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Here's why the Social Security COLA is smaller for 2025
  + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
The Social Security Administration on Thursday announced that the cost-of-living adjustment will be 2.5% in 2025. When that increase goes into effect, it will be the lowest adjustment to benefits that beneficiaries have seen since 2021, when the cost-of-living adjustment, or COLA, was 1.3%. The Social Security cost-of-living adjustment was put in place to help benefits keep pace with inflation. More from Personal Finance:Social Security Administration announces 2.5% COLA for 2025House may force vote on bill affecting pensioners' Social Security benefits72% of Americans worry Social Security will run out in their lifetimeAs government inflation data shows the pace of inflation has subsided, the size of the annual increase to benefits has come down. The 2025 adjustment is not the lowest the Social Security COLA has been.
Persons: Charles Blahous, George Mason University's, Social Security COLA Organizations: Social Security Administration, Social Security, Urban, Clerical Workers, CPI, Finance
More than 72.5 million Americans will see a 2.5% cost-of-living adjustment to benefit payments in 2025, the Social Security Administration announced on Thursday. The Social Security cost-of-living adjustment for 2025 is the lowest annual increase since 2021, when beneficiaries saw a 1.3% increase to benefits. While the cost-of-living adjustment for 2024 was 3.2%, beneficiaries saw the highest increases in four decades in 2023, with an 8.7% increase, and in 2022, with a 5.9% boost to benefits. Now that the pace of inflation has come down, the cost-of-living adjustments are more average. Social Security's annual benefit increases have averaged about 2.6% over the past 20 years, according to the Senior Citizens League, a nonpartisan senior group.
Persons: COLAs Organizations: Social Security Administration, CNBC, Social Security, Senior Citizens League
True to its name, the S&P 500 index includes 500 large U.S. companies. They are the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust , which trades under the ticker SPY; iShares Core S&P 500 ETF , with ticker IVV; and Vanguard S&P 500 ETF , which trades as VOO. Future index performance could be 'muted'The S&P 500 index has continued to make headlines for new all-time highs in 2024. Goldman Sachs just raised its S&P 500 index forecast for 2024 to 6,000 up from 5,600 to reflect expected earnings growth. S&P 500 'hard to beat in the long run'Investing in the S&P 500 index is a popular strategy.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Berkshire, Morningstar, VOO, Larry Adam, Raymond James, Adam, Goldman Sachs, Tom Lee, Bryan Armour, Armour, Sean Williams, Williams Organizations: Berkshire Hathaway, Cnbc, Nbcuniversal, Trust, Vanguard, U.S, ETF, Fundstrat Global Advisors, CNBC, Morningstar, Cadence Wealth Partners Locations: St . Petersburg , Florida, U.S, Concord , North Carolina
The Social Security cost-of-living adjustment, or COLA, could be 2.5% next year, Mary Johnson, an independent Social Security and Medicare analyst, predicted last month. The Social Security Administration is expected to announce the COLA for 2025 on Thursday. Social Security COLAs have averaged about 2.6% over the past 20 years, according to the Senior Citizens League. More from Personal Finance:House may force vote on bill affecting pensioners' Social Security benefitsWhy children miss out on Social Security survivor benefits72% of Americans worry Social Security will run out in their lifetimesCould the Social Security COLA estimate change? The official Social Security cost-of-living adjustment will factor in one more month of government inflation data when it is announced.
Persons: Mary Johnson, Joe Elsasser, Elsasser, Alicia Munnell, Johnson, Hurricane Helene Organizations: Social, Social Security, Social Security Administration, Senior Citizens League, Center for Retirement Research, Boston College, Finance, Urban, Clerical Workers
Kamil Krzaczynski | AFP | Getty ImagesThere are few topics Americans would rather not talk about more than money. 'Missed opportunities' of not talking about moneyFor both couples and families, not having those crucial financial conversations can cost them, financial advisors say. Have talks 'before an emergency situation arises'On a positive note, some money conversations are happening more regularly, U.S. Bank's research found. Still, 45% of respondents say they are unaware of their parents' financial situation, U.S. Bank found. To work past financial standoffs, it helps for couples to create a more welcoming environment to engage their partners in money conversations, Cherry said.
