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For Chinese imports, Trump has proposed an even steeper 60% tariff. Many economists have warned that tariffs planned by Trump will hurt global economic growth and drive up inflation in the US, as well as abroad if other countries introduce higher levies on US imports in response. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) also sees a hit to global gross domestic product from increased tariffs around the world, according to its latest World Economic Outlook. Mario Tama/Getty ImagesA rise in protectionism around the world means open trade is already under threat and the ability of its champion, the World Trade Organization, to settle international trade disputes is severely constrained. “What we’d see in Trump 2 is far more radical than what we saw in Trump 1.”
Persons: Smoot, Donald Trump, Federal Reserve — Trump, Trump, , Evan Vucci, he’s, Maurice Obstfeld, Kristalina Georgieva, , Mario Tama, ” Obstfeld, ” Petros Mavroidis, Scott Olson, Joe Biden, André Sapir, Bruegel, Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Trump, ” Edward Alden, ” Alden Organizations: London CNN, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Economic, of Chicago, Trump, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Republican, UBS, Monetary Fund, ABN AMRO, Peterson Institute, IMF, White, Port, World Trade Organization, CNN, Columbia Law School, US, European Union, EU, greenback, Foreign Relations, Locations: United States, Hawley, Washington, DC, China, Ukraine, Chicago, Japan, France, South Korea, Port of Los Angeles, Indiana, Portage , Indiana, Brussels, Trump
Fact check: Kamala Harris town hall on CNN
  + stars: | 2024-10-23 | by ( Cnn Staff | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
CNN —Vice President Kamala Harris joined CNN’s Anderson Cooper for a town hall in the critical swing state of Pennsylvania on Wednesday night, where she faced questions directly from persuadable and undecided voters less than two weeks before Americans head to the polls on Election Day. Former President Donald Trump was invited but declined to participate in a CNN town hall. Separate studies estimate that the impact of Trump’s proposed tariffs would also raise prices for families, but by a lower amount. From CNN’s Piper Hudspeth BlackburnHarris’ claim on Trump’s tax cutsVice President Kamala Harris slammed her opponent former President Donald Trump for putting in place policies that benefitted the wealthy during his first term. “Donald Trump, when he was president, gave tax cuts to the richest, to billionaires and big corporations,” she said at CNN’s town hall.
Persons: Kamala Harris, CNN’s Anderson Cooper, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, He’s, Katie Lobosco Harris, , Anderson, Mike Pence, Rather, Joe Biden, “ Joe Biden, Daniel Dale, Ella Nilsen Harris, Donald Trump’s, , Harris ’, Tim Walz, Piper Hudspeth Blackburn Harris ’, “ Donald Trump, Tami Luhby Organizations: CNN, Center for American Progress Action, CAP, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Center, Democratic, US, Protection, Army Corps of Engineers, CBS Locations: Pennsylvania, persuadable, Mexico, CNN’s
Consistent with U.S. policy, Harris has also declined to say whether she would use military force to defend Taiwan. Instead she emphasizes the importance of military communications with China and supporting Taiwan’s ability to defend itself. Tariff talkThough Trump talks far more about China on the campaign trail than Harris does, neither of them have said much about how they would manage ties with Beijing. Biden has maintained and in some cases expanded tariffs on Chinese imports that Trump introduced as president, citing national security concerns. If she wins, Harris is expected to continue Biden’s targeted tariffs and restrictions on key Chinese tech sectors.
Persons: Trump, Xi, Harris, Biden, Wu Xinbo, Organizations: Washington, Wall Street, United States ’, Beijing, Trump, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Center for American Studies, Fudan University, , Asia Society Policy Institute Locations: Taiwan, China, Ukraine, Washington, Asia, Shanghai, U.S
Just ignore the word ‘tariff’ — it’s a tax
  + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
Especially when you hear words like “tariffs.”But, given the economy’s central importance in the 2024 race, it’s worth hammering on an Econ 101 fact: Tariffs are a tax on Americans. Very simply: When the US government decides to put a tariff (read: tax) on, say, Chinese goods, the actual money going to the US Treasury comes from the American company doing the importing. “To me, the most beautiful word in the dictionary is tariff,” Trump said at one point. But it’s important to judge Trump’s first-term trade policies and the Biden-Harris approach against context of the unprecedented tariff wave Trump is planning if he gets to Round Two. Bottom line: Tariffs might be a beautiful word to Trump’s ear, but he’s telling a fictional story about what they do in practice.
