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Don’t look now but gas prices are rising fast
  + stars: | 2024-02-16 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
Gas prices always rise as winter winds down because demand increases and gas stations must switch over to more expensive summer fuel. No matter the cause, rising gas prices are bad news for consumers already frustrated by the cost of living. And they undercut the election year message of a White House that previously pointed to cheap gas prices as evidence that Bidenomics is working. First, oil prices — the main driver of retail gas prices — tend to increase during this time of the year. For instance, without the usual backstop, last summer’s historic heatwave that knocked some refineries offline unexpectedly lifted gas prices across the country.
Persons: New York CNN —, , Patrick De Haan, doesn’t, De Haan, That’s, Andy Lipow, It’s, BP’s Whiting, Whiting, Lipow, ” Lipow Organizations: New, New York CNN, AAA, , Lipow Oil Associates, , BP, heatwave Locations: New York, Washington, Southern California, Indiana, Midwest, Ohio, Illinois, Colorado , Utah, Arizona, New Mexico, Colorado, That’s, Israel, Iran, Saudi Arabia
Diamondback Energy took one of the last major, privately held operators in the Permian off the table this week when it agreed to buy Endeavor Energy Resources for $26 billion. The deal is poised to catapult Diamondback into the top tier in the Permian, the most prolific oil patch in the U.S. that stretches from western Texas into southeastern New Mexico. The top six companies in the Permian are set to own 62% of the basin's remaining oil reserves, according to Rystad Energy. The stubborn holdouts After the Diamondback-Endeavor and Occidental-CrownRock deals, the only other major privately held producers left in the Permian are Continental Resources and Mewbourne Oil. Conoco could potentially seek to acquire Permian Resources , Civitas , Coterra, Vital Energy or Ovintiv , Bernstein said.
Persons: Matthew Bernstein, Bernstein, Hess, Andy Lipow, Neal Dingmann, Mewbourne, Dingmann, Ovintiv, Enerplus, Bob Yawger, Yawger, weren't, Ryan Lance, Lance, Conoco, EOG Organizations: Diamondback Energy, Endeavor Energy Resources, Diamondback, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Rystad Energy, Truist Securities, CRFA Research, Endeavor, CNBC, Exxon, Natural Resources, Occidental, Lipow Oil Associates, Resources, Mewbourne, Continental, Publicly, Civitas, Coterra, Vital Energy, Devon Energy, Marathon Oil, Bloomberg News, Marathon, Reuters, CFRA, ConocoPhillips, Mizuho Locations: U.S, Texas, New Mexico, Guyana, Devon, Bakken, North Dakota, Occidental, Mizuho Americas, Marathon
"If so, we expect the soaring freight rates and equipment shortage will continue till the third quarter," it advised clients. This would be on top of the revenue lost by diverted container vessels which are required to pay between $500,000-$600,000 per transit. "However, given the longer transit times vessels are experiencing, the market may face a shortage of empties across Asia until sailings normalize." Evelyn Fornes, Home Depot spokeswoman, said it is working with logistics carriers to find alternate routes to limit any impact from the Red Sea conflict. East Coast freight rates soar While freight rates for U.S. West Coast ports have yet to spike, freight rates for the East Coast and Gulf are up.
Persons: Folden, Shell, Jean, Charles Gordon, Nyttingnes, Torm, Euronav, Tom, Hafnia, Andy Lipow, Kuehn, Nagel, Ami Daniel, Goetz Alebrand, Stephen Schwarz, Paolo Montrone, Kuehn + Nagel, Alan Baer, Baer, Evelyn Fornes, Fornes, Lane Organizations: Galaxy, Houthis Media, Getty Images, Anadolu, Getty, U.S, Clarksons Securities, Honour Lane Shipping, Wall Street, Shell, Suez, Authority, Lipow Oil Associates, Logistics, CNBC, DHL Global, Asia Pacific, Kuehn, USA, Home, Costco, Walmart, Home Depot, Volvo, Michelin, Ikea, East, U.S . Locations: Iran, Yemen, Anadolu, Hafnia, Ardmore, Suez, Israel, Americas, Asia, Europe, Wells Fargo, Red, U.S, East Coast, U.S . West Coast, Gulf, East, West, West Coast
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOPEC meeting delay probably the result of disagreement among members, consultancy saysAndy Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates, says Saudi Arabia is "in the middle, with the burden of the oil market's supply and demand balance on their shoulders."
