estates Locations: India, China, Dorson, U.S, Whitehaven
Costfoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesBEIJING — The rocket higher in Chinese stocks so far looks different from the market bubble in 2015, analysts said. Major mainland China stock indexes surged by more than 8% Monday, extending a winning streak on the back of stimulus hopes. Stock market leverage by percentage and value were far higher in 2015 than data for Monday showed, according to Wind Information. He added that there are market risks from how unprepared the stock trading system was for the surge of buying. Reports indicate brokerages have been overwhelmed with new requests, echoing how individuals piled into the stock market nearly a decade earlier.
Persons: Aaron Costello, We're, Xi Jinping, Zhu Ning, Stephen Roach, Yale Law School's Paul Tsai, Costello, Peter Alexander, it's, , Alexander Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty, Cambridge Associates, U.S ., greenback, U.S, CSI, People's Bank of China, Nikkei, Yale Law, Yale Law School's Paul Tsai China Center, Ministry of Finance, Ben Advisors, Shanghai Stock Exchange Locations: Hangzhou, China, BEIJING, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Asia, MSCI, People's Republic of China, Beijing
As a result of that excitement, China ETFs are dominating the list of top performing funds in September, according to FactSet. The iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI) was up about 22% on the month, while the KraneSharesCSI China Internet ETF (KWEB) was up more than 32%. Other top performers include the Global X MSCI China Consumer Discretionary ETF (CHIQ) and the Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF (PGJ) , with September gains of roughly 32% and 30%, respectively. The MSCI China Index's total annualized return during that period is under 1%. The average here is a gain of +78% over 176 trading days vs. a decline of -42% over 165 trading days," the note continued.
Persons: Todd Sohn, David Tepper, there's Organizations: People's Bank of, CSI, China Internet, Dragon China Locations: People's Bank of China, China, U.S
The Chinese stock market just had its best single day in more than a decade. It's also the last trading day of the week in China due to the Golden Week holiday. Against this backdrop, Roth MKM's JC O'Hara highlighted one S & P 500 sector that might benefit the most from a rebound in China's economy: materials. Some materials stocks highlighted by O'Hara as potential winners, at least based on their price charts alone, are O-I Glass , Corteva and Freeport-McMoRan . To be sure, investors should tread carefully in materials, O'Hara said.
Persons: It's, Roth MKM's JC O'Hara, O'Hara Organizations: CSI, Seaport, Disney Locations: China, Freeport, McMoRan
Business: Sanwa Holdings is a Japan-based company mainly engaged in the manufacture and sale of building and commercial facility construction materials, as well as the provision of maintenance and renovation services. Activist Commentary: ValueAct has been a premier corporate governance investor for over 20 years. Ahead of any shareholder value creation, ValueAct will likely call for increased shareholder returns in the form of buybacks to capitalize on the Sanwa's relatively low valuation. ValueAct is likely to continue as an active shareholder while Sanwa continues to do what it's been doing, just on a faster timetable. As an engaged investor, ValueAct has historically closed the gap between "good" and "great" by supporting management in executing its plan.
Persons: ValueAct, Rob Hale, Hale, Sanwa, Clopay, healthily, It's, Dalton, Ken Squire Organizations: Sanwa, Olympus, JSR, ValueAct, Griffon Corp, KKR, Nikkei, U.S, Dalton Investments, 13D Locations: Japan, North America, Europe, U.S, Asia
Favorable valuations Small-cap stocks are one area Dietze is watching closely, given that they are trading at a "discount." Interest in small-cap stocks picked up in July and while the outlook has been mixed, he likes that "valuations are favorable" right now. Emerging markets Another popular segment Dietze is focusing on is emerging markets, thanks to the potential from their rapidly growing population numbers. Countries classified as emerging markets include China, India, South Korea, Taiwan and Brazil. Year-to-date, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index is up 0.56%.