Persons: Kamil Krzaczynski, Wells, Scott Ford, Preston Cherry, Cherry, it's, Ford, Winnie Sun, Douglas Boneparth, Boneparth, Ted Jenkin, It's, Jenkin, Couples, Organizations: AFP, Getty, U.S . Bank, CNBC FA, Sun, Wealth Partners, CNBC FA Council, Bank, Finance Locations: Chicago , Illinois, Wells Fargo, Green Bay , Wisconsin, Irvine , California, New York City, U.S, Atlanta
A van flows in floodwaters in the aftermath of Hurricane Helene on Sept. 28 in Asheville, North Carolina. States affected by Hurricane Helene are warning residents to watch for the risks of scams in the aftermath of the storm, including price gouging. Price gouging happens when there is an excessive increase in prices charged for goods and services, and it often happens during emergencies or disasters. Normal price fluctuations are not price gouging, South Carolina Attorney General Alan Wilson said in a recent announcement. The terms of established price gouging protections vary from state to state.
Persons: Hurricane Helene, Josh Stein, Stein, there's, Helene, Tennessee —, Alan Wilson, Teresa Murray, Murray, Price Organizations: North Carolina, CNBC, Finance, Port, South Carolina, . Public Interest Research Locations: Hurricane, Asheville , North Carolina, States, Florida , Georgia, South Carolina, Tennessee
Trump in March said on social media platform Truth Social that Democrats are "killing Social Security and Medicare by allowing the invasion of the migrants." The earnings suspense file is an electronic holding file for wage items where names and Social Security numbers on Form W-2s do not match the Social Security Administration's records, an agency spokesperson said via email. "Immigration, in general, has a very positive role," said Sam Gutterman, chairperson of the American Academy of Actuaries' Social Security committee. The Social Security Administration in an email explained that there are strict rules about who can legally receive benefits and Social Security numbers. "The Social Security Act does not permit payment of benefits to noncitizens residing in the U.S. if they're not lawfully present here," a Social Security spokesperson said.
Persons: Sen, JD Vance, Alex Wong, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris —, Vance, Harris, Tara Watson, Watson, Andrew Biggs, General, Jeffrey Brown, Brown, I've, " Biggs, Sam Gutterman, Renata Miller, they're, actuary, Stephen Goss, Goss Organizations: Radford University, Getty, Social Security, Medicare, Republican, Trump, CNBC, of Homeland, Brookings Institution, Immigration, Immigrants, American Academy of Actuaries, Taxation, Social, someone's Social, American Enterprise Institute, Social Security Administration, Social Security Administration Office, Finance, American Academy of Actuaries ' Social Security, Department of Health, Human Services, HHS, Department of Homeland, SSA Locations: Radford , Virginia, U.S, misdirection
Federal spending on children climbed to a peak of $11,690 per child in 2021 in response to the Covid-19 pandemic. In 2024, that spending is expected to level off to $8,760 per child — a decline of about $230 per child from the previous year, the research found. In 2021, child poverty fell to 5.2%, down from 12.6% in 2019. The expiration of the aid drove child poverty back up to 12.4% in 2022. Tax expenditures represent the largest drop in federal spending on children between 2022 and 2023, while there were also sharp declines in spending on nutrition and more modest changes in education funding, according to the Urban Institute.
Persons: , Heather Hahn, Hahn Organizations: Urban Institute, D.C, Finance Locations: Washington
When a Social Security beneficiary dies, their loved ones may qualify for a one-time $255 lump-sum death payment. Yet that amount has not changed in 70 years — since 1954 — while inflation has pushed the costs for funerals higher. On Wednesday, Sen. Peter Welch, D-Vt., introduced a new bill, the Social Security Survivor Benefits Equity Act, to raise the lump-sum death benefit to $2,900 to reflect today's cost of living. Under the terms of the bill, the higher $2,900 death benefit would go into effect in 2025. The proposal has been endorsed by advocacy organizations Social Security Works and the Strengthen Social Security Coalition.
Persons: Sen, Peter Welch, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Welch, haven't Organizations: Social, Social Security Survivor, Equity, Finance, Social Security, National, Consumer, Urban, Clerical Workers, Social Security Coalition Locations: Sens
"We know there needs to be a continuation of rate cuts," Oden said. "The new debate is the question, is the next one going to be another 50 [basis points], or will it be 25 [basis points]?" Expect market volatility aheadYet the U.S. faces another looming uncertainty with the upcoming November election. Market volatility, which tends to increase in September, will likely continue in October, according to Oden. "Pre- and post-election, we will still see some volatility," Oden said.