Persons: Andy Lipow Organizations: OPEC, Lipow Oil Associates Locations: Saudi Arabia
"Management of all the Sovcomflot ships was transferred to Sun Ship Management in March/April 2022 when their offices in Europe were closed. 30 ship owners targeted in new Treasury probeThis is just one example of the murkiness within the Russian oil trade. There are grey areas in the U.S. government's Russian oil guidelines, though the efforts can ultimately lead maritime investigators to the truth. In the U.S. Treasury's "Preliminary Guidance on Implementation of a Maritime Services Policy and Related Price Exception for Seaborne Russian Oil," ship owners are under a Tier 2 category. This document could provide a "safe harbor" for ship owners who are relying on that customer's "attestation" to comply with sanctions.
Persons: Wally Adeyemo, Matthew Wright, Wright, it's, hasn't, They're, shipowners, Andy Lipow, Lipow, Brent Organizations: Windward, U.S . Department, Foreign Assets Control, Treasury, Shipping, Coalition, Ukraine, United, Kazan Shipping Incorporated's, Progress Shipping Company, CNBC, Sovcomflot, Management, Sun Ship Management, Maritime Services, Ship, Lipow Oil Associates, U.S . Treasury, European Union, AIS Locations: Morocco, Price, United Arab Emirates, Kazan, Kazan Shipping Incorporated's Kazan, UAE, Europe, U.S, Asia, Ukraine, Hong Kong, China, India
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLow probability of a shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz, consultancy saysAndy Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates, says the oil market will probably be "buffeted between the headlines we see out of the Middle East and the fear that there might be a supply disruption, and on the other hand, being counteracted by the Fed decision to keep interest rates … higher for a longer period of time."
Persons: Andy Lipow Organizations: Lipow Oil Associates Locations: Hormuz
Fluctuations since the attack pushed oil prices as high as $96. Until something like that happens, “the oil market is going to be like everyone else, monitoring the events in the Middle East,” Lipow said. One reason 1970s-style gas lines are unlikely: U.S. oil production is at an all-time high. Weekly domestic oil production has doubled from the first week in October 2012 to now. Lawmakers from both parties have urged Biden to block Iranian oil sales, seeking to dry up one of the regime’s key sources of funding.
Persons: ” Fatih Birol, , Andrew Lipow, ” Lipow, Mike Sommers, Sommers, “ America’s, , Joe Biden's, Israel, Biden, Sofia Guidi Di Sante, Wyoming Sen, John Barrasso, “ Joe, Barrasso, ____ McHugh, Choe Organizations: WASHINGTON, International Energy Agency, , Associated Press, Brent, Lipow Oil Associates, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Energy Department, American Petroleum Institute, Hudson Institute, Commerzbank, Oil, Rystad Energy, Republican, Senate Energy, Natural Resources Committee, Democratic, Keystone XL, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, The Energy Department, The Treasury Department, Treasury Locations: East, Israel, Saudi Arabia, Russia, China, Paris, Gaza, Iran, Houston, Hormuz, U.S, Europe, Washington, OPEC, Lebanon, Venezuela, The U.S, Wyoming, America, Frankfurt, Germany, New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGeopolitical risks have been priced into oil markets, says Andy LipowAndy Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss oil market pricing in geopolitical risks, the potential for supply disruptions if Iran joins the Isreal-Hamas conflict, and U.S. sanctions on international suppliers.
