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☆ What’s Behind the Turmoil at New York Community Bank?
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-01 | by ( Santul Nerkar | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Shares of New York Community Bank slid more than 25 percent on Friday, a day after the lender said its loss in the fourth quarter was $2.4 billion more than it had previously reported, and also announced the departure of its chief executive and a board member. Shares of other regional banks were also lower: Valley National Bank and Columbia Banking System both fell more than 2 percent. The KBW Regional Bank Index, which tracks performance of U.S. regional banks, fell more than 1 percent. The drop in shares of other banks is a sign investors are still nervous about the potential for wider trouble in the banking sector — nearly a year after several small banks failed. But the fact that the declines in other regional banks were small suggested that NYCB’s problems are seen as unique to it.

Persons: ”, Christopher Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott Organizations: New York Community Bank, National Bank and Columbia Banking System, Regional

☆ Here are Tuesday's biggest analyst calls: Nvidia, Arm, Tesla, Rivian, Netflix, Micron, Roku, Seagate & more
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-27 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

Citi reiterates Snowflake as a top pick Citi said Snowflake remains a top pick at the firm. Citi reiterates Micron as buy Citi said concerns about the stock underperformance is overdone and investors should buy the dip in top pick Micron. "We reiterate our Buy rating on Micron and maintain our price target of $95.00, above its historical average given the DRAM upturn and continued upside." "We are initiating coverage of Duolingo with a Buy rating and $222 price target (12x 2025 revenues)." Citi reiterates Nvidia as a top pick Citi said it's staying long shares of Nvidia.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Rivian, Snowflake, Berenberg, Eli Lilly, Unilever, Edward Jones, Goldman Sachs, Piper Sandler, Piper, Datadog, Yuka Broderick, Janney, Argus, Wells, VZIO, MGY, Bernstein, it's, Evercore, Davidson Organizations: Citi, US pharma, Staples, Fractyl Health, Investor Relations, Strategic Finance, American Eagle Citi, Watch, Micron, UBS, Netflix, SUN, Kroger, Industry, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, Seaport, Bank of America, Gas, Semiconductors, Nvidia, AMD, Seagate, Bank of, underperform Bank of America, JPMorgan, Comerica, CMA

☆ Banks should see peak of commercial real estate fallout by second half of 2025: Chris Marinac
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBanks should see peak of commercial real estate fallout by second half of 2025: Chris MarinacChris Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott, joins 'Fast Money' to talk the state of regional and big banks after both sectors sunk in today's sell off.

Persons: Chris Marinac Chris Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott

☆ These market signals suggest recession fears aren’t gone yet
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

The Dow Jones Transportation Average, which tracks 20 US transportation stocks from railroads to airlines to delivery, has fallen 1.6% so far this year, underperforming the broader Dow industrials’ 2.2% gain. As that optimism dims, some investors worry that the decline in transportation stocks suggests rough times ahead for the economy. The transportation index tends to fall when the economy deteriorates, as demand for travel and goods wanes. Turmoil in the airline industry also likely contributed to the recent slide in transportation stocks. But net profit fell 14% to €4.9 billion ($5.3 billion) as its tax bill rose.

Persons: CH, , ”, Mark Luschini, Janney Montgomery Scott, Russell, Howard Silverblatt, Dow, effusively, ”, Luschini, Jason Heller, “ I’m, Hanna Ziady, Sewing, Read, Tod Steward, He’s, It’s, Parija Kavilanz, Steward, Steward hasn’t, “, haven’t, that’s Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Dow Jones Transportation, Dow, CH Robinson Worldwide, United Parcel Service, Avis Budget Group, Alaska Air Group, Federal Reserve, Alaska Airlines Boeing, Max, Apple, Microsoft, Meta, Dow Jones, Tesla, Coastal Wealth, Deutsche Bank, Super Bowl, CNN Locations: New York, Seattle

☆ What’s really going on with bank stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Word quickly spread on Wall Street that the regional bank was under pressure, igniting a bout of selling of other bank stocks over fears of contagion. The KBW Regional Banking Index closed down 6% on Wednesday. Unlike many fellow regional banks, it held on to the vast majority of its deposits. He also highlighted that the banks’ losses were tied to faulty office building loans. The selloff that hit other regional bank stocks is “likely overdone given idiosyncratic factors tied to NYCB,” Bank of America analysts said in a note on Thursday.

