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☆ What's wrong with the Nasdaq? One troubling thing for the bulls' case
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Quantitative and technical strategist Javed Mirza pointed out in a note to clients that the Nasdaq 100 has not set a record high since July. On Monday, the Nasdaq 100 was trading about 2% below its record close. "The Nasdaq 100 just triggered a new short-term 'mechanical sell' signal, diverging from the other North American equity indices," Mirza said. The Nasdaq 100's slump is not the only factor pointing to toward a new phase for the bull market. To be sure, even the late stage phases of a bull market can last for quite a while.

Persons: Raymond James, Javed Mirza, Mirza, Dow Jones Organizations: Nasdaq, TSX, Canadian

☆ KKM Financial's Essential 40 stock fund is now an ETF
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

KKM Financial has converted its Essential 40 mutual fund into an ETF, joining the growing shift by asset managers to a more tax-efficient fund model. "A lot of the wealth advisors that I work with really have issues with the capital gain distribution typical to a mutual fund." The newly converted KKM fund will trade on the Nasdaq under the ticker ESN. The old mutual fund version of the Essential 40 had a three-star rating from Morningstar. The ETF will have a net expense ratio of 0.70%, equal to that of the old mutual fund.

Persons: Jeff Kilburg, Eli Lilly, Morningstar, They've Organizations: KKM, CNBC, SEC, Securities and Exchange Commission, Nasdaq, JPMorgan Chase, Waste Management, Morningstar Locations: U.S

☆ Fed rate cuts can boost this trade that's a seasonal winner, Tom Lee says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-18 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Tom Lee, Fundstrat's head of research, said in an Oct. 17 note to clients that the firm is opening a six-month "tactical overweight" on the homebuilding sector. The six-month timeline counts on a strong seasonal pattern where homebuilders tend to rally from late October to late April. While the reason for the historical trend is not clear, the fact that it currently coincides with a rate-cutting cycle for the Federal Reserve should lend homebuilders' stocks even more support, Lee said. "The Fed is cutting interest rates, at a time when U.S. housing has been in a recession. The sector exchange-traded funds highlighted by Lee include the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) , the SPDR S & P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) and the Invesco Building & Construction ETF (PKB) .

Persons: Tom Lee, Fundstrat's, Lee Organizations: Federal, Home, Construction Locations: U.S

☆ Robinhood launches platform to go after bigger, more active traders
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Retail brokerage firm Robinhood is launching a new tool for more sophisticated traders as it looks for additional avenues for growth. The firm introduced Robinhood Legend, a desktop-based platform for active traders. So we set out to reimagine what a modern, intuitively designed active trading platform should look like, and built Robinhood Legend from the ground up so traders can do what they need in one place," Quirk said. Beyond the launch of Legend, Robinhood also said it will soon add futures trading and index options to its mobile platform. The new additions for Robinhood are another example of the firm looking to expand beyond its roots as a convenient platform for small-dollar traders.

Persons: Steve Quirk, " Quirk, Robinhood Organizations: Inc

☆ Forget tech and utilities. There's about to be a new best sector for 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Bank stocks are making a late push to be the best buy of the year for equity investors. The financial sector has outperformed in recent weeks and is now firmly one of the best-performing groups. The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) rose again on Wednesday and is now up 26% year to date. That puts it above the SPDR fund for communication services ( XLC ) and within striking distance of the one for utilities ( XLU ). XLF YTD mountain Financial stocks are one of the best performing sectors this year.

Persons: Banks, Chris Verrone, Strategas, Morgan Stanley, It's, … Organizations: Federal Reserve Locations: U.S

☆ Citigroup earnings top estimates, boosted by investment banking
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Citigroup reported third-quarter results before the opening bell on Tuesday that topped Wall Street expectations, with growth in investment banking and wealth management. Wealth revenue rose 9%. Net income fell to $3.2 billion, or $1.51 per share, from $3.5 billion, or $1.63 per share, a year earlier. Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser took over in March 2021 and has focused on slimming down the bank during her tenure. The other major banks that have reported third-quarter results so far have also beaten earnings expectations, including Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase.

Persons: LSEG, Jane Fraser, Fraser, outperforming, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Citibank, Citigroup, Wall, JPMorgan Chase Locations: Canada, Wharf, London

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves after hours: United Airlines, J.B. Hunt and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

United Airlines — The travel stock dipped less than 1% despite United's third-quarter report beating estimates on the top and bottom lines. United reported adjusted earnings of $3.33 per share on $14.84 billion of revenue. Interactive Brokers — Shares of the brokerage firm fell more than 3% after third-quarter earnings missed expectations. J.B. Hunt Transport Services — The freight shipping company surged 8% after beating third-quarter estimates on the top and bottom lines. J.B. Hunt reported earnings of $1.49 per share on $3.07 billion of revenue.