Persons: Andy Lipow Andy Lipow Organizations: Lipow Oil Associates Locations: Iran
Oil falls more that $1 a barrel on Venezuela deal hopes
  + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
"The reported deal ... would help to raise the country's oil output from very depressed levels," said William Jackson, chief emerging markets economist for Capital Economics. Monday's falling prices appeared to "a breather to take in events in the Middle East" as opposed to expected production increases in Venezuela, said Andrew Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates. "Negotiations with Venezuela could lead to a surge in exports of crude oil that is already in inventory," Lipow said. "It's more of the same on Monday in terms of the conflict in the Middle East being contained from affecting crude oil supplies," said John Kilduff, partner with Again Capital LLC. Heightened tensions in the Middle East may have compounded other risk factors to push prices higher last week, market sources said.
Persons: William Jackson, Jackson, Andrew Lipow, Lipow, John Kilduff, Vladimir Putin, Putin, John Evans Organizations: U.S . West Texas, Capital Economics, Brent, Lipow Oil Associates, Traders, Hamas, LLC, U.S Locations: U.S, Venezuela, Israel, Venezuelan, Gaza, Russia, Iran, Syria, Egypt, Moscow, Russian, Saudi
Crude oil storage tanks are seen in an aerial photograph at the Cushing oil hub in Cushing, Oklahoma, U.S. April 21, 2020. The conflict in the Middle East has had little impact on global oil and gas supplies, and Israel is not a big producer. Iran's Oil Minister Javad Owji said on Friday oil prices are expected to reach $100 per barrel due to the current situation in the Middle East, according to the ministry's news agency SHANA. If the U.S. tightens enforcement of sanctions on Iran's oil exports due to any role it may have in the conflict, then Iran's oil supply could fall. On the U.S. supply front, drillers this week added four oil rigs in the biggest weekly rise since March, Baker Hughes said.
Persons: Brent, WTI, Israel, Javad Owji, SHANA, Iran's, Hossein Amirabdollahian, Andrew Lipow, Baker Hughes, Stephanie Kelly, Paul Carsten, Katya Golubkova, Andrew Hayley, Marguerita Choy, David Gregorio, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Companies, . West Texas, Iran's Oil, Hezbollah, U.S, Wall Street, Lipow Oil Associates, The, of, Petroleum, drillers, U.S . Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Thomson Locations: Cushing , Oklahoma, U.S, Gaza Saudi Arabia, Israel, Gaza, Tehran, Lebanese, Saudi Arabia, Moscow, Ukraine, Russia, Iran, China, New York, London, Tokyo, Beijing
Gas prices could fall to $3.25 by Halloween as oil plunges
  + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
New York CNN —After spiking to alarming levels just last week, oil prices are suddenly in free-fall mode. US oil prices plunged by 5.6% to $84.22 a barrel on Wednesday, marking the biggest one-day decline in a year. Now, gas prices are already starting to retreat and experts predict sharper drops to come. That’s 11 cents below the 2023 peak set last month when gas prices experienced an unusual post-Labor Day jump. Boom to bustSo why did oil prices go from spiking to plunging?
Persons: Andy Lipow, Tom Kloza, Kloza, ” Kloza, , Joe Brusuelas, , Matt Smith, ” Smith, There’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, AAA, Labor, Lipow Oil Associates, CNN, Oil Price Information Service, , Federal Reserve, RSM, Fed, Saudi, Americas Locations: New York, Saudi Arabia, Kpler, Ukraine
Global benchmark Brent crude futures and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures have declined about $10 a barrel in less than 10 days after edging close to $100 in late September. Brent futures settled $1.74, or 2.03%, lower at $84.07, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were $1.91, or 2.3%, lower at $82.31. Government data on Wednesday also showed a sharp decline in U.S. gasoline demand. Finished motor gasoline supplied, a proxy for demand, fell last week to its lowest since the start of this year. On Thursday, the Turkish energy minister said a crude oil pipeline from Iraq through Turkey, which has been suspended for about six months, was ready for operations.
