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☆ Election betting: Appeals court fast-tracks CFTC challenge to Kalshi political bets
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Dan Mangan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

A federal appeals court has fast-tracked the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's case challenging the right of the event exchange Kalshi to offer U.S. political election contracts. Kalshi touted its presidential election contracts on electronic signs in New York City's Times Square over the weekend. The CFTC told the appellate court that election contracts "are susceptible to market manipulation" and also pose a risk to election integrity or how the public views the integrity of elections. Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour, in a statement, said his company is "confident" that the law allows election contracts. As of Monday, Kalshi had booked more than $7 million in contracts on the presidential election outcome.

Persons: Kalshi, Tarek Mansour, Mansour, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: Long, Fitness Center, Interactive, U.S, Senate, New York City's, Appeals, District of Columbia Circuit, CFTC, Washington , D.C Locations: Virginia's, Arlington , Virginia, New York, U.S, Washington ,

☆ Trump Media stock surges as election betting odds shift, Truth Social launches streaming site
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Kevin Breuninger | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

In this photo illustration a smartphone screen displays a post by Donald Trump on his Truth Social app, Sept. 12, 2024. Monday's surge also coincided with Trump Media's launch of a new site for its TV streaming app, Truth+. Trump Media was trading above $30 per share at its intraday peak, and closed at $29.95. Meanwhile, Trump Media on Monday morning announced the launch of a separate website for its in-platform streaming service, Truth+. While a slimmer version of Truth+ already exists on Truth Social, the new site offers the "full range" of the company's streaming programming, Trump Media said in a press release.

Persons: Donald Trump, Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, company's, Al Capone, John Smith, Michael Smith Organizations: Trump Media, Democratic, Trump, Truth, Forbes, Big Tech

☆ Kalshi expands Trump, Harris election bet options, adds Senate races, CFTC complains
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Dan Mangan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Kalshi wagers on the presidential race outcomes were split 50-50, roughly reflecting national polling on the contest. The new contracts were added to Kalshi's platform within days of a favorable federal appeals court ruling for the company on Oct 2. Even more political races could soon become available for betting with Kalshi contracts, the CFTC said, citing contract terms published on the exchange's web site. But the commission argues that Kalshi's contracts might cast doubt on the integrity of elections. The appeals court initially blocked that judge's ruling from taking effect, which meant Kalshi could not offer any political contracts.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Kalshi, KalshiEx, It's, there's, Tarek Mansour, Mansour, Patricia Millett Organizations: White, Electoral, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, U.S ., Appeals, District of Columbia Circuit, CNBC Locations: Washington ,

☆ Kalshi resumes taking bets on U.S. election after appeals court lifts freeze
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailKalshi resumes taking bets on U.S. election after appeals court lifts freezeKalshi founder and CEO Tarek Mansour joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss news of the company taking bets on the outcome of the 2024 congressional election after a federal appeals court lifted a legal freeze on such contracts, state of the betting market on the 2024 election, and more.

Persons: Tarek Mansour

☆ Google Search's new AI makeover is the latest change the rest of the internet needs to navigate
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

In today's big story, Google Search is going to look a whole lot different thanks to generative AI . According to Rhiannon Bell, the vice president of user experience for Google Search, it's a "pretty dramatic shift from where we were before." AdvertisementAnd yes, in case you were wondering if it was coming, Google is going to start putting ads in its AI Search results — but only when Google deems them relevant. Google's new AI-organized search results GoogleSearch's revamp addresses a big concern for the rest of the internet. One survey conducted earlier this year found 60% of people who used Google's AI search found it more effective than non-AI powered Search.

Persons: —, Morgan Stanley, Tyler Le, Hugh Langley, Tech's, Hugh, Rhiannon Bell, Gen, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Ned Davis, Kalshi, Andy Jassy F, Carter Smith, Chelsea Jia Feng, Andy Jassy, Marc Andreessen, he's, Alyssa Powell, dockworkers, hasn't, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Business, Service, Costco, Tech, Google, Getty, Ned, Ned Davis Research, CFTC, Bloomberg, Getty Images, Amazon, LinkedIn, YouTube, EU . US Department of Labor Locations: China, San Francisco, EU, New York, London

☆ Americans are able to bet on the US elections again after a legal fight
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Americans can bet on the outcome of US elections following a legal fight. Last month, Kalshi briefly listed bets on congressional election outcomes before the CFTC shut them down. On Wednesday, prediction market Kalshi got the go-ahead to take bets on congressional elections after a months-long legal battle with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. That makes it one of the only options for Americans to bet on election outcomes, and the only legal one for Americans to wager large amounts of money. The court's decision comes just five weeks before the elections, and follows years of legal battles between prediction markets and the CFTC.

Persons: Kalshi, —, CoinDesk, Harry Crane Organizations: CFTC, Service, Futures Trading Commission, Federal, Kalshi, Senate, Rutgers University Locations: New York, New Zealand

☆ Federal appeals court allows prediction market Kalshi to offer US election betting
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Piper Hudspeth Blackburn | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

CNN —A federal appeals court in Washington, DC, on Wednesday allowed a prediction market to offer election betting, denying a government watchdog’s request to halt a ruling that made way for legal political gambling in the United States. It is unclear whether the New York-based startup will launch more election markets. “US presidential election markets are legal. Because the sources of information that election markets absorb can be “opaque and unreliable,” like polls with undisclosed methodologies or fake news reports, Schwartz suggested that they can be uniquely susceptible to manipulation. While the legal dispute with Kalshi plays out, the CFTC has also embarked on a broader clampdown on events-based betting.