Persons: LSEG, . Hunt Organizations: . United Airlines —, United, Interactive, Hunt Transport Services

☆ Election prediction markets are in a sprint to prove themselves as forecasting and investing tools
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

"Things were going okay before the election contracts, but since we put them on the platform there's been a lot more interest," Sanders said. The election contracts on each site are binary, and they pay out $1 if the correct outcome is chosen and $0 for the incorrect outcome. A fifth arena, Polymarket, is a blockchain-based prediction platform that is not open to U.S. customers. If they prove to be accurate over time, the prediction markets may also serve non-traders such as consultants and fundraisers who want to glean more insight into the election. Concerns More ominously, critics of the election markets have raised alarm that they could be moved by one or two big traders for possibly nefarious purposes.

Persons: politicos, Kalshi, Steven Sanders, Sanders, John Phillips, Phillips, Tarek Mansour, Bob Elliott, Ray, Elliott, Polymarket, Nikki Haley, Michelle Obama, Matt Thompson, Thompson, Koleman Strumpf, Cantrell Dumas, Dumas, PredictIt's Phillips, Strumpf, Mansour, We've Organizations: Wall, Interactive, Futures Trading Commission, CFTC, Kalshi, Funds, Bridgewater Associates, South Carolina Gov, Republican, Little Harbor Advisors, Wake Forest University, Better, CNBC, Wake Locations: Iowa, Winston, Salem, N.C, Susquehanna

☆ Bull markets tend to sputter in year three
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

.SPX mountain 2022-10-12 The S & P 500 has gained more than 60% during this bull market. However, prior bull markets have shown a tendency to lose a little steam in their third year. Bank of America research showed that 10 prior bull markets for the S & P 500 had an average return of -2% in months 25 to 36. Another thing to keep in mind is that even positive third years for bull markets tend to be bumpy. Of course, a slump for the S & P 500 could be an opportunity for small-cap stocks to catch up .

Persons: Ritesh Samadhiya, Sam Stovall, Russell Organizations: Bank of America

☆ Inflation reports from this week should allow the Fed to stay on track with rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Investors who fear stubborn inflation, if not an outright rebound, got a bit of a salve on Friday morning. Wholesale prices showed no change month over month for September, coming in below expectations. The producer price index report may help offset some of the slight concerns about Thursday's consumer price index report, which was a bit hotter than expected. The personal consumption expenditures price index for September will be released on Oct. 31. "We think the Fed is really still on track to cut 25 [basis points] at each of the next two meetings," Seif added.

Persons: David Seif, Seif, Wells Organizations: Nomura Securities, Fed, PPI, Traders, JPMorgan Chase, BNY Mellon Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ Earnings reporting season starts this week and investors don't expect it to be great
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The third quarter earnings season will take its first big steps this week, but Wall Street has already been dialing back expectations for months. That shift could be a sign that Wall Street is losing confidence in corporate America. 7 and Other 493 earnings are expected to slow in 3Q, but Other 493 earnings are expected to re-accelerate to low-to-mid teens growth starting in 4Q, while Mag. PepsiCo reported mixed results for the third quarter on Tuesday, as the food and beverage company beat on earnings but saw softer sales numbers. Delta Airlines and JPMorgan Chase are some of the heavy hitters on deck for later in the week.

Persons: Ohsung Kwon, Kwon Organizations: Bank of America, 4Q, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Apple, PepsiCo, Delta Airlines, JPMorgan Chase Locations: America

☆ Slump for tech stocks could open the door for tactical trades in fourth quarter, investors say
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The tech trade lost some of its steam over the summer, and that could create opportunities for tactical trading in the fourth quarter, several investors told CNBC. The Nasdaq Composite rose 2.6% during the third quarter, lagging behind both the broader S & P 500 's gain of 5.5% and the small Russell 2000's jump of 8.9%. Still, many investors are cautious of abandoning the tech trade completely even after a few bumpy months. Even after the recent slump, those stocks still account for about 31% of the S & P 500, and even more in many funds focused on tech or growth. RSP 6M mountain This equal weight version of the S & P 500 outperformed the regular S & P 500, the Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average in the third quarter.