Persons: CNN Business ’, New York CNN —, Donald Trump, It’s, , Annette Choi, Katie Lobosco, podcaster Sean Kelly, David Pakman, Kelly, he’s, ” Kelly, Pakman, , Trump, ” Trump, John Micklethwait, Micklethwait, it’s, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Trump’s, Harris, , Scott Lincicome, United States —, ” David Kelly, Matt Egan Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, CNN, US Treasury, Bloomberg, Economic, of Chicago, Biden, Trump, Republican, Cato Institute, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Federal, Peterson Institute, Asset Management Locations: New York, China, United States, States
Nobel Committee announces the winners of the 2024 Nobel Prize in Economic Science during a press conference at the Karolinska Institute in Stockholm, Sweden, on October 14, 2024. The 2024 Nobel Prize in Economy was awarded to Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson and James Robinson for their work on formation of institutions and their impact on welfare. U.S.-based economists Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson and James Robinson were awarded the Nobel prize in economic sciences on Monday for their work on wealth inequality between nations. The winners of the award, officially called the "Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel," will receive 11 million Swedish kronor ($1.058 million) from the Swedish central bank. Economist and historian Claudia Goldin won the economics Nobel in 2023 for advancing understanding of women's earnings and labor market outcomes.
Persons: Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson, James Robinson, Johnson, Robinson, Acemoglu, Jakob Svensson, Alfred Nobel, Ben Bernanke, Douglas Diamond, Philip Dybvig, Claudia Goldin Organizations: Karolinska Institute, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, University of Chicago's Pearson Institute, MIT, Prosperity, Stockholm University's Institute for International Economic Studies, Sveriges, Economic Sciences, U.S Locations: Stockholm, Sweden, Saharan Africa, Latin America, U.S, Swedish
Harris’ plan would boost the debt by $3.5 trillion over the next decade, while Trump’s platform would cause it to spike by $7.5 trillion, according to the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget’s report, released Monday. It found that Harris’ measures could have no significant impact on the debt or could increase it by $8.1 trillion. And Trump’s proposals could balloon the debt by between $1.5 trillion and $15.2 trillion. These proposals would cost $2.3 trillion in total. But the committee estimates these tariffs would bring in between $2 trillion and $4.3 trillion over a decade — not enough to cover Trump’s agenda.
Persons: CNN —, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris ’, Harris, , Trump, Jerome Powell, “ We’re, ” Marc Goldwein, Brian Hughes, Trump’s, , That’s, Joe Biden’s, Katie Lobosco, Matt Egan Organizations: CNN, Republicans, Democrats, Trump, Social Security, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Center, of Education Locations: American
The direct effects of China's latest stimulus may not kick in until 2025, one researcher says. That's because Beijing needs to ramp up spending in addition to monetary stimulus measures. Lower interest rates, for one, may not entice households and businesses to borrow, or banks to ramp up lending, given China's already-sluggish economic environment. In particular, Beijing needs more fiscal stimulus to go alongside its monetary stimulus measures, Huang said. Experts have warned that China's economic problems could stick around for the long term given some of the nation's deep-rooted issues, like its population decline.
Persons: , Tianlei Huang, Huang Organizations: Service, Peterson Institute for International Economics, National, Terry Locations: Beijing
Trump, more so than any American president in modern history, has directly targeted individual US businesses, threatening them with everything from boycotts and canceled federal contracts to unthinkably high tariffs. Deere, the farm equipment maker founded nearly 200 years ago, became just the latest storied brand to get singled out by Trump. Bigger picture, the attack on Deere fits a broader pattern of Trump bullying companies when it suits him. “John Deere is an outstanding company. “Ultimately, it would lead to fewer sales, less revenue, less growth and fewer employees for John Deere,” said McDaniel, now a senior research fellow at George Mason University’s Mercatus Center.