Persons: ” “, Patricia Millett, ”, ” Kalshi, Jia Cobb, Tarek Mansour, X, Stephen Hall, ‘ deepfakes, Kalshi, “, Rob Schwartz, Schwartz, Yaakov Roth, ” Roth, Rostin Behnam Organizations: CNN, Senate, Futures Trading Commission, DC, Appeals, US, DC Circuit, Kalshi, CFTC, Better Locations: Washington ,, United States, New York, Washington, “

☆ Federal judge allows prediction market Kalshi to offer betting on upcoming US elections
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Piper Hudspethblackburn | Piper Hudspeth Blackburn | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

CNN —A federal judge made way on Thursday for legal political gambling in the United States, rejecting a federal watchdog’s last-minute effort to delay a prediction market from offering bets on the November elections. She also denied a request by the government during Thursday’s hearing to block Kalshi from offering contracts pending its appeal. The CFTC has argued that the contracts count as illegal gambling and that it doesn’t have the resources to monitor them. Its chairman, Rostin Behnam, has also warned that election contracts would “ultimately commoditize and degrade the integrity” the electoral process. Luana Lopes Lara, a co-founder of Kalshi, celebrated the decision on Thursday, writing on X, “WE’RE LIVE.” The CFTC declined to comment.

Persons: Jia Cobb, “, ” Cobb, Kalshi, Rostin Behnam, Luana Lopes Lara, ” Organizations: CNN, Senate, Futures Trading Commission, DC, Kalshi, CFTC Locations: United States, Washington ,, Kalshi, New York

☆ Trading Startup Sues Regulator in Effort to Launch Election-Betting Market
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Paul Kiernan | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission rejected a recent proposal to launch a derivatives market tied to congressional election results. Photo: Stephen Voss for The Wall Street JournalWASHINGTON—An online-trading startup is suing the federal government after regulators blocked its plan to let people bet on U.S. elections. The company, Kalshi, said in a complaint filed Wednesday in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission was “arbitrary, capricious and otherwise contrary to law” when it rejected the proposal to launch a market for derivatives tied to results of congressional elections.

Persons: Stephen Voss Organizations: Futures Trading Commission, The Wall Street Journal WASHINGTON, U.S ., Appeals, Circuit, Futures Locations: U.S

☆ US investors can't place wagers on the 2024 election, financial watchdog rules
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-25 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US investors won't be able to bet directly on the 2024 Congressional elections. The ruling comes with Wall Street readying for a tight election battle next year. Get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in business, from Wall Street to Silicon Valley — delivered daily. The regulator has previously thrown out election-based derivatives contracts, ruling back in 2012 that a similar offering created by the Nadex exchange was also against the public interest. The ruling comes with both Main Street and Wall Street readying for a tight election battle next year.

Organizations: Service, Futures, Commission, Republican, Democrats Locations: Wall, Silicon

☆ The 30 early-stage startups most likely to become tech's next unicorns, according to a proprietary AI model known as 'Moneyball for VC'
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( Ben Bergman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The firm developed a propriety model that uses AI to predict which early-stage startups are most likely to become unicorns, which are companies valued at more than a billion dollars. "Our AI eliminates about 99% of all early-stage companies from consideration, because our data predicts these companies have a higher probability of failure." Another surprising thing about TRAC's model is it does not value founders as predictive. "Similar vintage early-stage VCs would have had upwards of 20% of their portfolio be false positive within the first few years. Here are the 30 companies TRAC's model identified as being the next unicorns, in alphabetical order, all with a valuation of less than $250 million.

Persons: Fred Campbell, Joseph Aaron, Scott Pyne, Steve Marek, Dick Fredericks, Aaron, Sam Altman, MBAs, Angel SuperForecasters, Campbell Locations: San Francisco

☆ FTX's LedgerX attracts interest from Blockchain.com, Gemini- Bloomberg
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

Dec 2 (Reuters) - FTX's digital currency futures and clearinghouse LedgerX is up for sale and has attracted interest from crypto firms including Blockchain.com, Gemini, Bitpanda and Kalshi, Bloomberg reported on Friday, citing people familiar with the matter. There could be over half a dozen other potential buyers for the crypto derivatives exchange, the people told Bloomberg, adding that some of the interested parties have signed non-disclosure agreements. Blockchain.com, Gemini and Bitpanda did not immediately respond to Reuters' request for comment, while Kalshi could not be reached for comment. FTX US acquired it last year to expand into crypto futures and options trading. Reporting by Jyoti Narayan in Bengaluru; Editing by Sandra Maler and Cynthia OstermanOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Regulators Weigh Whether to Allow Betting on Midterms
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-26 | by ( Paul Kiernan | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Betting on elections was once common in the U.S., sometimes exceeding the volume of stock trading, one research team found. WASHINGTON—Derivatives exchange Kalshi Inc. is ready to let users bet on next month’s midterm Congressional election, with a timer on its website counting down the days, hours and minutes until the first U.S.-based election-betting market goes live. But the plan carries an asterisk: “pending regulatory approval.”

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