Persons: Dow Jones, David Dietze, CNBC's, Dietze's, Russell, Jerome, Dietze, Hershey, , Jesse Pound Organizations: U.S, U.S . Federal, mull, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, CNBC, Myers Squibb, BHP Group Locations: U.S ., U.S, China, India, South Korea, Taiwan, Brazil, Bristol
Famed "Big Short" investor Michael Burry is benefiting from the recent surge in Chinese stocks. Burry began aggressively buying Chinese stocks in the fourth quarter of 2022, and it seems to finally be paying off. AdvertisementBurry also has 12% of his portfolio invested in Baidu, and another 12% of his portfolio invested in JD.com. Billionaire investor David Tepper said on Thursday that it's a buy "everything" moment for Chinese stocks. Tepper believes there's more upside to be had in Chinese stocks due to their depressed valuations.
Persons: Michael Burry, , Burry, Alibaba, David Tepper, Tepper, there's Organizations: Scion, Management, Service, Scion Asset Management, Baidu, People's Bank of China, Alibaba, CNBC Locations: JD.com, China, HedgeFollow, China's
David Tepper is growing even more bullish on Chinese stocks amid the nation's new fiscal stimulus measures. Tepper views China's stock market as more attractive than the US stock market due to valuation differences. AdvertisementIt's a buy "everything" moment for Chinese stocks after the country launched a fiscal stimulus bazooka this week, according to billionaire investor David Tepper. But Tepper believes Chinese stocks have plenty of room to run higher, even after the recent surges. On US markets, Tepper said he is not following his buy "everything" mantra with Chinese stocks and is being more selective in buying US stocks.
Persons: David Tepper, Tepper, , Pan Gongsheng, Donald Trump, he's Organizations: Service, CNBC, Fed, Federal, People's Bank of China, PDD Holdings, Tencent Holdings, Management, Wynn Resorts, Vegas Sands, Baidu, China Internet Locations: China, Vegas
CATL Goldman is buy-rated on Chinese battery maker Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, or CATL. The company — which has a global market share of 40% — "is the largest and most innovative battery maker globally," the bank's analysts wrote. Goldman has a price target of 307 Chinese yuan ($43.65) on the stock, giving it potential upside of around 55%. Gotion Another Shenzhen-listed Chinese stock Goldman likes is Gotion High Tech . Goldman has a buy rating on Gotion at a price target of 31.40 Chinese yuan, giving it potential upside of around 66.4%.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, — CATL, CATL Goldman, CATL, Goldman, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: LG Energy, Panasonic, Samsung SDI, Amperex Technology Co, Shenzhen Stock Exchange, Battery Technology, China Clean Technology, High Tech Locations: China, Gotion, Shenzhen
Investors should stay away from overvalued U.S. stocks in 2025, fund manager Sean Peche has cautioned. The value investor at Ranmore Fund Management told CNBC's Silvia Amaro on CNBC Pro Talks about where he sees undervalued stocks and opportunities, especially now the U.S. Federal Reserve has cut interest rates. Pesh highlighted his fund's holdings, including Carrefour , Petrobras , Alibaba , and Baidu as value plays. Peche, who set up Ranmore Fund Management in 2008, also shared some of the worst trades of the year, as well as his most successful yet. Since inception, the fund has gained 10.9% on an annualized basis, slightly more than the 10.6% posted by its MSCI benchmark.
Persons: Sean Peche, CNBC's Silvia Amaro, Pesh Organizations: Ranmore Fund Management, CNBC Pro, U.S . Federal, Carrefour, Petrobras, Alibaba, Baidu, Ranmore, Equity, ABN Amro, Ranmore Global Equity Fund Locations: overvalued U.S, Hong Kong, United States, Carrefour, China
The boost comes shortly after China introduced a swath of new stimulus measures to prop up its sluggish economy and boost domestic demand. AdvertisementThe new stimulus measures also boosted China's CSI 300 of Shanghai- and Shenzhen-listed shares, with the index closing 4.3% higher on Tuesday in its best day in four years. And the Stoxx Europe 600 index climbed as much as 0.9%, led by luxury stocks amid hopes that sluggish Chinese consumer spending will rebound. Yet, some analysts remain wary that China's stimulus measures won't have drastic enough impacts to actually rescue the country from its economic woes. AdvertisementIn recent months, China's economy has struggled to escape weak consumer sentiment and continues to face a struggling property sector.