Persons: New York CNN —, John Deere, they’ve, Donald Trump, Trump, “ Trump, Bill George, , Nordstrom, Ken Frazier, Donald J, Trump’s, Julian Zelizer, Harry Truman, John F, Kennedy, Teddy Roosevelt, , Zelizer, ” Zelizer, ’ Trump, “ I’m, we’ll, ” Trump, George, “ John Deere, ” Christine McDaniel, George W, Bush, Deere, McDaniel, George Mason University’s, Billionaire Mark Cuban, Kamala Harris, Washington, Mary Lovely, ” Lovely Organizations: New, New York CNN, New York CNN — Apple, General Motors, Facebook, Trump, Deere, CNN, White, Apple, San Bernardino, FBI, US Postal Service, Boeing, Air Force, Motors, Merck, Meta, CNBC, Google, Princeton University, Harvard University, Center, Billionaire, Fox News, Street Journal, Peterson Institute for International Economics Locations: New York, Midwest, Mexico, San, Charlottesville , Virginia, United States, Pennsylvania, American, North America, Canada
But the past week's stimulus blitz did not offer fiscal support to China's discouraged consumers. AdvertisementChina's latest stimulus blitz offers everything but one key fix: new incentives to revive consumers. While Tuesday's stimulus package didn't address fiscal support, Chinese officials appear to be getting around to it. Even if China commits to bigger fiscal support in the near term, it could be too late to change things this year, Huang said. For instance, Chinese consumers are staying away from new housing projects even as China has introduced looser mortgage rates and downpayment rules.
Persons: , Liz Young Thomas, Tianlei Huang, Huang Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, Investment, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Reuters, Communist, Barclays, Bank of America Locations: China, Beijing
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrump's policies would be 'very costly' to the U.S. economy, analyst saysMary Lovely, Anthony Solomon senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, discusses the impact that Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump's economic policies and proposed tariffs are likely to have on the U.S. economy, saying they're "likely to be enacted to some extent and dangerous."
Persons: Mary Lovely, Anthony Solomon, Donald Trump's, they're Organizations: Peterson Institute for International Economics, Republican Locations: U.S
The paper represents the most comprehensive analysis to date on the combined impact of Trump’s trade, immigration and Fed proposals. In that scenario, employment would be 9% lower than baseline by 2028 and inflation would surge to 9.3% by 2026. “So-called economists and experts doubted President Trump’s economic plans in his first term. That means the same factory workers Trump says he is trying to help would be hurt the most. Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who was nominated by Trump in 2017, cautioned against any effort to interfere with Fed independence.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, , Warwick McKibbin, Megan Hogan, Marcus Noland, they’ll, ” Karoline Leavitt, Trump’s, Kamala Harris, Harris, ” Trump, McKibbin, Mark Zandi, , Jerome Powell, ” Powell, We’re Organizations: CNN, Republican, Federal Reserve, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Peterson Institute, Trump, Security, , Peterson, Moody’s, Bloomberg Locations: United States, China, America, Georgia, Michigan, outflows
Now, trade economists say Trump's latest trade threat makes no sense. I love the company, but as you know, they've announced a few days ago that they're going to move a lot of their manufacturing business to Mexico," Trump said at Monday's event. AdvertisementJohn Deere is the latest company to face a threat of tariffs from Donald Trump. It's not the first time Trump has threatened companies and Trump's threat to impose large tariffs on imports also isn't new. Trump's tariff goals going into the next election go beyond his former policy on international imports.