Persons: Zions, NYCB, Thomas Cangemi, Chris Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott, CNN he’s, ”, ” NYCB, That’s, It’s, isn’t, ” Marinac, “ Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, New York Community Bancorp, Western Alliance Bancorp, York Community Bancorp, Bank, CNN, ” Bank of America, Aozora Bank, First Republic, Valley Bank Locations: New York, ZION, York

☆ Here are Friday's biggest analyst calls: Nvidia, Netflix, Apple, Starbucks, Marvel, Coinbase, IBM, Amazon & more
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Goldman Sachs upgrades Fiverr to buy from neutral Goldman said the Israeli online marketplace is well positioned for AI. Bank of America reiterates Amazon as buy Bank of America said it's standing by its buy rating on Amazon shares. Bank of America downgrades Celsius to neutral from buy Bank of America says it sees "uncertainty to sales momentum" for the energy drink company. Deutsche Bank names Starbucks a top pick Deutsche says it sees an improved same-store sales environment for Starbucks in 2024. Bank of America upgrades Teekay Tankers to buy from neutral Bank of America upgraded the tanker stock due to "rising rate upside."

Persons: Stifel, McKhann, thoughtfully, Goldman, Goldman Sachs, FVRR, Raymond James, TXN, Oppenheimer, Morgan Stanley, ASML, Citi downgrades Blackstone, Carlyle, it's bullish, headwinds, Evercore, Price, Apple Evercore, Janney, Jefferies, Hertz Organizations: Broadcom, Semiconductor, Enterprise, Nvidia, Bank of America, Amazon, North, Holdings, Netflix, Deutsche Bank, Starbucks, Deutsche, SSS, UBS, Texas, Barclays, Nokia, Ericsson, Citi downgrades, Citi, BMO, Marvel, " Bank of America, United Rentals, of America, IBM, Enterprise IT, Apple, Shoals Technologies, Inc, HSBC, Discover, Motorola Solutions, HERTZ Locations: North America, 4Q, 2026E, CY24

☆ Rallying AMD is approaching key levels. What's next for the stock, according to chart analysts
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Some closely watched momentum indicators and a bullish overall chart suggest popular AI chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices is headed for new highs in the near future. The stock hit a new 52-week high and now sits 3.6% below the stock's all-time high of $164.46 set in the fourth quarter of 2021. Many chart analysts expect the stock to blow past that level in the near future. "Anytime a stock makes a new all-time high, it tells me something special is taking place with the company," said JC O'Hara, chief technical strategist at Roth Capital Partners. "Investors should be positioned in these risk stocks that typically outperform in a rising market environment and AMD checks that box," he said.

Persons: Dan Wantrobski, Janney Montgomery Scott, JC O'Hara, Wantrobski, Capital's Todd Gordon, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald Organizations: Devices, AMD, Roth Capital Partners, Nasdaq

☆ The 'phantom debt' of buy now, pay later is growing and will soon hit some Americans hard
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-10 | by ( Cork Gaines | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Buy now, pay later plans gained popularity in 2023 as an alternative to high-interest credit cards. Buy now, pay later use surged recently and those bills are now dueThe use of buy now, pay later plans skyrocketed during the 2023 holiday season. According to Adobe, which tracks online sales, buy now, pay later plans use was up 47% on Black Friday and 43% on Cyber Monday. According to PYMNTS' survey, 39.6% of respondents used buy now, pay later plans for clothing and accessories and 33.7% used them for groceries. Buy now, pay later debt can be advantageous if used correctly.

Persons: —, Rather, Peter Cade, PYMNTS, Tim Quinlan, Shannon Seery Grein, Selcuk, Mark Luschini, Janney Montgomery Scott, Maria Bartiromo, Luschini, Warren Buffett, Buffett, I've Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Adobe, Household Economics, Science Research Network, Economic, Anadolu Agency, Getty, Wells, US Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ Americans broke a record for spending on Black Friday, but it is just hiding a bigger problem for the economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Cork Gaines | Noah Sheidlower | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Many are delaying the cost as buy now, pay later programs are expected to have their biggest month ever. Many are paying via "buy now, pay later" platforms such as Klarna or Afterpay, which let shoppers pay in installments every week or month. Buy now, pay later also allows people to borrow less expensively as they get the pricing interest-free if paid off in time. Indeed, the Fed's "2022 Survey of Household Economics and Decisionmaking" found that 83% of respondents paid off their buy now, pay later programs on time. Compounding the problem is that people tend to spend more when using buy now, pay later programs, suggesting an overconfidence in what they can afford.