Persons: , Yingrui Wang, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Tencent Holdings, Alibaba, Holding, Business, CSI, US Federal Reserve, AXA Investment Locations: Hong Kong, China, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Europe
September is a historically weak month for stocks, but the first U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut in four years meant that markets have mostly bucked the trend so far. The S & P 500 has risen around 1% month-to-date, and jumped about 8% since the end of June when stocks went through much volatility. But risks such as the U.S. election, inflation and geopolitical conditions raise the question of what the path ahead will be like for stocks. "In my view, the banking sector could win ... as should solid growth stocks – at reasonable valuations – in the healthcare and software sectors," he added. Valuations in the U.S. market look "less demanding" — if you exclude Big Tech, mega-growth stocks, which are dragging up the overall price-to-earnings multiple of the S & P 500, Webber added.
Persons: David Bianco, Simon Webber, Schroders, Webber Organizations: U.S . Federal, Equity, Big Tech, CNBC Pro Locations: DWS, U.S
After the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a bumper 50 basis points , investors have been left wondering whether growth or value stocks are the best bet. On CNBC's upcoming Pro Talks , Silvia Amaro will ask value investor Sean Peche where he sees opportunities in the current market. Peche is portfolio manager at the U.K.-based Ranmore Fund Management and manages its $329 million Ranmore Global Equity Fund . As of Aug. 31, the Ranmore Global Equity Fund has returned 21.6% over the last year, underperforming its benchmark MSCI World Index's 24.4%. CNBC Pro subscribers can watch Pro Talks live on Wednesday, Sept. 25, at 7 a.m.
Persons: Silvia Amaro, Sean Peche, He'll, Warren Buffett, Eli Lilly, ager, CNBC's Silvia Amaro Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Ranmore Fund Management, Global Equity Fund, Investors, Ranmore, Equity, Petrobras, Baidu, ABN Amro, Ranmore Global Equity Fund, Decillion Fund Management, Orbis Investment Advisory, CNBC, Beyond Locations: Carrefour, China, U.S, London
And so it is with Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway slashing its holdings in Apple and Bank of America in recent months. Buffett himself has indicated in recent years that he doesn't see an abundance of compelling value on offer in the public markets. But this in itself isn't much of a clue about future market prospects or the macroeconomic moment. Borgato says he believes "Buffett wants to leave a Berkshire behind that requires [fewer] future cash allocation decisions, not more." I'm not a buyer of the "cash on the sidelines" case for expecting money market assets to drain into stocks.
Persons: , Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, Ed Borgato, it's, pare Berkshire's, Greg Abel, Berkshire Hathaway, BRK.B QUAL, Ajit Jain, Trump, Borgato, Jared Woodard Organizations: Apple, Bank of America, Bank of, Buffett, Berkshire, Berkshire Hathaway, Washington Locations: Berkshire's, Berkshire, Apple,
Franklin Templeton's Yi Ping Liao describes the South Asian country as "a fertile hunting ground to identify stocks." And if this continues, you can potentially see lower equity risk premiums for the market," the assistant portfolio manager told CNBC Pro on Sept. 12. She likes that the Indian market offers the "opportunity to identify good stocks," following an improvement in its breadth. Among the names Liao is betting on is automaker Tata Motors . Elsewhere, in the tourism and hospitality industry, the portfolio manager likes hotel chain Indian Hotels — the company behind premium brands like Taj, Vivanta and Ginger.