Persons: , Donald Trump, John Deere, they've, Trump, Jonathan W, Coppess, Ian Sheldon, Sheldon, Gary Hufbauer, Hufbauer, Rick Wilking, he's, Trump's, we're, Nicole Bivens Collinson, Sandler, Travis, Rosenberg, Collinson, " Collinson, Kamala Harris Organizations: Service, Business, Fox Business, Republican, University of Illinois, Agricultural Marketing, Trade, The Ohio State University, Peterson Institute for International Economics Locations: Mexico, Smithton , Pennsylvania, Iowa, United States, University of Illinois Urbana, Champaign, Canada, North America, Central America, South America, Georgia, China
But think-tank economists warned Business Insider that former President Donald Trump's proposed mass deportation could open that door right back up. Beyond posing significant humanitarian concerns, economists worry Trump's proposed mass deportation would be hugely inflationary, partly due to the basic calculations of supply and demand. Both he and Edelberg said a sudden mass deportation would upend the labor supply and, in turn, the ability to make goods. McKibbin has researched the impact of mass deportation and said it would lead to a combination of lower production and higher costs, particularly in the agriculture and construction sectors. Add on the uncertainty that mass deportation would bring, and a chilling effect among investors seems plausible.
Persons: , Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris, Trump's, Wendy Edelberg, Warwick McKibbin, Edelberg, Adam Posen, Posen, McKibbin, Josh Bivens Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Trump, Business, Brookings Institution, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Peterson Institute, Bloomberg TV, Economic Policy Institute, Democratic
Read previewSouth Korean companies are investing billions of dollars in the US to take advantage of two big laws meant to boost American manufacturing. A Financial Times analysis of United Nations data found South Korean companies invested $21.5 billion in US projects in 2023, more than any other country. Related storiesAnd South Korean investments span multiple states, mainly in the South. In the past decade, South Korean companies have created about 7,000 jobs in Texas and nearly 8,000 jobs in Indiana. Those provisions have incentivized South Korean companies to divert from China and focus more on the US.
Persons: , Yeo, South, Biden, South Korea —, " Yeo, Joe Biden's Organizations: Service, United, Business, Samsung, LG, Hyundai, South, Peterson Institute for International Economics, EV, Financial, Kia, SK Hynix, Korea's Ministry of Trade, Industry, Energy, Wall Street, World Bank, Biden Locations: United Nations, South Korea, Taiwan, Southern, China, US, Georgia, South, Texas, Arizona, Indiana, Korea's
Patrick T. Fallon | AFP | Getty ImagesNew data shows a surge in trade between China and Mexico at a time of tough tariff talk during the presidential campaign. This nearshoring of manufacturing enables companies to change a product's origin of goods, also referred to as the "economic nationality" of a product. Data from freight analytics firm Xeneta shows China to Mexico container trade up by 26.2% from January to July 2024, after growing by 33% in 2023. Mexico is also a member of the Pacific Alliance, a trade bloc formed by Mexico, Chile, Colombia, and Peru. "Bilateral tariffs should be expected to lead to trade diversion, and that's exactly what happened in the aftermath of the trade war.
Persons: Patrick T, Fallon, Jordan Dethwart, Mary Lovely, Anthony Solomon, Simon Cohen, Peter Sand, Donald Trump, Trump, John Piatek, Biden, Piatek, Lovely, Moody's, Elon Musk, Musk, Tesla, Sand, Charles Van der Steene, Van der, Mexico —, Freightos, Erica York, York, Tim Robertson, Ian Arroyo, Arroyo, Saul Loeb Organizations: El, El Paso Sector, AFP, Getty, U.S, Companies, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Henco Logistics, European Union, European Free Trade Area, Pacific Partnership, Pacific Alliance, GEP, Motive, BMW, Ford, GM, Kia, gigafactory, Volvo, Pirelli, Michelin North America, Hyundai, SFK USA, Maersk, Bureau of Transportation Statistics, CNBC, United, Pacific, Port, U.S ., ITS Logistics, Tax, DHL Global, Dana, Afp Locations: El Paso, Mexico, New Mexico, Chihuahua, Sunland Park , New Mexico, China, Redwood Mexico, United States, Canada, U.S, Japan, Israel, Latin America, Chile, Colombia, Peru, USA, propping, Laredo , Texas, El Paso , Houston, San Diego, Monterrey, Fremont , California, Austin , Texas, Americas, Mexican, Monterrey . Mexico, East, lading, Maersk North America, Tijuana, El Paso , Texas, Pacific Coast Port, Lazaro, Laredo, Monterrey , California, U.S . West, U.S . East, Gulf, West Coast, Asia, Mexico City, Warren , Michigan
On Monday, Putin ordered the army to increase its troops by 180,000, per a decree published by the Kremlin. This will raise the overall number of Russian military personnel to 2.38 million people, with 1.5 million of them being active soldiers. AdvertisementThe gear coming off the production line "will still be substantial," Reynolds told BI in an interview on Wednesday. Russia has "adapted much better than predicted to some of the pressures it's been put under," Reynolds told BI. Other experts BI spoke to said that while Putin might still be able to grow Russia's army, it may only add more strain to the already-stretched Russian labor force.