Persons: Brent, Dennis Kissler, Bob Yawger, Long, Andy Lipow, John Kilduff, Arathy Somasekhar, Paul Carsten, Katya Golubkova, Marguerita Choy, David Gregorio, Sharon Singleton, Jane Merriman Organizations: HOUSTON, Brent, . West Texas, U.S, West Texas, BOK Financial, Oil, Organization of, Petroleum, Mizuho, Lipow Oil Associates, New York ., Data, Thomson Locations: Russia, Saudi Arabia, New York, New York . U.S, U.S, Iraq, Turkey, Houston, London, Tokyo, Singapore
Gas is rapidly approaching $6 in one state
  + stars: | 2023-09-19 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
In California, gas prices are rapidly approaching $6 a gallon. Nationally, gas prices remain well below the record of $5.02 set last June. Still, US gas prices climbed this week to $3.88 a gallon, the highest level of the entire year, according to AAA. Boosted by those two nations’ aggressive supply cuts, US oil prices climbed to as high as $93.74 a barrel on Tuesday. And this recent rise in gas prices is causing headaches for some in Washington.
Persons: it’s, That’s, Pain, Joe Biden’s, Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Nicholas Colas, Colas, , , Joe Brusuelas, Andy Lipow, Lipow, Russia don’t, Brent, Goldman Sachs, Vincent Reinhart, RSM’s, Reinhart, , Morgan Stanley, Kristina Hooper Organizations: New York CNN, , AAA, Brent, Federal, DataTrek Research, RSM, Lipow Oil Associates, Rockies, Citigroup, Fed, Mellon Locations: United States, West Coast, In California, Los Angeles, Long Beach, California, Washington and Nevada, Saudi Arabia, Russia, It’s, Washington, OPEC
New York CNN —US oil prices climbed above $90 a barrel on Thursday for the first time in 10 months, threatening to push gasoline prices even higher and heat up inflation across the economy. High oil prices have already created an unusual situation where gasoline is getting more expensive even after the summer driving season has ended. The latest oil market rally has been driven by concerns about supply. The recent jump in energy prices is undoing some of the progress made by central banks in the fight against inflation. A pair of inflation reports released this week showed prices rose by more than expected in August, in large part because of rising gas prices.
Persons: , Andy Lipow, Lipow, Brent Organizations: New, New York CNN, AAA, Lipow Oil Associates, Energy Locations: New York, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Libya, Europe, Texas , New Mexico, United States, Colorado , North Dakota, California
U.S. crude futures climb over $2 late in session
  + stars: | 2023-08-31 | by ( Erwin Seba | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures for October settled at $83.63 a barrel, up $2, or 2.45%. Brent crude futures for October, expiring on Thursday, finished up $1, 1.16%, at $86.86 a barrel. "The crude market is reacting to OPEC production cuts being extended," said Andrew Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates. On Thursday, six-month U.S. crude oil futures traded as low as $3.83 below crude for front month delivery , the steepest discount since Nov. 17, signalling tight supplies and encouraging inventory draws. Analysts expect Saudi Arabia to extend a voluntary oil production cut of 1 million bpd into October, adding to cuts put in place by OPEC+.
Persons: Lucy Nicholson, Andrew Lipow, Brent, Ole Hansen, Eric Rosengren, Ahmad Ghaddar, Jeslyn Lerh, David Goodman, Nick Macfie, Paul Simao, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: REUTERS, bbl, Fed, Organization Petroleum Exporting, . West Texas, Brent, Lipow Oil Associates, U.S . Energy, Administration, OPEC, Saxo Bank, Commerce Department, Reserve, Boston Fed, National Bureau of Statistics, Thomson Locations: Bakersfield , California, Saudi Arabia, China, HOUSTON, U.S, Singapore
Labor Day weekend gas prices are near all-time highs
  + stars: | 2023-08-31 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
New York CNN —Drivers hitting the roads this Labor Day weekend will be greeted by historically high gas prices for this time of the year. The good news is that gas prices are still well below the peak set in June 2022. Psychologically important pricesIt’s worth noting that while gas prices are high for this point of the calendar, these figures aren’t adjusted for inflation. Still, consumers are very sensitive to increases in gas prices, in part because of how visible they are. In fact, the Conference Board blamed the recent uptick in gas prices for driving down consumer confidence in August.