Persons: Franklin Templeton's Yi Ping Liao, Liao, Franklin, Morgan Stanley, China's, Vivanta, Ginger, India's financialization Organizations: CNBC Pro, Templeton, Growth, IMI, Bombay Stock Exchange, World Economic, Bain & Company, Tata Motors, Tata, Apollo, Max Healthcare Institute, Insurance, Taj, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank Locations: India, Asia, China, U.S
Market disconnectsSpeaking of mistakes in the market, Rosenthal thinks the current composition of the market is untenable and due for a correction. "We don't think the equal-weighted S&P or any kind of index ex the Mag Seven is at an extremely low valuation," Rosenthal said. Rosenthal holds CVS (CVS) in his portfolio. Nippon Sanso (NPXYY) is a Japanese oil and gas company that Rosenthal believes is undervalued. Combined with the structural tailwind of corporate reforms within Japan, Rosenthal believes this Japanese company's stock is well-positioned to appreciate in the coming years.
Persons: , Scott Rosenthal, Rosenthal, Rosenthal's, it's Organizations: Service, Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management, Wiley Global Value Fund, Business, Econ, CVS, Nippon Locations: Japan
From property woes to sluggish economic data, China appears to be suffering from long Covid. Wall Street turns bullishBillionaire investors, including Appaloosa Management founder David Tepper and "Big Short" investor Michael Burry, recently revealed they are sticking to their China bets. The famed investor loaded up on Alibaba stock in the second quarter, revealing an $11.2 million position in the company. That makes Alibaba Burry's largest holding, with other Chinese tech stocks including Baidu and JD.com also featuring on Burry's portfolio. Meanwhile, BCA Research recently upgraded Chinese onshore stocks to overweight, with China strategist Jing Sima expecting Chinese onshore stocks to passively outperform global equities.
Persons: Jiang Sheng, It's, Ted Alexander, CNBC's, David Tepper, Michael Burry, Alibaba, Tepper, Burry, JD.com, Jing Sima, George Boubouras, Goldman Sachs, Song Zhiyong, Eric Lin Organizations: Visual China, Getty, Appaloosa Management, KE Holdings, Baidu, BCA Research, K2 Asset Management, CNBC, Bank of America, National Bureau of Statistics, China's Ministry of Transport, Civil Aviation Administration, Asia Pacific Summit for Aviation Safety, Paris Olympic Games, Greater, Greater China Research, UBS Locations: China, Beijing, Wall, Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Europe, Greater China
Brazilian stocks have been on a tear, but stubborn inflation could grind the recent rally to a stop. It's a work in progress, and most likely will require further rate hikes by the central bank." BCA Research's Arthur Budaghyan agreed that the Brazilian central bank is unlikely to hike rates for very long. Against this backdrop, Budaghyan advises clients steer clear of Brazilian stocks in the near term. U.S. investors who want exposure to the Brazilian stock market can obtain it through the iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) .
Persons: Bovespa, Fernando Haddad, Goldman Sachs, Alberto Ramos, Ramos, Arthur Budaghyan, Budaghyan Organizations: U.S . Federal, CNBC, U.S, Fed, BCA, Banco, MRB Partners Locations: Lower U.S, overcompensate, America, Banco Central, Brazil, U.S
By extension, the move in Washington, D.C. could also spell good news for Chinese stocks. High U.S. interest rates relative to China have made it fairly straightforward for global institutions to pick U.S. Treasurys over Chinese stocks. More than lower rates needed Other global investors say Chinese stocks need more than easier monetary policy to become truly attractive. The "government can push interest rates down, but if households don't want to spend the extra income, it won't go into the economy," he said. Earlier this year, People's Bank of China Governor Pan Gongsheng acknowledged U.S. Fed easing would create room for China to further cut interest rates.
Persons: Steven Sun, Laura Wang, Morgan Stanley, Aaron Costello, Yi Gang, Costello, James Wang, Wang, Pan Gongsheng Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, HSBC, HSBC Qianhai Securities, Nasdaq, U.S, Treasury, Cambridge Associates, CNBC, People's Bank of China, UBS Investment Bank Research, UBS, Hang Seng China Enterprises, China Southern Airlines, Hengli Petrochemical, Saudi, Aramco Locations: China's, Washington ,, China, 1H24, Asia, U.S, Beijing, Hang, Shenzhen, Shanghai
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