Persons: Russell, James Ragan, DA Davidson, We're, Frank Tedesco, Ragan, Jason Browne, Alexis, We've, we've, Browne, LEXI Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Microsoft, DA, Astoria, RSP, Dow Jones, Quality, Alexis Investment Partners, Big Tech Locations: Astoria

☆ Here's why this week's inflation report could be a big market mover
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Inflation could be a market-driving fear again this week when September data is released, according to Bank of America. But last week's stronger-than-expected jobs report has shaken up the consensus outlook for the economy. "After the blowout jobs report, CPI is no longer a 'non-event.' The CPI report is due out before the opening bell Thursday. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones expect the CPI report to show a 0.1% increase in September and a 2.3% rise from 12 months earlier.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Bank of America, Federal

☆ How China's stimulus could provide a boost to new CEOs at Nike and Starbucks down the line
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-05 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Brian Niccol and Elliott Hill are taking over Starbucks and Nike , respectively, just as a key market that weighed on their predecessors gets a boost. As China's economic stimulus takes shape, it could end up helping these global brands. Nike and Starbucks in China While the exact plans for Niccol and Hill are still unclear, the Chinese market seems like it will be an area of focus. At Starbucks, the company's leadership team in China has already been reshuffled since Niccol took over in September. Still, a rebound for China's consumer won't necessarily boost sales for Starbucks and Nike without better execution.

Persons: Brian Niccol, Elliott Hill, Hartmut Issel, Niccol, Matthew Friend, Hill, Chen Luo, Ellen Hazen, . Putnam, Hazen, Eric Clark, I'd, it's, Clark, America's Luo, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Starbucks, Nike, Bank of America — Nike, UBS, Bank of America, CNBC, Brands, Bank, America's Locations: China, United States, Niccol, .

☆ Here's where the jobs are for September 2024 — in one chart
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The September jobs report was surprisingly strong , and the details show that growth came from many different areas of the economy. Within hospitality, food services and drinking places saw jobs jump by 69,000. Professional and business services grew by 17,000 jobs, which is a notable change for a category that had shed jobs in recent months. The only caution flag could be the rise in those with multiple jobs," Roach said. Two key areas that lost jobs last month were manufacturing and transportation and warehousing, though each category shrank by fewer than 10,000 jobs.

Persons: Jeffrey Roach, Roach Organizations: of Labor Statistics . Government, LPL Financial

☆ Oil is driving the stock market for the first time in a long while
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Oil prices keep pushing higher as tensions build in the Middle East, and the moves in crude appear to be weighing on the stock market. Overlaying the charts of the United States Oil Fund LP (USO) and the S & P 500 in recent days shows that the fund and the index appear to be inversely correlated. In other words, when the oil fund climbs during the day, the stock market tends to dip, and vice versa. This is a change from rest of the year, when there appeared to be little relationship between the price of oil and the broad stock market. In midday trading Thursday, U.S. crude oil prices were up 4% , and the USO had jumped roughly 3%.

Persons: Jeremiah Buckley, Janus Henderson, Buckley Organizations: United States Oil Fund, CNBC, USO Locations: Iran, Israel

☆ Nvidia gets rare downgrade from small firm worried about slowing data center growth
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Recent hiccups for Nvidia could be the start of broader weakness for the artificial intelligence boom, and investors should consider dialing back their exposure to the stock, according to one small equity research shop. But last quarter sequential growth slowed again and now I'm concerned that it can continue to slow in Q3 and Q4. Elazar is not completely alone in being skeptical of Nvidia, but it's definitely a contrarian stance. Of the 64 analysts tracked by LSEG, 58 have buy or strong buy ratings on Nvidia, with the remaining six having hold ratings. Nvidia's stock is up 700% since the start of 2023, so being bullish has been the right call for Wall Street analysts.

Persons: Elazar, Chaim Siegel, Blackwell, it's Organizations: Nvidia, Elazar Advisors, Wall Street Locations: decel

☆ Bank of America joins growing chorus on Wall Street loving this sector to play China's stimulus
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A major Wall Street strategist is jumping aboard the story that materials stocks could be at the start of a big rally. That theory played out during last week's rally for Chinese stocks. The Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB) rose 3% last week, though it was down a bit on Monday and Tuesday. XLB 1M mountain This materials fund is up since the Chinese stock rally began. Bank of America isn't the only Wall Street shop that's bullish on materials given the change in China.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, Sherwin, Subramanian, Roth MKM's JC O'Hara Organizations: Bank of America, Linde Locations: China, Freeport, McMoRan

☆ Charles Schwab CEO Walt Bettinger to retire at end of 2024, Rick Wurster to replace him
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Walter "Walt" Bettinger, president and chief executive officer of Charles Schwab Corp., speaks during the 2015 Fortune Global Forum in San Francisco, California, U.S., on Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2015. Bettinger will be replaced on Jan. 1, 2025, by Charles Schwab President Rick Wurster. Charles Schwab CEO Walt Bettinger is retiring from his role at the end of December after 16 years leading the brokerage firm, the company announced Tuesday. In a statement, Bettinger cited his 65th birthday next year as a reason to step aside and praised the choice of Wurster. In an interview on CNBC's "Squawk Box," Wurster indicated that there would not be any immediate change in strategy with the CEO handoff.