Persons: , Vladimir Putin, Putin, Nick Reynolds, Reynolds, That's, It's, it's, Artem Kochev, Kochev, Benjamin Hilgenstock, Jeremy Morris Organizations: Service, Kremlin, Business, International Institute for Strategic Studies, Royal United Services Institute, Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, Kommersant, Kyiv School of Economics Institute, Bloomberg, Russian Armed Forces, Aarhus University Locations: Russia, China, India, Ukraine, Moscow
Why Trump’s trade hero turned against tariffs
  + stars: | 2024-09-14 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +15 min
Vice President Kamala Harris has lambasted Trump’s tariff plan as a tax, but President Joe Biden has maintained tariffs Trump put in place during his presidency. We used trade policy, or tariffs, as a form of reciprocity, where we said, OK, our tariffs are pretty high. So that’s what led to all these trade agreements, the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, GATT, which became the WTO (World Trade Organization), NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement) and other free trade agreements that we’ve reached. He began to entertain this idea of reciprocity, of trying to reduce foreign tariffs by offering cuts in our tariffs. How do those tariffs compare with the late 19th century tariffs?
Persons: CNN —, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Biden, Read, Douglas Irwin, Irwin, William McKinley —, Trump, IRWIN, there’s, It’s, we’ve, William McKinley WOLF, William McKinley, McKinley, they’ve, Bush, H.C ., William Jennings Bryan, that’s, they’re, it’s, Britain WOLF Organizations: CNN, Republicans, Democrats, Trump, Dartmouth College, Commerce, US Trade, Trade, WTO, World Trade Organization, American Free Trade, of Congress, University, Virginia’s, Federal, WOLF, Peterson Institute for International, Republican Party Locations: China, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Homestead , Pennsylvania, H.C, Buffalo, trillions, United States, it’s China, Britain, Japan
But as a general rule, economists tend to agree that, for U.S. consumers, higher tariffs tend to mean higher prices. "They'll be buying things at higher prices than they otherwise would." Still, a number of organizations say that Trump's new tariff policy would have a negative tangible effect on American consumers' finances. Plus, financial experts say a more aggressive tariff policy could be viewed as a form of economic saber-rattling. It tends to lead to higher prices for consumers in both countries."
Persons: Trump, Howard Gleckman, Kamala Harris, Biden, Donald Trump, Harris, George Ball, Sanders Morris, Clark Bellin, Sam Millette Organizations: Urban, Brookings Tax Policy Center, CNBC, U.S, Trump, U.S ., American Progress, Peterson Institute for International, Commonwealth Financial Network Locations: China, U.S,
New York CNN —It’s easy to dismiss many presidential candidates’ campaign promises as empty, because Congress would need to approve them. Alex Durante, an economist at the Tax Foundation, a right-leaning think tank, told CNN that 100% tariffs would threaten the economy. It’s possible he is floating 100% tariffs as just a threat designed to change the behavior of other countries. ‘No question it’s inflationary’The Trump campaign did not provide an explanation to CNN about how Trump would implement 100% tariffs nor what the trigger would be. He said Trump’s tariff plan, if enacted, would risk setting off a market panic like former UK Prime Minister Liz Truss did in 2022.