Persons: , John LaForge, Andy Lipow, – can’t, Organizations: New, New York CNN, Drivers, Labor, CNN, AAA, Wells, Investment Institute, Biden, Lipow Oil Associates, US Energy Information Administration, Conference Board Locations: New York, Illinois, Washington , Arizona, California, Russia, Saudi Arabia
How extreme heat is making your gas more expensive
  + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
Extreme heat is contributing to this unwelcome price spike. Saudi Arabia and Russia restrain supplyOf course, extreme heat is not the sole factor behind the gas price jump. Still, high heat is clearly piling pressure on gas prices. The good news is there are signs the impact of high heat on gas prices may be easing. Kloza said gas prices could just be pennies away from their peak of the summer.
Persons: , Tom Kloza, Andy Lipow, Kloza, ” Kloza Organizations: New, New York CNN, Oil Price Information Service, AAA, Lipow Oil Associates, Diesel, Retail Locations: New York, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Texas , Louisiana, Gulf
New York CNN —The monthslong calm in gas prices is over. However, gas prices are much lower today than they were last summer, when they spiked above $5 a gallon. David Paul Morris/Bloomberg/Getty ImagesAs recently as July 4, gas prices had experienced a nearly unprecedented year-over-year decline. The unwelcome shift higher in pump prices follows a jump in oil prices, which have climbed to three-month highs as part of a broader rally in commodities. Cooling inflation, driven in part by easing gas prices, has raised hopes that the United States can avoid a recession.
Persons: , Andy Lipow, David Paul Morris, Lipow, ” Lipow Organizations: New, New York CNN, AAA, CNN, Lipow Oil Associates, Bloomberg, Getty, Federal Reserve, OPEC Locations: New York, Ukraine, United States, Russia, Saudi Arabia, OPEC, Europe
Oil near flat as tighter supplies offset U.S. rate hike risk
  + stars: | 2023-07-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Oil prices were near flat on Thursday as the market weighed tighter U.S. crude supplies with the higher likelihood of a U.S. interest rate hike that could dent energy demand. U.S. interest rate futures on Thursday increased the probability of another U.S. rate rise after news private payrolls surged last month. "While the inventories are supportive for oil prices today, the oil market is being dominated by fears of further rate increases," said Andrew Lipow, president at Lipow Oil Associates in Houston. The total cuts now stand at more than five million barrels per day (bpd), equating to 5% of global oil output. Rather than pressuring oil producers to curb supply, which heads of global energy companies say serves only to increase prices, governments should shift the focus to limiting oil demand to reduce emissions, they said.
Persons: payrolls, Phil Flynn, Andrew Lipow Organizations: Brent, . West Texas Intermediate, Federal Reserve, Price Futures, Energy Information Administration, Lipow Oil Associates, Reuters, OPEC Locations: Red, Ras Behar, Egypt, U.S, Europe, China, Houston, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Vienna
LONDON, July 4 (Reuters) - Oil prices climbed 2% on Tuesday as markets weighed August supply cuts by top exporters Saudi Arabia and Russia against a weak global economic outlook. The total cuts now stand at more than 5 million bpd, or 5% of global oil output. "Clearly, the Saudis are taking proactive and pre-emptive steps to stabilize the price of crude oil as well as see gains to reach $80 a barrel to sustain their domestic budgets," said Andrew Lipow, president of Houston-based Lipow Oil Associates. Even so, the market will wait to verify Russia's announced cuts, and concerns continue that high interest rates will weigh on global demand, Lipow said. Oil benchmarks settled about 1% down in the previous session, as a gloomy macroeconomic outlook served to erase early gains.