Persons: Thomas Barwick, Racquel Oden, Oden, we're, Carolyn McClanahan, McClanahan Organizations: Digitalvision, Federal Reserve, HSBC, CNBC's, Investors, Planning Partners, CNBC FA Locations: U.S, Jacksonville, Fla
And it still is, despite the Federal Reserve's recent 50 basis point rate cut, which will push record returns on cash lower. "Those rates aren't going to go from awesome to awful overnight," said Matt Schulz, chief credit analyst at LendingTree. "There's no need to panic if you haven't moved your money into a high-yield savings account yet or you haven't locked in a CD rate." "The biggest mistake that people can make … is the failure to save," said Mark Hamrick, senior economic analyst at Bankrate. "The urgency of saving is not made any less in an environment where rates are coming down," he added.
Persons: Matt Schulz, haven't, Mark Hamrick Organizations: Federal, Finance
House lawmakers in Washington have the signatures they need to force a vote on a bill to eliminate rules that reduce Social Security benefits for certain retirees who also receive pension income. On Thursday morning, Reps. Abigail Spanberger, D-Va., and Garret Graves, R-La., marked the 206 signatures a discharge petition had thus far collected with a press conference outside the Capitol building alongside organizations representing police, firefighters, postal workers, teachers and other government employees often affected by those rules. By Thursday afternoon, the number of signatures had climbed to 218, enough to force a vote on the bill. The bipartisan bill — the Social Security Fairness Act — would repeal rules known as the Windfall Elimination Provision, or WEP, and the Government Pension Offset, or GPO, that currently reduce Social Security benefits for almost 3 million Americans. "This is a situation where you have some of the most important occupations, some of the most important contributors to our community, that are being discriminated against," he said.
Persons: Abigail Spanberger, Garret Graves, Graves Organizations: Social, Finance Locations: Washington
The bill — the Social Security Fairness Act — would repeal two rules that reduce Social Security benefits for workers and spouses, widows and widowers who also receive pension income. If brought to the House floor, the Social Security Fairness Act may pass, based on the 327 co-sponsors who are currently behind the proposal. The government pension offset reduces Social Security benefits for spouses, widows and widowers who also have pension income. But if she retirees and begins collecting the pension benefits she earned, that Social Security income may disappear. Eliminating the rules through the Social Security Fairness Act would also cost the program at a time when Social Security faces looming trust fund depletion dates, he said.
Persons: Abigail Spanberger, Garret Graves, There’s, , Emerson Sprick, , Sprick, Roger Boudreau, Boudreau, ” Boudreau, Paul Van de Water, Van, ” Van, Water, ” Sprick, it’s, ” Sen, Mike Braun, Organizations: Security, Social, Senate, Center, GPO, Social Security, Rhode Island American Federation of Teachers, Budget, Congressional, Republican
Rare bipartisan momentum is growing in the House of Representatives to force a vote on a bill that would address a topic Congress typically avoids — Social Security. The bill — the Social Security Fairness Act — would repeal two rules that reduce Social Security benefits for workers and spouses, widows and widowers who also receive pension income. The petition currently has 172 signatures out of the 218 signatures required for a vote, including 25 Republicans, according to Spanberger's office. If brought to the House floor, the Social Security Fairness Act may pass, based on the 327 co-sponsors who are currently behind the proposal. The WEP, in particular, is "deeply, incredibly misunderstood," which contributes to calls to simply get rid of the rule, Sprick said.
Persons: Abigail Spanberger, Garret Graves, Emerson Sprick, , Sprick Organizations: Security, Social, Finance, Senate, Center
Social Security beneficiaries have seen higher cost-of-living adjustments in recent years, prompted by record high inflation. Based on new government inflation data, beneficiaries may see just a 2.5% increase to benefits in 2025, estimates Mary Johnson, an independent Social Security and Medicare analyst. In 2024, more than 71 million Americans — including Social Security and Supplemental Security Income beneficiaries — saw a 3.2% cost-of-living adjustment, according to the Social Security Administration. A spike in inflation drove the annual benefit boost even higher in 2023, when there was an 8.7% increase, the highest in four decades. In 2021, the cost-of-living adjustment was 1.3%.