Persons: New York CNN —, Donald Trump, Trump, ” Trump, , you’re, ” Maury Obstfeld, Obstfeld, ” Obstfeld, Christine McDaniel, George W, Bush, , McDaniel, George Mason University’s, Alex Durante, ” Durante, Brian Hughes, ” Hughes, , Harris, Kamala Harris, ” Kent Smetters, Smetters, Wharton “, it’s, ” Wharton, Liz, Joe Brusuelas, ” “ I’m, Joe Biden, Biden, Brusuelas, Liz Truss, Matt Priest, Trump’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Peterson Institute for International Economics, CNN, International Monetary Fund, Trump, United States Trade Representative, Commerce Department, Tax Foundation, University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, Penn Wharton Budget, Wharton, ABC, RSM, Democratic, Footwear Distributors, Retailers of America Locations: New York, Wisconsin, United States, China, Russia, , American
Fact check: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris debate on ABC News
  + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Cnn Staff | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +18 min
CNN —Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are facing off for the first time Tuesday during ABC’s presidential debate. “I had no inflation, virtually no inflation,” Trump said. Harris introduced herself by name and said, “Let’s have a good debate.” Trump responded: “Nice to see you. Have fun.” Saul Loeb/AFP/Getty Images Trump and Harris stand on stage at the start of the debate. “But understand if Donald Trump were to be elected, he will sign a national abortion ban.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Donald Trump’s, Trump, Katie Lobosco, MAGA, , ” Trump, Daniel Dale, Tami Luhby, Chip Somodevilla, he’s, FactCheck.org, Steven Cheung, Cheung, Kaanita Iyer Trump, Joe Biden, , gotaways, Michelle Mittelstadt, Piper Hudspeth Blackburn, David Muir, Linsey Davis, Michael Le Brecht, Alex Brandon, Doug Mills, Pat Tuttle, George Walker IV, Saul Loeb, Tristen Rouse, CNN Harris, Win McNamee, Sheena Carey, Morry Gash, Matthew Hatcher, ” Saul Loeb, Roberto Schmidt, Andrew Thomas, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy, Jim Lo Scalzo, Anthony Scaramucci, Olivia Troye, Matt Rourke, Hannah Beier, Lilly, Evelyn Hockstein, Matt Slocum, Kenny Holston, ” Harris, Noah Weinrich, Kaanita Iyer, Feedback Trump, John Roberts, Devan Cole Trump, Sen, JD Vance, ” Vance, Michael Williams Trump, United States –, Katie Lobosco Harris, , Mike Pence, Rather, “ Joe Biden, Ella Nilsen Trump, Elisabeth Buchwald Organizations: CNN, Trump, Center for American Progress, Fund, CAP, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Center, CNN Trump, Breitbart News, Border Patrol, Biden, Patrol, Republicans, Migration, Institute, ABC News Trump, National Constitution Center, New York Times, Bloomberg, Getty Images, Getty, Pennsylvania Convention Center, People, Philadelphia International Airport, AFP, Philadelphia City Hall, Former Trump, Reuters, ABC, Force, Democratic, Convention, Leadership, Heritage, United States Supreme, White, City, Springfield News, Sun, Springfield Police, United States, US International Trade Commission, Treasury, Consumer, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, United Kingdom, Venezuela, United States, Nashville , Tennessee, Washington ,, Washington , DC, Milwaukee, AFP, Springfield , Ohio, , Springfield, City, China, American
Here’s a look at what could happen to inflation, jobs and the deficit if Trump or Harris win in November. That, among other things, would keep the top tax rate individuals pay at 37% compared to 39.6% before it went into effect. Meanwhile, the tax proposals Harris has put forth so far mostly involve imposing higher taxes, which would have a positive impact on the deficit. For instance, she’s endorsed raising the top individual income tax rate to 44.6% and the top long-term capital gains tax rate to 28% versus the current 20%. Taken together, the Penn Wharton Budget model estimates Harris’ proposals could increase the deficit by an additional $1.2 trillion by 2034.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Goldman Sachs, Trump, Warwick McKibbin, Goldman, she’s, , Justin Wolfers, Kevin Dietsch, He’s, Elon Musk, She’s, Joshua Gotbaum Organizations: New, New York CNN, Labor Department, Trump, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Gross, University of Michigan, CNN, Federal Reserve, Treasury Department, Wharton Budget, Social Security, Penn, Wharton Budget Model, Penn Wharton Budget, Brookings Institution Locations: New York, United States, Penn
Yi Gang was governor of the People's Bank of China from 2018 to 2023. He is pictured here speaking at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington, DC, US, on Saturday, April 15, 2023. SHANGHAI — China's policymakers need to focus on boosting domestic demand, Yi Gang, former head of the People's Bank of China, said Friday at the Bund Summit in Shanghai. "At this point, proactive fiscal policy and accommodative monetary policy are important," he said. In contrast to high inflation in the U.S. and Europe, China's consumer prices fell in 2023 and have only picked up marginally so far this year as domestic demand remains lackluster.