Persons: Tamas Varga, Andrew Lipow, Russia's, Lipow, Craig Erlam, Natalie Grover, Rod Nickel, Arathy Somasekhar, Trixie Yap, Mark Potter, Alexander Smith, David Goodman, Bill Berkrot Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, Houston, Lipow Oil Associates, Independence, International Energy Agency, Thomson Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, Algeria, OPEC, China, Europe, U.S, London, Winnipeg , Manitoba, Houston, Singapore
Crude inventories (USOILC=ECI) fell by 3.8 million barrels to 463.3 million barrels in the week to June 16, compared with analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 300,000-barrel rise. Crude stocks at the Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery hub (USOICC=ECI) fell 98,000 barrels, EIA said. U.S. crude oil exports climbed to 4.5 million barrels per day last week, while imports fell about 50% to 1.6 million barrels per day. "A rebound in crude exports, dip in imports, and ongoing strength in refining activity have encouraged a draw to crude inventories," said Matt Smith, a lead oil analyst at Kpler. Refinery crude runs (USOICR=ECI) fell by 116,000 barrels per day in the last week, EIA said.
Persons: Andrew Lipow, Matt Smith, Arathy Somasekhar, Stephanie Kelly, Jan Harvey Organizations: Energy Information Administration, Cushing, . West Texas, Brent, Lipow Oil Associates, EIA, Thomson Locations: Oklahoma, Houston . U.S, U.S, Houston, New York
June 14 (Reuters) - U.S. crude oil stockpiles posted a surprise large build last week, while gasoline and distillate inventories gained more than expected, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday. Crude inventories (USOILC=ECI) rose by 7.9 million barrels in the week to June 9, the EIA said, compared with analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a draw of 510,000 barrels. Meanwhile, refinery crude runs (USOICR=ECI) fell by 61,000 barrels per day (bpd). Brent crude futures traded at $74.26 and U.S. crude was at $69.34 at 10:55 a.m. EDT. Crude stocks at the Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery hub (USOICC=ECI) rose by 1.6 million barrels last week, the EIA said, to the highest since June 2021.
Persons: Matt Smith, Cushing, Andrew Lipow, Stephanie Kelly, Mark Potter, Mark Porter, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Energy Information Administration, EIA, Americas, Brent, Cushing, Lipow Oil Associates, Thomson Locations: Kpler, Oklahoma, Houston
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOPEC+ needs to take further action to comply with cuts it announced in April, consultancy saysAndy Lipow of Lipow Oil Associates discusses the outlook for OPEC+ and the oil market.
Persons: Andy Lipow Organizations: Lipow Oil Associates
WTI's session low was $67.95 a barrel, lowest since March 24. On Wednesday afternoon, the Fed raised interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point, pressuring oil prices as traders worried that slower economic growth could hit energy demand. "The Fed going into a pause mode should be very supportive for the price of oil," said Phil Flynn, an analyst at Price Futures Group. Also pressuring oil prices, government data showed U.S. gasoline inventories (USOILG=ECI) unexpectedly rose by 1.7 million barrels last week. In China, data over the weekend showed April manufacturing activity fell unexpectedly in the world's largest energy consumer and top buyer of crude oil.
Both benchmarks fell 5% during the previous session, when they also recorded their biggest one-day percentage declines since early January. "The Federal Reserve is expected to deliver another quarter-point increase later today as part of its long-running battle against inflation," PVM Oil analyst Stephen Brennock said. Oil prices extended losses after government data showed U.S. gasoline inventories (USOILG=ECI) unexpectedly rose by 1.7 million barrels last week, compared with analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 1.2 million-barrel drop. U.S. crude inventories (USOILC=ECI) fell by 1.3 million barrels in the week, compared with forecasts for a 1.1 million-barrel drop. China is the world's largest energy consumer and top buyer of crude oil.
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