Persons: Mary Johnson, Organizations: Social Security, Social Security Administration
Glowimages | Getty ImagesYou may have never heard of National Public Data, yet your personal information may have been compromised in the company's recent massive data breach. National Public Data did not return a request for comment by press time. Can you be affected even if you've never heard of National Public Data? Sites like National Public Data may allow for individuals to opt out of being included in their data collections. Additionally, identity theft monitoring tools will let you know if someone tries to open an account using your personal information.
Persons: James E, Lee, it's, you've, Cliff Steinhauer, Steinhauer, Organizations: Public Data, Jerico Pictures Inc, National, Theft Resource, Finance, Social Security, National Public, Public, National Cybersecurity Alliance, Social Locations: Maine, U.S
Sakorn Sukkasemsakorn | Istock | Getty ImagesAbout 2.9 billion people may have had their personal information hacked, a new proposed class-action lawsuit alleges. If true, reports suggest all Americans may have had valuable personal information compromised — including full names, current and past addresses, Social Security numbers and information on parents, siblings and other relatives. In 2013, a Yahoo data breach may have hit all the company's accounts, or a total of 3 billion people. "Freezing your credit is the single most important thing you can do when you get a data breach notice," Lee said. While freezing your credit will limit access to your credit reports, it won't block it completely.
Persons: Sakorn, Cliff Steinhauer, James E, Lee, Steinhauer, I'd, haven't, We've, it's, It's Organizations: Istock, Public Data, Jerico Pictures Inc, Jerico, CNBC, National Cybersecurity Alliance, Theft Resource, Social Security, Finance Locations: U.S
zimmytws | iStock | Getty ImagesThe Social Security Administration faces a "record-breaking backlog" of open cases, leading to approximately $1.1 billion in projected improper payments to beneficiaries, according to a new report from the Social Security Administration Office of the Inspector General. Of those that were improper payment cases, the average processing time was 698 days, according to a sample evaluated by SSA OIG. Improper payment includes overpayments, where beneficiaries are paid more than they should be, as well as underpayments, where payments to beneficiaries may be erroneously reduced. watch nowIf the pending cases had been resolved immediately, about 528,000 beneficiaries would have been improperly paid about $534 million, the report estimated. After 12 months, that improper payment amount for those beneficiaries rose to about $756 million.
Persons: Paul Van de Water, Van, Water Organizations: iStock, Social Security Administration, Social Security Administration Office, SSA, Budget
Workers who pay into Social Security while they're working should expect benefits from the program when they retire. Yet 72% of adults worry Social Security will run out of funding in their lifetimes, a new survey from Nationwide Retirement Institute finds. Meanwhile, 23% do not expect to receive even a dime of the Social Security benefits they've earned. However, fears that Social Security benefits may dry up completely are overblown, experts say. Nevertheless, Americans shouldn't worry Social Security will disappear.
Persons: they've, Millennials, Xers, Harris, Vance, David Blanchett, We're, Blanchett, Joe Elsasser, CNBC.com, Elsasser Organizations: Workers, Social Security, Nationwide Retirement Institute, Finance, GOP, Social, Security, DC Solutions
U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris and second gentleman Douglas Emhoff descend from Air Force Two in Wilmington, DE, U.S., July 22, 2024. Vice President Kamala Harris' personal financial records are under fresh scrutiny now that she is running for the highest office in the United States. Experts say recent tax filings show she and her husband, Second Gentleman Douglas Emhoff, have largely kept their finances simple during her years as vice president. Yet that approach may have cost the couple as they left unclaimed tax savings through additional deductions, as well as other missed financial strategies. Harris' office did not respond to a request for comment by press time.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Douglas Emhoff, Second, Craig Hausz, Harris, Emhoff, Medicare Harris, doesn't, she'll, Carolyn McClanahan, McClanahan, Catherine Valega, Valega Organizations: Air Force, CMH Advisors, Finance, Social Security, Medicare, Planning Partners, CNBC FA, Green Bee Locations: Wilmington , DE, United States, Dallas, Jacksonville , Florida, Boston
Kevin Lamarque | ReutersWhen it comes to the November election, there is one issue that is at the top of voters' wish lists: Social Security. It polled 1,831 adults age 18 and up who "currently receive or expect to receive Social Security." Experts say the post likely refers to the taxes Social Security beneficiaries may owe on their benefit income. Exactly how much Social Security beneficiaries pay in taxes is based on their "combined income," which includes adjusted gross income, nontaxable interest and half of their Social Security benefits. Yet in a March CNBC interview, Trump said he would consider cutting "entitlements," which may refer to Social Security, Medicare or Medicaid.