Persons: Walter, Walt, Bettinger, Charles Schwab, Rick Wurster, Walt Bettinger, Schwab, we've, Wurster, Ameritrade, halve Organizations: Charles Schwab Corp, Global, Schwab Locations: San Francisco , California, U.S

☆ China ETFs were big winners in September. History says to be cautious from here
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

As a result of that excitement, China ETFs are dominating the list of top performing funds in September, according to FactSet. The iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI) was up about 22% on the month, while the KraneSharesCSI China Internet ETF (KWEB) was up more than 32%. Other top performers include the Global X MSCI China Consumer Discretionary ETF (CHIQ) and the Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF (PGJ) , with September gains of roughly 32% and 30%, respectively. The MSCI China Index's total annualized return during that period is under 1%. The average here is a gain of +78% over 176 trading days vs. a decline of -42% over 165 trading days," the note continued.

Persons: Todd Sohn, David Tepper, there's Organizations: People's Bank of, CSI, China Internet, Dragon China Locations: People's Bank of China, China, U.S

☆ Gold's tremendous rally is making even long-term bulls a bit nervous
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

It was the sixth positive trading session in a row. In midday trading, gold futures were adding to those records Thursday. XAU= YTD mountain Gold is trading at record highs and closing in on a 30% gain for 2024. However, Bank of America ETF strategist Jared Woodard warned in the same note that gold might be "tactically overbought." That would represent a roughly 5-8% pullback," Krinsky said, referring the SPDR Gold Shares fund backed by physical gold.

Persons: Jared Woodard, Woodard, Wayne Gordon, Gordon, Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky Organizations: Federal, Bank, America, Bank of America, UBS

☆ Goldman recommends buying Tesla call options before two big catalysts in October
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Tesla is slated to report its third-quarter delivery numbers next week, followed by a long-awaited robotaxi event on Oct. 10. To take advantage of the robotaxi event and the deliveries update, Marshall highlighted the Oct. 24 expiry call options on Tesla at a $255 strike price. TSLA 5D mountain Shares of Tesla closed less than $1 below Goldman's suggest strike price on Tuesday. Currently, Tesla options seem cheap relative to their history, according to Goldman. Options traders risk losing the premium paid for the contract if the stock fails to rise above the strike price.

Persons: Tesla, Goldman Sachs, John Marshall, Mark Delaney, Goldman, Marshall Organizations: Goldman Sachs Automobiles, Bloomberg News, Tesla

☆ These funds aim to multiply the market's dividend yield. How they stack up to competitors
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The funds target distributions equal to six times the dividend payouts on the Nasdaq-100 Index and four times the S & P 500 dividend, respectively. The idea behind the Pacer funds is that the funds will capture more of that upside during market rallies, according to Sean O'Hara, president at Pacer ETF Distributors. The QDPL's website currently shows a distribution yield of 5.79%, or more than four-times the roughly 1.3% dividend yield on the S & P 500, according to YCharts.com. The dividend futures could also see bigger gains if more companies in the index decide to start paying dividends. To be sure, the dividend futures contracts could also decrease in value during times of economic stress.

Persons: Sean O'Hara, O'Hara, QDPL, Dow, Apple Organizations: Nasdaq, —, ETF Distributors, Schwab, Equity, Dow Jones, CME Group, Pacer, SEC, Microsoft

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves after hours: KB Home, Rithm Capital and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Here are the stocks making notable moves in extended trading on Tuesday: KB Home — The homebuilder fell 6% after fiscal third-quarter earnings missed expectations. KB Home reported $2.04 in earnings per share, slightly below the $2.06 per share expected by analysts, according to LSEG. Rithm Capital — Shares of the asset manager fell 2% after Rithm announced a plan to sell 30 million shares. Progress reported adjusted earnings of $1.26 per share on $178.7 million of revenue. Analysts surveyed by FactSet were looking for $1.14 in earnings per share on $176.2 million of revenue.

Persons: Rithm Organizations: Rithm

☆ This trade can hedge against a spike in volatility as election nears, Goldman says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The CBOE Volatility Index , or VIX, fell below 16 on Monday and is now flirting with its lowest level since the July doldrums. "Our historical study of volatility shows that the VIX averaged 22 points in October, 4 points above the current VIX level. We believe the low implied volatility, upcoming October earnings season and elections provide an attractive opportunity for investors to hedge a potential rise in volatility," the note said. The options would have a strike price of 18 and expire in November, serving as a bet that expectations of volatility will rise as the election nears. There are no additional losses on the trade if the VIX actually declines instead.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Arun Prakash, Prakash, VIX, seasonality Organizations: U.S

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