Persons: —, Salesforce, Beryl Tomay, Klarna, Mark Luschini, Janney Montgomery Scott, Maria Bartiromo, Luschini, Michael Landsberg, Landsberg Bennett, Kraig, Foreman Organizations: Black, Service, Adobe, Mastercard, CNBC, Business, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Household Economics, Social Science Research Network, Wealth Management Locations: Landsberg

☆ Americans broke a record for spending on Black Friday, but it's just hiding a bigger problem for the economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Cork Gaines | Noah Sheidlower | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Roth MKM downgraded the company to neutral from buy and cut its price target by $9 to $2. Janney, meanwhile, downgraded ChargePoint and assigned a price target of $5, which implies roughly 59% potential upside. Stifel, on the other hand, kept its buy rating and $10 price target based on its long-term view of the stock. Analyst Joseph Moore upgraded the semiconductor manufacturer to overweight from equal weight and upped his price target on the stock by $49 to $225. Kumar has an overweight rating on the stock and a price target of $620, implying upside of 25%.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Piper Sandler, Roth MKM, Janney, Roth, Craig Irwin, — Pia Singh, Tyler Radke, Radke, Mark Mahaney, Mahaney, Airbnb, Joseph Moore, Moore, Harsh Kumar, Kumar, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, EV, Citi, Communications, Microsoft, ISI, Nvidia Locations: Thursday's, North America, Europe, 2Q24 —, U.S

☆ Big banks are quietly cutting thousands of employees, and more layoffs are coming
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Hugh Son | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThe largest American banks have been quietly laying off workers all year — and some of the deepest cuts are yet to come. The moves come after a two-year hiring boom during the pandemic, fueled by a surge in Wall Street activity. "Banks are cutting costs where they can because things are really uncertain next year," Chris Marinac, research director at Janney Montgomery Scott, said in a phone interview. In the coming weeks, the bank will terminate around 1% or 2% of its employees, according to a person with knowledge of the plans. The bank has cut about 2% of its workforce this year amid a protracted slowdown in investment banking activity.

Persons: Michael Nagle, JPMorgan Chase, Chris Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott, you'll, Goldman Sachs, Charlie Scharf's, Mike Santomassimo, Goldman, Headcount, GreenSky, we've, Morgan Stanley, James Gorman, Mark Mason, Jane Fraser's, Mason, Jamie Dimon Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty, JPMorgan, Federal Reserve, headcount, Bank of America, Citigroup, First, Big Locations: New York, Wells, Wells Fargo, York, First Republic

REUTERS/Brendan McDermid Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Oct 18 (Reuters) - Several U.S. regional banks beat analysts third-quarter profit expectations on Wednesday as higher interest rates allowed them to charge more for loans, although rising loan loss provisions and deposit retention costs crimped margins. Shares of several regional banks fell, including M&T Bank and US Bancorp. Regional banks remain a focus of investor scrutiny. The KBW regional banking index (.KRX) is down nearly 24% year-to-date, while the S&P regional bank (.SPCOMBNKS) has also dropped 33% in the same period. Citizens Financial Group (CFG.N) and First Horizon Corp (FHN.N) both reported a decline in their third quarter profit weighed down by rising credit loss provisions and deposit costs.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Chris Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott, Marinac, Citizen Financial's, Chibuike Oguh, Michelle Price, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, U.S, T Bank, US Bancorp, T Bank Corp, Wall, Bank, Citizens Financial, Horizon Corp, Citizens, Citizen, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, Silicon

☆ The banking sector is moving forward despite interest rate pressures: Janney's Christopher Marinac
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe banking sector is moving forward despite interest rate pressures: Janney's Christopher MarinacChristopher Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott director of research, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss high rates adding pressure to regional banks, increasing loan rates and scarcity of credit helping banks do business at higher yields, and upcoming regional bank earnings to look out for.

Persons: Janney's Christopher Marinac Christopher Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott

☆ PNC Financial to cut jobs after profit drops, revenue misses estimates
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-13 | by ( Jaiveer Shekhawat | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

[1/2] A person walks past a branch of PNC Bank, a subsidiary of PNC Financial Services Group, in Washington, U.S. April 30, 2023. REUTERS/Ashraf Fahim/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsOct 13 (Reuters) - PNC Financial Services Group (PNC.N) said on Friday it has started reducing its staff by about 4% as part of a cost-cut initiative after the U.S. lender's third-quarter profit declined and revenue missed estimates. Average deposits at the bank fell 3.8%, to $422.5 billion. PNC posted a profit of $3.60 per share, compared to analysts' estimate of a profit of $3.11 per share, according to LSEG IBES data. Its third-quarter NII fell 1.6% from a year earlier.