Persons: Kevin Lamarque, Emerson Sprick, Biden, Joe Biden, Nathan Howard, Sprick, Robyn Patterson, Patterson, Trump, Donald Trump, Elizabeth Frantz, CNBC's, Harris, Kamala Harris, Megan Varner Organizations: Reuters, Social Security, National Institute on Retirement Security, Nationwide Retirement, Social, White, Medicare, Trust Fund, Congressional Republicans, Security, Biden, CNBC, U.S, Center, Getty Locations: Falls Church , Virginia, U.S, Russia, Washington , U.S, Harrisburg , Pennsylvania, Georgia, Atlanta , Georgia
Congress enacted legislation a decade ago to create accounts to help people with disabilities save money. ABLE accounts let disabled individuals save money outside of asset limit requirements set by federal-assistance programs while also accessing certain tax advantages. Investments in ABLE accounts grow tax deferred, while withdrawals are tax free, as long as they are used for qualified expenses. To date, more than 171,000 people with disabilities have saved an average of over $11,000 each through ABLE accounts, according to Casey. Last year, he proposed a bill called the ABLE MATCH Act that would create a federal dollar-for-dollar match to help lower-income disabled individuals save money in those accounts.
Persons: Sen, Bob Casey, Casey, Thomas Foley, Foley Organizations: Aging, Investments, Finance, Administration, National Disability Institute
Visitors walk during a long-duration heat wave impacting much of California on July 9 in Death Valley National Park, California. Amid surging summer heat, the earth reached a new hottest day on record on July 22. That day, the global average temperature was almost 63 degrees Fahrenheit, and was surrounded by similar high temperature days. As a result, many Americans face a tough tradeoff between paying higher cooling costs or suffering in the heat to save money, research finds. Home cooling costs have risen in the past decade as higher temperatures require more electricity.
Persons: Heather Higginbottom Organizations: Finance, Miami, National Energy Assistance, Association, Center for Energy, U.S, JPMorgan Chase Institute, JPMorgan Chase Locations: California, Death, , California
Harris For President Campaign | Via ReutersFinancial experts describe Vice President Kamala Harris' investment style in one word: Boring. In her role as vice president, Harris filed a public financial disclosure report for 2023, which was signed in May. Carolyn McClanahan, a certified financial planner and founder of Life Planning Partners in Jacksonville, Florida, who also reviewed Harris' financial disclosure, said it makes her "heart sing" to see Harris investing in low-cost passive investment strategies. Since 2020, mortgage rates have increased substantially, which means the couple missed their chance to lock in a low rate for a longer term. McClanahan said she urged everyone to lock in the record low mortgage rates that were available back then.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Barack Obama, Michelle Obama, Harris, Dustin Thackeray, She's, Thackeray, Carolyn McClanahan, McClanahan, Vance, , Second, Douglas Emhoff, Barry Glassman, Glassman, Cash, Emhoff, it's, Ted Jenkin, Atlanta . Jenkin Organizations: Democratic, Reuters, Crewe Advisors, Planning Partners, CNBC, Finance, GOP, Wealth, CNBC's, Council Locations: U.S, Salt Lake City, Jacksonville , Florida, California, Atlanta .
Experts say those stock moves and shuffling sectors are common during a bull market. But Bank of America is calling today's conditions something else — a buffalo market — which is still in the bull family. But unlike the bull market, it may get tired after a strong runup. "It might roam, it might wander in the summer months," said Marci McGregor, head of portfolio strategy at Merrill and Bank of America Private Bank. The firm's outlook sees markets finishing higher this year, based on factors including earnings, the investment cycle, financial conditions, interest rates and generative artificial intelligence.
Persons: Marci McGregor, McGregor Organizations: Financial, Bank of America, Merrill, Bank of America Private Bank Locations: New York City
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