Persons: Yi Gang, Yi Organizations: People's Bank of, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Bund, Reuters Locations: People's Bank of China, Washington , DC, SHANGHAI, Shanghai, U.S, Europe
The Trump policy that freaks out economists the most
  + stars: | 2024-09-05 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +9 min
New York CNN —Former President Donald Trump wants to spend trillions of dollars on tax cuts. “It’s enormously protectionist and terrible economic policy,” said Holtz-Eakin, who served as an economic adviser to former President George H.W. The cost of the Trump tax cutsTrump has called for extending his signature 2017 tax cuts, which expire next year if no action is taken by Congress. Trump has argued that extending the tax cuts will boost the economy, create jobs and help families. The Trump campaign has not detailed significant spending cuts or tax hikes to offset these tax cuts.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Kamala Harris, Goldman, , ” David Kelly, Kelly, “ It’s, , ’ Trump, Douglas Holtz, Eakin, Holtz, George H.W, Bush, GOP Sen, John McCain, Mark Zandi, ” Zandi, Karoline Leavitt, they’ll, ” Leavitt, Trump’s, ” Harris, “ Donald Trump, ” Brian Nelson, Harris, Kimberly Clausing, Mary Lovely, ” Trump, Joe Biden, Penn, Penn Wharton, The Trump, CNN’s Katie Lobosco Organizations: New, New York CNN, Asset Management, CNN, America, New York Economic Club, American, GOP, Moody’s, Trump, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Peterson Institute, US Customs, Louis Federal Reserve, Biden, Congress, Princeton University, University of Chicago, Harvard University, US Treasury Department, Penn Wharton Model, Social Security Locations: New York, United States, China, America
Both candidates’ plans would probably raise the deficit and increase demand, including through government spending and tightening the labor market, Joe Brusuelas, chief economist at RSM US, told CNN via email. Trump has so far not released as detailed an economic plan as Harris. Risks of fueling demandA central part of Harris’ economic plan is making housing more affordable. “The problem right now is too many people chasing too few houses,” Justin Wolfers, professor of public policy and economics at the University of Michigan, told CNN. Economists have told CNN that businesses would be forced to raise wages and prices.
Persons: what’s, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Joe Brusuelas, Brusuelas, Harris ’, ” Marc Goldwein, ” Goldwein, , , Biden, Joe Biden, ” Justin Wolfers, Michelle Holder, Holder, , ’ Trump, ” Harris Organizations: CNN, RSM, Budget, Child Tax, , Federal Reserve, Tax Foundation, Social Security, University of Michigan, John Jay College, Center, American Progress Fund, Peterson Institute for International Economics, National Guard Locations: , New York, China
Trump has promised to implement tariffs on virtually all US trade, and use them to replace the income tax. But the US already has a history of implementing broad-sweeping tariffs, PIIE's Steven R. Weisman said. He said such policies have taken the US close to bankruptcy, and unleashed an era of economic shocks. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! But to Steven R. Weisman — a vice president with the Peterson Institute for International Economics — a look through American history shows why this could prove reckless.
Persons: Trump, Steven R, Weisman, , Donald, Weisman — Organizations: Service, Republican, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Trump White, New York Times, Business
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