Persons: Ashraf Fahim, Timothy Coffey, Janney Montgomery Scott, Scott, Jaiveer Shekhawat, Pritam Biswas, Pooja Desai, Sriraj Kalluvila, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: PNC Bank, PNC Financial Services Group, REUTERS, PNC Financial Services, U.S, PNC, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Pittsburgh, Bengaluru

☆ Reserve building more important for banks than eps beats in q3: Janney’s Christopher Marinac
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailReserve building more important for banks than eps beats in q3: Janney’s Christopher MarinacChris Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott, joins the ‘Fast Money’ traders to discuss banks ahead of earnings.

Persons: Christopher Marinac Chris Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott

☆ Growing chance U.S. economy is entering a nascent productivity boom: Janney Montgomery Scott's Lebas
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGrowing chance U.S. economy is entering a nascent productivity boom: Janney Montgomery Scott's LebasGuy Lebas, Janney Montgomery Scott chief fixed income strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to preview September's CPI report, the impact on Fed's inflation fight, rate path outlook, and more.

Persons: Janney Montgomery, Guy Lebas Organizations: Janney Montgomery Scott

☆ These regional banks are at risk of being booted from the S&P 500
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Hugh Son | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Cooper Neill | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThe stock sell-off that hit regional banks this year has exposed lenders including Zions and Comerica to the risk of being delisted from the Standard & Poor's 500 index. This year's regional banking crisis has already caused changes in the composition of the S&P 500, the most popular broad measure of large American companies in the investing world. Companies that no longer qualify as large-cap stocks are at heightened risk of demotion from the S&P 500. S&P guidelinesTo be considered for inclusion in the S&P 500, companies need to have a market capitalization of at least $14.5 billion and meet profitability and trading standards. The committee that decides the composition of the S&P 500 looks to minimize churn and accurately represent reference sectors, making changes only when "ongoing conditions warrant an index change," according to S&P.

Persons: Cooper Neill, Blackstone, Lincoln, Chris Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott, Banks, Dow Jones Organizations: Comerica Inc . Bank, Bloomberg, Getty, Zions, Comerica, Lincoln National, Valley Bank, First, JPMorgan Chase, Investors, Newell Brands Locations: Dallas , Texas, First Republic, ZIons

☆ Watch CNBC's interview with Summit Global Investments' David Harden and Janney Montgomery Scott's Guy Lebas
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's interview with Summit Global Investments' David Harden and Janney Montgomery Scott's Guy LebasDavid Harden, Summit Global Investments CEO, Guy Lebas, chief fixed income strategist with Janney Montgomery Scott, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss climbing ten-year yields, U.S. interest rate risk brought on by central banks around the world, and defensive equity investments in consumer staples and pharma technology.

Persons: David Harden, Janney Montgomery, Guy Lebas David Harden, Guy Lebas, Janney Montgomery Scott, Steve Liesman Organizations: Summit Global Investments, pharma

☆ Summit Global Investments CEO: Position equities defensively and pick up yield in bonds
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSummit Global Investments CEO: Position equities defensively and pick up yield in bondsDavid Harden, Summit Global Investments CEO, Guy Lebas, chief fixed income strategist with Janney Montgomery Scott, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss climbing ten-year yields, U.S. interest rate risk brought on by central banks around the world, and defensive equity investments in consumer staples and pharma technology.

Persons: David Harden, Guy Lebas, Janney Montgomery Scott, Steve Liesman Organizations: Summit Global Investments, pharma

☆ Klaviyo, Arm, Instacart wobble, raising doubts over IPO revival
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( Caroline Valetkevitch | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Among other companies that have been gearing up for U.S. stock market listings are German premium footwear maker Birkenstock Holding and Vietnam internet company VNG Corp (VNZ.HNO). Chip designer Arm's stock on Wednesday hit a low of $51.52, coming close to its $51 IPO price in this year's biggest IPO last Thursday. Shares of grocery delivery app Instacart, which debuted Tuesday, fell to a low of $29.96, below their $30 IPO price. Klaviyo also surrendered most of its initial gains, hitting a low for the day of $30.26, just above its $30 IPO price. Arm and Instacart were "pumped up to do the IPO," said Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Robert Pavlik, Klaviyo, Jerome Powell, haven't, ”, Jake Dollarhide, Ortex, Peter Tuz, Mark Luschini, Janney Montgomery Scott, Caroline Valetkevitch, Savyata Mishra, Niket, Lewis Krauskopf, Noel Randewich, Marguerita Choy, Stephen Coates Organizations: REUTERS, Arm Holdings, Investment, Dakota Wealth, Birkenstock, VNG Corp, Federal, Nasdaq, Longbow, Management, Chase Investment, People, Thomson Locations: Fairfield , Connecticut, Vietnam, Tulsa , Oklahoma, Charlottesville , Virginia, Bengaluru, New York, San Francisco

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 11, 2023. ET, with investors focused on Fed economic projections and Chair Jerome Powell's comments for clues on the outlook for rates and inflation. Reinforcing the likelihood of a Fed pause, U.S. Treasury yields retreated from their 2007 highs hit in the previous session. Investors are now looking forward to marketing automation company Klaviyo's (KVYO.N) debut on the New York Stock Exchange, with the stock last indicated to open between $36 and $38. The S&P index recorded 10 new 52-week highs and four new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 33 new highs and 140 new lows.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell's, Mark Luschini, Janney Montgomery Scott, Ankika Biswas, Shristi, Arun Koyyur, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Coty, Citigroup, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Microsoft, Apple, Arm Holdings, Investors, Dow Jones, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Boston, Bengaluru

☆ This year's favorite trade on Wall Street could be in trouble, chart analysts warn
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

"That's a normal correction, when bull markets get overheated like this," said Dan Wantrobski, technical strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott. When a stock, for example, falls below its 200-day moving average, it is seen as a potential sign of more downside pressure. Earlier this month, the index fell below the commonly watched 50-day moving average. Fairlead Strategies' Katie Stockton is closely watching a popular trend-following gauge known as the moving average convergence/divergence indicator, or MACD — which recently flipped to a sell signal after reverting to a buy in November. Pressure from yields Technical indicators may help analysts detect where the market is headed, but macroeconomic factors remain the major action drivers influencing sentiment.

Persons: Dan Wantrobski, Janney Montgomery Scott, Wantrobski, Roth MKM's JC O'Hara, Katie Stockton, Stockton, O'Hara Organizations: Nasdaq, Wall

☆ Analysis: US stock gains may grow elusive as boost from inflation slowdown wanes
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-10 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The S&P 500 (.SPX) has gained more than 16% on a year-to-date basis, though it was last trading largely flat on Thursday. The latest CPI report "is good news. However, another CPI report is due to be released before that meeting. The CPI report is "obviously positive for the markets," said Paul Nolte, senior wealth advisor and market strategist for Murphy & Sylvest Wealth Management. The month of August has delivered on average the third-lowest return for the S&P 500 since 1945, with September ranking as the lowest, according to CFRA Research.

Persons: Carlo Allegri, Jack Ablin, Guy LeBas, Janney Montgomery Scott, LeBas, Paul Nolte, Murphy, Refinitiv, Barry Bannister, Bannister, Lewis Krauskopf, Karen Brettell, Ira Iosebashvili, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, CPI, Cresset, Sylvest Wealth Management, Research, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Jackson Hole , Wyoming

REUTERS/Sarah SilbigerAug 10 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve policymakers are unlikely to raise interest rates again in 2023 and will probably start cutting them early next year, traders bet on Thursday, after a U.S. government report showed consumer prices rose only moderately last month. Traders of futures tied to the Fed's policy rate now see less than a 10% chance that the U.S. central bank will increase its benchmark overnight interest rate from its current 5.25%-5.50% range at a Sept. 19-20 policy meeting. The Fed's first rate cut is priced into the futures contracts by March of 2024. The Fed has driven its policy rate up by 5.25 percentage points since March 2022 to bring inflation back down to its 2% goal. "There's always a chance we get reacceleration of inflation prints after October, but I don't think that's going to spur Fed action."

Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Guy Lebas, Janney Montgomery Scott, Ann Saphir, Karen Brettell, Lucia Mutikani, Bernadette Baum, Paul Simao Organizations: Eccles Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Traders, Thomson Locations: Washington ,, U.S

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